Tesla Shareholders...Get Ready [It's Coming]

Summary

The video discusses Tesla's impressive 80% stock surge since April, attributing the rally to a mix of fundamental and technical analyses. The presenter, who recently invested in Tesla, remains bullish, citing the company's potential to reach a trillion-dollar market cap. The video explores Tesla's various business verticals, including AI-driven initiatives, Optimus humanoid robots, Full Self-Driving (FSD), and battery storage, suggesting these innovations could significantly impact Tesla's valuation. The presenter also addresses the stock's current PE ratio and provides insights on potential future events that could influence the stock's performance.

Takeaways

• 🚀 Tesla's stock has surged 80% since April, and the speaker had predicted this rally in prior videos and tweets.
• 🎯 The speaker's updated price target for Tesla is based on both fundamental and technical analysis.
• 🛍️ The speaker is bullish on Tesla and has recently bought shares, citing additional evidence to support this stance.
• 📈 Tesla's market cap could reach $1 trillion at a share price of $318, which the speaker believes is achievable in the midterm.
• 🤖 The AI narrative is driving the valuations of tech companies, including Tesla, which are all working towards future AI advancements.
• 🧩 Fundamentals in emerging markets like AI are difficult to price, as they are speculative and can change rapidly, as illustrated by Gary Black's tweets.
• 🤖 Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot is seen as a potentially低估 asset with high future demand, possibly in the billions of units.
• 🚗 Full Self-Driving (FSD) in Tesla cars is a significant revenue generator, with potential subscription services and licensing to other automakers.
• 🚕 The Robo taxi service is another speculative business vertical with potentially massive valuations, although it's hard to estimate its true worth.
• 🔋 Battery storage is an additional revenue stream for Tesla, with potential for significant growth as seen in the estimates provided.
• 🚗 Tesla's vehicle deliveries, although Q1 2024 was disappointing, Q2 2024 came in higher than expected, showing a strong performance.
• 📊 Tesla's current PE ratio of 64 is considered expensive for a car company but is justified given its diverse business ventures beyond just cars.

Q & A

What is the recent performance of Tesla's stock price?

Tesla's stock price has increased by a significant 80% since April, indicating a strong upward trend during the summer rally.

What is the speaker's previous engagement with Tesla's stock?

The speaker has previously tweeted and made videos about Tesla's stock in April and June, showing a continued interest and bullish stance on the company.

What is the speaker's updated price target for Tesla based on the video?

The speaker does not explicitly state a specific price target in the transcript, but implies a positive outlook based on fundamental and technical analysis.

Why does the speaker believe Tesla will reach a trillion-dollar market cap?

The speaker believes Tesla will reach a trillion-dollar market cap due to its potential in areas such as AI narrative, battery storage, and the upcoming humanoid robot, Optimus.

What is the significance of the $318 stock price for Tesla?

At $318, Tesla would achieve a trillion-dollar market cap, which is a significant milestone for the company.

What is the current market cap and PE ratio of Tesla according to the speaker?

As per the speaker, Tesla currently has a market cap of 802 billion and a PE (Price to Earnings) ratio of 64.

Why does the speaker consider fundamentals to be a moving target in the context of Tesla?

The speaker considers fundamentals to be a moving target because of the dynamic nature of the company's various business verticals, such as AI, energy storage, and robotics, which are difficult to accurately price in nascent markets.

What is the speaker's view on the valuation of companies in the AI narrative?

The speaker believes that companies driven by the AI narrative, including Tesla, have seemingly 'insane' valuations due to the speculative nature of the AI market and its potential future impact.

What is the potential market for Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot according to the speaker?

The speaker suggests that the demand for Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot could be as high as 10 to 20 billion units, indicating a massive potential market.

What is the significance of Tesla's upcoming Robo taxi event on August 8th?

The Robo taxi event is significant as it could potentially reveal new insights into Tesla's autonomous vehicle technology and its valuation, which is currently difficult to estimate.

What is the speaker's opinion on shorting Tesla's stock after the recent rally?

The speaker advises against shorting Tesla's stock after the recent rally, suggesting that those who shorted may have suffered losses and are now looking for other opportunities.

What is the potential impact of Tesla's FSD (Full Self-Driving) on its revenue?

The speaker believes that FSD could become a significant revenue generator for Tesla, as it could be subscribed to by all Tesla car owners once it is fully functional, in addition to potential licensing to other automakers.

How does the speaker view Tesla's PE ratio of 64 in the context of its business verticals?

The speaker considers Tesla's PE ratio of 64 to be relatively cheap when considering the company's diverse business verticals beyond just car manufacturing, such as energy storage and robotics.

What is the speaker's strategy for trading Tesla's stock after the upcoming earnings report and Robo taxi event?

The speaker suggests buying the pullbacks if the earnings report and Robo taxi event are positive, but does not provide specific trading advice, acknowledging the uncertainty of these events.