Mungkinkah Indonesia Menjadi "Negara Maju"?

Summary

The video script discusses the feasibility of achieving a 7% sustainable economic growth rate for Indonesia by 2045, a goal often referred to as 'Indonesia Emas'. It highlights the importance of increasing per capita income to escape the middle-income trap and become an advanced nation. The speaker emphasizes the need to improve domestic savings, investment efficiency, and export diversification, while also suggesting that increasing tax ratios and boosting domestic productivity are crucial. The script also touches on the importance of foreign direct investment and a strong legal framework to foster a healthy investment climate.

Takeaways

• 😀 The speaker questions the feasibility of achieving a 6-7% sustainable economic growth rate for Indonesia's vision of 'Indonesia Emas 2045' (Golden Indonesia 2045).
• 🌟 The term 'Indonesia Emas' is seen as a marketing concept rather than a clear economic strategy, with the real goal being to escape the middle-income trap and become an advanced nation.
• 📈 The speaker explains that to be considered an advanced nation, Indonesia's per capita income needs to rise significantly from the current $4,500 to over $13,000.
• 💡 The demographic bonus, with a large productive-age population, is highlighted as a potential support for achieving the vision, but the challenge lies in how to spread this information effectively among the society.
• 🔢 The formula for calculating economic growth is presented: (Current GDP - Previous Year's GDP) / Previous Year's GDP * 100%, emphasizing the importance of GDP and its components like consumption, government spending, investment, and net exports.
• 🏭 The script points out that Indonesia's economy is heavily reliant on household consumption, which made it less affected by the pandemic compared to manufacturing and export-dependent countries.
• 📊 The Investment Coefficient (ICOR) is introduced as an indicator of investment efficiency, with Indonesia's high ICOR implying that a large investment-to-GDP ratio is needed to achieve economic growth.
• 💼 The need for increasing domestic savings to finance the required investment for economic growth is discussed, as well as the potential negative impacts of a trade deficit on the currency.
• 📈 The importance of raising the tax ratio to increase domestic savings is mentioned, but it's noted that simply raising tax rates may not be the best approach and could have negative economic effects.
• 🚀 The script suggests that increasing domestic productivity could lower the ICOR, reducing the investment needed for a high economic growth rate.
• 🌐 Diversification of exports is recommended to reduce reliance on volatile commodity markets, and the need for innovation supported by research and development is emphasized.
• 🏢 The role of foreign direct investment (FDI) in achieving economic growth is acknowledged, with the condition that it must comply with existing laws and a healthy investment climate is necessary.

Q & A

What is the target economic growth rate for Indonesia to achieve the vision of 'Indonesia Emas 2045'?

The target economic growth rate for Indonesia to achieve the vision of 'Indonesia Emas 2045' is around 6 to 7% sustained and constant.

What does 'Indonesia Emas' mean, and what is the goal behind this term?

'Indonesia Emas' refers to a state where Indonesia can escape the middle-income trap and become an advanced nation, not just a developing country. The goal is to increase the per capita income to a level that categorizes Indonesia as an advanced nation.

What is the current per capita income of Indonesia, and what is the target for 2045?

The current per capita income of Indonesia is around $4,500. The target for 2045 is to reach a per capita income of over $13,000, which would categorize Indonesia as an advanced nation.

What is the demographic bonus mentioned in the script, and how does it support the vision of 'Indonesia Emas'?

The demographic bonus refers to the large number of productive-age population in Indonesia. This supports the vision of 'Indonesia Emas' as it provides a workforce that can contribute to the economic growth and development of the country.

Why is the information about the urgency of a 7% economic growth rate not widely understood or discussed in society?

The information about the urgency of a 7% economic growth rate is not widely understood or discussed in society because it has not been effectively mapped or elaborated upon. It is often discussed in political contexts without providing the necessary information or strategies to achieve it.

What is the formula to calculate the economic growth rate, as mentioned in the script?

The formula to calculate the economic growth rate is: (Current year's GDP - Previous year's GDP) / Previous year's GDP * 100%.

How does Indonesia's economy currently rely on its components, and what are these components?

Indonesia's economy currently relies heavily on household consumption. The components of GDP, as mentioned, include household consumption, government spending, investment, and net exports (exports minus imports).

What is the significance of the Investment Coefficient (ICOR) in the context of Indonesia's economy?

The Investment Coefficient (ICOR) is an indicator that measures the efficiency of investment in an economy. A lower ICOR indicates a more efficient investment, and for Indonesia to achieve a 7% economic growth rate, it needs to improve its ICOR, which is currently high at 6.8%.

What are the implications of a high ICOR for Indonesia's investment needs and economic growth?

A high ICOR implies that Indonesia needs a larger ratio of investment to GDP to achieve economic growth. For a 7% growth rate, Indonesia would need an investment of 41% to 47% of its GDP, which translates to a significant amount of investment capital.

How does the script suggest increasing Indonesia's domestic savings to finance the required investment for economic growth?

The script suggests increasing domestic savings by raising the tax ratio, not necessarily the tax rate. It emphasizes the need for a strategic approach to increase tax efficiency and savings without negatively impacting the economy.

What role does export diversification play in achieving a 7% economic growth rate, according to the script?

Export diversification is crucial for achieving a 7% economic growth rate because it reduces reliance on volatile commodity exports and allows Indonesia to produce and market a variety of products that are in demand globally, thus stabilizing and increasing economic growth.

Why is innovation important for Indonesia's economic growth, and what challenges does the country face in this area?

Innovation is important for creating new products and improving competitiveness in the global market. However, Indonesia faces challenges due to a lack of focus and investment in research and development, with only 0.3% of the national budget allocated to this sector.

What is the significance of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in achieving the 7% economic growth rate, and what conditions are necessary for it?

FDI is significant as it can fill the investment gap needed for economic growth. To attract FDI, Indonesia needs a strong legal framework and a healthy investment climate with clear regulations, which can inspire confidence in foreign investors.

What conclusion does the script draw about the feasibility of achieving a 7% economic growth rate in Indonesia?

The script concludes that achieving a 7% economic growth rate is theoretically possible but will require significant efforts, including increasing domestic savings, improving productivity, diversifying exports, fostering innovation, and creating a conducive investment climate.

Outlines

00:00

😀 Economic Growth for Indonesia's Golden Future

The script discusses the concept of achieving a 7% sustainable economic growth rate to realize the vision of 'Indonesia Emas 2045', which implies moving from a developing to an advanced nation. It questions the feasibility of this growth rate and highlights the importance of per capita income as an indicator of advancement. The speaker emphasizes the need to increase per capita income from the current $4,500 to over $13,000. The demographic bonus, with a large productive-age population, is mentioned as a supporting factor for this vision. The script also addresses the issue of how information about the urgency of economic growth is disseminated and understood within society, pointing out the lack of clarity in how to achieve the 7% growth target.

05:00

😐 Investment Efficiency and Economic Growth Challenges

This paragraph delves into the efficiency of investment in Indonesia, measured by the 'Investment Coefficient of Output Ratio' (ICOR). It contrasts Indonesia's relatively high ICOR of 6.8 with that of developed countries, which is usually below 3. This indicates that Indonesia requires a larger investment-to-GDP ratio to achieve economic growth. The speaker calculates that to surpass a 7% growth rate, Indonesia would need an investment of around 41-47% of GDP, which translates to a substantial amount of IDR 1900 to 2000 trillion. The script points out the gap between the required investment and the country's domestic savings, leading to a potential current account deficit and the associated risk of currency devaluation. It suggests increasing domestic savings and tax ratio as potential solutions.

10:03

😥 Strategies for Achieving 7% Economic Growth

The final paragraph outlines strategies to achieve the ambitious 7% economic growth target. It emphasizes the need to increase domestic productivity to reduce the ICOR and consequently the investment requirement. The speaker also stresses the importance of export diversification to lessen reliance on volatile commodity exports. Innovation, research, and development are identified as crucial for creating high-quality export products, but the current low allocation to these sectors in the national budget is criticized. The paragraph concludes by discussing the need for foreign direct investment and a healthy investment climate, supported by strong legal certainty, to attract and sustain economic growth.

Keywords

💡Economic Growth

Economic growth refers to the increase in the production of goods and services of an economy over a period of time. In the video's context, it is central to the discussion about achieving the 'Indonesia Emas 2045' vision, which requires a sustained and constant growth rate of around 7%. The script mentions the formula for calculating economic growth, which is the GDP of the current year minus the GDP of the previous year, divided by the GDP of the previous year, multiplied by 100%.

💡Middle Income Trap

The middle income trap is a situation where a country's economy stagnates at middle-income levels, unable to advance to high-income status due to various structural and economic challenges. The video discusses this concept as a state that Indonesia aims to escape from by becoming an advanced nation, not just a developing one, which is part of the 'Indonesia Emas' vision.

💡Per Capita Income

Per capita income is the average income earned per person in a given area in a specified year. It is an indicator of a country's economic health and standard of living. The script points out that for Indonesia to be considered an advanced nation, its per capita income needs to rise significantly from the current $4,500 to over $13,000.

💡Investment Efficiency

Investment efficiency, often measured by the Incremental Capital Output Ratio (ICOR), indicates how much investment is needed to generate a unit of economic growth. The video mentions that Indonesia's ICOR is relatively high at 6.8, meaning a significant amount of investment is required to achieve the targeted economic growth rate.

💡Domestic Savings

Domestic savings refer to the total income that remains after consumption and taxation, which can be invested in the economy. The script discusses the insufficiency of Indonesia's domestic savings to finance the required investment for economic growth and suggests increasing tax ratios as a way to boost these savings.

💡Tax Ratio

Tax ratio is the proportion of taxes to the total income or GDP of a country. The video script suggests that increasing the tax ratio could be a method to increase domestic savings, but it also emphasizes the need for careful calculation to avoid negative impacts on the economy.

💡Productivity

Productivity is a measure of the efficiency of production in the economy, often expressed as the ratio of output to inputs. The script argues that increasing domestic productivity could lower the ICOR, thereby reducing the investment needed for economic growth.

💡Export Diversification

Export diversification is the strategy of expanding the range of goods and services that a country exports to reduce reliance on a few commodities and to stabilize the economy against market volatility. The video mentions that Indonesia's heavy dependence on exporting natural resources necessitates diversifying its export base to achieve stable economic growth.

💡Innovation

Innovation refers to the creation of new or improved products, services, and processes. The script points out the importance of innovation for developing high-quality export products and criticizes the low allocation of government budget to research and development, which hinders innovation.

💡Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

Foreign direct investment is an investment made by a firm or individual in one country into business interests located in another country. The video emphasizes the need for FDI to fill the investment gap and stresses the importance of a healthy and stable investment climate to attract such investments.

💡Legal Certainty

Legal certainty refers to the predictability and stability of a legal system, which is crucial for creating a favorable investment climate. The script suggests that strong legal certainty, as seen in countries like Singapore and Vietnam, can make investors feel secure when doing business in Indonesia.

Highlights

The concept of 'Indonesia Emas 2045' is not new and has been widely discussed in media and political circles.

To achieve the 'Indonesia Emas' vision, a sustainable and constant economic growth of around 7% is required.

The term 'Indonesia Emas' is often used for marketing purposes and may not fully represent the actual goal of becoming an advanced nation.

Becoming an advanced nation involves moving beyond the middle-income trap and achieving a per capita income of over $13,000.

Indonesia's current per capita income is around $4,500, which is far from the advanced nation threshold.

The demographic bonus, with a large productive-age population, is seen as a potential support for achieving the vision.

The urgency of achieving a 7% economic growth rate has not been effectively communicated or mapped out in society.

The discussion on how to achieve a 7% economic growth rate is often missing in political campaigns and governance.

The GDP growth rate is calculated by the formula: (Current Year's GDP - Previous Year's GDP) / Previous Year's GDP * 100%.

Indonesia's GDP heavily relies on household consumption, which provides stability but limits growth potential.

The efficiency of investment in Indonesia is measured by the IOR (Investment Opportunity Ratio), which is currently high at 6.8%.

To achieve a 7% GDP growth, Indonesia would need an investment to GDP ratio of around 41-47%.

The domestic savings rate in Indonesia is currently insufficient to finance the required investment for economic growth.

A high transaction deficit could lead to a devaluation of the Indonesian Rupiah, impacting the economy negatively.

Increasing the tax ratio without necessarily raising tax rates is suggested as a way to boost domestic savings.

Improving domestic productivity could lower the IOR and reduce the need for high investment financing.

Diversifying exports and reducing reliance on natural resource exports is crucial for economic stability and growth.

Innovation, which is essential for producing high-quality export products, is hindered by the low allocation of funds in the national budget.

Foreign direct investment is needed to fill the investment gap, but it requires a strong legal framework and a healthy investment climate.

A strong legal certainty and a healthy investment climate can attract foreign investment, as seen in countries like Singapore and Vietnam.

Achieving a 7% economic growth rate is theoretically possible but will require significant efforts in various areas, including increasing domestic savings, improving productivity, and diversifying exports.

Transcripts

21 komoditas

pertanyaan saya sampaikan kepada

beberapa orang lalu mereka mengatakan

hanya karena kepuan kita kita ini tidak

bisa

menauan ekonomi menjadi halo warga S

sekalian Kalian pasti pernah mendengar

untuk mewujudkan Indonesia emas 2045

maka kita butuh pertumbuhan ekonomi

sebesar 7% secara berkelanjutan dan

konstan Ya itu bukan informasi yang baru

yang kita dapatin ya karena itu ada di

manapun di media apapun itu dibahas oleh

banyak sekali politik kita gitu nah

pertanyaannya Apakah itu benar Apakah

kita memang butuh sekitar 6 sampai 7%

pertumbuhan ekonomi untuk mencapai

Indonesia emas kalau menurut gua dan apa

yang gua pahami selama ini ya itu enggak

bisa ditawar Karena gini yang namanya

Indonesia em itu kan gimik ya artinya

itu cuman termarketing gitu Apa yang

dimaksud sebenarnya dari Indonesia Mas

adalah keadaan di mana Indonesia bisa

lepas dari yang namanya middle income

Trap Artinya kita bisa jadi negara maju

bukan lagi jadi negara berkembang

indikator untuk menjadi negara maju

jelas pendapatan per kapita yang mana

saat ini kita belum bisa dikategorikan

sebagai negara maju karena pendapatan

per kapita kita ya enggak sebanyak itu

kita cuma di angka 4.500 dan kita butuh

pendapatan per kapita yang menyentuh

angka 13.000 ke atas jadi harapan yang

di tahun 2045 pertumbuhan ekonomi kita

itu bisa menonjang pendapatan per kapita

kita bisa sampai r.000 r.000 225.000

atau bahkan r.000 dan ya yang namanya

bonus demografi yang seperti kalian

ketahui angkat-ang kita banyak usia

produktif kita banyak artinya Apa

artinya ini menunjang Visi dan cita-cita

itu terpenuhi gitu nah problemnya tu

Bukan soal urgensinya problemnya itu

adalah bagaimana informasi itu menyebar

di masyarakat karena selama ini yang ada

ketika kita bahas urgensi pertumahan

ekonomi 7% itu enggak pernah di mapping

th enggak pernah diflorkan tuh bagaimana

kita mencapai angka 7% itu mustahil atau

tidak Dan apa yang harus kita bereskan

supaya ekonomi kita bisa tumbuh di angka

setinggi itu gitu ya enggak pernah

walaupun ini jadi pembicaraan yang

banyak sekali ada di masyarakat salah

satunya dalam testasi politik ya para

paslon yang bertarung ataupun yang

terpilih atau bahkan timsesnya itu juga

enggak memberikan informasi yang memang

kita butuhkan gitu kasih ke kita yang

difit ke kita itu kebanyakan gimik dan

bword ya spanomic industrialisasi

hitilisasi dan lain sebagainya untuk itu

di konten kali ini gua bakal membedah

Bagaimana kemungkinan ekonomi 7% itu

bisa dicapai oleh Republik Indonesia

dengan pisau

[Musik]

ekonomi

[Musik]

there's some stains on your

photo Little cracks on your Rusty

frame in the

m but it's okay I don't have the pieces

of

your

[Musik]

oke satu hal yang harus kita pahami

karena yang kita bicarakan itu adalah

pertumbuhan ekonomi ya artinya ya kita

harus tahu bagaimana pertumbuhan ekonomi

itu diperoleh gitu Bagaimana formulanya

bagaimana cara menghitungnya PDB tahun

ini dikurang PDB tahun sebelumnya dibagi

PDB tahun sebelumnya dikalikan dengan

100% maka kita akan mendapatkan

pertumbuhan ekonomi dari formula ini

kita tentu akan memahami bahwa bagian

terpenting dalam pertumbuhan ekonomi

adalah PDB itu sendiri dan komponen dari

PDB itu seperti yang gua pernah Jelaskan

ke teman-teman ya konsumsi rumah tangga

government spending investasi ekspor

dikurang impor itulah PDB itu bisa kita

dapati gitu J dari rumus itulah angkanya

bisa kita peroleh Indonesia itu pdb-nya

masih sangat bergantung sama konsumsi

rumah tangga makanya waktu pandemi

terjadi kemunduran ekonomi kita atau

goncangan ekonomi kita tidak sebesar

negara-negara lain macam Jerman Jepang

Pang Korea karena mereka bergantung pada

industri manufaktur ekspor impor gitu

loh tapi kan kita enggak kita bisa lebih

stabil kita bisa punya ketahanan yang

lebih baik karena selama ini kita

bergantung pada konsumsi rumah tangga

ini dan itu bukan 100% buruk dan juga

enggak 100% baik ketika kondisi kayak

kemarin terjadi ya kita bisa tahan tapi

ketika dunia mulai pulih kembali ya kita

kembali ketertinggalan Kenapa demikian

karena komponen yang lain itu masih

punya ruang untuk dioptimalisasi bapak

ibu dan untuk mencapai pertumbuhan

ekonomi 7% ini maka ruang investasi dan

ekspor itu menjadi satu hal yang sangat

penting untuk ditingkatkan karena Emang

masih gimana nyebutnya tidak dalam gitu

Nah pertama kita harus ngomong dulu soal

ruang investasi ini dalam ekonomi itu

ada istilah yang namanya icor atau ior

Ya terserahlah Kalian mau nyebut

nyamannya gimana ya jadi ior itu lebih

enak disebut ior jadi ior itu itu adalah

indikator untuk menghitung tingkat

efisiensi investasi ekonomi dalam suatu

negara untuk menghasilkan outcome yang

ingin dicapai ya simpelnya angka yang

ada dalam eor itu menunjukkan efisiensi

pembiayaan investasi di suatu negara

semakin rendah angka icornya maka negara

itu semakin efisien dalam berinvestasi

sebagai perbandingan negara-negara maju

itu angka eornya rendah tuh biasanya di

bawah tig lalu Bagaimana ne Indonesia

nah sayang di Indonesia belum berada

dalam situasi kayak gitu angka eor kita

masih relatif tinggi yaitu 6,8 artinya

untuk meningkat kan 1% pertumbuhan

ekonomi kita butuh rasio investasi PDB

sebesar

6,8%. kita kalkulasikan mungkin kita

butuh sekitar 41 sampai 47% yang mana

Kalau itu dirupiahkan nilainya 1900

sampai 2000 triliun investasi supaya

pertumbuhan ekonomi kita menembus angka

7% ini Oke jadi kita cuma butuh

mendapatkan 2000 triliun investasi ya

Apakah itu angkan besar Iya itu angkan

yang besar Kenapa demikian karena yang

namanya investasi itu harus punya

pembiayaan dan pembiayaan itu harus

dikeluarkan oleh negara nah

pembiayaannya datangnya dari mana dari

hal yang disebut sebagai tabungan

domestik ya savingnya negara masalahnya

savingnya negara ketika kita punya

kebutuhan 41 sampai 47% untuk menembus

pertumbuhan ekonomi 6 sampai 7% kita

cuma punya 37% artinya ada defisit

transaksi berjalan di situ 3 sampai 10%

nah defisit transaksi berjalan itu

sebenarnya enggak selalu buruk ya karena

itu menggambarkan bahwa satu negara itu

sudah berinvestasi dalam jangka panjang

untuk sebuah kemajuan gitu tapi yang

harus kita kalkulasikan dan kita lihat

adalah skalanya dan waktunya kalau

defisit itu terlalu besar maka ini akan

menimbulkan efek negatif dan yang paling

kerasa jelas berdampak pada mata uang

artinya ketika defisit transaksi

berjalan terlalu besar nih itu akan

berdampak pada melemahnya rupiah Oke

berarti kita stak dong bang kita butuh

investasi 2000 triliun untuk mencapai

pertumbuhan ekonomi 7% kalau yang kita

lihat dari rasio investasi ini tapi di

satu sisi tabungan domestik kita enggak

cukup untuk membiayai itu dan terjadi

defisit transaksi berjalan dan kalau

defisit transaksi berjalan terjadi maka

rupiah kita melemah lalu apa yang harus

kita lakukan oh jangan takut secara

teori ini masih bisa diolving gitu Nah

pertama yang harus dilakukan adalah

jelas tabungan domestik kita harus

ditambah dan salah satu cara untuk

menambah tabungan domestik ini yang

berpengaruh secara signifikan ya adalah

menaikkan yang namanya tax Rao eh Jadi

konsep tax rasio itu bukan berarti tax

rasio naik berarti tax rate juga naik ya

atau tarif pajak naik ya tarif pajak itu

bisa aja naik kalau kita punya tujuan

untuk menaikkan ta rasio tapi metthod

untuk naiknya tax rasio bukan cuman soal

tax rate seberapa besar tax rasio kita

harus naik Apakah harus 23% kayak kata

Mas Gibran

Git nah ini juga satu konsep yang keliru

ya Kenapa demikian karena t rasio 23%

itu pertama itu sulit banget sulit

banget untuk dicapai dalam waktuya k

dekat kedua kalaupun itu tercapai itu

bisa memberikan dampak yang negatif bagi

perekonomian kita karena tidak selamanya

pajak tinggi itu bagus buat perekonomian

jadi itu harus dikalkulasikan ulang

mengacu pada beberapa data misalnya

dariedb optimalnya Indonesia itu diangka

18% terus kemarin gua sempat berjam-jam

diskusi dengan Pak Hadi purtomo nah di

situ beliau menjelaskan Bagaimana

kemungkinan Indonesia menaikkan tas

rasio tanpa harus menaikkan tarif pajak

rasio Indonesia itu sekarang 10% nih

naik 12% aja sudah bagus sebenarnya Dan

itu sulit untuk dilakukan tapi memang

harus dilakukan supaya tabungan domestik

kita naik hal yang bisa kita lakukan

selanjutnya adalah menggejot

produktivitas domestik artinya Apa

artinya ketika produktivitas itu naik

maka angka ior tadi 6,8% ini ini bisa

turun dan ketika angka ior ini turun

maka kebutuhan akan pembiayaan investasi

itu enggak akan setinggi itu gitu loh

Paham kan maksud gua Jadi bagaimana eor

ini turun ya produktivitas harus

dinaikin Bagaimana produktivitas harus

dinaikin maka kita akan berbicara soal

peningkatan kualitas sdm birokrasi yang

lebih bersih yang bebas korupsi dan

jelas iklim ekonomi yang lebih baik Nah

selanjutnya Ketika kita bicara Ekspor

kita juga butuh yang namanya

diversifikasi ekspor Kenapa demikian

karena selama ini kita terlalu

bergantung sama ekspor sumber daya alam

yang mana itu punya volatilitas market

yang tinggi jadi kita enggak bisa deppen

di sana terus-terusan kita harus bisa

memproduksi produk jadi yang Emang laku

di pasaran yang emang nya di tapi yang

namanya menghasilkan satu produk jadi

yang Emang benar-benar bagus itu butuh

yang namanya inovasi tapi di sisi lain

inovasi selalu lahir dari yang namanya

Randi penelitian dan pengembangan nah

ironisnya di Indonesia ini jadi salah

satu sektor yang sangat tidak

diperhatikan porsinya di APBN itu cuma

0,3% Jadi bagaimana kita berharap punya

inovasi yang bagus yang akhirnya

menghasilkan produk bagus yang mana

akhirnya menghasilkan transaksi ekspor

yang bagus kalau untuk mencapai pasti

aja itu berat sekali di Indonesia jadi

kita enggak bisa ngomong yang namanya

hilirisasi atau industrialisasi tanpa

kita berpikir dan ngurusin yang namanya

R Andi Ini Bapak Ibu dan semoga ini bisa

didengar sama para pemangku kepentingan

kita nah terakhir ya PMA kita jelas

butuh penanaman modal asing di Indonesia

itu butuh yang mana itu harus sesuai

dengan ketentuan hukum yang berlaku Ya

jelas Kenapa demikian karena ya harus

ada yang feel feel the gap kan ya selama

ini semua diperbaiki dan dan pembiayaan

atas kebutuhan-kebutuhan itu akhirnya

diisi sama yang kita dapatin dari PMA

ini dan supaya itu bisa terjadi tentu

iklim investasi Kita juga harus lebih

baik dan lebih sehat dan iklim investasi

yang lebih baik dan lebih sehat itu bisa

didapat dengan kepastian hukum yang kuat

itulah yang terjadi di beberapa negara

kayak Singapura ataupun Vietnam gitu

sehingga orang merasa aman ketika dia

buat publrik di Indonesia atau melakukan

kegiatan ekonomi di Indonesia

kesimpulannya apa ya kesimpulannya

simpel di atas kertas pertumbuhan

ekonomi 7% itu memang bisa dicapai tapi

ya caranya agak ruwet nih nah gitu Nah

kalau secara teori bisa Apakah di

praktiknya juga akan sama ya belum tentu

karena akan lebih sulit lagi itu

tergantung pemerintah kita Apakah punya

awareness yang sama atau concern yang

sama soal ini kalau enggak ya enggak

akan pernah nih pertumbuhan ekonomi 7%

itu bisa kecapai kalau metode yang

diambil bukan cara-cara seperti yang

tadi dijelaskan Kalau tidak ada urgensi

untuk

meningkatkan tabungan domestik kita

tidak ada urgensi untuk meningkatkan

produktivitas kita atau tidak ada

urgensi untuk membuat diversifikasi

ekspor ini Dan ini juga akan sulit

dicapai kalau mindsetnya adalah

hilirisasi bisa menyelesaikan semuanya

Kenapa demikian karena tidak akan ada

yang namanya Hilir tanpa adanya hulu

gitu Nah hilirisasi yang bagus

industrialisasi yang bagus selalu muncul

dari hulu yang kuat jadi kalau kita

memang berharap hililisasi itu bisa

benar-benar jalan maka hulunya diberes