THE FED WILL PUT MORE HOT AIR IN THE EVERYTHING BUBBLE TOMORROW

jeremiah babe
22 Aug 202416:45

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the host anticipates Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, speculating on potential rate cuts and market reactions. They discuss the weak housing market, with rising inventory and falling sales, and the impact of high mortgage rates. The script also covers the closure of Subway stores, ATM fee hikes, and the economic struggles faced by Americans. Concerns about cybersecurity are raised following a major cyber attack on an oil field service company, and the video ends with a call for prayer and action for the United States.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“… It's Thursday, August 22nd, 2024, and Jerome Powell's speech from Jackson Hole is anticipated to be a significant market event.
  • πŸ’Ή The market is expecting a rate cut in September, and Powell's speech may provide hints about the number of rate cuts for the current and next year.
  • 🏠 Home sales rose in July for the first time in five months, but overall sales are at the weakest level since 2010, with a 20% increase in inventory.
  • πŸ“‰ Despite lower mortgage rates, there is no significant rush to the housing market, suggesting a lack of motivation among buyers.
  • πŸ“Š The average cost to withdraw cash from an ATM in the U.S. has hit a record high, with cities like Atlanta and San Diego having particularly high fees.
  • πŸ›’ Walmart and Target are cutting prices to attract customers, indicating a competitive retail environment.
  • πŸ₯ There's a proposal to close two hospitals in the Shenango Valley, reflecting financial struggles in the healthcare sector.
  • 🚨 The U.S. government has allocated nearly $800 million to help shelter and transport migrants, raising questions about domestic economic priorities.
  • πŸ’Ό The job market is facing a crisis, with many people losing their jobs, which could exacerbate economic challenges.
  • πŸ’» A massive cyber attack on Halliburton, a major oil field services company, highlights the vulnerability of digital systems and the risks of relying on digital currency.
  • πŸ™ The speaker emphasizes the importance of prayer and community action in addressing the economic and social challenges faced by the United States.

Q & A

  • What is the significance of Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole?

    -Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole is significant as it is anticipated to provide insights into the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, potentially hinting at upcoming rate cuts and affecting market expectations.

  • Why are markets expecting a rate cut in September according to the script?

    -Markets are expecting a rate cut in September because it has been a recurring expectation that has not yet materialized, and the speech by Jerome Powell could be a pivotal moment for such an announcement.

  • What does the script suggest about the current state of the housing market?

    -The script suggests that the housing market is weak, with home sales up only 1.3% month over month but down 2.5% year-over-year, marking the weakest July since 2010. Despite increased inventory and lower rates, there is no significant rush to the housing market.

  • What is the current mortgage rate mentioned in the script?

    -The current 30-year fixed mortgage rate mentioned in the script is 6.62%.

  • How does the script describe the impact of high ATM fees on consumers?

    -The script describes high ATM fees as a burden on consumers, with an average cost of $5 to withdraw cash and significantly higher fees in certain cities like Atlanta and San Diego, contributing to the financial strain on people.

  • What is the script's perspective on the current job market and its implications?

    -The script suggests that there is a growing job crisis, with many people losing their jobs, making it difficult for them to afford basic necessities and contributing to a larger economic problem.

  • What major event is mentioned in the script regarding the cyber attack on a large oil field service company?

    -The script mentions a massive cyber attack on Halliburton, one of the largest oil field service companies, which impacted business operations and global connectivity networks, highlighting the vulnerability of digital systems.

  • Why does the script express concern about the move towards digital currency?

    -The script expresses concern about the move towards digital currency due to the risks of cyber attacks, the potential for systems to be shut down, and the convenience and safety trade-off that people may not fully understand.

  • What is the script's opinion on the allocation of $800 million to Catholic Charities for migrant support?

    -The script criticizes the allocation of $800 million to Catholic Charities for migrant support, arguing that the money should be used to help Americans first, especially considering the economic struggles faced by many citizens.

  • What economic issues are highlighted in the script regarding small businesses, hospitals, and the middle class?

    -The script highlights the struggles of small businesses closing down, hospitals facing shutdowns, and the middle class falling behind financially, suggesting a deteriorating economic situation that is not being adequately addressed.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ“‰ Economic Expectations and Housing Market Insights

The script discusses the anticipation of a rate cut by Jerome Powell, expected to boost markets and metals. It also highlights the mixed signals in the housing market, with an increase in home sales in July but a significant year-over-year decrease and a 20% rise in inventory. The script questions why the market isn't responding to lower rates and increased inventory, suggesting a potential housing collapse. It also mentions the impact of high mortgage rates on buyer motivation and compares the current housing market to that of 2008.

05:02

πŸ›‘ Rising Costs and Economic Challenges

This paragraph delves into the increasing costs of living, including insurance, ATM fees, and other expenses, and contrasts them with the affordability of big screen TVs. It notes the efforts of Walmart and Target to cut prices to attract customers amidst a backdrop of economic hardship. The script also addresses the job crisis, the vulnerability of digital currencies to cyber attacks, and the importance of having physical cash and resources in case of a grid shutdown or cyber attack.

10:03

πŸ₯ Healthcare and Financial Allocation Concerns

The speaker expresses concern over the allocation of federal funds, criticizing the $800 million given to Catholic Charities for migrant support when local communities and hospitals are struggling. The script mentions the potential closure of hospitals and the economic strain faced by Americans, suggesting that funds should be prioritized for domestic needs. It also touches on the difficulties faced by small businesses and the broader economic implications of these financial decisions.

15:05

πŸ—³οΈ Political and Social Calls to Action

The final paragraph is a call to action, urging viewers to vote, engage on social media, and pray for the country. The speaker decries the state of the economy, the closure of businesses, and the perceived lack of support for American citizens. They emphasize the need for change and the importance of community involvement to address the nation's challenges.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell is the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, the central banking system of the United States. In the video, he is anticipated to speak from Jackson Hole, an event where central bankers meet annually. His speech is expected to have significant implications for economic policies, particularly regarding interest rates, which is a central theme of the video.

πŸ’‘Interest rate cut

An interest rate cut refers to a reduction in the interest rates set by a central bank, like the Federal Reserve. The video discusses the anticipation of a rate cut, which is believed to stimulate economic growth by making borrowing cheaper. The expectation of such a cut is a key point of speculation in the financial markets, as mentioned in the script.

πŸ’‘Dow Jones

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a stock market index that tracks the performance of 30 large companies listed on the stock exchanges in the United States. In the video, it is mentioned that the Dow Jones was down, indicating a decline in the stock market, which is a reflection of the broader economic sentiment and investor confidence.

πŸ’‘NASDAQ

The NASDAQ is another major stock market index, representing the performance of technology and other growth-oriented companies. The video notes that NASDAQ was down, which, similar to the Dow Jones, signifies a negative trend in the stock market and could be related to broader economic or sector-specific concerns.

πŸ’‘Home sales

Home sales refer to the transaction of residential properties. The video discusses an increase in home sales in July, which is presented as a positive sign. However, it also contrasts this with a significant year-over-year decline and a high inventory level, suggesting a potential weakness in the housing market.

πŸ’‘Inventory

In the context of the video, inventory refers to the stock of unsold homes available in the market. The script mentions that home inventory is up 20%, which is unusual given the declining interest rates. This could indicate a slowdown in the housing market as buyers are not rushing to purchase despite favorable borrowing conditions.

πŸ’‘ATM fees

ATM fees are the charges imposed by banks for using an ATM, especially for withdrawals. The video highlights that ATM fees have hit a record high in the United States, which is a concern for consumers as it adds to their financial burden. The cities with the highest fees are mentioned, illustrating the disparity in banking costs across different regions.

πŸ’‘Cyber attack

A cyber attack is an attempt to damage or disrupt computer systems, networks, or digital infrastructure. The video discusses a significant cyber attack on a major oil field service company, emphasizing the vulnerability of digital systems and the potential risks associated with a move towards digital currencies and reliance on technology.

πŸ’‘Hospital closures

Hospital closures refer to the shutting down of medical facilities, which can lead to reduced access to healthcare services. The video expresses concern over the proposal to close two hospitals, highlighting the impact on patients and the community. It contrasts this with the allocation of funds to aid migrants, raising questions about the prioritization of resources.

πŸ’‘Economic indicators

Economic indicators are statistics that provide insights into the health of an economy. The video uses various indicators such as home sales, stock market performance, and ATM fees to paint a picture of the current economic climate. These indicators are crucial for understanding the broader implications of monetary policies and market trends.

Highlights

Jerome Powell's speech from Jackson Hole is anticipated to be a key event affecting market sentiments and potential rate cuts.

Markets are expecting a rate cut in September, which could influence the direction of the economy.

Home sales in July saw a slight increase, but overall, it was the weakest July since 2010.

A 20% increase in home inventory raises questions about the lack of a rush to the housing market despite lower rates.

Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates are not motivating buyers to enter the housing market.

Comparison of 2024 home sales to 2008 levels, indicating a potential housing collapse.

Subway's abrupt closure of 23 stores in Washington and Oregon, highlighting the struggling restaurant industry.

ATM fees in the United States have reached a record high, with cities like Atlanta and San Diego averaging over $5 per withdrawal.

Walmart and Target are cutting prices to attract customers amid a challenging retail environment.

The job crisis in America is intensifying, with many facing difficulties in meeting basic needs without employment.

Halliburton, a major oil field services company, was hit by a massive cyberattack, emphasizing the vulnerability of digital systems.

The importance of having physical cash and resources in case of a digital system failure is stressed.

Catholic Charities received nearly $800 million from the federal government to assist in sheltering and transporting migrants.

The economic implications of allocating funds to migrants while American hospitals and infrastructure struggle.

The potential closure of two hospitals in the Shenango Valley highlights the dire state of healthcare funding.

A call to action for Americans to vote, speak up, and pray for the country amidst the various crises.

Transcripts

play00:00

it's Thursday August 22nd 2024 thanks

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for joining me today please make sure to

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like this video uh share this video

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everywhere and make sure you subscribe

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uh kind of a a quiet day overall today

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uh all eyes and ears are on Jerome pal

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tomorrow uh he'll be speaking from

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Jackson Hole and it'll be a very uh

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interesting uh Speech uh obviously uh

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most uh economists and the markets

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believe that the next rate uh cut coming

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uh or the first one

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coming uh as we've seem to uh think

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every month we're going to get a ray cut

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we're finally going to get one it looks

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like in September now Jerome P will

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speak tomorrow uh I think he will

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acknowledge that the question is how

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much does he acknowledge beyond that uh

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is he going to hint at more rate cuts

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for this year will he hint at a number

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of rate cuts for next year uh is he

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going to uh juice the markets a little

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bit tomorrow we shall see I would not be

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surprised to see markets uh very happy

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tomorrow I would not be surprised to see

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medals having a very good day tomorrow

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who knows uh as we all know you cannot

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predict forecast any of this stuff there

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really are no fundamentals uh with these

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markets anymore but uh all that being

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said I I think that uh markets and

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metals should have a good day tomorrow

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we shall see uh today Dow Jones was down

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177 NASDAQ was down 300 again everybody

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everything is waiting on Drome pow

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tomorrow so we'll see what he has to say

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home sales Rose in July for the first

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time in five months that sounds like

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great news doesn't it uh home sales uh

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up 1.3% month over month although they

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were down 2 and a half% year-over-year

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uh this is the weakest July in home

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sales since uh uh uh a July of 2010 uh

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this was interesting inventory is up 20

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% let me repeat that home Inventory is

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up 20% rates are coming down inventory

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is going up why are we not seeing uh a

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run uh to to the housing market why

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isn't everybody out buying house right

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now with rates coming down in all this

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new inventory mortgage rates Edge lower

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this uh uh on Fox Business 30-year fixed

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rate today

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6.62% it is not enough to motivate

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buyers to jump into the housing market

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and go buy house uh I looked at some of

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the uh uh home sales uh 2008 we saw

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around roughly about 4.2 million home

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sales this year right now we're sitting

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at about 4.25 million so we are looking

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at a year of home sales

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literally the same as 2008 going to be

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very very close to what we saw in 2008

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this is just how sick the housing market

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is right now you are witnessing another

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housing collapse right now again

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inventory is going up the pool of

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qualified buyers is shrinking uh days on

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Market is is lasting longer it's getting

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harder uh to sell a home uh ask a new

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ask a new Builder uh they're throwing in

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tons of incentives and dropping prices

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in order to to move their inventory uh

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here's one from the sun gone for good

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Subway abruptly closes 23 stores in two

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states and 200 workers out of jobs uh

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Diner sphere changed is dropping like

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flies uh this happened with no warning

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no heads up they just shut down 23 uh

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locations uh this happened in Washington

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and in the state of

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Oregon uh we're going to see more of

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this you're going to see more

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restaurants family restaurants fast food

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chains uh the franchises they're all

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shutting down uh people are having to

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make decisions now they're they're

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deciding to save money cook at home they

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just don't have the discretionary

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spending as you all know to go out and

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you know have lunch at a fast food

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restaurant for $15 $20 now uh they're

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pulling back you know on the $10 coffees

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so things are definitely changing uh

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it's going to be very interesting to see

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what it looks like this winter ATM fees

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hit a record high in the United States

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these are the cities where you'll pay

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the most the average cost to get your

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paper money out of out of an ATM right

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now is $5 don't the banks just love you

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don't the banks just love you don't your

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credit card companies love you that are

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charging you 23 25

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29% don't they love you and you know

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when they were borrowing money for

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literally nothing they were still

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robbing and ripping people off with high

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interest on their credit cards and and

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and now these ATM fees in Atlanta the

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average is

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$533 San Diego you want to pull some

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some of that Monopoly money out it's

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going to cost you $522 Phoenix $522

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Detroit

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$518 people are just getting decimated

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Every Which Way their health insurance

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goes up the car insurance goes up the

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the the property insurance goes up the

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cost of an ATM goes up your cell phone

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bill goes up everything is going up

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where are people getting a break

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somebody please tell me today other than

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maybe seeing you you know big screen TVs

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uh at the lowest I've ever seen them

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where are people really getting a break

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at right now because it looks to me

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everywhere you go prices uh just

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continue to go up or they're going to

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they're they're going to stay up Walmart

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and Target are cutting prices to entice

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customers well here's some good news uh

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they're cutting some prices people are

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going to go where they feel they're

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getting a deal and so uh Walmart and

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Target have come to the conclusion that

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hey we're going to have to get trapped

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we're going to have to pick up some

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traffic so in order to do that we're

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going to have to entice the consumer to

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come into our store so let's cut some

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prices a little bit and it seems to be

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working

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um when you see what's happening in Auto

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Sales what's happening in in in home

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sales uh when you're sitting on all this

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inventory and you're not getting the

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foot traffic you're not getting the

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sales well Walmart and Target figured it

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out cut prices repeat cut prices you cut

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prices people will come as long as they

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have a job this is going to be another

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problem now that so many people are

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losing their job that no matter what

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prices are if you don't have a job it's

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going to be very very difficult to eat

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to shop to buy a car to buy a house and

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this is going to be a big problem coming

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to America is this uh job crisis that we

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are now uh in the beginning stages of

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without a job it's going to be very very

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difficult for people to survive so do

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whatever you got to do to hang out of

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that job uh you know diversify a little

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bit have a side hustle have a couple

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side hustles uh hton allegedly hit by

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Massive Cyber attack one of the largest

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oil field uh

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Service uh uh compies in the

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world uh was hit Wednesday by a Cyber

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attack uh again you know I don't think

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people understand how fragile this whole

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thing is and we're talking about you

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know going to a digital currency and

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won't that be wonderful and convenient

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think about how many countries now have

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the ability to Cyber attack us they're

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hitting our hospitals they're hitting uh

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our oil feeld field uh Services they're

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they're hitting our financial sector uh

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they're hitting our military uh they're

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hitting uh our grids they're hitting

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everything and it's amaz it just amazes

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me that people will sell you know

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they'll they'll sell everything for some

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convenience they'll sell safety for

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convenience oh you know yeah we could

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get Cyber attacked and maybe our money

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won't work but boy it's so convenient

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and so easy to have this digital money

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um people just don't understand how

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quickly things can be can be shut off

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and just imagine where the technology is

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going to be a year from now two years

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from now three years from now do you

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really want to have all of your eggs in

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one basket sitting on a computer screen

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do you really think it's that safe uh it

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appeared to impact business operations

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at the company's North Houston campus as

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well as some Global uh connectivity

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networks they have

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48,000 employees and they operate in

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more than 70 countries

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I mean think about the security they

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must have on their systems and yet

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they're being

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infiltrated uh you know I I I read daily

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about our water treatment facilities and

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our grids being like being attacked

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every day uh you have uh the FBI warning

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US Weekly now that you know they're

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gonna they're going to be very

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successful at some point and they're

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going to shut some grids down they're

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going to shut some cities down they're

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going to shut your water down uh they're

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going to shut your emergency services

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down they have the technology to do this

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and we're being overwhelmed every day by

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this so be careful don't keep all your

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money sitting on a computer screen

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because if that screen turns up to be

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blue one day and you can out access your

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money you're going to be in very very

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big trouble especially when your

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electricity doesn't work your water

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doesn't work it's imperative that you

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are putting some water away you're

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putting food away put some food away for

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your animals too remember your animals

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uh make sure you have a trauma kit make

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sure you maybe have some extra vitamins

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some extra medicine put this stuff away

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if you have a small budget just think

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about what you would need to survive for

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a week or two if the entire grid went

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down think about just a few items water

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food security things like that a little

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uh silver some cash don't keep all your

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money in the bank ladies and gentlemen

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uh keep enough to pay the bills uh but

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you may want to get some of it out

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because if that grid goes down and those

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systems don't work they're not taking

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your ATM they're not taking your credit

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cards uh they're not taking your debit

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card they're taking one thing cash

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that's it if it gets really bad then you

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may be talking to a farmer about uh

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trading some gold and silver for food uh

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feds gave Catholic Charities almost $800

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million that help shelter and transport

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the president's migrants into US

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communities now this isn't to get

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political you know I don't get

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political um but we do have to get e

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economic

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here wouldn't $800 million really be

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helping some Americans right now look I

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don't want to see anybody suffer I don't

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care where somebody's from what part of

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the world I don't want to see anybody

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suffer but I can't afford to pay for it

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this country can no longer afford to pay

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for anybody we're bankrupt $35 trillion

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in debt we cannot afford to do this

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stuff who paid for this what would $800

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million do for your city what would $800

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million do for your business what would

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it do for your kids people are going

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into debt to buy back to back to school

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supplies people are going into debt to

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go to the grocery store they're going

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into debt to pay their electricity bill

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and $800

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million went to help these people when

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it should have went in my opinion my

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opinion only should have went to to help

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Americans where's this money coming from

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I think you have an idea it's coming

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from you it's coming from me I want my

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money to help these people right here in

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the United States of America

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Americans first if we can't help

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ourselves we can't help anybody we're in

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very very big trouble again not

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political it is economic we deserve to

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know where this money is coming from and

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we need to know why it's not helping

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Americans why it's not helping the Vets

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why it's not helping small businesses

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while it's why it's not helping your

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kids school why it's not helping to

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create more jobs why it's not helping to

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um uh uh improve the infrastructure why

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it's not going to help things right here

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to feed people that need food right here

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in America who's paying for this why is

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this being

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allowed and as I speak about that

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Pittsburgh Post debtors propose closing

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two Chenango Valley hospitals bankrupt

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Steward Health Care system LLC is

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seeking Court approval to close a

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346 uh uh bed trauma center and a 69 bed

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Rehabilitation Hospital in the Shenango

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Valley at the same time F raising in

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negotiations continue see we we have to

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negotiate and fundraise to get money

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nobody gives it to us to continue to

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save stewards 82 uh bed Sharon Regional

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Medical Center in Mercer County the

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owner is of these

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properties uh is medical properties

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trust Inc from Birmingham Birmingham ham

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Alabama

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now while I read you this article coming

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from the Pittsburgh Post

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they're looking to place these patients

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somewhere else because these units these

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hospitals look like they're going to be

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shutting

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down and it blows my mind that we have

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$800 million to just give out when we

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have hospitals closing and patients in

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the hospital rooms need to find a new

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location this is absolutely appalling

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that we're not helping our own people

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that we're allowing hospitals to close

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but but we have hundreds of millions

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billions of dollars to give to everybody

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else what do you think about this I I I

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think this should be completely illegal

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I I think it should be

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uh completely

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unacceptable uh I I just I I just don't

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get it I mean this is just to me it

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looks like a fullon assault uh to the

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American people in my my opinion that

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they're not getting the help businesses

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a people laying in a hospital bed

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um the infrastructure the average person

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working paycheck to paycheck 78% of this

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country falling behind falling behind

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spending another extra thousand bucks a

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month just to live like they were just

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to keep up where they were they're

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spending an extra thousand dollar a

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month that's $1,000 a year most people

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cannot do that and they're falling

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behind and many people are falling out

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of the middle class while we give

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hundreds of millions and billions of

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dollars uh to people from all over the

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world while our hospitals shut down

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while uh our infrastructure crumbl

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while our small businesses close down

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while our restaurants close down while

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the economy continues to fall into

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shambles this continues to go on we have

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money for everybody else we don't have

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money for

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America I'm going to leave it there

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today uh please comment on any of this

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uh tomorrow should be very very

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interesting uh what jome pal says how

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much does he juice the markets maybe he

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doesn't maybe he shocks everybody I

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doubt that but uh how doish will he be

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how hawkish will he be I think he's

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going to be extremely doish who knows I

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don't have a crystal ball let me know

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your thoughts what's Dr pal going to do

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tomorrow how will the markets react and

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are you seeing hospitals businesses

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restaurants in your areas continue to

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close down and how much worse is it

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going to get this is absolutely

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unacceptable it's absolutely pathetic

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it's disgusting it's repulsive that this

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is allowed to go on and nobody is doing

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anything about it I hope I pray to God

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that

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everybody's voting I I know that it's

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selection yada yty but look you got to

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do something people got to be out

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talking they they've got to be posting

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this stuff on social media they've got

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to be voting uh you know it's not an

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election it's a selection maybe to a

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point but if enough people got off the

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couch and voted maybe it's not it's

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harder to select at that point I don't

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have the answers ladies and gentlemen

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but we got some big problems and they

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need to be addressed and I think the

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more that people admit that we have

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problems the more that people see these

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problems the more that people speak up a

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little bit vote a little bit more uh

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post more on social media uh maybe maybe

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something gets done how about prayer how

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about prayer if you don't think any of

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that works one thing that we do know

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that works is prayer we all need to be

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praying for the United States of America

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we all need to be be praying for one

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another um because if we're not praying

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for this country at this point because

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it needs a miracle the only thing that

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saves us now saves this economy is a

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miracle and the only way we're going to

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get that is prayer and getting off the

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couch have a great day be safe out there

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God bless all of you God Bless America

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talk to all of you very very soon

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Economic AnalysisMarket TrendsJerome PowellInterest RatesHousing MarketJob CrisisCybersecurityConsumer SpendingATM FeesHospital Closures