Perang Dagang China Vs AS, Trump atau Xi Jinping yang Akan Menyerah Lebih Dulu?

Summary

The escalating trade war between the United States and China has intensified with both nations imposing extreme tariffs, impacting global markets. China retaliated with a 125% tariff, while the U.S. raised tariffs to 145% and even 245% on certain Chinese goods. Despite economic pressures, particularly in China, both sides face long-term consequences. The U.S. risks economic isolation under Trump's protectionist policies, while China seeks new trade partnerships in Asia. The situation remains unpredictable, with both countries likely to endure significant losses, yet neither side willing to back down easily.

Takeaways

• 😀 The trade war between the United States and China is intensifying, impacting both large and small businesses globally.
• 😀 China has imposed a 125% import tariff on U.S. goods, while the U.S. retaliated with a 145% tariff.
• 😀 On April 16, 2025, the U.S. confirmed a tariff hike to 245%, specifically on Chinese goods previously taxed at 100% under the Biden administration.
• 😀 On April 15, 2025, China launched a national investigation into the U.S.'s reliance on imports of critical minerals, which could result in further tariffs.
• 😀 China has effectively banned all airlines from importing Boeing aircraft, as part of its retaliatory measures.
• 😀 Vina Najibula from the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada suggests the outcome depends on who can withstand the economic pain longer.
• 😀 The U.S. is in a stronger economic position than China, which faces challenges like high unemployment and low domestic demand.
• 😀 China has diversified its markets, such as sourcing soybeans from Brazil, to reduce its dependence on U.S. imports.
• 😀 China's exports to the U.S. fell to 14.7% in 2024, compared to 19.2% in previous years.
• 😀 Despite President Xi's strong image, China's economy could be hit harder by a downturn in exports, especially affecting its manufacturing sector.
• 😀 The U.S. may eventually blink first in the trade war, as internal pressures from industries like technology and concerns over losing industrial support are mounting.

Q & A

What has been the impact of the trade war between the United States and China on global markets?

The trade war has caused significant disruptions in global markets, affecting both large and small businesses. The ongoing conflict has led to heightened tariffs on both sides, destabilizing international trade flows and causing economic uncertainty worldwide.

How have tariffs between the US and China changed recently?

Recently, the United States increased tariffs on certain Chinese goods to 245%. However, the White House clarified that this hike applied only to goods that already had a 100% tariff under the previous administration of Joe Biden.

What was China's response to the escalating tariffs imposed by the US?

In response to the escalating tariffs, China implemented retaliatory measures, including imposing tariffs of 125% on American goods. Additionally, China started diversifying its imports, such as increasing soybean imports from Brazil instead of the US.

What action did the United States take on April 15, 2025, regarding China's trade policies?

On April 15, 2025, the United States initiated a national investigation into America's dependency on critical mineral imports from China. This investigation could potentially lead to further tariffs or restrictions, intensifying the trade war.

What was the significance of China's ban on Boeing aircraft imports?

On the same day the US launched its investigation, China effectively banned all American-made Boeing aircraft. This action was another retaliatory measure in the trade war, further disrupting US-China trade relations and signaling the high stakes of the conflict.

Why do analysts believe that China might not negotiate first in the trade war?

Analysts suggest that China may not be willing to negotiate first due to President Xi Jinping's cultivated image as a strong leader who does not easily back down to the United States. Negotiating first could damage this image and public perception.

What challenges does China face economically that might influence the outcome of the trade war?

China is grappling with several economic challenges, including high unemployment rates and low domestic demand. These economic difficulties may force China to reconsider its stance in the trade war, although its leadership has shown resilience so far.

How has China's trade relationship with the US changed in recent years?

China's trade relationship with the US has been shifting, with Chinese exports to the US decreasing from 19.2% in 2023 to 14.7% in 2024. This decline reflects China's efforts to reduce dependence on the US market and diversify its trade partners.

Why is the US potentially at risk of being the first to blink in the trade war?

The United States might be the first to blink in the trade war due to increasing internal pressures, particularly from powerful industrial sectors like technology and information. Executives from these industries have expressed concerns about the negative impacts of tariffs, possibly leading President Trump to reconsider his stance.

What is the long-term economic outlook for the United States amidst the trade war?

In the long term, the economic outlook for the United States might be less favorable if Trump’s isolationist policies continue. The protectionist approach could harm the US economy by reducing global cooperation, which has historically been a key factor in recovering from economic crises.