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Объектив

28 Jan 202414:08

Summary

TLDRThis week's warfront report, presented by Yekaterina Rapa on the Objective channel, details the ongoing conflict's 101st week. The Russian army is advancing in Kharkov region and has made significant progress in Avdiivka, pushing Ukrainian forces back with the support of Western military aid. The capture of a small village, Tabaevka, signifies Russia's continuous albeit slow advancement. Russian forces are now aiming to strengthen their positions along the Oskol River. Despite heavy positional battles, the initiative lies with Russia, which is expected to maintain its offensive. The report also covers a controversial incident involving the downing of a Russian military transport plane and discusses the changing dynamics of military support and tactics, including the use of drones and the strategic importance of ammunition supplies.

Takeaways

😀 The Russian army continues to slowly advance in the Kharkiv region
😮‍💨 Russia claims Ukraine shot down a plane transporting Ukrainian POWs, but details remain unclear
🤔 Military analysts say Ukraine may need to go on the defensive in 2023 to build up resources
😯 Prisoners are still being recruited to Russian stormtrooper units, but under worse conditions
😟 Heavy fighting continues around Avdiivka and Bakhmut with no major changes
😐 Russia is trying to reach the Oskil River in the Kharkiv region to establish defenses
😔 Ukraine is suffering from an artillery ammunition shortage according to the Pentagon
🥳 Russia occupied a small village in the Kupiansk area, its only gain this week
😡 Putin again compared Ukraine's actions to Nazi Germany in speeches
😢 Analysts say Ukraine can't stop Russia's slow creep, so should prepare for counteroffensive

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Outlines

00:00

🤔 Russian army captures a small village in Kharkiv region

This paragraph talks about the Russian army capturing a small village called Tabayevka in the Kharkiv region last week. Tabayevka is the only significant territorial gain for Russia in recent weeks. By capturing Tabayevka, Russia is slowly advancing towards the Oskol river to establish fortified positions in Kharkiv region.

05:01

😕 Ukraine faces shell shortage due to halt in US military aid

This paragraph discusses how Ukraine is facing a shell shortage on the frontlines due to US halting military aid temporarily. Ukraine received the last aid package from US in December 2022. At the recent Ramstein meeting, US did not announce a new aid package. This shell shortage is forcing Ukraine to conserve ammunition and rely more on drones.

10:01

😟 Russia replacing Storm Z units with Storm B to continue using prisoners

This paragraph mentions Russia disbanding Storm Z units comprised of Russian prisoners and replacing them with Storm B units, also made up of prisoners. Earlier prisoners could get released after 6 months but now they have to sign 1 year contracts which get extended automatically under mobilization. So prisoners will have to fight till the end of war or get seriously injured.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡War

The video is a weekly recap about the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. It provides updates on battles, territorial gains and losses, casualties, weapons used, prisoner exchanges, and more. The war is the overarching theme connecting all the events and developments discussed in the video.

💡Offensive

The video mentions several instances of Russian forces going on the offensive and attacking or advancing towards Ukrainian positions, such as in the Kupiansk direction and around Avdiivka. This shows Russia still has some capability to be on the offensive despite slow progress.

💡Kharkiv

Kharkiv is the second largest city in Ukraine and has been under constant Russian shelling due to its proximity to the border. The video says Russian forces are trying to reach the Oskil River in the Kharkiv region to establish defensive positions, and that the frontline is now just 13km away from the river.

💡Avdiivka

The video discusses a Russian advance via an underground pipe near Avdiivka in eastern Ukraine, which allowed troops to emerge behind Ukrainian lines and threaten to surround them. Ukrainian forces had to retreat from the area.

💡Drone

Drones, especially loitering munitions, are playing an increasing role for Ukraine amid ammunition shortages, effectively serving as precision missiles. Ukraine needs to increase drone production as Western supplies are paused.

💡Defense

With limited stocks and Russian artillery dominance, Ukraine may need to go on the strategic defensive in 2023 to replenish and regroup, before opening a new offensive phase later. This includes establishing better defensive lines.

💡Ammunition

The video cites reports that Ukraine is suffering an artillery ammo shortage, firing just 10% as many shells daily as Russia due to the pausing of Western military aid. Stockpiling ammo will be key for any future offensives.

💡Mobilization

Ukraine likely needs a new mobilization drive to rotate the troops who have been fighting for 2 years on the frontlines. Personnel issues are as serious as equipment shortages.

💡Prisoner Exchange

The video discusses the downing of a Russian military plane that Moscow says had Ukrainian POWs on board for a planned exchange. Ukraine confirms an exchange was scheduled but neither side provided clarity on who exactly was on the plane.

💡Convicts

Russia is replacing convict units like Storm-Z with new Storm-V units, also recruited from prisons. But their conditions are even worse, with 1-year contracts that renew automatically, meaning they likely have to serve till death or serious injury.

Highlights

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