Does more trade = more income? Realistic expectations. becoming a risk manager

Neoh Yong
27 Aug 202409:52

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the host addresses a common misconception among new traders: that more trades equate to more income. Emphasizing the importance of patience and risk management, the host shares insights from experienced traders who prioritize quality over quantity in trades. Highlighting the pitfalls of overtrading and the necessity of understanding market conditions, the video encourages traders to develop a discerning eye for high-probability setups and to avoid the cycle of revenge trading that often leads to account depletion.

Takeaways

  • 📈 Trading more does not necessarily equate to more income; it often leads to more risk and potential losses.
  • 🧐 Beginners often misunderstand the nature of the market and believe that increased trading frequency will lead to higher profits.
  • 🤔 The key to profitability is understanding and practicing patience, waiting for the right trading setups to appear.
  • 📉 More trades can lead to a deeper drawdown, making it harder to recover and potentially resulting in more losses.
  • 🌐 A member from China suggests that more trades could equal more losses, highlighting the risk of overtrading.
  • 🛑 Risk management is emphasized as a crucial skill for experienced traders, prioritizing safety over the pursuit of profits.
  • 🚫 Learning when not to trade is as important as knowing when to trade, which is a skill that comes with experience and discipline.
  • 🔍 Traders need to develop a good filter to discern high-probability environments from low-probability ones to increase their chances of success.
  • 📊 Each trading strategy or pattern has specific conditions under which it performs best; understanding these is vital for effective trading.
  • 💡 Being an experienced trader involves looking at the market from a risk perspective and focusing on setups that offer a slight edge in probability.
  • 🌟 A trader from Hong Kong exemplifies success by securing significant funding through consistent profitability, emphasizing the importance of patience and risk management.

Q & A

  • Does trading more frequently necessarily lead to more income?

    -No, trading more frequently does not necessarily equate to more income. It can lead to more risk and potentially more losses, especially if the trades are not well-considered or are taken in suboptimal market conditions.

  • What is the common misconception among new traders about trading frequency and income?

    -The common misconception is that if they trade more, they will make more money. New traders often believe that higher trading volume directly correlates with higher income without considering the quality of trades and market conditions.

  • What is the key to becoming a consistently profitable trader according to the video?

    -The key to becoming a consistently profitable trader is understanding how to not trade. It involves having the patience and discipline to wait for the right setup and recognizing suboptimal conditions to avoid trading.

  • What is the importance of risk management in trading?

    -Risk management is crucial in trading as it prioritizes the trader's capital preservation. It helps in making informed decisions to avoid unnecessary risks and ensures long-term profitability.

  • Why is it essential for traders to have a good filter for identifying trading opportunities?

    -A good filter helps traders identify high-probability trading opportunities. It prevents them from taking trades in low-probability environments, thus reducing the chances of losses and increasing the overall success rate.

  • What does the speaker mean by 'trading at key levels'?

    -Trading at key levels refers to entering trades at specific price points where there is a higher likelihood of other traders making similar decisions, potentially leading to a decisive price movement in one direction.

  • How does the speaker define a 'struggling trader'?

    -A struggling trader is someone who is caught in a cycle of making money, experiencing heavy drawdowns, blowing their account, and then repeating the same pattern. They often lack proper education and fail to understand when to stop trading.

  • What is the role of education in avoiding the cycle of a struggling trader?

    -Education plays a vital role in breaking the cycle of struggling trading by providing traders with the necessary knowledge and skills to make informed decisions, manage risk, and understand market conditions.

  • What is the significance of the '1 Percentage Trade Club' mentioned in the video?

    -The '1 Percentage Trade Club' is a community where traders discuss and share insights on trading strategies and experiences. It aims to foster a supportive environment for traders to learn and improve their trading skills.

  • How does the speaker suggest traders should approach trading in a range-bound or choppy market?

    -The speaker suggests that traders should be cautious when trading in a range-bound or choppy market, as overtrading in such conditions can lead to losses and a loss of confidence. It's important to identify high-probability setups and avoid trading in suboptimal conditions.

  • What is the main reason the speaker gives for traders losing money or struggling?

    -The main reason given for traders losing money or struggling is not the lack of knowledge on how to trade, but rather the lack of proper education on risk management, trading psychology, and understanding market conditions.

Outlines

00:00

📊 The Misconception of Trading Frequency and Profitability

The speaker addresses a common misconception among new traders that more trades equate to higher income, which is often not the case. They emphasize the importance of patience and waiting for the right trading setup rather than trading frequently. The speaker shares insights from their trade club members, highlighting that more trades can lead to more risks and potential losses. They stress the need for risk management and the ability to discern high-probability trading conditions. The speaker's experience of six years in trading and making over seven figures is used to illustrate the point that profitability comes from knowing when not to trade, rather than constantly seeking new trades.

05:00

🌐 The Importance of Realistic Expectations in Trading

In this paragraph, the speaker discusses the importance of having realistic expectations in trading and how many traders struggle due to a lack of proper education. They mention a member from Hong Kong, Horas, who secured significant funding within a month of joining the trade club, illustrating the power of patience and proper trading setups. The speaker explains that successful trading is about understanding the odds and managing risk, rather than hoping for immediate profits. They also touch on the cycle of struggling traders who experience gains and losses, often due to poor risk management and emotional trading. The speaker advocates for ongoing education and sharing of lessons within their trade club to ensure traders are well-informed and can make educated decisions in the market.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Risk Management

Risk management is the process of identifying, assessing, and prioritizing potential risks to minimize or avoid negative impacts. In the context of trading, it's crucial for maintaining the stability of a trader's portfolio. The video emphasizes that experienced traders prioritize risk management over the number of trades, as it helps in making informed decisions to avoid unnecessary risks and potential losses, as mentioned when discussing the importance of not trading in suboptimal conditions.

💡Beginner Trader

A beginner trader is someone who is new to the market and may have unrealistic expectations about trading outcomes. The video script highlights that many new traders mistakenly believe that trading more frequently will lead to higher income, which is a common misconception that the video aims to dispel by emphasizing the importance of patience and waiting for the right trading setups.

💡Unrealistic Expectations

Unrealistic expectations refer to the belief that one can achieve extraordinary results without considering the inherent risks and complexities of a particular activity, such as trading. The video points out that many new traders have such expectations and may not yet understand the nature of the market, which can lead to poor decision-making and financial losses.

💡Profitability

Profitability in trading is the ability to generate a consistent income from trading activities. The video discusses how true profitability is not about the frequency of trades but rather about the quality and timing of those trades. It suggests that understanding and practicing good risk management are key to achieving long-term profitability.

💡Patience

Patience in the context of trading means waiting for the right opportunities to trade rather than rushing into every potential opportunity. The video emphasizes the importance of patience as a critical factor in successful trading, as it allows traders to avoid bad trades and focus on high-probability setups.

💡Drawdown

A drawdown in trading refers to a decrease in the value of a trading account, often resulting from a series of losses. The video script mentions the dangers of a deep drawdown, where a trader might dig themselves into a hole that is increasingly difficult to climb out of, highlighting the importance of managing risk to prevent such situations.

💡Struggling Trader

A struggling trader is someone who consistently faces difficulties in achieving profitability in the market. The video describes the cycle of a struggling trader, who might experience temporary success followed by significant losses, often due to poor risk management and a lack of discipline in trading.

💡High Probability Environment

A high probability environment in trading is a market condition where the likelihood of a successful trade is higher. The video encourages traders to develop the ability to detect such environments, as trading in these conditions can increase the chances of making profitable decisions.

💡Risk-Reward Ratio

The risk-reward ratio is a comparison of the potential loss versus the potential gain on a trade. The video script implies that traders should consider this ratio when making trading decisions, aiming for trades with a favorable risk-reward ratio to ensure that the potential gains outweigh the potential losses.

💡Consistency

Consistency in trading refers to the ability to maintain a stable and reliable approach to trading, which can lead to long-term profitability. The video suggests that becoming a consistently profitable trader involves not only having a good strategy but also understanding when not to trade and managing risk effectively.

💡Education

Education in the context of trading refers to the knowledge and skills necessary to make informed decisions in the market. The video stresses the importance of proper education for traders, as it helps them to avoid common pitfalls and to develop a realistic understanding of the market, which is essential for long-term success.

Highlights

Trading more does not necessarily equate to more income; beginners often misunderstand the nature of profitability.

Experienced traders agree that more trades lead to more risk, potentially resulting in losses.

Patience is key in trading; waiting for the right setup can be more beneficial than frequent trading.

Being in a deep drawdown can make it harder to recover and highlights the importance of risk management.

New traders often focus on taking more trades without understanding the importance of quality over quantity.

Risk management is prioritized over profit maximization for long-term success in trading.

Knowing when not to trade is a skill that distinguishes consistently profitable traders.

Traders should develop a good filter to identify suboptimal trading conditions and avoid them.

Understanding market conditions such as trending, ranging, or balanced markets is crucial for successful trading.

Each trading strategy or pattern has its optimal conditions for performance.

Overtrading in mid-range markets can lead to losses due to price fluctuations.

A trader's ability to detect high versus low probability environments is essential for success.

Trader Horas from Hong Kong exemplifies success by securing significant funding through disciplined trading.

Controlling the setup and risk management can tip the odds in a trader's favor.

Trading at key levels increases the likelihood of price movements in one direction.

Struggling traders often repeat a cycle of making money, experiencing drawdowns, and revenge trading.

Proper education is vital to break the cycle of struggling and to understand realistic trading expectations.

The speaker emphasizes the importance of ongoing education for traders within their trade club.

Transcripts

play00:00

hey Traders welcome back to another

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video so earlier one of my trade club

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members he he asked me hey you does more

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trading equals to more income so does

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that mean if I trade more means I'll

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potentially make more money I know for

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majority of beginner Trader especially

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if you're new to the market and they're

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full of unrealistic expectation they

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have yet to know what was an natur in

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the

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market for those people or if you

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watching this you currently at a phase

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where you think if I trade more I'll

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make more money if I trade at lower time

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frame I'll make more

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money I believe it is just a

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misunderstanding and you have yet to

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know what real profitability

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is if you look at my my telegram right

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now this is a conversation that we had

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earlier I actually one of my members ask

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me this question so I actually post it

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inside my the 1 percentage trade club

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and I ask the rest of the member and I

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say hey I was having a conversation with

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one of our trailers and it brought up a

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topic of no trade equals to no income

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how do you all think about that and why

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is essential to be extremely patient and

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wait for the right setup to appear does

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more trade equals to more income and if

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you look at all the answers right it's

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really interesting you see more trade uh

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equals to more risk potentially lose

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money uh if we are if we taking bad

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trades it will lower it will result in

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lower probability in the long run

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basically just think of a scenario where

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you're in a deep draw down and you're

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just digging deeper hold for yourself to

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climb out of that and then one of our

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members from China he said that uh maybe

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more trade equal to more losses and my

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response to that was very

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simple I basically said I believe

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majority of experienced Trader would

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agree that more trade equals to more

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risk and if we hold on

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here this is completely the the the

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complete opposite of what majority of

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new Traders think or struggling Traders

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think the struggling Traders they are

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they have all of the attention focused

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on to how can I take more trade how can

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I get involved in the market every

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single day how can I strategy hopping to

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make sure I find Holy Grail and they

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always think oh more risk equals to more

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profit not necessarily because you

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know the way I look at the market after

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six years of trading and after having

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made over seven

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figures is essentially I put risk at the

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Forefront it is always my prior priority

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to become a risk manager it's easier say

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than to be done but I'll tell you very

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honestly if your goal is to become a

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consistently profitable Trader you first

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need to know how to not trade

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and having the patience having the

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discipline to know and having the

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experience to tell hey this is a subop

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optimal condition or the right now the

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market condition is not as high

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probability as I thought it was I need

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to step back a little bit I need to stop

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trading only when you start having a

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good filter a good eye on telling when

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is the time where you shouldn't trade

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then you will become a good Trader

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because majority of Traders what do you

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think they do they they go into the

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market and they start looking for trade

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do you think they will ever take a step

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back and really ask thems what are some

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of the filters what what what's my

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filtering and select uh select P

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selection process what's some of the

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criteria that I needs to I need to take

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off to even tell me if the market right

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now is trending or is it uh in a Min

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reversion environment or is it on a

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balanced Market or is it ranging so you

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need to have the ability to detect a

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high probability versus a low

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probability environment then you can you

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just make things a lot easier and when

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you trade your setups each setups that

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you take or each of the strategy or

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pattern that you trade they each have

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different condition where that where

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where where they perform the best and if

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you can't tell that very likely you are

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just taking a piece of puzzle putting it

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at the wrong spot so no matter what you

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do it just seems like nothing's working

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and that's why you you just keep losing

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money all right so being an experienced

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Trader is all about looking at things

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from a pure risk P perspective like what

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I say being a risk manager and each

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trade you take if you only focus on more

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income then very likely you are only

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reading one side of the story all right

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a good A+ condition that you should

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press hard the rest of the time just

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chill when the market condition is not

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as good it's a little bit poor why do

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you trade because you know very likely

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you lose money unless you don't know

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that is a suboptimal trading trading

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condition or environment to trade all

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right it's all down to your

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understanding all right and there it

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says that uh one of our um one of our

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members Horas um if you follow our

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public Channel you probably know I talk

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about him he's actually from Hong Kong

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and within one month of joining our

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trade Club this Horus this Trader from

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Hong Kong have passed two valuation he

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secured 300,000 in funding in total on

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his Futures profit right I will say

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waiting a losing outcomes beyond your

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control yes agree with that because

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every single trade is like coin flip but

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what makes what gives an an edge as a

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profitable Trader is we know if this is

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this setup is giving me a slight higher

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probability of success even if it's just

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60% in the long run it's a big figure

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it's all about the long-term game you

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know what you can control are your setup

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and risk management which can ta the

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odds into your favor trading at key

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levels increases the likelihood of other

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Traders making similar decisions and

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potentially moving prices decisively in

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One Direction when there is a common

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ground in an upward or downward Trend

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you can make the most easiest money

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based on your risk Port tray trading in

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the mid-range still offers profit

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potential but you have to face price

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fluctuations during consolidation or

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choppy markets over trade losing money

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and confidence are easy to occur in this

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kind of situation just just lots of just

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lots of conversation and if you look

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at uh this one right if you uh

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just this one haras he just passed the

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second evaluation right hitting 9k

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profit Target secure his second

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evaluation account and that's why uh all

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of the people in trade Club not just all

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of the the Traders within my trade club

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and to all of you if you're watching

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this video it is really important to

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have a realistic expectation and

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majority the main reason why some of you

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are losing money or are struggling it

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isn't because you don't know how to

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trade I tell you technical

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analysis this is probably the easiest

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thing to to handle all right if you talk

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about having a strategy that works it's

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the easiest thing but why do you think

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you keep struggling and you keep losing

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money all right you you uh let me tell

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you this the the loophole or the cycle

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of a struggling Trader you make a bit of

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money you think you're doing well and

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then one a few bad days you go into

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heavy draw down you blow your account or

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you blow multiple challenges you stop

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trading for a little bit you come back

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to the market feeling really motivated

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then you perform well for a little bit

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guess what a few bad days you go back

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into the cycle of tail trading Revenge

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trading blowing account blowing

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challenges or being multiv it again and

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you just keep repeating the same cycle

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over and over and over again and that's

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the scariest part about traders who are

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always struggling because they just

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don't know when to pull the handbreak is

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it their fault is it your fault if

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you're watching this video and even

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struggling no it's because you have not

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received a proper education and that's

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why within our trade Club I always tell

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all of them every single week no matter

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how busy that I am I'll always try try

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my very best to make sure I put up one

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to two new lessons and the main reason

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why I do that is because I want to make

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sure all of the Traders within our trade

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Club are well educated and they're well

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informed you see just by today we got

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lots of lessons um again I'm not posting

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all the lessons today and yesterday just

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because of this video it's just

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coincidentally we were having a

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conversation within our trade Club you

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see two filters to preempt a slow messy

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Market reving Trad uh Traders Journal

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three conditions are avoid trading entry

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confirmation is it good or bad trades

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review more trades review more lesson

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More lesson you see every single week we

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probably have two to three or even four

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or five this week the goal is

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again I want every single person even if

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you're not within the one personage

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trade C I want every single Trader right

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now as long as you go through my channel

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if you just pass by you know what real

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trading is full of realistic expectation

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you know trading is not easy you know

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it's going to take time and yeah just be

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realistic and that's pretty much it um

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for lesson today if you like the video

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please don't forget to like sh And

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subscribe let me know in the comment

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section below what would you like me to

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talk about next and I'll talk to you

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next time bye-bye

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