Biggest Mistake That Beginners Make
Summary
TLDR这段视频脚本讨论了交易中的风险管理和决策过程。强调了对于新手交易者来说,使用限价单和宽止损单可能导致较大的损失,因为他们可能在市场逆向移动时恐慌退出,而不是增加头寸。建议新手交易者应该寻找止损入场点,使用适当的止损,并避免糟糕的交易。成功的关键在于避免亏损的交易,提高胜率,并通过选择性交易和避免不够好的交易来增加盈利潜力。
Takeaways
- 📉 在交易中,大的价格波动意味着高风险,因此在反转时不要期望获得高回报。
- 🚫 交易新手使用限价单和宽止损时容易亏损,因为他们可能在市场大幅逆向时恐慌并退出。
- 🔄 交易者应该在市场反转时使用限价单和宽止损逐步进入市场。
- 🤔 交易新手可能没有意识到他们需要用比平常更小的头寸进行交易。
- 🌟 经验丰富的交易者可以根据自己的经验调整交易规模和止损策略。
- 💡 即使是经验丰富的交易者,也会在某些时候买入或错过一些交易,关键是要确保交易决策是合理的。
- 🏆 避免糟糕的交易是成为盈利交易者的关键,而不是追求完美。
- 📈 通过避免亏损的交易,可以提高胜率,这是盈利交易的重要组成部分。
- 🔄 通过提高交易的回报与风险比,可以增加盈利能力。
- 🛑 交易者应该避免那些看似不错但实际上不够好的交易,选择更有潜力的交易机会。
- 🎯 交易时应该专注于管理交易,设定合理的利润目标,而不是担心错过交易。
Q & A
为什么在第18条时交易者希望价格跌破当日最低价?
-交易者希望价格跌破当日最低价是因为这通常意味着市场趋势的延续,可能会带来更大的利润空间。然而,这也伴随着较大的风险,因为大的价格波动通常意味着市场不确定性增加。
为什么大的价格波动会带来问题?
-大的价格波动意味着市场波动性增加,这可能导致交易者面临更大的风险。在这种情况下,交易者可能会因为市场的突然反转而遭受损失,尤其是当他们使用宽止损或尝试加仓时。
为什么交易者在市场反复反转时不应该使用限价单进行交易?
-在市场反复反转时,使用限价单进行交易可能会导致交易者面临高风险和低回报的情况。由于市场没有明确的趋势,交易者可能会在不合适的价格水平进入市场,导致潜在的利润减少。
对于新手交易者来说,为什么限价单交易可能会导致更大的损失?
-新手交易者可能没有足够的经验来判断市场的正确时机,使用限价单和宽止损可能会在市场对他们不利时导致恐慌性退出,从而产生大额亏损。他们可能在市场应该加仓的时候因为恐惧而选择退出。
为什么新手交易者在使用限价单时应该交易更小的头寸?
-交易更小的头寸可以帮助新手交易者管理风险,避免因为一次不利的交易而对整个账户造成严重损害。随着经验的积累,交易者可以逐渐增加交易头寸,同时使用宽止损和加仓策略。
交易者如何提高他们的交易胜率?
-交易者可以通过避免不良交易来提高胜率。这意味着他们应该专注于选择那些具有高概率成功和良好风险回报比的交易,同时避免那些看起来诱人但实际上不够好的交易。
为什么避免亏损交易是成为盈利交易者的关键?
-避免亏损交易可以提高交易者的胜率,减少账户的损失。通过专注于避免那些可能导致亏损的交易,交易者可以更快地实现盈利,并且保持账户的健康状态。
交易者如何提高他们的利润率?
-交易者可以通过提高交易的奖励与风险比来提高利润率。这可能涉及到选择更有吸引力的交易机会,或者通过加仓策略在有利的市场条件下增加潜在利润。
为什么错过交易并不重要,重要的是避免不良交易?
-错过交易并不重要,因为即使经验丰富的交易者也会错过一些盈利的机会。关键是确保所进行的交易是有计划和结构良好的,这样可以在长期内保持盈利。
交易者在面对市场不确定性时应该怎么做?
-面对市场不确定性时,交易者应该专注于管理风险,使用适当的止损,并确保每次交易都有合理的利润目标。他们不应该因为害怕错过机会而急于交易,而应该耐心等待那些符合自己交易策略的机会。
在紧张的交易区间顶部交易有哪些风险?
-在紧张的交易区间顶部交易时,如果市场突然向上突破,交易者可能会面临较大的亏损。此外,由于市场波动性可能较低,交易者可能会发现自己在不利的位置进入市场,难以获得足够的利润来弥补潜在的亏损。
Outlines
📉 交易风险与市场行为分析
本段讨论了交易者在市场逆转时的行为模式和心理状态。提到在市场下行时,交易者希望价格跌破日低,但这种大波动带来的是高风险而非高回报。强调了大波动带来的问题,即交易者往往因为市场连续几次的逆转而面临大风险和小利润的局面。文中还提到了交易者在使用限价单时容易犯的错误,如使用过宽的止损点和过度交易,以及新手交易者往往因为害怕损失而错过了加仓的机会。最后,建议新手交易者应该避免使用限价单,而是寻找止损点进入市场,并使用适当的止损点。
🤔 交易决策与风险管理
这段内容强调了交易者在选择交易时应该更加谨慎,避免那些看似不错但实际上并不完美的交易机会。指出交易者往往因为希望这次能够成功而参与这些交易,但这种心态可能导致不理想的交易决策。
Mindmap
Keywords
💡市场反转
💡低概率交易
💡大棒图
💡限制订单
💡止损
💡交易规模
💡恐慌退出
💡增加头寸
💡交易策略
💡盈利潜力
💡避免亏损交易
Highlights
市场下行时,交易者希望价格跌破当日低点,但成功概率低且风险大。
大阴棒意味着高风险,因为它们通常不会带来高回报。
交易者在几个柱状线后反转,这表明市场趋势不明确,风险较高。
在紧密交易区间的顶部买入或底部卖出,更像是限价单市场。
新手交易者使用限价单和宽止损时,往往会亏损。
新手交易者在市场对他们不利时,往往会恐慌退出,而不是加仓。
新手交易者往往交易规模过大,即使是经验丰富的交易者也可能在限价单交易中使用过大的止损和加仓。
避免亏损比追求盈利更为关键,提高胜率是盈利交易的重要组成部分。
通过避免坏交易,可以更快地成为盈利交易者。
提高盈利相对于风险的比例,是增加盈利能力的另一种方式。
选择性交易和避免看似不错但不够好的交易,可以提高交易质量。
即使错过交易和趋势,只要避免坏交易,仍然可以赚钱。
交易者不应担心错过交易,而应关注交易的质量和管理方式。
对于新手来说,最好寻找止损入场点,使用适当的止损,而不是尝试限价单交易。
在紧密交易区间顶部,如果市场直接上涨,不必过于担心错过机会。
交易者应该等待更好的交易机会,避免在不利位置进行交易。
交易者应该关注提高自己的交易技能,而不是追求完美。
通过避免坏交易,可以提高胜率,这是成为盈利交易者的关键。
Transcripts
we're reversing down
at bar 18 they're hoping we go below the
low of the day
low probability short plus big risk
these big bars create a big problem big
bars mean big risk
and we've been reversing every few bars
so the probability is you're not going
to get much reward so you have big risk
big and low profit potential
because of all the reversals and the
probability is low
buying at the top of a tight trading
range or selling at the bottom
so it's more of a limit order market
traders buying below things
using wide stops scaling in selling both
things
using wide stops and scaling in
most traders starting out will lose
money if they trade with limit orders
and especially if they trade with wide
stops because they will make mistakes
they think they will be able to do
what's necessary
but when the market goes far against
them and it's time to add on
instead they'll panic and they'll exit
with a big loss
instead of adding on and then making a
profit
in general i think traders starting out
when they trade with limit orders create
far bigger size
than what they should be trading now it
might be their
usual size that they use for stop entry
it might even be half that size
but it's still probably too big
so one of the biggest problems for
traders
using limit orders especially when
they're starting out is they don't
realize
just how small they have to trade
with experience you can trade your usual
size
and use a wide stop and scale in
you know i do that and um
and i don't like and it feels bad you
know i did buy about six
and i had a stock uh i think 15 points
below five
um but you know that's
you know because i'm pretty confident
about what i'm doing
but um if you're starting out there's no
way you're going to be able to do that
it's better just to look for stop
entries
use the appropriate stops and
you know do what you do what you should
be doing
and limit order training um
just you know you're not going to be
able to do it you're going to
make mistakes you'll be exiting exactly
at a time
when you should be adding on because
you're afraid of
you know demolishing your account and
that's a reasonable fear
right if your initial position is too
big you don't know that
until the market goes against you and
then you realize
i can't add on you know i don't want to
lose that much money
top of a tight trading range
and big tail on top so i think most
traders should just wait
it's a high one we're always in long we
have a micro double bottom
test of yesterday's low test of the
seven high all good for the bulls
but bad buy signal bar in bad location
top of a tight training range what
happens if it just goes straight up from
here
it's fine you know i miss straights all
the time i never worry about it
all i worry about is if i take a trade
did i take a good trade have i
structured the trade in a way
that makes sense my stock my profit
target am i managing the trade correctly
i never worry about missing trades i
miss trades and i miss trends all the
time
no yet i still make money right
so you don't have to be perfect all you
have to be is good
and the single best
skill is avoiding bad traits
if you look at your account and look at
the past 20 trades
you know even if you're a beginner you
probably have five or six winners
so you have the ability to make money
what you have to do
is avoid the losers and the more losers
you avoid the quicker you become
profitable
and that's one of the keys to trading
you know by avoiding losers what you're
doing is
increasing your winning percentage and
you know that's an important component
to being a profitable trader
another way to increase your
profitability is by
increasing the reward relative to the
risk
so swing training so swing training
being selective and avoiding
dumb traits trays that look almost good
enough but not quite good enough
and you take them hoping that this time
will work
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