ESSA OPERAÇÃO "RISCO ZERO" COM OPÇÕES FUNCIONA 99% DAS VEZES - VOU PROVAR ISSO, PASSO A PASSO [2024]

Summary

In this video, Vicente Guimarães introduces a highly effective and low-risk options trading strategy called the 'covered call,' boasting a 99% success rate. He explains how this strategy can enhance dividend income and portfolio returns over the long term, supported by several international studies. Vicente emphasizes the power of statistics and probability in making this strategy successful, even addressing concerns about being exercised. He assures viewers that, with proper execution, the worst-case scenario still results in profit. The video aims to educate viewers on using options to grow their investments safely and confidently.

Takeaways

• 😀 The strategy of 'covered calls' is introduced as a highly effective option strategy with a 99% success rate, promising low risk and high profitability.
• 😀 The speaker, Vicente Guimarães, is an experienced investor who achieved financial independence at 42, largely thanks to options trading.
• 😀 The video explains how 'covered calls' can increase dividends and improve portfolio performance in the long run, with supporting evidence from international studies.
• 😀 Studies cited in the video show that portfolios using covered calls outperform those without, yielding higher returns and dividend payouts.
• 😀 According to research, portfolios using covered calls generate average dividend yields four times higher than those of the S&P 500, with some strategies reaching as high as 12.9%.
• 😀 Statistical analysis shows that in 87% of the months, stock prices remain within a stable range, making it highly likely that covered call strategies will succeed.
• 😀 The speaker emphasizes the stability of stock prices in the short term, explaining that large movements (more than 10% up or down) are rare, which contributes to the high success rate of covered calls.
• 😀 Vicente demonstrates the concept of covered calls using Petrobras stock, highlighting how the strategy works in practice and the expected probabilities of success and failure.
• 😀 Even if a stock price exceeds the strike price of a covered call, the investor can still profit by selling the stock at the higher price, making the strategy risk-free in most cases.
• 😀 If an investor does not want to be exercised and forced to sell their stock, they can roll over the position to the next month, which the speaker claims is possible 95% of the time.
• 😀 The speaker reassures viewers that if they follow the strategy correctly, covered calls are a 'win-win' operation, either providing extra income or selling stocks at a profit, with minimal risk involved.

Q & A

What is the main topic of the video?

The main topic of the video is about a safe and highly successful options strategy called 'covered call' trading, which the presenter claims has a 99% success rate and carries minimal risk.

What is Vicente Guimarães' background in investing?

Vicente Guimarães is a professional investor who achieved financial freedom at the age of 42. He has extensive experience in options trading and has created several successful courses on the topic.

What is a 'covered call' operation?

A covered call is an options trading strategy where an investor sells call options on a stock they already own. The goal is to earn extra income from the option premiums while still holding the underlying asset.

Why does Vicente claim that 'covered calls' have a 99% success rate?

Vicente claims that covered calls have a 99% success rate because statistically, stock prices tend to move within a certain range (usually within 10% up or down) over short periods, reducing the likelihood of the option being exercised.

How does 'covered call' increase dividend yield?

According to the video, using covered calls can increase dividend yield by providing additional income from the premiums collected from selling the options. This is especially significant when compared to the typical dividend yield of the S&P 500.

What do the international studies in the video show about the effectiveness of covered calls?

The studies show that portfolios using covered call strategies outperform those without options, both in terms of total returns and dividend yield, highlighting the advantages of incorporating covered calls into a portfolio.

What is the statistical likelihood of a stock price falling more than 10% in a month?

Based on historical data from the Bovespa index, large declines greater than 10% occur in only 5.8% of months, making it a rare event. This supports the idea that short-term stock price movements are relatively stable.

How does the concept of 'rolling over' options work in the covered call strategy?

If the stock price approaches the strike price of the sold call option, the investor can 'roll over' the position by buying back the option and selling a new one with a later expiration date. This strategy is used to avoid being exercised and to maintain the premium income.

What happens if the stock price is above the strike price at expiration?

If the stock price is above the strike price at expiration, the option is exercised, and the investor is forced to sell their stock at the strike price. However, this is not necessarily bad, as the investor can still make a profit, especially if they bought the stock at a much lower price.

Why does Vicente say that being exercised is not a loss in a covered call strategy?

Vicente argues that being exercised is not a loss because, in most cases, the investor has already made a profit from the option premiums and the potential increase in the stock price. Therefore, even if the stock is called away, the investor still benefits financially.