Press Briefing: Tropical Storm #FerdiePH {BEBINCA} - 5:00AM Update September 14, 2024 - Saturday

DOST-PAGASA Weather Report

13 Sept 202408:36

Summary

TLDRTropical Storm Ferd, known internationally as Bebinca, has entered the Philippine area of responsibility and is currently located 1,210 km east northeast of extreme Northern Luzon. It is expected to move west northwestward towards Japan, potentially intensifying into a typhoon. The storm's outer effects, combined with the Southwest Monsoon, will bring heavy to intense rainfall across Southern Luzon, including Metro Manila, and parts of Visayas and Mindanao. The weather system may also cause gusty conditions and rough seas in the southern seaboards. The Pag-asa Weather Forecasting Center advises areas to be prepared for heavy rainfall warnings and landslides, with 100 to 200 mm of rainfall anticipated over the next three days.

Takeaways

🌀 Tropical Storm Ferd (locally named Musika) has entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility.
📍 As of 4:00 AM, the storm is located 1,210 km East northeast of extreme Northern Luzon.
💨 The storm has a wind speed of 85 kmph with gusts reaching up to 105 km per hour.
🌍 The storm is moving West northwestward at a speed of 20 km per hour.
🌤️ The Southwest Monsoon is affecting most parts of the country, bringing scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms.
🌧️ Southern Luzon, including Metro Manila, Zambales, and Bataan, will experience heavy rainshowers with thunderstorms.
🌦️ MIMAROPA and the western section of Visayas will have occasional rainshowers.
☀️ Maximum temperatures are forecasted to reach 32°C in Tuguegarao, 23°C in Baguio City, and 30°C in Metro Manila.
🌧️ Heavy to intense rainfall is expected in MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, and Negros Occidental due to the Southwest Monsoon and Tropical Storm Ferd.
🌪️ The storm is expected to strengthen into a severe tropical storm or possibly a typhoon as it moves towards the East China Sea.
🚨 Heavy rainfall warnings or advisories may be issued by the Pag-asa Regional centers for areas significantly affected by the storm and monsoon rains.

Q & A

What is the international name of the tropical storm mentioned in the script?
-The international name of the tropical storm is Bebinka.
What was the latest location of the storm at 4:00 AM as per the script?
-The latest location of the storm at 4:00 AM was 1,210 km East northeast of the extreme Northern Luzon.
What is the current wind strength and gustiness of the storm?
-The storm has a near-center wind strength of about 85 kmph, with gustiness reaching up to 105 km per hour.
In which direction is the storm moving and at what speed?
-The storm is moving West northwestward at a speed of 20 km per hour.
What is the effect of the Southwest Monsoon on the weather in the Philippines as per the script?
-The Southwest Monsoon is causing widespread rain showers and thunderstorms across the country, with the storm enhancing its effects.
Which areas in Luzon are expected to experience heavy rain and thunderstorms?
-Southern Luzon, including Metro Manila, Zambales, and Bataan, are expected to experience heavy rain and thunderstorms.
What is the forecast for maximum temperatures in Metro Manila and Baguio City?
-The maximum temperature forecast for Metro Manila is 30°C, and for Baguio City, it is 23°C.
What are the expected weather conditions in the Visayas and Mindanao?
-Most of the Visayas and Mindanao are expected to experience a high chance of rain, while the Davao Region may have monsoon rains and occasional thunderstorms.
What is the forecast for the storm's intensity as it moves towards the East China Sea?
-The storm, named Bebinka, may strengthen into a severe tropical storm or even a typhoon category while in the East China Sea.
What areas can expect heavy to intense rainfall in the next three days due to the Southwest Monsoon?
-Areas such as MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, and Negros Occidental can expect heavy to intense rainfall in the next three days.
What is the expected rainfall amount in the affected areas?
-The expected rainfall amount in the affected areas is between 100 to 200 mm, indicating heavy to intense rainfall.
What precautions are advised for sea travel due to the ongoing Southwest Monsoon?
-Moderate to rough sea conditions are expected, so sea travel should be approached with caution, especially along the seaboards of Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao.

Outlines

00:00

🌀 Tropical Storm Ferd and Weather Updates

The Pag-asa Weather Forecasting Center provides an update on Tropical Storm Ferd, known internationally as Bebinka, which has entered the Philippine area of responsibility. As of 4:00 AM, the storm is located 1,210 km east northeast of extreme Northern Luzon with winds of 85 kmph, gusting up to 105 kmph. It is moving west northwestward at a speed of 20 km per hour. The storm's presence, along with the Southwest Monsoon, is expected to bring scattered rain showers and thunderstorms across the country, particularly in Southern Luzon, including Metro Manila, Zambales, and Bataan. Other areas like MIMAROPA and the western section of the Visayas may experience occasional rain. The weather is expected to be partly cloudy with a chance of scattered thunderstorms in Central and Eastern Visayas and most of Mindanao. The maximum temperature forecast for various regions is provided, with 32°C expected in the Ilocos region, 30°C in Metro Manila, and varying temperatures in other areas like Legaspi, Tagaytay, Palawan, and the Kalayaan Islands. The forecast also notes the potential for heavy to intense rainfall in the next three days due to the monsoon and the tropical storm's influence.

05:02

🌧️ Rainfall and Wind Warnings for the Philippines

The weather forecast details the expected rainfall and wind conditions across the Philippines due to the Southwest Monsoon and Tropical Storm Ferd. Areas such as Batangas, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, the entire Visayas, and Northern Mindanao are expected to experience gusty winds and heavy rainfall. The forecast warns of significant amounts of rainfall, with 100 to 200 mm expected in the next three days, particularly in MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, and Negros Occidental. Other areas like Zambales, Bataan, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, and Southern Quezon are also expected to have moderate to heavy rainfall. The forecast advises that the rain will gradually decrease in areas like Mindanao and the central and eastern sections of the Visayas starting tomorrow morning to Monday morning. However, heavy to intense rains are still expected in Occidental Mindoro, the northern part of Palawan, and Antique. The Pag-asa Weather Forecasting Center advises residents to be prepared and vigilant for possible floods and landslides due to the ongoing rains. Additionally, sea travel warnings are issued for Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao due to the expected rough sea conditions.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Bagyong Ferd

Bagyong Ferd, also known as Typhoon Ferdie, is a tropical storm that is central to the video's weather update. It is a significant weather event being monitored by the Pag-asa Weather Forecasting Center. The term 'Bagyong' is specifically used in the Philippines to refer to a typhoon or tropical storm. In the script, Bagyong Ferd is discussed in terms of its location, strength, and potential impact on the country.

💡Tropical Storm

A tropical storm is a type of storm system characterized by a organized group of thunderstorms that forms over tropical or subtropical waters. In the script, Bagyong Ferd is classified as a tropical storm with specific wind speeds and movement patterns. The discussion of the storm's status and its progression is crucial for understanding potential weather conditions in the affected areas.

💡Monsoon

Monsoon refers to seasonal winds, particularly in the Philippines, which bring heavy rainfall. The Southwest Monsoon, or Habagat, is mentioned in the script as a significant factor contributing to the weather conditions in the country. It is responsible for the rain patterns and is interacting with Bagyong Ferd, leading to the forecasted weather scenarios.

💡Wind Speed

Wind speed is a measure of the rate at which air is flowing. In the context of the video, wind speed is used to describe the strength of Bagyong Ferd, with measurements given in kilometers per hour (kmph). The script mentions specific wind speeds to indicate the severity of the storm and its potential impact on the region.

💡Rainfall

Rainfall is the process by which water droplets fall from the atmosphere to the ground. The script discusses the expected rainfall in various regions, including heavy to intense rainfall, which is a significant concern for the areas under the influence of the Southwest Monsoon and Bagyong Ferd. Rainfall is a critical factor in weather forecasting and can lead to flooding and other weather-related hazards.

💡Weather Forecasting

Weather forecasting is the process of predicting the state of the atmosphere for a future time and place using various scientific methods. The video script provides a detailed weather forecast, including the expected path and intensity of Bagyong Ferd, as well as the anticipated rainfall and wind conditions. Weather forecasting is essential for public safety and preparedness.

💡Typhoon Category

A typhoon category refers to the classification of a tropical storm based on its intensity. In the script, there is a mention of the possibility of Bagyong Ferd intensifying into a severe tropical storm or even a typhoon as it moves towards the East China Sea. Understanding the category of a typhoon is important for assessing potential damage and preparing for the storm's impact.

💡Philippine Area of Responsibility

The Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) refers to the geographical area where the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) is tasked with monitoring and forecasting weather events. The script mentions that Bagyong Ferd has already left the PAR, indicating its movement and the areas it is affecting or will affect.

💡Heavy Rainfall Warnings

Heavy rainfall warnings are alerts issued by meteorological agencies to inform the public of potential heavy rain events that could lead to flooding or other hazards. The script suggests that PAGASA may issue such warnings for specific regions due to the ongoing monsoon rains and the influence of Bagyong Ferd, emphasizing the need for vigilance and preparedness.

💡Sea Conditions

Sea conditions refer to the state of the ocean's surface, including wave height and sea state. The script mentions moderate to rough sea conditions, which are a result of the monsoon and the typhoon's influence. These conditions can affect maritime activities and are important for the safety of those at sea.

💡Climate Zones

Climate zones are regions of the Earth characterized by specific climatic conditions. The script refers to various climate zones such as Metro Manila, MIMAROPA, and Visayas, where different weather conditions are expected due to the monsoon and Bagyong Ferd. Understanding these zones helps in providing accurate weather forecasts and preparing for potential weather-related issues.

Highlights

Tropical Storm Ferd (international name: Bebinka) has entered the Philippine area of responsibility.

Ferd is currently a tropical storm with sustained winds of 85 kmph and gusts up to 105 kmph.

The storm is moving west northwestward at a speed of 20 km per hour.

Southwestern Monsoon is affecting most parts of the country, bringing heavy rain and thunderstorms.

Areas in Southern Luzon, including Metro Manila, Zambales, and Bataan, will experience heavy rain and thunderstorms.

MIMAROPA and Occidental Mindoro may see occasional rain.

The rest of Central Luzon and Northern Luzon are expected to have fair weather.

Most of Visayas and Mindanao will have a high chance of rain.

The Davao Region may experience monsoon rains.

Maximum temperature in Metro Manila is forecasted to reach 30°C.

Baguio City may see cooler temperatures of 23°C.

Ferd is expected to strengthen into a severe tropical storm or possibly a typhoon as it moves towards Okinawa, Japan.

The storm will not have a direct impact on the Philippines but will cause gusty conditions in some areas.

Areas like Batangas, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, and Northern Mindanao can expect gusty winds.

Heavy to intense rainfall is expected in MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, and Negros Occidental due to the Southwest Monsoon.

Moderate to heavy rains are forecasted for Southern Quezon, the whole of MIMAROPA, Negros Island region, and Western Visayas.

Rainfall is expected to decrease in areas of Mindanao and the central and eastern sections of Visayas.

Heavy to intense rains may continue in areas like Occidental Mindoro and the northern part of Palawan.

Moderate to heavy rains are expected in Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate, Negros Occidental, and Western Visayas.

Sea conditions may be moderate to rough in the seaboards of Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao due to the Southwest Monsoon.