Futurism and the "Bahala Na" Culture | Guillermo Santos | TEDxLyceumPhilippinesUniversity

TEDx Talks
22 May 201826:49

Summary

TLDRThe speaker, at 86 years old, optimistically addresses the future, highlighting the importance of futurism in planning and decision-making. He discusses the corporate world's use of futurism for productivity and social responsibility, and its application in medicine and education. The speaker emphasizes the significance of understanding national history, current events, and global trends to predict and shape the future. He shares personal experiences from wars and intelligence gathering, illustrating the impact of futurism on historical outcomes. The talk concludes with the qualities needed to be an effective futurist, including maturity, analytical skills, and effective communication.

Takeaways

  • 😀 The speaker, at 86 years old, humorously claims to be the oldest in the room and uses this as a segue to discuss the future.
  • 🌟 The speaker is optimistic, suggesting that even those with Alzheimer's have an advantage in making new friends due to their condition.
  • 📈 The speaker predicts a significant increase in Alzheimer's cases due to an aging global population, projected to reach 10 billion by 2050.
  • 🏢 Corporate leaders use futurism to strategize for increased productivity, profitability, and shareholder benefits, also considering corporate social responsibility.
  • 🤔 There's a critique of the current state of pharmaceuticals and doctors, suggesting a decline in bedside manners and an increase in patient demands.
  • 🏥 The speaker discusses the role of futurism in medicine, education, and strategic planning, emphasizing its importance in various sectors.
  • 🌐 The speaker highlights the geopolitical competition in the Asia-Pacific region, driven by economic progress and strategic intelligence gathering.
  • 🛠️ Futurism is compared to master planning in architecture and engineering, where a blueprint is followed with strict timelines.
  • 🔮 The speaker distinguishes between serious futurism and the more frivolous fortune-telling, emphasizing the importance of evidence-based prediction.
  • 📚 The speaker outlines the qualities of a futurist, including being an optimist, having a mature and analytical mind, and being an effective communicator with a well-rounded background.

Q & A

  • What is the speaker's age and what is his perspective on the future?

    -The speaker is 86 years old and he is an optimist when it comes to discussing the future. He humorously points out that those with Alzheimer's have the advantage of making new friends every second, emphasizing the need to look at things positively.

  • What is the speaker's view on the increase in Alzheimer's cases in the future?

    -The speaker acknowledges that with the world's growing population, expected to reach 10 billion by 2050, there will be a significant increase in Alzheimer's cases. He mentions this as a future challenge, particularly noting the aging populations in countries like China and Japan.

  • What does the speaker think about the practice of corporate planning in relation to the future?

    -The speaker views corporate planning as a form of futurism, where corporate leaders isolate themselves to strategize on making their companies more productive and profitable, while also considering corporate social responsibility.

  • How does the speaker connect the future of medicine with artificial intelligence?

    -The speaker implies that the future of medicine is intertwined with the advent of artificial intelligence, suggesting that AI will play a significant role in how healthcare is delivered and managed.

  • What is the role of Futuristics in education according to the speaker?

    -In the context of education, Futuristics involves curriculum planning where schools, referred to as 'Futuristics,' isolate themselves to strategize on increasing enrollment, profitability, and community usefulness, as well as contributing to national development.

  • What does the speaker mean by 'strategic intelligence gathering' in the context of national security?

    -The speaker refers to 'strategic intelligence gathering' as a vital factor for national security, where diplomats and soldiers collect information to predict and plan for potential conflicts, which can determine the outcomes of wars.

  • How does the speaker describe the role of economic progress in geopolitical competition?

    -The speaker emphasizes that in the 21st century, economic progress is a key factor in geopolitical competition. Governments compete to excel economically, which in turn influences their geopolitical strategies, including arms races and territorial claims.

  • What is the speaker's opinion on the importance of futurism in personal and national development?

    -The speaker believes that futurism is crucial for both personal and national development. It allows individuals and nations to make informed decisions based on current and projected trends, which can lead to better outcomes and progress.

  • How does the speaker reflect on the Philippines' economic decline and its relation to futurism?

    -The speaker laments the Philippines' economic decline from being the second biggest economy in Asia to its current position, attributing it partly to a lack of futurism. He suggests that a mindset change is necessary for the country to progress economically.

  • What qualities does the speaker identify as essential for a futurist?

    -The speaker identifies several qualities as essential for a futurist: being an optimist, having maturity in age and experience, possessing an analytical and critical mind, having a well-rounded background, being an effective communicator, dealing with reality, and thinking globally while acting locally.

Outlines

00:00

😀 Optimism and the Future of Alzheimer's

The speaker, at 86 years old, humorously claims to be the oldest in the room and uses this as a segue to discuss the future, particularly focusing on the increasing prevalence of Alzheimer's disease. They highlight the irony that Alzheimer's patients have the 'advantage' of constantly making new friends due to their memory loss. The speaker points out the importance of viewing challenges positively. They also address the growing global population, which is expected to reach 10 billion by 2050, and the implications this has for the increase in age-related diseases like Alzheimer's. The speaker questions whether it's possible to see the future, suggesting that it is, but it requires a lot from the individual. They mention corporate planners who isolate themselves to strategize for the future of their companies, considering productivity, profitability, and corporate social responsibility. The speaker also touches on the changing dynamics in the medical field, with doctors being perceived as rushed and patients becoming more demanding. The paragraph concludes with a discussion on the role of artificial intelligence in medicine and the importance of futuristics in education and national development.

05:03

🌟 The Scope of Futuristics

This paragraph delves into the broad scope of futuristics, starting with the government's role in setting economic goals and the geopolitical arms race, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region. The speaker mentions the involvement of countries like North Korea, South Korea, the US, China, Russia, and Iran, and the importance of strategic intelligence in determining the outcomes of conflicts. The discussion then shifts to the role of architects and engineers in master planning, risk management in organizations, and the public's fascination with fortune-telling. The speaker emphasizes that predicting the future is not mysterious but rather a matter of understanding national history, being informed about current events, and recognizing the interconnectedness of global developments. They explain that by analyzing these factors, one can identify trends and changes, and lay down probable scenarios for the future. The speaker uses the simple example of predicting rain based on observing dark clouds to illustrate how futuristics can guide decision-making.

10:04

☔️ Preparing for the Future: Personal and National Interests

The speaker continues by discussing how understanding the future can arm individuals with the knowledge to make the best decisions for their personal and national interests. They recount personal experiences from various wars, emphasizing the importance of intelligence and futuristics in military strategy. The speaker shares stories from the Vietnam War, the Korean War, and World War II, highlighting their early involvement in intelligence gathering as a child. They discuss the significance of accurate information in strategic planning and how it contributed to the Allies' victory in World War II. The speaker also mentions the Israeli Six-Day War in 1967 as an example of the successful application of futuristics in military strategy. The paragraph concludes with the speaker's personal experience in the Philippines during martial law under Marcos, where business leaders formed a futurist society to predict and navigate the uncertain political and economic climate.

15:08

📉 The Decline of the Philippines and the Importance of Futuristics

In this paragraph, the speaker reflects on the economic decline of the Philippines, which was once the second-largest economy in Asia after Japan. They compare the current state of the Philippines to its past glory and attributes the decline to a lack of futuristics practice. The speaker notes that other countries, like Singapore, have successfully adopted futuristics to guide their development. They discuss the cultural and religious factors that have hindered the Philippines' progress, such as the 'Bahala na' mentality, which they argue is detrimental to economic growth. The speaker calls for a change in mindset and emphasizes the importance of acting now to shape a better future. They also share their professional experience in requiring concise and clear communication, which is essential in international journalism and business.

20:09

🌐 Qualities of a Futurist

The speaker outlines the qualities necessary to be an effective futurist. They emphasize the need for maturity, both in age and experience, to make stable and emotion-free decisions. The futurist must possess an analytical and critical mind, constantly questioning the origins and implications of events. A well-rounded background in various fields such as politics, economics, social and cultural studies, science, and technology is also crucial. The speaker stresses the importance of effective communication skills, the ability to deal with reality, and the mindset of thinking globally while acting locally. The paragraph concludes with a call to action for the audience to embrace these qualities and apply them in their personal and professional lives.

25:10

🗣️ The Role of Communication in Futuristics

This paragraph focuses on the importance of communication in the field of futuristics. The speaker emphasizes the need for clear and concise language, advising against using jargon or redundant phrases. They also stress the importance of listening as a key component of effective communication. The speaker argues that being able to communicate complex ideas in a simple and understandable manner is a vital skill for futurists, as it allows them to share their insights and predictions with a wider audience. The paragraph serves as a reminder that while having a vision of the future is important, the ability to articulate that vision is equally crucial for influencing decision-making and shaping the future.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Futuristics

Futuristics refers to the practice of forecasting and planning for the future, often used in strategic planning and decision-making. In the context of the video, it is a central theme where the speaker discusses its importance in various fields such as business, education, and national security. The speaker emphasizes that futuristics is not just about predicting the future but also about understanding historical trends and current events to make informed decisions. An example from the script is the speaker's mention of 'the Futuristics' in schools, which involves curriculum planning to increase enrollment and community usefulness.

💡Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is the simulation of human intelligence in machines that are programmed to think like humans and mimic their actions. The speaker touches upon AI in the context of its impact on the field of medicine and how it is changing the way healthcare is delivered. AI is seen as a transformative technology that will shape the future of various industries, including healthcare, as mentioned in the script where the speaker discusses the advent of AI and its implications.

💡Strategic Intelligence Gathering

Strategic Intelligence Gathering is the process of collecting, analyzing, and exploiting information regarding an adversary, or about potential opportunities that can provide a competitive advantage. In the video, the speaker relates this concept to the military and diplomatic efforts to understand and anticipate the actions of other nations, which is crucial for national security and foreign policy. An example given is how the Allies won World War II due to their intelligence gathering and strategic planning.

💡Economic Progress

Economic Progress refers to the improvement in economic conditions and standards of living over time. The speaker discusses the importance of economic progress in the 21st century, where nations compete to excel economically. This progress is seen as a driver for geopolitical strategies and can lead to arms races, as illustrated by the speaker's mention of the Asia-Pacific region's dynamics involving North Korea, South Korea, the US, China, Russia, and Iran.

💡Risk Management

Risk Management is the process of identifying, assessing, and prioritizing risks to an organization's capital and earnings. It involves coordinating and integrating all of the organization's efforts to minimize, monitor, and control the probability and impact of unfortunate events. In the script, the speaker mentions risk management in the context of organizational change, where managers identify potential risks and work to mitigate them to ensure the organization's stability and growth.

💡Master Planning

Master Planning in the context of architecture and engineering involves creating a comprehensive plan for the development of a project, including its design, construction, and timeline. The speaker uses this term to describe how architects and engineers use master planning to guide their projects from conception to completion, ensuring that they meet their goals and deadlines. This concept is also extended metaphorically to nations and organizations planning for their future development.

💡Corporate Social Responsibility

Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) is a self-regulatory mechanism whereby a company spends a part of its revenue for the welfare of the society and environment, in areas where the government's efforts may not reach. The speaker discusses CSR in relation to corporate planning, where companies not only focus on profitability but also consider their impact on society and the environment, aiming to be responsible and useful global citizens.

💡Performance Budget Presentation

Performance Budget Presentation is a process where government leaders review and discuss the budget proposals of different departments, aligning them with the government's objectives and goals. The speaker mentions this in the context of how national governments plan for economic progress and development, ensuring that public funds are allocated efficiently to achieve national goals.

💡Arms Race

An Arms Race is a competition between countries to increase the size and quality of their military forces. The speaker discusses the arms race in the context of geopolitical competition, where nations invest in their military capabilities to maintain or gain an advantage over rivals. The script mentions the arms race in the Asia-Pacific region as an example of how economic progress can lead to increased military competition.

💡Religiosity

Religiosity refers to the degree of being religious, often involving a strong belief in and adherence to religious principles. The speaker discusses how the religiosity of the Filipino people, with their tendency to accept what comes to them without planning, might be a hindrance to economic progress. This is contrasted with the proactive futuristics approach that the speaker advocates for, where individuals and nations take an active role in shaping their future.

Highlights

The speaker, at 86 years old, humorously claims to be the oldest in the room and sets a positive tone for discussing the future.

An optimistic view on Alzheimer's, suggesting that those affected have the advantage of making new friends every second.

A prediction that by 2050, the world's population will reach 10 billion, highlighting the scale of future societal challenges.

The importance of corporate planning for future profitability and shareholder benefits, with a nod to corporate social responsibility.

The role of Futuristics in education, where schools plan curriculums to increase enrollment and community impact.

The concept of strategic intelligence gathering in national security and its impact on war outcomes.

The economic competition among governments in the 21st century and its driving force behind geopolitical actions.

The speaker's personal experiences during World War II, including his early involvement in resistance activities.

The significance of intelligence and Futuristics in historical military victories, such as the British in the Sahara Desert and the Israeli Six-Day War.

The establishment of the Philippine Futuristic Society in 1981 under martial law to forecast business and political trends.

China's strategic use of Futuristics in economic and geopolitical planning, including the Asian infrastructure investment fund.

The decline of the Philippines from being Asia's second-largest economy to its current status, questioning the lack of Futuristics practice.

The influence of religious and cultural attitudes on the Filipino mindset, potentially hindering economic progress.

The qualities of a Futuristics practitioner, including optimism, maturity, analytical skills, and effective communication.

The importance of thinking globally and acting locally in Futuristics, as emphasized by the speaker.

Transcripts

play00:05

I want to start from here because I am

play00:13

the present the old one I think I'm the

play00:18

oldest in this room I'll begin with

play00:21

pleading guilty to be 86 and I'm going

play00:27

to talk about the future but hearing our

play00:33

last speaker you know there's something

play00:36

that really struck me I'm an optimist so

play00:42

I said if you have Alzheimer's you have

play00:45

one advantage over all the other people

play00:49

every second although there are only two

play00:53

of you in the room you have a new friend

play00:58

you have to look at things very

play01:00

positively right but the other side of

play01:02

things is he's saying a lot of people

play01:06

are going to be Alzheimer's stricken in

play01:09

the next he didn't say when but in the

play01:13

next 2050 the next 50 years you are

play01:17

going to really have so much of that

play01:21

disease around why because by then the

play01:24

total population of the world is going

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to be 10 billion 10 billion so think

play01:31

think of the old guys China which has

play01:37

1.4 billion now has only one child

play01:41

policy yet they're getting old Japan is

play01:46

about the oldest so you will find that

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there will be some good things about the

play01:57

future after hearing all her our

play02:00

presenters this morning this today I'm

play02:04

going to ask you is it possible really

play02:07

to see the future what's your answer

play02:11

yes or no

play02:14

it is possible yes but it requires a lot

play02:18

on the person it is now practiced

play02:25

actually by some people in the corporate

play02:28

world they call it the corporate eg

play02:32

planner they isolate themselves for

play02:37

three or four days at a row in a row and

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they plan how are they going to make the

play02:45

company much more productive profitable

play02:48

and above all they are going to have all

play02:52

the benefits for their shareholders

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that's not bad that's not bad that's not

play03:00

too bad but they also think of what they

play03:03

call corporate social responsibility and

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this is what makes corporation useful

play03:11

legal citizens of the world now however

play03:16

earlier we were talking during the break

play03:19

and on the roundtable and the people

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around me what we're saying there's

play03:27

something wrong with pharmaceuticals

play03:29

there's something wrong now with the

play03:31

doctors the doctors are leaving their

play03:35

good bedside manners and always in a

play03:39

hurry you know that the patients are now

play03:43

getting to be more demanding and so

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forth now but what happens then how is

play03:50

the whole business of medicine affected

play03:54

this is something else that you have say

play03:57

you have to look at and when we look at

play04:01

medicine we are also looking at

play04:03

artificial intelligence

play04:05

the advent of artificial intelligence

play04:08

now let me go to the school's the

play04:11

school's called the Futuristics

play04:15

in them as curriculum planning every

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year they get together again isolate

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themselves and look for any avenue that

play04:26

would increase

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enrollment increased profitability

play04:29

increase usefulness to the community and

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most of all to the development of the

play04:35

nation which every nation there the

play04:39

diplomats and soldiers call this

play04:40

strategic intelligence gathering it is

play04:45

the main and vital factor and the

play04:50

difference between war between losses

play04:52

and war and victory the national

play04:57

government leaders call it the

play04:58

performance budget presentation Congress

play05:02

goes over the budget recommendations of

play05:06

the executive department or the prime

play05:12

ministers and they look at the the goals

play05:16

what are the what are the objectives of

play05:19

the government so that the company the

play05:22

country is going to progress

play05:25

economically don't forget that in this

play05:30

21st century the race the competition

play05:34

among governments is to accede to excel

play05:38

economically speaking and when you have

play05:41

economic speaking economic progress

play05:44

necessarily by geopolitical requirements

play05:49

these government's go into an arms race

play05:52

this is exactly what is now seen in the

play05:57

asia-pacific region with North Korea and

play06:00

South Korea the US China Russia and Iran

play06:05

don't forget there's another factor

play06:08

Israel but that's a very complicated

play06:11

thing I'm not going to deal with that

play06:13

here I merely mentioned it so that you

play06:15

will have an idea how wide in scope is

play06:18

Futuristics the architects and engineers

play06:23

called this master planning they draw up

play06:26

the blueprint then they follow it to the

play06:29

letter and they have a timeline when

play06:32

they're going to finish the construction

play06:35

as any as in any architectural or

play06:39

engineering

play06:40

projects they do stick to the time

play06:43

limits managers of changes in any

play06:49

organization I don't care whether it's

play06:52

non-governmental profit or nonprofit

play06:56

organizations what they do is they call

play07:01

it risk management mitigation the only

play07:05

different terms

play07:06

now when the circus comes to town you

play07:11

have another type of Futuristics people

play07:15

these are the ball gazers the crystal

play07:18

ball gazes and they're going to give you

play07:21

what you want to hear what's your future

play07:24

whether you're going to travel whether

play07:26

you're going to be ill whether you'll

play07:28

have a new sweetheart or a broken broken

play07:33

family life whatever but actually there

play07:41

is nothing mysterious about predicting

play07:44

the future in simple terms let me put it

play07:48

this way we have this slide this is the

play07:55

future it is the sum total of

play07:59

understanding our national history what

play08:04

does that mean you imbibe me you vibe

play08:09

every chapter of the national history so

play08:12

that you will understand why and what

play08:15

you are today by understanding that you

play08:22

will know and you will be equipping

play08:24

yourself empowering yourself to be

play08:27

accurately and currently informed of

play08:30

domestic regional and international

play08:35

developments so that you can sew them up

play08:38

all together all events in the world

play08:41

regional international or even domestic

play08:44

have linkages this you cannot avoid it's

play08:50

only a matter of knowing where the

play08:52

are then you can cross it then you can

play08:56

use it to your advantage both for your

play08:58

personal purposes or the national goals

play09:03

then we can determine the local trends

play09:08

and changes what's going to happen

play09:11

our last speaker just told us

play09:14

Alzheimer's is going to be here for a

play09:17

long time so from that you project you

play09:20

can easily make it and therefore after

play09:26

having all those you can now lay down

play09:29

the different or possible probable

play09:33

scenarios arising from those situations

play09:38

if this condition is followed through

play09:42

what is going to happen the very simple

play09:47

example I'd like to use all the time is

play09:51

you look out of the window when you wake

play09:54

up in the morning you see dark clouds

play09:56

what does that mean in the short term

play10:00

future in the very near future in the

play10:03

next minute it will probably rain

play10:06

therefore what are you going to do

play10:10

because determining the future or

play10:13

looking into the future looking into the

play10:15

possible future gives you the armament

play10:20

to take the best option that is for you

play10:23

in this case you see it's going to rain

play10:26

what's the best option I'll probably

play10:28

take a raincoat or an umbrella or take a

play10:33

ride with somebody if I don't have a car

play10:34

or not go out at all I'm going to do

play10:38

some of my writing here at home you know

play10:41

and therefore you can have your coffee

play10:43

and your meals and you can even play

play10:46

with your pets if you want to depending

play10:48

on what you have in other words in other

play10:55

words playing cleanly stated it is the

play11:01

art of using the current true

play11:06

accurate information to promote your own

play11:08

national interests or to get further

play11:13

into your goal in life allow me to let

play11:19

me share with you some true stories that

play11:21

I've experienced I've seen the Vietnam

play11:25

War before that I've covered the Korean

play11:29

War before that I saw the world war

play11:33

number two as a boy gorilla I shot my

play11:38

first Japanese soldier and I was 11 I

play11:42

threw my first hand grenade when I was

play11:45

12 in ambush of a convoy of Japanese

play11:50

troops of Japanese troops in Iloilo in

play11:53

Penang

play11:54

my father was the intelligence officer

play11:58

of the peralta gorillas in pnai at that

play12:01

time and one of my Jobs was to watch at

play12:05

the breakwater of Olivia between

play12:07

aluminum Arras Island how low or how

play12:11

high on the water were the Japanese

play12:13

transport ships coming in if they were

play12:16

high in the water that means they were

play12:18

not fully loaded or they're empty which

play12:22

means they are probably going to take

play12:24

out something out the video to get

play12:26

somewhere if they're very low in the

play12:29

water that means they're delivering arms

play12:31

armor armaments bullets or or whatever

play12:36

it is that that they were bringing and I

play12:40

didn't know that that was my job it was

play12:44

just I was I was relating this to my

play12:47

father and my father were get where was

play12:50

wrapping vinegar and whiskey to be sent

play12:57

to the to the town of Macau which was

play13:01

more than 25 kilometers out of Villa

play13:05

villa and I was one of those kids who

play13:08

were taking those brought those whiskey

play13:12

or her whatever it was hard drinks for

play13:16

the people in in Macau now

play13:19

knowing that at night the forces of

play13:22

General MacArthur was coming in in

play13:25

submarines in a submarine commanded by

play13:29

Admiral at that time he was he was a

play13:32

captain captain cheek Parsons who had a

play13:37

hardware store here in Manila that was

play13:42

this that was how we went all through

play13:45

that now the Allies won over the axis

play13:49

because of Futuristics practice remember

play13:57

in our history the forces of the the

play14:05

Baron of Africa was defeated by the

play14:11

British because they did not know that

play14:14

there was going to be some kind of harsh

play14:17

weather coming in a sandstorm coming in

play14:20

they did not know that and therefore it

play14:24

was the intelligence gathering of the

play14:27

Allies and the British the British were

play14:30

heading it and that's how they

play14:33

annihilated the the Nazis in the desert

play14:39

in the Sahara Desert then you have this

play14:43

really case remember the Israeli six-day

play14:47

war in 1967 because of intelligence or

play14:52

information or futuristic s-- planning

play14:55

strategic planning the Israelis hardly

play14:59

six million people surrounded by more

play15:02

than 60 million Arab states precisely by

play15:07

Syria by Jordan and by Egypt Israel

play15:13

annihilated the entire Egyptian Air

play15:16

Force in less than four hours they

play15:21

combined the striking capability with

play15:23

their own intelligence network again

play15:25

Futuristics then they occupied the West

play15:29

Bank they got the Sinai

play15:32

desert and they even got the Bekaa

play15:36

Valley of Syria then in 1981 this is a

play15:42

true experience mind experience now in

play15:45

nineteen 1981 there was martial law in

play15:47

the Philippines under Marcos and the

play15:52

businessman did not know where Mark was

play15:54

was headed

play15:55

he was bringing the country he was

play15:57

leading the country nobody else so what

play16:01

did they do they formed what they called

play16:04

the Philippine futuristic society to

play16:06

determine the trends to determine the

play16:10

the forecasts of the business the

play16:13

economy the politics even the

play16:16

environment and that's what we worked on

play16:18

at that time it it was we transformed it

play16:25

into what we call the center for

play16:27

Philippine futuristic studies in 19 2007

play16:32

so that we now included the students and

play16:35

the first students our members are from

play16:38

this University they are now members the

play16:42

futuristic society China is also doing

play16:46

Futuristics how they have copied what

play16:51

the Americans and the Allies have done

play16:53

immediately after the war at the height

play16:55

of the Cold War in fact and they are now

play16:58

getting into what they call the Asian

play17:02

infrastructure investment fund and that

play17:05

is to get everybody linked through

play17:08

railways that's one area that they can

play17:12

use to avoid being blocked on the South

play17:15

China Sea although they are claiming and

play17:19

toto the South China Sea Sea you have to

play17:25

understand how that started it was not

play17:28

started by Mao Zedong in 1949 no it was

play17:34

started in 1950 by Generalissimo Chiang

play17:38

kai-shek who had to flee to Taiwan

play17:41

because multi-tone defeated him and the

play17:45

he was supported by the Americans

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remember the Americans the British the

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French the Russians and the Chinese who

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were then originally under Sun yat-sen

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under the command of general

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Generalissimo Chiang kai-shek threw off

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the the Chinese emperor Qin Dynasty and

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however lost too much at all to be able

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to get a strategic position in the

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region they claim at 12 my 12 - line

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claim on the South China Sea when the

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Chinese Communists took over China

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finally 1958 in the United Nations then

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Chinese communist thought of how to do

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it how to get their own strategic

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position in the South China Sea

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that is forward thinking that is

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Futuristics and that is what they're

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doing right now they are not they are

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not minding anybody condemning them for

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taking over the South China Sea or

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militarizing the South China Sea why

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because they know pretty well there is

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no enforcement agency of the United

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Nations that is going to check them none

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at all

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so again this is a foresight of the

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Chinese and to them we must give them we

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must give the credit I am here to tell

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you the importance of futuristic s-- not

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to support the Chinese Communist Party

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[Laughter]

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now we come now to the question if you

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are so help on futurism

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how come this country has deteriorated

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constantly immediately after the war the

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Philippines were the second biggest

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economy next to Japan in Asia when I

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went as bureau chief of the Associated

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Press to Bangkok

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in 1962 by God everybody was looking at

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the Philippines as the training ground

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everybody was saying the peso is so good

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you know but now what is it out of the

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ten country members we are number six

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were not number two anymore in Asia and

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we are not number one Singapore has a

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better site has a better view of the

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future they copied what was here before

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that was the baton export processing

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zone and they now have the Jurong

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complex I covered it when they launched

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the Jurong complex and what is it now

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Singapore's the top honcho in the ASEAN

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ten again futurism now what holds the

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Filipino from practicing futurism all of

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the some of these people in the audience

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are my students and they know what they

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want that's why they're in there they're

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enrolled in the College of international

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relations some are in journalism they

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know what they want but if you go to the

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province in the Philippines you ask them

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how what do you want to be when you are

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twenty five you know what they say Baja

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Lana ho Maharana Kong began settling

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juice oh whatever God gives us we must

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welcome we must not turn down we must

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feel lucky and this is the religiosity

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of the Filipino that is holding down it

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is an anchor on the economic progress of

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the Philippines so what I'm saying here

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is that should be revised the mentals

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the mindset must be revised but what did

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what we do what do you have to have to

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revise the mindset you see revising or

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changing the mind

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means you are trying to change the

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thinking of the people and that will

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require a minimum a minimum of fifty

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years in some cases it might even

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require a bloody century you know can we

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afford it you have no way of doing it

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otherwise because as an as a Futuristics

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man you must be realistic you must work

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with what is possible what is probable

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then you lay down your options

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what does it that's best for you that is

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what you have to do because when you see

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what is coming is not favorable to you

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then you must act now act now

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not wait later you know you must have

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that sense of urgency in time the

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filipino by enlarge does not have that

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kind of mentality in the ballina la

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Habana memory buca's phenomena so that

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kind of mentality is really debilitating

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and is holding down the economic

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progress now where I come from if you

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talk a lot you're fired now if you

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cannot put down in writing what you have

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to say in one in one page you're fired

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also that is that's the kind of writing

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that the international wire services

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require so I am going to go no much

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further

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I'm going to put down here what are the

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qualities of a Futuristics man aside

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from being an optimist you have to have

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the maturity the maturity in age in

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experience to be able to render stable

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stable emotion free decisions and

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judgments on issues particularly if it

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concerns yourself

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number two you must have the analytical

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and critical mind don't stop asking how

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and why it's easy to know what and who

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and where that's easy you don't have to

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ask that but you have to ask how did it

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start

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why was there such a development there

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must be a reason for causing it is it

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against me

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it against my country is it against our

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group yeah those are those have to be

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asked then you have to have a

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well-rounded background and this is the

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hardest part of it you must have to have

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a well-rounded background and experience

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in politics in economics in social

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cultural science behavioral science in

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technology and in the environment asking

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too much right you become a jack of all

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trades and a master of none

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but it's going to help you the number

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four you must be an effective

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communicator don't ever use the same

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word you are defining don't say the art

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of listening is actually the art of

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listening when somebody stopping power

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then again you must be able to deal with

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reality because reality is what you have

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to deal with you cannot get away from

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meaning your geography your country your

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politics your religion whatever it is so

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that you can now work in harmony with

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your environment because you cannot get

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anywhere you cannot leave this planet

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and most of all you think global and act

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local

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thank you very much

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[Applause]

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