Ultimate Day Trading Strategy Guide 📚🍏for Beginners (Working in 2024!)

Ross Cameron - Warrior Trading
31 Mar 201555:18

Summary

TLDR罗斯·卡梅伦在这段视频课程中介绍了他的八周日内交易课程。他强调了日内交易者如何利用市场波动性获利,并指出交易最活跃的时段是开盘后的头一个小时内。卡梅伦分享了他专注于开盘交易的策略,如何寻找低风险入场点,并强调了风险管理和纪律性的重要性。他还讨论了为何许多交易者失败,以及如何通过练习和持续学习来提高交易技能。此外,卡梅伦提到了交易者如何通过扫描市场、关注新闻和股票图表模式来寻找交易机会,以及如何避免在市场波动性较低的时段进行交易。

Takeaways

  • 📈 交易课程强调了股票交易的基础知识,包括如何在市场波动中获利。
  • 🕗 市场在开盘时最为波动,尤其是早上9:30到10:30之间,为交易者提供了最佳交易机会。
  • 💡 交易者应专注于寻找流动性好、交易量大的股票,以便于进出市场。
  • 🎯 交易者应设定明确的每日盈利目标,并在达到目标后减少交易,以降低风险。
  • 📊 风险管理是交易中最重要的概念,交易者应始终寻找低风险进入点,并保持风险与回报的比例合理。
  • 📉 识别和利用市场模式是交易成功的关键,交易者应专注于易于识别的模式,如旗形或楔形突破。
  • 🤔 新手交易者需要学会区分不同交易设置的潜力,并随着经验的积累提高识别高潜力交易的能力。
  • 📊 交易者应使用图表和模式来形成对股票的一般态度,例如通过阅读蜡烛图来理解市场情绪。
  • 🚫 大多数交易者失败的原因是缺乏纪律和快速决策的能力,在压力下保持冷静和遵守交易规则至关重要。
  • 🔍 成功的交易者需要持续学习和适应市场变化,永远不应自满或停止提升自己的技能和纪律。
  • 📝 交易者应记录和分析自己的交易,以了解自己的交易模式和改进策略。

Q & A

  • 什么是日内交易,它如何运作?

    -日内交易是一种交易策略,交易者在同一交易日内买入并卖出股票,不持有股票过夜。它依赖于市场的波动性来获利,交易者寻找那些快速上涨或下跌的股票,并尝试以可预测的方式进行交易。

  • 为什么市场在开盘时最为动荡?

    -市场在开盘时最为动荡,因为这是交易量最大的时段,通常是早上9:30到10:30。高交易量提供了流动性,意味着有很多买家和卖家,使得交易者可以容易地进出交易。

  • 日内交易者如何最小化风险?

    -日内交易者通过寻找低风险入场点来最小化风险,这涉及到找到良好的交易设置,即潜在收益远大于潜在损失的交易机会。

  • 为什么大多数交易者会失败?

    -大多数交易者失败是因为他们无法快速做出决策并且缺乏纪律性。日内交易需要在压力下进行多任务处理,保持冷静,并始终遵循交易策略和风险管理规则。

  • 什么是交易中的‘好设置’?

    -‘好设置’是指一个交易机会,它允许交易者以尽可能少的风险进入交易。例如,可能涉及冒着$100的风险去赚取$300的潜在收益,这是一个3:1的利润损失比率。

  • 交易者如何找到交易机会?

    -交易者通过扫描市场来找到设置良好的股票。这涉及到使用股票扫描器和关注市场新闻、收益发布或其他可能引发股票大幅波动的催化剂。

  • 为什么交易者需要专注于股票模式?

    -专注于股票模式是因为模式可以提供市场参与者的共同关注点,这些模式包括旗形、楔形等,它们在具有高交易量的热门股票上特别有效。

  • 什么是蜡烛图,它如何帮助交易者?

    -蜡烛图是一种股票图表,显示特定时间段内的股票价格变动。它通过比较开盘价和收盘价,以及最高价和最低价,帮助交易者理解市场情绪和趋势。

  • 交易者如何使用蜡烛图进行交易决策?

    -交易者通过识别蜡烛图上的模式,如大阳线通常表示看涨,而大阴线表示看跌。此外,特定的蜡烛图模式,如旗形或楔形,可以提供关于市场可能的转折点的线索。

  • 为什么交易者需要避免在交易中结合基本面分析?

    -结合基本面分析可能会导致交易者在面对图表上的不利信号时,仍然因为对公司基本面的看好而持有不利的交易,这可能会增加损失的风险。专注于技术分析可以让交易者更客观地根据市场行为做出决策。

  • 日内交易者如何管理风险?

    -日内交易者通过设置止损点来管理风险,这意味着他们有一个明确的退出点,当市场走势不符合预期时,他们会选择退出交易以限制损失。

  • 为什么交易者需要跟踪他们的交易?

    -跟踪交易可以帮助交易者了解自己的交易习惯和策略的有效性,通过分析交易数据,交易者可以发现哪些策略最有效,并据此调整自己的交易方法。

Outlines

00:00

📈 课程介绍与日内交易基础

Ross Cameron 开场介绍日内交易课程的第一节课,解释了日内交易的基本概念。讲述了作为日内交易者需要寻找市场波动性,以及早盘交易的优势。强调了交易者需在市场波动性大、交易量高的时候交易以确保流动性。此外,Ross 分享了他每天早盘交易的策略,即在市场开盘后的前一小时内进行交易,以较少的交易次数达成日目标。

05:01

🤔 如何做出快速且理性的交易决策

本段探讨了交易者在进行快速决策时所需的多任务处理能力和纪律性。Ross 强调了在面对市场突发消息时,交易者需要迅速判断并采取行动,同时确保决策符合其交易策略和风险容忍度。他还分享了个人经验,描述了在交易中超出舒适区的风险和后果,提醒交易者要保持冷静并注意自身情绪状态。

10:04

💪 交易中的技能与纪律

本段讨论了交易中的技能和纪律的重要性。Ross 强调,技能是通过长期的实践和学习获得的,而纪律需要不断地培养和锻炼。他指出,尽管掌握了交易技能,但保持纪律仍然是交易成功的关键。此外,他强调,交易者应不断学习和适应市场变化,避免自满和过度自信。

15:06

📊 如何寻找交易机会

本段详细介绍了寻找交易机会的方法。Ross 讲述了扫描市场以找到有利交易设置的过程,并解释了为何关注质量而非数量的重要性。他分享了他通过观察市场波动和新闻催化剂寻找交易机会的策略,并强调了耐心等待最佳交易机会的重要性。

20:08

🚀 图表模式与交易设置

Ross 详细讲解了常见的图表模式如旗形和阶梯模式,强调了这些模式在高交易量股票中的有效性。他分享了自己的交易策略,即只交易第一和第二次回调,并强调了图表模式在市场中被广泛关注的重要性。

25:09

🔍 零售交易者与机构交易者

Ross 讨论了零售交易者与机构交易者之间的差异,并建议零售交易者关注市场中零售交易者集中的股票。他解释了如何利用市场上的新闻和社交媒体来找到当日最热门的交易机会,并强调了与其他交易者交流的重要性。

30:11

🔧 日内交易所需工具与平台

本段介绍了日内交易所需的工具和平台。Ross 推荐了几款关键工具,如图表软件 eSignal、经纪商 SpeedTrader、股票扫描工具 Trade Ideas 以及新闻服务 Benzinga Pro。他强调了这些工具对快速执行交易和发现交易机会的帮助,并提醒交易者学习如何使用这些工具。

35:12

💡 日内交易策略与风险管理

Ross 强调了交易策略和风险管理在日内交易中的重要性。他指出,每个交易者需要有一个经过验证的交易策略,并根据市场条件调整风险。他分享了自己的交易策略,并建议新手交易者在证明某个策略有效之前,不要进行实际资金交易。此外,他强调了保持耐心和管理风险的重要性。

40:13

📝 交易记录与绩效追踪

本段建议交易者记录和分析自己的交易,以了解其绩效和改进交易策略。Ross 分享了他早期记录交易的经历,并强调了跟踪交易数据以识别成功和失败模式的重要性。他鼓励学生开始记录他们的交易,并向他汇报他们的发现。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡日内交易

日内交易是指在同一交易日内买入并卖出证券的交易策略,目的是为了利用市场的波动性来获取利润。视频中提到,日内交易者通过寻找快速上涨或下跌的股票来进行交易,并且强调了在市场开盘的前一两个小时内,由于交易量最大,因此市场波动性也最大,为日内交易提供了良好的机会。

💡波动性

波动性是指股票价格变动的幅度和速度,日内交易者通过市场波动性来获利。在视频中,Ross Cameron强调了日内交易者需要找到那些能够快速移动的股票,因为市场的平静期并不适合日内交易,只有在波动性大的时候,日内交易者才能通过买卖差价来获得利润。

💡流动性

流动性是指资产能够快速且以合理价格买卖的能力。在视频中,提到了高交易量提供了良好的流动性,这意味着买卖双方都很活跃,交易者可以轻松进出交易。相反,在交易量低的时段,流动性差,这使得大额交易变得更加困难。

💡风险管理

风险管理是交易中用于控制和减少潜在损失的策略和方法。视频中强调了风险管理的重要性,提到了如何通过设置止损点和风险收益比来最小化风险。例如,一个好的交易设置可能会冒着$100的风险去赚取$300的利润,这就是一个3:1的利润损失比率。

💡交易策略

交易策略是指交易者用来指导其买卖决策的一套规则或方法。视频中提到了多种交易策略,如寻找低风险入场点、利用市场开盘时的高波动性进行交易等。交易策略对于交易者来说至关重要,它帮助交易者在复杂多变的市场中保持一致性和纪律性。

💡模式识别

模式识别是指在股票价格图表中识别出特定的图形或模式,这些模式可能预示着未来价格的变动。在视频中,Ross Cameron提到了他专注于图表模式,特别是那些简单且被广泛认可的模式,如突破阻力或跌破支撑,因为这些模式通常会引起大量交易者的注意和反应。

💡突破交易

突破交易是一种交易策略,它涉及在股票价格突破某一关键阻力位时买入股票。视频中提到,突破交易者喜欢在股票显示出强劲的上涨势头时进行交易,而不是在股票处于盘整阶段时买入。这种策略的关键在于迅速行动,在确认突破发生后立即进入市场。

💡反转交易

反转交易是指在股票价格达到某一低点后预期将会反弹,从而买入股票的策略。与突破交易不同,反转交易者等待股票显示出下跌势头减弱的迹象,然后寻找买入机会。视频中提到,反转交易需要明确的反转信号,例如股票价格开始创造新高,表明下跌趋势可能即将结束。

💡股票扫描器

股票扫描器是一种工具,用于筛选和识别市场中可能存在交易机会的股票。在视频中,提到了使用股票扫描器来找到具有高交易量或特定技术模式的股票。扫描器帮助交易者缩小关注范围,专注于那些最有可能产生交易机会的股票。

💡新闻驱动交易

新闻驱动交易是指利用市场对新闻事件的反应来进行交易的策略。视频中提到,交易者会关注那些因新闻事件而产生大幅波动的股票,如公司财报发布、重大公告等。这种策略要求交易者能够快速反应,并在新闻事件影响下做出交易决策。

💡交易纪律

交易纪律是指交易者在交易过程中遵循既定规则和策略的能力。在视频中,强调了即使在面对市场压力和快速变化的情况下,交易者也需要保持冷静和遵守交易计划。缺乏纪律可能导致冲动交易和过度交易,从而增加损失的风险。

💡交易心理学

交易心理学涉及交易者在交易过程中的情绪和心理状态,以及这些因素如何影响交易决策。视频中提到,交易者需要了解自己的情绪状态,保持专注和冷静,即使在连续亏损的情况下也能维持交易纪律。良好的交易心理学有助于交易者避免在压力下做出错误的决策。

💡滑点

滑点是指交易者下单的价格与实际成交价格之间的差异。在视频中提到,滑点是市场交易中不可避免的一部分,尤其是在交易量较低或市场波动性较高时。滑点可能导致交易者在执行交易时损失额外的成本,特别是在频繁交易的情况下,滑点的累积效应可能会显著增加交易成本。

💡交易量

交易量是指在一定时间内买卖某只股票的总股数。视频中提到,交易量是日内交易者寻找交易机会的关键因素之一。高交易量通常意味着股票具有更高的流动性和波动性,为日内交易者提供了更多的交易机会。同时,交易量也是判断股票是否受到市场广泛关注的一个重要指标。

💡股票图表

股票图表是展示股票价格随时间变化的图形,通常包括开盘价、最高价、最低价和收盘价。在视频中,提到了蜡烛图这种图表类型,它通过不同的线条组合来表示股票在特定时间段内的价格变动情况。读懂和分析股票图表对于日内交易者来说是至关重要的,因为它们可以帮助交易者识别市场趋势和潜在的交易机会。

💡交易计划

交易计划是交易者在进入市场前制定的一系列规则和策略,包括入场点、止损点和目标利润等。视频中强调了制定交易计划的重要性,它有助于交易者在市场波动时保持冷静和有条不紊。一个好的交易计划可以减少冲动交易,提高交易的成功率。

💡交易执行

交易执行是指交易者根据其交易计划快速且准确地进入或退出交易的能力。视频中提到了快速执行的重要性,特别是在市场快速波动时,能够迅速下单对于抓住交易机会和避免损失至关重要。使用具有快速执行功能的交易平台和工具,如热键操作,可以帮助交易者提高交易执行的效率。

💡杠杆

杠杆是指使用借来的资金进行交易的能力,它可以放大交易者的盈利潜力,同时也会放大亏损风险。在视频中提到,一些券商为交易者提供高达4倍的杠杆,这意味着如果交易者账户中有$30,000,他们可以交易高达$120,000的股票。然而,使用杠杆需要交易者非常谨慎和负责,因为不恰当的使用可能导致重大损失。

💡交易者类型

交易者类型是指根据交易风格和时间框架对交易者进行分类的方式。在视频中提到了几种类型的交易者,包括日内交易者、摇摆交易者、日线交易者和周线交易者。每种类型的交易者都有其特定的交易策略和时间框架,例如日内交易者专注于在一天内的交易,而周线交易者可能关注更长期的市场趋势。

💡市场宏观趋势

市场宏观趋势是指整体市场在较长时间内的价格走势,如上升、下降或横盘整理。视频中提到,交易者可以通过观察市场指数的宏观通道来识别市场的整体趋势,并据此调整自己的交易策略。例如,在市场处于宏观通道的顶部或底部时,可能会出现更多的价格波动和不确定性。

💡交易工具

交易工具是指交易者用来辅助交易决策和执行的各种软件、平台和服务。在视频中提到了一些具体的交易工具,如eSignal用于图表分析,Trade Ideas用于股票扫描,以及Benzinga Pro用于获取实时新闻。这些工具可以帮助交易者更有效地识别交易机会、监控市场动态和执行交易。

💡交易教育

交易教育是指提供给交易者的知识和技能培训,帮助他们更好地理解市场、制定交易策略和提高交易技能。视频中提到了Warrior Trading提供的交易课程,这些课程旨在教育交易者如何使用交易工具、分析市场趋势、制定交易计划以及如何进行风险管理。通过交易教育,交易者可以建立起自己的交易策略,并在市场中实现长期的成功。

Highlights

课程由Ross Cameron主讲,为期八周,专注于日内交易基础和进阶策略。

日内交易者寻求市场波动性,利用快速且相对可预测的股票价格移动来获利。

市场在开盘时最为动荡,尤其是上午9:30至10:30之间,为日内交易者提供了最佳交易机会。

交易者应专注于开盘时的交易,因为此时市场流动性最好,便于进出交易。

日内交易者应避免在缺乏流动性的市场中交易大额股票,以减少滑点和交易成本。

寻找低风险入场点是交易的关键,良好的交易设置意味着潜在收益远大于风险。

交易者应避免负风险收益比的交易,始终寻找具有高收益潜力的低风险交易机会。

日内交易需要快速决策和纪律,对新闻事件的即时反应需要结合交易策略和风险管理。

交易者应保持情绪稳定,即使在连续亏损的情况下也要维持交易纪律。

技能和纪律需要持续锻炼,即使成为熟练交易者也不能停止学习和提升。

风险管理是交易中最重要的概念,交易者需要全天管理风险以做出良好决策。

找到交易机会对于新交易者来说是一个挑战,需要学会扫描市场和识别股票的交易设置。

交易者应专注于质量而非数量,耐心等待值得交易的机会,避免过度交易。

Ross Cameron采用基于图表模式的交易策略,关注蜡烛图和股票符号,而非公司基本面。

交易者应识别并专注于那些零售交易量高、能够抵抗算法交易的股票。

蜡烛图模式,如旗帜形态和楼梯步形态,是交易者识别交易机会的重要工具。

交易者应专注于股票的突破交易,减少在股票盘整期间的交易,以降低风险暴露时间。

交易者应学会识别和利用市场新闻作为交易催化剂,但避免仅基于新闻冲动交易。

使用适当的工具,如图表软件、经纪人平台、股票扫描器和新闻源,对交易者至关重要。

交易者应根据市场条件调整风险,避免在市场波动时过度交易。

每个交易者都应发展和坚持自己的交易策略,并通过跟踪交易来优化策略表现。

Transcripts

play00:00

all right everyone welcome to class one

play00:02

of our day trading course so as you guys

play00:06

know my name is Ross Cameron and this is

play00:09

our eight week long course in day

play00:12

trading alright so first chapter here

play00:15

we're gonna cover a lot of the basics

play00:17

and we will get into more detail as we

play00:19

go so you may have some questions today

play00:22

that will be answered in the coming days

play00:25

but you can of course feel free to call

play00:27

out your answers in the chat room and

play00:29

anyone watching on the recording you can

play00:31

feel free to email me Ross at date red

play00:33

warrior comm alright so first question

play00:38

here how does day trading work okay so

play00:40

and another another thing to ask here is

play00:43

what are we looking for as day traders

play00:46

all right we talked about this a little

play00:48

bit today it's a very simple concept but

play00:50

we're looking for stocks that are moving

play00:52

ok as day traders we profit from

play00:55

volatility in the market so if the

play00:58

markets are flat we're not going to make

play00:59

money we need to find stocks that are

play01:01

gonna make quick moves to the upside or

play01:04

the downside in a relatively predictable

play01:07

manner

play01:08

okay so we profit from volatility when

play01:11

is the market the most volatile it's in

play01:14

the morning okay it's in the morning at

play01:16

the open 9:30 to 10:30 in the morning

play01:18

the first hour is when we have the most

play01:21

volume in the market okay so we have a

play01:25

lot of volatility and we have a lot of

play01:27

volume now the advantage of having that

play01:28

volume is it provides liquidity when we

play01:32

have a lot of volume it means there's a

play01:33

lot of buyers and a lot of sellers so we

play01:36

can easily get in and out of trades and

play01:39

now on the flip side mid day we can have

play01:42

volatile markets but we don't have the

play01:44

volume which means we lack liquidity

play01:47

which means it'll be harder to get in

play01:49

and out of stocks okay especially if we

play01:52

want to take large size so my focus has

play01:56

always been trading at the open and

play01:58

trading in the morning I find that the

play02:01

first one to two day trades usually four

play02:04

out of five days I can hit my goal in

play02:06

the first thirty minutes with one to two

play02:08

trades I keep it simple I try to hit my

play02:11

daily goal and then

play02:13

ease up right we know how quick it is to

play02:16

lose money so once we have some money in

play02:19

our pocket we want to hold on to that

play02:21

alright so we know we want to find

play02:24

stocks that are moving but finding

play02:26

stocks are gonna move in a relatively

play02:28

predictable way is the struggle right

play02:30

that's the struggle for every trader how

play02:32

do we find a stock that's gonna make a

play02:34

move and get in with a low risk entry

play02:37

and that's the name of the game finding

play02:39

low-risk entries every time we trade we

play02:42

know we're exposing ourselves to risk so

play02:44

how do we minimize that risk that's what

play02:48

we call finding a good set up any good

play02:50

set up is an opportunity for us to get

play02:53

into a trade with this little risk as

play02:55

possible so a good set up means we might

play02:58

be risking $100 but we have the

play03:00

potential to make 300 okay so we would

play03:04

call that a three-to-one profit loss

play03:05

ratio risking 100 to make 300 is 3 to 1

play03:09

all right now on the flip side if you

play03:12

get in a setup where you're risking $100

play03:15

to make 10 you have a negative risk

play03:17

reward ratio and that's going to be a

play03:19

trade that you should not take all right

play03:22

so we're always looking for

play03:23

opportunities to get low-risk entries

play03:25

with big wind potential but being able

play03:29

to identify setups that have big wind

play03:32

potential is also part of the learning

play03:34

process right as a beginner trader you

play03:36

may not be able to differentiate

play03:38

different setups and recognize what is a

play03:41

homerun potential flag and what is a

play03:44

most likely failing flag that's

play03:48

something that comes with experience but

play03:50

also with training okay so our job as

play03:54

day traders is to always hunt for volume

play03:58

and volatility

play04:00

okay so we're searching the market all

play04:02

day long looking for that volatility so

play04:07

we look for earnings releases we look

play04:09

for press releases any type of catalysts

play04:14

that can cause big movement in the stock

play04:16

we're gonna be interested in it all

play04:18

right and it comes in many forms and

play04:20

we'll review those in more detail later

play04:21

in the course

play04:24

so here's another question why do most

play04:27

traders fail right day trading requires

play04:31

you to make quick decisions and at the

play04:34

same time it requires you to be very

play04:36

disciplined right now when we hear

play04:39

breaking news that activist investor has

play04:42

just taken a stake in Amazon okay the

play04:45

initial reaction might be to load the

play04:47

boat let's buy 5,000 shares of Amazon

play04:50

right put put on a big order that's like

play04:52

a 1.5 million dollar order right but you

play04:57

need to be able to make a quick decision

play04:58

whether you should buy or sell or short

play05:01

that stock and make it with discipline

play05:04

does this fit into my trading strategy

play05:06

what strategy would this fit into if

play05:08

this trade goes the wrong way what is my

play05:11

stop how much my risking in this trade

play05:14

and what is the reward potential right

play05:16

being able to make all those decisions

play05:18

and making sure those decisions fit into

play05:21

our risk tolerance and our strategy

play05:24

parameters is what for a lot of traders

play05:27

is very difficult it's multitasking but

play05:30

it's multitasking when you're under

play05:32

stress you know there's times where I've

play05:35

been in a trade where I had too much

play05:37

sighs maybe I had 10,000 15,000 shares

play05:40

and all I need to do is sell and I'm

play05:44

looking at my keys and it becomes hard

play05:47

to even figure out how to punch the

play05:50

right keys you just sort of get this

play05:52

moment of paralysis where you're

play05:54

overwhelmed and any time that happens

play05:57

you realize that you pushed yourself a

play05:59

little too far out of your comfort zone

play06:01

and that will happen to every one of us

play06:03

I mean it happened it's happened to me

play06:05

it'll happen to all of you from time to

play06:07

time right it's it's good to work on the

play06:09

edge of our comfort levels so we're

play06:11

always pushing our boundaries but if we

play06:13

find ourselves far outside our comfort

play06:15

level and outside our risk tolerance we

play06:18

can really end up making some big

play06:20

mistakes so it's always good to be in

play06:22

touch with ourselves both of our sort of

play06:24

emotional state of you know are you

play06:26

focused are you calm are you making good

play06:29

decisions you know and also be in touch

play06:32

with

play06:33

the result of your decisions are you

play06:36

trading profitably have you had five

play06:38

winners in a row or if you had five

play06:40

losers in a row right because inevitably

play06:42

when we get on the losing streak it's

play06:44

going to start to impair our judgment so

play06:47

being able to be in touch with your own

play06:49

emotions and maintain composure even

play06:52

through a losing streak is really really

play06:54

critical

play06:55

okay so skill and discipline these are

play06:58

like muscles they require exercise to

play07:01

grow and it's not something that once

play07:03

you grow them you have them forever and

play07:05

you don't have to work on them anymore

play07:06

you still have to exercise them right

play07:09

and that that's what I experience every

play07:11

day I'm still exercising my ability to

play07:14

have self-control to have discipline

play07:16

right now the skill is something that

play07:19

I've built up so you can't take away the

play07:22

skill to ride a bicycle and you can't

play07:24

take away the skill to identify good

play07:26

stock charts right those are skills but

play07:29

the discipline is something that we

play07:31

always have to work on and the skills

play07:33

you know in truth or something that

play07:36

we're always developing and refining

play07:39

it's this is a job where we're always

play07:42

learning which is great it's very

play07:45

stimulating but it's important to

play07:49

remember that if you start to get

play07:51

complacent and think oh I know

play07:52

everything you know I don't need to you

play07:55

know I don't need to study anymore

play07:57

oftentimes you'll get a quick correction

play07:59

and you'll lose money so that's the

play08:01

market correcting you all right so being

play08:06

able to make quick decisions and follow

play08:09

your trading rules that is critical for

play08:12

success in the market as we go on with

play08:16

this course we're gonna talk a lot about

play08:18

risk management everything that we do is

play08:21

gonna come back to how are you managing

play08:24

risk because ultimately that is the most

play08:27

important concept for a trader to

play08:29

understand all day long I'm managing

play08:33

risk that's what I'm doing I'm trading

play08:35

stocks but I'm managing risk okay so

play08:38

we're gonna teach you how to manage risk

play08:39

so you can make good decisions all right

play08:43

now next how do you find trades

play08:46

okay this is really hard for line new

play08:48

traders you may understand the theory of

play08:50

trading but when it comes down to

play08:52

actually finding setups in real time it

play08:56

can be really difficult

play08:57

I certainly experienced this as a new

play08:59

trader I might be able to see setups in

play09:01

hindsight when I looked back on charts

play09:03

during the day but to find them while

play09:06

the day was unfolding was really

play09:08

difficult for me so we're gonna go over

play09:11

how to find the trades right so first

play09:14

we'll start with scanning how do we scan

play09:16

the market to find stocks that are set

play09:19

up in a good way so first we have to

play09:21

find the stocks and then once we've

play09:23

found the stocks we'll start to look for

play09:25

the individual setups okay now we are

play09:29

going to be very specific about what

play09:31

types of stocks and what type of setups

play09:34

were willing to trade alright and I

play09:37

focus a lot on quality versus quantity

play09:39

now there are millions of traders out

play09:42

there and there are millions of

play09:43

strategies out there I'm trading a

play09:46

strategy that works for me right and

play09:49

that's what we're teaching and we're

play09:50

finding that it works really well for

play09:52

our students as well so it's a strategy

play09:53

that's easy to implement easy to learn

play09:56

and for a lot of our students and

play09:59

certainly for me has been very

play10:01

profitable okay so that means only

play10:03

taking the best setups and waiting on

play10:06

the sidelines until we see something

play10:08

worth trading and this gets into the

play10:11

value of patience learning to be patient

play10:13

is extremely important there are a lot

play10:16

of traders out there that are over

play10:17

traders if you over trade that's where

play10:20

you're gonna see yourself trading 20 30

play10:23

40 times a day that's over trading over

play10:27

trading results in very high commissions

play10:30

your broker will love you but you're

play10:33

paying him a lot in commissions to do

play10:35

all those trades okay so you're gonna

play10:37

lose money in commissions you're also

play10:40

gonna lose money on trades that go south

play10:42

because of slippage slippage is an

play10:44

inevitable factor in the market slippage

play10:47

is when you go to sell and you thought

play10:49

you're selling at $5 but the market

play10:51

filled at 490 so you lost an extra 10

play10:54

cents and so what it's an extra ten

play10:57

cents it's not that big a deal but when

play10:59

you

play10:59

an over trader and you're trading 20 30

play11:02

40 times a day that slippage starts to

play11:05

really add up right 10 cents with a

play11:08

thousand shares is $100 if you do that

play11:10

ten times in a day with slippage you

play11:12

just lost a thousand bucks right so you

play11:15

can see how if you're going to put

play11:17

yourself into the market and take a

play11:18

trade you're you know you're immediately

play11:21

exposing yourself to the potential of

play11:23

slippage and the potential of other

play11:26

forms of risk that we'll review later in

play11:27

the course okay so as soon as you're in

play11:29

a trade you're exposed to risk so we

play11:32

don't want to expose ourselves to risk

play11:33

unless we have proven that this is a

play11:36

setup and a strategy worth trading okay

play11:41

so my strategy is a pattern based

play11:44

strategy I don't care about companies I

play11:47

don't care about what they do I don't

play11:49

care about their earnings I just care

play11:52

about the patterns I focus on charts

play11:55

okay and I focus on the symbols I know

play11:58

more stock symbols than I know the names

play12:00

of companies I've trained myself to just

play12:04

focus on the patterns the candlesticks

play12:06

and the symbols I don't mingle

play12:08

fundamental analysis with technical

play12:11

analysis I focus just on the technicals

play12:14

now with that said I do hunt for a

play12:17

fundamental catalyst a reason why a

play12:20

stock is running up if we have a stock

play12:22

that's running up 80% I want to know

play12:25

what the catalyst is oh it's a

play12:26

biopharmaceutical stock they just got

play12:28

FDA approval or they just passed through

play12:31

clinical trials okay there's a catalyst

play12:33

there I can understand that right but

play12:37

beyond that I'm not gonna be sifting

play12:38

through the conference cup I'm not gonna

play12:41

be able to sitting in on conference

play12:42

calls and I could be sifting through

play12:43

their earnings papers I don't care about

play12:45

that stuff I'm not a long-term investor

play12:48

I'm a day trader we trade very very

play12:51

quickly sometimes we trade as quickly as

play12:54

10 second to 30 second long trades and I

play12:59

can tell you from experience that in ten

play13:01

seconds you can make thousands of

play13:03

dollars I've done it in ten seconds you

play13:07

can also lose thousands of dollars I've

play13:09

done that too so both ways the market

play13:12

moves quickly we need to make

play13:13

sure we're positioned in the right place

play13:15

to take advantage of the profits and

play13:17

reduce our risk exposure all right and

play13:23

it's really important to recognize that

play13:24

like I said millions of traders out

play13:26

there millions of strategies but every

play13:29

trader needs an edge okay

play13:31

and you need to find your spot in the

play13:32

market where you feel comfortable my

play13:35

edge is focusing on patterns okay I

play13:38

focused on patterns because this is just

play13:40

what worked for me

play13:41

now before I was a day trader I worked

play13:43

as an architect in New York City

play13:45

patterns have always been something that

play13:48

fascinate me I'm drawn to patterns I

play13:51

pick them out everywhere I see them on

play13:54

charts and I recognized early on in my

play13:56

trading career that the best setups or

play13:59

breakouts of patterns very simple

play14:02

patterns a breakout of resistance a

play14:04

breakdown of support these patterns work

play14:07

really well and the reason they work

play14:09

really well is because so many people

play14:10

are watching them okay now using this

play14:15

strategy I can be wrong forty percent of

play14:19

the time and still make money that's

play14:22

because I'm using proper risk management

play14:25

so we'll talk about the risk management

play14:28

parameters that I use later in the

play14:30

course but just at this point remember

play14:32

that we don't have to be right a hundred

play14:34

percent of the time to make money we can

play14:36

be right even just fifty percent of time

play14:39

and you can still book a profit okay now

play14:43

another thing to remember is that in

play14:44

this market right now over sixty percent

play14:47

of the volume is algorithmic

play14:50

high-frequency trading

play14:51

that means we're trading against

play14:53

computers so if you've ever tried to

play14:55

play chess against a computer you know

play14:57

you're always gonna lose you will always

play15:00

lose we're trading stocks against

play15:03

computer systems okay sixty percent of

play15:06

the volume is algorithmic trading that

play15:09

for us on the one hand represents a

play15:12

problem it means that the majority of

play15:14

stocks that we're looking at the the

play15:16

price action that we're seeing is simply

play15:19

the result of computers and moving

play15:21

shares around okay now on the other hand

play15:24

it means that there's a small

play15:27

handful of stocks each day that are

play15:29

gonna be trading on such heavy retail

play15:31

volume okay retail as opposed to

play15:35

institutional algorithmic trading we'll

play15:37

be trading on such high retail volume

play15:39

that we will overpower the algorithmic

play15:43

trading and we will as retail traders

play15:44

control that stock we focus on trading

play15:48

those stocks each day those are stocks

play15:51

typically that are gapping up on

play15:53

earnings a PR of some type they have a

play15:57

ton of retail interest and a ton of

play16:01

retail volume so regular traders like

play16:04

myself and all of you are going to be

play16:06

buying these stocks and we're

play16:07

overpowering the computer systems okay

play16:10

so these are the stocks that are gonna

play16:12

run up 20 30 40 % intraday we've even

play16:15

seen stocks around 200% intraday you get

play16:19

a big catalyst like FDA approval on a

play16:21

new drug and all the retail traders see

play16:24

it and they buy that stock is going up

play16:27

okay so we focus on that handful of

play16:30

stocks now if we try to trade the stocks

play16:32

that are trading on very light volume

play16:35

and if you think that 60% of the volume

play16:38

in the market is high-frequency trading

play16:40

60 percent on average so it's going to

play16:42

be much higher on some stocks and much

play16:44

lower on others so if we trade the

play16:47

stocks that are dominated and much

play16:49

higher in high-frequency trading

play16:50

we're gonna lose money hands down every

play16:52

time it's very hard to make money when

play16:55

you're trading against a computer okay

play16:58

so instead we should try to focus on the

play17:00

stocks that are gonna have a very low

play17:02

level of institutional high frequency

play17:04

trading okay so those are gonna be the

play17:07

stock that have therefore a high level

play17:09

of retail interest and what creates a

play17:11

high level of retail interest or buzz

play17:13

around the name it's going to be news

play17:17

okay so every single day I'm looking for

play17:20

the catalyst that's gonna drive the

play17:21

small handful of stocks up

play17:28

all right so pattern trading when price

play17:31

action is plotted on a chart patterns

play17:33

are formed I personally use candlestick

play17:36

charts so each candlestick represents a

play17:39

period of time and you can choose the

play17:41

timeframe of the chart that you're

play17:42

looking at you can choose daily charts

play17:45

hourly charts 5-minute charts 1 minute

play17:48

charts etc I prefer one minute and

play17:51

5-minute candlestick charts okay here's

play17:56

an example of what a candlestick looks

play17:57

like you have the low which is the

play18:00

bottom of the candle wick you have the

play18:02

high which is the high of the candle

play18:04

wick you have the open which is the

play18:07

bottom of the body right here in the

play18:10

case of a green candle and you have the

play18:11

close which is the top of the body in

play18:13

the case of a green candle okay this

play18:17

upper area here this is the upper candle

play18:19

wick this lower area is the lower candle

play18:20

wick okay so these are candlesticks

play18:24

candlesticks can tell us a great deal

play18:26

about the general trend of a stock okay

play18:33

large body candles like this one right

play18:35

here are very bullish candles like this

play18:39

that have a high wick and a low wick are

play18:41

usually going to be a little bit more

play18:43

indecisive candles of indecision okay in

play18:47

red candles that have this big red body

play18:49

means that open was at the high and the

play18:51

closes at the low this is a pretty good

play18:53

indication of bearishness in the market

play18:55

right so just by learning to read

play18:59

candlesticks we can begin to generate

play19:01

some opinion on what's the general

play19:04

attitude for the stock okay and we'll

play19:11

review more of these later these

play19:12

candlesticks how they form patterns this

play19:15

pattern right here is called a flag you

play19:17

have three big candles going up it can

play19:20

be anywhere from 3 to 10 or whatever you

play19:22

have a series of candles shooting up and

play19:25

then you have a series of candles

play19:26

consolidating this is a move a stair

play19:30

step consolidation resting another move

play19:34

up this is a very common pattern that we

play19:36

see

play19:39

here's another one

play19:41

a pop-up consolidation and then another

play19:46

move up stair stepping very common

play19:49

patterns

play19:50

I love trading patterns because everyone

play19:55

can see this everyone is watching this

play19:58

stock because this stock is a hot name

play20:00

today it's a hot stock right it's a

play20:03

gapper it has everyone's attention so

play20:06

we're all watching it we see this

play20:08

pattern unfolding it has resistance at

play20:11

37 50 that's a very clear visually it's

play20:15

very clear as soon as we break 3750

play20:18

buyers come in and anyone that is short

play20:21

covers and you get that spike up okay

play20:25

then it consolidates again here you guys

play20:29

that have followed me for a while you

play20:30

know that I trade the first and the

play20:32

second pullback okay so here's the first

play20:34

flag the first pullback here's the

play20:36

second pullback

play20:37

I never trade almost never trade the

play20:39

third I trade the first and second

play20:42

pullback we'll review that more when we

play20:45

review my actual trading strategies and

play20:48

setups but just for now recognize that

play20:51

these patterns are very well respected

play20:54

in the market but remember they're only

play20:56

well respected on that small handful of

play20:59

stocks that have a lot of volume this is

play21:01

not going to be well respected on a

play21:03

stock that's dominated by the computers

play21:06

because these patterns are meaningless

play21:09

okay this is only a value because lots

play21:14

of people are watching these names okay

play21:17

so my routine every morning is finding

play21:19

these names that we should be trading ok

play21:27

so what do other traders do right

play21:29

there's millions of traders out there

play21:31

will some focus on technical indicators

play21:33

like the relative strength index moving

play21:35

average Convergence divergence moving

play21:38

average crossovers okay there's a lot of

play21:40

technical indicators out there there's

play21:42

thousands right and some traders think

play21:46

they have the holy grail of technical

play21:48

indicators you know

play21:50

combination of the relative strength

play21:53

index or the moving average crossover is

play21:55

a 90% successful you know buy set up but

play22:00

I don't believe in any of that stuff

play22:02

I don't believe that stuff works

play22:04

especially over the long term I tried

play22:09

for a long time I did write algorithmic

play22:12

scanners I did some black box trading

play22:14

and what I found was that I would write

play22:17

a set of conditions I would write a

play22:19

formula I would back test it and I would

play22:22

see when I back tested that formula that

play22:24

I would have a you know an 80% chance of

play22:28

being right an 80% success rate okay I

play22:31

would run that formula live for 60 days

play22:34

and what at one time when I first back

play22:38

tested it was an 80% success rate would

play22:41

drop to 40%

play22:43

okay at the end of that 60-day period I

play22:45

would review that formula I would tweak

play22:47

it I would fix it I would bring it back

play22:50

up to 80% so when I back tested it it

play22:52

would say it was 80% successful I'd run

play22:55

it again and the profit curve would drop

play22:58

off again so what was happening well

play23:01

what I was doing was I was writing a

play23:03

formula to match inadvertently I was

play23:07

writing a formula to match a certain set

play23:09

of back test results so every time we

play23:12

change those back test results there was

play23:13

the result of the scanner would change

play23:16

so the scanner was great backward

play23:18

testing but was impossible for were

play23:21

testing it would never run positively

play23:23

forward because the market is always

play23:25

changing okay so that for me I don't

play23:29

think is a sustainable way to trade I

play23:31

think pattern based trading is much much

play23:34

better because these patterns will

play23:35

always be here and retail traders will

play23:37

always be watching them okay now yes we

play23:41

do use the relative strength index for

play23:43

some of our trading in particular

play23:45

reversal trading we have scanners that

play23:48

do rely on a high-low RSI but that is

play23:52

that is more condition to find stocks at

play23:55

extremes it's not by any means a buy or

play23:58

sell indicator

play23:59

it's just something that we use in

play24:01

addition to the pattern based scale

play24:05

that's a great question about the

play24:07

Fibonacci retracement and that's not a

play24:09

tool that I use or an indicator that I

play24:11

use okay so some day traders scalp

play24:16

volume spikes and hi a day moves so they

play24:18

have high of days scanners and anything

play24:21

hitting that high of a scanner with high

play24:22

relative volume they're gonna be

play24:24

watching okay I personally I have high a

play24:28

day scanners but I don't find it to be a

play24:31

successful strategy just to buy a stock

play24:33

because it's hitting high a day I'm

play24:35

usually chasing when I do that and it

play24:37

doesn't work okay and some day traders

play24:43

focus exclusively on counter trend

play24:45

trading now I do it myself some counter

play24:47

trend trading but it's not the

play24:49

cornerstone of my trading strategy okay

play24:56

so with pattern trading the more traders

play24:59

using these patterns the better they

play25:01

work right the more people that

play25:02

recognize that this is the line in the

play25:05

sand or we should be a buyer that means

play25:07

more people are going to buy at that

play25:09

point which means the stock is going to

play25:11

move up faster right the more buyers the

play25:14

quicker it'll move so this is the type

play25:16

of thing where I'm so happy to share

play25:20

pattern based trading not only to help

play25:23

other traders become more profitable but

play25:25

in truth the more people that are

play25:27

trading this strategy the better it'll

play25:29

work and the reason it works is because

play25:31

these small handful of stocks each day

play25:34

are being very well watched so lots of

play25:37

people are watching them for that simple

play25:39

breakout right that flag breakout that

play25:41

wedge breakout the sending wedge that

play25:45

breakout so many people are watching it

play25:47

it comes true

play25:49

okay so pattern trading you have to

play25:52

remember does not work on all stocks and

play25:55

we'll go into the details in our stock

play25:57

selection chapter but it only works on

play26:00

the stocks that have high relative

play26:02

volume okay so volume is relative right

play26:06

some stocks like Apple are going to

play26:08

trade millions and millions of shares a

play26:10

day on average

play26:11

other stocks on average might only trade

play26:14

500,000 shares a day so what is high

play26:17

volume is going to be relative from one

play26:19

stock to another so we actually look for

play26:22

high relative volume okay if we just

play26:25

look for a high total volume that's

play26:27

gonna really throw us off right because

play26:30

there's some stocks that trade on

play26:31

average with a lot of volume so we just

play26:33

look for what's above average for that

play26:35

stock okay now in particular for pattern

play26:40

trading I am a breakout trader I love

play26:43

buying breakout this is also called

play26:45

momentum trading okay I want to buy when

play26:48

we're having a stock that's running I

play26:50

don't like to buy during consolidation

play26:53

during that waiting and holding phase

play26:55

okay so some of those charts we looked

play26:57

at a few minutes ago we saw that quick

play26:59

pop up followed by that period of

play27:02

consolidation I don't like to buy during

play27:05

that period of consolidation I wait for

play27:07

us to break the top of that resistance

play27:10

area that's gonna be the apex point

play27:13

that's the breakout if I buy there

play27:15

that's where everyone else should be

play27:17

buying who's looking at taking this for

play27:19

the breakout so it's it's just instant

play27:22

it either works instantly or it doesn't

play27:24

so one of the risk factors that we'll

play27:26

talk about later in this course is your

play27:29

exposure time the longer you're in the

play27:31

market the more you're sitting exposed

play27:34

right so I reduce my exposure time by

play27:37

only buying at the breakout instead of

play27:40

buying and holding and waiting which

play27:42

would have increased exposure time I

play27:44

just wait for the breakout and then I

play27:46

punch my order I get in and I get out

play27:49

quickly right I take my money and I run

play27:52

that's been my philosophy trading

play27:55

getting the breakout get your profit and

play27:58

get out of the way right and that's why

play28:01

I only trade the first and second

play28:02

pullback I don't want to overstay my

play28:05

welcome with these setups I know they

play28:08

run quickly but I don't want to stay too

play28:10

long I don't want to be caught in the

play28:13

people in the flood of people selling

play28:15

because they chased it

play28:20

all right so yeah we'll review the apex

play28:24

point on a few trades but we'll do that

play28:27

at the end of the lesson okay now with

play28:34

reversal patterns in contrast to the

play28:36

breakout patterns with reversal patterns

play28:38

we're looking for our clear confirmation

play28:41

that the pattern is beginning to reverse

play28:45

okay so for me this is usually going to

play28:47

be the first candle to make a new high

play28:49

I'm gonna be looking for the first one

play28:51

minute or the first 5-minute candle to

play28:54

make a new high when we review reversal

play28:57

strategies we'll be talking about the

play28:59

rubber band snap back so we think of

play29:01

stocks trading we think of them as a

play29:03

rubber band and when they get really

play29:05

stretched out to the downside inevitably

play29:07

they're due for a correction okay so

play29:10

when a stock is really squeezing down we

play29:13

know at some point it's gonna make a

play29:16

bounce and we want to be in that for the

play29:18

bounce but we don't want to buy it when

play29:20

it's still sell it okay if you buy a

play29:22

stock when it's still selling it's

play29:24

called catching a falling knife right it

play29:27

doesn't sound like a good idea in life

play29:29

and it's not a good idea in trading okay

play29:32

so stocks dropping we want to wait for

play29:34

the confirmation of the reversal that's

play29:36

gonna be the first candle to start

play29:38

making a new high that's the place where

play29:41

I look to jump in all right

play29:44

I set my stop at the lows very important

play29:49

in day trading is setting a stop whether

play29:51

it's mental or alive stop you have to

play29:54

have a line in the sand where you get

play29:56

out okay this is the place where you

play29:59

admit defeat

play29:59

and you say I was wrong I'm getting out

play30:02

of the way now let's be honest I'm a

play30:06

successful trader but I still lose all

play30:08

the time so that means I must have found

play30:10

out a way to be a really good loser and

play30:13

it's true I lose all the time but I lose

play30:16

gracefully I take the losses and I walk

play30:18

away you have to be a good loser if

play30:22

you're not a good loser it's gonna be

play30:23

really hard to be a good trader you just

play30:25

have to be able to walk away when it's

play30:27

the time to step back so you can ask

play30:30

yourself a few questions

play30:31

is the stock still moving up

play30:33

are we still trending up right what is

play30:37

the low of the last five minute candle

play30:39

and have we broken that low because if

play30:41

we broke the low of the last five-minute

play30:43

candle in an uptrend then the trend may

play30:45

be starting to change we have to follow

play30:49

the charts and this is one of the issues

play30:51

where if you combine the fundamental

play30:55

analysis you can start getting yourself

play30:58

into the pattern of justifying staying

play31:02

in a bad trade simply because of the

play31:05

fundamentals well you know it's nice and

play31:08

they make really great sneakers they're

play31:10

definitely not going out of business

play31:11

I'll just hold this longer okay you

play31:14

don't want to do that you want to follow

play31:16

the chart if the chart is telling you to

play31:18

get out you get out you can always get

play31:21

back in but it's really hard to recover

play31:25

from a big loss right you don't want to

play31:28

take a $50 loss well you certainly don't

play31:30

want to take a $200 loss by the time you

play31:33

finally take the you know $800 loss it's

play31:37

really hard to get back from that so

play31:40

it's much better just to take the quick

play31:42

losses get out come back when the timing

play31:45

is better

play31:52

all right now it's also good to keep in

play31:54

mind that stocks will trend with the

play31:56

overall market unless they have a reason

play31:59

not to so this is part of the

play32:02

algorithmic trading this is part of what

play32:04

the computer systems do they're trending

play32:06

stocks with the market ok so the markets

play32:08

moving up stocks are moving up but

play32:10

they're gonna be a handful of stocks

play32:12

that will buck the trend of the market

play32:14

because they have a catalyst again this

play32:16

is what we're looking for that small

play32:18

handful of stocks that are going to be

play32:20

running when the markets tanking are

play32:21

there gonna be tanking when the markets

play32:23

running because they have a reason to

play32:25

make that move that's what we want now

play32:29

if the markets running and these stocks

play32:30

are running too that's fine I have no

play32:32

problem with that we just want to make

play32:34

sure we're trading stocks that are

play32:35

moving because they have a reason to

play32:37

move so when I do reversal trades my

play32:41

favorite reversal trades are on stocks

play32:43

that are selling off because there's bad

play32:46

news out ok a quick sell off because of

play32:49

bad news lots of people are gonna notice

play32:51

it and start watching it for a bottom

play32:53

bounce those are my favorite bottom

play32:55

bounces they can be really really quick

play32:57

really solid

play32:59

okay now stocks are just trending down

play33:01

with the overall market the way oil was

play33:03

a few a few weeks ago you try to do a

play33:07

bottom bounce they pop up 10 cents and

play33:09

then they sell off another 50 cents try

play33:11

to another bottom bounce they pop up 15

play33:13

cents and the miss sell off another 60

play33:14

cents they're selling off because

play33:16

they're trending with the market and

play33:18

it's a weak sector so that's where we

play33:21

have to differentiate is this moving

play33:23

because the market is moving or is this

play33:25

moving because it has a unique catalyst

play33:27

okay so that's where we have to do a

play33:29

little bit of research and as you have

play33:32

more experience as a trader you'll be

play33:34

able to differentiate what is

play33:37

catalyst based price action and what is

play33:39

just you know market general market

play33:42

trending alright so retail traders

play33:47

versus institutional traders okay so

play33:50

retail traders that's all of us regular

play33:52

traders part-time traders full-time

play33:54

traders but we're not working for a firm

play33:56

and we're not managing other people's

play33:59

money okay retail traders we are a small

play34:04

percentage

play34:05

of the volume in the market the majority

play34:07

of the volume of the market is

play34:08

institutional traders these are traders

play34:10

that represent large amounts of capital

play34:13

okay they may be trading with banks

play34:16

hedge funds mutual funds they have a lot

play34:19

of money behind them and they can be

play34:21

very aggressive and we have to be

play34:23

careful that we're not on the wrong side

play34:25

of institutional traders okay but how do

play34:30

we identify where the institutional

play34:33

traders are in the market okay now we'll

play34:37

go over this a little bit later in the

play34:38

class but for right now just recognize

play34:41

that what we want to do is instead of

play34:44

trying to find institutional traders

play34:46

they're everywhere

play34:47

so what we want to try to do is find

play34:49

where are the retail traders hanging out

play34:51

today and let's trade with them okay so

play34:54

think of all the kids on the playground

play34:56

and everyone's hanging out at the slides

play34:58

because that's what's fun okay but

play35:00

you're over fiddling around you know in

play35:03

the sandbox just doing your own thing

play35:06

well you're off on your own in the

play35:08

sandbox trading a stock that no one's

play35:09

paying attention to you're in the wrong

play35:11

place

play35:12

focus where everyone else is focused

play35:15

that is gonna be the stock that's moving

play35:17

okay and there's usually a stock every

play35:19

single day that's getting a ton of

play35:21

action that's what day traders are going

play35:23

to be looking at so can we date trade a

play35:26

stock like apple or Priceline or

play35:28

coca-cola or IBM sure we could but these

play35:34

are slow-moving stocks they're dominated

play35:36

by institutional traders algorithmic

play35:38

traders and in general they're going to

play35:40

be very hard to day trade okay so how do

play35:48

we find what retail traders are focused

play35:50

on how do we find the cool place in the

play35:52

playground there's a couple weights one

play35:54

is watching our scanners okay the stocks

play35:57

that are gapping up the most those are

play36:00

gonna be the stocks that retail traders

play36:01

are watching okay so first watching the

play36:04

gap errs secondly it's good to be in

play36:06

touch with social media stock twits

play36:09

Twitter and see what is trending okay

play36:12

what stocks are trending and this is a

play36:14

especially helpful on stock twits

play36:16

Twitter it's got someone

play36:18

other stuff going on but if you follow a

play36:20

handful of traders then you'll be able

play36:22

to see what everyone's talking about and

play36:24

this is another huge advantage of being

play36:26

in a track a chatroom

play36:27

like the one that we have at warrior

play36:28

trading right you've got hundreds of

play36:30

traders and we're all talking about

play36:32

what's hot today okay so if you're

play36:35

trading completely on your own you know

play36:37

you're off in the corner of the

play36:38

playground you're not in touch with

play36:40

other people are doing inevitably it's

play36:43

gonna make it really hard on yourself

play36:45

you just don't know where the activity

play36:47

is I tried doing that you know I tried

play36:51

trading in a bubble I tried blocking out

play36:53

social media and blocking out you know

play36:55

all these things and just doing my own

play36:56

thing it didn't work it did not work so

play36:59

you can try it if you want my experience

play37:02

was that it didn't work at all okay so

play37:07

what do I do well I don't trade

play37:10

fundamentals right I'm not a value

play37:13

investor I'm not a long-term investor I

play37:15

don't trade Forex I don't trade futures

play37:18

right I don't trade commodities I'm an

play37:21

equities day trader okay and I focus on

play37:25

real stocks we don't trade penny stocks

play37:28

we don't trade the OTC markets we don't

play37:31

trade that junk we trade real stocks and

play37:34

sometimes we are trading coca-cola and

play37:37

sometimes we are trading Apple but we'll

play37:39

be trading the stocks that are having a

play37:40

big day every single day in the market

play37:42

there's a stock having a big day because

play37:44

they released earnings

play37:46

maybe it's Expedia right maybe it's

play37:48

fireEye maybe it's first solar but these

play37:51

are big companies okay these are the

play37:54

companies we're gonna be trading this is

play37:56

how I've made my living it's what works

play37:58

for me this is the strategy that we'll

play38:00

be sharing with you all right so a day

play38:04

in the life for me

play38:05

typically starts around 8:00 a.m. 8:30

play38:08

with pre market scanning okay so pre

play38:11

market I'm scanning to see where is

play38:13

their volume in the market right now

play38:15

as early as 8:30 9:00 a.m. we'll know

play38:18

what stocks are gapping up okay I look

play38:22

at the top 10 Gabor's and I start

play38:24

sorting through the news okay

play38:26

what's the catalyst causing the gap

play38:28

right

play38:30

I put together a watch list I start

play38:31

ruling some out I start picking and

play38:34

choosing which ones do I like which do I

play38:36

not like by 9:00 a.m. we're in the

play38:38

chatroom warrior trading going over our

play38:41

watch list alright going over the watch

play38:43

list with all of our students and all of

play38:44

our traders by 9:30 when the bell rings

play38:48

my orders are ready I've placed orders

play38:51

as early as 9:30 and one second okay and

play38:55

I've been up to thousand dollars in the

play38:57

first five minutes more times than I can

play38:59

count I trade aggressively at the open

play39:02

trading these Gabor's trading these

play39:04

momentum stocks right 9:30 to 12:00

play39:08

that's when I'm the most aggressive

play39:10

that's when we have the most volume and

play39:12

momentum in the market from noon to 4:00

play39:15

I really ease up on the throttle I don't

play39:17

want to go overboard midday and

play39:20

afternoon because that's when we have

play39:22

lower volume in the market lower volume

play39:25

means lower liquidity less liquidity and

play39:27

higher risk okay so after noon I really

play39:30

go easy with the exception of trading

play39:33

breaking news if we have breaking news

play39:36

that's an instant catalyst that's gonna

play39:38

cause a tremendous amount of volume in

play39:43

terms of trading pre-market I avoid

play39:45

pre-market trading because there's very

play39:47

low liquidity there's a very few traders

play39:50

trading pre market which means stocks

play39:53

can pop up a dollar drop a dollar you

play39:56

can't get in and out with large size so

play40:00

I can't go heavy with thousands of

play40:01

shares you have to go really small and

play40:03

you have to use such small positions

play40:05

that for me it's not even worth it if

play40:09

you don't mind trading a couple hundred

play40:10

shares you could trade pre market you

play40:12

know you can size up a little bit pre

play40:14

market maybe a thousand two thousand but

play40:17

you don't have good liquidity and that's

play40:19

why I avoid pre-market trading okay so

play40:23

on a good day I have my goal by 10:00

play40:26

a.m. and I'm easing out lightening up

play40:30

trading and by four o'clock I'm done

play40:32

right but oftentimes by lunchtime I've

play40:36

already hit my goal and I'm gonna be

play40:37

sitting on my hands

play40:39

unless there is that perfect setup from

play40:43

4:00 to 6:00 p.m. we've got our trading

play40:45

courses and we're reviewing our trades

play40:47

from the day now let's think a little

play40:50

bit about the market okay if you make

play40:53

$1,000 by 10:00 a.m. what do you think

play40:57

you're gonna do are you gonna walk away

play40:58

take the profit some well many will okay

play41:02

so a lot of people if they make their

play41:04

thousand dollars by 10:00 a.m. they're

play41:07

done for the day they're gonna go

play41:08

golfing they're gonna go do whatever

play41:09

they want but if you lost a thousand

play41:13

dollars by 10:00 a.m. most traders are

play41:16

gonna keep fighting it out okay they're

play41:19

gonna stay in the market they're gonna

play41:21

keep trading and they're gonna try to

play41:23

make back what they lost

play41:24

so that means midday trading is

play41:28

dominated by traders that have lost in

play41:30

the morning and they're aggressively

play41:32

trying to make it back that causes a lot

play41:35

of volatility but not in the good way

play41:38

that causes stocks to shoot up and then

play41:41

shoot down because people are going in

play41:42

and out with market orders it's a time

play41:44

that I consider dominated by more

play41:47

amateur trading okay so I go really easy

play41:51

mid day the only trades I take mid day

play41:54

would be breaking news or swing trades

play41:58

trades that were giving a lot of space

play42:00

and that we don't need to micromanage on

play42:02

the 1 minute or 5 minute chart I would

play42:05

not trade the 1 minute or 5 minute

play42:07

midday unless we have a stock that's

play42:09

really running on big momentum in order

play42:15

to get started trading you need a few

play42:17

things you need charts you need a broker

play42:20

you need stock scanners and you're gonna

play42:23

want news okay I use these signal for my

play42:27

charts

play42:27

these signal is a terrific platform for

play42:30

charting now I personally have so many

play42:32

monitors that I have e signal running on

play42:35

one two three four five six different

play42:38

monitors and it's running on six

play42:40

monitors with no lack okay now there are

play42:43

other charting platforms you can use but

play42:45

my problem has been that they result in

play42:48

lab

play42:49

when you try to run them on multiple

play42:50

monitors so East signals very low

play42:52

latency very quick charting software

play42:56

alright in combination with East signal

play42:58

I used has market profile indicators

play43:01

alright these are a custom suite of

play43:03

indicators used by over 15,000 traders

play43:06

on the Bloomberg Bloomberg terminals ok

play43:08

Bloomberg terminals that's what hedge

play43:10

fund traders are using right and I like

play43:13

to see what the big guys are seeing I

play43:14

don't want to be going against them

play43:17

alright so we'll go over those Taz

play43:20

market profile indicators later in the

play43:22

course but for right now right now just

play43:24

know the East signal is the charting

play43:25

platform that I use alright best brokers

play43:31

you need hot keys you need to be able to

play43:34

move in and out of trades quickly ok now

play43:37

I personally use speed trader I love

play43:39

speed trader we've got the direct access

play43:41

routing we have high speed executions

play43:43

and we have hot keys alright so this and

play43:48

we have aggressive pricing so these are

play43:49

some of the real fundamental things to

play43:52

look for in a broker if your broker

play43:54

doesn't have hot keys you're not gonna

play43:55

be able to get internet of trades

play43:56

quickly ok that's critical you need to

play44:01

be able to get in that trades quickly I

play44:02

can't tell you how many times I've been

play44:04

up a thousand dollars in a matter of

play44:08

seconds because all of a Sode

play44:10

all of a sudden the stock spikes right

play44:13

when you see a stock spike like that you

play44:15

want to be able to put money in your

play44:16

pocket and profit from it you don't want

play44:18

to be fumbling with your orders and

play44:20

trying to enter your order window and

play44:22

then confirm it and then send it again

play44:24

it doesn't work you need quick

play44:27

executions all right so I highly

play44:30

recommend a broker such a speech trader

play44:32

it's gonna give you the technology to be

play44:35

the fast day trader you need to be to

play44:37

make money there's a lot of full-service

play44:40

brokers out there each raid Ameritrade

play44:42

those are terrific if you're trading a

play44:44

couple times a month you know a little

play44:47

bit of day trading here and there but

play44:48

mostly you know investing but when

play44:51

you're an active trader meaning 10

play44:53

trades a day or more yeah you need

play44:56

better software ok

play45:00

so remember that brokers will give you

play45:03

four times leverage so if you put in

play45:05

$30,000 you're gonna have a twenty one

play45:07

hundred and twenty thousand dollars of

play45:09

buying power okay so that leverage is

play45:12

Marge you're allowed to trade on margin

play45:14

but you have to be responsible if you're

play45:18

gonna trade on margin you have to be

play45:19

responsible we'll review that in the

play45:21

risk management section of the class

play45:26

scanning tools I use trade ideas and I

play45:29

can't say enough good things about them

play45:31

I love trade ideas 90% of my trades I

play45:34

find on the scanners but I built in

play45:36

trade ideas so you need a way to find

play45:40

stocks I mean this is just part of the

play45:41

deal we need a way to find stocks trade

play45:43

ideas for me that's how I do it all

play45:46

right so when you're in the chat room

play45:47

you can see my screen while I'm screen

play45:50

sharing you can see all my scanners are

play45:52

running you can watch the scanners that

play45:54

I'm watching so if you're in chat you

play45:56

don't need to separately have a

play45:58

subscription to trade ideas you can just

play46:00

watch my scanners and benefit from it

play46:02

but you know if you do go out on your

play46:04

own you want those tools you're gonna

play46:07

need it okay now something I've talked

play46:10

about and I'll say again is that tools

play46:13

are of no value if you don't know how to

play46:15

use them so this course is gonna be

play46:17

focused on teaching you how to use these

play46:20

tools all right and streaming news I use

play46:25

the been Zynga pro for the Squawk Box

play46:27

this is basically a radio that's

play46:30

constantly talking about stock news

play46:33

right breaking news on stocks options

play46:36

activity takeover chat or anything you

play46:40

can think of it's coming out on the

play46:42

radio this is really terrific

play46:44

I love been Zynga for the news alright

play46:48

so I generally when I'm trading news I'm

play46:51

gonna wait for the dust to settle we

play46:53

will go into more detail about news

play46:54

based trading strategies but for right

play46:57

now remember you don't want to be an

play46:59

impulsive trader right we know we have

play47:01

to make quick decisions but we also need

play47:03

to maintain discipline and composure and

play47:06

make sure all of our trades fit within

play47:08

one of the strategies that were

play47:10

there were live training all right now

play47:16

on another note we have to think a

play47:18

little bit about the ebb and flow of the

play47:19

market okay now there are times when the

play47:22

market the overall market is very choppy

play47:25

we it is okay for us and it's advisable

play47:30

for us to adjust our risk based on

play47:32

market conditions

play47:34

if we're gonna period where the market

play47:36

is choppy we're having a hard time

play47:37

generating profits it's a good idea to

play47:40

scale back taper back the risk a little

play47:42

bit right reduce the exposure so our

play47:45

losses aren't so bad then when the

play47:47

market starts picking back up and we get

play47:49

on a hot streak we can start to lean

play47:51

into it a little bit and go heavier so

play47:54

knowing when to lean into trades and

play47:57

when to ease up a little bit is

play47:59

important it's something that will come

play48:01

with experience and we will review that

play48:02

again more in the course okay and you

play48:07

can look at the macro channels on the SP

play48:10

Y and draw trend lines and if you can

play48:12

see that we're trading at the top or a

play48:13

bottom of a macro channel you can expect

play48:16

a little bit of choppiness so it's kind

play48:18

of like a pinball you're bouncing up and

play48:19

down between these channels okay when

play48:22

we're moving between them we often have

play48:24

nice clean moves but we're consolidating

play48:27

along the highs all along the lows we

play48:29

can get a little bit choppiness so

play48:36

something that is absolutely critical

play48:37

for every trader is that you're trading

play48:40

a strategy I wish someone had told me

play48:43

this when I was first starting trading

play48:45

bross you need to trade a strategy if

play48:47

you're trading with real money

play48:48

you must be trading a written strategy

play48:51

it must have historical data to prove to

play48:55

verify that it's worth trading with real

play48:57

money

play48:58

we must justify to ourselves that were

play49:00

worth investing it otherwise we might as

play49:03

well put the money somewhere else in a

play49:05

mutual fund or in a CD because at least

play49:07

there we won't probably lose half of it

play49:09

right but the experience for a lot of

play49:12

traders is that they fail they lose

play49:15

money okay and a large a large

play49:19

percentage of those traders they're not

play49:20

getting the education that all

play49:22

are getting here they're going to be

play49:24

live trading strategies that are not

play49:28

even they're not even hammered out right

play49:31

they're just haphazardly trading a

play49:33

little of this a little bit of that

play49:34

until their accounts gone and then they

play49:36

wonder what happened

play49:37

so everyone here in this class you have

play49:40

the big advantage of working with me and

play49:43

the other traders in our chat room to

play49:46

help develop a strategy worth trading

play49:50

okay so remember the market is gonna be

play49:52

here we don't need to rush this is a

play49:55

marathon not a sprint it's not about

play49:58

making fifty thousand dollars by the end

play50:00

of next week it's about developing a set

play50:02

of skills that can last for a lifetime

play50:06

okay so we don't want to live trade a

play50:09

new strategy until we've proven that

play50:11

it's worth investing in and we don't

play50:13

want to be impulsive and this is part of

play50:16

going back to having patience and it's

play50:19

also a big part of managing risk we all

play50:24

have our place in the market all right

play50:26

trading is not for everyone but for

play50:29

everyone that feels like trading is a

play50:30

good fit for them we still have our own

play50:33

place in the market I may be a 1 minute

play50:36

5 minute trader you may be a 60 minute

play50:38

120 minute trader right maybe a 60

play50:42

minute for our trailer he may be a daily

play50:43

trader weekly trader there's a place in

play50:47

the market for everyone okay so you have

play50:49

to find your place what time frame works

play50:52

for you what strategies work for you

play50:53

inevitably what you're learning here are

play50:56

gonna be pieces of the puzzle learning

play50:58

to trade it's like a big puzzle you're

play51:00

gonna look you're gonna get some pieces

play51:01

here in our trading course you're gonna

play51:03

pick up pieces on your own from your own

play51:05

reading your own research inevitably

play51:07

you're gonna create the puzzle it's

play51:09

going to be your own unique trading

play51:11

strategy it's going to be unique to you

play51:13

it'll have a little bit of what Ross

play51:15

does it'll have a little bit of what

play51:16

someone else does you know have a little

play51:19

bit of your own thing you're gonna take

play51:20

what works for you I don't expect

play51:22

everything I do to work exactly for you

play51:25

right we're all individuals we all have

play51:27

our unique approach that's fine that's

play51:29

okay and I'm happy to help you develop

play51:30

the strategy that's going to work

play51:32

you the important thing is that you need

play51:35

to be good at one strategy right one

play51:39

strategy once you can tread water in the

play51:41

market if you can just tread water you

play51:44

can get by right the longer you sit in

play51:48

the market the longer you can be a

play51:51

trader but without blowing up your

play51:53

account the better your odds are this is

play51:57

just a matter of having time in the

play51:59

chair right the more time you see

play52:01

watching these charts the more you learn

play52:03

so this is a job where you survive until

play52:08

you can make it so if you can just

play52:10

survive if you can just break even just

play52:12

tread water until you learn to swim

play52:14

that's what you do and with one set up

play52:16

with one strategy you could be

play52:19

successful and you can tread water and

play52:20

you can just sit and wait for that one

play52:22

setup to come to you right it's like

play52:25

having a very very narrow diet

play52:27

you only eat apples well you just have

play52:29

to wait for apples to come all right and

play52:31

sometimes you're gonna sit and there's

play52:33

not gonna be any apples for a while you

play52:34

just have to wait for them to come to

play52:35

you all right and then eventually you

play52:37

start eating pears and peaches and

play52:39

oranges stuff like that so you start

play52:41

branching out but first you need to get

play52:43

down one strategy okay all right so that

play52:47

can be the gap and go that can be the

play52:48

momentum strategy that can be the

play52:50

reversal strategy or it can be one of

play52:52

your own okay but those are the three

play52:55

that I trade most actively my favorite

play52:57

is the gap ago all right so this was

play53:02

what works for me focusing first on what

play53:05

I was good at and then narrowing down

play53:09

narrowing it down developing that area

play53:12

of strength into a workable strategy and

play53:14

then using that strategy to survive

play53:16

until I could develop others right one

play53:21

of the first things I did as a trader

play53:23

was create an Excel Doc I wanted to

play53:25

trick I want to track all my trades and

play53:27

I actually did this when I was younger

play53:29

when I was I don't know maybe 14 or 15 I

play53:33

had some some stocks that I was buying I

play53:36

was buying Caterpillar and some computer

play53:40

companies and some bicycle companies car

play53:42

companies I was buying stuff that I

play53:44

like with like a hundred shares just a

play53:46

little of this and a little of that

play53:48

and I had it all on a yellow legal pad

play53:50

and I was so pumped to make that kind of

play53:53

spreadsheet on you know legal yellow

play53:54

paperwork I love doing that and as soon

play53:58

as I started trading when I got into it

play54:02

to day trade full-time I opened up my

play54:04

Excel doc and started making a

play54:06

spreadsheet and it was one of the best

play54:07

things I did because I was able to track

play54:11

my performance so I would track ok these

play54:14

trades are this strategy this strategy

play54:16

in this strategy I'll be able to

play54:18

categorize them and then sort that data

play54:21

and I was able to find ok

play54:24

look Ross you're doing a great job

play54:26

buying breakouts of resistance that's

play54:30

where you have the biggest winners

play54:31

that's we have the most consistency

play54:33

focus on that so I highly recommend

play54:36

tracking your trades get to know your

play54:40

statistics you're gonna learn a lot from

play54:42

those all right so homework for today's

play54:46

class start tracking your trades all

play54:50

right and if you're already tracking

play54:52

them and start going through that data

play54:53

and email me Ross the day trade warrior

play54:57

comm with some some of the info that

play55:00

you're picking up I'm gonna be excited

play55:01

to to hear about it okay so that wraps

play55:07

up class for tonight class one of the

play55:10

warrior trading course again any

play55:12

questions please feel free to email me

play55:14

Ross today trig warrior calm

Rate This

5.0 / 5 (0 votes)

Related Tags
日内交易市场波动交易策略风险管理交易心理学股票选择交易模式技术分析交易课程市场开盘
Do you need a summary in English?