Why Your Trading Plan isn't Working
Summary
TLDRهذا النص يتحدث عن الخطوات الثلاث الضرورية لنجاح التداول: العقلية، الإحتمالات، والخبرة. يوضح النص كيف يمكن للعقلية منع التداول من تحقيق الأرباح، ويشدد على أهمية ال紀و الذاتي لتحديد الأخطاء والتحسين عليها. كما يتحدث عن أهمية إيجاد الصفقات ذات الاحتمالية الأعلى والتقليل من الصفقات ذات الاحتمالية الأدنى. ينتهي النص بالتأكيد أن الخبرة هي العامل الحاسم في النجاح في التداول.
Takeaways
- 🚀 الخطوة الأولى هي العقلية، حيث يجب على المتداولين تجنب التداولات ليست مدفوعة من ال的一面 نظر العقلية والعمل على تحسين الأداء من خلال الكتابة ومراجعة السجل التجاري.
- 📈 الخطوة الثانية هي الاحتمالات، حيث يتعلم المتداولون كيفية تحديد الصفقات ذات الاحتمالات الأعلى والأقل من خلال تحليل السجل التجاري وإجراء دراسات حالة.
- 📚 الخبرة هي الخطوة الثالثة، حيث يعزز المتداولون خبرتهم وفهمهم للسوق من خلال الالتزام بنفس الخطة التجارية وممارسة المراجعة المستمرة.
- 🔄 يجب على المتداولين تجنب 'م증ة الشيء الساطع' التي تدفعهم للبحث عن خطط تجارية جديدة بشكل مستمر بدلاً من تحسين الخطة الحالية.
- 📉 الخسائر هي جزء من اللعبة، ويجب على المتداولين التعامل معها و从中学习 بدلاً من التحول إلى خطط تجارية جديدة.
- 📝 الكتابة الشخصية هي أداة قوية يمكن استخدامها للتعرف على الأخطاء العقلية وتحسين القرارات التجارية.
- 🔍 من خلال تحليل السجل التجاري، يمكن للمتداولين اكتشاف النماذج المشتركة في الصفقات الناجحة والغير ناجحة واستخدام هذه المعرفة لتحسين العمليات المستقبلية.
- 💡 التركيز على التحليل التحليلي للعقود قبل الدخول إلى الصفقة يمكن أن يساعد على تقليل الخسائر والزيادة من احتمالية النجاح.
- ⏳ الصبر والانتظار ل战机 المناسبة قبل الدخول إلى الصفقة هو ما يميز المتداولين الناجحين عن الذين ي βιرون الدخول بشكل عشوائ.
- 🌟 الخبرة الشخصية هي الميزة الرئيسية للبشر في التداول، حيث يمكنها أن تتجاوز القدرة على التطبيق المنطقي للrobots.
Q & A
ما هي المراحل الثلاثة التي يجب على كل متداول متجاوزها قبل أن يبدأ في ربح المال؟
-المراحل الثلاثة هي: العقلية، الإحتمالات، والخبرة.
ما هي 'مخاوف الأشياء ال煜煜' التي يذكرها النص؟
-مخاوف الأشياء ال煜煜 هي حالة حيث يبدأ المتداول في تغيير خطة التداول أو يبحث عن خطة تبدو أفضل بسبب خسارة في بعض الصفقات.
لماذا يجب على المتداول البدء بكتابة مذكراته؟
-الكتابة في مذكراته تساعد المتداول على التعرف على الصفقات التي يتخذها وأساسها، مما يمكن أن يساعد في تقليل الأخطاء النفسية في التداولات.
ما هي أهمية التحليل التحليلي للمذكرات للتداول؟
-التحليل التحليلي للمذكرات يساعد على تحديد الأخطاء العقلية والمعاملات ذات الاحتمالية الدنيا والعالية، مما يساعد على تحسين خطة التداول.
لماذا يمكن أن تكون أول صفقة في اليوم خسارة في كثير من الأحيان؟
-قد يكون الNSE في البدء بصفقة بسبب الحماس أو الارتياح، مما قد يؤدي إلى اتخاذ قرارات غير منتظمة أو غير مدروسة.
ما هي أهمية التركيز على التحليل الفني عند اتخاذ القرار بشأن الصفقة؟
-التركيز على التحليل الفني يساعد على تحديد الصفقات ذات احتمالية النجاح أعلى وتجنب الدخول في الصفقات ذات الاحتمالية الدنيا.
كيف يمكن لصاحب خطة التداول استخدام مذكراته لتحسين أداء التداول؟
-يمكن لصاحب خطة التداول استخدام مذكراته لمعرفة الأخطاء المتكررة والتحسين عليها، وزيادة التركيز على المعاملات ذات الاحتمالية العليا.
ما هي أهمية الخبرة في تحسين أداء التداول؟
-الخبرة توفر لمستخدم خطة التداول القدرة على ال作出了知情 القرارات بغض النظر عن القواعد الأساسية للخطة، مما يزيد من احتمالية الربح.
لماذا يجب على المتداول الالتزام بنفس خطة التداول؟
-الالتزام بنفس خطة التداول يساعد على تجميع نوع من الخبرة موحدة، مما يمنع التناقضات وتحسين أداء التداول على المدى الطويل.
ما هي الخطوات الضرورية لتطوير الخبرة في التداول؟
-الخطوات الضرورية لتطوير الخبرة هي الالتزام بخطة التداول، الكتابة في مذكرات التداول، التحليل التحليلي للمذكرات، والعمل العميق والدراسة المستمرة.
Outlines
🚀 التحضير النفسي قبل الدخول إلى التداول
في النص الأول يتحدث المقدم عن الخطوات الثلاث الضرورية لأي متداول قبل أن يبدأ في ربح المال: العقلية، الإحتمالات، والخبرة. يشير إلى أن ال Strategize التجارية هي فقط البداية، وأن الخسائر هي جزء من اللعبة. ينصح بالكتابة الشخصية للتعرف على الأخطاء العقلية وتحسين الStrategize التجارية. يستخدم مثالاً من مسجل تجارة مستخدم من mmt لشرح كيف يمكن ملاحظة الأخطاء العقلية والتحسين عليها.
🔍 تحليل الStrategize التجارية للتحسين
تدور النص الثاني حول تحليل مسجل تجارة مستخدم من mmt لمعرفة الأخطاء العقلية والStrategize التجارية الأقل احتمالية للربح. يشير إلى أن الStrategize التجارية الناجحة تتطلب التركيز على الStrategize التجارية الأكثر احتمالية للربح وتجنب الStrategize التجارية الأقل احتمالية. ينصح بمراجعة السجل الشخصي للتعرف على الStrategize التجارية التي يجب حذفها بسبب الأخطاء العقلية والتحسين عليها.
📈 اكتشاف الStrategize التجارية الناجحة
في النص الثالث يتحدث المقدم عن الStrategize التجارية الناجحة وكيفية التركيز على الStrategize التجارية التي ت同意 مع الاتجاهات السوقية. يستخدم مثالاً عن التداول في اليورو兑 الدولار ل说明 كيف يمكن ملاحظة الStrategize التجارية التي ت同意 مع الاتجاهات السوقية وتلك التي لا ت同意. ينصح بإجراء دراسات حالة لتحسين الStrategize التجارية والتعلم من الأخطاء السابقة.
💡 الخبرة كمكونهم في الStrategize التجارية
يناقش المقدم في النص الرابع أهمية الخبرة في الStrategize التجارية وكيف يمكن للبشر استغلال الخبرة لزيادة احتمالية النجاح في الStrategize التجارية. يشدد على ضرورة الالتزام بنفس الStrategize التجارية لجمع الخبرة الموحدة وتحسين الStrategize التجارية من خلال المراجعة المستمرة والدراسة العميقة.
⏳ الصبر وال恒心 كعوامل للنجاح في التداول
في النص الخامس يشير المقدم إلى أهمية الصبر وال恒心 في الStrategize التجارية وكيف يمكن أن تؤدي ال时许 والممارسة المستمرة إلى تحسين الStrategize التجارية. يشير إلى أن الStrategize التجارية الناجحة لا تتحقق إلا بعد一段時間 من ال时许 والممارسة المستمرة.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡الخطة التجارية
💡ال Shiny Object Syndrome
💡ال前三滴水
💡السجل التجاري
💡ال前三滴水 العقلية
💡الفجوة القيمة العادلة
💡الاحتمالات
💡الخبرة
💡التركيز
💡التراجع
Highlights
创建交易计划后,交易者还需经历心理、概率和经验三个阶段才能开始赚钱。
忽视这三个阶段会导致交易行业中最大的陷阱——闪亮物体综合症。
交易计划只是交易旅程的开始,而不是结束。
交易计划不意味着自动开始盈利,因为可能没有充分发挥其潜力。
心理阶段是关于过滤掉我们不应该采取的交易。
建议开始记录交易日志,以了解你是基于什么理由进行交易的。
通过交易日志,可以发现交易者在一天中的第一笔交易往往不是高概率交易。
交易日志可以帮助识别基于心理错误的交易。
避免在一天中的第一笔交易中因缺乏专注而产生的心理交易。
通过比较一天中的第一笔和第二笔交易,可以发现第二笔交易往往是更高概率的。
避免在同一交易ID上两次进入市场,尤其是在第一次已经退出的情况下。
通过过滤掉心理交易,可以显著提高交易周的回报率。
概率阶段是关于识别最高概率和最低概率的交易。
通过交易日志分析,可以发现某些货币对在特定情况下的交易成功率。
避免在没有明确理由支持交易ID的情况下进行交易。
对于止损后价格又回到入场水平的情况,需要深入分析是错过了盈利机会还是避免了损失。
通过案例研究和深入工作会话,可以提高识别高概率交易的能力。
经验阶段是关于如何通过一致性和时间积累来提高交易技能。
坚持使用相同的交易计划是积累经验的关键。
通过持续的日志记录和市场观察,可以提高交易的一致性和经验。
时间是提高交易技能的最重要因素,需要耐心等待和持续学习。
Transcripts
you've created your trading plan you are
ready to use it and you might think it's
finally time to start making some money
I'm sorry but you couldn't be more wrong
because for every single Trader there's
three phases three steps that you still
need to go over which are step number
one psychology step number two
probabilities step number three
experience then after going over the
three steps you will be absolutely ready
to start making some money now before we
do that let me give you some context
because not realizing these three steps
leads to the biggest trap in the trading
industry which is called shiny object
syndrome now let me explain that a
little bit further when I made a trading
plan for the first time I thought that's
it that's the last step you need to take
before the money just comes rolling in
but that's simply not true it's only the
start of the journey because when you
start losing some trades and like most
Traders you think the trading plan isn't
working so you start changing the whole
trading plan you start looking for
something quote unquote better which is
not actually better this is shiny object
syndrome now and if you don't control
shiny object syndrome it's going to be
the end of your trading career it will
just turn into an endless cycle you need
to understand that losses are a part of
the game don't assume when you have a
trading plan that you automatically
start winning because most likely you
are not operating the trading plan at
its fullest potential potential now what
does that mean that leads us to step
number one the psychology phase now when
you have a new trading plan and you're
looking to use that trading plan then
most likely in your first 10 trades
there are quite a few trades that are
not part of the trading plan that means
that when you take losses it's not the
trading plan that's the problem it's you
and me the human executing the trading
plan now having a clear trading Plan
before blaming psychology is very
important yes but how many Traders out
of thousands of Traders can actually
follow their trading plan without any
issues straight from the start I would
say close to zero if not zero so what is
step one psychology phase about it is
about filtering out the trads that we
should not take and we are taking them
because we struggle with psychology so
how can we do that number one I want you
to start journaling because this will
give you an idea what kind of Trades you
are taking and what basis you are taking
those traits then after journaling you
want to go through your journal or have
someone else go through the journal
sometimes it's difficult to see your own
mistakes so having someone look at your
journal helps a lot so this is for
example where the mmt can also help you
because what we have right here is the
notion of an mmt member in other words
this is the trade Journal of an mmt
member and today you and me are going to
judge this mmt member we have permission
so feel free to now what I want to do
right here I want to see if we can find
trades that are based on psychology
errors so pointing out the reason why
someone took the trade or at least tried
to of course because we are not exactly
taking trades we are judging from the
outside there's a lot going on here but
what I want you to focus on is the left
side first so the date right there then
after focusing on the date I also want
you to focus on the rrr the risk to
reward ratio so with those two sections
highlighted right there you'll start to
notice something and this is the first
thing when I open this journal is the
first thing I noticed and that is the
following you will see that every first
trade of the day is a loss now this is
something that I immediately recognized
from my own trading when I was just
starting out because when you are quite
new to trading and you open the chart
then often times you are very excited to
jump into the market Mark to execute
immediately and especially if you're
coming from I would argue any other job
in the world when you arrive at work you
need to do something immediately with
trading that's the opposite with trading
it's often times a lot of waiting as
well now with rushing into the market
often times you lack Clarity meaning
you're not focused fully you're
distracted by all the movement in the
market you're too excited you're too
hyped to jump into the market now this
is purely an assumption so how can we
now know if this is actually based on
some truth well if we start comparing
the first trades of the day with the
second trades of the day then we will
start seeing and this is what we'll do
in the second phase so in the
probabilities phase then constantly the
second or the third trade is a lot
higher probability than the first trade
that to me shows that the second or the
third trade trade after the first loss
was logically thought about they
actually thought about that trade where
the first trade was just like oh I'm
happy to start trading again and let me
just jump into the market now this is
one thing that you can potentially
recognize in your own journal as well
then there's another thing I want to
move on to week four in this journal and
I want to look at the trade of the 25th
of April right here now right here we
can see that the mmt member is taking a
trade right here based off of that fair
value Gap to then potentially continue
higher eventually price came back
towards the entry level so the trader
got taged out at break even now keep
that in mind because if we now move on
to the second trade of the day right
there then we see right here this is the
exact same scenario where the previous
trade was a little bit earlier off of
this fair value right there the second
trade is based off of this fair value
Gap right there now initially I could
understand if you think what's a fair
value Gap higher potentially towards to
take profit not bad trade ID right well
the first thing that I notice is that
you got taken out at break even already
earlier on this trade ID and I want you
to think about this very in depth
because if you take a loss already on
one trade ID or a break even that means
something there's a reason to it when
you take a loss or a break even that
means the trade ID is not going in your
favor that's why your stop loss is at a
certain area your stop- loss should be
at an area where low probability starts
to kick in where the trade ID is not in
your favor anymore so if that's the case
and price starts moving in your favor
again that means that you are now
trading low probability conditions which
means that just because we have a fair
value Gap higher at that moment in time
you are losing focus because this for me
is not a trade based on technical
analysis it's a very good trade ID no
this is purely a trade ID for me based
on oh I don't want to miss out on
this trade I need to enter really quick
right here this is something you can
also notice in your own journal what I
definitely noticed in my journal is also
marrying a bias so thinking the ID
should definitely play out then buying
buying buying buying until you either
blow the account or finally it starts to
play out so based on this trade ID can
we then come to the conclusion that we
never want to enter twice on a single
trade ID after already getting taken out
of a trade well for me my personal
trading plan yes that is indeed the case
but for someone else we need to gather a
little bit more data and we need to see
if this happens more often as well and
if you indeed see that your trade ID
usually plays out but you get taken out
on the first trade and that means you
can potentially look to enter on the
second trade in the same trade ID but if
that's not the case then you don't want
to enter a second time which in this
case it's not the case so if we filter
out the pychology errors right here then
in week four that means that minus one R
right there is gone so still week four
right here is at a loss now right here
if we filter out those psychology trades
again and we say okay we want to be more
focused for the first trade of the day
so try to avoid that first trade of the
day or at least be focused enough where
you can avoid it because it's not high
probability enough then filtering out
every first trade of the day in week
three will remove minus. 6r minus 72r
minus1 r which comes to about Min - 2.3
RR that would make week three instead of
a 3 RR it would make it a
5.3 RR now that of course is a huge
difference because when you then combine
week three and week four then week four
if you also filter out the psychology
errors then week four seems like a minor
inconvenience where you are set back to
plus 4 R still where now it's the case
when week three and week four you are
back at one R so once you have
identified the trades that you can
filter out based on psychology and again
right here I've gone over losses but in
some journals it is also the case that
you are taking winning trades that you
actually should not take because you are
following in you are Revenge trading
overtrading and you got out lucky and
now you're ending up with a winner that
you shouldn't actually have taken then
to filter out psychology trades in the
future you want to start working on them
and the first thing is becoming aware
Ware of them when you are aware of the
problem the problem is already 50% fixed
in a similar scenario to this right here
with week three we could argue well pay
more attention have a clear checklist
before you go into your day so you can
go into the day more focused in other
scenarios it might also be the case of
reducing your chart time so setting
alerts walking away from the screen if
you notice you always start your day
with a winner and after you start losing
then limit your trades to one trade a
day now that's phase number one because
once you have filtered out those
psychology trades there's still work to
do because now we arrive at Phase number
two and that is the psychology phase in
the psychology phase we need to find the
highest probability trades and the
lowest probability trades with obviously
one goal taking more of the winning
trades taking less of the losing trades
wow now do you need anyone to tell you
what is the highest probability or what
is the the best thing to do for your
trading someone can help you to Fast
Track that progress like we do in the
mmt for example but all you need is your
own journal in your Journal you have all
the information that you need to find
the high probability and low probability
scenarios now I want to take a look at
the exact same Journal right here
because the winners right here have
something in common the break even
trades right here also have something in
common and the losing trades besides it
also being psycholog trades also have
something in common The First losing
trade was taken on Australian dollar US
dollar then this right here chart that
we're seeing is the US dollar the thing
I want you to note is that the US dollar
at this moment time did not have a sting
into this 4our for Val Gap meaning it
did not have a reason to go higher just
yet it left behind an unmitigated 4our
for Gap okay that's not necessarily
something to immediately draw
conclusions but if we now start taking a
look at the second trade this trade is
again on Australian dollar US dollar
only 6 hours later then here the same US
dollar chart with that 4-Hour fap right
there at the bottom which we did not
sting into just yet neither on this
scenario but it does have a 15minute
fair Val Gap right there which it can
continue higher from so the dollar can
either continue higher right there from
the 4-Hour F Val gap or the 50 minutes
for Value Gap okay so what do we do do
at that moment in time we wait for extra
confirmation from the 50-minute fair
value Gap that will show us signs if we
want to respect the 50 minutes for Value
Gap continue higher if not we could
potentially continue lower to the 4H
hour gap the major difference between
this trade and the first trade is that
in this trade there's a reason to
continue higher on the dollar meaning we
have a retracement into a fair value Gap
from the fair value Gap we can actually
see higher prices in the previous trade
ID we were in the middle of nowhere
there was nothing no PD rate that we
could continue higher from at that
moment in time now and this is something
that gets repeated because on the third
trade right there also a losing trade
which is again a trade on Australian
dollar US dollar we will see that the
dollar right there has reached an
opposing resistance area meaning the
dollar is not agreeing with the ID
anymore it's run into resistance very
similar to the first trade ID also loss
the dollar is again not agreeing with
the ID now both these trades like we
mentioned are also part of the
psychology phase as in they are the
first trade of the day could be a lack
of focus but now we can identify it a
little bit more by also saying the
dollar is simply not agreeing with the
ID in the moment of those trades now
this is one thing the other thing is if
we take a look at those break even
trades we can see right here that this
trade actually was a missed winner so it
hit take profit eventually and and it
was not a prevented loss the first thing
that I want you to do when you get a lot
of break even trades is seeing when you
hit Break Even does it go to your
original stop- loss or does it go
eventually still play out and to your
take profit so is it a missed winner or
a prevented loss if it's the case that
you only have prevented losses that
means your break even rule is perfect if
you only miss winners or the majority of
your break evens are missed winners
remove the break even rule completely
for now until you have more experience
to know when you should go break even
because taking a look at this trade as
well it's again an entry which ended up
as a missed winner and not a prevented
loss now here we looked at two break
evens we could argue that's not enough
data to completely remove that break
even rule perfect but the first thing we
mentioned that the dollar is not in
agreement is already something that we
can actually change quite fast the
important thing is though that you need
to filter out those low probability
trades as fast as possible and if you
can already spot those patterns quite
fast then you can already take into
account certain things for next week not
necessarily changing the whole training
plan just taking it into account adding
it to your experience but if you don't
do that and you don't learn from it then
the following happens because then you
go from week three to week four for
example and you see here that those same
mistakes that you made in the previous
week they get repeated this is why it's
so important to journal afterwards start
reviewing your trade see if you can
improve somewhere then before you go
into the market or before you go into a
new week or into a new month you filter
out the low probability trades how do
you do that by doing case studies by
studying that subject well then what do
you even study you study the exact thing
that you found in your Journal so in
this case it's the dollar not an
agreement so you want to study all your
trades that you did take when the dollar
was in agreement seeing what that looks
like in the chart can simply be in
hindsight as well if you struggle with
entering on the right fair value Gap and
that results in a lot of losses for you
but before you go into a new week into a
new month first study that exact subject
entering on the right fair value Gap and
this again can be done through case
studies which is simply going into a
chart in hindsight like I'm doing for
example here in Bitcoin using the call
outs the annotations right there and
simply creating notes right here around
your subject that way you might make the
mistake another time but not twice and
not three times and not four times where
you keep on hitting the same Stone over
and over and over that way you slowly
start to filter out those low
probability traits now these were only
the first two phases and these phases
will bring you very far but they won't
reach your full potential because phase
number three The Experience phase that
is where you will reach your full
potential we are at a disadvantage when
it comes to psychology in comparison to
robots but we are at an advantage when
it comes to experience because we have
something that is the most powerful
thing in the world and that is called
the brain a robot follows the same rules
over and over and over without having
any psychology issues so you could see
that as an advantage but a human if you
manage to filter out psychology issues
then you can also add trades to your
experience meaning if you take a losing
trade you can learn from that without
adding a new rule to your trading plan a
trading plan is a necessity in my
opinion but a trading plan can only take
you so far
no matter how good the rules of a
trading plan might be it will most
likely never outperform someone with 20
years of experience in the market that's
why I like to have my trading plans 80%
objective so those are my rules so I
don't mess up whilst I'm trading and 20%
subjective that's where the experience
is that's where the potential of the
trading plan is because when your
experience takes over that's where you
gain a lot more R that's where your win
rate increases a lot more because you
are able to filter out bad trades and
good trades the trading plan keeps you
on the right track but experience is
where the true potential is now how do
you gain this experience the first thing
that is extremely important is sticking
to the same trading plan because if you
constantly switch from Trading plan to
trading plan you are going to gain
different types of experiences which
might not sound that bad but if you're
going from a supply and demand Trader to
all of a sudden an algorithm or
liquidity Trader that's a completely
different logic behind trades so those
will not function well together they
will contradict each other then once you
stick to the same trading plan journal
and see where you can improve just like
we've done in this video and when you
find things that you can improve on for
example in this case when the dollar is
not in agreement then do deep work
sessions around that topic so looking at
my own journal for the month of June I
took a break even trade and a losing
trade based on the fact that I traded
from a potential Breakaway gap which
ended up eventually trading back into
the Breakaway Gap so what do I do I do a
deep work session around it and I even
share it with the mmt that's how I get
to certain conclusions that's how I get
to certain Concepts because I study it
from my own journal and this is also how
you can improve the number four
consistency because most people don't
journal every single week every single
day every single month they give up
after a certain amount of time most
people don't even trade consistent I am
looking at the chart every single day
not trading every single day but I'm
looking at the chart every single day so
I know and I'm aware of what's happening
in the market I'm improving I'm
experiencing certain situations that
we've never seen before if you only look
at the chart for 1 hour a day but you do
that consistently every single day
then you will outcompete someone that
will look at the chart right now for 8
hours and then stops for 2 weeks comes
back does it for 8 hours that does not
work at least not as efficient as
consistently looking at the chart for 1
hour a day then the last thing is time
which is the most important thing
submitting to time now if you want us to
speed up that process for you then you
can also take a look at the mmt link in
description and we can see if we are the
right match for each other all right
perfect thank you
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