Has World War III Already Started?

Summary

The video script discusses the possibility that World War III began in 2014 with Russia's annexation of Crimea and the subsequent conflict in Eastern Ukraine. It draws parallels between this current conflict and previous world wars, highlighting the involvement of multiple actors, new weapon systems, economic warfare, and propaganda. The script emphasizes the importance of understanding the information war and the role of cyberspace and media in shaping perceptions and dividing opinions. It also explores the unlikelihood of nuclear weapon use due to strategic and political implications, suggesting that the war is now fought through influence and misinformation.

Takeaways

• 🌏 The script suggests that World War III may have already begun, with its roots possibly traced back to the 2014 Crimea annexation by Russia.
• 🗓️ The author first admitted to the possibility of World War III in March 2022, following Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
• 🎙️ The script mentions the author's appearances on various media platforms discussing the imminent start of World War III.
• 📺 The script includes a discussion on the historical context of World War I and II, including their causes and characteristics.
• 💥 The script highlights the use of new weapon systems, economic warfare, and propaganda as common features across the world wars.
• 🔍 It discusses the first mentions of 'World War III' in historical documents and the public psyche, especially in relation to nuclear warfare.
• 🇺🇦 The conflict in Ukraine is analyzed as a potential catalyst for World War III, with a detailed look at the events since 2014.
• 🤖 The script addresses the modern domains of warfare, including not just land, sea, and air, but also cyberspace and the information domain.
• 🇷🇺 The author contemplates the use of nuclear weapons in the current conflict, analyzing their tactical value and strategic implications.
• 🕊️ The script concludes that while the world is in a state of war with elements of past world wars, the use of nuclear weapons is unlikely due to global political dynamics.
• 🌐 The final takeaway emphasizes the new kind of warfare focused on influencing minds through information and media, rather than solely on physical battles.

Q & A

What does the speaker suggest about the start of World War III?

The speaker suggests that World War III may have already started, potentially with the Russian invasion of Crimea in 2014, and that the conflict in Ukraine could be seen as a part of this ongoing war.

What was the speaker's personal solution to dealing with the stress of World War III discussions?

The speaker's personal solution to dealing with stress from World War III discussions was to start shaving his head, which he found easier during his time as an infantry platoon sergeant.

What product does the speaker promote for addressing hair loss?

The speaker promotes 'Keeps', a service that provides professional care for hair loss from the comfort of your home, with treatment plans tailored by licensed medical providers.

What historical events are mentioned as precursors to World War I?

The assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand on June 28, 1914, and the Franco-Prussian War of 1871 are mentioned as events that contributed to the conditions leading up to World War I.

What are the primary features of World War I according to the script?

The primary features of World War I mentioned in the script include multiple actors and theaters of war, introduction of new weapons systems like submarines and poison gas, economic warfare through blockades and sanctions, and the use of propaganda.

When did the term 'World War III' first appear in Time Magazine?

The term 'World War III' first appeared in Time Magazine on November 3rd, 1941.

What is the significance of the conflict in Ukraine according to the speaker?

According to the speaker, the conflict in Ukraine is significant as it shares many features with past world wars, including multiple actors, new weapon systems, economic warfare, and pervasive propaganda, and it represents a new kind of war fought in cyberspace and through media.

What are some of the domains where modern warfare is fought, as mentioned in the script?

The script mentions that modern warfare is fought not only on land, sea, and air but also in cyberspace, information domain, and through influence operations.

Why does the speaker believe the use of nuclear weapons in the current conflict is unlikely?

The speaker believes the use of nuclear weapons is unlikely due to the strategic and political implications, the modern battlefield where precision-guided weapons are prevalent, and the fact that any use of nuclear weapons by Russia would almost guarantee a response from NATO.

What is the speaker's view on the current state of warfare, especially in terms of information and influence?

The speaker views the current state of warfare as one that is fought in cyberspace and through media, with the aim to influence minds, shape perceptions, and divide and conquer through misinformation and fear.

What is the connection made between the conflict in Ukraine and the concept of World War III in the script?

The connection made is that the conflict in Ukraine, with its multiple actors, new weapon systems, economic warfare, and propaganda, shares features with past world wars and represents an ongoing conflict that could be considered part of World War III.

Outlines

00:00

🌏 World War III: The Unacknowledged Global Conflict

The speaker posits that World War III commenced in 2014, triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent annexation of Crimea. This perspective suggests that the conflict has been ongoing, with the West largely responding with economic sanctions rather than military action. The paragraph also touches on the speaker's personal anecdote about hair loss and a sponsored product, Keep's, for addressing male pattern baldness. It provides a brief historical context of World War I and II, highlighting their features such as multiple actors, new weapon systems, and economic warfare, and introduces the concept that World War III may not be a distant threat but an ongoing reality.

05:02

📰 Historical Speculations on World War III

This paragraph delves into the historical references and speculations about World War III. It discusses the first usage of the term in Time Magazine in 1941, during World War II, and the subsequent discussions in the New York Times in 1945. The speaker mentions various predictions and fears about a potential third world war, particularly focusing on the Soviet Union and the possibility of Germany as an aggressor again. The paragraph also covers the public's perception of nuclear warfare and the integration of nuclear weapons into the concept of World War III, as seen in popular novels and media of the 1950s.

10:03

🔍 The Current State of Global Warfare

The speaker examines the current conflict in Ukraine, arguing that it shares many characteristics with past world wars, such as multiple actors, new weapon systems, and economic warfare. The paragraph outlines the events leading up to the annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the subsequent conflict in Eastern Ukraine, suggesting that these events are part of an ongoing World War III. It also discusses the modern domains of warfare, including not just land, sea, and air, but also cyberspace and information warfare, emphasizing the role of propaganda and influence in the current conflict.

15:04

☢️ The Improbability of Nuclear Warfare in the Current Conflict

In this paragraph, the speaker explores the potential scenarios in which nuclear weapons could be used in the current conflict, concluding that their use is unlikely due to strategic and political implications. The speaker explains that modern intelligence and reconnaissance systems make it difficult to conceal troop movements, reducing the effectiveness of nuclear weapons for creating breakthroughs. They also discuss the potential global response to nuclear use, including the retaliatory use of nuclear weapons by NATO, and the political risks for leaders like President Putin.

🌐 The New Face of War: Cyber and Information Warfare

The final paragraph emphasizes the shift in warfare from traditional battlefields to cyberspace and media influence. The speaker argues that the conflict in Ukraine is indicative of a new kind of war, where the primary objectives are to influence minds and shape perceptions through misinformation and fear. They also mention the potential global implications of using nuclear weapons, such as setting a precedent that could affect other geopolitical conflicts, like a potential invasion of Taiwan by China. The speaker concludes by reflecting on the nature of the current global conflict and the importance of understanding the new domains of warfare.

Keywords

💡World War III

World War III refers to a hypothetical global conflict that is often discussed in the context of escalating tensions between major world powers. In the video, the term is used to describe the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the potential for a larger, global war. The script suggests that World War III may have already started with Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2014, and it is being delayed or avoided through various means such as economic sanctions and diplomatic efforts.

💡Invasion of Ukraine

The Invasion of Ukraine by Russia is a central event in the script, marking the start of the conflict that some argue could be considered the beginning of World War III. The annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the subsequent fighting in Eastern Ukraine are highlighted as key moments that have led to the current state of affairs, with the West responding primarily through economic and diplomatic means.

💡Economic Warfare

Economic Warfare in the script refers to the use of economic tools such as sanctions, blockades, and trade restrictions to exert pressure on an adversary. It is mentioned as a feature of both past world wars and the current conflict, where the West has employed such measures against Russia in response to its actions in Ukraine.

💡Propaganda

Propaganda is discussed as a tool used by various sides in conflicts to influence public opinion and justify their actions. In the context of the video, it is highlighted as a feature of both World War I and World War II, and it is noted that the current conflict also involves a significant amount of propaganda, particularly through digital and information channels.

💡Nuclear Weapons

Nuclear Weapons are mentioned in the script as a potential game-changer in the conflict, with the discussion focusing on the implications of their use and the strategic reasons why they might be employed. The video suggests that while the use of nuclear weapons is unlikely due to the catastrophic consequences, the mere possibility serves as a deterrent and a point of contention in the conflict.

💡Cyberspace

Cyberspace is identified as a new domain of warfare in the script, where battles are fought not with physical weapons but through information and influence. It is highlighted as a key area in the current conflict, with Russia conducting influence operations to shape perceptions and divide the West.

💡Information Warfare

Information Warfare is the concept of using information to exploit an adversary's dependence on information and its systems. In the video, it is discussed as a modern form of conflict where the aim is to influence minds and perceptions through misinformation and fear, which is a significant aspect of the current conflict with Russia.

💡Multiple Actors

The term 'Multiple Actors' in the script refers to the involvement of various nations and groups in the conflict, similar to the dynamics seen in past world wars. It is used to describe the complex nature of the current conflict, which includes not only Russia and Ukraine but also the West, Iran, China, and North Korea, each with their interests and roles.

💡Strategic Bombing

Strategic Bombing is mentioned as a weapon system introduced in World War II, characterized by large-scale air attacks aimed at both military and civilian targets to damage the enemy's war-making capacity. The script uses this term to illustrate the evolution of warfare and the introduction of new tactics and technologies.

💡Deterrence

Deterrence in the script refers to the concept of preventing an action by posing a credible threat of unacceptable consequences. It is discussed in the context of nuclear weapons, where the potential for mutually assured destruction serves as a deterrent to their use in the current conflict.

💡Influence Operations

Influence Operations are tactics used to affect the perceptions, attitudes, and behaviors of target audiences to benefit the originator's objectives. In the video, Russia's use of such operations in the information domain is highlighted as a means to divide and manipulate the West's stance on the conflict in Ukraine.

Highlights

The speaker suggests World War III may have already started, with roots possibly traced back to 2014.

The concept of World War III has been circulating since the end of World War II, with various predictions and fears.

The term 'World War III' was first used in Time Magazine in 1941, suggesting a future conflict with Germany as the aggressor.

Economic warfare, including blockades and sanctions, has been a feature of both World Wars and is seen in the current conflict with Russia.

The conflict in Ukraine, starting from 2014 with the annexation of Crimea, is considered by some as the beginning of World War III.

The speaker discusses the evolution of warfare domains, including the addition of cyber and information warfare.

The use of nuclear weapons in modern warfare is limited to specific scenarios due to advancements in precision-guided weapons.

The speaker argues that the current conflict shares features with past world wars, such as multiple actors and new weapon systems.

The role of propaganda in shaping public perception is highlighted as a significant aspect of the current conflict.

The speaker emphasizes the importance of understanding the information domain in modern warfare, which includes cyberspace and media influence.

The potential use of nuclear weapons by Russia is discussed, with the conclusion that it is unlikely due to strategic and political implications.

The speaker mentions the influence of China in the conflict, suggesting they may discourage Russia from using nuclear weapons.

The concept of a 'new kind of war' is introduced, focused on influencing minds and shaping perceptions through misinformation and fear.

The speaker concludes that we are indeed at war, but in a different form that includes cyber and information warfare.

The transcript includes a promotional segment for Keeps, a service addressing hair loss, indicating the speaker's personal experience and a special offer.

Historical context is provided for both World War I and II, detailing their origins, features, and the evolution of warfare.

Transcripts

are we fighting World War III right now

not only are we fighting it it started

in 2014 I first admitted to this back in

March of 2022 one month after Russia

invaded Ukraine I know flyone might be a

moral imperative but we have to be aware

of the consequences that will happen day

one we also have to understand that

World War III may have already started

and we're just delaying the inevitable

and I touched on it again when I went on

the destiny podcast and I touched on it

again when I went on Sebastian or's

radio show where I said are you kind of

fed up Ryan with the World War II is

about to begin crowd cuz this has been a

drum beat for months now so I I'm

actually of the opinion that World War

III began two years ago oo okay that I

it began when Russia invaded Ukraine

interesting expand absolutely so uh I

could even go back even further and say

that it it probably started in 2014 when

President Obama did not stand up to to

the crime Invasion to the Crimean

Invasion now if all this talk of World

War III makes you want to pull out your

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results May Vary now let's get back to

talking about World War II now in order

to understand World War I I want to talk

about World War I and World War II World

War I then almost universally known as

the Great War or the world war started

on August 1st 1914 when Germany declared

war on Russia and then 2 days later on

on France but it had its roots Going

Back 2 months previously to the June

28th assassination of arch duuk

Ferdinand you can even say that the

seeds were swn back in 1871 after the

Franco Prussian War when France lost its

territory of Alise line to Germany so

what were the primary features of the

first world war well it featured

multiple actors and theaters of War it

introduced new weapons systems like the

submarine and poison gas featured

economic warfare waged using blockades

sanctions and Contraband lists and all

sides used propaganda to justify their

involvement with World War II which at

the time was often just called the war

or in the Soviet Union and modern day

Russia the Great Patriotic War that

started on September 3rd 1939 when

Germany invaded Poland America entered

the war on December 8th 1941 After Japan

bomb Pearl Harbor but Europe had already

been fighting for 2 years and

technically there was fighting going on

in Asia for four years so you could say

that the seeds of the European conflict

go all the way back to World War I when

the Treaty of Versailles tried to hobble

and humiliate the

Germans so what were the main features

of World War II you had multiple actors

in theaters of War new weapon systems

like strategic bombing and ballistic

missiles global economic warfare using

blockades sanctions Contraband lists and

who can forget the propaganda now it

wasn't until late 1944 that Americans

started calling World War II World War

II in fact my copy of the victorial

history of World War II has a copyright

date of 1944 it was being written as the

war was still

underway now the first use of the term

World War III can be found in this issue

of Time Magazine from November 3rd 1941

you see Germany had pushed the UK across

the English channel in 1940 and the two

sides just kind of glared at each other

while Germany invaded Russia and

Yugoslavia and Greece will

simultaneously bombing London but one

could say that the war was technically

over so it was thought that Germany

would get bogged down in Russia and then

try to establish some kind of Peace as

it built up their Navy for the next

fight so some people thought that World

War 2 was already finished and World War

III would be that great push into Europe

the term World War II pops up in the New

York Times on February 10th 1945 from an

anti-war group known as the society for

the prevention of World War III here

they warn that a Soviet back Coalition

of self-proclaimed anti-national

socialists made up of former German

officers should not be recognized as

part of the legitimate German

reconstruction government so the term

was used with the assumption that there

would be a third world war with Germany

as the aggressor again

and in another article this time on May

2nd talks about how Stalin was the only

real Victor in Asia and that makes World

War III Over Russian domination of Asia

an almost certainty then on October 9th

1945 General georgees Patton claimed

that another war was inevitable although

he refused to speculate with whom and

when it would probably be started by a

Madman who claimed

outrage sound familiar by December 7th

1945 General Hap Arnold the man who

devised a strategic bombing campaign

over Germany and Japan advocated that

the North Pole would be important in the

Next Great War and keep in mind that

back then nuclear weapons were delivered

by bombers and the shortest route to the

Soviet Union was over the North Pole so

the Spectre of World War I has been

around since the end of World War II

although it implied conventional

conflict the first associations with

nuclear weapons came in 1950 when the

daily worker a local Chicago communist

newspaper accused President Harry S

Truman of trying to convert the conflict

in Korea into World War III funny thing

the actual article ends with the words

hands off Korea Korea for the Korean

people and America for the American

people and the lock out of China and the

USSR and the United Nations Outlaw the

atom bomb prevent World War III you can

see how something like this could be a

tweet today the words and accusations

haven't even Changed by 1953 Atomic

scientists were warning that the Soviet

Union had about 50 or so Atomic weapons

and World War III was most probable the

1950s saw the Advent of popular novels

like tomorrow and on the beach and the

last Babylon and now the notion of World

War III and nuclear weapons were firmly

entrenched in the public psyche so let's

look at the conflict in Ukraine some

people say that the conflict started on

February 24th 2022 but not a fe

Ukrainian to understand the gravity of

this claim we must revisit the events of

2014 and that year started with Ukraine

in turmoil the euromid in protest led to

the aler of President Victor anak kovic

a move that Russia saw as a direct

threat to its influence in the region in

response Russian troops in unmarked

uniform forms moved into Crimea seizing

control of key infrastructure and

government buildings following Crimea

the conflict spread to Eastern Ukraine

the dunas where pro-russian separatists

essentially supported by Moscow engag in

a brutal war against Ukrainian forces

the war resulted in thousands of deaths

and has displaced Millions so you could

even say that World War III happened in

Crimea back in 2014 when Russia took

Crimea by force and the world responded

with a shrug H Maybe a couple of

sanctions everything but a

gun so what are the features of this

current War how does it match up to

World War I and World War II well we

have multiple actors essentially a

coalition of the West versus Russia Iran

China and in some cases North Korea

although we don't really have multiple

theaters we do have four overseas

theaters that are active 247 watching

over this stuff centcom eurom afrom and

southcom war is not just being fought on

the land domain and the Sea domain and

in the air but in cyers space and in the

information domain through pro-russian

influencers we've seen new weapons like

drones and loitering Munitions and of

course you've seen economic warfare

using blockades sanctions and Contraband

lists and who can forget the propaganda

the 24/7 propaganda that spills out of

computers into the brains of people who

are terminally online now nobody would

argue that land Warfare is a domain of

warfare it's been the case since the

first caveman picked up the first Spear

and said you know what I really don't

like how [ __ ] is always in charge and we

fought on the sea since the pipian war

air has been a domain of combat since

World War I you could even make the

argument that space has been a domain of

warfare ever since the first golf War

when the US was able to navigate the

uncrossable desert of Iraq due to GPS

satellites cyber has been a domain of

warfare since 2007 when Estonia moved a

bronze statue of a Soviet soldier from

the center of the city of Talon to a

World War II military cemetery and

Russia's response was a massive denial

of service attack on estonia's internet

infrastructure today as I speak Russia

is conducting influence operations to

convince you that Ukraine is not worth

supporting information war is a domain

of warfare that weaves it way through

all the other domains so you can

certainly say that we are at war with

Russia right now Russia is fighting

against the minds of the American people

it is a war to divide us a war to

convince you that standing up to the

bear will cause World War III that we

see in the movies when if you look at

the information domain we're already at

War we're already at war with

Russia you know I read this book nuclear

war by Annie Jacobson and the book left

me feeling very afraid not that there

was going to be a nuclear war but

because our idea of World War III and

nuclear war is so intertwined that the

book could be used by Russia to threaten

the West as in like uh don't stand up to

Russia because what if Russia goes

Nuclear So let's talk about that let's

talk about what go nuclear would

actually look like what advantage does a

nuclear weapon give an adversary now

back in the 1960s Battlefield used of

nuclear weapons made sense we really

didn't have the kind of precision guided

weapons that could let's say take out a

bridge so if the Soviets were advancing

and we needed to drop a bridge yeah a

nuclear weapon delivered by a fighter

made sense because you didn't have to be

that surgical but today on the modern

Battlefield nuclear weapons are really

only good for about five things nuclear

weapons can be used to create a gap in

enemy defenses that the enemy would then

push through the Gap to break through

nuclear weapons could be used to stop an

advance of an enemy Force nuclear

weapons could be a good choice for

destroying a command bunker that is

really deep underground nuclear weapons

would be a good choice for destroying an

aircraft carrier battle group and

nuclear weapons would be a good choice

for destroying an amphibious Landing or

a major river crossing so let's look at

all those options could Russia use a

nuclear weapon against Ukrainian lines

to create a breakthrough probably not

the ISR intelligence surrounds

reconnaissance system are so good that

any buildup of troops would be very

difficult to hide and you need that

massing of troops because you want to be

able to breakthrough and then sustain

that breakthrough and right now massing

anything more than a company of troops

or armored vehicles puts you at an

incredible visual thermal and Signal

signature which would be detected and

these vehicles would be destroyed

through Precision fires so could Russia

use a nuclear weapon against advancing

Ukrainian forces if they broke through

Russian lines and tried to to cut off

Crimea again probably not Ukraine

suffers from the same problem as Russia

they just can't Mass troops without

being detected and you've seen how hard

it is for Ukraine to make a breakthrough

so could Russia use a nuclear weapon on

a Ukrainian underground command bunker

again probably not now when I say

underground Command Center I'm talking

about like NORAD and Cheyenne Mountain

or the hangsang military command center

in Taiwan that kind of Target for

command and control just isn't really a

valid case because it doesn't really

exist in Ukraine so could Russia use a

nuclear weapon against Ukrainian naval

battle Group Well Ukraine doesn't have a

navy and that makes the whole point

about using a nuclear weapon to stop a

beach head on an amphibious Landing kind

of mood as well so there's really no

tactical reason to use a nuclear weapon

in Ukraine now if NATO intervene could

some of those use cases become valid

maybe but the one thing people tend to

forget is that NATO has nuclear weapons

too and President Vladimir Putin knows

that any nuclear weapons used by Russia

would almost guarantee the use of

nuclear weapons from NATO dictators tend

to want to stay in power and nuclear

conflict even if it's limited to

Battlefield use could see the end of

President Putin as a leader I'll give

you one more possible scenario the

People's Republic of China certainly may

have warned President Putin not to use a

nuclear weapon because it could set a

precedent remember that last use case

for a nuclear weapon where a nuclear

weapon could be used to stop an

amphibious Landing Force well if China

decided to invade Taiwan they are going

to have a heck of a beach head with a

long supply line so they probably aren't

too keen on the normalization of

tactical nuclear weapons so are we

fighting World War III right now in many

ways yes the conflict in Ukraine shares

many features with the world wars of the

past multiple actors new weapon systems

economic Warfare pervasive propaganda

the battles are not just fought with

guns and missiles but with information

and influence the seeds of this war were

swn long ago with the annexation of

Crimea in 2014 and subsequently the

conflict in eastern Ukraine and the West

responses largely been economic and

diplomatic avoiding direct military

confrontation but we're still at

War the use of nuclear weapons is

unlikely given the Strategic and

political implication a modern

Battlefield and Global political

landscape makes such a decision fraught

with Peril for Any Nation including

Russia we're in a new kind of War one

that's fought in cyers space and through

the media instead of just on the ground

the aim is to influence minds and shape

perceptions divide and conquer through

misinformation and fear thank you guys

for watching it's me Captain Bannon of

the documentary Team Yankee when I'm not

kicking commie butts I'm wearing

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