TOMORROW Will Be The Biggest Day Of The Week

StockedUp
22 Aug 202423:17

Summary

TLDRIn this financial analysis video, the hosts discuss the market's anticipation for the Jackson Hole Symposium, where Jerome Powell's speech could trigger significant market movements. They review the S&P 500's performance, emphasizing the importance of adaptability and strategic planning ahead of potential volatility. The video also highlights historical data on market reactions to past Jackson Hole events, suggesting the possibility of drastic drops. Additionally, they cover key stocks to watch, including Tesla and Amazon, and discuss the impact of rate cuts on gold prices, while providing insights into specific trades and market setups.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“‰ The S&P 500 had a down day with around 58% of stocks closing in the red, indicating a negative market sentiment.
  • πŸš€ Anticipation is high for the Jackson Hole Symposium, a significant event where central bankers meet and could influence market movements.
  • πŸ—“ Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at the event, which is a key focus for market participants looking for clues on monetary policy.
  • πŸ“Š Historical data suggests that the Jackson Hole event has been associated with significant market volatility in the past.
  • πŸ“ˆ The price of gold is often positively impacted by rate cuts, and with rate cuts being a topic of discussion, gold could be a beneficial asset.
  • πŸ“‰ The S&P 500 index (SPY) closed down and fell under a key support level, which may indicate further downside potential.
  • πŸ“Š Technical analysis suggests watching key support and resistance levels for SPY, especially ahead of the Jackson Hole event.
  • πŸ“ˆ Zoom had a stellar earnings report, causing its stock to surge, and it's considered a potential bullish play for the following days.
  • πŸ“‰ Certain tech stocks like Tesla and AMD are showing bearish momentum and could be watched for potential short opportunities.
  • πŸ’‘ The video emphasizes the importance of having a trading plan, being adaptable, and following the money during times of market volatility.

Q & A

  • What is the significance of the Jackson Hole Symposium in the financial markets?

    -The Jackson Hole Symposium is significant because it brings together central bankers and economists from around the world. It often sets the tone for future economic policies, and market participants closely watch for any hints or announcements regarding interest rates and monetary policy, which can lead to significant market movements.

  • Why is the market particularly volatile during the Jackson Hole event?

    -The market is particularly volatile during the Jackson Hole event because it is a platform for influential figures like Jerome Powell to potentially announce or hint at significant monetary policy changes. These announcements can cause market participants to adjust their positions rapidly, leading to increased trading activity and price swings.

  • What historical data points were mentioned in the video regarding the S&P 500's performance during past Jackson Hole events?

    -The video mentioned that in 2022 and 2019, the S&P 500 experienced significant drops during the Jackson Hole events. The drops were as drastic as 3.4% to 2.6% on some occasions, indicating that the market can react strongly to the news and announcements made at the event.

  • What is the importance of the 555 support level for the S&P 500 index mentioned in the video?

    -The 555 support level is considered important because it was a key level during the beginning of August before a drop occurred. If the S&P 500 index falls below this level, it could indicate further bearish sentiment and potential for a continued downtrend.

  • Why might gold prices be affected by the Jackson Hole event?

    -Gold prices might be affected by the Jackson Hole event because any announcements regarding interest rates or economic policies can influence the perception of economic stability. If the event hints at economic uncertainty or lower interest rates, investors may turn to gold as a safe-haven asset, driving up its price.

  • What is the role of rate cuts in the context of the Jackson Hole Symposium?

    -Rate cuts are a key focus during the Jackson Hole Symposium because they can significantly impact economic activity and financial markets. Market participants are often looking for signals from central bankers about potential rate cuts, which can stimulate economic growth but may also be seen as a sign of economic weakness.

  • How does the video script suggest traders should prepare for the Jackson Hole event?

    -The video script suggests that traders should prepare for the Jackson Hole event by staying adaptable, closely monitoring key market indicators and assets like gold and the S&P 500, and being ready to follow the market momentum. It also emphasizes the importance of having a plan and being disciplined in trading decisions.

  • What specific stocks are highlighted in the video as potential trading opportunities around the Jackson Hole event?

    -The video highlights Tesla, Amazon, and Zoom as specific stocks to watch. Tesla and Amazon are considered for potential bearish moves, while Zoom is highlighted for its bullish momentum due to recent earnings and a sentiment shift.

  • What is the significance of the 175 support level for Amazon mentioned in the video?

    -The 175 support level for Amazon is significant because it represents a price point where the stock has seen increased buying interest in the past. If the stock price falls below this level, it could indicate a loss of support and potentially lead to further selling pressure.

  • Why is the performance of the stock market around the Jackson Hole event often considered a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' scenario?

    -The performance of the stock market around the Jackson Hole event is often considered a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' scenario because investors may position themselves ahead of the event in anticipation of policy announcements, leading to price increases. Once the event occurs and the news is released, some investors may sell off their positions, leading to potential price drops.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ“‰ Market Recap and Jackson Hole Symposium Preview

The video begins with a market recap, noting that around 58% of S&P 500 stocks closed in the red. The host expresses excitement for the upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium, a significant event where central bankers, including Jerome Powell, meet and potentially influence market trends. Historical data suggests that this event has been associated with substantial market movements, both positive and negative. The host plans to cover the event live and encourages viewers to stay tuned for insights on how to navigate the market's response to the symposium.

05:02

πŸ“ˆ Historical Market Reactions to Jackson Hole and Gold's Potential

This paragraph delves into the historical impact of the Jackson Hole Symposium on the market, highlighting instances of significant drops following Powell's speeches. The host emphasizes the need for preparedness and adaptability, especially given the current market conditions. Additionally, the potential for gold prices to benefit from rate cuts is discussed, with a focus on gold as a safe-haven asset during economic uncertainty. The price of gold is noted to be on the rise, possibly indicating market anticipation of rate cuts.

10:04

πŸ’Ό Rate Cuts, Economic Indicators, and Gold's Performance

The speaker discusses the market's reaction to rate cuts, challenging the common perception that they always benefit the stock market. Historical data is presented to show that rate cuts can be followed by market downturns. The conversation then shifts to gold, which is often seen as an inflation hedge and a safe asset during economic instability. The price of gold is analyzed in relation to rate cuts, and the potential for gold to continue its upward trend is considered, especially with the backdrop of revised job numbers indicating a weaker job market.

15:05

πŸš€ Zoom's Earnings Surge and Market Volatility Ahead of Jackson Hole

The host highlights Zoom's impressive earnings report, which led to a significant stock price increase. The bullish sentiment around Zoom is attributed to a shift in market sentiment and the stock's long-term oversold status. The paragraph also touches on the broader market, anticipating increased volatility due to the Jackson Hole event and advising viewers to keep a close eye on gold, silver, and interest rates, as well as specific stocks like TSM and UVXY.

20:07

πŸ“‰ Big Money Trades and Market Watch for the Following Day

The final paragraph outlines specific stocks to watch, including Tesla and Amazon, which are expected to continue their bearish momentum, and Zoom, which is expected to rise. The host also discusses the big money trade involving TSM put options and the potential for this trade to offer protection in the event of a market downturn. The importance of having a plan, setting stop losses, and adapting to market movements is emphasized, along with a reminder to watch the Jackson Hole event for its potential impact on the market.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘S&P 500

The S&P 500, or Standard & Poor's 500, is a stock market index that measures the performance of 500 large companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States. In the video, it is mentioned that around 58% of stocks in the S&P 500 closed down, indicating a bearish trend in the market. The S&P 500 is a key indicator of overall market health and is often used as a benchmark for investment portfolios.

πŸ’‘Jackson Hole Symposium

The Jackson Hole Symposium is an annual economic policy conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, where central bankers and economists from around the world gather to discuss policy issues. In the video, the event is highlighted as significant because it often leads to market volatility due to the potential for major policy announcements, such as interest rate changes.

πŸ’‘Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell is the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, the central banking system of the United States. His speeches and policy decisions have a significant impact on financial markets. The video script mentions Powell's scheduled speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium, which is a major event for traders as it may provide insights into future monetary policy.

πŸ’‘Market Drisking

Market drisking refers to the act of reducing one's exposure to market risk, often by selling off assets or taking defensive positions in anticipation of potential adverse market movements. In the script, it is mentioned that traders are drisking ahead of the Jackson Hole event, indicating a cautious approach due to the uncertainty of the market's reaction to the symposium.

πŸ’‘ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund)

An ETF is a type of investment fund and exchange-traded product, traded on stock exchanges much like individual stocks. They hold assets such as stocks, bonds, or commodities and aim to track the performance of a specific index. In the video, ETFs like GLD (which tracks gold prices) and TLT (which tracks longer-duration bonds) are mentioned as areas to watch, especially in response to potential market reactions to the Jackson Hole event.

πŸ’‘Gold

Gold is a precious metal that is often viewed as a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty or market volatility. The script discusses gold's potential to benefit from interest rate cuts and its performance prior to such events, indicating that investors may turn to gold as a hedge against inflation or economic downturns.

πŸ’‘Volatility

Volatility refers to the degree of variation of a trading price series over time. High volatility means that the price of an asset can change dramatically over a short period in either direction. The video mentions that the Jackson Hole event could lead to increased market volatility, which is a key consideration for traders when making decisions.

πŸ’‘Big Tech Stocks

Big tech stocks refer to the shares of large technology companies that have a significant market capitalization and influence in the stock market. In the video, the performance of big tech stocks like Tesla and Amazon is discussed, with Tesla being highlighted as a stock to watch for potential downside movement.

πŸ’‘Earnings

Earnings in the context of the stock market refer to the profits that a company generates, which are typically reported on a quarterly basis. The video script mentions companies like Zoom and Peloton, which have recently reported earnings, and their stock prices have reacted accordingly, with Zoom experiencing a significant increase due to positive earnings results.

πŸ’‘Momentum Plays

Momentum plays in trading refer to strategies that involve buying or selling stocks based on their recent price movement, with the expectation that the trend will continue. The video discusses momentum plays for stocks like AMD and Square, indicating specific price levels that, if broken, could signal further movement in the stock's price.

πŸ’‘Big Money Trade

A big money trade implies a significant investment or trading move made by large institutional investors or wealthy individuals, which can influence the market. In the script, a big money trade involving TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) is highlighted, showing how such trades can be used to speculate on market movements or hedge against potential losses.

Highlights

Market overview: Around 58% of S&P 500 stocks closed down, signaling a potential for a significant trading day ahead with the Jackson Hole Symposium.

Importance of the Jackson Hole event: A gathering of central bankers and economists that has historically influenced market movements.

Historical data analysis: Past Jackson Hole events have shown drastic market drops, indicating the potential for significant price action.

Market preparation: Advising traders to remain adaptable and follow market momentum in response to the event's outcomes.

S&P 500 (SPY) performance: Closed down 0.78%, breaking below a key level, indicating bearish sentiment ahead of the symposium.

Jerome Powell's speech anticipation: Scheduled for 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time, with live coverage on the StockedUp live channel.

Market's reaction to rate cuts: A discussion on the market's historical response to rate cuts, suggesting that they do not always lead to positive market movements.

Gold as aε—η›Šθ€… of rate cuts: Historical data showing gold prices benefiting from rate cuts, positioning gold as a potential safe haven.

Gold price rise: The price of gold is already on the rise, possibly indicating market anticipation of economic uncertainty.

Gold as an inflation hedge: Discussion on gold's role as a protection against economic uncertainty and inflation.

ETFs to watch: GLD for gold, GDX for gold mining companies, and SLV for silver, as potential investment opportunities.

TLT ETF significance: As it follows longer duration bonds, it could reflect market reactions to interest rate changes and emotional responses.

Earnings and economic calendar: A clear schedule for the next day, focusing on the Jackson Hole Symposium and its market impact.

SPY support and resistance levels: Identification of key levels to watch for potential market direction changes.

Tesla's bearish momentum: A detailed analysis of Tesla's significant drop and its potential continuation if the market remains bearish.

Zoom's bullish sentiment: Despite being sold out by ARK, Zoom's stock is experiencing a bullish trend due to positive earnings and sentiment shift.

UVXY potential rise: Anticipating an increase in UVXY if the market continues to pull back, reflecting heightened market volatility.

Momentum plays for the next day: Identification of specific stocks like AMD, Peloton, and Square with potential bullish or bearish movements based on market conditions.

Big Money Trade: A detailed analysis of a significant put option purchase on TSM, indicating a bearish outlook by big money investors.

Market strategy advice: Emphasizing the importance of having a plan, setting stop losses, and trading smart and disciplined.

Transcripts

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[Music]

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what going on everyone we hope you had a

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great day in the market today looking at

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today's heat map around 58% of stocks in

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the S&P 500 closed down in the red and I

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hope you guys are as excited as we are

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because we are heading into the biggest

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trading day of the week the Jackson Hall

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Symposium is on the schedule for

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tomorrow Jerome Powell and Central

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Bankers all around the world are

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basically getting together and we're

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going to uh we're going to see some

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fireworks in the market so in today's

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video we're going to cover why this

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event is so important how it has offered

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some major opportunities over recent

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Years and we're also going to cover all

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the important information and historical

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data that you need to know to make uh

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tomorrow a great end of the week but we

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have a lot to cover today a lot of

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important information so make sure to

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stick with us all the way until the end

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but besides that Tom we are not wasting

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any time today let's get right into it

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yeah the Spy was pretty red today ended

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up closing down

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0.78% that's a pretty bad move by the

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Spy it actually fell under 560 again

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which was a pretty good breakdown

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opportunity in the middle of the day I

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know a lot of bears were loving a lot of

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this price action from today and it

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looks like Traders are drisking a little

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bit ahead of the Jackson Hole event

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tomorrow so this event's huge Central

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bankers and economists from around the

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world meet up at this event uh obviously

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there's news outlets and other things

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like that allowed as well but Powell

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will be speaking tomorrow at 10: a.m.

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eastern time I will have this event live

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on the stockedup live channel so make

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sure you check that out tomorrow around

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the market open but uh overall Mike you

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know Jackson Hole is huge we saw a huge

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drisking today and whenever you know

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Jackson Hole happen we start to see some

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pretty insane price action you know

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sometimes right of course not every

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single time this event happens the

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Market's going to go crazy but looking

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at this chart here I found this

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extremely interesting and to just to see

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how some of these previous uh Powell

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Jackson whole events have played out and

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in 2022 we saw a massive drop in 2019

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you know a pretty big drop as well now

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of course sometimes the market does rise

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during these but I'll tell you what when

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it does fall it falls pretty drastically

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big time and I was just looking at uh

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some like uh price action and data on

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spy on a daily chart and I was looking

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at some of the giant red candles that we

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saw in August and as we could remember

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um there was a lot of panic about a

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month ago or I guess you could say

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earlier this month and I guess you could

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say towards the end of July as well but

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as we look at some of those red days

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they were Red by let's say 2% or

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1.4% or you could say 1.8% and then Tom

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when we go back to that chart you were

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just showing you could see the red days

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on the bad Jackson Hole event years uh

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are as bad as 3.4% to as bad as 2.6% so

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what it essentially goes to show is just

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like you said Tom when the Jackson Hole

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events are bad they're pretty bad so you

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have to be prepared for them and of

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course some years it ends up being fine

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and that is worth keeping in mind but as

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we look at the market tomorrow it will

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be very important to remain adaptable

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and uh be willing to I guess you could

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say uh follow the flows follow the money

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um if we see a giant flush it's going to

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be important to recognize you know which

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direction the momentum is flowing in and

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also understand what parts of the market

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are suffering and what parts of the

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market are gaining like in many times

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throughout Market history we could see

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when there's you could say General

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market Panic like let's say with stocks

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overall you know maybe other areas of

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the market like gold and silver or just

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like safer stocks might be getting great

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inflows so for tomorrow it's all going

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to be a game of momentum yeah it

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definitely is you know in the short term

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we're going to talk about a few stocks

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later on like zoom and others that are

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doing quite well in the short term in

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their own rights and those will be

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pretty awesome you know they're not even

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that correlated to the market but we

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will get into that later in the video so

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definitely stick around for that but

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looking at the spy for tomorrow Mike you

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know today was a pretty big pullback

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we're back down to a pretty key 555

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support that's definitely going to be a

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big level to keep on the radar tomorrow

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ahead of this Jackson ho event you know

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if we start to see Powell speak and the

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market ends up tanking off that's not

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going to be a good sign but you know

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what is everybody really looking for at

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the Jackson whole event they're looking

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at rate Cuts they're wondering hey

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what's going on here are the feds going

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to kind of lay out the groundworks for

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you know a cut coming in September or

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are they going to maybe pivot just a

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little bit but you know looking at this

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chart here like we talked about

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yesterday the market right now is

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pricing in like a 75% chance of that

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rate cut happening in September and you

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know of course there's rate Cuts being

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priced in for the the next meetings

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after that as well so we'll have to see

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how this ends up shaking out Mike but

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you know these rate cuts and whenever

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you start to look at some of the data

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out there I know a lot of people are

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like oh my gosh you know whenever rate

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Cuts happen that's going to be amazing

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for the stock market right and I think

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that this year we've actually been

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seeing kind of like a buy the buy the

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rumor sell the news type of event going

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on and you know you can see by this

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chart here that every time that there's

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a rate cut that doesn't necessarily mean

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the Market's going to go flying up in

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the short term no doubt and like you

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said a lot of people have like the I

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guess you could say perception that rate

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cuts are always a good thing but when

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you look back at Market history that has

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just been proven uh not to be true of

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course in 2000 there was a clear example

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of that and the same thing with 2008 and

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2009 but even as you go back like

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further throughout history you could see

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when when the FED funds rate does drop

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which is that black line on the screen

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right now we uh tend to see some uh

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selling pressure in the market as a

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whole so just just definitely keep that

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in mind we like to show charts like this

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one ahead of time so everyone could be

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better prepared for um you know just the

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market as these uh situations play out

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so either way keep this chart uh in your

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head going forward feel free to uh

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screenshot it as well but one area of

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the market that tends to benefit quite a

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bit when we do see rate Cuts is the

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price of gold so basically as we can see

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by looking at this chart when we see the

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uh rate Cuts start to happen gold prices

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uh have benefited from that quite a bit

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in the past and what's even more

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exciting Tom is that the price of gold

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is already on the rise before uh rate

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Cuts have even started yeah it looks

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like the market might be pricing that in

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a little bit here in the short term

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right you know we've been talking about

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that maybe like that bu the rumors sell

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the news going on at least with the uh

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overall Market in rate Cuts but Gold's

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been doing very well in the short term

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also and you know this could maybe also

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uh be shown like hey this is a sign that

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the economy really isn't doing the best

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right now you know we just saw them

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revise the jobs numbers down like what

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to 800,000 it was uh quite the revision

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right it definitely shows that the jobs

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Market's not as good as you know they

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were trying to uh to previously say and

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I just feel like that you know the

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economy has been pretty rough there's a

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lot of people that argue that we're

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actually already in a recession but they

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just changed the definition so you know

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of course now we're not but uh but but

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that's one thing to think about with

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gold you know I think that there's a lot

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of fear out there and there's a lot of

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people obviously still bullish on the

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market but at the same time I think that

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a lot of people do uh see a little bit

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of underlying risk with the economy here

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and you know if rates start to drop a

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little bit Gold's going to be an awesome

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asset to run into here it also says a

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lot how a gold bar is now worth $1

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million for the first time ever so I

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don't know how many of you saw this news

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but this H just happened and uh it says

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a lot because people buy gold for

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protection uh not only for uh from you

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know just like economic uncertainty and

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fear but also for like an inflation

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hedge as well and for those of you

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who've been following the channel for a

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while now know that we've been talking

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about gold silver and like mining

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companies in a pretty bullish way all

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year long so keep a close eye on GLD

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going forward this is an ETF that

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follows gold prices it is right around

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record highs you have ticker symbol GDX

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which is for gold mining companies and

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then you have ticker symbol SLV for

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silver so those are some uh nice ways to

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follow uh gold but another thing worth

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keeping in mind for Jackson Hole

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tomorrow is not only to keep a close eye

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on gold because it can definitely move

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up in a strong way and just move in a

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momentum driven way but to also keep Ane

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ey on TLT as this ETF follows like

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longer duration bonds so basically if

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there's like a you know if there's you

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know an emotional reaction in the market

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with interest rates TLT will move quite

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a bit and TLT has pretty liquid options

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as well so we definitely want to

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showcase this so you could keep it on

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your radar for tomorrow of course you

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have spy to watch as well and then as

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the video progresses we'll share some of

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our more specific uh setup for tomorrow

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but Tom we are basically clear for

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tomorrow's earning schedule and the

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economic calendar is uh taken up by the

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Jackson Symposium but what do we have on

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the schedule just to be uh just to be

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clear yeah so on the earnings side of

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things pretty much nothing tomorrow you

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know this was a pretty decent earnings

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week overall but earning season is

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cooling off a little bit but going to

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the economic calendar here for tomorrow

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there will be some home sales but the

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big deal is Jackson hle and Powell at

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10:00 a.m. eastern time if you guys miss

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this I'm going to be very upset tomorrow

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I better see everybody in the Discord uh

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and on the stocked up live uh YouTube

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channel as well so let's go tomorrow at

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10: a.m. eastern it's going to be one

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hell of an event and you know like we

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keep showing Mike uh this Jackson Hole

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event has brought quite the volatility

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in the past and with the Spy just being

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at such crucial levels right now right

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at the all-time high I think today was a

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little bit of a dr- risking you know

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like what if we end up double topping

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and having a pretty significant pullback

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here off of this uh off of this event it

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definitely won't be good but at the same

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time you know maybe the event can get us

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to back to all-time Highs but it's going

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to be a big one that's for sure and I

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know a lot of people were uh hedging

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ahead of this into today as well and

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that's a smart decision because as you

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look at the Spy like we've covered over

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the recent over recent weeks it's not

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like the economy is in uh you know

play10:57

perfect shape right now and the Market

play10:59

itself is still so close to all-time

play11:02

highs we're heading into a giant event

play11:04

we have the election coming up pretty

play11:06

soon so you know it makes a lot of sense

play11:08

to lock in some profits and I think that

play11:10

is exactly what we saw in the market

play11:12

today you know the market was down close

play11:15

to 1% which is certainly more than uh

play11:18

you know average and the market erased a

play11:21

lot of its gains for the entire week and

play11:23

the NASDAQ actually is uh like negative

play11:27

on the week now so I think that also

play11:29

says a lot but it also just goes to show

play11:31

that people are nervous about this event

play11:33

so keep that in mind but Tom what are

play11:37

the levels looking like for spy tomorrow

play11:39

in both directions I know we have a lot

play11:41

of heavy resistance overhead yeah we

play11:44

definitely do so in the shortterm here

play11:46

562 and 563 is going to be huge before

play11:49

we get towards the all-time high which

play11:51

is up around 565 that is going to be the

play11:53

major resistance we have to go back on

play11:55

an hourly chart quite a bit here or like

play11:58

a 15minute chart chart to see that

play12:00

all-time high but 565 is going to be

play12:02

huge overhead as far as major supports

play12:05

coming up I'm really watching 555 very

play12:08

closely that was pretty much the the

play12:10

Peak at the beginning of August before

play12:12

the drop and I really like 555 tomorrow

play12:15

as support I'll also be watching for 550

play12:18

548 and 547 to the downside below there

play12:23

but um other than that Mike that's

play12:25

pretty much it here for those spy levels

play12:27

I'm mainly looking at the larger levels

play12:29

for tomorrow you know I think that

play12:30

there's going to be a lot of noise

play12:32

tomorrow uh ahead of the event and of

play12:34

course during it uh expect some

play12:36

volatility and some chop you know don't

play12:38

expect just a a straight runup or

play12:40

anything like that we might see uh some

play12:42

volatility mixed in before a true

play12:44

Direction gets picked all righty well

play12:46

with that being said let's jump right

play12:48

into some setups and predictions for

play12:51

tomorrow a stock I'm watching very

play12:53

closely is Tesla and it's to the

play12:56

downside so Tesla is one of those stocks

play12:59

that is relatively weak compared to

play13:02

other big tech stocks right now today it

play13:04

closed down by almost 6% which is a lot

play13:07

and that intraday price action was

play13:09

pretty brutal so people are definitely

play13:11

uh selling out of this one a lot more

play13:13

than uh other big tech stocks and I

play13:15

would not be surprised if this momentum

play13:18

continued in tomorrow assuming that the

play13:21

uh market-wide momentum was bearish as

play13:24

well but either way in the event we do

play13:27

see some bearish price action tomorrow

play13:29

tusla will be one of the first stocks I

play13:31

Look to given the uh I guess you could

play13:33

say overwhelmingly bearish momentum that

play13:36

we saw today yeah it's actually a pretty

play13:38

good support at 210 as well I'll be I'll

play13:41

definitely be keeping it on the radar to

play13:42

the downside after falling 5.6% today

play13:45

that was definitely a quite the volatile

play13:48

drop by tessle there leave it up to them

play13:50

right they they love having some crazy

play13:52

moves every now and again with my first

play13:54

play I'm looking at Amazon also to the

play13:57

downside Mike and I'm watching a pretty

play13:59

support in the short term right around

play14:01

175 and we can see how big that support

play14:04

really is on the book map there were a

play14:06

few hits towards the uh end of the day

play14:08

today at some minor levels like 176 but

play14:11

you can really see just how much uh more

play14:14

volume there is at that 175 level

play14:16

there's a lot of shares stacked up there

play14:18

so I'm really watching that as support

play14:20

if Amazon starts to move below that I

play14:22

will watch it down now of course I will

play14:24

adapt and start to watch stocks back up

play14:27

and I'll just be looking for whatever

play14:29

the best flows like on Zoom or a couple

play14:31

others and I know we'll be talking about

play14:33

zoom in just a second but uh but

play14:35

nonetheless uh that's what I'm looking

play14:37

for on Amazon is that 175 support sounds

play14:39

great yeah that's a giant level right

play14:41

there but like you said Tom another

play14:43

stock I'm watching Pretty closely is

play14:45

zoom and it is to the upside uh I've

play14:48

been hitting on this stock all week and

play14:50

their earnings ended up uh having having

play14:53

quite the uh day you can say Zoom stock

play14:56

popped up by 133% and the the stock had

play14:59

one of its best days in years and there

play15:02

was a lot of great bullish momentum here

play15:04

and uh zoom's a stock that has been so

play15:07

oversold for you know so long now and

play15:10

it's starting to like finally see like a

play15:12

sentiment shift which is great so either

play15:15

way Zoom is definitely on my bullish

play15:16

radar for tomorrow Mike you know why

play15:19

Zoom is uh moving up here in the short

play15:21

term and this is going to freak some

play15:23

people out it's because Kathy Wood sold

play15:26

out of Zoom she's a arkk Arc is

play15:29

officially done holding ZM right now I

play15:33

can't even believe I'm saying that Mike

play15:35

but uh I'm going to laugh my ass off if

play15:38

this ends up being like the exact bottom

play15:40

and Kathy just sold out you know I I

play15:42

gotta say this poor Kathy would has

play15:45

taken a lot of flak over the past year

play15:47

but I don't know Mike I mean why why

play15:50

sell it now after all this her average

play15:53

was like $280 a share and she dumped out

play15:57

a lot lower than that we'll put it that

play16:00

way it's it's almost giving me

play16:01

flashbacks to like the Nvidia trade it's

play16:04

like I I think she like sold out of that

play16:06

one like literally like a couple months

play16:09

right before Nvidia had like the largest

play16:12

runup in stock market history so that's

play16:16

kind of rough there but either way Zoom

play16:18

stock is running with some great

play16:19

momentum and it's definitely on my

play16:20

bullish radar for tomorrow yeah mine too

play16:23

I love it you know it's having a lot of

play16:25

great inflows and for the next couple

play16:27

days even if the markets it's a little

play16:29

shaky Zoom has a mind of its own you

play16:31

know so it could be a great stock to

play16:33

look at in the short term here with my

play16:35

next play I'm looking at uvxy to the

play16:37

upside it was up 6.8% today as we saw

play16:41

the market pull back a little bit and if

play16:43

we continue to see the QQQ and the Spy

play16:45

reject off of these recent highs uh

play16:48

we'll continue to see uvxy probably

play16:50

explode in the short term whenever the

play16:52

market Falls volatility usually

play16:54

increases and vix had a pretty good move

play16:56

up today now mi vix I should say

play16:59

actually just had a historic pullback

play17:01

one of the quickest pullbacks it's ever

play17:03

had after Rising that much in the short

play17:05

term so uh I'm definitely kind of

play17:07

looking for vix to pop a little bit Mike

play17:09

you know especially with Jackson Hole uh

play17:11

if there's some volatility uh definitely

play17:13

look at uvxy all right great stuff there

play17:17

and let's jump right into today's

play17:20

momentum plays and with the first one we

play17:23

have AMD to the downside AMD another bad

play17:27

stock here in the short term they're

play17:28

sitting right around

play17:30

$150 so if they break under there then

play17:32

watch them back down all right with the

play17:34

next one we have pelaton to the upside

play17:38

pelaton continued with earnings today

play17:39

too kind of like Zoom but if they end up

play17:41

breaking out above 475 then watch them

play17:44

up as well all right and then with the

play17:46

last one we have SQ for both directions

play17:50

Square yeah so Square started to fall

play17:52

off a little bit today down 2.76% but I

play17:55

do like the growth stocks in the short

play17:56

term if Square falls under 63 $ then

play17:59

watch them back down but they are right

play18:01

around a pretty good support at 64 so if

play18:04

they end up bouncing off of that and

play18:05

re-breaking 65 then watch him back up

play18:09

all right so we have the upside level

play18:10

for a potential move higher then we have

play18:12

the downside level for a potential move

play18:15

lower this is for SQ don't forget about

play18:18

the upside level with pelaton and then

play18:21

the downside level with AMD these three

play18:24

stocks are on watch tomorrow if and only

play18:27

if they break through the levels listed

play18:29

if they don't break the levels listed

play18:31

then do not force the trades the

play18:33

stronger the move uh the better the

play18:36

momentum trade become so keep these

play18:38

three stocks on Watch and besides that

play18:40

let's jump right into today's

play18:44

512,000

play18:45

Big Money Trade and we are looking at

play18:49

ticker symbol TSM so we've been hitting

play18:51

on this stock quite a bit over the past

play18:53

couple of days in a bearish way and it

play18:56

has definitely been flushing lower and

play18:58

it looks like uh big money sniffed that

play19:00

out too but uh looking at this trade uh

play19:03

the big money bought the

play19:05

$167 50 Cent strike put options that

play19:09

expire on September 20th of 2024 this is

play19:12

a bearish trade where the big money

play19:14

wants TSM to fall the lower it falls the

play19:17

more they will make these put options

play19:19

are already at the money there's around

play19:21

30 days left of time to them the stock

play19:23

has been continuously making lower highs

play19:25

we've been seeing a lot of relative

play19:28

bearishness

play19:29

with chip stocks uh in the short term

play19:32

which definitely helps a big money trade

play19:33

like this one and at the same time if we

play19:37

do see a flush tomorrow a trade like

play19:39

this one can definitely offer some

play19:41

protection but as we look at this Big

play19:43

Money Trade I definitely like the reward

play19:45

to risk skew but also understand that uh

play19:49

naturally you know buying a put option

play19:51

that only has 30 days to expiration uh

play19:54

has its own uh unique risks and uh you

play19:57

know it's just worth keeping in mind

play19:59

that TSM um is at a major level right

play20:01

now and we are heading into a very

play20:04

highly anticipated event but either way

play20:06

definitely keep this trade on your radar

play20:08

yeah it could be huge you know and if we

play20:10

start to see like let's say TSM flush

play20:12

below 166 tomorrow that might be a good

play20:15

area to maybe look for an entry um on

play20:17

the big money play especially if you

play20:19

start to see the market start to flush

play20:21

from pow speaking or something like that

play20:23

maybe have the entry ready and you know

play20:25

if you start to see a flush that could

play20:26

be another way to go and then is follow

play20:29

the big money after that but I

play20:31

definitely like this rejection in the

play20:32

shortterm Mike this like 173 to 175

play20:35

resistance is huge we rejected at 175 a

play20:38

ton last week and then this week we've

play20:41

been rejecting at 173 failing to break

play20:43

like three different times over the past

play20:45

couple days so uh keep watching it down

play20:47

in the short term like you said it is a

play20:49

little riskier it's a shorter term play

play20:51

but at the same time you know it's

play20:53

always fun to have some shorter term

play20:55

plays mixed in right yeah you know it so

play20:57

either way keep this stock on watch

play20:59

going forward but again we have a very

play21:02

important day ahead of us tomorrow

play21:03

there's going to be a lot of volatility

play21:04

a lot of big moves and a lot of

play21:06

craziness make sure to stay uh

play21:08

levelheaded make sure to be willing to

play21:11

adapt with the market as it uh

play21:13

progresses keep it close eye on gold

play21:15

silver interest rates which is's uh TLT

play21:18

uh spy big tech stocks and just you know

play21:21

the market as a whole follow the money

play21:23

uh have a plan before you enter trades

play21:26

don't just randomly pick up or down just

play21:28

hope for the best you know uh you know

play21:30

have a plan have stop losses and respect

play21:32

that plan let's have a great day in the

play21:34

market tomorrow and let's trade smart

play21:36

and disciplined uh if you guys are new

play21:38

to the channel consider obliterating

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that subscribe button to get our videos

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recommended to you more often we post

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all the time and cover the most

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play21:50

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to 25 minutes or less so consider

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joining the stock crew there to get our

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videos recommended to you more often uh

play22:01

but before we close out I want to give a

play22:04

giant shout out to today's member of the

play22:06

day Big E in the stocked up Discord who

play22:10

had a pretty great post today with some

play22:13

Zoom uh bullish plays some Zoom call

play22:15

options so it was great to see uh a nice

play22:18

screenshot like this one so keep up the

play22:20

great work going forward last but not

play22:23

least if you guys still have not tried

play22:25

out bookmap yet now is the time to try

play22:28

it we have a huge event tomorrow and

play22:30

trading without bookmap and seeing you

play22:32

know important levels like the

play22:34

$175 level with Amazon is kind of like

play22:38

uh driving a car blindfolded you need

play22:41

you need to see this information so uh

play22:43

if you guys did want to try it out you

play22:45

can save using the first link in the

play22:47

description in the comments down below

play22:49

um basically a special offers icon

play22:52

appears uh at checkout if you use the

play22:55

link down below and it has some pretty

play22:57

nice savings attached to it besides that

play23:00

guys thank you all so much for watching

play23:03

and let's end the week on a green note

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