Ini Peringatan BI, Soal Kondisi Ekonomi Global & RI pada 2025

CNBC Indonesia

5 Jun 202400:52

Summary

TLDRBank Indonesia highlights ongoing economic uncertainty and projects a global growth rate of only 3.1% for 2025. Despite many countries raising benchmark interest rates, the challenges of high global inflation persist, complicating the return to previous interest levels. As Bank Indonesia and market participants anticipate possible interest rate cuts by late 2024, they remain cautious due to significant geopolitical tensions that could impact Indonesia's economy.

Takeaways

📉 Economic uncertainty remains high, according to Bank Indonesia.
🌍 Global economic growth in 2025 is projected to mirror 2023, at only 3.1%.
⚠️ Global inflation continues to be a significant concern.
📈 Many countries have increased their benchmark interest rates.
🔒 However, returning to initial interest rates remains challenging.
🤞 Bank Indonesia and market players are hopeful for a rate cut by the end of 2024.
💡 Global uncertainty factors are still strongly impacting Indonesia's economy.
🌐 Geopolitical tensions pose additional risks to economic stability in Indonesia.
🔍 Ongoing monitoring of global economic conditions is crucial.
🗣️ Effective communication about economic outlooks is vital for market confidence.

Q & A

What is the current outlook for economic uncertainty according to Bank Indonesia?
-Bank Indonesia perceives that economic uncertainty remains high moving forward.
What is the projected global economic growth for 2025?
-The projected global economic growth for 2025 is expected to be around 3.1%, similar to the growth rate of the current year.
How does Bank Indonesia view global inflation?
-Bank Indonesia acknowledges that global inflation is still high, which poses challenges for economic stability.
What impact have interest rate hikes had on Bank Indonesia's monetary policy?
-Despite many countries raising their benchmark interest rates, Bank Indonesia finds it difficult for interest rates to return to previous levels.
What are the market expectations for interest rates in Indonesia by the end of 2024?
-The market is hoping that Bank Indonesia will be able to lower interest rates towards the end of 2024.
What factors contribute to the ongoing global uncertainty?
-The strong global uncertainty is attributed to various factors, including geopolitical tensions that can affect Indonesia's economy.
Why is the growth rate of 3.1% significant for Indonesia's economy?
-A growth rate of 3.1% indicates potential stagnation and reflects the challenges the economy may face in recovering from previous downturns.
What is the relationship between global interest rates and Indonesia's economic outlook?
-The relationship is complex; while global interest rates are rising, Indonesia's ability to adjust its own rates may be constrained, impacting economic recovery.
How do geopolitical tensions specifically impact Indonesia's economy?
-Geopolitical tensions can lead to instability in trade and investment, affecting Indonesia's economic growth and inflation.
What role does Bank Indonesia play in managing economic challenges?
-Bank Indonesia plays a crucial role in monitoring economic conditions and adjusting monetary policy to mitigate risks and support economic stability.