🚀 URGENT! THIS COULD GO 100% WITH THE FED RATE CUT! WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW NOW

Summary

In this video, the host expresses gratitude to 'old JP' for a delightful dinner and discusses recent stock market movements, focusing on small-cap stocks. He shares his investment positions, including a significant one in Ethereum, which he believes is poised for growth following a predicted market bottom in early September. The host also touches on the upcoming election's potential impact on crypto and stocks, offering insights into how different outcomes might affect various assets. He encourages viewers to join his Discord community for real-time market analysis and investment strategies.

Takeaways

• 🍽️ JP brought a real pumpkin pie to dinner, and the speaker plans to send him a Christmas card as a thank you.
• 🌈 The speaker prefers the original flavors of Skittles over the tropical ones.
• 📈 The speaker believes that small-cap stocks may benefit the most from the current market situation.
• 💸 The speaker has a significant position in a particular investment that could potentially explode in value.
• 🚀 The speaker recently had a successful investment in Soofi call options, which resulted in a 175-200% return.
• 🎯 The speaker encourages joining the Discord community for access to private live streams, classes, and other resources.
• 📊 The speaker discusses the potential for a recession in 2025 and how it might affect the market.
• 🔊 The speaker highlights the importance of the upcoming election in November and its potential impact on crypto and TMF.
• 📉 The speaker shares their opinion on Ethereum's bottom being around $2150 and expects a bullish trend from there.
• 💰 The speaker promotes joining the Discord for potential investment plays and offers a link for a 15% discount.

Q & A

What did JP bring to dinner that was appreciated?

JP brought a real pumpkin pie to dinner, which was enjoyed with whipped cream and all the fixings.

What is the speaker's opinion on grape Skittles compared to tropical flavors?

The speaker prefers the original grape Skittles, stating that grapes are the best flavor and they are not going to argue with anyone about that.

What recent significant financial event is the speaker discussing?

The speaker is discussing a surprise 50 basis point cut by the Federal Reserve, which they had predicted would happen before the end of the year.

What is the speaker's position on treasuries and how does it relate to their financial strategy?

The speaker is positioned in treasuries and other investments, and they are discussing how these positions could potentially explode in value, especially with the recent rate cut.

What recent successful investment did the speaker mention, and what was the return?

The speaker mentioned a recent investment in SoFi call options that resulted in a 175 to 200% return.

What is the significance of the speaker's Discord community?

The speaker's Discord community is significant because it offers private live streams, a class library, and an AI bot called breadbot, which helps thousands of people to help each other with investments.

What is the speaker's prediction regarding the US economy and potential recession?

The speaker predicts that the US will have a fantastic GDP for the most recent quarter and does not expect a recession to occur this month, but rather in 2025.

What is the speaker's opinion on the bottom of the Ethereum market?

The speaker believes that the bottom of the Ethereum market was around September 6th or 7th, and from there, the market will start to rise.

What is the significance of the 50 basis point cut by the Federal Reserve according to the speaker?

The speaker believes that the 50 basis point cut by the Federal Reserve will act as a positive catalyst for riskier assets, such as crypto, making them more attractive as money becomes cheaper.

How does the upcoming election in November potentially impact the speaker's investments?

The speaker discusses how the election could impact their investments in TMF and crypto, with different outcomes predicted depending on which candidate wins, affecting both the short-term and long-term prospects of these assets.

Outlines

00:00

🍽️ Dinner with JP and Market Insights

The speaker expresses gratitude to JP for bringing a pumpkin pie to dinner, which was a welcome change from the previous meal of pigeon pate. They then transition into a discussion about the stock market, specifically the potential for small-cap stocks to benefit from current market conditions. The speaker shares their own investment positions, including one that could 'explode' in value. They mention a recent successful investment in Soofi call options, which yielded a 175-200% return, and invite listeners to join their Discord community for more investment insights and opportunities.

05:03

📈 Crypto Market Analysis and Predictions

The speaker focuses on the cryptocurrency market, particularly Ethereum, which they believe has reached its bottom in early September. They share their professional opinion that the market will become more attractive as interest rates are cut, making money cheaper and riskier assets more appealing. The speaker also discusses the upcoming US election and its potential impact on the crypto market, suggesting that different candidates' policies could lead to varied outcomes for investments. They highlight the importance of watching market indicators and being prepared to adapt strategies based on election results and other economic factors.

10:04

🚀 Ethereum Investment Strategy and Opportunities

The speaker provides a detailed analysis of Ethereum's price movements, suggesting that the bottom of the market has been reached and that a significant upward movement is imminent. They discuss their personal investment strategy, which involves regular purchases of crypto, and share their expectations for Ethereum's price to rise following the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates. The speaker also addresses the risks involved in crypto investing, emphasizing the importance of being cautious and having a clear understanding of market indicators. They conclude by encouraging listeners to join their Discord community for more investment insights and potential opportunities.

Keywords

💡Pumpkin Pie

Pumpkin pie is a traditional dessert made from pumpkin puree, sugar, and spices, typically served during the autumn season and holidays like Thanksgiving and Christmas. In the video script, the mention of 'pumpkin pie' sets a warm and festive tone, suggesting a gathering or celebration. It's used metaphorically to express gratitude towards 'JP' for bringing a pie, symbolizing a gesture of friendship and contribution to a shared meal.

💡Whipped Cream

Whipped cream is a dairy product obtained by beating cream at a cool temperature until it thickens and increases in volume, often used as a topping for desserts. In the context of the video, 'whipped cream' is mentioned as an accompaniment to the pumpkin pie, enhancing the overall dining experience and adding to the festive atmosphere.

💡Stocks

Stocks represent shares in the ownership of a company and are a form of investment. The script discusses the fluctuation of stocks, indicating the speaker's interest in the stock market and the potential for investment opportunities. The mention of 'stocks all over the place' suggests a volatile market, which is a central theme in the video as the speaker discusses market trends and investment strategies.

💡Small Caps

Small cap refers to stocks of companies with a relatively small market capitalization, typically below $2 billion. In the video, the speaker believes that 'small caps' will benefit the most from the current market conditions, indicating a focus on smaller companies as potential investment opportunities. This highlights the speaker's investment strategy and market outlook.

💡Treasuries

Treasuries are debt securities issued by a government to finance its spending, considered low-risk investments. The speaker mentions 'treasuries' as part of their investment portfolio, suggesting a diversified approach to investing that includes both stocks and bonds. This term is relevant to the video's theme of financial strategies and market positioning.

💡Quantitative Easing

Quantitative easing is a monetary policy in which a central bank purchases government securities or other securities from the market to increase the money supply and encourage lending and investment. The script refers to 'quantitative easing' in the context of historical market trends, suggesting that the speaker is analyzing past economic policies to predict future market behavior.

💡Recession

A recession is a period of negative economic growth, typically characterized by a decline in GDP, high unemployment, and reduced industrial activity. The term 'recession' is used in the video to discuss potential economic downturns and their impact on investment strategies, reflecting the speaker's concern for economic conditions and their influence on the market.

💡Discord

Discord is a communication platform designed for creating communities through text, voice, and video chat. In the script, 'Discord' is mentioned as a place where the speaker and their audience can interact, share investment strategies, and participate in live streams. This term is integral to the video's theme of community engagement and knowledge sharing.

💡Crypto

Crypto refers to cryptocurrencies, digital or virtual currencies that use cryptography for security and operate independently of a central bank. The script discusses 'crypto' as an investment asset class, with the speaker expressing a bullish outlook on cryptocurrencies like Ethereum. This term is central to the video's focus on alternative investments and market opportunities.

💡Election

An election is a formal process by which people choose their representatives in government. The video script mentions an upcoming 'election' and its potential impact on the market, particularly on sectors like cryptocurrency and TMF (Tax-Free Managed Funds). This term is relevant as it ties political events to financial markets and investment decisions.

💡FED

The Federal Reserve, often referred to as the FED, is the central banking system of the United States. In the script, the speaker discusses the FED's actions, such as '50 basis point cut,' as significant market events that can influence investment strategies. The FED's decisions are central to the video's theme of market analysis and economic policy.

Highlights

Old JP brings a real pumpkin pie to dinner, a delightful change from the usual pigeon Pate.

The speaker expresses gratitude to JP and plans to send a Christmas card, highlighting the positive social interaction.

A discussion on the preference for original flavors over tropical ones, specifically in the context of a product like Skittles.

The speaker shares their market insights, predicting that small caps will benefit the most from current market conditions.

Mention of a recent 175 to 200% up play with SoFi call options, congratulating those who profited.

An invitation to join the Discord community for exclusive benefits and a 15% discount offer.

The speaker reflects on the journey from a rookie to a pro in investing, emphasizing the importance of dealing with wins and losses.

A detailed analysis of the FED's actions and their potential impact on the market, including a 50 basis point cut.

The speaker shares their position on treasuries and how they are positioned in the market.

Ethereum is identified as an overlooked play where the speaker has a significant investment.

A prediction that the bottom for Ethereum is in, with a detailed analysis of the market trends and potential upward movement.

The speaker discusses the upcoming election and its potential impact on crypto and TMF, providing a nuanced view of different scenarios.

A strategic approach to investing in crypto is shared, with an emphasis on the potential for significant gains post-FED cut.

The speaker provides a critical analysis of the current state of the crypto market and the potential for a major test in the near future.

An offer for free stocks and a high APY on uninvested cash is promoted, encouraging listeners to take advantage of the limited-time deal.

The speaker expresses excitement for the day's potential, hinting at more investment opportunities to be shared in the Discord community.

Transcripts

wow oh you got to love it when old JP

comes out and invites himself to dinner

and actually brings a real pumpkin pie

none of that pigeon Pate today we ate

good with whipped cream and all the

fixing thank you JP I'm sending you a

Christmas card this year it was good the

old unicorn fart and Skittles I said we

didn't want the tropical flavors give us

the original he did grape's the best by

the way I'm not going to argue with

anybody about that it's a fact all right

now what do we got going on all right a

lot of things happening out there stocks

all over the place I believe the small

caps are going to benefit the most from

this we are going to see what the market

does in pricing all of this in we do not

know yet it takes a little bit of time

people want to know what I think well

I'm I'm positioned I'm positioned I know

what you're going to say I thought you

have treasuries well what's going on

we're going to talk about all of it

because one of the positions I'm in

hundreds of thousands of dollars worth

could explode and it could explode up

starting today and I'm G to talk about

that as well we did have a I think it

was a 175 to 200% up play recently for

those who do not know come on over join

us it was our soofi that's right we

ended up having soofi call options that

exploded up congrats to everybody in the

Discord that made money with that if you

are not in there click that first link

right here in the description below uh

come over here sign down here you can

save 15% right there with that button

join and that's an annual though you

have to pay onetime payment for the year

uh if you want to do monthly you can do

it that way it's up to you but we had

some good things in there uh some huge

wins and of course you can see everybody

in here talking doing their thing and uh

if you haven't done it get over there

not bad home run home runs are good

anything over 100% up is a home run and

you start out as a rookie and then you

move into a veteran after you get a few

of those nasty losses you you hit

veteran status and then after that you

become a pro all right and and you're

just good you know what to expect you

know you're going to have wins and

losses and the overall idea is to make

as much as you can you're and just deal

with all of it and that's where I think

a lot of us are spy put nice and 196% up

today Sofi that was one of the ones 563

per up congrats blurple a lot of gains a

little over a buck a day 1,400 up nice

end phase up nice so this isn't just one

play like Hey we're all in one play this

is a community with thousands of people

that help each other if you want to be a

part of it private live streams class

library with sessions I do for people AI

bot breadbot you name it it's in there

and you can come over and check it out

all right now as we talked a little bit

I showed this I'm going to show this

chart one more time to start out the day

the FED did it they did their thing they

cut who called I'm I'm not going to do

this too many times but I'll do it at

least once right ready who called for

the 50 basis point cut surprise cut

before the end of this year and people

were making nasty videos are out there

talking oh he he there's 0% chance why

would he spread that fun here it was 50

basis points they are quiet like little

crickets like the Crickets that Tesla

cat used to eat in Studio A and that's a

throwback anybody remember the Tesla

crickets and how the Tesla cat ate them

oh that was crazy times back in 2020

2021 roughly uh here's the chart I want

to share all right you guys see this

this is 2020 right here now I'm going to

pull this up these are when they go from

quantitative tightening to quantitative

easing and you can see starting from the

70s on almost every almost every time we

get major switch uh recession and you

can say what about this here Mo well I

would argue that this was coming down

they had a little bit of reflation

inflation to come back up so the initial

and then I say here it's almost the same

you still coming down they had to go up

a little bit initial had another

recession then they got real

quantitative tightening and then boom

recession real quantitative tightening

boom recession real quantitative

tightening boom recession real

quantitative tightening and the question

becomes will there be a recession I

don't expect it to be this month I

actually think it's going to be in 2025

I think we're going to have fantastic

GDP for the most recent quarter so

what's that mean well if things start to

go Haywire which they could there you go

and so that's what I'm watching for is

JP going to do his thing or not one of

the plays now let's put all this

together you're watching this channel

you're like show me tell me where the

money's probably going to run where we

could have an opportunity to make a lot

of money I get it you know I'm in the

TMF and other things but one of the

things I think's overlooked a play that

I have hundreds of thousands in that I

don't talk a lot about on this channel

and I think people they because I don't

talk about it I think they forget I have

it it's this one it's this right here

going to pull it up for you

ethereum I don't talk about there's

nothing to talk about we can go all the

way back to almost to the carry trade

unwind which is this day right here and

from there it's just kind of

consolidating and I said and I've said

it on my crypto Channel Crypt Mo um that

I thought the my professional opinion is

that the bottom would be in during the

first two weeks of September and I've

been saying that since July uh now move

forward it is the first two weeks of

September we past it actually uh right

here and this is September 6 so my call

and I had a line there to show my bottom

show my Bott uh for ethereum which is

right there so it's roughly 2150 we'll

say if it goes below 2150 even a wick I

was wrong but I don't think I'm going to

be wrong I think from here on out that

was the bottom positive callus and

people said why did you say the first

two weeks because my opinion was that

we're going to get rate cuts and there's

rate Cuts come after that every six

weeks that will make prici or riskier

assets such as crypto more attractive

because money's cheaper the cheaper

money is the more risky assets start to

get bought up the gross stocks do better

blah blah blah it's the typical thing

that comes with quantitative easing now

there's no guarantees CU you have the

mount goau sell off you had the Germany

sell off you had all these things that

came and just poured water on the fire

the spot ETS that's the good thing the

spot ETS we got the election coming up

in November how's that going to go you

know we got two candidates and their

views are different one is just Ultra

for crypto and I don't hear a lot of

talk about this out there like I watched

the debates I didn't hear them bring up

crypto I wanted you got most of the

young people in this country are all

about crypto why are they not bringing

this up in the debates like it should be

talked about I want to hear both sides

what do they think all right anyways so

that's another thing it's going to play

Havoc when it comes November what is it

November 7th I think it is we're not

that far away what is it what are we in

September what are we at here SE so

you're talking under two months away

folks it's under 60 days and it's go

time to see how that goes because

depending on how that election goes how

crypto goes how TMF goes how the stock

market goes and no it's not if one wins

everything goes down if one wins

everything goes up it's not that it's

going to be a mix and I've already

talked about that mix if Trump wins you

get you get the crypto should rocket it

should go way up he wants to make the US

the the center of the crypto space uh

the TMF probably is going to drop

unfortunately why because he's going to

cut taxes that's a good thing but in

cutting taxes you got to borrow more

money in the short term as the economy

picks up from cutting taxes the revenue

for the the government it comes in later

and so it's not like well they cut taxes

they don't they lose no it's just you

you know it's the whole where do you get

the revenue and if Harris wins it's not

as good for crypto but my TMF is going

to do better because they're going to

raise taxes and raising taxes they don't

have to borrow as much it takes less it

it makes the pain on TMF less but it

slows down the economy down the road

because they're raising taxes and that's

not good for the economy in terms of the

stock market and so you got good and bad

with both my TMF could go through the

roof with one not do as well with the

other but my crypto could do really well

with one not as well with the other so

they're vice versa those two positions

it's kind of I didn't do it on purpose I

didn't do that like well I think I'll

hedge against the election I didn't I I

just like both of those positions long

term um any pit stops we see from the

elections and their policies we'll have

to play by ear if it gets ugly you know

maybe I got to get out I don't know

we'll see uh but yeah that's what we're

looking at so there's another Catalyst

to watch for as we go forward and I

expect to see the first major test you

can see these candles right here this is

going to be the first major test we need

to do uh you're going to see this line

roughly around

2443 we're probably going to come up and

retest that and it's going to happen

within the next few days I think it

shouldn't take long to retest this maybe

a day or two maybe three days at most so

but this by this weekend if we haven't

had a wick above there I'll be shocked

uh my opinion now with the lowering of

50 basis points is that this should push

all the way up to the 50 EMA

so for those who've been riding with me

and you're like man this has been

painful Mo but I'm in it I've been

buying I've been buying every week every

single week I've been buying more crypto

I just don't it's not something I come

on here hey everybody uh I will once I

feel we confirmed more bullish because I

don't want everybody to see this and

think oh it's time to load the boat it's

still bearish family it's not it's still

bearish it could go lower you see my

lines in the sand wait till you see this

line what happens if this line fails

this is my next line 1,900 what happens

if that fails oh look at that Gap yep

1,500 so you got to be careful because

you buy here and it goes all the way

down to the 1500 folks that's a huge

drop from where we are $700 off there

$800 where are we at $800 off there wow

that's just huge it's about 33% of your

money go on and after that it goes down

to what I have 12 something and then 900

so I have different levels I'm watching

for I'm not sure how I'm going to play

this my personal opinion is the bottom

is in September 7th or 6 and from there

we're going to ride up and it's

tightening up on the Ballinger band

which means a big big move is coming

soon as it tightens up the f is about to

cross the 13 to me this looks like the

ultimate opportunity to make money is

with the best crypto to buy now which in

my opinion is ethereum I know others out

there like some of the other ones that's

up to you but the FED cuts the 50 basis

point should be a nice positive Catalyst

for this overall the spot ETS are doing

their thing and think about it this way

you have crypto which has a monster

selloff we're talking look at this

selloff ready all the way we had

a look at this we are all the way up to

here right 4,000 back in March came down

re test up failed at the top right here

that that's bad news family in May from

May at that point down we come hit the

Binger B retest again and failed again

at

3600 triple failure new lower highs new

lower high and now you're saying where's

the bottom and I think the bottom is

here I really really do why well look at

this bottom carry trade unwind we got

down to 2100 came back down retested

that low which we usually do and what

happened we bounced so we have a new

higher low and now the question BEC

comes can we get some new higher highs

where's the high Mo right here 27

something we hit end of August then we

come down so now we want to come back up

and turn bullish for the longer

term I want a nice steady get rich slow

with Mo technique with this I like it as

the FED continues to cut this should

continue to benefit from that I like it

that's all I'm going to say and then we

have the election to deal with in the

next 60 days a lot of things happening

out there the easiest thing out of all

the decisions you have to make join the

Discord right now I'm going to have a

lot of plays over the next couple of

days if you want to join get in there

you want to see the next Blue Collar

options join right now today I'll be

doing some things well I'm going to do

another private live stream today for

members only and if you join right now

you could be a part of that and I have

all the past recordings in there as well

uh we're also going to have like I said

some new plays in there I wanted to wait

until after the fed the FED is now done

so I'm excited about that first link

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