3 Must-Know GPT-4o Use Cases for Finance

Sergio Barrientos
26 May 202411:17

Summary

TLDRThis video script explores three innovative use cases of Chat GPT 40 in the realm of finance. It begins with portfolio optimization, demonstrating how to use Chat GPT to create an efficient frontier for stock allocation to maximize returns based on risk. Next, it delves into sentiment analysis of financial reports, highlighting the importance of understanding the overall sentiment before critically reading reports to avoid biased interpretations. Finally, it discusses optimizing an existing portfolio by adding a new asset to improve the risk-return ratio. The script emphasizes the necessity of understanding financial concepts and data analysis to responsibly utilize AI for making informed financial decisions.

Takeaways

  • 🤖 Chat GPT 40 is being discussed for its potential to revolutionize financial markets and analysis through AI.
  • 💡 Learning to use AI tools like Chat GPT 40 responsibly is emphasized as valuable and necessary for future financial endeavors.
  • 📈 The first use case presented is portfolio optimization, where Chat GPT 40 assists in finding the best allocation of stocks for maximum returns based on risk.
  • 📊 An R script is provided to demonstrate how to use Chat GPT 40 for creating an efficient frontier and visualizing stock allocations for a given return.
  • 🧐 The script includes steps like downloading stock prices, calculating daily returns, and simulating portfolios to find the optimal stock allocation.
  • 📚 The second use case is sentiment analysis on financial reports, which can provide context and help identify biases or inconsistencies before critically reading the reports.
  • 🔍 The sentiment analysis script is shown to extract overall sentiment, point out potential biases, and highlight any warning or beware sections in financial reports.
  • 📉 The final use case discussed is optimizing an existing portfolio by adding a new asset to improve the risk-return ratio, using Chat GPT 40 to calculate the best stock allocation.
  • 📝 The provided R script for portfolio optimization includes calculating average returns, standard deviations, and the Sortino ratio for an initial portfolio and a new asset.
  • 📊 The script also demonstrates how to visualize the initial and optimal portfolios on a graph to compare their performance and risk levels.
  • 💡 A reminder is given that understanding the underlying financial concepts and data analysis processes is crucial before implementing AI-generated solutions.

Q & A

  • What are the three use cases for Chat GPT 40 in finance discussed in the video?

    -The three use cases for Chat GPT 40 in finance discussed in the video are: 1) Portfolio optimization, 2) Sentiment analysis in financial reports, and 3) Evaluating the risk-return ratio of a current portfolio with the addition of a new asset.

  • What is the purpose of using Chat GPT for portfolio optimization?

    -The purpose of using Chat GPT for portfolio optimization is to help find an allocation of preferred stocks and investments to achieve the highest return for every point of risk, using the modern portfolio theory.

  • What is the efficient frontier in the context of portfolio optimization?

    -The efficient frontier, in the context of portfolio optimization, refers to the set of optimal portfolios that offer the highest expected return for a defined level of risk, or the lowest risk for a given level of expected return.

  • Why is it important to learn to use tools like Chat GPT responsibly in finance?

    -It is important to learn to use tools like Chat GPT responsibly in finance because they can provide valuable insights and analysis, but they also require a good understanding of the underlying financial concepts and data analysis processes to ensure the accuracy and relevance of the information provided.

  • What is the role of Chat GPT in sentiment analysis of financial reports?

    -The role of Chat GPT in sentiment analysis of financial reports is to provide an overall sentiment of the business and its future projections, highlight potential biases to avoid, and point out any inconsistencies or illogical data within the report.

  • What is the SEC and why do they require businesses to publish financial quarterly reports?

    -The SEC (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission) is a federal agency responsible for enforcing securities laws and regulating the securities industry. They require businesses listed in stock markets to publish their financial quarterly reports to ensure transparency and accountability to investors.

  • How does Chat GPT assist in evaluating the risk-return ratio of a current portfolio with the addition of a new asset?

    -Chat GPT assists in evaluating the risk-return ratio of a current portfolio with the addition of a new asset by providing an R script that collects stock price data, calculates the average return and standard deviation of each stock, and optimizes the portfolio to find the best allocation that increases the Sortino ratio.

  • What is the Sortino ratio and why is it important in portfolio management?

    -The Sortino ratio is a variation of the Sharpe ratio that differentiates harmful volatility from total overall volatility by using the standard deviation of negative portfolio returns, called downside deviation. It is important in portfolio management as it measures the risk-adjusted return of an investment portfolio, focusing on the downside risk.

  • What are some biases that one should be aware of when reading financial reports?

    -Some biases to be aware of when reading financial reports include recency bias, confirmation bias, and anchoring bias. These biases can affect the interpretation of the report and lead to skewed decision-making.

  • How can Chat GPT help in improving financial decision-making?

    -Chat GPT can help in improving financial decision-making by providing data-driven insights through portfolio optimization, sentiment analysis of financial reports, and evaluating the risk-return ratio with the addition of new assets. It aids in making more informed and critical assessments of financial data.

Outlines

00:00

🤖 Chat GPT 4.0 Use Cases in Finance

This paragraph introduces three innovative use cases of Chat GPT 4.0 in the financial sector that are set to revolutionize the way financial markets are perceived. It emphasizes the importance of learning to use AI tools responsibly and provides guidance on installing a necessary studio for these tasks. The first use case discussed is portfolio optimization, which involves using Chat GPT to assist in finding the best allocation of stocks and investments for maximum returns. The paragraph outlines a process involving R scripts to pull stock prices, create an efficient frontier according to modern portfolio theory, and develop a function for inputting desired returns to receive optimal stock allocations. The example provided includes a prompt for Chat GPT to generate a script for stock price data analysis of Apple, Nvidia, and Coca-Cola for a specified period, and to visualize the efficient frontier and portfolio allocation.

05:01

📊 Sentiment Analysis of Financial Reports

The second paragraph delves into the application of Chat GPT for sentiment analysis on financial reports, such as the SEC-mandated quarterly reports published by listed businesses. The goal is to provide a preliminary sentiment overview before reading the report, enabling a more critical and informed reading experience. The paragraph describes a script for uploading a financial report and instructing Chat GPT to analyze its sentiment, identify potential biases to watch out for, and flag any inconsistencies or illogical data. The example given uses the 10-Q form of Birkar Hatway for Q1 2024, highlighting the positive overall sentiment, discussing biases like recency, confirmation, and anchoring, and pointing out specific warnings related to investment gains and losses, foreign currency effects, and insurance contracts.

10:01

📈 Optimizing Portfolio with New Asset Addition

The final paragraph presents the third use case, which focuses on optimizing an existing portfolio by potentially adding a new asset to improve the risk-return ratio. It details a process where Chat GPT is prompted to provide an R script for collecting stock press data, calculating average returns and standard deviations, and determining the initial portfolio metrics. The script then optimizes the portfolio with the addition of a new stock, Amazon in this case, to find the best allocation that maximizes the Sortino ratio. The response includes a step-by-step guide on running the code in the studio, which involves loading libraries, specifying data ranges, merging stock data, and performing portfolio optimization. The results show a comparison between the initial and optimized portfolios, highlighting the improved return and Sortino ratio with the new allocation weights.

🚀 Conclusion on Chat GPT 4.0's Financial Applications

In conclusion, the paragraph summarizes the three presented use cases of Chat GPT 4.0 for finance, emphasizing their potential to enhance financial analysis and decision-making. It stresses the importance of understanding the underlying financial concepts and data analysis processes when using AI tools like Chat GPT. The paragraph cautions against blindly copying and pasting prompts, as AI can provide incorrect information, and encourages users to double-check the accuracy of AI-generated outputs. It invites viewers to request new video topics and reminds them of the importance of having a foundational knowledge in finance and economics to responsibly use AI in this field.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Chat GPT 40

Chat GPT 40 refers to a hypothetical advanced version of a language model AI, similar to Chat GPT, which is capable of understanding and generating human-like text. In the context of the video, it is portrayed as a tool that can revolutionize the way financial markets are analyzed and understood. The script mentions using 'Chat GPT 40' for various financial analysis tasks, indicating its potential to automate and enhance decision-making processes in finance.

💡Portfolio Optimization

Portfolio optimization is a financial strategy that aims to maximize returns for a given level of risk or minimize risk for a desired level of return. The video script discusses using Chat GPT 40 to assist in finding an optimal allocation of stocks and investments within a portfolio. It mentions the Modern Portfolio Theory and the creation of an 'efficient frontier,' which represents the set of optimal portfolios that offer the highest expected return for a defined level of risk.

💡Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT)

Modern Portfolio Theory is an investment theory that focuses on the idea that the risk of a portfolio of assets can be reduced by combining assets with less-than-perfect correlation. In the script, MPT is used to create an efficient frontier for a portfolio consisting of Apple, Nvidia, and Bshar Hadway stocks, demonstrating how AI can be applied to financial theories to suggest investment strategies.

💡Efficient Frontier

The efficient frontier is a concept in finance that represents the set of optimal portfolios that offer the highest expected return for a defined level of risk. In the video script, Chat GPT 40 is used to generate an R script that creates an efficient frontier visualization, showing the best possible combinations of stocks that maximize returns for each level of risk.

💡Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment analysis is the process of determining the emotional tone behind words to understand the attitudes, opinions, and emotions expressed in a piece of text. The video script describes using Chat GPT 40 to perform sentiment analysis on financial reports, such as the 10Q form of Birsh Hadway, to provide context and help investors read the reports more critically by identifying the overall sentiment and potential biases.

💡SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission)

The Securities and Exchange Commission is a U.S. government agency responsible for enforcing federal securities laws, regulating the securities industry, and protecting investors. In the script, it is mentioned that the SEC requires businesses listed on stock markets to publish their financial quarterly reports, which can then be analyzed using sentiment analysis for investment decision-making.

💡Risk-Return Ratio

The risk-return ratio is a measure used in finance to determine the balance between the level of risk associated with an investment and the potential return on that investment. The video script discusses how Chat GPT 40 can help in creating a function to find the best stock allocation to improve the risk-return ratio of a portfolio, especially when considering the addition of a new asset like Amazon.

💡Sortino Ratio

The Sortino ratio is a variation of the Sharpe ratio that differentiates harmful volatility from total overall volatility by using the standard deviation of negative portfolio returns, called downside deviation. The script mentions calculating the Sortino ratio for a portfolio as a measure of risk-adjusted return, indicating the portfolio's performance relative to its downside risk.

💡R Script

An R script is a sequence of commands written in the R programming language, which is widely used for statistical computing and graphics. The video script provides examples of R scripts that Chat GPT 40 generates to perform various financial analyses, such as pulling stock prices, creating efficient frontiers, and optimizing portfolios.

💡Stock Allocation

Stock allocation refers to the process of distributing investments across different stocks within a portfolio. The video script discusses how Chat GPT 40 can suggest the best stock allocations for a given portfolio to achieve a specific return or to improve the risk-return ratio, taking into account the individual stocks and their respective weights.

💡Financial Analysis

Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's or individual's financial statements to determine their financial health and performance. The video script emphasizes the use of AI tools like Chat GPT 40 to assist in financial analysis, enabling more informed and data-driven decisions in the financial markets.

Highlights

Chat GPT 40 can revolutionize the way financial markets are viewed and analyzed.

Learning to use AI tools like Chat GPT 40 responsibly is crucial for future financial success.

Chat GPT 40 can assist in portfolio optimization for retirement or medium-term profits.

Modern Portfolio Theory is used to find the best stock allocation for given risk.

Chat GPT 40 can generate an R script for stock price analysis and efficient frontier visualization.

Portfolio optimization can help decide stock allocations for a desired return level.

Sentiment analysis can be performed on financial reports to gauge business sentiment before reading.

AI can help identify biases and inconsistencies in financial reports.

Chat GPT 40 can provide a detailed sentiment analysis of a company's financial report.

AI can help determine the optimal stock allocation when adding a new asset to a portfolio.

The Sortino ratio can be calculated to find the best risk-adjusted return.

Chat GPT 40 can suggest whether to add a new stock to improve a portfolio's risk-return ratio.

Optimization scripts can calculate new portfolio metrics and suggest optimal weights.

AI should be used in conjunction with a deep understanding of financial concepts and data analysis.

It's important not to blindly trust AI and to verify its outputs for accuracy.

The video encourages viewers to learn about finance and economics to responsibly use AI.

Three innovative use cases of Chat GPT 40 in finance are presented to improve data-driven decision-making.

Transcripts

play00:00

these three MN chat GPT 40 use cases for

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finance will blow your mind and it will

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change the way you look at financial

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markets financial analysis Ai and more

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people can't stop talking about chat GPT

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chat GPT 40 chat GPT 40 chat

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gp4 and AI stocks are having the time of

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their

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lives learning to use these tools

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responsibly will not only be valuable

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but necessary for your future we're

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going to use chpt 40 and our studio for

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the use we're going to talk about today

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there are links down below that will

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guide you to install our studio in case

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you don't have it in your computer yet

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let's start with the first use case

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portfolio optimization assuming you have

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a specific portfolio you would like to

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have for retirement or medium-term

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profits you can use chat gbt in order to

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help you find an allocation of your

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preferred stocks and Investments so you

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can get the highest return for every

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point of risk beware the mor portfolio

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theory is praised by a lot of academics

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while famous investors like Warren buff

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say they are total nonsense I'm not here

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to make a judgment of who's right and

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who's wrong but we're going to use this

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model and you get to decide if you think

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it is worth it or not with that said

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we're going to give chbt the following

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prompt I would like you to provide me

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with an R script that will pull the

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stock prices of Apple Nvidia and bshar

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hadway stock for the period between

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January 1st 2023 and January 1st 2024 I

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would like you to create an efficient

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Frontier according to the modern port

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portfolio Theory with all combinations

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of these three stocks and create a

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visualization for this step efficient

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Frontier is a fancy word for the best

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stock allocation in terms of return for

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every given risk available after that I

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want you to create a function that will

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require me to put the average return I

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am looking for and the output should be

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the stock allocations that I should put

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in order to get the efficient portfolio

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with that specific return also create a

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visualization with the same efficient

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Frontier but showcasing in red the point

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where my given port folio exists in the

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graph and you can see this is the

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response that we get with the code that

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we have to put in our studio that is

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written right here in use case number

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one first we're going to install the

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packages that we have here I already

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have them installed so I'm just going to

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load them then we have the symbols and

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the start and end date we're going to

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download the stock prices and we are

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going to adjust the stock prices here

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calculate the daily Returns the mean and

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Co variance Matrix and we are going to

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simulate 5,000 portfolios for our

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efficient Frontier then we have the set

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the risk free rate our risk-free rate

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right now is about 5% so we are going to

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put 5% as the risk-free rate and loaded

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we are going to create a loop that will

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create random portfolios with this

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information we'll create a data set for

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plotting and then we are going to have

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our effent Frontier here you can see all

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the portfolios you can create with these

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stocks where you have the maximum return

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for every given risk that you can

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provide now we are going to create a

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function to calculate the optimal

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weights we're going to create a function

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in order to make a plot of it and now

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the target return let's say I want a 10%

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return so here we have a 10% or you can

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replace it with your desired return so

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it will give me the allocations of every

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stock that I am requiring make a plot in

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order to understand where it is as you

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can see we have our efficient Frontier

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as before but if you want a 10% % return

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then you have this risk and this return

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on the graph as you can see it is pretty

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close to the combination where you have

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the less amount of risk so as you can

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see here these are the weights for our

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socks we changed the bir Shar Highway

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stock because it wasn't working with the

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data so we put Co which is the Coca-Cola

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company so we should invest 25% in apple

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19% in Nvidia and 72% in Coca-Cola in

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order to get this return for this amount

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of risk RK the Second Use case is

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sentiment analysis in financial reports

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the US Financial supervisor also known

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as the SEC requires businesses listed in

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stock markets to publish their financial

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quarterly reports you can leverage Chad

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GPT in order to run a sentiment analysis

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on this report therefore before you read

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it you know the overall sentiment of the

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business and its future and why do this

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because you can read it more critically

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when you know the sentiment that was

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written into the report because some

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reports might hype you up but in reality

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they show a different picture with the

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data this use case is not trying to save

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time on actually reading a report but

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only providing more context before you

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read it and also signaling you with any

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biases or inconsistent data that you

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might find in order to read it more

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critically the first thing you should do

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is download the report you want to run

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the sentiment analysis on in this case

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we're going to use the 10q form of bir

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sh hadway for the first quarter of 2024

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so we're going to write the following

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script we're going to upload the birsh

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hadway PDF document and you can write

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here you can find the 10q form of birkar

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hatway for the first quarter of 2024 I'm

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about to start reading it but I want you

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to run a sentiment analysis on this

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report so I may avoid any biased

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analysis after running the sentiment

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analysis I want you to point me the

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overall sentiment of the present

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business and future projections then Le

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me three possible biases that I should

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avoid when reading it and lastly give me

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a message on any warning or beware

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section on the report that may have

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inconsistent or illogical data and we

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have this following answer the overall

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sentiment is positive here we can see

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the figures of the net earnings of the

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report compared to last year we can also

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see the balance sheet and the cash

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equivalents that they have and how the

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insurance segment is doing we can also

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see the future projections on long-term

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growth and the discussion of the stable

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Outlook of rail roll utilities and the

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energy segment here we have the possible

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biases to avoid recency bias and here

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you can see that given a significant

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drop in net earnings compared to the

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same cor last year it is essential to

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consider the broader context do not fall

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into recency bias confirmation bias be

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aware of any preconceived notions about

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ver Hardway performance so you can

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critically assess the report without

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confirming your existing beliefs and

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lastly anchoring bias avoid placing too

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much weight on high earnings reporting

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in previous quars market conditions and

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investment performance change because of

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external factors and lastly we have the

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warnings or inconsistent data you have a

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warning on the investment gains and

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losses the foreign currency effects and

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the insurance and reinsurance contracts

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so you got a pretty detailed sentiment

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analysis on the report so now you can

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read it knowing that the sentiment is

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positive but you should be careful of

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any information that looks pretty good

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or bad compared to previous data with

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this biases in mind the last use case

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which is my favorite is giving your

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current portfolio let's say you want to

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add a new asset to the portfolio what

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stock allocation should you have in

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order to increase the risk return ratio

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of your portfolio so we go to chat GPT 4

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and we have the following prompt I want

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you to provide me with an R script that

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does the following it collects Stock

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press data of Apple Nvidia Amazon and

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bshar Hardway from January 1st 2023 to

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to January 1st 2024 no use of external

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apis it calculates the average return of

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each stock as well as the standard

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deviation my portfolio has a composition

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as follows 50% Apple 15% Nvidia and 35%

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beire hadway with that said calculate

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the average return of the portfolio the

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standard deviation of the portfolio and

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the sortino ratio now let's say I want

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to add a new asset in this case Amazon

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with the information we have so far and

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no I'm looking for the best stino ratio

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possible create a function that provides

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me with the best stock allocation with

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the addition of Amazon stock if it's

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needed if you find a better portfolio

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without it then do not add it and we

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have the following response with the

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code we have to run on our studio so

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first we're going to load the required

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libraries in this case I have them

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already installed you should install

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them in case you don't do not have it we

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have the stocks and the weights of our

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initial portfolio you can change these

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values according to to any specific

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example you have then we have to specify

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the data range in this case January 1st

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2023 to January 1st 2024 we need to get

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the stock data after that we need to put

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the stock data into a data set merge it

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and calculate the daily returns

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calculate the average return and

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standard deviation for each stock and

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also Define the portfolio weights

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calculate the Cino ratio for the

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portfolio and we have everything now

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initial portfolio metrics these are the

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initial values you gave and now you have

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to load a new library the optim in order

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to optimize the portfolio with the

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addition of Amazon or any stock you

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would like to try and we have this

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function right here we have to load

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after doing that we have to perform the

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portfolio optimization and as you can

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see there's a lot of coding going in the

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background calculate new portfolio

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metrics and we're going to print the

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results right here as well as creating a

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data set to plot it after running all

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this final data we have the following

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this Green Dot right here is the initial

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portfolio we can see the return was

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pretty low compared to the new one with

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a low Soro ratio and you can see all the

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values right here that says the optimal

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weights the average return and standard

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deviation as you can see with the line

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we have a huge increase in the return as

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well as the Soro ratio in the optimal

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portfolio what are the optimal weights

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we have 11% in the first stock 30% in

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the second stock 14% in the third stock

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and

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43% in Amazon stock as you can see we

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have a new portfolio that you can try

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with the specific values that you have

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now you know three cool use cases of

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ch40 for finance these use cases can

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improve the way you analyze at things

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and make better data driven decisions do

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not forget before running and copy

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pasting all these prompts you have to

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understand the underlying Financial

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Concepts as well as the data analysis

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process that you are implementing do not

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copy paste blindly because AI is used to

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do hallucinations fancy word for wrong

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answers do not think that AI will not

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give you a false answer so you have to

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double check the information is right

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and consistent with what you expect and

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if it turns out to be right you have a

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pretty good analysis if you want a new

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video on any specific topic like certin

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ratio financial statements comment down

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below so we can create a video for you

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one of the toughest and weakest points

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of AI is having to know the information

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the underlying Concepts beforehand in

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order to check its veracity in order to

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use AI responsibly we have to know about

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finance and economics beforehand if you

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want to become an expert in finance and

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economics click here to find more that's

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it for today I hope you enjoy this video

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see you all in the next one chiao Chow

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Related Tags
Chat GPT 40Portfolio OptimizationSentiment AnalysisFinancial MarketsStock InvestmentsRisk ManagementEfficient FrontierFinancial AnalysisAI in FinanceAsset Allocation