They’re CONTROLLING The Government!! Know This!!

Coin Bureau
7 Jul 202423:40

Summary

TLDRThis video delves into the weaponization of government debt, suggesting it's used by elites to maintain power and prevent political change. It scrutinizes the UK's debt crisis under Liz Truss and speculates on central banks' influence over policies. The script hypothesizes that bond market volatility might be manipulated to undermine anti-establishment politicians. It also explores the resurgence of 'Bond vigilantes,' the implications for European countries using the Euro, and the potential impact on wealth, capital allocation, and the adoption of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).

Takeaways

  • 💸 Governments worldwide are deeply in debt, with a collective debt exceeding 300 trillion dollars, which many believe will eventually lead to a debt bubble burst.
  • 🕊️ The elites might be using the debt bubble to maintain power and prevent political change by influencing the financial markets.
  • 🇬🇧 Liz Truss's resignation as UK Prime Minister was allegedly a result of a manipulated bond market crash, orchestrated by the Bank of England and others to force her out due to her proposed spending plan.
  • 📉 The Bank of England's decision to sell UK gilts (government bonds), despite the known risks, may have contributed to the market crash, raising questions about the central bank's influence on government policy.
  • 🏦 Central banks, as major holders of government debt, have the power to move markets and potentially influence political outcomes.
  • 🔄 The term 'Bond vigilantes' refers to bond holders who sell or threaten to sell their bonds to pressure governments or central banks, particularly on fiscal policy.
  • 📈 The resurgence of inflation has led to speculation that bond vigilantes are pressuring governments and central banks to reduce spending and raise interest rates to combat inflation.
  • 🌐 The European Central Bank's (ECB) lack of intervention in the bond markets of certain EU countries may indicate a political strategy to influence policy compliance within the union.
  • 🗳️ Snap elections in countries like the UK and France may be a preemptive move by current governments to avoid blame for an impending debt crisis and to allow them to return to power after the dust settles.
  • 📊 The restricted supply of freely tradable bonds due to central banks' quantitative easing (QE) has made bond markets more volatile and susceptible to smaller players' influence.
  • 🌪️ The potential debt crisis and the central banks' response to it will likely lead to increased misallocation of capital, wealth inequality, and political polarization, with significant implications for the global economy and financial markets.

Q & A

  • What is the current global debt situation as mentioned in the script?

    -The script states that governments around the world are collectively over 300 trillion in debt, indicating a massive global debt bubble that many believe will eventually burst.

  • How is government debt being potentially weaponized according to the video?

    -The video suggests that government debt is being weaponized to prevent political change by elites who may use it to pressure opponents or keep them in check, potentially manipulating debt markets to influence political outcomes.

  • What was the official reason for Liz Truss's resignation as Prime Minister of the UK?

    -The official reason for Liz Truss's resignation was her proposed government spending plan that would cut taxes without reducing spending, which led to a collapse in the value of UK government bonds, causing a chain reaction affecting pension funds and ultimately forcing her to resign.

  • What alternative explanation does Liz Truss offer for her resignation in her book '10 Years to Save the West'?

    -In her book, Liz Truss claims that the Bank of England and others facilitated the bond market crash to force her to resign, suggesting a coordinated effort to undermine her government's spending plan.

  • What is the role of central banks in influencing government policy through debt?

    -Central banks, as some of the largest holders, buyers, and potential sellers of government debt, can influence government policy and politicians by moving markets through their actions, such as buying or selling government bonds, which can affect long-term interest rates.

  • What is the term 'Bond vigilantes' and how is it relevant to the discussion in the script?

    -The term 'Bond vigilantes' refers to bond holders who sell or threaten to sell their bonds to pressure issuers, causing interest rates to rise. The script discusses the resurgence of this phenomenon, suggesting that large bond holders, including possibly central banks, may be using this tactic to influence government spending and policy.

  • How did the Bank of England's actions potentially contribute to the UK bond market crash?

    -The Bank of England's decision to sell UK gilts, despite the known risks of causing market volatility, may have contributed to the market crash that led to Truss's resignation. The video suggests this could have been intentional or coincidental, but it raises questions about the bank's influence on government policy.

  • What is the potential impact of central banks' actions on anti-establishment politicians?

    -The script suggests that central banks, as large holders of government debt, could use their market influence to pressure anti-establishment politicians into compliance with the status quo or face market volatility that could undermine their policies or force them out of power.

  • What does the script suggest about the future of government debt and bond markets?

    -The script suggests a looming government debt crisis, with the potential for countries like France and the UK to be at the forefront. It implies that central banks may need to buy all government debt in circulation to control market volatility, which could lead to increased wealth inequality, political polarization, and misallocation of capital.

  • How might the actions of central banks and public institutions affect the political landscape in countries that use the Euro?

    -The script posits that public institutions like the European Central Bank could use their control over bond markets to pressure Eurozone countries into compliance with EU policies, making genuine political change difficult and potentially leading to more radical ideas on spending.

  • What are the potential consequences for individuals in this scenario of increasing government debt and market manipulation?

    -The script suggests that individuals' wealth may increasingly depend on their compliance with the demands of whoever is in power, with the potential for an enormous loss in purchasing power of fiat currencies and a push towards Central Bank Digital Currencies, while alternative technologies like cryptocurrency may offer an outlet for financial freedom.

Outlines

00:00

💥 Weaponizing Government Debt for Political Control

This paragraph discusses the global issue of government debt, which is over 300 trillion, and how it's being used as a tool by elites to manipulate political power. It highlights the case of Liz Truss, who became the UK Prime Minister and quickly resigned after proposing a spending plan that would increase government debt, leading to a collapse in UK government bond values and pressure on pension funds. The paragraph also introduces the controversial claim by Truss that the Bank of England and others orchestrated the bond market crash to force her resignation. It sets the stage for a deeper dive into how government debt can influence politics and markets.

05:01

🏦 Central Banks as Bond Vigilantes: Influence on Policy

The second paragraph delves into the concept of 'Bond vigilantes', introduced by investor Ed Yardeni, referring to bondholders who sell or threaten to sell bonds to pressure issuers, causing interest rates to rise. It provides historical context from the 1980s and 1990s, where bondholders influenced Federal Reserve policy and US government spending plans. The paragraph also discusses the role of central banks in influencing government policy through their control over government debt, suggesting that central banks, being large holders of bonds, can sway government decisions and potentially even cause the resignation of politicians whose policies they oppose.

10:03

📉 The Role of Bond Markets in Political Maneuvering

This paragraph examines the recent political events in Italy and France, suggesting that bond market volatility may be used as a tool to influence political outcomes. It discusses how the European Central Bank's actions, or lack thereof, could be seen as politically motivated, particularly in relation to Italy's Prime Minister Georgia Maloney and France's President Emanuel Macron. The paragraph suggests that public institutions like central banks may be using their influence over bond markets to ensure compliance with EU policies, effectively acting as 'Bond vigilantes' in a political context.

15:04

🗳️ Snap Elections and the Looming Debt Crisis

The fourth paragraph explores the possibility that snap elections in the UK and France were called due to the risk of defaulting on government debt, with the intention of avoiding blame for an impending debt crisis. It suggests that politicians like Rishi Sunak and Emanuel Macron may be pushing for unpopular policies to ensure they are not in power when the crisis hits, thereby avoiding responsibility. The paragraph also touches on the idea that central banks, through their actions or inactions, could be contributing to this political strategy, potentially leading to a situation where they are forced to buy all government bonds to stabilize the markets.

20:05

🌐 The Future of Government Debt and Its Impact on Markets

The final paragraph predicts a government debt crisis, with France and the UK at the forefront, and discusses the implications for markets. It suggests that central banks may need to buy all government bonds in circulation to control market volatility, but political pressures could make this difficult, especially in the EU where the ECB's actions could be influenced by political considerations. The paragraph concludes with a warning about the potential for increased wealth inequality, political polarization, and the loss of purchasing power of fiat currencies, while also highlighting the potential for alternative technologies like cryptocurrency to offer financial freedom.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Debt Bubble

A debt bubble refers to a situation where the total debt accumulated by governments or financial institutions reaches unsustainable levels, creating the risk of a financial crisis when it bursts. In the video, the debt bubble is central to the theme, as it discusses how over 300 trillion in government debt worldwide could lead to a crisis and the potential manipulation of this debt by elites to maintain power.

💡Government Debt

Government debt is the money that a government has borrowed to finance its spending. The video emphasizes the weaponization of government debt, suggesting that it is being used as a tool to prevent political change and manipulate economic outcomes, as seen in the case of the UK's former Prime Minister Liz Truss.

💡Bond Vigilantes

The term 'Bond vigilantes' describes investors who sell or threaten to sell government bonds to pressure issuers, typically central banks, to adopt more financially conservative policies, such as raising interest rates. The script mentions the resurgence of bond vigilantes in the context of political pressure and market manipulation.

💡Gilts

Gilts are government bonds issued by the UK government. In the video, the collapse of the gilt market is tied to the resignation of Liz Truss, illustrating how government debt instruments can impact political outcomes and policy decisions.

💡Central Banks

Central banks are institutions responsible for managing a country's monetary policy and financial stability. The video discusses how central banks, such as the Bank of England, can influence government policy and market outcomes through their actions with government debt, including selling bonds to raise long-term interest rates.

💡Interest Rates

Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money and are a critical tool used by central banks to control inflation and stabilize economies. The video explains how central banks adjust interest rates through various mechanisms, including the buying and selling of government bonds, which can have significant impacts on government debt and political scenarios.

💡Inflation

Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and subsequently, purchasing power is falling. The script discusses the role of inflation in driving central banks' decisions to adjust interest rates and sell government bonds, which can affect the stability of government debt markets.

💡Quantitative Easing (QE)

Quantitative easing is a monetary policy in which a central bank purchases government bonds or other securities to inject money into the economy and stimulate economic activity. The video points out that QE has led to central banks becoming significant holders of government debt and has reduced the supply of freely tradable bonds, contributing to market volatility.

💡Political Polarization

Political polarization refers to the divergence of political attitudes and opinions towards opposing ends of a political spectrum. The video suggests that the manipulation of government debt and bond markets could exacerbate political polarization, as different ideologies compete for control and influence over economic policy.

💡Risk Assets

Risk assets are investments that carry a higher degree of risk, such as stocks or real estate, but also offer the potential for higher returns. The video posits that the central banks' need to buy government debt could be bullish for risk assets, as they may capture much of the liquidity in the market.

💡Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs)

CBDCs are digital forms of a country's currency managed by a central bank. The script suggests that governments may promote CBDCs as a solution to financial instability, potentially imposing them to increase control over financial transactions, which could impact individual financial freedom.

Highlights

Governments worldwide are over 300 trillion in debt, with the potential for a debt bubble to burst.

The debt bubble is allegedly being weaponized by elites to prevent political opponents from gaining power.

Liz Truss's resignation as UK Prime Minister was reportedly linked to a proposed spending plan that increased government debt.

Truss claims the Bank of England facilitated the gilt market crash to force her resignation.

Central banks can influence markets and potentially government policy through their control of government debt.

The Bank of England's decision to sell UK gilts, despite known risks, raises questions about its intentions.

The concept of 'Bond vigilantes' refers to bond holders pressuring issuers by selling bonds, causing interest rates to rise.

The resurgence of inflation has led to speculation that bond vigilantes are pressuring governments to fight inflation.

Public entities like central banks, as large holders of government debt, are driven more by politics than profits.

The ECB's lack of intervention in France's bond market volatility suggests potential political motivations.

Snap elections in the UK and France may have been called due to impending debt crises and to avoid blame.

Central banks' quantitative easing has reduced the supply of freely tradable bonds, increasing market volatility.

Smaller players in the bond market can now have a significant impact on bond prices due to restricted supply.

Central banks may eventually need to buy all government bonds in circulation to control market volatility.

Political forces within the EU could pressure countries through bond market behavior, hindering genuine political change.

The central banks' actions will likely lead to increased spending, wealth inequality, and political polarization.

The future may see central banks or governments imposing digital currencies in the name of financial stability.

Alternative technologies like cryptocurrency may offer financial freedom amidst growing government control.

Transcripts

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[Music]

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governments around the world are

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collectively over 300 trillion in debt

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now everyone knows it's only a matter of

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time before this debt bubble bursts but

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nobody wants to be blamed for it or left

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holding the bag the most terrifying part

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is that the elites appear to be using

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this growing debt bubble as a tool to

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prevent their opponents from taking

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power or keeping them check on the off

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chance that they do so today we're going

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to explain how government debt is being

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weaponized to prevent real political

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change from taking place reveal who is

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involved tell you what comes next and

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what it means for the markets make no

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mistake this is one of the most

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important videos you will ever

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watch in September 2022 Liz truss became

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prime minister of the United Kingdom by

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the end of October she'd resigned now

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the official story was that she was

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forced to resign after she proposed a

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government spending plan that would cut

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taxes without reducing spending which

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would increase government debt this

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caused the value of UK government bonds

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AKA guilts to collapse this in turn put

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pressure on UK Pension funds because

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they are the largest holders of guilts

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the result was that UK Pension funds

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were forced to sell guilts to keep

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functioning this caused guilt prices to

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go lower causing more forced selling and

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so on put simply truss's government

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spending plan caused the UK pension

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system to implode so she was forced to

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resign but that's just the official

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story in April of this year truss

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published a book titled 10 years to save

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the West wherein she claims that the

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guilt market crash was facilitated by

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the bank of England and others in order

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to force her to resign now not

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surprisingly the media has largely

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dismissed this as a crackpot conspiracy

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theory and even some of her own

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supporters are skeptical what is

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surprising though is that not only could

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there be some truth to truss's claims

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but that we could be seeing the same

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phenomenon in other countries where

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anti-establishment politicians are being

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elected it boils down to who holds the

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government debt because these are the

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entities that can move markets now

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besides Pension funds the bank of

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England seems to be the largest holder

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of UK guilts truss alleges that the bank

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of England contributed to the guilt

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market crash by announcing that it would

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be selling guilts as part of its rate

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hikes prior to her spending plan this is

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where things get a bit complicated so

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bear with me central banks change

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interest rates in three ways by

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adjusting the interest rate that

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commercial banks used to lend to each

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other overnight by buying or selling

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government debt and and by announcing

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that they will make changes to these two

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policies in the future which causes the

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markets to move in advance now whereas

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adjusting overnight lending rates

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changes short-term interest rates buying

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or selling government debt I.E bonds

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changes long-term interest rates if

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central banks sell government bonds it

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causes long-term interest rates to rise

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and if central banks buy it causes

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long-term interest rates to fall again

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the mere announcement that a central

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bank will do either can be enough to

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move the market now here is where things

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get interesting most central banks will

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not sell government bonds to raise

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long-term interest rates instead they

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will just refuse to buy new bonds this

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is precisely because selling can cause

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volatility however the bank of England

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made the decision to sell UK guilts

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despite these known risks many macro

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analysts have since acknowledged that

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this was Overkill which begs the

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question of whether the bank of England

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contributed to the guilt market crash

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that resulted in truss's resignation the

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answer could be that it was just a

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coincidence they were just fighting

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inflation when the spending plan was

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released so yes but it wasn't the only

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Factor at play and there's no way to

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prove that it was intentional even so

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this begs a much bigger question if

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central banks are some of the biggest

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holders buyers and potential s sellers

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of government dead does this mean that

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they can influence government policy and

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politicians well the short answer is yes

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to understand why though we must go back

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in time to the 1980s but before we hop

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in the time machine if you're enjoying

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the video so far be sure to batter that

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like button and subscribe to the channel

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and ping that notification Bell so you

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don't miss the next one hold up a second

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there guy sorry to interrupt folks but I

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just wanted to very quickly tell you

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of this video down below thanks very

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much and now back to you guy now after

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the UK guilt Market collapsed there were

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many headlines declaring that the

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so-called Bond vigilantes had returned

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Bond vigilante is a term coined by an

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investor named ed yini and it's used to

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describe holders of bonds that will sell

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or threaten to sell their bonds to

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pressure their issuers again this is

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because selling bonds causes interest

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rates to rise which makes debts more

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expensive Ed coined the term in 1980

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when large holders of US government

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bonds started selling in order to

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pressure the Federal Reserve to raise

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interest rates more aggressively for

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context there was surging inflation in

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the 1970s and 1980s then fed chairman

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Paul vulker eventually raised interest

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rates into the double digits in order to

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fight it the more relevant instance of

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bond vigilante activity though comes

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from the 1990s when large holders of US

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government bonds started selling to

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protest against then President Bill

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Clinton's government spending plan

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long-term interest rates Rose from 5% to

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8% and the spending plan was

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subsequently scaled back now the Bond

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vigilantes basically disappeared in the

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2000s and 2010s this was mainly because

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central banks were actively buying

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government debt during this time namely

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after the dot bubble burst in 2001 and

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after the 2008 financial crisis the

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Practical effect of this so-called QE

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was that kept bond prices high for

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reference buying government bonds

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doesn't just cause long-term interest

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rates to fall it also causes the price

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of these government bonds to rise

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logically the Bond vigilantes weren't

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too upset about the constant QE as the

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whole purpose of their bond investing

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activities is to make a profit at least

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on paper in practice this all depends on

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who the Bond vigilantes are if they're

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private entities such as Pension funds

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then then yes it's in their interest to

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maximize profits in real terms this

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means ensuring that they're being paid

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back with an interest rate that

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compensates them for inflation over the

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duration of the bond obviously then the

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Resurgence of inflation since the start

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of the decade has led to speculation

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that the Bond vigilantes are back with a

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vengeance in other words large holders

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of government bonds are pressuring

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governments and central banks to fight

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inflation by reducing spend ending and

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raising rates again this is because a

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failure to control inflation would mean

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losses for Bond holders in real terms

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the thing is that the largest holders of

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government bonds are no longer private

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entities that are profit orientated the

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consequence of all the QE we've seen

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since the early 2000s is that public

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entities such as central banks are now

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some of the largest holders of

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government debt in many countries like

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the UK whereas private entities like

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Pension funds are incentivized to

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maximize returns public entities like

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central banks are effectively

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incentivized to maximize Politics as

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they are effectively a part of the

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government and this is where things get

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seriously scary particularly for

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anti-establishment

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politicians take a second to consider

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that there are 10 times more Democrats

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than Republicans working at the Federal

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Reserve now suppos that an anti

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anti-establishment Republican politician

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is elected president later this year

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then imagine that there is significant

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bond market volatility after they

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propose a government spending plan at

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first glance it would look like the Bond

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vigilantes are back again selling their

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Bonds in protest upon closer inspection

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however things could look very different

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If the Fed is still running down its

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balance sheet or even outright selling

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bonds a case could be made that it's

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contributing to the market volatility in

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fact one could argue that it's the fed's

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job to intervene when there's bond

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market volatility a mere lack of

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intervention from the FED could

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therefore be seen as an overtly

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political act letting the bond market

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crash in order to pressure a Republican

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president into resigning but the FED

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could claim it's just staying in its

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Lane now this might sound crazy but it

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looks like it's happening in the EU and

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it could happen again in the UK let's

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rewind to the Autumn of 2022 shortly

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before Liz truss resigned as prime

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minister of the UK Georgia Maloney was

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elected prime minister of Italy like

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truss Maloney had promised to make a lot

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of changes if she took charge unlike

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truss Maloney has failed to follow

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through on most of her policy promises

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so far now most assume this is because

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she's just another career politician

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another puppet of the world economic

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Forum that's meant to give the illusion

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of a new populist Uprising but deliver

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more of the status quo however there's

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evidence to suggest that the Bond

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vigilantes have been pulling her strings

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Maloney reportedly decided to tone down

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her rhetoric after seeing what had

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happened to truss as you might have

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guessed Italy is in a similar position

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to the UK the European Central Bank is

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one of the largest holders of Italy's

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government debt notably it's apparently

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been the biggest buyer in recent years

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this makes the ECB an entity that's

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capable of being a bond vigilante for

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Italy as we just discussed public Bond

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investors are driven by politics not

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profits in this case the political

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imperative for the ECB is a continuation

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of the EU as an institution as a

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right-wing populist Maloney is a threat

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to this continuity of course it could be

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a coincidence that Italian bonds have

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become less volatile as Maloney has

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fallen into line with the eu's attitudes

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towards things like immigration and the

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war in Ukraine but it's possible there a

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direct outcome of her compliance comply

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and the ECB will keep your bond market

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stable additional evidence for this can

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be seen in France where bond market

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volatility spiked after president

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Emanuel macron called a snap election

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for those who don't know the right-wing

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National rally party led by Marine Le

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Pen recently won France's EU elections

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foreshadowing a win in the snap election

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as with the UK and Italy mainstream

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media Outlets reported that the bond

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market Vigilantes started dumping French

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Bonds in protest at Le Pen's populist

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economic policies after a week of record

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volatility the national rally abandoned

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many of its key proposals including

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political and geopolitical ones as many

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have pointed out this much Bond

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volatility would typically justify ECB

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intervention yet the ECB hasn't lifted a

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finger at the time of shooting whereas

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the bank of England's actions could be

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explained by its inflation fight the

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ecb's lack of action with France seems

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to be inconsistent with its easing cycle

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to clarify the ECB recently began

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cutting rates and signaled more rate

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Cuts were coming this would

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theoretically make the Central Bank more

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willing to intervene in EU Bond markets

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with QE Bond buying this fact is a bit

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harder to write off as a coincidence but

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it's impossible to prove that the ecb's

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refusal to stabilize France's bond

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market is due to fears of a far-right

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government in France as with our

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hypothetical example involving

play13:17

Republicans and the fed the ECB can

play13:19

claim it's just staying in its Lane

play13:21

funly enough that's essentially what the

play13:23

ECB recently said when asked about the

play13:26

French bond market not only that but

play13:29

France's bond market remains incredibly

play13:31

volatile while this could be explained

play13:34

by the continually High spending of the

play13:36

macron government the fact that

play13:37

Financial media Outlets have continued

play13:40

to scream about a Leen government being

play13:42

bad for bonds suggests politics are the

play13:45

cause further evidence for this comes

play13:47

from a recent Bond sale by the macron

play13:50

government the fact that this Bond sale

play13:53

went smoothly despite bond market

play13:55

volatility suggests the volatility is

play13:58

political not economic although the eccb

play14:01

isn't nearly as involved in French bonds

play14:04

public institutions are still very large

play14:07

holders the caveat is that the politics

play14:10

at play in France could be radically

play14:12

different from what's happening in Italy

play14:14

and what happened in the UK and they

play14:17

could be identical to what's about to

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happen in the UK and here is where the

play14:24

real craziness begins UK prime minister

play14:27

Rishi sunak and French president Emanuel

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macron recently called elections that

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caught most people off guard at first

play14:35

glance it's not clear why either of them

play14:37

did this given that they're both

play14:39

projected to lose upon closer inspection

play14:42

however it appears they know what's

play14:45

about to happen to their bond markets

play14:48

the day before sunak called the UK's

play14:50

election the IMF warned that the UK

play14:53

government needed 30 billion to

play14:56

stabilize its debt burden two weeks

play14:59

before macron called France's snap

play15:01

election its debt was downgraded meaning

play15:04

Bond investors are slightly less certain

play15:07

the country can pay its debts with that

play15:09

in mind it starts to look like elections

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were called in the UK and France because

play15:15

both countries are at risk of defaulting

play15:17

on their debts and the parties in power

play15:20

can do nothing to stop it now this could

play15:23

once again be a coincidence but it's

play15:26

evidently a much better explanation than

play15:28

what's been given and it would explain

play15:31

why both sunak and macron have been

play15:33

pushing for objectively unpopular

play15:35

policies think about it by calling an

play15:38

election when they're down in the polls

play15:40

and pushing for policies that push them

play15:42

lower sunak and macron have guaranteed

play15:45

that their political parties will not be

play15:47

blamed for any upcoming debt crisis in

play15:50

their respective countries their

play15:52

opponents will be left holding the bag

play15:55

now this is exactly what Steve Bannon

play15:57

Trump's former Chief strategist believes

play16:00

is happening in the UK he believes that

play16:02

the conservative government called an

play16:04

early election so that the labor party

play16:07

will win then the guilt Market will

play16:09

implode labor will be blamed step down

play16:12

and the conservatives will return to

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clear up the mess in bannon's own words

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it's going to be Liz truss times 10

play16:20

oddly enough though Bannon doesn't

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believe that the bank of England was

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behind truss's outing and he might be

play16:26

right you see QE by central banks hasn't

play16:29

just made them big enough to be Bond

play16:31

vigilantes it's also reduced the supply

play16:34

of freely tradable bonds this is

play16:37

something macro analyst Western Nakamura

play16:39

has been shouting from the rooftops for

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years part of the reason why Bond

play16:44

markets are becoming so volatile is

play16:46

because their circulating Supply is

play16:48

becoming increasingly restricted as

play16:51

central banks buy up more and more bonds

play16:54

this is extremely important what it

play16:57

means is that you don't NE necessarily

play16:59

have to be a big Bond holder to be a

play17:02

bond vigilante in plain English you

play17:04

don't need to be a central bank or a

play17:06

large pension fund to move bond prices

play17:08

anymore the restricted Supply makes it

play17:11

possible for smaller players like hedge

play17:13

funds and the like to move the markets

play17:15

in turn this means that the supposed

play17:18

Bond vigilante activity coming from

play17:20

central banks and other public

play17:22

institutions could actually be regular

play17:24

Bond holders knowingly or unknowingly

play17:27

playing the role of bond Vig Atlantic it

play17:29

could actually be regular billionaires

play17:31

like Bill Gates changing policy and

play17:34

pressuring politicians by the same token

play17:37

however the low circulating supply of

play17:39

bonds means that central banks and other

play17:41

public institutions could also be

play17:44

playing the role of Bond vigilantes with

play17:46

the smallest of changes even the

play17:49

smallest action or smallest inaction

play17:51

could be enough to move Bond markets

play17:54

which is truly wild if this is indeed

play17:57

the case though then it will inevitably

play17:59

result in central banks having to buy up

play18:02

all the government bonds in circulation

play18:04

as that will be the only way to control

play18:07

bond market volatility in fact they

play18:09

could be forced to do so precisely

play18:12

because if they don't then they will be

play18:14

accused of being political put

play18:16

differently central banks will

play18:18

eventually have to comply with the

play18:20

politics of whoever is in power because

play18:22

if they don't the politicians in power

play18:25

will claim the central banks are being

play18:27

political and force them to comply which

play18:29

will paradoxically make them political a

play18:32

self-fulfilling prophecy come to think

play18:34

of it the fact that central banks may

play18:36

only intervene in bond markets once

play18:38

they've been forced to by the political

play18:40

party they're potentially protesting

play18:42

against could cause a delay in the

play18:45

initial response so this brings me to

play18:48

the big question of what comes next and

play18:50

what this means for the markets well in

play18:53

case it wasn't clear enough it seems

play18:55

that what comes next is a government

play18:57

debt crisis of some kind with France and

play19:00

the UK potentially leading the pack

play19:03

Canada could also be on the list if it

play19:05

gets a snap election too FYI Canadian

play19:09

government debt is also at risk of being

play19:11

downgraded if that happens and we see a

play19:14

snap election in Canada that will be

play19:16

further evidence that snap elections are

play19:18

being held so that existing politicians

play19:22

Dodge the debt bubble bullet and

play19:24

potentially weave their way back into

play19:26

Power after the shootout this ties in to

play19:30

what it means for the markets and if

play19:31

you've been paying attention you'll

play19:33

already know the answer the only way to

play19:36

contain bond market volatility at this

play19:38

point in time is for central banks to

play19:40

buy more and more of the government

play19:42

bonds in circulation but it looks like

play19:45

not all of them will comply for those

play19:48

unfamiliar central banks are supposed to

play19:50

be apolitical they're supposed to act

play19:52

independently of the government as I

play19:55

mentioned a few moments ago politicians

play19:57

will eventually have to force central

play20:00

banks to do whatever is needed to ensure

play20:02

the government remains funded if they

play20:05

don't do it voluntarily this will be

play20:07

easy to do in countries that have their

play20:09

own central banks like the US and the UK

play20:12

but it will be very difficult to do in

play20:15

countries that have shared central banks

play20:18

like France and Italy that's because it

play20:20

will be hard for one EU country to force

play20:23

the ECB to comply with its demands given

play20:26

that there are other member countries

play20:28

what this means is that the political

play20:30

forces in the EU could work the other

play20:33

way around in the bond markets public

play20:35

institutions like the ECB could be in a

play20:38

position to put pressure on Euro

play20:40

countries by engaging in the bond

play20:43

vigilante type Behavior it already seems

play20:45

to be exhibiting with France and Italy

play20:48

in turn this means that it will be very

play20:51

difficult to have genuine political

play20:53

change in European countries that use

play20:55

the euro the ECB will just refuse to

play20:59

provide the BuyBacks required to keep

play21:01

Bond volatility low in the countries

play21:04

that refuse to comply with the EU again

play21:07

it will appear apolitical but it will be

play21:11

very political the only way out for such

play21:13

countries could be for them to go off

play21:15

the Euro and launch their own currencies

play21:18

but that would cause even more

play21:20

volatility and risk a total breakdown in

play21:23

Social cohesion alternatively these

play21:25

countries could adopt other currencies

play21:27

that give them more fiscal Freedom

play21:29

regardless of the path however the

play21:31

destination is the same central banks

play21:34

will need to buy all the government debt

play21:36

because at the end of the day it doesn't

play21:38

matter who is in power the governments

play21:41

will spend and the promises being made

play21:43

by politicians to buy votes means

play21:45

spending will keep increasing the good

play21:48

news is that this will be very bullish

play21:50

for risk assets and stores of value

play21:53

which will capture most of the liquidity

play21:56

the bad news is that this is going to

play21:57

result in misallocation of capital

play22:00

unlike anything we've ever seen

play22:02

right-wing and left-wing politicians

play22:04

will spend trillions in the name of

play22:07

their ideologies all this will do is

play22:09

increase wealth inequality and political

play22:12

polarization which will result in even

play22:14

more radical ideas on how the infinite

play22:17

trillions printed by the central banks

play22:19

should be spent the result will be an

play22:22

enormous loss in purchasing power of

play22:24

Fiat currencies and people being

play22:26

desperate for alternatives governments

play22:29

will present their Central Bank digital

play22:31

currencies as the solution and many will

play22:34

probably try to impose them in the name

play22:35

of the greater good with a bit of luck

play22:37

however alternative Technologies like

play22:40

cryptocurrency will be developed enough

play22:42

to provide an outlet for those looking

play22:44

for Financial Freedom for everyone else

play22:47

their wealth will depend on how much

play22:49

they comply with the demands of whoever

play22:51

is in power as is currently the case in

play22:54

places like Russia and China buckle up

play22:57

because the trend is heading west and

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some would argue it's already here so

play23:04

let's hope we find an alternative

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ASAP and that's all for today's video so

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if you learn something new be sure to

play23:11

hammer that like button if you want to

play23:13

keep learning subscribe to the channel

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and ping that notification Bell and if

play23:17

you want to help others learn about the

play23:19

growing government debt bubble and how

play23:21

it will burst be sure to share this

play23:24

video with them as always thank you for

play23:26

watching and I'll see you in the next

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one this is guy signing off

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Related Tags
Government DebtPolitical ChangeEconomic PolicyCentral BanksBond MarketInflation ControlFinancial CrisisElection ImpactDebt BubbleMarket Volatility