3 Must-Know GPT-4o Use Cases for Finance
Summary
TLDRThis video script explores three innovative use cases of Chat GPT 40 in the realm of finance. It begins with portfolio optimization, demonstrating how to use Chat GPT to create an efficient frontier for stock allocation to maximize returns based on risk. Next, it delves into sentiment analysis of financial reports, highlighting the importance of understanding the overall sentiment before critically reading reports to avoid biased interpretations. Finally, it discusses optimizing an existing portfolio by adding a new asset to improve the risk-return ratio. The script emphasizes the necessity of understanding financial concepts and data analysis to responsibly utilize AI for making informed financial decisions.
Takeaways
- 🤖 Chat GPT 40 is being discussed for its potential to revolutionize financial markets and analysis through AI.
- 💡 Learning to use AI tools like Chat GPT 40 responsibly is emphasized as valuable and necessary for future financial endeavors.
- 📈 The first use case presented is portfolio optimization, where Chat GPT 40 assists in finding the best allocation of stocks for maximum returns based on risk.
- 📊 An R script is provided to demonstrate how to use Chat GPT 40 for creating an efficient frontier and visualizing stock allocations for a given return.
- 🧐 The script includes steps like downloading stock prices, calculating daily returns, and simulating portfolios to find the optimal stock allocation.
- 📚 The second use case is sentiment analysis on financial reports, which can provide context and help identify biases or inconsistencies before critically reading the reports.
- 🔍 The sentiment analysis script is shown to extract overall sentiment, point out potential biases, and highlight any warning or beware sections in financial reports.
- 📉 The final use case discussed is optimizing an existing portfolio by adding a new asset to improve the risk-return ratio, using Chat GPT 40 to calculate the best stock allocation.
- 📝 The provided R script for portfolio optimization includes calculating average returns, standard deviations, and the Sortino ratio for an initial portfolio and a new asset.
- 📊 The script also demonstrates how to visualize the initial and optimal portfolios on a graph to compare their performance and risk levels.
- 💡 A reminder is given that understanding the underlying financial concepts and data analysis processes is crucial before implementing AI-generated solutions.
Q & A
What are the three use cases for Chat GPT 40 in finance discussed in the video?
-The three use cases for Chat GPT 40 in finance discussed in the video are: 1) Portfolio optimization, 2) Sentiment analysis in financial reports, and 3) Evaluating the risk-return ratio of a current portfolio with the addition of a new asset.
What is the purpose of using Chat GPT for portfolio optimization?
-The purpose of using Chat GPT for portfolio optimization is to help find an allocation of preferred stocks and investments to achieve the highest return for every point of risk, using the modern portfolio theory.
What is the efficient frontier in the context of portfolio optimization?
-The efficient frontier, in the context of portfolio optimization, refers to the set of optimal portfolios that offer the highest expected return for a defined level of risk, or the lowest risk for a given level of expected return.
Why is it important to learn to use tools like Chat GPT responsibly in finance?
-It is important to learn to use tools like Chat GPT responsibly in finance because they can provide valuable insights and analysis, but they also require a good understanding of the underlying financial concepts and data analysis processes to ensure the accuracy and relevance of the information provided.
What is the role of Chat GPT in sentiment analysis of financial reports?
-The role of Chat GPT in sentiment analysis of financial reports is to provide an overall sentiment of the business and its future projections, highlight potential biases to avoid, and point out any inconsistencies or illogical data within the report.
What is the SEC and why do they require businesses to publish financial quarterly reports?
-The SEC (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission) is a federal agency responsible for enforcing securities laws and regulating the securities industry. They require businesses listed in stock markets to publish their financial quarterly reports to ensure transparency and accountability to investors.
How does Chat GPT assist in evaluating the risk-return ratio of a current portfolio with the addition of a new asset?
-Chat GPT assists in evaluating the risk-return ratio of a current portfolio with the addition of a new asset by providing an R script that collects stock price data, calculates the average return and standard deviation of each stock, and optimizes the portfolio to find the best allocation that increases the Sortino ratio.
What is the Sortino ratio and why is it important in portfolio management?
-The Sortino ratio is a variation of the Sharpe ratio that differentiates harmful volatility from total overall volatility by using the standard deviation of negative portfolio returns, called downside deviation. It is important in portfolio management as it measures the risk-adjusted return of an investment portfolio, focusing on the downside risk.
What are some biases that one should be aware of when reading financial reports?
-Some biases to be aware of when reading financial reports include recency bias, confirmation bias, and anchoring bias. These biases can affect the interpretation of the report and lead to skewed decision-making.
How can Chat GPT help in improving financial decision-making?
-Chat GPT can help in improving financial decision-making by providing data-driven insights through portfolio optimization, sentiment analysis of financial reports, and evaluating the risk-return ratio with the addition of new assets. It aids in making more informed and critical assessments of financial data.
Outlines
🤖 Chat GPT 4.0 Use Cases in Finance
This paragraph introduces three innovative use cases of Chat GPT 4.0 in the financial sector that are set to revolutionize the way financial markets are perceived. It emphasizes the importance of learning to use AI tools responsibly and provides guidance on installing a necessary studio for these tasks. The first use case discussed is portfolio optimization, which involves using Chat GPT to assist in finding the best allocation of stocks and investments for maximum returns. The paragraph outlines a process involving R scripts to pull stock prices, create an efficient frontier according to modern portfolio theory, and develop a function for inputting desired returns to receive optimal stock allocations. The example provided includes a prompt for Chat GPT to generate a script for stock price data analysis of Apple, Nvidia, and Coca-Cola for a specified period, and to visualize the efficient frontier and portfolio allocation.
📊 Sentiment Analysis of Financial Reports
The second paragraph delves into the application of Chat GPT for sentiment analysis on financial reports, such as the SEC-mandated quarterly reports published by listed businesses. The goal is to provide a preliminary sentiment overview before reading the report, enabling a more critical and informed reading experience. The paragraph describes a script for uploading a financial report and instructing Chat GPT to analyze its sentiment, identify potential biases to watch out for, and flag any inconsistencies or illogical data. The example given uses the 10-Q form of Birkar Hatway for Q1 2024, highlighting the positive overall sentiment, discussing biases like recency, confirmation, and anchoring, and pointing out specific warnings related to investment gains and losses, foreign currency effects, and insurance contracts.
📈 Optimizing Portfolio with New Asset Addition
The final paragraph presents the third use case, which focuses on optimizing an existing portfolio by potentially adding a new asset to improve the risk-return ratio. It details a process where Chat GPT is prompted to provide an R script for collecting stock press data, calculating average returns and standard deviations, and determining the initial portfolio metrics. The script then optimizes the portfolio with the addition of a new stock, Amazon in this case, to find the best allocation that maximizes the Sortino ratio. The response includes a step-by-step guide on running the code in the studio, which involves loading libraries, specifying data ranges, merging stock data, and performing portfolio optimization. The results show a comparison between the initial and optimized portfolios, highlighting the improved return and Sortino ratio with the new allocation weights.
🚀 Conclusion on Chat GPT 4.0's Financial Applications
In conclusion, the paragraph summarizes the three presented use cases of Chat GPT 4.0 for finance, emphasizing their potential to enhance financial analysis and decision-making. It stresses the importance of understanding the underlying financial concepts and data analysis processes when using AI tools like Chat GPT. The paragraph cautions against blindly copying and pasting prompts, as AI can provide incorrect information, and encourages users to double-check the accuracy of AI-generated outputs. It invites viewers to request new video topics and reminds them of the importance of having a foundational knowledge in finance and economics to responsibly use AI in this field.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Chat GPT 40
💡Portfolio Optimization
💡Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT)
💡Efficient Frontier
💡Sentiment Analysis
💡SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission)
💡Risk-Return Ratio
💡Sortino Ratio
💡R Script
💡Stock Allocation
💡Financial Analysis
Highlights
Chat GPT 40 can revolutionize the way financial markets are viewed and analyzed.
Learning to use AI tools like Chat GPT 40 responsibly is crucial for future financial success.
Chat GPT 40 can assist in portfolio optimization for retirement or medium-term profits.
Modern Portfolio Theory is used to find the best stock allocation for given risk.
Chat GPT 40 can generate an R script for stock price analysis and efficient frontier visualization.
Portfolio optimization can help decide stock allocations for a desired return level.
Sentiment analysis can be performed on financial reports to gauge business sentiment before reading.
AI can help identify biases and inconsistencies in financial reports.
Chat GPT 40 can provide a detailed sentiment analysis of a company's financial report.
AI can help determine the optimal stock allocation when adding a new asset to a portfolio.
The Sortino ratio can be calculated to find the best risk-adjusted return.
Chat GPT 40 can suggest whether to add a new stock to improve a portfolio's risk-return ratio.
Optimization scripts can calculate new portfolio metrics and suggest optimal weights.
AI should be used in conjunction with a deep understanding of financial concepts and data analysis.
It's important not to blindly trust AI and to verify its outputs for accuracy.
The video encourages viewers to learn about finance and economics to responsibly use AI.
Three innovative use cases of Chat GPT 40 in finance are presented to improve data-driven decision-making.
Transcripts
these three MN chat GPT 40 use cases for
finance will blow your mind and it will
change the way you look at financial
markets financial analysis Ai and more
people can't stop talking about chat GPT
chat GPT 40 chat GPT 40 chat
gp4 and AI stocks are having the time of
their
lives learning to use these tools
responsibly will not only be valuable
but necessary for your future we're
going to use chpt 40 and our studio for
the use we're going to talk about today
there are links down below that will
guide you to install our studio in case
you don't have it in your computer yet
let's start with the first use case
portfolio optimization assuming you have
a specific portfolio you would like to
have for retirement or medium-term
profits you can use chat gbt in order to
help you find an allocation of your
preferred stocks and Investments so you
can get the highest return for every
point of risk beware the mor portfolio
theory is praised by a lot of academics
while famous investors like Warren buff
say they are total nonsense I'm not here
to make a judgment of who's right and
who's wrong but we're going to use this
model and you get to decide if you think
it is worth it or not with that said
we're going to give chbt the following
prompt I would like you to provide me
with an R script that will pull the
stock prices of Apple Nvidia and bshar
hadway stock for the period between
January 1st 2023 and January 1st 2024 I
would like you to create an efficient
Frontier according to the modern port
portfolio Theory with all combinations
of these three stocks and create a
visualization for this step efficient
Frontier is a fancy word for the best
stock allocation in terms of return for
every given risk available after that I
want you to create a function that will
require me to put the average return I
am looking for and the output should be
the stock allocations that I should put
in order to get the efficient portfolio
with that specific return also create a
visualization with the same efficient
Frontier but showcasing in red the point
where my given port folio exists in the
graph and you can see this is the
response that we get with the code that
we have to put in our studio that is
written right here in use case number
one first we're going to install the
packages that we have here I already
have them installed so I'm just going to
load them then we have the symbols and
the start and end date we're going to
download the stock prices and we are
going to adjust the stock prices here
calculate the daily Returns the mean and
Co variance Matrix and we are going to
simulate 5,000 portfolios for our
efficient Frontier then we have the set
the risk free rate our risk-free rate
right now is about 5% so we are going to
put 5% as the risk-free rate and loaded
we are going to create a loop that will
create random portfolios with this
information we'll create a data set for
plotting and then we are going to have
our effent Frontier here you can see all
the portfolios you can create with these
stocks where you have the maximum return
for every given risk that you can
provide now we are going to create a
function to calculate the optimal
weights we're going to create a function
in order to make a plot of it and now
the target return let's say I want a 10%
return so here we have a 10% or you can
replace it with your desired return so
it will give me the allocations of every
stock that I am requiring make a plot in
order to understand where it is as you
can see we have our efficient Frontier
as before but if you want a 10% % return
then you have this risk and this return
on the graph as you can see it is pretty
close to the combination where you have
the less amount of risk so as you can
see here these are the weights for our
socks we changed the bir Shar Highway
stock because it wasn't working with the
data so we put Co which is the Coca-Cola
company so we should invest 25% in apple
19% in Nvidia and 72% in Coca-Cola in
order to get this return for this amount
of risk RK the Second Use case is
sentiment analysis in financial reports
the US Financial supervisor also known
as the SEC requires businesses listed in
stock markets to publish their financial
quarterly reports you can leverage Chad
GPT in order to run a sentiment analysis
on this report therefore before you read
it you know the overall sentiment of the
business and its future and why do this
because you can read it more critically
when you know the sentiment that was
written into the report because some
reports might hype you up but in reality
they show a different picture with the
data this use case is not trying to save
time on actually reading a report but
only providing more context before you
read it and also signaling you with any
biases or inconsistent data that you
might find in order to read it more
critically the first thing you should do
is download the report you want to run
the sentiment analysis on in this case
we're going to use the 10q form of bir
sh hadway for the first quarter of 2024
so we're going to write the following
script we're going to upload the birsh
hadway PDF document and you can write
here you can find the 10q form of birkar
hatway for the first quarter of 2024 I'm
about to start reading it but I want you
to run a sentiment analysis on this
report so I may avoid any biased
analysis after running the sentiment
analysis I want you to point me the
overall sentiment of the present
business and future projections then Le
me three possible biases that I should
avoid when reading it and lastly give me
a message on any warning or beware
section on the report that may have
inconsistent or illogical data and we
have this following answer the overall
sentiment is positive here we can see
the figures of the net earnings of the
report compared to last year we can also
see the balance sheet and the cash
equivalents that they have and how the
insurance segment is doing we can also
see the future projections on long-term
growth and the discussion of the stable
Outlook of rail roll utilities and the
energy segment here we have the possible
biases to avoid recency bias and here
you can see that given a significant
drop in net earnings compared to the
same cor last year it is essential to
consider the broader context do not fall
into recency bias confirmation bias be
aware of any preconceived notions about
ver Hardway performance so you can
critically assess the report without
confirming your existing beliefs and
lastly anchoring bias avoid placing too
much weight on high earnings reporting
in previous quars market conditions and
investment performance change because of
external factors and lastly we have the
warnings or inconsistent data you have a
warning on the investment gains and
losses the foreign currency effects and
the insurance and reinsurance contracts
so you got a pretty detailed sentiment
analysis on the report so now you can
read it knowing that the sentiment is
positive but you should be careful of
any information that looks pretty good
or bad compared to previous data with
this biases in mind the last use case
which is my favorite is giving your
current portfolio let's say you want to
add a new asset to the portfolio what
stock allocation should you have in
order to increase the risk return ratio
of your portfolio so we go to chat GPT 4
and we have the following prompt I want
you to provide me with an R script that
does the following it collects Stock
press data of Apple Nvidia Amazon and
bshar Hardway from January 1st 2023 to
to January 1st 2024 no use of external
apis it calculates the average return of
each stock as well as the standard
deviation my portfolio has a composition
as follows 50% Apple 15% Nvidia and 35%
beire hadway with that said calculate
the average return of the portfolio the
standard deviation of the portfolio and
the sortino ratio now let's say I want
to add a new asset in this case Amazon
with the information we have so far and
no I'm looking for the best stino ratio
possible create a function that provides
me with the best stock allocation with
the addition of Amazon stock if it's
needed if you find a better portfolio
without it then do not add it and we
have the following response with the
code we have to run on our studio so
first we're going to load the required
libraries in this case I have them
already installed you should install
them in case you don't do not have it we
have the stocks and the weights of our
initial portfolio you can change these
values according to to any specific
example you have then we have to specify
the data range in this case January 1st
2023 to January 1st 2024 we need to get
the stock data after that we need to put
the stock data into a data set merge it
and calculate the daily returns
calculate the average return and
standard deviation for each stock and
also Define the portfolio weights
calculate the Cino ratio for the
portfolio and we have everything now
initial portfolio metrics these are the
initial values you gave and now you have
to load a new library the optim in order
to optimize the portfolio with the
addition of Amazon or any stock you
would like to try and we have this
function right here we have to load
after doing that we have to perform the
portfolio optimization and as you can
see there's a lot of coding going in the
background calculate new portfolio
metrics and we're going to print the
results right here as well as creating a
data set to plot it after running all
this final data we have the following
this Green Dot right here is the initial
portfolio we can see the return was
pretty low compared to the new one with
a low Soro ratio and you can see all the
values right here that says the optimal
weights the average return and standard
deviation as you can see with the line
we have a huge increase in the return as
well as the Soro ratio in the optimal
portfolio what are the optimal weights
we have 11% in the first stock 30% in
the second stock 14% in the third stock
and
43% in Amazon stock as you can see we
have a new portfolio that you can try
with the specific values that you have
now you know three cool use cases of
ch40 for finance these use cases can
improve the way you analyze at things
and make better data driven decisions do
not forget before running and copy
pasting all these prompts you have to
understand the underlying Financial
Concepts as well as the data analysis
process that you are implementing do not
copy paste blindly because AI is used to
do hallucinations fancy word for wrong
answers do not think that AI will not
give you a false answer so you have to
double check the information is right
and consistent with what you expect and
if it turns out to be right you have a
pretty good analysis if you want a new
video on any specific topic like certin
ratio financial statements comment down
below so we can create a video for you
one of the toughest and weakest points
of AI is having to know the information
the underlying Concepts beforehand in
order to check its veracity in order to
use AI responsibly we have to know about
finance and economics beforehand if you
want to become an expert in finance and
economics click here to find more that's
it for today I hope you enjoy this video
see you all in the next one chiao Chow
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