BUY or BYE SAHAM 2025🚀

Summary

In this video, the speaker provides a comprehensive analysis of the Indonesian stock market's performance in 2024, highlighting both challenges and opportunities. The market saw a strong start but struggled due to unfavorable government policies, geopolitical tensions, and external economic factors. Despite this, the speaker identifies three promising sectors for 2025: renewable energy, real estate, and banking. The video also touches on sectors facing difficulties, including consumer goods and cement. The speaker encourages viewers to consider both local and global market trends while making investment decisions in the coming year.

Takeaways

• 😀 The year 2024 was challenging for the Indonesian stock market, with IHSG experiencing a significant drop of 2.65%.
• 😀 The energy sector, particularly coal, nickel, and other commodities, saw significant growth, with some stocks like PIK 2 increasing by over 230%.
• 😀 Political instability and certain policies under President Prabowo, including the proposed tax hikes and debt amnesty, led to uncertainty in the stock market.
• 😀 Foreign investors withdrew from Indonesia, favoring countries with higher growth rates and returns, including the US market, which offered higher interest rates.
• 😀 Sectors most negatively affected in 2024 included the transportation industry, which dropped by 18%, and the consumer sector, which faced a decline in purchasing power.
• 😀 The banking sector, especially state-owned banks like BRI, Mandiri, and BNI, faced challenges due to government policies like debt forgiveness for UMKM.
• 😀 Despite the tough market conditions, there are opportunities for long-term investors, particularly in undervalued blue-chip stocks.
• 😀 The outlook for 2025 depends largely on global economic conditions, especially interest rate changes by the Fed, and domestic policies after the 2024 elections.
• 😀 Key sectors to watch for growth in 2025 include renewable energy, the property sector (especially with low-interest rates), and the banking sector (with careful consideration).
• 😀 Sectors to be cautious about in 2025 include consumer goods (due to inflation pressures) and basic materials (especially cement, due to fluctuating raw material costs).

Q & A

What are the key factors that influenced the stock market performance in Indonesia in 2024?

The performance of the Indonesian stock market in 2024 was influenced by several factors: the global energy sector boom driven by rising coal, nickel, and other commodity prices, the government's policy decisions, especially under President Prabowo's administration, and the global geopolitical instability. Domestic challenges included a weakening rupiah, rising inflation, and external issues such as the global recession risks.

How did the energy sector perform in 2024?

The energy sector was one of the standout performers in 2024, largely driven by the rise in the prices of commodities like coal and nickel. This sector grew by 28%, and companies such as DSSA and AMAN saw significant gains. The government's emphasis on green and renewable energy also helped boost this sector.

What were the challenges faced by the Indonesian stock market in 2024?

The Indonesian stock market faced challenges due to several factors, including unfavorable government policies like the free nutritious meal program, the cancellation of tax hikes, and the potential impact of the President's debt relief program for SMEs. Additionally, the market was affected by external factors such as global geopolitical instability and high interest rates in the US, leading to foreign investors pulling out.

What sectors are expected to perform well in 2025 according to the script?

In 2025, the expected high-performing sectors include real estate (due to stable post-election economic conditions and lower interest rates leading to more property loans), renewable energy (driven by global shifts towards green energy and Indonesia's role in nickel production), and banking (despite challenges, with a focus on private banks like BCA).

What impact did President Prabowo’s policies have on the Indonesian economy?

President Prabowo’s policies created mixed impacts. On one hand, initiatives like debt relief for SMEs were seen as positive for business recovery. On the other hand, some of his policies were criticized for increasing government debt and the potential to raise the fiscal deficit, which contributed to a lack of investor confidence.

How did the geopolitical situation affect investor sentiment in Indonesia?

The geopolitical instability, particularly conflicts like the war in the Middle East, had a significant impact on investor sentiment. As global uncertainties increased, foreign investors withdrew from Indonesia, preferring countries with more stable growth prospects or returning to the US, where interest rates remained high.

Why did the transportation sector perform poorly in 2024?

The transportation sector performed poorly in 2024, with a decline of 18%, due to rising fuel prices and decreased mobility. These factors reduced demand in the sector, exacerbating challenges faced by transportation companies.

What are the potential risks for investors in 2025 according to the script?

Potential risks for investors in 2025 include global economic risks like a possible recession, continued geopolitical tensions, and domestic economic challenges such as high inflation, a weak rupiah, and the government's pro-rakyat policies that may disrupt business growth, especially in sectors like banking and consumer goods.

What technological advantage does Ajaib Sekuritas offer to investors?

Ajaib Sekuritas offers advanced technology like JEUS and AOU protocols, which are used to facilitate super-fast and stable transactions. These technologies, similar to those used on Nasdaq, allow transactions to be processed in 0.001 seconds, making it easier for investors to secure the best prices when trading.

Which sectors are expected to underperform in 2025, and why?

Sectors expected to underperform in 2025 include consumer goods and basic materials like cement. Consumer goods face challenges due to inflation, reduced purchasing power, and the competition from e-commerce and imported goods. The cement industry is struggling with fluctuating raw material costs and competition from cheap imports, which are squeezing profit margins.