Geoffrey Moore - The Chasm Has Evolved

MaRS Startup Toolkit
24 Mar 201150:42

Summary

TLDRThe speaker traces the evolution of technology adoption models over the last 20 years, emphasizing the shift from traditional enterprise to consumer-driven markets. They discuss the importance of innovation in differentiating products and services, especially in the face of globalization and commoditization. The talk highlights the need for businesses to specialize, outsource efficiently, and leverage consumer technology in the enterprise to maintain profit margins and stay competitive. The speaker also stresses the importance of disciplined innovation, focusing on differentiation, neutralization, and optimization as parallel but distinct strategies.

Takeaways

  • 📈 The speaker discusses the evolution of market models over the past 20 years, emphasizing the shift from old models to new opportunities in different markets.
  • 🛠 The Technology Adoption Life Cycle model by Everett Rogers is highlighted, detailing the five segments of a community's response to disruptive technology.
  • 🌐 The importance of pragmatists in market dynamics is underscored, as their actions can create a 'chasm' between early adopters and the mainstream market.
  • 🔄 The speaker identifies different business models (project, solution, product, consumables) and the unique strategies required for success in each.
  • 🚀 The significance of innovation is explored, with a focus on how it must be more disciplined and focused to succeed in the current business environment.
  • 💡 The concept of 'pragmatists in pain' is introduced as a key strategy for crossing the chasm and gaining mainstream market acceptance.
  • 🌍 The impact of globalization and outsourcing on the tech industry is discussed, showing how it has led to a need for greater specialization and differentiation.
  • 📱 The rise of consumer technology and its transformative effect on culture is noted, with the challenge of bringing consumer-like capabilities into the enterprise.
  • 🔑 The speaker stresses the importance of security, global presence detection, and the ability to interface with existing systems of record for enterprise-ready technologies.
  • 💼 The need for middle managers to have tools that facilitate communication, coordination, and collaboration across digital boundaries is identified.
  • 🚨 The final takeaway is about the importance of not mixing modes of innovation (differentiation, neutralization, optimization) and ensuring they are pursued in parallel but separately.

Q & A

  • What is the main purpose of the speaker's discussion on technology adoption models?

    -The speaker aims to trace an arc over the last 20 years, grounding the audience in technology adoption models, discussing their evolution, and tying them into new markets that these models can serve going forward.

  • What does the speaker mean by 'Technology enthusiasts and Visionaries' in the context of technology adoption?

    -Technology enthusiasts are individuals who engage with new technology out of interest in its properties, often being the first to adopt. Visionaries are individuals with substantial resources and a clear vision who take significant risks to be pioneers in adopting and implementing new technologies.

  • What is the 'chasm' in the context of technology adoption models?

    -The 'chasm' refers to a gap or lull in the market adoption curve, separating the early market of technology enthusiasts and visionaries from the mainstream market. Pragmatists, who make up the mainstream market, often hesitate to adopt new technologies until they see others doing so successfully.

  • How does the speaker describe the shift in technology adoption from the early market to the mainstream market?

    -The speaker describes this shift as a two-wave adoption process, with an early market consisting of technology enthusiasts and visionaries, followed by a mainstream market of pragmatists. The transition between these two waves can be facilitated by focusing on 'pragmatists in pain' who are more likely to convert sooner due to a pressing problem they need solving.

  • What are the four distinct business models the speaker discusses for different stages of market development?

    -The four business models discussed are the project model for the early market, the solution model for a group of pragmatists sharing a common problem, the product model for capturing the rush of customers in a new category, and the consumables model for mature markets where the real value lies in the ecosystem around the product (e.g., iTunes for iPod).

  • How does the speaker characterize the impact of the internet and consumer technologies on society?

    -The speaker characterizes the impact as transformative, leading to a digitized culture where consumer experiences are digitally mediated. This has resulted in a significant shift in how we interact, conduct business, and engage with the world, making the digital experience a central part of our lives.

  • What is the 'Millennials' lament' as mentioned by the speaker?

    -The 'Millennials' lament' refers to the discrepancy between the power and control consumers feel they have in their digital lives and the lack of that same empowerment in their professional lives as employees. This gap is seen as a driving force for the need to bring consumer capabilities into the enterprise.

  • What does the speaker suggest as a key strategy for companies to maintain their profit margins in the face of commoditization?

    -The speaker suggests that companies need to differentiate their offers significantly from commodity offerings so that customers are willing to pay a premium. This requires specialization and creating unmatchable offers that provide unique value to customers.

  • How does the speaker define the role of middle managers in the modern business environment?

    -The speaker defines middle managers as the connective tissue along a value chain that spans multiple companies. They are responsible for communication, coordination, and collaboration across company and even national boundaries, making them key in navigating the complexities of modern business networks.

  • What is the speaker's perspective on innovation and its role in business strategy?

    -The speaker views innovation as critical for business strategy but also acknowledges a 'dark side' where much innovation results in waste. He emphasizes the importance of focusing innovation efforts on differentiation, neutralization, and optimization to ensure a return on investment and maintain competitive advantage.

  • What advice does the speaker give regarding the allocation of resources for innovation projects?

    -The speaker advises against mixing different modes of innovation within the same project. He suggests that teams should be given clear objectives for differentiation, neutralization, or optimization, and that these objectives should be pursued in parallel without overlap to avoid delays and inefficiencies.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Market Dynamics and Technology Adoption Curves

The speaker begins by outlining the trajectory of market models over the past 20 years, focusing on the adoption of disruptive technologies and the predictable patterns of community response. The classic model by Everett Rogers is introduced, segmenting the community into five categories: technology enthusiasts, visionaries, pragmatists, conservatives, and the resistant. The transformative impact of pragmatists is emphasized, highlighting the 'chasm' they create between early adopters and the mainstream market. The talk sets the stage for discussing market expansion and innovation strategies.

05:00

🛠 Business Models and Market Transformation

This paragraph delves into the evolution of business models in response to market dynamics. The speaker discusses the transition from project-based early markets to solution-driven models that cater to pragmatists facing common problems. The importance of identifying the right customer segments to bridge the 'chasm' and accelerate market adoption is underscored. The talk also touches on the shift from product models to consumables models as markets mature, reflecting on the different strategies needed for success in various market stages.

10:02

🌐 The Impact of Globalization and Technology Life Cycles

The speaker explores the effects of globalization and the outsourcing trends that have reshaped the technology landscape. The discussion centers on how these trends have led to the commodification of goods and the challenges faced by developed economies. The importance of maintaining profit margins and differentiating offers in the face of commoditization is highlighted. The speaker also introduces the concept of secular markets, which undergo a one-time shift, and cyclical markets, which experience ups and downs.

15:04

💡 Innovation Strategies in Cyclical Markets

In this section, the speaker discusses the need for different innovation strategies in cyclical markets, where high-risk, disruptive innovation is less viable. The focus shifts to customer intimacy and operational excellence as key strategies for value creation. Examples of value engineering and business model reformulation are given, illustrating how companies can innovate within the constraints of a cyclical market to stay competitive.

20:04

🚀 Consumer Technology and Viral Marketing

The speaker contrasts the rapid adoption of consumer technologies with the slower, more challenging enterprise market. The disconnect between the delightful, free experiences of consumer technology and the less dynamic enterprise tools is highlighted as a significant opportunity. The importance of creating viral products and the impact of Apple's product launches on various industries are discussed, emphasizing the need for 'cool' and viral marketing in the consumer space.

25:05

🔄 The Millennial Lament and Enterprise Transformation

This paragraph addresses the 'Millennials lament,' the feeling of empowerment as a consumer versus the lack of it as an employee. The speaker identifies the need to bring consumer-like capabilities into the enterprise as a major opportunity for wealth creation in the coming decade. The discussion also touches on the pressures of globalization and the need for enterprises to adapt and innovate to remain competitive.

30:06

🤝 The Changing Role of Middle Management

The speaker discusses the transformation of middle management in the new business landscape. Middle managers are now seen as connectors in a value chain that spans multiple companies. The need for effective communication, coordination, and collaboration across company boundaries is emphasized. The talk highlights the gap in tools and systems that support middle managers in their new roles.

35:07

🛡️ Securing and Scaling Enterprise Technology

The speaker addresses the challenges of making consumer technology enterprise-ready, focusing on security, data leakage, liability, and system integration. The importance of maintaining usability while ensuring that the technology is reliable, scalable, and maintainable is highlighted. The talk also emphasizes the need for technology to be mobile, global, social, and virtual to meet the demands of modern business.

40:07

💼 Innovation for Business Success

In this paragraph, the speaker discusses the importance of innovation in business, differentiating between differentiation, neutralization, and optimization as three distinct paths to achieving a return on innovation. The talk stresses the need to focus on creating unmatchable offers, being a fast neutralizer, and optimizing to self-fund further innovation. The speaker also warns against mixing these modes in innovation efforts.

45:09

🚨 Avoiding Waste in Innovation Initiatives

The speaker concludes by emphasizing the need to avoid wasting resources in innovation initiatives. By focusing on creating unmatchable offers, neutralizing competitors effectively, and optimizing processes, companies can self-fund their innovation efforts. The talk encourages identifying and eliminating waste to free up resources for more impactful innovation projects.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Technology Adoption Life Cycle

The Technology Adoption Life Cycle is a model that describes how, why, and at what rate new technologies and products are adopted by different groups within a society. In the video, this concept is used to discuss the stages of adoption of disruptive technologies, starting from 'technology enthusiasts' to 'visionary sponsors' and eventually to the mainstream market. The script refers to Everett Rogers' model from the 1950s, which segments the community response into five categories and is crucial for understanding market dynamics and the transition from early to mainstream adoption.

💡Disruptive Technology

Disruptive technology refers to a new technology or innovation that disrupts an existing market or industry by introducing simplicity and convenience. In the context of the video, the speaker discusses how disruptive technologies, when introduced into a community, lead to a self-segregation into different response categories as described by the Technology Adoption Life Cycle. The video emphasizes the transformative impact of such technologies and the importance of understanding their adoption patterns for market success.

💡Pragmatists

In the script, 'pragmatists' are one of the segments within the Technology Adoption Life Cycle, representing individuals who adopt a technology after it has been proven successful by others. They are cautious and prefer to follow the lead of others rather than take risks. The video highlights the importance of pragmatists in driving market dynamics, as their adoption can signify a shift from early to mainstream market acceptance, which is critical for a technology to cross the 'chasm' and achieve widespread success.

💡Market Expansion

Market expansion refers to the process of growing a market by reaching new customers or expanding into new geographic areas. The video discusses an upcoming decade with a market expansion that is expected to be significant and interesting for the community. The speaker suggests that there will be opportunities to apply existing models to new markets, indicating a shift in focus towards growth and the application of innovative strategies to capture emerging opportunities.

💡Innovation

Innovation in the video is discussed as a critical component for business success, particularly in the context of adapting to new market conditions and consumer behaviors. The speaker emphasizes the need for innovation to be more disciplined and focused, suggesting that the traditional approaches may not be as effective in the new world. Innovation is portrayed as a key driver for crossing the chasm and achieving market leadership.

💡Solution Model

The solution model is a business approach that revolves around providing a solution to a common problem faced by a group of pragmatists. In the video, the speaker explains how this model is distinct from the early market model and is focused on creating a universal solution that can be rapidly adopted once it is proven to work. The example of Documentum is given to illustrate how a solution model can lead to rapid growth within a specific industry.

💡Product Model

The product model is a business approach where the focus is on creating and selling a product to customers. In the context of the video, the product model is contrasted with the solution model and is particularly relevant during the 'tornado' phase of market adoption, where there is a rush of customers coming into a new category. The speaker uses the example of HP inkjet printers to illustrate the success of the product model in capturing market share during periods of rapid growth.

💡Consumables Model

The consumables model is a business strategy where the primary profit comes from the sale of consumable items that are used in conjunction with a product. The video discusses how this model becomes increasingly important in more mature markets, using the example of iTunes and the App Store to illustrate how the real value in a mature market can come from the consumables associated with a product, rather than the product itself.

💡Enterprise IT

Enterprise IT refers to the Information Technology systems and solutions used by businesses and organizations to manage their operations, data, and communications. In the video, the speaker discusses the shift in Enterprise IT from growth to economization, with a focus on virtualization and cloud computing. The script highlights the challenges and opportunities presented by the changing nature of Enterprise IT and the need for innovation in this space.

💡Consumerization of IT

Consumerization of IT is a trend where consumer-oriented technologies and practices begin to influence business and enterprise IT strategies. The speaker in the video talks about the impact of this trend on the enterprise, suggesting that there is a need to bring consumer-like capabilities into the enterprise to address the 'Millennials' lament' and to create a more powerful and engaging employee experience.

💡Neutralization

Neutralization in the context of the video refers to the process of a company creating a product or service that is 'good enough' to compete with a market leader's offering, thereby regaining a foothold in the market. The speaker uses the example of Microsoft's strategy with Internet Explorer to illustrate how neutralization can be a critical and rapid response to maintain competitiveness.

💡Differentiation

Differentiation in the video is discussed as a strategy to create a product or service that is significantly better or unique enough to command a premium in the market. The speaker emphasizes the importance of creating an 'unmatchable offer' to gain significant bargaining power and protect against commoditization, using Apple's success with the iPad as an example.

💡Optimization

Optimization in the video refers to the process of making a company's operations more efficient and cost-effective. The speaker discusses the importance of optimization in the face of price deflation and the need for companies to continuously innovate in this area to maintain profitability and fund further innovation and neutralization efforts.

💡Waste in Innovation

Waste in Innovation is a concept discussed in the video that highlights the inefficiency and lack of return on investment in many innovation efforts. The speaker suggests that most innovation efforts do not result in significant differentiation and thus are wasted, emphasizing the need to focus on areas that will yield a true return, such as creating unmatchable offers or optimizing operations.

Highlights

Tracing an arc over the last 20 years to explore the evolution of technology adoption models and their application in new markets.

Grounding in the 60-year-old Everett Rogers model which segments community responses to disruptive technology into five categories.

Discussion on the transformative response of pragmatists in technology adoption and the concept of the 'chasm' between early and mainstream markets.

The identification of market dynamics through different phases: early market, chasm, tornado, main street, and total assimilation.

Different business models for different market phases: project, solution, product, and consumables models.

The importance of understanding the lifecycle of technology and its impact on corporate strategies and growth.

The shift in the tech industry after the dot-com bust, where tech began to resemble an industrial sector with a focus on the entire lifecycle curve.

The concept of secular and cyclical markets in tech and their implications for growth and innovation strategies.

The emergence of consumer tech and the decoupling of adoption from monetization, leading to new challenges and opportunities.

The need for tech to mature and take responsibility for the entire lifecycle, including dealing with commoditization and differentiation.

The impact of globalization and outsourcing on the tech industry, leading to a need for specialization and innovation to maintain margins.

The transformation of middle managers into connectors across value chains, necessitating new tools for communication, coordination, and collaboration.

The opportunity to bring consumer tech capabilities into the enterprise, creating a new market for enterprise-ready social and mobile technologies.

The importance of innovation in competing in the new world, focusing on differentiation, neutralization, and optimization.

The 'Millennials lament' reflecting the gap between consumer empowerment and employee experience, driving the need for enterprise transformation.

The key learnings on innovation, emphasizing the importance of not mixing modes and focusing on parallel tracks of differentiation, neutralization, and optimization.

The final thoughts on the importance of leveraging waste in innovation budgets to self-fund initiatives without downside.

Transcripts

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thank you very much thank you very much

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okay so so the opportunity what I want

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to do here is I want to trace an arc

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over the last 20 years I want to kind of

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for those of you who haven't maybe seen

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these models before I'm just going to do

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a quick grounding in them then I want to

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kind of talk about where they've gone I

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want to tie that into um uh a whole new

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set of markets that I think we're going

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to serve that we can apply these models

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to going forward and when I mean serve I

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mean right now and I I mean this

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community right now I think there's a a

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Market expansion in this decade that's

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going to be extremely uh interesting and

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important to everybody in uh in this

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room and then some some a little bit I

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want to close with some things we've

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learned about how to play the game in

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the in this new world and particularly

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how innovation has to get focused in a

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way that's more disciplined maybe than

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we than we've done in the past so that's

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that's kind of where this is

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headed so um the old models to follow

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okay so let me just kick this thing off

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by saying this model here is 60 years

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old Everett Rogers came up with this

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model in the 1950s and basically what he

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said was if you introduce disruptive

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technology into any Community anywhere

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that Community will self-segregate into

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five different responses the first resp

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and and and he he his names for these go

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across the bottom here and I'm going to

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give you the sort of the Silicon Valley

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version of those names so the first

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people to engage a new technology are

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the technology enthusiasts and they do

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it largely because they're just

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interested in the properties of the

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technology they're Geeks and and and you

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know they're just dancing geek to geek

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is kind of how these things start right

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and then the first major thing that

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happens with a technology happens when a

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Visionary sponsor enters the game this

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is a person with a lot of money and and

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a and a dream or vision and and they

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they take a lot of risks early on and

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these they go ahead of the herd they

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want to be the first people ever to do

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this stuff and and that whole idea of

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being the Pioneer they want to be that

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Pioneer they're going to they're they're

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going to put a lot of distance between

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themselves and and everybody else

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everybody else tends to get led by this

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third strategy which is I'll do it when

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I see you do it okay and and and

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basically pragma just kind of say look

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there's just too many things to evaluate

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I can't really be an expert myself so

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I'll just kind of check in with

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everybody around me and when they go

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I'll go and if they're not going I'm not

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going to go the conservative strategy is

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I just don't even like this stuff at all

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so if I cannot do it I will not do it

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and if I have to do it I'll wait until

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as long as I can and then I'll do

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whatever the pragmatist did hopefully

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cheaper uh because you know it's it's

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it's been in the market longer and then

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the final response is you guys are all

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instruments of the devil and and and you

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know we this just never been never

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should have happened okay so this model

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has been very very stable but when we

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when we applied it to the market

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development the thing that we learned

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about this model was that only one of

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the five responses really was

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transformative and that was what did the

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pragmatist do because it's like block

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voting in an election did the block vote

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democrat or republican or did the

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liberal Tor I can't remember how you

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guys played up here right how the Brits

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played anyway the prag the magst are the

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key to the Dynamics of the market and so

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instead of being this nice curve what we

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ended up finding was a curve that had

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broken into two pieces and the the the

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first piece the piece out to the left we

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called the early market and it was made

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up of Technology enthusiasts and

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Visionaries who both for their own

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reasons preferred to go early or first

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and engage and they kind of gravitated

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toward the Innovation and then there was

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this thing we called the chasm and the

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chasm sep separated that group from the

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rest because the pragmatists looked at

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that going on and they they said well

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that's interesting and then they turned

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to each other and they'd say are you

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doing this yet no no no no me neither

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good okay okay good so so what would

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happen is the market would stop there'd

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be this Lull in the market and and when

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it was first uh when when the book first

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came out people we weren't seeing that

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lull we were expecting to go right up

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rogers's curve and so it was very

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important to see it and that LOL is a

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pragmatist group of people saying saying

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I won't go unless you go so this is what

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we ended up calling the Junior High

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dance problem okay so boys on one side

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of the gym girls on the other side of

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the gym how do we get the dance started

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and and and the interesting thing about

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this model I'll just skip ahead for a

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second is you know at some some few

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minutes

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later everybody's on the dance floor so

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you go from a state of zero adoption to

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a state of 100% adoption and it's the

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same pragmatist decision respon resp

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which is I'm going to do whatever you do

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so I'm not I'm not I'm not and then all

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of a sudden you do you do you do oh my

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God I'm being left behind I'm going to

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go do it too okay so tornadoes and

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chasms were the exact same response it

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was just is is is the switch on or is

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the switch off now bowling alley was

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this thing in the middle which was could

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you as a marketing as a

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company accelerate the transition from

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Chasm to Tornado by focusing on somebody

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who would be a group of people were more

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likely to convert sooner rather than

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later and we called these people

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pragmatists in pain okay so they would

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normally not convert but they've got a

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problem that was bothering them enough

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that if you could come up with a

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solution they would do it and so a whole

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lot AC crossing the chasm was all about

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can you first of all can you get The

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Visionaries then you is the Once you and

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you use The Visionaries to get the

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product to a point where it's it's done

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or done enough that you can sell it to

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pragmatist and then the question was who

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who could you who could you find for

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that first Beach head segment to get the

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pragmatis community adopting it's almost

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like there's two waves of adoption an

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early market and then and then a

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mainstream market and getting that

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second wave of adoption that was the big

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lesson uh of of the uh of the early

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early 90s and then then things go on to

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Main Street and and and and final to

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finally total assimilation and so that

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was kind of the model we were using for

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the 90s and and we were using with

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startups a lot and we just kept on

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seeing Tech technology after technology

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come through the

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marketplace what happened next oh and

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and the models you learn from this are

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if you're in the early Market it's a

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project game every customer is a unique

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event you're not really selling a

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product it's the product isn't even done

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yet really so you're selling yourself to

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your customer and you're kind of selling

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the entire company to do whatever it is

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you say your product does because it

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doesn't do it yet so you're going to do

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the project that will make it do it once

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in one for one in one instance for that

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customer and that becomes your Flagship

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account or the or or your reference

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account and it shows the rest of the

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world this is possible but it doesn't

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create pragmatist adoption to do that

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you got to move to another model and

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that's the solution model the solution

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model is built around a herd of

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pragmatists who share a common problem

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and who want to see a common solution to

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that problem that other pragmatists have

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proven that works so once that solution

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comes into view if the problem is

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universal in that Community the solution

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becomes Universal incredibly rapidly the

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example we used early on was a company

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called documentum and and the folks open

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text here know them well so so that was

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a $2 million a year $2 million a year $2

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million a year three years in a row then

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went eight 25 45 and went public on one

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pragst community in pain the the the

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pharmaceutical companies who were trying

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to handle the documents around new drug

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approval but that was a solution model

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because they had built one for Boeing

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and they'd built one for synex and

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they'd built one for the a state

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government those were three projects

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they had to focus in pick one they pick

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synex they generalize that into a

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solution for the rest of Pharma when you

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get into the tornado you got to leave

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the solution model behind or or at least

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the the model that is most rewarded in a

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tornado is just a product model it's

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just just

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as in you know we're talking uh about HP

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earlier this morning HP when the inkjet

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printers first came out they had to ship

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a million a month out of Vancouver just

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ship it right and if they had a defect

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that was a very bad moment because

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you're just trying to get product out in

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the market so the product model is

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extremely successful for capturing that

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Rush of customers that come into new cat

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any any category whether it's an iPhone

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an iPod an iPad kind of product that

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that kind of stuff that first Rush is

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huge The Rim the Blackberry

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Etc when you get into a more mature

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Market you realize hey it's not the iPod

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it's the iTunes that's the real value

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here it's not the it's not maybe the

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iPad it's going to be the app store

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right and so the consum oops the the uh

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let me go back here the consumables

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model becomes a really important thing

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so part of what we learned in the last

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half of the 90s is it wasn't just about

play09:27

tornadoes there was this whole model

play09:30

that we had to start sorting through and

play09:32

what we discovered is those four

play09:34

business models they're very very

play09:36

different the leaders that are good at

play09:38

them are different the the the operating

play09:40

ratios that you have are different the

play09:42

sales motions are different the partner

play09:45

relationships are different and so when

play09:48

when you if you're going through this

play09:49

model the first time you have this very

play09:51

very uh peculiar sort of experience of

play09:54

company adolescence where you know

play09:57

you're trying to figure out what model

play09:59

of I supposed to be on and and how how

play10:02

can we play this game and so for those

play10:04

of you who are in startups and may go

play10:05

through this curve this is this an

play10:08

extremely valuable sort of road map to

play10:09

have to kind of where where are we now

play10:12

are we on the right model today and are

play10:15

we headed toward another model and and

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what would we have to do to get ready

play10:19

for that kind of thing and that was a

play10:22

lot of the turmoil that came out of the

play10:24

the late 90s was about just trying to

play10:26

figure out how do you do this in

play10:28

particularly in a large company where

play10:30

One Division might be at one part of the

play10:32

life cycle and another division at the

play10:34

another

play10:35

part and then the and and this basically

play10:38

drove our life for the '

play10:40

90s then we had the dot the Y2K and the

play10:44

dot bubble and then the.com bust and

play10:47

that sort of said you know what it kind

play10:49

of when we came back from the.com Bust

play10:53

Tech looked a lot more like an

play10:55

industrial than it had ever before which

play10:58

means yes there's still technology

play11:00

adoption life cycles and yes those lead

play11:03

to growth markets and those growth

play11:05

markets you can be through a technology

play11:07

adoption life cycle and you can still

play11:09

grow like a weed uh uh going forward so

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there's a in fact if you want to be a

play11:15

successful executive in a large

play11:16

corporation you want to join it just as

play11:19

it's going into the B section and then

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leave just as it goes into the c section

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right and then you can say well you know

play11:25

when I was at Oracle we took it from 50

play11:27

million to 500 million and about 4 years

play11:29

and yeah that was on my watch and yeah

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of course if you had just stood there

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doing nothing it would have gone from 50

play11:35

to 500 but then you don't they don't put

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the F on the resume just you know I was

play11:38

there right so B markets are fabulous

play11:42

for corporate careers Okay C markets is

play11:45

where corporate Executives earn their

play11:47

living C markets are cyclical markets

play11:50

whereas B markets are what they call

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secular a secular Market is a market

play11:54

that is making a one-time shift from A

play11:57

to B like media is right now going

play12:00

through a one-time shift from analog

play12:02

paper to digital okay once it's done

play12:05

it's going to be kind of done but in

play12:07

during the process of doing it there's

play12:09

an enormous amount of infrastructure

play12:11

that has to be put in place etc etc so

play12:14

that's the B markets CA markets are you

play12:16

got to maintain that

play12:18

infrastructure do we have a train coming

play12:20

oh yes we do have a train excuse me okay

play12:22

um the uh uh I love it the C markets

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those are cyclical growth market so they

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kind of go up and they go down and they

play12:31

go up the PC industry probably for the

play12:33

last 15 years has sort of been a CA

play12:34

market right and so we had to learn in

play12:36

Tech about how to manage in a C Market

play12:39

because we didn't know that and in fact

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we then had to start learning about

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declining markets we we'd seen the kind

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of the minicomputer folks go through

play12:46

this but we you know you didn't think

play12:47

the workstation guys were going to go

play12:49

through it and then our friends at Sun

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sort of kind of had a very strong D

play12:53

experience leading to becoming an O

play12:55

company right they they were bought by

play12:57

Oracle uh the other year ago and and and

play13:00

and then you can even have a end of life

play13:03

experience sort of like a Kodak moment

play13:06

where where basically your technology is

play13:09

done we're done you you you can join the

play13:12

slide rule in a in a museum somewhere

play13:14

because we're not we don't do film

play13:16

anymore right and so for the first time

play13:18

Tech had to kind of grow up and and sort

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of take responsibility for the entire

play13:24

curve because the Enterprise customers

play13:26

said to us basically in 2002 we've spent

play13:29

we think on the order of a trillion

play13:31

dollars with you guys hope you enjoyed

play13:33

it we have used maybe one tenth of what

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we bought from you and we're not going

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to buy much for a while and by the way

play13:41

all that maintenance we're paying you

play13:43

well we don't want to pay very much of

play13:44

that maintenance to you either and you

play13:46

guys better learn how to act like an

play13:49

adult

play13:51

industrial uh sector or or we we'll find

play13:54

somebody who can okay so that was a big

play13:57

a big learning for us and in that world

play13:59

we started saying okay we need to

play14:02

rethink Innovation and so the book that

play14:05

David referenced called dealing with

play14:06

Darwin what it said is it said look

play14:10

we've had lots of innovation we've known

play14:11

about this disruptive innovation that's

play14:14

kind of how you know I was dining out on

play14:16

that Kay Christensen with the innovators

play14:17

dilemma doing a lot of work with in

play14:19

disruptive innovation this solution kind

play14:21

of innovation you know a product

play14:23

Innovation platform Innovation platforms

play14:26

became a very important idea we saw

play14:28

Windows become a platform we saw Intel

play14:30

become a platform Oracle became a

play14:32

platform um big issue and they were all

play14:35

kind of growth Market ideas and they

play14:37

were all around product

play14:39

leadership then you kind of went into

play14:41

the more cyclical places and the problem

play14:43

with cyclical markets is that that kind

play14:45

of innovation it's too expensive and too

play14:48

high risk to do in a cyclical Market

play14:51

cyclical markets don't change enough

play14:53

market share fast enough to reward the

play14:55

kind of risk that those kinds of

play14:57

innovation implies and so what you see

play14:59

in cyclical industrial markets is either

play15:01

a customer intimacy strategy or an

play15:03

operational excellence strategy so

play15:05

customer intimacy and you think of

play15:07

things like we we have line extensions

play15:09

we have enhancement or or design

play15:11

Innovations marketing Innovations uh

play15:14

experiential Innovations you know think

play15:16

about markets and and more and more it's

play15:18

about what is the experience as opposed

play15:20

to did you do something really

play15:22

disruptive okay and on the operational

play15:24

excellence side value engineering

play15:26

integration Engineering Process

play15:28

engineering business model reformulation

play15:30

just again these are the ways in which

play15:33

cycal Industries can continually find

play15:35

new ways to create value going forward

play15:38

they were not familiar to the Tech

play15:39

Community in Silicon Valley but in

play15:42

certainly in the last 10 years they've

play15:43

been huge Mark herd's whole career at HP

play15:46

was essentially a value an exercise in

play15:48

value engineering right just essentially

play15:50

taking out all the fat he could find

play15:53

probably a lot of the muscle as well

play15:55

okay so I mean the new CEO Leo apitech

play15:57

was trying to figure out you know what

play15:59

he's got left in the cupboard if

play16:00

anything but the point is you can do

play16:02

that in a cyclical Market okay you kind

play16:05

of sell out the future but you make the

play16:07

present and then and then you also have

play16:08

to take responsibility for the fact that

play16:10

some of your portfolio is really is

play16:12

sliding off the other side of things and

play16:13

so you're either going to have to do

play16:15

organic Innovation to replace it or

play16:17

you're going to have to acquire

play16:18

companies structural Innovation or you

play16:20

maybe just Harvest and leave and you

play16:22

know this is a very very kind of busy

play16:24

slide but that was the point that was

play16:27

the whole point of dealing with Darwin

play16:28

there's lots of forms of innovation it's

play16:31

not just disruptive in the Tech

play16:33

Community the only Innovation that we

play16:34

said was real Innovation was disruptive

play16:37

innovation but that's not true that's

play16:40

not true Innovation is anything that

play16:41

creates separation between you and a

play16:44

competitor that and causes customers to

play16:46

prefer your offer to theirs every one of

play16:48

those things can do that okay so that

play16:51

was that was

play16:53

now uh up into that this has all been

play16:56

the Enterprise experience uh of of of of

play17:00

the last two decades but the thing the

play17:02

big thing that happened of course was

play17:06

after the Y2K and the the Enterprise it

play17:09

kind of went into the tank consumer it

play17:12

took off and it took off at a speed that

play17:15

people you know people you know that

play17:17

nice Jeffrey Mo and his Chasm idea too

play17:20

bad it's irrelevant now right which felt

play17:23

a little threatening frankly so so it's

play17:26

like well what did happen you know what

play17:27

was going because there was no what casm

play17:29

Facebook has 600 million subscribers

play17:33

right it's the second or third largest

play17:36

country the third largest country in the

play17:38

World Behind China and India right it's

play17:40

huge so km schazam dude I mean what are

play17:44

you talking about so what we what we

play17:46

realized was that what happened with the

play17:50

the consumer Tech things in particularly

play17:51

Google and Facebook and Twitter and and

play17:54

YouTube and the things that we are

play17:55

probably most familiar with is adoption

play17:58

option became

play18:00

disconnected from

play18:03

monetization and so it was the adoption

play18:06

there was no technology disruption for

play18:08

the adoption it was just there and it

play18:11

was delightful and when you offer

play18:13

something that is delightful and free

play18:16

over broadband that's not expensive

play18:18

don't be shocked when it gets consumed

play18:20

until you know the last drop of

play18:22

broadband has been exhausted right but

play18:25

what we did realize is that monetization

play18:28

still was casm problem so these models

play18:32

definitely work better or well let's be

play18:35

put this way these model models always

play18:37

work in my view in a B2B scenario in a b

play18:42

Toc scenario you can still see the

play18:44

patterns emerging Facebook didn't wasn't

play18:46

an overnight success it was first a

play18:48

success at Harvard so that was its first

play18:50

Visionary kind of account and then it

play18:53

spread to the other IV leagues and you

play18:55

could argue that something akin to

play18:56

crossing the chasm bowling alley and

play18:58

then it went went forward but it having

play19:00

said that it wasn't the kind of tough

play19:02

Chasm crossings that we've been dealing

play19:04

with in the '90s it was a much more

play19:06

viral much more contagious situation and

play19:09

so if you're going to be successful in

play19:11

consumer um uh it you have to be a

play19:16

master of viral creating viral effects

play19:19

and it's not we call it viral marketing

play19:22

but the truth is it's actually just a

play19:24

viral product and our friends at Apple

play19:27

have shown us three times in one decade

play19:31

how a spectacularly viral product can

play19:34

set in entire Industries on their ear I

play19:39

mean you know the last decade is just

play19:43

it's it's unbelievable the music

play19:45

industry the cellular telephony industry

play19:48

and now the media industry are are are

play19:51

literally being completely overturned by

play19:55

the introduction of a single product a

play19:58

sing single consumer product which then

play20:00

creates this massive leverage which is

play20:03

cing all creating all this

play20:04

reorganization so there's stuff if

play20:06

you're going to play in the consumer

play20:07

business you have to be cool you have to

play20:10

figure out this viral cool thing don't

play20:12

look at me okay cool is not my strong

play20:14

suit okay so but I but I can at least

play20:17

recognize it when I see it sort of like

play20:18

the Supreme Court with pornography I'm I

play20:20

can't Define it but I can recognize it

play20:22

when I see it okay I can recognize cool

play20:24

but I can't I'm not cool and I couldn't

play20:26

tell you how to be cool I just know you

play20:28

have to be cool to make this stuff work

play20:30

so that that's sort of a kind of a if

play20:32

you will a sort of a retrospective of

play20:34

the models and if you're if you're not

play20:37

familiar with them you probably do need

play20:39

to internalize these models and and

play20:41

there's Bunches of books to help you do

play20:43

that because it's a little bit like

play20:45

raising kids you know when you raise

play20:47

little kids you you had the terrible

play20:48

twos and the trying Threes And The

play20:50

Fearsome fours and the fabulous fives or

play20:52

whatever it was those books were

play20:54

incredibly valuable as a firsttime

play20:56

parent CU you'd go oh my God my kid

play20:59

they're okay it's all right that they're

play21:01

wetting the bed or it's all right that

play21:03

they're you know teething on their

play21:04

brother uh you

play21:06

know or or whatever and similarly these

play21:09

models are I think are pretty good to

play21:11

help not just you get oriented but to

play21:13

help you get your team on the same page

play21:16

because they help the whole team realize

play21:19

what forces are acting on us going

play21:21

forward okay so that's sort of a kind of

play21:24

a retrospective view of sort of models

play21:27

thinking uh largely Silicon Valley

play21:30

Centric kind of growing up a bit over

play21:32

the last couple of

play21:35

decades that's all fine you know old

play21:38

people can talk about it and that that

play21:40

would be me now but the question really

play21:42

is what's coming and where are we going

play21:44

and what is the opportunity for the

play21:46

startups in the back of this Hall and

play21:48

the startups that are kind of implicit

play21:50

in every table in this

play21:51

room so I think the big thing of this

play21:54

last decade as I just said because of

play21:57

the Wu bubble Dynamic Enterprise it for

play22:02

all of this decade this last decade was

play22:04

essentially an exercise in optimizing

play22:06

and economizing largely through

play22:09

virtualization potentially going to

play22:10

Cloud but not going to Cloud to grow

play22:13

going to Cloud to economize right uh

play22:16

getting you trying to find ways to store

play22:18

things more cheaply or compute more

play22:20

cheaply meanwhile while Enterprise it

play22:23

was on hold of course consumer it was on

play22:26

fire and and this this transformation I

play22:29

mean that you could you could do you

play22:31

know huge presentations about I'll just

play22:33

I just want to make the point that there

play22:34

were four technologies that converged in

play22:37

this past decade any one of which

play22:39

probably would have been transformative

play22:41

but when you take the four of them

play22:43

together it it just it created a world

play22:45

in which our entire culture excuse me

play22:48

I'm just our entire

play22:50

culture has become digitized we there

play22:53

used to be a time where you could talk

play22:54

about my digital life it's very hard to

play22:58

do that now because you we are leading

play23:01

digitally mediated

play23:04

lives it's it's and so all and the and

play23:08

if the the older folks in the room with

play23:11

me not too digitally mediated but just

play23:14

you just go down a gradient of age and

play23:16

you get down to a

play23:17

14-year-old and the cell phone is the

play23:20

center of their emotional and physical

play23:22

and psychological development right and

play23:24

that's why they have those little funny

play23:25

little thumbs you know they can do all

play23:26

that stuff so so so so we we know that

play23:30

there's been a transformation and of

play23:32

course you you look at what's going on

play23:34

in the Middle East right now that's a

play23:36

direct consequence of these Technologies

play23:39

in this digitally mediated world we we

play23:42

meet people uh digitally we fall in love

play23:46

digitally we make War digitally we

play23:50

financi we do Finance digitally we do

play23:52

Commerce digitally everything is

play23:54

becoming digital so as consumers we have

play23:57

this unbelievable digital experience and

play24:00

and and it's just it's well it's

play24:03

revolutionary in a way that I just don't

play24:05

think I don't think it's it's it's just

play24:07

hard to figure out even how to stay this

play24:09

uh State the scope of that but anyway

play24:12

that Genie is well and truly out of the

play24:14

bottle and we're on our way and we don't

play24:15

know where we're going but it it's it's

play24:17

a heck of a ride okay so what it's led

play24:20

to however is this thing we call the

play24:22

Millennials

play24:23

lament which is how can I be so powerful

play24:27

as a consumer

play24:29

and so lame as an employee I mean Sunday

play24:32

night the world is at my command and

play24:35

Monday morning I can't figure out you

play24:38

know what my latest my best customer

play24:40

really wants from me okay so what what's

play24:43

going on and why can't we have this

play24:45

stuff together and this is the this is

play24:47

the the forcing function or the the

play24:50

impedance mismatch that's going to

play24:51

create an enormous amount of wealth

play24:54

creation in this coming decade which is

play24:57

we need to bring

play24:58

the

play25:00

consumer um capabilities into the

play25:03

Enterprise and so if you look at that

play25:05

and you say well the Enterprise by the

play25:07

way if you talk to cios about this they

play25:09

know it's coming but oh man they'd like

play25:12

it to come on the next guy's watch

play25:15

because because it's it's just there's

play25:17

so much you have to do in order to make

play25:19

this thing actually work so the first

play25:21

question we ought to ask ourselves as

play25:23

well you know Jeffrey futurist blah blah

play25:24

blah you know they always think things

play25:26

are coming really soon what would make

play25:28

make it come really this decade why

play25:30

can't we wait really another decade and

play25:32

have crappy systems at work we've had

play25:34

them for years already it's a tradition

play25:35

you know why why would why couldn't we

play25:37

just stay with that and I think the

play25:39

answer is we we started changing the

play25:42

world the the B2B World in particular

play25:45

about 20 years ago with this Outsourcing

play25:48

of manufacturing to China followed very

play25:50

quickly by Outsourcing of a lot of

play25:52

services to India and the effect of that

play25:55

Outsourcing was just remarkable I mean

play25:57

we as was the most effective foreign aid

play26:00

program in the history of the planet I

play26:02

mean just by far by wildly I mean it's

play26:08

for somebody growing up in my generation

play26:09

to have to witness China being the

play26:11

number two economy in the world you say

play26:14

how is that possible right and it's

play26:16

because of this and so there's lots and

play26:18

lots of good things that have happened

play26:20

from that it's been hard on the

play26:21

developed economy why is it been so hard

play26:23

on us well because the goods that come

play26:25

back from that globalized world into our

play26:27

economy are priced at a very very

play26:30

different point now that's great for

play26:33

consumers but for those of us who make a

play26:35

living in a developed economy and have

play26:37

to support the infrastructure and the

play26:39

wage scale and the cost of living of a

play26:41

developed economy commoditization is a

play26:44

very very scary enemy because it does

play26:48

not go away and and and you can try to

play26:51

protect yourself from it for a while and

play26:53

some some some countries have been very

play26:56

protectionist but sooner or later you

play26:58

have you have to pay the piper and most

play26:59

people believe I don't believe in just

play27:02

in just ripping off the skin and

play27:04

immediately exposing yourself to the

play27:05

worst of everything but you have we have

play27:07

to have a systematic way for coping with

play27:09

this and you say well how do you do that

play27:11

you say well we we have to create offers

play27:14

that are sufficiently differentiated

play27:16

from the commodity offer that people

play27:18

will pay me the the difference so I can

play27:20

keep my the thing you have to keep

play27:22

constant is your margin model this is

play27:24

true of a company this is true of a

play27:26

country you have to maintain M your

play27:28

profit margins at whatever that's the

play27:30

constant in your business you can change

play27:32

categories you can change people you can

play27:34

change customers you can change offers

play27:35

you can't change your margin model so

play27:38

that means we have to differentiate to a

play27:40

level to sustain our our margin model

play27:42

well how do you do that and and the

play27:44

answer is actually pretty clear you have

play27:46

to specialize we no longer can be the

play27:50

general purpose everybody does

play27:51

everything kind of company that my

play27:53

father grew up in and that frankly I

play27:55

entered when I was first coming into the

play27:57

workforce where companies essentially

play27:59

did you know everything so so you know

play28:01

you you you built the Chip And you built

play28:03

the storage device and you built the

play28:04

software and you built the hardware and

play28:05

you did the services and and the whole

play28:08

thing and and in Tech obviously we've

play28:11

completely deconstructed that so that we

play28:13

can specialize Cisco builds networking

play28:15

equipment now it's moving up now but for

play28:17

a long time that was all it did right

play28:19

EMC for a long time all it did was

play28:21

storage you know uh Microsoft just

play28:24

software operating systems then then

play28:26

applications that kind of stuff so you

play28:28

specialize well when you specialize what

play28:30

you have to say is well where do I get

play28:32

the resources to specialize well I've

play28:34

got to economize and the economizing

play28:36

increasingly says I'm going to do it for

play28:38

cheaper and then eventually you go you

play28:40

know the problem is if I try to do it

play28:41

too cheaply I'll do it badly I'm

play28:45

probably better off if I give this to

play28:46

another company we Outsource it so that

play28:49

leads to more Outsourcing and now you

play28:51

start seeing that this thing is a cycle

play28:53

right and it's just not going to stop

play28:55

it's you keep going around and around

play28:57

this circle

play28:58

and and and and the globalization

play29:00

stronger the commoditization stronger so

play29:01

we have to differentiate even more this

play29:02

is a kind of a a darwinian rat race and

play29:05

this world is getting flatter and

play29:07

flatter okay now that's just not for us

play29:09

that's for everybody in every developed

play29:11

economy so now how why would

play29:15

it make a difference in this world okay

play29:18

because it is one of the few assets we

play29:20

have in the developed world where we're

play29:22

much better at it than the developing

play29:24

World much better so if we can figure

play29:26

out a way to leverage this it's a great

play29:27

idea idea so if you start looking at

play29:29

this world from the point of view of the

play29:30

developed economies here's what's going

play29:32

on the the structure business has

play29:35

changed we've gone from the old middle

play29:37

managers were the people that stood

play29:39

between top management and bottom and

play29:41

the bottom of the pyramid to Middle

play29:43

managers are the people that live and

play29:45

they're the connective tissue along a

play29:48

value chain that goes across three four

play29:51

five six different companies in order to

play29:54

deliver the final result to the Final

play29:56

End customer so all of a sudden there's

play29:59

a a need to negotiate a whole lot of

play30:03

things across company boundaries across

play30:05

country boundaries language barriers

play30:07

culture barriers that we never had

play30:08

before and the middle manager instead of

play30:10

being a cog in a great corporate machine

play30:14

has become sort of the middle linebacker

play30:16

or or the you the midfielder in soccer

play30:18

they have to run all over the field and

play30:20

they have to perform at high speed so

play30:23

you look at that thing and you say what

play30:24

are they doing with this stuff and and

play30:26

and and the the business networks are

play30:28

are saying look we need to communicate

play30:30

we need to coordinate we need to we need

play30:33

to collaborate we didn't have to do that

play30:35

as much anymore and so how do we get

play30:37

that stuff done how do we build these

play30:38

relationships and they have got to be

play30:40

built virtually digitally across the

play30:42

world and so how do we engage with peers

play30:45

to solve problems and the problem is

play30:47

it's not in the Erp system the answers

play30:49

are not there there are some facts in

play30:51

the Erp system we need like where is the

play30:54

shipment or what was the order amount or

play30:58

how much did we release on allocation or

play31:00

what was the you know the the the uh uh

play31:03

the lot number of the contaminated lot

play31:06

there's information in there but you

play31:07

can't turn to the system to get the

play31:09

answer much of the answer is in people's

play31:12

heads and it has to be negotiated out so

play31:15

this is where I think the opportunity is

play31:17

is going to hit it's going to hit the

play31:19

middle management the interesting thing

play31:21

about middle management is we've never

play31:23

invested in it for the middle of our

play31:26

organizations we invested in huge

play31:30

amounts of Erp but that was primarily to

play31:33

automate the front line and then we

play31:35

invested in huge amounts of business

play31:37

intelligence we used to call it decision

play31:39

support executive information systems

play31:41

and that was to make our Executive Suite

play31:43

smarter but if you were somebody in the

play31:45

middle there only really two things we

play31:48

ever did for anybody in the middle we

play31:50

got him a laptop and then we got him a

play31:53

Blackberry that was it that was it I

play31:55

mean after that it's like you no manager

play31:58

in the world says hey I've got a tough

play31:59

problem I want to log on to

play32:01

sap is just not what happens okay so so

play32:05

the issue then becomes so so so so what

play32:08

do we want to do well what we want to do

play32:10

is we want to take these design

play32:12

principles and these power principles

play32:15

that we've seen unfold in the consumer

play32:18

world and we want to bring them into the

play32:20

Enterprise

play32:21

world and when you look at that you say

play32:24

well what would that really be the

play32:26

answer is you you don't have to look

play32:27

very far because many of the facilities

play32:30

we want already exist in the consumer

play32:33

world but they don't have the word

play32:36

Enterprise in front of them and and and

play32:39

and putting the word Enterprise ready in

play32:42

front of these things is something that

play32:45

none of these companies will do

play32:46

themselves there is no chance that

play32:48

Facebook will make an Enterprise ready

play32:50

Facebook or Google and Enterprise ready

play32:53

Google or YouTube or Twitter it won't

play32:56

happen because the bit the way the

play32:58

business models work the way the margin

play32:59

models work the way the partnership

play33:01

models work they're just antithetical

play33:03

it's not going to happen so they'll have

play33:05

divisions that'll sort of try to nod

play33:08

nicely toward the Enterprise but that's

play33:09

that's about as far as it's going to go

play33:11

which means there's a huge vacuum to be

play33:14

filled because this stuff if if you buy

play33:17

in this argument about the the way in

play33:19

which the world is is going if we we

play33:22

have to arm our middle managers if we're

play33:25

going to be able to maintain our margin

play33:26

models this stuff would do it let me let

play33:29

me show the kind of things that we have

play33:30

in mind you know you could say look you

play33:32

know uh Facebook well I need to know

play33:34

somebody you know I'm filling a project

play33:35

in China right or or uh on demand

play33:38

conferencing let's get everybody

play33:39

together right now global presence

play33:41

detection I need to talk to Harry where

play33:43

is Harry Harry Harry may not even know

play33:45

where Harry is but his cell phone knows

play33:47

where Harry is right so we can find

play33:49

Harry you know can can you take YouTube

play33:52

I want to do a demo I don't want to get

play33:54

in another plane search you know it just

play33:56

it goes on and on and okay so so it's

play33:59

not that there aren't use cases for all

play34:01

of these things in the Enterprise

play34:03

because there are plenty of use cases

play34:04

for the problem is that it's just really

play34:08

really hard to make consumer technology

play34:12

Enterprise ready you know look at the

play34:14

kinds of stuff that that you know that

play34:16

you you you got to worry about so so the

play34:19

first thing is the great thing the the

play34:21

asset you have is don't

play34:24

redesign the capability Mark Benny when

play34:27

he designed the first salesforce.com he

play34:30

had asked himself the question why isn't

play34:32

enterprise software as easy to use as

play34:35

amazon.com so when he wrote the first

play34:37

salesforce.com app and he did the

play34:39

interface he copied Amazon

play34:42

exactly when two years ago he wanted to

play34:45

say why can't we have Twitter Enterprise

play34:47

Twitter he said Enterprise chatter like

play34:50

Facebook he copied the Facebook

play34:53

interface exactly why did he do that if

play34:56

you copy Facebook exactly you don't need

play34:59

a manual right you don't need training

play35:01

you don't need support people do it see

play35:05

as soon as you make a change to make it

play35:07

quote better you screw everything up

play35:09

okay so and this is Engineers like

play35:12

famous for doing this right I can do it

play35:15

smarter yes you can shoot that man

play35:19

right because because they'll completely

play35:21

disrupt the entire point of the process

play35:24

which is we want to leverage a a a a

play35:26

complete cultural phenomenon already

play35:28

exists but here's the heavy lifting

play35:30

right so it's got to be secure we have

play35:33

to worry about data leakage we have to

play35:36

worry about liability we have to worry

play35:38

about discoverability because especially

play35:40

not maybe so much on your side of the

play35:41

Border but we have more lawyers than we

play35:43

have football player we have more

play35:44

lawyers than anything on our side of the

play35:46

border and discoverability is a big

play35:47

issue for it and the interfaces to the

play35:50

systems of record because none of this

play35:52

stuff works if you can't talk to sap

play35:55

it's not that sap is irrelevant it's

play35:57

just just the sap has to be on demand

play36:00

not on a pull basis not on a push basis

play36:03

right and it's got to be very ad hoc in

play36:06

the moment very mobile global social

play36:08

virtual all that kind of stuff

play36:09

reliability scalability maintainability

play36:11

all the stuff that people worry about

play36:14

and so I think the great thing about

play36:16

being here is Rim this is this is a

play36:19

Playbook that Rim taught the world about

play36:21

okay when you when you talk to Jim Bley

play36:23

and those and those guys when I was

play36:25

talking with him at at the world

play36:27

economic those years that we were going

play36:28

there together You' you'd see the the

play36:31

thought processes that that Rim put into

play36:34

well how does the service provider's

play36:36

business model got to work and what has

play36:38

to happen there okay now what do the CIO

play36:40

got to do and how does the Blackberry

play36:42

you know Bez server have to work with

play36:44

that and then what does the end user

play36:46

want and and and where where can we go

play36:49

from there and you know you guys are

play36:50

going to have a raffle for a torch I

play36:51

have a torch by the way this is a hell

play36:53

of a product okay and and and it's a

play36:55

business product and and it's been a

play36:58

very successful business product so it's

play37:00

not that this this is not a magic Art

play37:02

and it's certainly not a magic Art for

play37:03

this community but it's a lot of work

play37:06

now the good news is that creates

play37:08

barriers to entry and it also creates

play37:10

margin model right because this is

play37:12

extremely valuable work so I really want

play37:14

to encourage you to figure out a way to

play37:16

tap into this capability if it's if it's

play37:19

in the environment of your business

play37:20

model so I just want to close with with

play37:23

one last set of thoughts and it's just

play37:26

four or five slides it's around this

play37:28

notion of how do you innovate to compete

play37:31

in this new world and you know Silicon

play37:34

Valley gets a lot of credit for

play37:35

Innovation and the thing that that that

play37:39

uh we began to sort out is we we began

play37:42

to feel there's kind of a kind of

play37:43

there's kind of a dark side to to

play37:45

Innovation which is probably most

play37:46

Innovation is

play37:48

waste and that was a we challenged

play37:51

ourselves to figure out where do you get

play37:52

the return on Innovation and how does

play37:54

that work and we learned we learned a

play37:56

key lesson which I want to close with

play37:58

okay so the the key the lesson starts by

play38:00

saying look if you look at Innovation

play38:02

there's three ways you can make money if

play38:04

you spend a dollar on Innovation you can

play38:06

differentiate which will mean you'll

play38:08

you'll get the you know a better margin

play38:11

you'll get more sales because customers

play38:13

prefer your offer to the other guys you

play38:16

can neutralize which means you can catch

play38:19

up to an innovation that a competitor

play38:22

made and so therefore kind of get back

play38:24

into the game and you can optimize and

play38:26

in in optimizing requires Innovation and

play38:29

you if you can take money take cost out

play38:31

of your system and that also improves

play38:32

your margin model so if you look at

play38:34

those three things you know your claim

play38:35

to fame and and then you know take table

play38:38

stakes and and making money let me kind

play38:40

of walk you through the key things we've

play38:42

learned on each one of those and then

play38:44

and then the final lesson about keeping

play38:45

them separate so this is the

play38:48

differentiation idea now every company

play38:51

has a set of competitors the customers

play38:53

put you in that set the analysts put you

play38:55

in that set and the idea is those

play38:58

companies are all different their offers

play38:59

are all differentiated from each other

play39:01

but they're inside a yellow circle

play39:03

because at the margin the customer is

play39:05

not willing to pay an extraordinary

play39:07

premium for any one of those offers so

play39:09

they have a preference but it's within

play39:12

an envelope where best price is going to

play39:15

have quite a lot of influence if you can

play39:17

differentiate in a way that takes you

play39:18

outside the yellow circle you're able to

play39:22

we call this creating an unmatchable

play39:24

offer okay you create enormous power

play39:28

enormous bargaining power that's what

play39:30

that's why everybody's talking about

play39:32

Apple for the last decade and by the way

play39:33

it's why people are learning to hate

play39:35

Apple now because what with enormous

play39:39

power typically comes abuse of enormous

play39:41

power right and you're just watching

play39:43

Apple starting down the tra the the the

play39:45

trail of abuse uh you watched it with

play39:48

their media negotiations you're seeing

play39:50

it in the App Stores you you're going to

play39:52

and it's going to generate a reaction

play39:53

the same way that that Microsoft created

play39:56

a reaction the same way that Google

play39:57

created a reaction the same way that

play39:59

Facebook creates a reaction but but the

play40:01

point about it is it's because they have

play40:03

enormous power and why do they have

play40:05

enormous power because they have an

play40:07

unmatchable offer okay and and and and

play40:10

that unmatchable offer is something you

play40:13

should aspire to now we shouldn't aspire

play40:16

to be Global revolutionaries at every

play40:18

table because there's only one globe and

play40:20

there's like 25 tables here but but what

play40:22

we can do is say but in our target

play40:24

market we can do this in our Target

play40:27

market and we just you you focus the

play40:29

market to where the market has to be big

play40:31

enough to matter to your company and

play40:34

small enough for you to dominate so you

play40:35

have to sort of figure out where you are

play40:37

but you can do this okay if you don't do

play40:39

it by the way it's not you're out of

play40:40

business it's just that you don't have

play40:43

this kind of bargaining power so your

play40:44

margin model is continually being

play40:46

threatened by commoditization and and

play40:48

you're going to experience a

play40:49

deterioration in your margin model which

play40:51

is not not pleasant so kind of cools to

play40:54

doing this stuff goals to be keys to

play40:56

differentiate goals to be uh unmatchable

play40:59

that means you have to make a very

play41:01

asymmetrical bat you end up taking one

play41:03

of your offers or one dimension of your

play41:04

offers and wildly over resourcing it and

play41:08

then kind of figuring out how to make do

play41:10

every everywhere else okay and it's a

play41:12

it's a big betat so I mean you know we

play41:14

talk about the iPad anybody remember the

play41:15

Newton right the Macintosh the Lisa

play41:19

right so so these there I me there are

play41:21

some spectacular sort of pancake Falls

play41:24

uh around this play the the razor was

play41:27

great but it was followed by the craer

play41:28

right many of you probably don't

play41:30

remember the Crazer okay but Motorola

play41:32

does they remember both products

play41:34

okay in innovating for neutralization is

play41:37

the opposite problem somebody got

play41:39

outside the yellow circle the yellow

play41:41

circle's catching up to it you got to

play41:42

get back inside the yellow circle what

play41:45

you what you're trying to do now is all

play41:46

you're trying to do is get something

play41:49

that's good enough so that you can take

play41:51

the other guys un supposedly unmatchable

play41:54

capability and say no no no no no we

play41:56

have one of those two

play41:57

okay now nobody thinks yours is better

play41:59

than theirs but it's good enough okay

play42:02

this is what Nokia has failed to do okay

play42:06

this is what Google did with Android and

play42:09

this is why Steven elop who just came

play42:11

from Microsoft and went to Nokia shot

play42:13

the Symbian operating system and said

play42:16

we're going with Microsoft which is

play42:18

clearly an inferior choice to either

play42:20

Android or iOS but the problem was you

play42:24

say why couldn't Nokia in three 4 and A2

play42:27

years 2007 let's give them three benefit

play42:30

that four years from 2007 2011 why

play42:33

couldn't they come up with something

play42:34

that neutralized the Apple iPhone answer

play42:38

they were too

play42:39

proud the engineers at Nokia would not

play42:43

do neutralization they wanted to out

play42:46

differentiate and so they spent three

play42:48

and a half years trying to out

play42:51

differentiate this is a this is a huge

play42:54

huge cause of grief in high-tech this is

play42:57

why Carol Barts had to sell the search

play42:59

business at Yahoo to Microsoft because

play43:03

the search business at Yahoo could not

play43:05

let go of trying to out differentiate

play43:08

Google because Google had taken their

play43:09

search business from them there are

play43:12

times in where you just have to cut your

play43:13

losses and get back into the game the

play43:15

best company who's ever been at

play43:16

neutralization by far Microsoft right

play43:20

Microsoft if you think about it invented

play43:22

very little but neutralized and then

play43:24

caught up and then went went ahead so it

play43:27

neutralized Lotus 123 it neutralized

play43:30

ashant Tate it neutralized wordstar and

play43:33

then word perfect okay it neutralized

play43:35

Noel okay it neutralized

play43:38

Netscape it's trying to neutralize

play43:40

Google may not get there this time

play43:42

they're not as Nimble but but that was

play43:43

an unbelievable performance around

play43:45

neutralization so

play43:47

neutralization is probably a scarcer

play43:50

skill in Tech than

play43:52

differentiation and being a fast

play43:55

neutralizer is a critical part you need

play43:57

to have this capability in your company

play43:59

if you're going forward so it just it's

play44:01

about being good enough

play44:03

fast fast Microsoft would got that first

play44:06

Internet Explorer into the Market within

play44:08

a year of Netscape Navigator it sucked

play44:12

right it wasn't really good enough but

play44:14

it was a placeholder for good enough and

play44:17

Internet Explorer too still wasn't

play44:19

probably good enough but Internet

play44:21

Explorer 3 was better than Navigator

play44:24

okay so that's how they played that game

play44:26

and and so emulate Microsoft when it

play44:28

comes to neutralization and then finally

play44:30

this issue around optimization you know

play44:32

we're talking about all this price

play44:33

deflation and what's going on and again

play44:35

if you don't optimize you you you you

play44:38

can't get the the the profits necessary

play44:40

to to fund The Innovation going forward

play44:43

so we tend to think about innovators and

play44:45

optimizers because psychologically

play44:47

they're very different but it's all part

play44:49

of one ecosystem you got to optimize on

play44:52

one end of the life cycle in order to

play44:54

invest in Innovation and neutralization

play44:57

earlier in the life cycle so this

play44:58

optimization stuff it's it's really

play45:00

important okay and again the goal is to

play45:02

self fund now the thing that's

play45:04

interesting about this self-funding

play45:06

thing is well let me let me let me I'll

play45:09

make that the last point I want to make

play45:10

one point before I go there so those are

play45:12

the three forms of getting a return on

play45:14

Innovation and the thing we've learned

play45:16

about them is they're very very

play45:19

different the the the the values that

play45:21

we're trying to uh do are different and

play45:23

the way you kind of the question you

play45:25

challenge yourself with is different and

play45:28

here's the key learning don't mix

play45:32

modes if you set up a team to do a

play45:35

project or a program or an initiative

play45:38

you give them one of these three

play45:39

challenges and you take the other two

play45:41

off the table if you have a problem that

play45:44

you say well Jeffrey I'm sorry this this

play45:45

a we have this product line and we

play45:47

definitely have to differentiate but we

play45:49

also have to neutralize fine break the

play45:51

release in two do not have the

play45:54

neutralization effort held captive by

play45:57

the differentiation effort because

play45:58

you'll delay the release for three and a

play46:00

half years right you've got to get the

play46:03

neutralization on a fast track and let

play46:05

the differentiation because

play46:06

differentiation isn't done until it's

play46:09

done but neutralization needs to be done

play46:11

now or before Christmas right that kind

play46:14

of stuff so each one of these has it has

play46:16

has its own Rhythm its own leadership

play46:18

its own Cadence when you design

play46:20

initiatives and you're you're running

play46:21

your company make sure you separate them

play46:23

out now the final thing I just want to

play46:25

close with is where do you get the money

play46:26

for this stuff and the answer is you've

play46:29

already got the

play46:30

money most of the money that people

play46:33

spend on Innovation and on making their

play46:36

company made uh better is wasted now

play46:39

that's a I mean and not just at other

play46:41

people's

play46:42

companies okay Ian obviously other

play46:44

people are not as smart as you are but

play46:46

even at your company okay you say well

play46:48

how is that possible because honest to

play46:50

God I really don't believe this is true

play46:52

I really don't believe this so you say

play46:54

okay here here's where it comes from if

play46:57

you initiate a project to really be

play47:00

differentiation this is this is going to

play47:02

be our claim to fame this is our better

play47:04

than better better than best kind of

play47:06

thing and you bring it to Market and

play47:09

it's good and people give you lots of

play47:11

credit for it it's even maybe best in

play47:15

class but it's still inside the yellow

play47:18

circle you're not going to get the

play47:20

payback customers do not pay much more

play47:23

for best-in class than for good enough

play47:25

they'll pay a little bit more but not a

play47:28

lot more okay you have to be Beyond

play47:31

class to to get that return so all the

play47:34

R&D about being better not good that's

play47:38

waste you either are going to be

play47:40

unmatchable or good enough and between

play47:43

good enough and unmatchable there is a

play47:45

huge huge spectrum of possibilities most

play47:48

of which are well all of which are

play47:51

seriously under rewarded good enough is

play47:54

gets a huge reward because you're you're

play47:55

in the game and and Beyond class gets a

play47:58

huge reward because you're dictating

play47:59

terms but everything in between no so

play48:02

that's the first place the waste com so

play48:03

you're probably spending too much money

play48:05

on differentiation particularly if

play48:06

you're funding differentiation in many

play48:08

different products in many different

play48:10

states of the life cycle most of them

play48:12

probably shouldn't get funded okay you

play48:14

should say no I'm sorry you're you're in

play48:15

a neutralization phase of your life

play48:17

we're going to differentiate with only a

play48:19

few of our products the next one is um

play48:21

excuse me um the next one's

play48:24

neutralization that doesn't that that

play48:26

tries to differentiate at the same time

play48:28

that and therefore goes too slowly is

play48:30

way too expensive and isn't fast enough

play48:32

this is the this is the disease that

play48:34

that yahu and Nokia both suffered from

play48:37

and they're going to try to get

play48:37

themselves out of sorry and then the

play48:39

third one is optimization that really

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doesn't go after the tough stuff doesn't

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really try to get the real resources

play48:45

freed up in your company so good news

play48:48

about waste you already have the money

play48:50

in your budget right if you stop wasting

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it there is no downside trust me if you

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spend it someplace else there is an

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upside so frankly what the hell are you

play49:00

waiting for right that's sort of I

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really I mean it's just like come on

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people this is right here this is fuel

play49:06

go get the fuel right so the recap here

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just to kind of close and I want to turn

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it back over to uh to Ian and team is um

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the models that I shared with you at the

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beginning of the talk still apply

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they're they need to be continually

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updated and matured as the industry

play49:23

matures but they still create Frameworks

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and their purpose is really to create a

play49:27

framework for you and your colleagues to

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uh to to have tough conversations around

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what's going on around you the new

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markets to serve you know this last

play49:36

decade was not a particularly good

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decade for to be a B2B technology

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company unless you were VMware or in

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that kind of optimization world this

play49:45

coming decade with this consumerization

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of Enterprise it and all of the

play49:49

implications of that means it's a huge

play49:51

decade you this is absolutely where you

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want to be for the coming decade going

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forward

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and then this new RAC is to run as

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you're playing this new game this

play50:00

business about differentiate neutralize

play50:03

and optimize and how important those

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three tracks are and they have to be

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done in parallel they're not serial you

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can't say well I'll optimize this year

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and I'll neutralize next year and I'll

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differentiate the next year no no no you

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got to do all three in parallel right

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but the key thing is don't try to Mel

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them they they they do not mix well with

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each other so that I want to say thank

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you very much I'm going to have a chance

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to be on a panel a bit later today see

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you at lunch also but thanks a lot

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appreciate

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[Applause]

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[Music]

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it

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Etiquetas Relacionadas
Tech AdoptionEnterprise ITInnovation StrategiesMarket DynamicsConsumerizationBusiness ModelsNeutralizationDifferentiationOptimizationIndustry Trends
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