🐾 Unleashing OCTA: Who let the dogs out! 🐶

InvestAnswers
28 Aug 202431:53

Summary

TLDRThe video discusses the current volatile crypto market, with a focus on Nvidia's earnings and their impact on the tech sector. It covers significant token unlocks, macroeconomic trends, and regulatory challenges, including the SEC's stance on NFTs. Despite negative news, the presenter highlights positive aspects, such as increased long-term holder supply of Bitcoin and the potential of AI and energy storage solutions, emphasizing the need for a balanced perspective in the face of market fluctuations.

Takeaways

  • 📈 The cryptocurrency market is experiencing volatility with Bitcoin just under $60k and Ethereum under $2500, reflecting a general market unease.
  • 🔓 There have been significant token unlocks for various cryptocurrencies, including a large 16% unlock for Zeta, which could potentially impact market dynamics.
  • 📊 Employment in professional and business services in the US is weakening, with year-over-year growth at its lowest in several years, signaling potential economic concerns.
  • 🌐 The possibility of a 'carry trade unwind 2.0' could lead to a substantial flow of dollar-denominated assets to China, potentially strengthening the yuan and affecting global financial markets.
  • ⚖️ The SEC's classification of NFTs as unregistered securities on OpenSea has been met with criticism, highlighting regulatory challenges within the crypto space.
  • 📉 Despite a general market downturn, certain cryptocurrencies like Cardano and Kaspa have shown resilience, while others like Toncoin have faced temporary outages but recovered.
  • 💳 US credit card debt is reaching all-time highs, nearing $1.1 trillion, indicating increasing consumer debt levels that could have broader economic implications.
  • 📊 The US holds the largest share of global equities, which is unusual and could indicate potential market corrections or shifts in global stock values.
  • 📈 Oil prices are rising due to geopolitical conflicts and supply disruptions, which could contribute to inflation given oil's role in various economic sectors.
  • 🤖 AI and technology sectors are becoming increasingly important, with Nvidia's earnings being highlighted as a significant market indicator, and Tesla's advancements in autonomous driving showcasing the transformative potential of AI.
  • 📊 Long-term holders of Bitcoin continue to accumulate, increasing their supply to over 75% of the total, suggesting a strong belief in Bitcoin's long-term value.

Q & A

  • What day of the week is the script referring to as 'hump day'?

    -The script refers to Wednesday as 'hump day'.

  • What is the current market cap mentioned in the script?

    -The market cap is just under 2.1 trillion.

  • What is the current price of Bitcoin mentioned in the script?

    -Bitcoin's price is just under 60k, around 59,500.

  • What is the current price of Ethereum (ETH) mentioned in the script?

    -Ethereum's price is under 2500.

  • What is the fear and greed index value mentioned in the script?

    -The fear and greed index is back at 30.

  • What does the script say about the employment situation in the US?

    -The script mentions that white-collar employment in the US is weakening, with professional and business service and financial information jobs growing only 0.6% year-over-year in July, the lowest in several years.

  • What is the 'carry trade unwind 2.0' mentioned in the script?

    -The 'carry trade unwind 2.0' refers to the potential for a $1 trillion flow of dollar-denominated asset-backed assets to China if the Fed rate cuts happen fast, which could strengthen the yuan by 5 to 10%.

  • What is the SEC's stance on NFTs mentioned in the script?

    -The SEC has classified NFTs on Open Sea as unregistered securities, which has sparked criticism as NFTs are considered to represent ownership and authenticity of unique items, not securities.

  • How has the number of buyers on the Solana chain changed according to the script?

    -The number of buyers on the Solana chain has increased by 43% for the week, far exceeding all other chains combined.

  • What is the current state of the credit card debt in the US as per the script?

    -The credit card debt in the US is at an all-time high, nearly approaching 1.1 trillion as of August 14th of the current year.

  • What is the script's mention of the US holding the largest share of global equities?

    -The script mentions that the US holds about 65% of all the value of the global equity market, which is typically an anomaly and could indicate potential market correction.

  • What is the script's take on the future of AI and its impact on various sectors?

    -The script suggests that the next two years for AI will be massively transformative, with advancements that are currently hard to imagine, and it will have a significant impact on various sectors.

  • What is the significance of the $50 billion stock buyback announced by Nvidia as mentioned in the script?

    -The $50 billion stock buyback announced by Nvidia is a significant move that reflects the company's confidence in its own stock and could be an attempt to boost shareholder value.

  • What is the script's view on the Tesla's new Model Y and its AI capabilities?

    -The script praises the new Tesla Model Y's AI capabilities, stating that it drives with a precision and accuracy that is better than a human driver, and this is a sign of the rapid advancements in AI technology.

  • What is the script's perspective on the importance of energy storage and Tesla's role in it?

    -The script highlights the importance of energy storage regardless of the source of energy and positions Tesla as a leader in this space, with significant contracts for its Megapack energy storage solutions.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Crypto Market Volatility and Unsettling News

The script opens with a discussion of the current state of the cryptocurrency market, highlighting its volatility and the significant unlocks of various tokens, which could impact the market. It also touches on Nvidia's earnings and the broader economic indicators suggesting a weakening labor market in the US, with a specific focus on white-collar jobs. The mention of a potential carry trade unwind and its implications for the Chinese yuan and US dollar assets adds to the market's uncertainty. The SEC's decision to classify NFTs as unregistered securities stirs controversy and concern within the crypto community.

05:00

📉 Market Downturns and Regulatory Criticisms

This paragraph delves into the downturn of the crypto market, noting significant drops in the value of various coins and the overall negative sentiment. It discusses the criticism of the SEC's aggressive regulatory approach by Representative Nickel, who argues it undermines trust and transparency. The narrative continues with an analysis of NFT sales across different blockchains, emphasizing the high volume of buyers on the Solana chain. The paragraph concludes with a look at the realized capital flows into Bitcoin, showing a slowdown in inflows and a market driven more by spot transactions rather than leverage.

10:01

🛑 Outages, Debt Concerns, and Market Anomalies

The script addresses technical issues in the crypto space, such as the Tron network outage, and its peculiar lack of impact on the value of TRX. It also raises concerns about record high credit card debt in the US and the potential implications for the economy. Furthermore, it discusses the unusual dominance of the US in global equities, suggesting a possible market correction. Geopolitical tensions and their effect on oil prices are also noted, with a warning about the impact on inflation.

15:01

😄 Crypto Investor Personality Traits and Market Flows

A controversial study suggesting crypto investors exhibit psychopathy is met with humor and skepticism. The script counters this by listing successful individuals in the crypto space, implying that their success is not indicative of psychopathy. It then shifts to discuss positive money flows into the crypto market, influenced by Jerome Powell's remarks, and details the inflow of funds into various assets, suggesting that despite market fears, there are entities that continue to invest.

20:03

📊 Bitcoin's Performance Over Time and Market Analysis

The script provides a historical perspective on Bitcoin's performance, showing that as of August 28th, it is at its highest value compared to previous years. It discusses the increase in long-term holder supply, indicating a strong belief in Bitcoin's future value. A comparison of Bitcoin's performance to other assets over the last 90 days demonstrates its relative stability. The paragraph concludes with an analysis of the current market state, suggesting that the spot market is driving prices and that speculative interest has waned.

25:04

🚀 PayPal's Stablecoin Growth and Crypto Adoption

The rapid growth of PayPal's stablecoin on the Solana blockchain is highlighted, with its value breaking the $1 billion mark. The script discusses the potential for this to benefit PayPal's stock and the broader implications for the crypto market. It also touches on the rebranding of MakerDAO to Sky, aiming to address scalability and regulatory challenges in DeFi. The narrative shifts to the stock market's performance, with a focus on the tech sector and Nvidia's earnings, which are seen as a significant indicator for the AI industry.

30:08

🔋 Tesla's Energy Storage Expansion and Market Potential

The script concludes with a discussion of Tesla's significant contracts for its Megapack energy storage solutions, particularly in Australia. It emphasizes the potential market value of Tesla's energy storage business and the broader need for energy storage solutions across various energy sources. The paragraph ends with a note on the transformative potential of AI in the coming years and a reminder of the importance of staying informed and adaptable in the market.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Volatile

Volatile refers to the tendency of something to change unpredictably, often in financial markets where prices can fluctuate rapidly. In the video, the term is used to describe the current state of the market, indicating that it is unstable and subject to sudden changes, which is a central theme of the video as it discusses market conditions.

💡Nvidia Earnings

Nvidia earnings refer to the financial results of Nvidia Corporation, a major player in the technology sector, particularly known for its graphics processing units. The video discusses the significance of these earnings, highlighting that they are seen as an important indicator of the health of the tech industry, and noting the impact of their release on the stock's performance.

💡Fear and Greed Index

The Fear and Greed Index is a measure used in finance to indicate the sentiment of investors in the market, typically ranging from extreme fear to extreme greed. In the script, the index is mentioned to have fallen to 30, suggesting a prevailing sentiment of fear among investors, which is a key indicator of market psychology.

💡White Collar Jobs

White collar jobs typically refer to professional or administrative positions that involve work in an office setting, as opposed to manual or blue collar labor. The video mentions a decline in the growth of white collar jobs in the US, indicating a weakening labor market, which is a significant economic trend discussed in the context of broader market health.

💡Carry Trade Unwind

A carry trade unwind refers to the process of closing out a carry trade, which involves borrowing in a low-interest-rate currency to invest in a higher-yielding one. The script mentions a 'carry trade unwind 2.0', suggesting a significant shift in financial markets that could affect currency values and investment flows, particularly highlighting the potential impact on the Chinese yuan and the US dollar.

💡Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs)

NFTs are unique digital assets that represent ownership of a specific item or piece of content, such as digital art. The video discusses the SEC's classification of NFTs on Open Sea as unregistered securities, which has sparked controversy and debate over the regulatory status of these digital assets.

💡Smart Contract Platforms

Smart contract platforms are blockchain networks that support the execution of self-enforcing contracts, which are programmable to execute upon the fulfillment of certain conditions. The video notes that smart contract platforms had a zero return for the month, indicating a stable performance compared to other assets, and highlighting the significance of these platforms in the broader crypto market.

💡Stablecoins

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to minimize price volatility by pegging their value to a stable asset, often a fiat currency like the US dollar. The script mentions PayPal's stablecoin reaching a valuation of one billion dollars, demonstrating the growing adoption and significance of stablecoins in the financial ecosystem.

💡Meme Coins

Meme coins are cryptocurrencies that are created as a joke or for fun, often based on internet memes or trends. The video discusses the decline in activity related to meme coins, suggesting a potential shift in investor interest away from these speculative assets.

💡Artificial Intelligence (AI)

AI refers to the simulation of human intelligence in machines that can perform tasks such as learning, reasoning, and problem-solving. The video highlights the transformative potential of AI, particularly in the context of Tesla's self-driving technology and Nvidia's role in the AI industry, indicating a significant trend in technological advancement.

💡Rebranding

Rebranding is the process of changing the existing brand identity of a company to something new. The script mentions Maker Dow's decision to rebrand as 'Sky', which is an example of how companies in the crypto space are adapting their image to address challenges and appeal to a broader audience.

Highlights

Market volatility continues with mixed news amid Nvidia earnings and a cryptocurrency market cap just under 2.1 trillion.

Bitcoin's price fluctuates just under 60k, while Ethereum remains under 2500, reflecting the market's cautious sentiment.

Significant token unlocks for various cryptocurrencies, including a massive 16% unlock for Zeta, indicating potential market impact.

US employment in professional and business services and financial information is weakening, signaling potential economic downturn.

Carry trade unwind 2.0 could potentially strengthen the Chinese yuan by 5 to 10%, affecting global financial markets.

SEC classifies NFTs on Open Sea as unregistered securities, facing criticism and highlighting regulatory challenges in the crypto space.

NFT sales remain robust despite market conditions, with Ethereum and Solana leading in sales volume.

The number of buyers on the Solana chain exceeds all other chains combined, indicating strong investor interest.

Crypto market experiences a downturn with many coins down, except for Cardano, Kaspa, and ICP, showing a mixed market response.

Bitcoin ETFs face challenges with a negative day of about $127 million, despite overall positive trends.

Net capital flows into Bitcoin have slowed, with short-term holders primarily selling, while long-term holders accumulate.

US credit card debt reaches an all-time high, reflecting increasing consumer debt and potential economic instability.

US holds the largest share of global equities, raising concerns about potential market correction or increased value of other stock markets.

Oil prices rally due to geopolitical concerns, impacting inflation and the global economy.

Despite negative perceptions, long-term holders of Bitcoin continue to accumulate, increasing their supply to over 75% of the total.

Smart contract platforms show resilience with zero return for the month, outperforming other asset classes.

PayPal's stablecoin on Solana breaks $1 billion, indicating rapid growth and potential monetization opportunities.

Nvidia earnings are considered a significant indicator of market trends, with their AI advancements being transformative for the industry.

Tesla secures significant energy storage contracts, highlighting the growing demand for sustainable energy solutions.

Transcripts

play00:07

greetings welcome to today's story it's

play00:10

Wednesday hump day and things are

play00:14

volatile things are still summary doy

play00:18

and we just had some Nvidia earnings

play00:19

I'll talk about that in a second we have

play00:21

a lot to cover 50 nuggets I'll go real

play00:24

fast and there is a lot of ugly and bad

play00:29

news today

play00:30

but there's also some good news too so

play00:32

as usual I'll try and be fair and

play00:35

balanced as we go through thank you

play00:36

David Webb thank you living like a panda

play00:39

and Zeno and moderators in the chat and

play00:41

everybody else let's jump in it is

play00:43

Wednesday market cap is still under just

play00:45

under I think 2.1 trillion it's kind of

play00:47

been here for weeks and weeks uh Bitcoin

play00:51

just went up $34 for the day and fell

play00:53

down so it's still that's not bad it's

play00:56

just under 60k 595 or so and eth is

play01:00

under 2500 and fear and greed is back at

play01:03

30 so things are not too good but let's

play01:07

get into it and this is not Financial

play01:09

advice and thank you as well to every

play01:10

and patreon and the team behind me this

play01:12

is from Vortex Vic I spent all day

play01:16

waiting for this you guys are the best

play01:18

of patreon and YouTube thank you so much

play01:20

love that you're here okay warning ugly

play01:23

news we'll start with the unlocks as

play01:25

usual and there's a lot portal big

play01:29

unlock 4%

play01:30

torn never heard of torn 2.4% uler 1 in

play01:34

optimism Prime Manta dydx

play01:38

sui uh all unlocking like they do but

play01:43

Zeta has a massive 16% unlock as well as

play01:46

GMT Ena and Fort so it's just it's the

play01:52

summer of raining crypto tokens be

play01:55

careful out there another ugly news this

play01:58

is a warning to everybody this is a very

play02:00

very bad sign we're going to get a

play02:02

little bit of macro stuff out of the way

play02:03

first White caller unemployment in or

play02:07

unemploy employment not unemployment is

play02:09

weakening in the US these are

play02:12

professional and business service and

play02:14

financial information finance jobs Etc

play02:18

it just Rose 0.6% year-over-year in July

play02:21

that's the lowest in three or four years

play02:25

and this in other words employment in

play02:27

these industries has increased by only

play02:30

about 126,000 jobs over the last 12

play02:32

months now white collar job growth has

play02:36

been steadily declining for the last

play02:37

three years and in the past a drop was

play02:41

only seen in 2000 to 2001 and in the

play02:45

2008 Global financial crisis and of

play02:47

course c19 is a separate issue because

play02:49

that's an anomaly but the truth is the

play02:53

labor market is weakening badly and when

play02:56

these jobs go the people beneath them

play02:59

tend to go as well so not good news um

play03:04

that did warn you also the carry trade

play03:06

there's now talk of a carry trade unwind

play03:09

2.0 this you can see here the one the

play03:11

Chinese one has gained against the

play03:13

dollar as the carry trade unwinds

play03:15

but the what people are thinking now if

play03:18

the Fed rate

play03:19

Cuts happen fast it could trigger a$1

play03:23

trillion flow of dollar denominated

play03:26

asset backed assets to

play03:28

China and what this potentially means is

play03:32

it would strengthen the wand by 5 to 10%

play03:35

and this shift driven by declining

play03:37

appeal of US dollar and US assets could

play03:41

see the one appreciate significantly

play03:43

especially if the US achieves a soft

play03:45

Landing without triggering a recession

play03:48

this is another scary sign and there's

play03:52

more the SEC are still at their silly

play03:55

little games SEC commission is now gone

play03:59

to class specify non-fungible tokens

play04:02

nfts on Open Sea as unregistered

play04:05

Securities and this has sparked a ton of

play04:07

criticism and there are several reasons

play04:09

why some people consider this to be a

play04:11

little bit let's call it misguided or

play04:14

silly because the nature of nfts is to

play04:18

represent ownership and proof of

play04:20

authenticity of unique items such as

play04:22

digital

play04:23

art Etc which are not considered

play04:27

Securities has the monaa ever been

play04:29

called as security the answer is no and

play04:31

the argument is that nfts like art

play04:33

derive value from their uniqueness and

play04:35

therefore not a

play04:38

security we shall see but again Gary

play04:40

gendler still has it in for the crypto

play04:45

Community we don't like that anyway um a

play04:51

representative uh I don't know if he's

play04:54

Democratic or republican or Congressman

play04:56

or senat anyway I you know I follow of

play05:00

politics but this is representative Wy

play05:02

nickel he said the aggressive use of

play05:04

Regulation by enforcement from the SEC

play05:07

is a blatant abuse of power that erodes

play05:10

trust and transparency in our regulatory

play05:12

system and this heavy-handed approach

play05:14

creates widespread uncertainty and

play05:16

threatens to derail progress and

play05:19

innovation in the area of crypto well

play05:22

said

play05:25

representative and speaking of nfts it

play05:28

doesn't slow them down however

play05:30

so you can see here this is the top NF

play05:33

nft sales by Chain over the last week

play05:36

you can see biggest dollar amount is

play05:38

ethereum $38 million but remember 8

play05:42

million that is wash sales so you that's

play05:44

when people buy and sell their own

play05:46

things themselves to make it look like

play05:47

it's a highly sought-after item so be

play05:50

careful of that salana is number two at

play05:52

20 million and Bitcoin number three and

play05:54

polygon number four binance number six

play05:57

and then other crumbs down the end what

play05:59

is interesting to see here thank you

play06:00

Mike 39 what is interesting to see here

play06:04

is the number of

play06:06

buyers the number of buyers on the salon

play06:09

chain far exceed all the other I'm

play06:12

talking far exceed all the other chains

play06:14

combined so that's saying something and

play06:16

it's up 43% for the week so there's

play06:18

still a lot of activity happening

play06:20

although the dollar amounts the actual

play06:22

ticket value of the nfts and the salon

play06:24

blockchain are a lot cheaper than

play06:25

ethereum therefore ethereum wins with a

play06:28

lot less volume but still it's one to

play06:30

watch nfts are not slowing down now that

play06:33

was the ugly news let's get into the bad

play06:35

news the crypto Market over the last

play06:37

month and I know by the way people are

play06:39

frustrated everybody I see it in the

play06:40

comments like oh I'm so bored with

play06:42

crypto how come I'm not a a millionaire

play06:45

yet and where's my Lambo and anyway

play06:48

that's just the nature of markets it's

play06:50

when things are most depressing and dark

play06:53

that's the last time you want to leave

play06:55

the market trust me on that one but here

play06:57

the crypto Market over the last uh week

play07:00

not month title's wrong and you can see

play07:03

ton coin got hit hard down about 20%

play07:06

binance down hard Sol down about 5% near

play07:09

dot po everything's down except for

play07:12

cardano and kaspa and ICP weird mix of

play07:14

things that were up in terms of dollar

play07:17

terms you can see here bitcoin's down

play07:19

4.8% for the week eth down 2.6% for the

play07:23

week Etc not a perfect week at

play07:28

all and and roll on September oh it's

play07:33

rare I look forward to September but

play07:35

this year I'm looking forward to

play07:36

September get this out of the way fear

play07:38

and greed down to 30 you can see the way

play07:41

it just tanked there again we recovered

play07:43

we end up from 26 straight back to 60 in

play07:46

a matter of days and then we're tanking

play07:49

right back down again because people are

play07:51

afraid a lot of fear out there and the

play07:54

Bitcoin ETFs also suck we had a couple

play07:58

of good days but unfortunately yesterday

play08:01

was a negative day down about $127

play08:04

million obviously I bet Black Rock

play08:06

didn't buy normally when they buy they

play08:08

turn everything green but for some

play08:10

reason they were absent yesterday just

play08:12

like they were absent on the 15th of

play08:14

August but so far though that being said

play08:17

we're still up about $380

play08:19

million uh if I correct no hang on yeah

play08:23

about 380 so far in the month of August

play08:26

no 480 not 380 so it's still not too bad

play08:31

and there are some negative days these

play08:32

ETFs so don't sweat it too much in terms

play08:35

of the eth ETF we'll check in on that we

play08:37

do that once a week the inflows have

play08:41

stalled so in fact Black Rock hasn't

play08:45

bought any eth for 5 days but if you

play08:48

look at all the action that they had on

play08:49

bitcoin they've been buying a truckload

play08:52

like the truckload nearly half a billion

play08:56

dollars in a week so I'm not sure if the

play09:00

bloom is off the rows as they say for

play09:03

ethereum and the grayscale ethereum

play09:05

trust is still bleeding a little bit too

play09:06

so that's eth and that explains why it's

play09:09

under 2500 bucks as well probably now

play09:11

let's look at net capital flows this is

play09:13

the Bitcoin realized C Net cap position

play09:17

and unfortunately the net capital flows

play09:19

into Bitcoin have also slowed

play09:22

significantly with only a minimal profit

play09:25

and loss taking and primarily the

play09:28

short-term holders are the ones that are

play09:29

selling the

play09:30

speculators um a substantial portion of

play09:33

their supply though is turning into

play09:35

long-term holder status which is good

play09:37

this is more than 155

play09:39

days and the speculative interest in the

play09:42

Perpetual swap Market has also cooled

play09:43

down a lot too and indicating reduced

play09:46

leverage and it's much more of a spot

play09:50

driven market right now we'll share more

play09:52

data on that in a second also short-term

play09:55

holder realized price is now fractally

play09:57

under cost so anybody on average that's

play10:01

selling Bitcoin here or losing about 3%

play10:04

of of their asset and more coins with

play10:08

losses are being realized than coins

play10:10

with gains and essentially everybody

play10:12

selling now bought at a higher price

play10:15

only a little bit higher though 3% so

play10:17

that's plus or minus like 61k or so

play10:19

selling at

play10:20

59k and ton coin by the way pavl was

play10:26

released a few hours ago in France so

play10:29

woohoo uh that's good news but ton is

play10:32

down he's the CEO of the Tron the ton

play10:36

Foundation the open network but they had

play10:40

a massive outage yesterday for about

play10:42

seven or eight hours and outages are

play10:45

normal in crypto sometimes for some

play10:48

Chains It's not the end of the world in

play10:50

fact the ton coin price was up despite

play10:53

the outage uh it was down 20% for the

play10:56

week but up over the last 24 hours and

play10:58

the dages were allegedly caused by an

play11:00

unusual Network congestion caused by the

play11:03

airdrop of a thing called dogs which is

play11:05

a new ton meme coin H to embody the

play11:09

whole Spirit of telegram or something

play11:11

like that I don't know and another

play11:14

interesting thing pump. fun this is one

play11:18

that Mando talks about quite a lot but

play11:20

based on Dune analytics pump. fun

play11:22

averaged of 15,27 launches between 5th

play11:27

to the 11th of August

play11:29

this is a big Decline and ending 25th of

play11:32

August the protocol averaged mere 8,000

play11:35

daily launches so it looks like this

play11:37

meme trend is dying off that is a 47%

play11:42

declined activity in a couple of weeks

play11:45

or maybe they're trying to launch meme

play11:48

coins on other

play11:50

chains like Tron and others thank you DB

play11:55

F430 that sounds like an aircraft so

play11:58

things are happening and despite the

play12:00

outage yesterday they got it back up but

play12:03

it did stop processing transactions

play12:05

again today briefly again it didn't

play12:08

affect the price because it's one of the

play12:10

things that's going up in this market

play12:12

right now in the summer it did have a

play12:14

bad week but good 24 hours despite

play12:17

outages and that's why it's it's we've

play12:20

seen this happen many times in other

play12:21

chains people think if a chain goes down

play12:24

it's the end of the world often it

play12:27

doesn't matter the people trading and

play12:30

mean coins or whatever else are doing

play12:31

they can wait a few hours before they

play12:33

come back and do it again anyway let's

play12:36

talk about other sad news too the credit

play12:38

card debt in the US is at an all-time

play12:41

high nearly approaching 1.1

play12:45

trillion as of August 14th of this year

play12:48

this is another milestone in the ongoing

play12:50

trend of rising Consumer Debt and there

play12:53

are no signs of this thing slowing down

play12:56

it's like everybody's throwing the

play12:57

credit card and credit card defaults are

play12:59

hovering closer to 9% right now as well

play13:02

so if you are a credit card company and

play13:05

you have a trillion dollars in debt you

play13:08

can write 10% of that off pretty much

play13:11

things are going to get worse before

play13:12

they get better unless something

play13:14

radically changes which I don't think it

play13:15

will and another scary news too and this

play13:17

is kind of related to the unwind 2.0

play13:21

carry trade perhaps but you can see here

play13:25

that the US holds the largest share of

play13:27

global equities right now about 65% of

play13:31

all the value of the global Equity

play13:33

Market is held by the United States so

play13:38

typically this is an anomaly so either

play13:41

two things are going to happen or it'll

play13:43

stay like this or it'll mean revert

play13:46

which means the other stock markets will

play13:48

go up in value or more concerningly the

play13:53

US Stock Market could tank in value so

play13:55

we got to watch this space carefully

play13:57

remember a lot of people as well get

play13:58

very fearful if a market tanks but

play14:02

remember if an index tanks it doesn't

play14:04

mean all assets go down or all get

play14:06

hammered sometimes it does during a

play14:08

global financial crisis or something but

play14:11

this is also one to watch and oil is up

play14:15

oil loves conflicts crude oil prices

play14:18

have rallied about nearly 7 to 8% in the

play14:20

last 3 days on geopolitical concerns

play14:23

conflict in the Middle East and Libya

play14:25

Supply disruptions Etc and this is

play14:27

impacting the price of oil

play14:30

so this is heading it towards $78 maybe

play14:32

back to $90 in a couple of weeks or

play14:36

months and guess what that will do yes

play14:40

40% of inflation is triggered by oil

play14:44

because oil is used in everything so for

play14:46

those people that think they can control

play14:48

inflation they can't and don't forget

play14:52

every video is turned into a recap by a

play14:54

team behind me big thank you to them as

play14:56

well if you want podcast or all the

play14:58

slides whatever that's where you get it

play15:01

now good news at

play15:04

last after all that ugly bad news this

play15:07

one is funny okay this is this's a guy

play15:09

called Steve hanky he's you

play15:11

know he just hates on bitcoin and he

play15:14

hates on crypto so he is a little bit

play15:16

bitter so take take that with the glass

play15:17

of soul but he says he's so happy to

play15:20

share he's just excited loves his little

play15:23

shot in frea crypto owners are

play15:25

psychopaths and this from the University

play15:27

of Toronto researchers found that c

play15:28

cryto holders display lower levels of

play15:31

analytic and scientific thinking and are

play15:34

likelier to exhibit psychopathy than the

play15:37

general more psychopathy than the

play15:39

general population thank you Kamar

play15:42

creationss and Andy the Australians are

play15:43

in the house so I can say this for a

play15:48

fact I am extremely analytical

play15:53

okay he said they display lower levels

play15:57

of analytical and scientific thinking

play15:59

so whoever in University are trying to

play16:01

put the study together that you know

play16:03

Steve Hank is dancing on the grave of

play16:05

crypto people being

play16:07

Psychopaths I put this little chart

play16:09

together okay I'm fine being a member of

play16:13

this club with all of these literally

play16:16

very

play16:17

successful Capital allocators

play16:21

investors entrepreneurs Etc you got the

play16:23

Michael Sailors and you got the vitalics

play16:25

you got the Brian Armstrongs and the

play16:26

Kathy woods and the Shams and of course

play16:29

Satoshi nakoa Peter the mark andreon of

play16:32

course the fster Larry

play16:35

thinkink

play16:37

and I forget the name of the other guy

play16:41

anyway almost had it perfect I should I

play16:43

should have notes anyway it's okay to be

play16:47

in the company of these people oh I forg

play16:50

that's what happened that should be Elon

play16:52

Musk by there where that guy is I got

play16:53

remember and I forgot to put the image

play16:55

in the Box anywh who again watch what

play17:00

the smart people

play17:02

do not the others okay so if people like

play17:06

Steve hanky in the University of Toronto

play17:08

are calling people that like crypto

play17:09

Psychopaths I'm sure there's a couple

play17:11

there's definitely a few sociopaths

play17:13

running some chains but when you think

play17:15

talk about things like Bitcoin no very

play17:17

smart people into Bitcoin so don't be

play17:19

worried Also let's look at the money

play17:21

flows we had a positive week last week

play17:24

inflows totaling $533 million marking

play17:28

the largest inflow in nearly 6 weeks and

play17:31

The Surge followed remarks by Jerome

play17:33

Powell at the Jackson hle Symposium

play17:36

woohoo let's look at the breakout

play17:38

ethereum saw uh a little bit of a dump

play17:41

here 34 35.7 million out again the

play17:45

drainage continues um gray scale of

play17:49

course and everything else is kind of

play17:52

flat bigcoin up 543 multi-asset 20

play17:55

salana only 100 Grand Litecoin 500,000

play18:00

xrp 300,000 short Bitcoin 1.7 when that

play18:03

thing goes up bitcoin price sometimes

play18:05

goes down cardano 300,000 and that is

play18:08

the buy asset activity out there now

play18:12

while everybody is afraid I know people

play18:15

say Oh Mr 100 with this and that

play18:17

whatever it doesn't matter anyway

play18:18

whoever they are whoever they're

play18:20

stacking on behalf of they DCA very very

play18:22

well they did move at 70,000 a portion

play18:26

of their bag to another wallet it wasn't

play18:28

sold but they've been constantly

play18:31

snacking on bitcoin especially every

play18:34

time it falls under

play18:35

60,000 they don't touch it at 64 or 65

play18:38

or 63 or 62 but when it goes to 58 or 59

play18:42

they buy and they bought over 500

play18:45

Bitcoin in the last 24 hours they have a

play18:48

kind like

play18:49

a a limit order in place 100 Bitcoin at

play18:54

a time and they keep on snacking and now

play18:57

this is also interesting to show us

play18:59

where we

play19:00

are thinking for some positivity for all

play19:03

you out there this is the price of

play19:05

Bitcoin on August every day for the last

play19:09

14 years it's funny 14 28th of August 28

play19:13

divided by 2 is 14 so there's that but

play19:17

check this out Bitcoin is at its highest

play19:21

level on this day 28th of August 2024

play19:24

than it has ever been okay not too bad

play19:27

2021 was a 48,900 now it's 59,00 so

play19:33

nearly $10,000 higher so all is not lost

play19:35

everybody don't lose faith and the trend

play19:37

you can see is very clearly up to the

play19:40

right what will it be next year I don't

play19:43

know this time next year it could be

play19:46

back at 60,000 or it could be north of

play19:48

100,000 we shall see and we'll be here

play19:51

every day to report on exactly that also

play19:54

long-term holders and this is kind of

play19:56

like in line with this other fellow

play19:59

some people just keep on snagging the

play20:02

stuff this from crypto Quant in the past

play20:04

30 days long-term holder Supply

play20:06

increased by

play20:09

262,000 Bitcoin they now control 14.82%

play20:13

Bitcoin which accounts for over 75% of

play20:16

the total Supply these long-term holder

play20:19

wallets are ones that tend not to sell

play20:22

they hold long term so if you wanted to

play20:25

come in with say half a trillion dollars

play20:27

and try Buy half the Bitcoin Supply it's

play20:30

physically impossible so that's just

play20:33

interesting fact and regarding All

play20:36

Season Bitcoin wins again it's down to

play20:39

18 last week was 22 so Bitcoin Remains

play20:43

the actual winner out there right now

play20:44

today let's see how it compares to the

play20:47

rest you see the very top left is Tron

play20:50

crushing it for the week you got a as

play20:54

well doing very well kaspa even xrp is

play20:57

there from some court case dismiss

play20:59

and Bitcoin despite despite it being

play21:02

this by the over the last 90 days

play21:04

despite Bitcoin being down 15% over the

play21:06

last 90 days it's still not too bad you

play21:09

got excam as well down 15% SL all down

play21:11

16% Etc and other stuff to the right so

play21:15

Bitcoin is holding up very well compared

play21:17

to most assets but remember you can

play21:20

always pick a point in time where one

play21:22

asset is bigger than the other but this

play21:24

is interesting of course the 28th of

play21:26

August and I did mentioned at the

play21:29

beginning that the spot is in control we

play21:31

now have neutral funding rates and it

play21:35

can be absorbed across the whole of the

play21:38

digital asset ecosystem it's a bit of an

play21:41

ey chart but trust me all the top

play21:42

cryptos are here on the list and you can

play21:45

see they are all displaying a neutral

play21:48

funding rate and this underscores the

play21:50

idea that a major reset in speculative

play21:53

interest has occurred across the entire

play21:55

market and therefore spot markets are

play21:58

likely to the major driver in the seat

play22:00

for the near term good news speculators

play22:04

are gone compared to normal and now will

play22:09

the spot people return maybe will they

play22:11

sell their meme coins and go back into

play22:13

hard proper assets we don't know we

play22:15

shall see also um smart contract

play22:18

platforms win the month they have zero

play22:21

return for the last month but that's a

play22:22

lot better than everything else that was

play22:24

negative ethereum down 24.5% for the

play22:27

last month Bitcoin down 12.1% and the

play22:30

second best category after smart

play22:33

contract platforms was dpin and then

play22:37

exchange tokens etc etc exchange tokens

play22:39

be things like binance Etc so all in all

play22:42

it has not been a good month but ler

play22:45

ones have done okay out there especially

play22:48

with ton and Tron all the ons doing

play22:52

pretty good also speaking of salana uh

play22:55

this is the PayPal stable coin and it

play22:58

just broke a billion dollars the green

play23:01

is the amount on salana the purple is

play23:05

the amount on ethereum the ethereum

play23:07

share of stable coin has fallen and it's

play23:10

growing up the the the important thing

play23:12

is the rate of change I want you all to

play23:14

look at look at that chart it is going

play23:16

vertical real

play23:18

fast doesn't take long to get to a

play23:20

billion then it will take even less time

play23:22

to get to two billion and then on and on

play23:24

so watch the space carefully um

play23:27

interesting to see how PayPal monetized

play23:29

this because I know having a stable coin

play23:31

is extremely lucrative so it could be

play23:33

good for the PayPal stock too um and

play23:36

helium which is a deepin project on

play23:38

salana they just launched decentralized

play23:40

wireless networks in Puerto Rico woohoo

play23:43

say hi to every in Puerto Rico like Rob

play23:45

and others out there it's a big crypto

play23:48

hot bed too and Robin Hood Believe It or

play23:52

Not re adds salana to their Wallet not

play23:57

to their exchange I think they have it

play23:58

in Europe can't verify that for myself

play24:01

but uh they haven't listed it as a token

play24:03

you can buy right now in the US on the

play24:06

Robin Hood platform but you can self

play24:09

custody Salon tokens and send and

play24:10

receive over the salana blockchain so

play24:12

it's great that they reactivated that

play24:15

and that tells me they're getting ready

play24:17

to list salana again and tell the SEC to

play24:20

go pound sand perhaps we'll see let's

play24:24

check check in on narratives narratives

play24:26

are very important to monitor to find

play24:27

exactly what people are thinking where

play24:29

people are investing Etc these are the

play24:31

top Q2 not Q3 Q2 narratives meme coins

play24:36

were the top narrative real world assets

play24:38

number two AI number three h salon

play24:41

mcoins number four Salon ecosystem

play24:43

number five base six base meme coin 7

play24:47

then layer On's dpin gaming brc2 layer 2

play24:51

Etc ethereum ecosystem down at the very

play24:53

bottom with

play24:55

cats it's uh very bizarre so the

play24:58

question is what will the narrative be

play25:01

for Q3 that's where you want to be and

play25:04

we'll see is it going to be rwi is rwa

play25:07

is going to be dpin or is it going to be

play25:09

AI we'll see we'll talk a bit about AI

play25:11

in a second too also how do you turn an

play25:15

old thing into a new thing you change

play25:18

the name maker Dow which is the one of

play25:22

the

play25:23

OG players in

play25:25

defi they decided to Rebrand themselves

play25:28

a sky defi Sky I get it I didn't mean

play25:32

for that to rhyme introducing usds on

play25:34

Sky tokens as part of its strategic

play25:37

transformation and rebranding aligns the

play25:40

sky endgame plan to address both

play25:42

scalability and Regulatory challenges in

play25:45

Defi and the defi Community reaction is

play25:48

mixed with some concerns about maker

play25:50

dials decentralized

play25:52

ethos the ogs don't like it but that's

play25:55

how you take off an old coin and give it

play25:57

a new name who knows maybe some others

play25:59

will do this tooo we've seen a little

play26:00

bit of rebranding across some different

play26:03

chains like madic as well I forget what

play26:04

they're called but they Chang their name

play26:06

too or they're going to change it we'll

play26:08

see anyway uh let's look at the stock

play26:11

market over the last seven days and we

play26:12

get into some AI stuff Tech down pretty

play26:15

much across the board Tesla down 7%

play26:19

Amazon 5% Google 2% meta 3% Microsoft 3%

play26:26

Nvidia 1.44%

play26:28

but you can see the financials and the

play26:31

pharmas and the energy and even the real

play26:34

estate companies are all kind of in the

play26:35

green which is

play26:37

unusual unusual see everything moves now

play26:40

Nvidia earnings that's most interesting

play26:43

this from Muhammad L Arion he says that

play26:46

Nvidia earnings are now as important as

play26:50

a US jobs report well you know

play26:53

why AI matters and the jobs reports are

play26:57

complete lies so so yeah that makes

play26:59

complete sense let's look at the Nvidia

play27:01

earnings they did post right now I was

play27:04

actually delaying this video so I could

play27:05

check out the earnings myself and make a

play27:08

post on it right now Invidia is trading

play27:10

at 120 bucks so it did take a little bit

play27:13

of a dip the earnings did beat they came

play27:15

in 68 cents versus 64 expected Revenue

play27:18

was 30 billion versus 28.7 billion

play27:20

expected but nothing like the beats that

play27:22

they had in the

play27:23

past uh guidance 32 and a half billion

play27:26

is up but again

play27:28

as I say as as things get higher and

play27:31

higher they begin to slow down nothing

play27:34

can go up forever they did also announce

play27:37

a massive $50 billion buyback $50

play27:40

billion in stock and Blackwell is coming

play27:42

in Q4 and the stock is down right now

play27:46

it's down

play27:48

$561 but it was down as low as

play27:51

$9 now this is one of the reasons why we

play27:56

rotate from certain assets if you have

play27:59

an asset that goes up say

play28:01

1,000% it's not going to do another

play28:04

1,000% the market cap won't go from 500

play28:08

billion to 3 trillion and then double

play28:11

again to 6 trillion there simply isn't

play28:13

enough money in the world for that to

play28:14

happen at this stage in a short wind of

play28:17

time that's why you need to think about

play28:19

rotations that being said our friend of

play28:23

the channel Tom Lee believes Nvidia is

play28:26

not expensive he was on cnbs

play28:28

and he said it is trading only at 28

play28:32

times forward earnings and he believes

play28:35

the two one of the two tech places he

play28:38

likes he believes it's very good to be

play28:39

in both AI also him and his partner Mark

play28:44

believe Nvidia and Tesla are the top two

play28:46

names to be in but you can see one of

play28:49

them is running out of steam after a

play28:51

rampage like we've never seen before and

play28:54

that's normal the other name however

play28:56

this is just a little piece on Tesla by

play28:58

the way I drove the new uh model y

play29:02

Hardware

play29:03

4 15 or version

play29:07

12.5.1 point5 whatever the the latest

play29:10

one it was embarrassing because this car

play29:15

literally now drives better than me and

play29:17

I consider myself a very good driver I

play29:19

sat back and watched this thing do a

play29:21

thing the Precision and the accuracy is

play29:23

mind-blowing and I'm not the only one

play29:24

saying that too just check check Twitter

play29:27

watch the videos yourself

play29:29

nobody realized what's coming and the

play29:31

next two years for AI will be massively

play29:36

transformative where are your seat belts

play29:38

there are things coming you can't even

play29:40

imagine right now it's going to be

play29:41

Bonkers anyway back to just Tesla this

play29:45

is a cool little piece from Sawyer Merit

play29:47

and the EV guy but Tesla has secured

play29:50

$133 million mega mega pack contracts to

play29:54

double Queensland shout out to all the

play29:56

Australians and the audience at it's

play29:58

already Australia's biggest battery and

play30:00

after the expansion the total size of

play30:02

this commercial energy battery storage

play30:04

will be between 550 megawatts and 1,80

play30:08

megawatt hours and just in the last year

play30:11

Tesla has secured $3 billion worth of

play30:14

mega pack orders from Australia alone a

play30:16

country that only makes up 0.3% of the

play30:18

global population but they're very vocal

play30:21

and they're very powerful and they're

play30:22

very good at everything but that $3

play30:25

billion figure or just the ERS we know

play30:28

about this energy storage mega pack

play30:32

business is huge I said conservatively

play30:35

the MEAP pack business alone should be

play30:37

worth a trillion dollars today and it's

play30:39

not you buy the whole company for half

play30:42

of that and that excludes all the other

play30:44

good value to doing so that's why I

play30:45

remain very very bullish shout out to

play30:47

the

play30:48

Australians the world needs more energy

play30:52

and the world needs to store it whether

play30:54

you are getting your energy from flare

play30:56

gas or nuclear energy or the Sun or the

play31:01

wind or the waves or the waterfalls you

play31:04

need to store it so watch this space

play31:07

it's going to be fun and thank you all

play31:08

for coming hope you enjoyed the show big

play31:10

sh thank you once again to the

play31:12

moderators in the chat and something

play31:14

must have happened on the Nvidia

play31:16

earnings call because it's Fallen but

play31:18

Bitcoin is back to break even for the

play31:20

last 24 hours so that's not too bad

play31:22

thank you Sean Donley thank you TD Tesla

play31:25

K8 and everybody here on the team and DB

play31:28

for all coming

play31:30

F430 that might actually be a Ferrari I

play31:32

need to check that thanks all have a

play31:35

good night

play31:42

[Music]

Rate This

5.0 / 5 (0 votes)

Связанные теги
Market AnalysisCryptocurrencyNvidia EarningsBitcoin TrendsInvestment InsightsTech IndustryFinancial NewsRegulatory UpdatesAI ImpactStablecoinsDeFi Transformation
Вам нужно краткое изложение на английском?