7-2 NFL Day Yesterday! Week 4 Monday Night Football Picks and Best Bets for September 30th, 2024!
Summary
TLDRIn this video, Zach from 'Be the Odds' recaps his impressive 7-2 betting results from the previous day and shares his top NFL bets for the upcoming Monday Night Football games. He discusses his successful picks, including the Ravens, Chiefs, and Colts, while analyzing both wins and losses. Zach provides five new picks for the day, including the under for Tennessee vs. Miami, the over for Seattle vs. Detroit, and prop bets for players like Devon Achane and David Montgomery. He also promotes his members-only bets and services for more exclusive picks.
Takeaways
- 📅 The video was recorded on Monday, September 30th, 2024.
- 🎥 Zach is the host of the channel 'Be The Odds', focusing on NFL betting advice.
- 🏈 Zach recaps the previous day's results, which were very positive at 7-2.
- 💰 Members-only bets include the Ravens minus 2.5 and the Chiefs live money line, both of which won.
- 📉 The overall record for the year was 38-43, which Zach aims to improve.
- 📈 Zach expresses confidence in getting back to a 60% win rate, similar to last year's performance.
- 📅 Two Monday Night Football games are scheduled, which Zach appreciates for their pacing and the opportunity to watch both.
- 🔥 Zach predicts a strong comeback and aims to get back over 500 for the year.
- 🤑 Zach encourages viewers to subscribe and turn on notifications to stay updated with daily NFL, college football, MLB, NHL, and NBA videos.
- 🚨 The video offers seven picks for the day, with five being shared on YouTube and two members-only picks available on the website.
Q & A
What were the host's overall results for the previous day’s NFL bets?
-The host's overall results for the previous day were 7-2, including a win on their biggest bet of the day, the Ravens -2.5.
Which bets did the host specifically highlight as successful from the previous day?
-The host highlighted the Ravens -2.5, Chiefs live money line, and Colts +2.5 as successful bets from the previous day.
What was the reason for the host's loss on the Packers -2.5 bet?
-The host cited three missed field goals and a five-point loss as the reason for the Packers -2.5 bet failing.
What is the host’s strategy for betting on the Tennessee vs. Miami game?
-The host is betting on the under 37.5 for the Tennessee vs. Miami game, citing weak quarterback play and strong defenses as the main reasons.
Why does the host prefer the under for Tennessee vs. Miami despite public sentiment favoring the over?
-The host is going against public sentiment because they believe both teams will rely heavily on the run game due to weak quarterback play and Tennessee’s strong defense.
What are the reasons behind the host’s choice of the over 46.5 for Seattle vs. Detroit?
-The host believes the offensive firepower of both Seattle and Detroit will lead to a high-scoring game, especially given the fast turf in a climate-controlled dome.
Which player props did the host recommend for the Miami game, and why?
-The host recommended Devon Achane over 84.5 rushing plus receiving yards, as they expect Miami to rely heavily on him due to the team's lack of healthy running backs and a strategy focused on quick passes.
What is the host’s rationale for betting on David Montgomery’s rushing yards prop?
-The host is betting on David Montgomery over 64.5 rushing yards, citing Seattle’s struggles against the run and Detroit’s strong offensive line.
How does the host view Jackson Smith-Njigba’s role in the Seattle offense, and what is their related bet?
-The host believes Jackson Smith-Njigba will be used in short passing situations and recommends betting on him to have over 4.5 catches.
What additional benefits do members of the host’s platform receive?
-Members receive access to exclusive best bets, direct communication with the host for advice on games, and early access to picks before they are posted publicly.
Outlines
🏈 NFL Best Bets Recap and Predictions
Zach, the host of 'Be the Odds', welcomes viewers on Monday, September 30th, 2024, to discuss NFL Best Bets. He recaps the previous day's results, boasting a 7-2 record, including a win on the biggest bet of the day with the Ravens. Despite a holding call that cost them a win and a missed field goal that led to a loss by five points, the overall performance was positive. Zach expresses confidence in returning to a winning record for the year, aiming to surpass 50% win rate, and references last year's successful record. He discusses the appeal of having two Monday Night Football games and encourages viewers to subscribe and enable notifications for daily content. Zach then dives into the day's picks, starting with an under 37.5 bet on Tennessee vs. Miami, citing the poor quarterback performance and strong run game as reasons for his choice. He also predicts an over 46.2 in Seattle vs. Detroit, highlighting the offensive firepower and the advantage of playing indoors.
🚀 Detailed Prop Bets and Strategy
Zach continues with prop bet predictions, starting with a bet on Devon Achan for over 84.5 rush plus receiving yards, expecting a heavy reliance on the run game due to Miami's lack of healthy running backs and strong front four. He also predicts a successful game for David Montgomery with over 64.5 rush yards against the Seahawks, who he claims struggle to stop the run. Montgomery is expected to receive frequent carries, especially if the Lions are leading or slightly behind. Zach also suggests an over bet for four and a half catches for Jackson Smith, anticipating many short passes in the game plan. He mentions the possibility of adding more bets later in the day, which he will update on his Twitter and notify members about. He concludes by promoting the members-only Best Bets available on zdm bets.com, emphasizing the benefits of membership, including daily Best Bets and a direct line to Zach for personalized betting advice.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Best Bets
💡Members Only
💡Live Money Line
💡Over/Under
💡Prop Bet
💡Underdog
💡Run Game
💡Public Betting
💡Unit
💡Spread
Highlights
Recap of previous day's results: 7-2 overall, including members-only bets like Ravens -2.5 and Chiefs live money line.
The speaker emphasizes the importance of betting against public consensus and goes with under 37.5 in Tennessee and Miami.
The over 46.5 bet on Seattle and Detroit is supported by strong offensive play on both sides, particularly in a dome setting.
Devon Achane over 84.5 rushing + receiving yards due to his versatility and speed in both run and pass games.
David Montgomery over 64.5 rushing yards, leveraging Seattle's weak run defense and Detroit’s strong offensive line.
Jackson Smith-Njigba over 4.5 receptions is identified as a value bet based on his role in the Seahawks’ short-passing game.
The speaker is confident in improving the overall yearly record to above .500 and targeting a 60% win rate.
Reflection on past success: Last year, the speaker achieved a 218-144 record, with 54-24 in Best Bets and over 73 units in profit.
Emphasis on using multiple TVs to watch two Monday Night Football games simultaneously without missing any action.
The speaker points out that Will Levis and Tyler Huntley are starting quarterbacks for the Tennessee-Miami game, which influences the under bet.
Devon Achane is expected to be a central figure in Miami's offense due to a lack of healthy running backs, making him a key player to watch.
Reference to last year’s high-scoring Seattle vs. Detroit game, which informs the over 46.5 pick.
David Montgomery is expected to be heavily featured, especially if the Lions are leading or facing light defensive boxes.
Tyler Lockett is described as a clutch player, while DK Metcalf is mainly a deep-threat receiver for the Seahawks.
Call to action for viewers to subscribe, hit the notification bell, and consider becoming members for exclusive betting insights.
Transcripts
Hello everybody welcome back to being
the odds it is Monday September 30th
2024 we are back with our NFL Best Bets
of the day if you're new to the channel
my name is Zach and welcome to be the
odds let's recap yesterday's results so
yesterday 7-2 baby you love to see it
members only best bet Ravens minus 2 and
a half two unit plays our biggest bet of
the day yesterday that was a win we had
a members only best bet Chiefs live
money line live money line um we bet it
when they went down 7 nothing um and it
was a money it was likeus 120 I know
some people got- 115 that was a winner
as well we the Falcons minus 2 and a
half as members only play atus 2 and a
half horrible holding call if that
holding call doesn't happen we win this
game easy uh and then members only
Packers minus 2 and a half I think it
was three Miss field goals and we lost
by um we lost by Five Points so that
would have been uh that would have all
that's all we needed um over over then
we had and then we for the free picks
yesterday for you guys went 5 and0 on
the free picks over 482 DC and Arizona
win Bears - 22 win Jags plus 6 win bucks
plus 1 and2 easy dub never a doubt and
then Colts plus 2 and a half they almost
blew it they almost did but they did not
and that all it really matters so 7-2
yesterday overall for the year 38 and 43
not where we want to be but I told yall
yesterday when if you guys watched the
video yesterday I told you I looked you
straight in the camera and said I love
the board and we guess what went s and
two yesterday you love to see it overall
uh but listen we're going to get back
over 500 this week I feel good about
that and then we're going to be going
back 60% which we were last year went
218 and 144 last year 54 and 24 on Best
Bets Plus on 73.14 units so we're going
to get back to form and we have a loaded
slate today two Monday Night Football
games I don't really understand like I
love the two Monday Night Football games
I love how they're spaced down I like
that you can switch back and forth
between games also you can have two TVs
going at the same time you don't have to
miss anything which what we do but you
know I I like the fact you have two
money football games and we've got seven
picks for you guys here today five of
which I'm going to give you guys here on
YouTube but if you're new to the channel
before I get to the picks if you're new
to the channel hit that subscribe button
like this video Hit notification Bell so
you never miss a pick WE Post these NFL
videos every single day along with
college football MLB NHL and NBA when
those are back on going after our first
15,000 subscribers so I'm excited to
have yall here let's go win together
today let's go make some money so let's
jump in the plays that we have today I'm
going to get start with our first play
which going to be the under 372 in
Tennessee and Miami okay I like this
play for a few reasons number one will
Levis and Tyler Huntley are the
quarterbacks and that is a problem
because they are trash and Tyler Huntley
was a pro bowler at one point but he's
he's not used to this offense he's not a
very good quarterback and they're going
to both these teams are going to rely
heavily on the Run game for Tennessee
it's just because they don't want Will
loves to throw the game away they've got
good receivers in dehop and Calvin
Ridley um and they've got Tyler boy
they've got a good you know Trio of
receivers they've got good running backs
as well I just really don't love I don't
like the over at this spot at all I love
the under um and my to me Tennessee's
defense is one of the best in the league
they're really really good um and while
Miami's defense is very serviceable SP
against quarterback who we don't really
know what the hell he's going to do I
really like the under 37 half Tennessee
and Miami here today and I'm rolling
with it plus every sucker and their
mother like every single one of them is
on the over today I'm going with the
under I'm going against the public give
me the under 372 Tennessee and
Miami next we with the over 462 in
Seattle and Detroit I just think this
game goes over I think both these
offenses are really really solid um
Seattle's defense um Seattle's got a
really good secondary so I think it's
going to be a run heavy game um and
Detroit's got a really good front I
think Detroit's got a really good front
four they've got good linebackers
they've got actually pretty good pretty
good um pretty good uh Dbacks as well
but the fact is is that I really like
the fact that they've got off I mean the
offensive Firepower on both these teams
is unbelievably High plus they playing
in a dome it's faster Turf and jarro
Go's unbelievable like when when it's
when it's climate controlled uh he's got
one of the best offensive lines the
entire league and's out weapons all over
the place while Gino if he just get
protection from Aiden Hudson who's just
a beast uh but if they can get
him protection he's got three receivers
that can do damage a great tight ended
Fant they got two very capable running
backs in Kenneth Walker and um Kenneth
Walker and Zack shanet and you look at
these two teams they're almost mirror
images of each other and last time these
two teams played I think I think I'm not
I think over 90 points were scored from
it was from last year if I remember
correctly so I like the over 462 Seattle
and Detroit it is a bit of a square play
everyone's on the over I'm going to roll
with it too here because I just think
it's going to go over very similar how I
thought about Washington Arizona
yesterday next we're going with the prop
Devon a Chan over 84 and a half Rush
plus receiving yards I just said a
minute ago with this under I think
they're going to rely heavily on the Run
game there's no healthy running backs
for uh Miami other than aain and in the
passing game they're going to have to do
a lot of quick passes they're going to
have because because Tennessee's front
four is really good I they're going to
use a lot of screens that's a that's a
Mike McDaniel special and on top of that
when you're looking at achain he's so
fast he's so quick they use him in so
many different ways I don't want there
to be a play where they run a Jet Sweep
and they toss it forward that doesn't
count as a rush and then aan goes for 25
yards on it because he's so fast
I really like aan over 84 and a half
Rush plus three yards they're going to
feature him heavily to try to take the
pressure off Tyler Huntley even they
have Tyreek and jadee on the outside
it's Devon a chain all day give me Devon
a chain over 84 and a half Rush plus
receiving yards next go daveid
Montgomery over 64 and a half rush yards
the one weakness that this Seattle
Seahawks team has on the um on on the
defensive side of things is they have a
very hard time stopping the run if you
watch them against um well Miami didn't
really put up much of a fight last week
but that's not really up to them they
have Tua but and Tua is not that good
but they didn't have Tua there was no
threat basically of running the ball of
passing the ball cuz schyler Thompson
was so bad but when you look at the page
patriots the patriots were able to run
down Seattle's throat and I mean right
down their throat um the Broncos
were able to run down their
throat I don't like I think that this is
a very obvious David Montgomery
situation because David Montgomery very
much fits the the javante Williams and
ra Andre Stevenson um mold I think
they're going to use jir Gibbs a lot
more in like the quick passing game like
the screen game I they're going to run
the ball with dve Montgomery over and
over and over again and if the lions are
up if they are up they're going to run
them a lot and if they're down by a
little bit they're still going to run a
lot because Seattle's DBS are very very
good so I think they're going to see a
lot of light boxes today and if and if
um if if U Montgomery gets 15 16 carries
he should get way over this number and
he's going to get that especially with
how good this offensive line is for the
Lions give me David mcgomery over 64 and
a half rush yards and then I'm going
with Jackson Smith and jiga over four
and a half catches this number is just
low they're going to use him the quick
passing game Tyler lock it's used in
clutch situations DK metf only can run
straight like he can't run routes for
it's literally just running
straight throwing the ball see if he can
make a play he's not a good catch guy
he's a great receiving yards guy if
you're going to bet over receiving yards
just bet on DK CU they're just going to
throw it deep to him non-stop but I
think JSM is going to get a lot of like
really short passes um there's going to
be a lot of opportunities for him to get
some run after the catch but I don't
think it's going to be a lot of deep
shots and it's a lot of it's going to be
a lot of 12 12 yard comeback routes six
yard hitches um you know drag routes
that go for like four yards I don't
think his yards prop as the play but the
over four and a half catches that is
definitely the play give me Jackson
Smith and jiga over four and a half
catches now just so you guys know I
might add in some more plays a little
bit later today if I do I'll post that
in the pin comment below uh so you can
just make sure you check that out
throughout the day I'll also post it on
my Twitter my Twitter is link
description below and members you know
you'll obviously have those texted to
you um in our group so you'll have that
and by the way guys we have two members
only Best Bets today both the sides for
uh for both of these games I love the
sides you can get those a me you get the
members only Best Bets zdm bets.com slpi
the website is linked in the comments
below as a member you get all members
only Best Bets every single day which
was profitable Best Bets on a day-to-day
basis on top of that you have a direct
line of me so any game you're
considering betting reach out to our
hotline number get a guaranteed response
back but any game you're considering
betting and get free B on YouTube S4
videos come out that would take
advantage of early lines early odds the
website zdm best.com zdm best.com zmb
best.com slpi so guys let's go lock in
those picks let's go win together today
let's go make some money I'll see you
all tomorrow
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