【年中最强】能预测突破概率的交易工具,实时预测日内走势的神算子 #Breakout Probability #Supertrend #交易策略
Summary
TLDR本视频介绍了一种名为BP指标的交易工具,它通过分析历史数据预测未来K线突破的概率,并展示在图表上以辅助交易决策。BP指标的三大用途包括预测突破概率、设置安全止损和预测日内价格趋势。视频中还介绍了其他两个指标:Pivot Point Supertrend和随机热图,并提供了详细的设置方法。最后,通过比特币的小时图示例,讲解了结合这些指标的交易规则,包括入场、止损和分批获利策略。
Takeaways
- 🔍 视频中介绍了一种可以预测突破概率的强大工具,该工具通过回测和分析历史数据来实时计算下一根K线的概率。
- 📈 该工具在图表中显示百分比值,交易者可以根据这些概率在关键位置做出交易决策,比如设置相对安全的止损点或预测价格的日内趋势。
- 🛠️ 视频中提到了三个免费Tradingview指标的使用,这些指标的详细信息将在视频描述和顶部评论中列出。
- 📊 BP指标的三种主要用途包括预测突破概率、设置相对安全的止损点和预测日内价格趋势。
- 📈 使用BP指标预测突破时,应观察价格是否达到重要阻力位,并检查BP指标显示的上升或下降概率。
- 🚫 如果BP指标显示突破概率小,应结合其他指标验证这一预测,并考虑是否退出市场以避免回调风险。
- 🛑 设置止损点时,应切换到较大时间周期的图表,并选择BP指标显示后续价格到达概率较小的位置作为止损区域。
- 📉 预测日内价格趋势时,应选择更高时间周期的图表,如日线图,并结合BP指标显示的价格上升概率来做出交易决策。
- 🔄 视频中还介绍了其他两个指标:Pivot Point Supertrend和随机热图(Stochastic Heat Map),并提供了具体的设置参数。
- 📋 视频中通过比特币兑美元的一小时图表示例,详细解释了交易规则,包括进入多头和空头位置的具体条件。
Q & A
什么是Speculation Lab中提到的预测突破概率的工具?
-Speculation Lab中提到的工具是一种可以实时计算下一K线突破概率的交易工具,它通过回测和分析历史数据来显示百分比值,并帮助交易者在关键位置做出交易决策。
如何使用这个工具来预测价格的下一步走势?
-交易者可以通过观察BP指标来判断价格在达到重要阻力位时,下一K线是先上升还是先下降,以及价格首先达到哪个位置。如果突破的概率相对较高,可以结合其他指标来验证这一预测,或者制定突破后的交易计划。
BP指标的三个主要用途是什么?
-BP指标的三个主要用途包括:1) 预测突破概率;2) 设置相对安全的止损点;3) 预测日内价格趋势。
如何使用BP指标来设置一个相对安全的止损点?
-要设置一个相对安全的止损点,需要切换到较大的时间周期图表,如四小时或日线图,并观察BP指标的入场K线,选择后续价格到达概率较小的位置作为止损区域。
如何使用BP指标来预测日内价格趋势?
-预测日内价格趋势时,应选择较高时间周期的图表,最好是日线图。如果BP指标显示当天价格有较高概率首先上升到某个位置,可以观察其他指标或信号是否验证了这个长期预测。
Pivot Point Supertrend指标的设置参数是什么?
-Pivot Point Supertrend指标的设置参数包括:Pivot Point Period设置为3,ATR Factor设置为2.8,ATR Period设置为8,其他设置保持不变。
随机热图指标的设置应该如何调整?
-随机热图指标的设置应将统计热图的第一列更改为WMA,主题选择1,平滑快线设置为7,平滑慢线设置为26,绘制数量设置为25,取消绘制柱状图,并将绘制颜色的上半部分更改为黄色加粗,下半部分为白色。
如何使用随机热图指标来判断交易信号?
-当随机热图指标的白线在超买区域穿过黄线形成死亡交叉时,价格可能会回落。如果白线在中线以下穿过黄线,在超卖区域形成黄金交叉,价格则有机会上升。
交易规则中提到的进入多头位置的条件是什么?
-进入多头位置的条件包括:1) 随机热图在超卖区域出现黄金交叉;2) 在接下来的10根K线内,Pivot Point的超级趋势指标出现买入信号;3) 关键K线之后的BP指标显示上升概率预测。
如何根据交易规则设置止损和获利?
-止损可以设置在近期的摆动低点附近,获利则可以分批进行,部分按照1:1的风险回报比例进行,其余的则根据更高利润的目标进行。
Outlines
📈 交易工具介绍与预测策略
本段介绍了一个名为Speculation Lab的交易工具,该工具能够通过分析历史数据实时预测K线突破的概率,并在图表中显示百分比值。该工具可用于预测价格在关键位置的下一步走势,如设置相对安全的止损点或预测价格的日内趋势。作者推荐将此工具添加到个人图表中,并介绍了三个免费的Tradingview指标:BP指标、Pivot Point Supertrend指标和随机热图指标。BP指标用于预测突破概率,设置止损点和预测日内价格趋势。Pivot Point Supertrend指标和随机热图指标则用于进一步确认交易信号和趋势。
🔍 交易规则与示例说明
第二段深入讲解了如何使用上述指标进行交易,并提供了具体的交易规则和示例。对于做多,规则包括在随机热图指标中寻找超卖区域的金叉,以及在接下来的10根K线中寻找Pivot Point Supertrend指标的买入信号。对于做空,则需要在超买区域寻找死叉,以及在接下来的10根K线中寻找卖出信号。此外,还介绍了如何根据BP指标预测下一K线的走势,并据此决定入场点和止损点。作者强调了批量止盈的重要性,并鼓励观众订阅以获取更多盈利的交易系统。
Mindmap
Keywords
💡突破概率
💡BP指标
💡止损
💡随机热图
💡枢轴点超级趋势指标
💡交易规则
💡分批获利
💡成交量支撑阻力指标
💡时间框架
💡交易系统
Highlights
发现了一个能够预测突破概率的强大工具,能够通过回测和分析历史数据来实时计算下一个K线的概率。
该工具可以在图表中显示百分比值,基于这些概率做出关键位置的交易决策。
预测价格在关键位置的下一步走势,如设置相对安全的止损或预测价格的日内趋势。
介绍了三种使用预测交易策略的免费Tradingview指标。
BP指标的三种主要用途:预测突破概率、设置相对安全的止损和预测日内价格趋势。
在重要阻力位置,通过BP指标观察下一个K线是先上升还是先下降,以及突破的概率。
如果BP指标显示突破概率较小,需要观察其他指标验证这一预测。
设置相对安全的止损,需要切换到大周期图表,如四小时或日线图。
选择BP指标显示的后续价格到达概率较小的位置作为止损区域。
预测日内价格趋势,最好使用日线图,并观察BP指标显示的价格上升概率。
介绍了第二个指标:Pivot Point Supertrend,设置参数并添加到图表。
第三个指标是随机热图,通过设置参数来预测价格的超买和超卖区域。
当随机热图中的白线穿越黄线时,可能形成死亡交叉,预示价格可能回落。
在随机热图的超卖区域,白线穿越黄线可能形成黄金交叉,预示价格有机会上升。
介绍了具体的交易规则和示例,包括做多和做空的信号识别。
使用基于成交量的支撑和阻力指标来分批止盈,根据不同级别的阻力来决定止盈比例。
提醒观众订阅频道,以便不错过更多盈利的交易系统。
Transcripts
Yo,
I 'm here again
. Welcome to the Speculation Lab.
I found a very powerful tool that
can predict the probability of breakthroughs. It
can calculate the probability of
the next K line in real time by
backtesting and analyzing historical data.
The percentage value
is displayed in the chart
, and we can make trading decisions
at some key positions based on these probabilities
, such as
predicting the next move of the price at a key position
, such as how to set a relatively safe stop loss
, or predicting the intraday trend of the price, etc.
Trust me
This is a trading tool that can change the rules of the game.
Be sure to add it to your own chart
, and you will quickly see its power . Next,
I will explain the three uses of the
predictive
trading strategy involves three free
Tradingview
Indicators
As usual
, the details of the indicators
will be listed
in the description column
below and in the top
comment Set it to 1.2
number of lines, set it to 4,
and uncheck the function of show statistic panel.
The color refers to my settings
. Since the name is a bit long,
we will refer to it as BP
indicator. There are three main uses of BP indicator.
The first is to predict the probability of a
breakthrough. The type of transaction
, the price has reached an important resistance position
, we can first observe the BP indicator
to see whether the next k-line has a high probability of rising first
or falling first, which position
the price
will reach first
, and if it is a breakthrough, the probability is relatively high Big,
you can observe other indicators to see
if there is the same resonance signal
to verify this prediction
, or you can also make a trading plan
for entering the market after a breakthrough, and wait for the price to break through before trading.
If you have already held a position
, when the price reaches a At the key resistance position, if
you find that the BP indicator shows that the probability of breaking through is small
, you need to observe other indicators to see
if this prediction has been verified
at the same time. For example, the MACD demigod divergence also appeared at the same time.
Whether you want to exit the market to prevent the risk of falling back
is the question you have to consider at the time
. The second is to set a relatively safe stop loss.
Using this method
, we need to switch to a large time-level cycle,
preferably a chart of the four-hour daily line level
. When the price trend shows some K-line structures , such as
head and shoulders top double top double In the bottom supply and demand area,
we can observe the BP indicator of the entry k-line
and choose a lower value
, that is,
a position where the probability of subsequent price arrival is relatively small
as our stop loss area
. If this area can still
coincide with some important structures
, the effect will be better
. Well, the third is to predict the price trend within the day
. It is also necessary to choose a higher time chart.
It is best to use the daily chart
. If the BP indicator shows that the price of
the day
has a higher probability of rising to a certain position first,
we can observe other indicators. Or signals, have
you verified this long-term forecast at the same time
? If so, we
can switch to a small-level cycle
to find a suitable long-term entry opportunity.
These are the three uses of the BP indicator, which are very useful
. The second one is the pivot point super trend indicator.
For Pivot Point Supertrend,
we
enter the full name in the indicator search bar, save it and add it to the chart
. Set the Pivot Point Period to 3 and
the ATR Factor to 2.8 and the ATR Period to 8.
The other settings remain unchanged.
The third indicator is the random heat map
. We enter it in the indicator search bar Change the first column of the statistic heat map
to WMA
Theme, select 1, change the increment to 7 for Smooth fast, change the Smooth slow to 26,
change the Plot Number to 25,
uncheck the Paint bars,
switch to the style bar
, and pull down
to find the penultimate and third Drawing color 0 option,
the upper
part is changed to yellow and bold, and the lower part is white
, then select
the horizontal line tool on the second tool
bar on the left side
, and set a horizontal line at the midline position of the random heat map. The parameter
here
is 12.5. When the white line crosses the yellow line,
it will form a dead cross in
the overbought area, and the price may fall back. If the white line below the middle line crosses the yellow line
, it will form a golden cross in the oversold area,
and the price will have a chance to rise
. This is All the crime tools we will use
Next,
I will explain the trading rules with examples.
This is the one-hour chart of Bitcoin and USD
. The rule to enter the long position is the first. The golden cross in the oversold area should appear on the
stochastic heat map.
The second golden cross Within the next 10 k-lines, the super trend indicator of
the pivot point will appear a buy signal
. The k-line corresponding to the signal
is the key k
-line we are looking for. The next k-line of the key k-
line
will appear after the opening of the BP indicator.
Prediction of upward probability At this time, we can choose to enter
the market near the opening price.
The
stop loss can be set near the recent swing low. The take profit can be selected in batches.
That is, part of the risk-reward ratio is 1:1
, and the rest is taken. In order to gain higher profits, the method of
taking profits in batches
can also be added.
A volume-based support and resistance indicator
Volume-based Support & Resistance Zones
will open time frame 1 and time frame 2. The period of
time frame 2
is at least longer than that of time frame 1. The cycle is more than four times
larger ,
which is convenient.
We
take profit in batches according to the resistance of different levels. The resistance position with a large
cycle will take more profit
, and the resistance with a small cycle will take less profit. The
short rule is the opposite.
First, random heat
In the picture, there should be a dead cross in the overbought area. Within 10 bars after
the second dead cross , the super trend indicator of the pivot point should have a sell
signal . The corresponding bar of the signal
is the key bar we are looking for
. The bottom of the key bar
A k-line, the BP indicator will appear after
the opening of the market, and there will be
a high probability of downward prediction.
At this
time , we can choose to enter the market near the opening price.
The stop loss can be set near the recent swing high
, or switch to a large-level cycle
to observe BP. Does the indicator have a suitable
stop loss area? Take profit also chooses the method
worth your time to develop and optimize. Check if you click the subscribe button
so as not to miss a more profitable trading system.
We will see
you for a while. Good morning, good afternoon, good night, bye
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