The Greatest 'Get Rich Bitcoin Plan' of ALL TIME (in Under 25 min)

Summary

In diesem Video diskutiert Expertenhändler Bob Lucas die kommende Super-Cycle-Phase von Bitcoin. Er erklärt, dass die aktuelle vierjährige Zyklusphase vielversprechend aussieht und dass Bitcoin in den nächsten sechs bis acht Monaten signifikante Preissteigerungen erleben könnte. Lucas spricht auch über die Möglichkeit eines linken übersetzten Zyklus, der zu einem früheren und kräftigeren Spitzenwert führen könnte, oder einer Super-Cycle-Phase, die bis Ende 2025 reichen könnte. Er betont die Stärke des Marktes und die positiven langfristigen Indikatoren, was auf eine anhaltende positive Entwicklung schließen lässt.

Takeaways

• 🚀 Bitcoin könnte in einem Super-Zyklus stecken, der das Leben von Menschen verändern könnte.
• 📈 Der Vierjahreszyklus von Bitcoin könnte noch 20 Monate dauern, was eine große Chance für Investitionen bedeutet.
• 🌐 Experten wie Trader Bob Lucas sehen in den aktuellen Zyklus eine starke Nachfrage und weniger Verkäufe von Langzeit-Haltern.
• 🔄 Die Haltung von Bitcoin durch Institutionen und Vermögensfonds könnte den Markt stärken und zu einem höheren Preis führen.
• 📊 Onchain-Metriken zeigen, dass Langzeit-Halter ihre Positionen nicht verkaufen und eher früher als üblich akquirieren.
• 💹 Die Unterstützung und Nachfrage im Markt sind stark, was zu schnellen Erholungen nach Verkäuferscheinungen führt.
• 🔮 Es gibt die Möglichkeit eines linken übersetzten Zyklus, der einen früheren Höhepunkt im Jahr bringen könnte.
• 🌟 Ein Super-Zyklus könnte im Jahr 2025 einen noch größeren Höhepunkt bringen, wenn alle Faktoren zusammenkommen.
• 📊 Die ETF-Veröffentlichung hat den Markt legitimiert und zu erhöhten Kapitalflüssen geführt, was die Preisentwicklung fördert.
• 🔄 Der Vergleich mit früheren Zyklen zeigt, dass dieser Zyklus stärker und nachhaltiger sein könnte.
• 📈 Die Diskussion um einen Super-Zyklus ist relevant, da es die erste Zeit ist, in der ein Super-Zyklus eine reale Möglichkeit darstellt.

Q & A

Was ist ein Super-Cycle im Kontext von Bitcoin?

Ein Super-Cycle bezieht sich auf eine Phase, in der Bitcoin einen signifikanten Anstieg in seinem Wert erlebt, der über die üblichen Schwankungen hinausgeht und oft mit einem hohen Spekulationsgrad verbunden ist.

Was könnte den Super-Cycle für Bitcoin auslösen?

Ein Super-Cycle könnte durch eine Konvergenz verschiedener Faktoren ausgelöst werden, wie z.B. die Zunahme an institutionalen Investoren, die Einführung von Bitcoin-ETFs, die wachsende Akzeptanz als Anlageklasse und die zunehmende Medienaufmerksamkeit.

Wie unterscheidet sich ein Super-Cycle von den vorherigen Bitcoin-Zyklen?

Ein Super-Cycle könnte sich durch eine stärkere Nachfrage, weniger Volatilität und eine stärkere Grundlage durch langfristige Halter sowie eine breitere akzeptierte Legitimität in der traditionellen Finanzwelt auszeichnen.

Was ist die Bedeutung der 35-Monats-Marke im Bitcoin-Zyklus?

Die 35-Monats-Marke ist ein Zeitpunkt, an dem frühere Bitcoin-Zyklen ihren Höhepunkt erreicht haben. Sie deutet darauf hin, dass es noch Zeit bis zum Ende des aktuellen Bullen Marktes im Bitcoin-Zyklus gibt.

Was ist der Unterschied zwischen einem left translated Cycle und einem right translated Cycle?

Ein left translated Cycle würde bedeuten, dass der Höhepunkt des Bitcoin-Zyklus früher als erwartet kommt, wahrscheinlich in diesem Jahr, während ein right translated Cycle eine Verzögerung des Höhepunkts um einige Monate bedeutet, was zu einer späteren Erreichung des Allzeithochs führen würde.

Was sind die Vorteile einer langfristigen Haltung von Bitcoin?

Langfristige Haltung von Bitcoin kann dazu führen, dass Investoren von einem möglichen Super-Cycle profitieren, indem sie während der Aufwärtsbewegung im Wert von Bitcoin bleiben und potenziell hohe Renditen erzielen.

Wie beeinflusst die Einführung von Bitcoin-ETFs den Markt?

Bitcoin-ETFs bieten institutionalen und零售投资者 Zugang zum Bitcoin-Markt und erhöhen die Legitimität von Bitcoin als anerkannte Anlageklasse, was zu einem erhöhten Kapitalfluss und potenziell höheren Preisen führen kann.

Was ist die Rolle von On-Chain-Metriken im Bitcoin-Markt?

On-Chain-Metriken wie die Verhaltensweisen von langfristigen Haltern können Indikatoren für die Stärke des Marktes sein. Wenn diese Halter ihre Positionen nicht verkaufen und eher zukaufen, deutet dies auf eine starke Nachfrage und einen festen Kaufbedarf hin.

Wie kann man sich vorbereiten, um von einem möglichen Super-Cycle zu profitieren?

Um von einem Super-Cycle zu profitieren, ist es wichtig, eine lange Haltungsstrategie zu verfolgen, ein offenes Ohr für Markttrends zu haben und auf die Entwicklungen im Bitcoin-Ökosystem zu achten, wie z.B. die Akzeptanz von Bitcoin in der traditionellen Finanzwelt und die Einführung von neuen Finanzprodukten.

Was sind die Risiken einer Investition in Bitcoin während eines Super-Cycles?

Die Risiken beinhalten eine mögliche Überbewertung des Marktes, die zu einem plötzlichen Crash führen kann, sowie die Gefahr, zu früh zu verkaufen und potenzielle Renditen zu verpassen, wenn der Markt weiterhin steigt.

Wie kann man die Meinungen von Experten wie Bob Lucas nutzen, um seine Investitionsentscheidungen zu verbessern?

Durch das Anschauen von Videos und der Analyse von Experten wie Bob Lucas kann man ein besseres Verständnis für den Marktzyklus und die potenziellen Entwicklungen im Bitcoin-Ökosystem erlangen, was zu fundierteren Investitionsentscheidungen führen kann.

Outlines

00:00

🚀 Bitcoin Super Cycle Prediction

The video script discusses the potential for Bitcoin to enter a super cycle, which could significantly change one's life if invested correctly. The speaker emphasizes the importance of spreading awareness about this opportunity and suggests that the bull market still has a year or more to run. Expert Trader Bob Lucas's analysis is highlighted, indicating that Bitcoin's four-year cycle suggests a substantial price potential ahead. The speaker also addresses skepticism about super cycles and suggests that a shift in market sentiment and strength in on-chain metrics indicates a strong foundation for Bitcoin's price to rise.

05:02

🌐 Changing Perceptions and Bitcoin's Legitimacy

The script continues with a discussion on the changing public perception of Bitcoin, noting a shift from skepticism to acceptance as an asset class. The speaker mentions the role of Bitcoin as a 'time machine' and its historical reliability in gaining value. The video also explores the possibility of a super cycle, suggesting that the current market conditions, including the introduction of Bitcoin ETFs, could lead to a significant price increase. The speaker also compares the current cycle to previous ones, highlighting differences in market dynamics and the potential for a unique cycle outcome.

10:04

📈 Left Translated Cycle and Market Dynamics

The speaker delves into the concept of a left translated cycle, predicting a sooner and higher peak for Bitcoin's price. This scenario suggests a relentless bid behind the market, leading to a rapid increase in Bitcoin's value. The script discusses the implications of such a cycle, including the potential for a massive blowoff top and the market's reaction to dips. The speaker also considers the role of ETFs in legitimizing Bitcoin and facilitating capital inflows, which could contribute to a bubble-like market behavior.

15:04

🔄 Right Translated Cycle and Market Strength

The script explores the possibility of a right translated cycle, which would mirror previous cycles with a more gradual build-up to an all-time high. The speaker suggests that the current market strength and institutional involvement could lead to a more stable and sustained uptrend. The video also discusses the importance of consolidating the market and building a foundation for a future peak. The speaker expresses optimism about the current cycle's potential for outperformance compared to previous cycles.

20:06

🌟 Super Cycle Potential and Market Outlook

The speaker concludes by considering the potential for a super cycle, which could be a significant financial event for Bitcoin. The script discusses the convergence of various themes and participants in the market, suggesting a collective move towards a major price peak. The speaker encourages viewers to stay invested for the 4-year cycle, whether it results in a left translated cycle with a sharp rise or a more traditional cycle with a gradual increase. The video ends with a call to action to stay informed and engaged with the cryptocurrency market.

Keywords

💡Bitcoin

Bitcoin ist eine digitale Währung, die auf dem Blockchain-Technologie basiert. Im Video wird Bitcoin als Anlageobjekt mit dem Potenzial für einen signifikanten Wertzuwachsstsein diskutiert, insbesondere in einem sogenannten Super-Cycle.

💡Super Cycle

Ein Super-Cycle bezieht sich auf einen lang anhaltenden Aufwärtstrend in einem Markt, in diesem Fall für Bitcoin. Der Sprecher des Videos diskutiert die Möglichkeit, dass Bitcoin gerade in einem solchen Super-Cycle ist, was für Investoren eine große Chance darstellen könnte.

💡Blowoff Top

Ein Blowoff Top ist ein术语, der in der Finanzwelt verwendet wird, um einen plötzlichen und heftigen Anstieg des Preises zu beschreiben, der oft das Ende eines Marktzyklus markiert. Im Video wird dies als mögliche Entwicklung für Bitcoin in diesem Zyklus vorhergesagt.

💡Four-Year Cycle

Der Vier-Jahres-Zyklus bezieht sich auf die wiederkehrenden Muster im Bitcoin-Markt, die ungefähr alle vier Jahre stattfinden. Der Sprecher erwähnt, dass Bitcoin möglicherweise in der Phase eines solchen Zyklus ist, was auf einen bevorstehenden Anstieg des Preises schließen lässt.

💡ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund)

Ein ETF ist ein börsennotiertes Investmentfonds, das es Anlegern ermöglicht, an einem breiten Bündel von Aktien oder anderen Vermögenswerten zu investieren. Im Video wird die Einführung von Bitcoin-ETFs als Faktor genannt, der den Markt legitimiert und zu einem Anstieg des Bitcoin-Preises beiträgt.

💡Onchain Metrics

Onchain-Metric sind Daten, die die Aktivitäten auf der Blockchain analysieren, um Muster und Trends zu identifizieren. Im Video werden diese Metriken genutzt, um die Haltung von langfristigen Bitcoin-Haltern zu untersuchen und auf eine starke Nachfrage zu schließen.

💡Sentiment

Sentiment bezieht sich auf die allgemeine Stimmung oder das Gefühl der Investoren im Markt. Im Video wird die positive Stimmung innerhalb der Kryptowährungsgemeinde als ein Zeichen dafür gesehen, dass der Markt weiterhin anzieht und dass der Anstieg des Bitcoin-Preises nachhaltig sein könnte.

💡Leverage

Leverage ermöglicht es Investoren, mit mehr Kapital zu handeln als sie tatsächlich haben, was das Potenzial für höhere Gewinne, aber auch für größere Verluste erhöht. Im Video wird darauf hingewiesen, dass der vorherige Zyklus von Leverage und Spekulation geprägt war, was zu einem abrupten Absturz führte.

💡Long-Term Holders

Langzeit-Halter sind Investoren, die ihre Bitcoins über einen längeren Zeitraum behalten, anstatt sie kurzfristig zu verkaufen. Im Video wird die Haltung von Langzeit-Haltern als ein Zeichen für die Stärke des Marktes und die Erwartung eines höheren Preises interpretiert.

💡Spot Bitcoin

Spot Bitcoin bezieht sich auf den Kauf von Bitcoin zum aktuellen Marktpreis, ohne Verwendung von Leverage oder Derivaten. Im Video wird die Kauftätigkeit von Institutionen und Anlegern am Spot-Markt als ein Zeichen für die Legitimität und Stärke des Bitcoin-Marktes gesehen.

💡Left Translated Cycle

Ein Left Translated Cycle bedeutet, dass der Anstieg des Preises früher als erwartet stattfindet, was zu einem früheren Höhepunkt führt. Im Video wird dies als eine Möglichkeit diskutiert, dass der Bitcoin-Zyklus sich früher als erwartet entwickelt und schneller zum Höhepunkt kommt.

Highlights

Bitcoin is entering a potential super cycle that could change your life in crypto if done right.

The opportunity in Bitcoin is expected to last for one to two years, with the bull market still having over a year left.

Expert Trader Bob Lucas suggests that Bitcoin's four-year cycle indicates a significant potential for price growth.

The current cycle feels different with a relentless bid and strong on-chain metrics showing long-term holders accumulating Bitcoin.

The sentiment in the crypto world is contained, and the market feels more spot-driven than in previous cycles.

The ETF for Bitcoin has brought legitimacy to the asset class and has seen tremendous inflows.

Bitcoin is increasingly accepted as an asset class with a long-term future, moving away from being seen as a joke or scam.

The speaker believes that this cycle could be very different from previous ones, possibly a super cycle.

Two possibilities are presented: a left-translated cycle with a huge blowoff top this year or a super cycle with a massive blowoff top in late 2025.

The market's strength and the ETF narrative suggest a high probability of a left-translated cycle with Bitcoin blowing past $100,000 and $200,000.

A left-translated cycle would mean a speculative phase sooner than expected, possibly within the next 8 to 10 months.

The speaker suggests that if Bitcoin continues to move higher and tests all-time highs, it would indicate a significant departure from previous cycle behavior.

The right-translated cycle would mirror previous cycles but with less volatility and a more accelerated path to all-time highs.

The current market strength and institutional involvement suggest a more sustainable and higher move for Bitcoin.

The speaker believes that the next few months will provide a definitive answer on whether a left-translated cycle is unfolding.

The speaker advises holding the course and not jumping ship on the possible double top narrative.

The video emphasizes the importance of staying invested for the 4-year cycle to capitalize on the potential outsized move in Bitcoin's price.

Transcripts

Bitcoin is entering a super cycle for

real this time you can change your life

in crypto if you do this right smash the

like button post this video on social

media the more people who know about

this the bigger the blowoff top will be

personally I sent this video to my

friends my family because I want them to

understand the opportunity just as a

reminder in one to two years this

opportunity will be gone if Bitcoin

follows even just the loose path that it

always has the four-year cycle we have

way over a year left in this bull market

expert Trader Bob Lucas we featured his

work on the channel before you loved

this video you watched this video well

he gives us a refresher and explains how

much more time we have and after this

the opportunity is gone we are a good 20

months away from when prior Cycles would

typically have peaked just as a

refresher on that the 35 month Mark

takes us into deep

2025 and we've just begun 2024 and that

shows you really the tremendous

potential that still lies ahead for

Bitcoin in terms of price if the cycle

were to unfold as it has pretty much

since its Inception uh well over a

decade ago now so that is the tremendous

opportunity that we have so you might be

skeptical of a super cycle you might be

saying to yourself well people said

super cycle last time people who say

super cycle are just not thinking but

wait a minute everybody seems to be

saying that a super cycle won't happen

everybody seems to be thinking no super

cycle wait a minute almost everybody if

not everybody seems to be pretty damn

sure that Bitcoin today is not in a

super cycle we're not going to be in a

super cycle and huh well if everybody's

thinking that if everybody's thinking

the same thing then I don't don't think

that that many people are actually

thinking have an open mind I hope that

you just don't sell too early I'm trying

to help you trying to give you the info

like the video a super cycle makes sense

for this reason for me it just I just

have a sense that there is a lot of

strength that I haven't seen in the

prior Cycles I didn't I mean there was

strength in that 15 17 cycle and you can

definitely feel it there was some level

of strength I guess in in the 2018 to 22

cycle although that mostly only came

towards the uh the blowoff phase uh this

cycle just

feels like there is a Relentless bid

behind this uh you also see this in some

of the onchain metrics where the

long-term holders didn't really sort of

sell their positions down and they've

been accumulating a lot earlier than

than normal and it feels as if um this

holder class is is really positioned

well for much higher prices and this um

you know this four-year cycle being back

up and above all-time high territory um

I'm also sensing that you know a lot of

people just you know from a retail

perspective uh sentiment just is in

check in general I mean of course you

know people getting excited within the

crypto world but even within that world

it just feels very much contained

whereas the last cycle uh we had a lot

of sort of frauders and personalities a

lot of Leverage of course that was

driving that market and this one just

feels far more spot driven than anything

else so just people

institutions um appreciating the value

of holding spot Bitcoin and buying spot

um by the bucket load and I think that's

what's driving this Market higher and

you also see during these sell-offs with

the the sort of less leverage move that

the market had as you're seeing sort of

less volatility to the downside because

holders just don't want to sell on these

dips and the support and the bid is so

strong that these declines that we're

seeing these 15 20% declines are being

snapped up relatively quickly and that

leads me really into the topic here

today which is a possible super cycle so

at this point in the fouryear cycle I

think everything is going really well

obviously we have um some very major

sort of Tailwinds behind Bitcoin we now

have obviously an ETF that's out there

that's seeing tremendous inflows into

the space but the ETF also goes a step

further in the sense that it provides

now a level of legitimacy to the

traditional market and the traditional

world uh now that there's an ETF that's

available people get view the asset

class um as being something that is

investable and not something to be

laughed at and of course you all know

and you've all seen kind of this radical

shift in sentiment towards Bitcoin as a

whole when you speak to people at the

moment they don't sort of come back

immediately with oh that's a joke or

that's a scam or that's a a Ponzi I mean

you still of course get some of that but

we've come a really really long way in

Bitcoin being accepted as an asset class

that's here to stay and that is also a

function and as I've mentioned so many

times in different videos of time right

Bitcoin is a time machine it is a

Perpetual machine that just stamps out

blocks one after the other that are

irreversible and over time with each

block that occurs without any downtime

with uh the reliability that it shows it

gains value from its uh its its time and

its history in the market and with each

cycle that sentiment gets reinforced and

uh people feel uh more confident in

assigning value and assigning assigning

wealth to this asset class so from a

4-year cycle standpoint this is just a

nice clean cycle picture doesn't really

get any cleaner than this it it is just

a picture perfect the question really

then becomes as I as I mentioned earlier

about this cycle is this one going to be

different

because and it's something I've talked a

lot about and not just within Bitcoin

but Cycles in general Cycles do rhyme

over time but they do change character

significantly at some point nothing ever

goes up in perpetuity at some point uh

we will see a cycle that doesn't look

the same uh as the prior cycles and I've

suggested in the past that this cycle

this fouryear cycle might be that and I

still believe that I think this cycle is

going to be very different to the prior

ones from a timing standpoint be similar

but from from a price action perspective

be very different and that is the idea

that we could be looking at somewhat of

a super cycle period um coming up in

this fouryear cycle or a left translated

cycle interesting so Bitcoin

fundamentally narrative wise and just

from a price time perspective like how

does the chart look Bitcoin is very

bullish but did you hear what he said

two possibilities there are two

possibilities a huge blowoff top left

translated cycle or a huge blowoff top

right translated super cycle so a left

translated cycle we'd see the blowoff

top 100K 200k probably this year a super

cycle we'd see a even more huge blowoff

top late 2025 again I need you to

understand that the stars are aligning

here for Bitcoin for the first time we

we have kind of this Confluence of all

these narratives and themes from all the

prior cycles that I think have now come

together uh you had the initial kind of

you know you know s self- Sovereign guys

that got in early into this uh into this

technology and so that first wave that

first cycle then you had a lot of the

sort of tech focused people that jumped

in with some very early VCS and so on

and bought then you had that big retail

craze in in 15 16 17 then you had that

sort of early institutional phase in the

last cycle

uh and then since then we've got this

big sort of nft movement that's come in

and that's important because they also

are Bitcoin buyers and they're crypto

buyers in general so they've entered the

ecosystem and now we have just this ETF

that's that's that's made access to

bitcoin Broad and of course has given it

that standing and Authority that makes

it okay to accumulate and buy so it

really does feel as if kind of all

parties now are on board and they're all

here and there's this sort of just this

self-fulfilling expectation that Bitcoin

still has uh one big sort of move up to

to some type of massive Peak that I

think probably takes some time then to

to digest once it does happen so we

definitely have the makings for a pretty

big move and this is why I think that

this coming cycle this current cycle

that we're in is either going to be

experiencing a left translated cycle

move or is going to be somewhat of a

super cycle and not a diminishing kind

of return I think a lot of people have

been somewhat fooled by the fact that

the last cycle didn't necessarily extend

up into that six figure area that you

would think would happen and I think

that's also because the last cycle was

mostly a uh like I said a fraud based uh

leverage driven

um almost coordinated cycle that uh just

ran out of steam and then once uh once

it did um The Leverage had to be Unwound

and uh you know and then everything

collapsed this cycle feels much more

sustainable it has the foundation for it

to move higher so option one is left

translated cycle meaning huge blowoff

top happens sooner than most people

expect probably this year this is how

that would happen from a left translated

cycle standpoint what that would

basically mean is that it doesn't adhere

to the prior cycles that it just wants

to keep on going because there's just a

solid bid behind this Market that nobody

wants to sell at that level and the lack

of uh Supply on the market is is just uh

not you know it's just so low relative

to the amount of buying that's out there

and the market will push higher so a

left translated cycle right right here

means that we just keep on moving higher

and we come to test the alltime high

levels and create some good separation

from the uh the 10-month moving average

and just essentially blast through the

all-time high levels well before the

midpoint which typically is where the

all-time high is hit and if that were to

happen it would mean that we have

entered that very speculative phase of

the four year cycle and speculative

phases in the 4year cycle any cycle

don't typically last too long they may

last for four six or eight months but

once they run their course and once they

Peak that typically means that the cycle

has come to an end and the left

translated cycle simply means that

instead of expecting the high of the

4year cycle to occur around that

three-year mark it would

occur at or before the midpoint and the

midpoint is December of this year so a

left translated cycle means that we Peak

before the end of this year and that the

4year cycle would then spend 2 years

moving down or mostly sideways it

doesn't really matter at this point down

to the next foure cycle low so if we're

headed for a major major Peak for

Bitcoin it's first real major Peak and

I'm not talking about Peaks like we've

seen in the prior three fouryear Cycles

which is three years up one year down

I'm talking about a major Peak that

takes maybe one full 4year cycle to

recover similar to what the NASDAQ did

in 2000 do boom then that could possibly

come from a move in the next 8 months to

10 months so that would basically mean

that instead of pulling back and

consolidating as it has done in Prior

cycles that this would just blast higher

leave so many people behind at this

point because the expectation is that

we'll be peing as we have in Prior

Cycles around year three and essentially

just make that run and begin that run

higher to that high if you look at or

take just some bars from the last sort

of Cycles we're talking about sort of

that run happening and starting kind of

now or if you look at the 2017 cycle

kind of taking it and and doing

something like this so it's irrelevant

what the price Target is I I don't think

anybody can tell you where that Peak

would occur the point is though that on

a left translated

cycle we would actually already be in

that phase of the blowoff move it

doesn't look evident now it wouldn't

look evident just yet but um

historically we' be pulling back around

this point and consolidating and if this

just keeps on moving higher and takes

out some higher levels and starts

testing the all-time highs

that is a significant departure and

change from prior cycle behavior and

would indicate that this Market just

wants a rip high so really this early

left translated cycle with a massive

blowoff top this would happen because of

the following reason we do have the ETF

narrative but it's not only an ETF it's

not only a narrative it is reality that

we're seeing billions of dollars in

inflows coming in here that we haven't

seen during prior cycle

and that of course is all self-filling

higher

prices gains awareness access to product

and access to bitcoin through ETFs makes

it easier for Capital to flow in and it

all just becomes that's how a bubble

gets built it just becomes uh it just

inflates and inflates and inflates

inflates people start talking about it

sentiment begins to expand Capital Flows

In prices uh get higher prices and it

just keeps on going until of course you

just runs out to a point where uh it's

non-sustainable anymore so this

idea is fairly relevant and I think has

a reasonably high probability I I

couldn't really assign a probability to

it but when I Fe take that feeling and

take the the evidence of strength and we

take the ETF um that is definitely

something it's not a Black Swan but it

is something the market has been waiting

for for8 to 10 years uh within Bitcoin

um it does have the uh the feeling and

the Hallmark here of a left translative

possibility some of them can get quite

high in a very highly speculative

Market uh I just don't doubt how high

Bitcoin can go in a left translated

blowoff cycle move um but I think it

would be well above the $100,000 level

if it's a left translated cycle and I

think you would just get a situation

where we're just going to ex we'll just

extend so far uh above uh all the

indicators will be just you know sort of

just right at the top uh for sustained

periods of time and then we'll get some

really huge separation between kind of a

10-month moving average and I think it

would be a matter of just looking at a

certain point if it were to occur and uh

extremely stretched point that You'

begin to start unwinding position

knowing that you just can't essentially

time the absolute top but they will be

at a price that makes sense to unwind

because uh I Believe by the next

fouryear cycle L would be able to pick

it up at a much lower price now that's

okay here's the that's that's the left

translated cycle idea I think it has a

lot of Merit look bitcoin's price

blowing past 100k

200k this year that'd be epic but

building a base into 2025 for an even

bigger super cycle that'd be elite like

I said in the beginning of the video

This is actually the first cycle where a

super cycle could be a real possibility

that leads me into the discussion of a

super cycle so putting aside the

possibility of this left translated

cycle move we have the other possibility

which is simply that this cycle so in

the right translated cycle essentially

mirroring the prior Cycles I believe the

way it's structured right now and the

way it feels the 2015 to the 17 Peak

down to the 18 low is the cycle that

resembles this the most it has uh so

much so many of those characteristics

with a less amount of volatility that

cycle suggests and and even the prior

Cycles too suggest that we need to pause

re accumulate kind of in this range

maybe pull back to that 10-month moving

average around the 37 ,000 or so maybe

38 39,000 level over the next few months

and into the Haring coming out of the

harving just create that uh that

foundation for what will eventually

become the push to alltime high and the

breakout to the peak of the cycle um so

in that case we again we're looking at

something similar to what we saw in 17

that means we need to spend the next

three or four or five months months

consolidating into I guess uh the end of

the towards the late summer months

before beginning to make that attack

higher and that builds a foundation a

stable Foundation of of of long-term

holders um to allow this Market to move

on higher and up to a peak in the next

cycle but what is different to me again

as I mentioned earlier is the fact that

this Market has a lot more strength

strengthened I think I've seen in the

past and we have the institutional

narrative and not like the last cycle

where everyone said oh the institutions

are here they weren't institutions they

were Crypt Bros uh in sort of funds but

they were Crypt Bros and degens at heart

and this time around we have your

traditional suit and Thai institution

and your wealth funds and your big

family office funds that are in on this

and that's what we're feeling that's

what we're seeing here in the

accumulation of this mon Market um so if

we were to see a right translated cycle

I think we're going to see that hit of

all-time highs a little bit sooner than

we have in the past and uh of course

we'll see some volatility at some point

some correction was going to come but in

general just a a consistent accumulation

and uptrend into that all-time high

level by the summer late

summer uh late uh maybe early fall and

then Poss will be Consolidated again at

that all-time high level and then just

keep on moving so in in many respects it

would mirror the 17 cycle but I think

just on a more accelerated path and that

would lead in my opinion to an

outperformance of this cycle relative to

the last cycle because it's the one

cycle that again converges all converges

all these themes together all the

participants together in one big final

kind of blowoff move that ends the first

big Financial chapter for Bitcoin I

don't really mean that in a negative way

but it would be that every participant

and all these themes get to participate

in a big bubble blowoff move to come let

me know let me know do you think a left

translated cycle blowoff top this year

is that likely or super cycle next year

either way it's becoming quite clear a

big move in price is coming so I I do

really think that we're going to see an

outsized move come in this 4year cycle

whether it's from a left translated

cycle move which is more shorter

induration sharper extremely sharp up to

the upside and Peak this year or the

4-year cycle as it has occurred in Prior

Cycles but just on a more accelerated

time frame all this basically doesn't

really matter for us does it because the

idea here is that we are invested for

the 4-year cycle uh on a left translated

cycle I think you can almost I wouldn't

say safely because there isn't anything

um safely safe about sort of investing

necessarily but um I think we can we can

say that on a left transl cycle

standpoint we're going to get a big move

through alltime highs and probably into

the six figure range before peing and

then on a more sustain aable traditional

4year cycle

move that will uh that will comfortably

get us into that all-time high territory

and Beyond um I want to say that this

cycle looks really really good really

strong um and I think this strength is

telling us that this Market is going to

go much higher over the next either 6

months or 18 months into a right

translated cycle high that this cycle

could be some type of super cycle and

again I don't throw that term out

Loosely I know it's been somewhat of a

meme of late um but I think there is

that real possibility and that by the

next video which will probably be two

months maybe two to three months away we

will have a very definitive answer on

whether or not we're looking at this

left translated cycle possibility in

fact we'll probably know within the next

four to 6 weeks whether or not the left

translated cycle possibility is real so

we'll know I guess by the end of this

month or next month if it's up near or

above say the $60,000 area that I think

there's a very good chance that we are

in a blowoff phase that is unfolding and

you don't want to uh sell that short you

don't want to jump ship on the possible

double top

possibility um because that will

probably become a narrative as well if

it were to do that uh you want to hold

the course stay the course and um see it

through as we have in the prior cycle

exactly watch out if everybody starts

chanting double top when Bitcoin gets

back up to 65

75k check out Bob Lucas's channel for

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tomorrow my friends it's turning into a

great year