Master Supply & Demand Trading (ULTIMATE In-Depth Guide)

The Trading Geek
28 Sept 202216:38

Summary

TLDRThis video script offers an in-depth guide to mastering the supply and demand trading strategy. It explains the importance of identifying aggressive buying and selling as signals of institutional market movements. The instructor shares techniques for spotting supply and demand zones, using momentum candles and consolidation patterns. They also detail personal strategies, including combining supply and demand analysis with Fibonacci retracement levels for high-confidence trades. The script emphasizes the need for patience and confirmation before entering trades, aiming to align retail traders with the 'big boys' for profitable market movements.

Takeaways

  • 📈 Supply and demand in trading refers to aggressive buying and selling, indicating significant market movements driven by large institutions.
  • 🏦 Trading with supply and demand allows retail traders to align with the strategies of wealthy investors and institutions, potentially increasing profits.
  • 📊 To identify supply and demand zones, look for at least three consecutive momentum candles, indicating strong market sentiment in a particular direction.
  • 📉 Supply zones are areas where aggressive selling has occurred, pushing prices down, while demand zones are where aggressive buying has pushed prices up.
  • 🔍 Consolidation areas, where prices move sideways, can also indicate supply and demand zones, as prices often retest these levels.
  • 📌 Weekly rejections, where prices consistently fail to move beyond a certain level, can help identify strong supply and demand zones.
  • 🛑 Entry into trades should be based on price retesting supply and demand zones and showing confirmation of a reversal, rather than just a single touch of the zone.
  • 🚀 Using additional technical analysis tools like Fibonacci retracements can provide further confirmation for entering trades, increasing confidence in the strategy.
  • 💰 Risk management is crucial, with traders sometimes adjusting their risk percentage based on the strength of the confirmation signals, such as a confluence of Fibonacci levels and supply/demand zones.
  • 📚 Continuous learning and understanding of tools like Fibonacci retracements are essential for traders to improve their strategies and profitability.

Q & A

  • What is the main focus of the course mentioned in the transcript?

    -The course focuses on teaching the concept of supply and demand in trading, including how to identify and trade supply and demand zones, and the instructor's personal strategies for successful trading.

  • What does the instructor define as 'supply and demand' in the context of trading?

    -In the context of trading, 'supply and demand' refers to aggressive selling and buying, indicating the presence of significant market players like big banks and institutions influencing the market direction.

  • Why does the instructor emphasize not skipping through the video?

    -The instructor emphasizes not skipping through the video because it is designed to progressively build the viewer's understanding of supply and demand, and to ensure they grasp the strategies necessary for successful trading.

  • What is the significance of 'momentum candles' in identifying supply and demand zones?

    -Momentum candles, especially when they appear in a sequence, indicate aggressive buying or selling, which is a sign of the 'big boys' or significant market players entering the market. This is a key indicator for identifying supply and demand zones.

  • Why should traders pay attention to 'big boys' or market institutions in the market?

    -Traders should pay attention to 'big boys' or market institutions because they have the financial power to significantly move the market. Trading in the direction of these large players can potentially lead to more profitable trades.

  • What is the minimum number of momentum candles required to identify a supply or demand zone?

    -The minimum number of momentum candles required to identify a supply or demand zone is three in a row.

  • How does the instructor suggest identifying the start of a move for supply and demand zones?

    -The instructor suggests identifying the start of a move by looking at the previous candle before the current sequence of momentum candles and using the high and low of that previous candle to mark the supply or demand zone.

  • What is the importance of consolidation in identifying supply and demand zones?

    -Consolidation, where the price moves sideways, can be used to identify supply and demand zones. Drawing a box around the consolidation area can help predict future price behavior when it interacts with this area.

  • What does the instructor mean by 'weeks' in the context of supply and demand zones?

    -'Weeks' in this context refers to 'wicks' or the small tails at the end of a candlestick, indicating price rejection at that level. Multiple long wicks can signify a strong supply or demand zone.

  • How should traders approach entering a trade after identifying a supply or demand zone?

    -Traders should wait for the price to retest the identified supply or demand zone and look for confirmation, such as a bullish or bearish signal, before entering a trade to ensure the zone's validity and increase the likelihood of a profitable trade.

  • What additional technical analysis tool does the instructor mention using alongside supply and demand zones?

    -The instructor mentions using the Fibonacci retracement tool to provide additional confirmation for trades, especially when the retracement levels align with identified supply and demand zones.

  • What is the instructor's approach to risk management when multiple confirmations align, such as a Fibonacci retracement level coinciding with a supply or demand zone?

    -When multiple confirmations align, such as a Fibonacci retracement level coinciding with a supply or demand zone, the instructor is willing to risk more than the usual one percent per trade, possibly up to two percent, due to increased confidence in the trade setup.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Mastering Supply and Demand Trading Basics

This paragraph introduces the concept of supply and demand in trading, emphasizing its importance for identifying aggressive buying and selling in the market. The speaker explains that these market actions indicate the involvement of large players like banks and institutions, which can significantly influence market direction. The paragraph also highlights the significance of 'momentum candles' as indicators of smart money activity and contrasts them with 'small candlesticks' that lack volume and momentum from significant market players. The speaker shares their personal strategy for trading supply and demand, which involves identifying and tracking these zones to make informed trading decisions.

05:00

📊 Techniques for Identifying Supply and Demand Zones

The second paragraph delves into the methods of identifying supply and demand zones in trading charts. It describes the process of spotting 'momentum candles' and using them to establish zones where aggressive buying or selling has occurred. The speaker illustrates how to use a rectangle tool to mark the high and low of a previous candle to create a demand zone, and how to wait for the price to retest this zone before entering a trade. The paragraph also explains the use of consolidation patterns and the presence of 'wicks' on candlesticks to identify these zones, providing examples of how the price behavior can confirm the validity of these zones.

10:03

🚀 Trading Strategies Using Supply and Demand Zones

This paragraph outlines specific strategies for trading using supply and demand zones. It discusses the importance of waiting for price confirmation before entering a trade and provides examples of how to use bullish candlestick patterns, such as 'long wicks' and 'bullish engulfing candlesticks', as signals for entering a buy position. The speaker also explains the process of setting stop-loss and take-profit levels, using the last higher low or the demand zone for the stop-loss, and key resistance areas or previous supply zones for take-profit targets. The paragraph emphasizes the importance of patience and confirmation in trading, rather than reacting impulsively to price movements.

15:04

🔢 Enhancing Trading with Fibonacci Retracement

The final paragraph introduces the use of Fibonacci retracement as a complementary tool to the supply and demand strategy. The speaker explains how to apply Fibonacci levels to identify potential retracement points where the price may reverse, increasing the confidence in trading decisions. The paragraph describes a scenario where the price reaches a Fibonacci level that coincides with a previously identified demand zone, providing a strong confluence for entering a trade. The speaker also discusses adjusting the risk level based on the confidence in the trade setup and provides a brief mention of a tutorial on Fibonacci retracement for further learning.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Supply and Demand

Supply and demand is a fundamental concept in economics that refers to the relationship between the quantity of a resource that is available and the desire for that resource among consumers. In the context of trading, it represents aggressive buying and selling, indicating significant market movements driven by large entities like banks and institutions. The video emphasizes the importance of identifying these zones to align trading strategies with the actions of 'big boys' in the market.

💡Momentum Candles

Momentum candles are a type of candlestick pattern in technical analysis that indicates strong market movement. They are characterized by large body sizes, reflecting high volume and significant price movement. In the video, the presence of green momentum candles signifies aggressive buying, while red indicates aggressive selling. These are crucial for identifying supply and demand zones.

💡Aggressive Buying and Selling

Aggressive buying and selling refer to the forceful entry of large investors into the market, driving prices up or down. The video suggests that observing these behaviors is key to understanding market dynamics and timing trades accordingly. It is used to identify when the market is being influenced by significant players, which can signal potential profitable trading opportunities.

💡Supply Zones

Supply zones are areas on a price chart where selling pressure is strong enough to push the price down. They are typically identified by a series of lower highs or a cluster of candles with long upper wicks. In the video, the instructor demonstrates how to draw supply zones by marking the high and low of a previous candle and extending it, which can then be used to predict future resistance levels.

💡Demand Zones

Demand zones are areas on a price chart where buying pressure is strong enough to push the price up. They are often characterized by a series of higher lows or a cluster of candles with long lower wicks. The video explains how to identify demand zones by marking the high and low of a previous candle and using them as potential support levels for future trades.

💡Consolidation

Consolidation in trading refers to a period where the price of an asset moves sideways, indicating a balance between buyers and sellers. The video mentions drawing a box around a consolidation area to identify a zone where the price is likely to find resistance or support, which can be used to plan trades.

💡Fibonacci Retracement

Fibonacci retracement is a technical analysis tool used to predict potential support and resistance levels by applying the Fibonacci sequence to an asset's price movement. In the video, the instructor uses Fibonacci retracement to identify key levels where the price might reverse, providing additional confirmation for entering trades.

💡Insider Information

Insider information refers to non-public, material information about a company that could affect its stock price. While the video humorously mentions it, it emphasizes that trading based on such information is illegal. The concept is used to illustrate the importance of aligning with the actions of large, informed traders.

💡Retail Traders

Retail traders are individual investors who trade for their personal accounts, as opposed to institutional investors who trade large sums on behalf of clients or funds. The video highlights the challenges retail traders face in moving the market and the importance of trading with, rather than against, the larger market forces.

💡Confirmation

In trading, confirmation refers to additional signals or indicators that support a trade decision. The video stresses the importance of waiting for confirmation before entering a trade, such as a price retesting a demand or supply zone, or additional technical indicators like Fibonacci levels aligning with the identified zones.

💡Bullish Engulfing Candlestick

A bullish engulfing candlestick is a bullish reversal pattern that occurs when a small bearish candle is followed by a larger bullish candle that 'engulfs' the previous one. In the video, this pattern is used as a confirmation signal that the market is likely to move upwards, indicating a potential entry point for a buy trade.

Highlights

Mastering supply and demand can lead to significant profits in trading.

Aggressive buying and selling indicates the involvement of major market players like banks and institutions.

Momentum candlesticks are key indicators of aggressive market movements.

Small candlesticks do not represent significant market demand or supply.

Trading with the 'big boys' means aligning with the major market players.

Supply is identified by aggressive market downturns, and demand by aggressive upturns.

Retail traders should aim to ride the wave of major market movements rather than trade against them.

Identifying supply and demand zones involves looking for at least three consecutive momentum candles.

The area of origin (AOL) of a market move is crucial for marking supply and demand zones.

Price retesting of demand zones can provide entry points for trades.

Consolidation periods can also indicate potential supply and demand zones.

Areas with multiple long wicks show price rejection and can be potential supply zones.

Waiting for price confirmation is essential before entering a trade in supply and demand zones.

Using technical analysis tools like Fibonacci retracement can add confirmation to supply and demand trading strategies.

Fibonacci retracement levels can align with demand zones for increased trading confidence.

Multiple confirmations from different technical analysis tools can enhance the reliability of supply and demand trades.

Adjusting risk based on the confluence of technical indicators can lead to more confident trades.

The importance of patience in waiting for the right confirmation before entering trades is emphasized.

Observing price behavior at retracement levels and demand zones can lead to profitable trades.

Transcripts

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you can Master supply and demand you'll

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be able to make so much more money from

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Trading these are what I'm going to be

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covering in this course but if you want

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this course to work for you and you

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really want to master supply and demand

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please do not skip through the video I'm

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gonna start off by teaching you what is

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a supply and demand why you should trade

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it and then how to draw how to find

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supply and demand zones and how to

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actually track these zones when should

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you enter for the trade last but not

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least I'm gonna teach you how I

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personally trade supply and demand my

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own secret supply and demand strategy

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so what is supply and demand supply and

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demand is basically aggressive selling

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and buying that's it we want to see

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aggressive buying and selling because

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this tells us that all the big boys like

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big Banks and institutions are entering

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into the market and pushing the market

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in that direction I want you to look at

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this candlesticks right here big fat

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momentum Candace tells us that there is

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a lot of aggressive selling that is a

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lot of momentum and volume pushing the

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price down on the right side we see

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green momentum candles which tell us

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that there is a lot of aggressive buying

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a lot of buying pressure a lot of

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momentum pushing the price up so these

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are what you should be looking for when

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trading supply and demand this momentum

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candles tell us that smart money is in

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the market on the other hand if you see

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small candlesticks just like this this

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is not demand all right this is small

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baby buyers we do not want to see small

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candles like this because there is no

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volume or momentum by the smart money at

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all why should you trade supply and

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demand let me tell you why I trade

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supply and demand because I want to

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trade with the big boys who have a lot

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of money I want to react to the price

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when this big boys enter the markets the

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best way to see them entering into the

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market is by waiting for supply and

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demand Supply is when the market is

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going down aggressively and demand is

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when the market is going up aggressively

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so I want to see this nice momentum

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candles that tell me that the big boys

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have come out to play remember we are

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retail Traders we are Brokers we do not

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have enough money to move the market

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while these guys are dealing with

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millions and billions of dollars let's

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say that you have Insider information

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and you know that the big boys smart

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money billionaire Traders whatever they

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call them are buying at this key level

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right here so will you end off or buy

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you are a dumbass if you said no of

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course you would it's literally free

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money if insider trading wasn't illegal

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because you know that these people have

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the money and the power hour to move the

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market so obviously you want to ride the

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wave with them because the last thing

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you want to do is to trade against them

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but that is what a lot of retail Traders

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do now that you have understood why you

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should trade supply and demand let's

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talk about how to actually find this

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supply and demand zones

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[Music]

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step is that you want to look for at

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least three momentum candles in a row so

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you can see right here we have spotted

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three green momentum candles in a row it

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can be more like can be four or five

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green cannons in a row but the minimum

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is at least three momentum candles in a

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row remember you do not want to see tiny

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small little candlesticks just like this

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you want momentum candles the big boys

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so in this example I will just use these

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three green momentum candles right here

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so the next step is that you want to

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find the AOL where the move started so

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this art move right here started from

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the previous candle so this is the

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previous candle right here so in this

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case what you want to do is to take out

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your rectangle tool and mark the high

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and the low of the previous candle so

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just draw like a little box and drag it

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all the way up here like this so now the

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area between these two lines will become

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the demand zone so right now what we

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want to do is to wait for price to come

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back down to disable and then enter for

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a buy but price already did that right

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price literally went down to re-test the

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demand Zone before shooting back up so

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if you enter for a buy here you have

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made a load of money just another

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example that is literally three momentum

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candles in a row right here so we take

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our box tool and Rebox the previous

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candle the high drag it all the way down

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to the low and then drag it to the right

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side just like this so this will be your

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supply Zone because the last time price

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was here it got pushed all the way down

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here so this is your supply Zone and we

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are waiting for price to come back up to

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this area and look at what happened next

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so right now price has managed to come

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back up to this area and I want you to

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observe to see what price does

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it literally collapsed you saw that I

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hope you saw that it literally went back

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up to this Supply area that we have

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drawn and collapsed so that's the first

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way that you can use to identify your

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supply and demand zones

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the next way is consolidation you can

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see right here price is just going

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sideways not going anywhere so what you

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can do is that you can draw a box to box

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up this entire consolidation and look at

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what price does price literally went up

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all the way to touch this consolidation

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box before heading back down so that is

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your second way

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the Third Way is to identify an area

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with weeks so weeks basically show us

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that price is rejecting that area right

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so you can see right here there is

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multiple long weekenders at this area

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here so what you can do is they can draw

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a box around this area here and just

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drag it all the way right here so you

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can see the next time price came back

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down to disable price literally should

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order the way up there so this was a

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very good demand Zone that is also

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another Supply area right here you can

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see there is multiple long weeks being

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formed at this area which show us that

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this area is like a very strong area

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that price is always rejecting so if you

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draw to those the right you can see that

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next time price came back all the way up

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here it literally collapsed all the way

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down to the demand zone now that we have

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understood how to identify supply and

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demand zones we have to know how to

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trade them

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so right here I have spotted three green

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momentum candles which means that the

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demand zone is somewhere right around

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here so after I spotted these three

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momentum candles I'll be looking at the

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previous candle before this up move is

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formed which is this red candle right

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here so I will take my box too and

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literally mark from the high all the way

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down to the low and drag it to the right

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just like this so this is your demand

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zone so right now we are waiting for

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price to come back down to this demand

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Zone to retest it before entering for

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the trade so there are basically two

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ways where you can trade this you can

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either place a buy order at the demand

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zone so that when the price gets down

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there your broker will automatically get

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you into a buy position or you can

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manually enter the trade after you see

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what price is doing at that level which

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is the one that I like more because

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remember no matter how strong the demand

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area is that is always a chance that

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price is going to break past it so right

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now I'll be patiently waiting for price

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to come back down to this AOL so we see

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what price does and as you can see price

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is approaching this area right now and

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the second price come back down to this

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area and touch this area you should not

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enter yet you must wait for confirmation

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that is a very important point you have

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to wait for price to show you that it is

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gonna head back up so right now you saw

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that price has came back all the way

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down here to this demand Zone and it

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gave us a long week doji and also

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multiple long week candlesticks which

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show us that price is rejecting this

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demand Zone and it's gonna shoot back up

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what does this candlesticks tell us it

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tells us indecision in the market it

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tells us that price is rejecting this

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AOL but we cannot assume that price is

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gonna go back up yet we have to wait for

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the next Candlestick or the next few

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candlesticks let's look at the next

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candlestick

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so right here price gave us a big green

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bullish engulfing candlesticks these

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tell us that you know what the buyers

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are back into this Market the big boys

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is at this demand Zone loading up their

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buy orders and and you really know price

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is going to go to the moon now so this

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is where I'll enter for a buy position

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right here place my stop bus below this

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last higher low or if you want to play

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it safe you can always place it below

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the demand zone for this example I'll

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just place my stop loss below the last

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higher low right here so for your take

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profit I want to place my take profit at

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a key resistance aerial or a key Supply

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even so I'm going to be looking towards

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the left and see where price last stop

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at if you look towards the left you will

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see that right here price gave us three

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red momentum candlesticks so right here

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that is a supply zone so how I mark up

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my Supply Zone remember is that you want

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to look at the previous Candlestick Mark

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the high to the low and literally drag

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it up just like like this so I'll place

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my take profit all the way up at this

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Supply area right here and place my stop

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bus a little bit tighter somewhere right

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around here below this bullish engulfing

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Candlestick and this is like one is to

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do let's see how this trip plays out

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price went up and smashed our Tech

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profits I want you to look at what price

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did when it came up to this Supply area

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that we have drawn here it gave us one

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week right here this upper week right

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here which show us that they will sell

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us at this point of time that was

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pushing the price down but the buyers

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are way too strong that is exactly why

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price continue to go up even further

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literally just rinse and repeat this

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strategy so after I've closed this trade

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let me just remove this and I'll just

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keep on drawing my new supply and demand

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zones since price has just broken past

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this Supply area and invalidated it I'm

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just gonna remove this and I can see

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there's another like demand Zone

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somewhere right around here because

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there is multiple weeks being formed

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right here which show us that maybe this

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is like a little demand AOL so we can

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see like right now prices came back all

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the way down here and you can see what

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price did after it came back all the way

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down to this demand event it should back

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up at this point of time price has just

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confirmed to us that this is a valid

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demand Zone because price gave us three

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green momentum candlesticks so I can

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just like redraw this little demand Zone

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because like I want to draw it at this

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previous candle you know what I mean so

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I'll just like drag it from this

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previous candle to Mark the high the low

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drag it to the right side just like this

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and right now I'm waiting for price to

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come back down to this awl and show me

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some sort of confirmation before

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entering for the trade I almost forgot

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to mention to you guys but also draw

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like a little Supply area right here

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because price gave us multiple long week

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rejection at this area so this is like a

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little Supply AOL and right now we just

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wait and see you can see right now price

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has came back all the way down to this

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demand Zone and he has broken past it

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just like a little bit so do you think

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we should end up a cell here this is

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what retail Traders are doing retail

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Traders will just enter for ourselves

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when price break through like a little

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support email or whatever and look at

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what price did next

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you went back up so this was ending up

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like a little fake out so at this point

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of time this gave us a confirmation that

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price is not breaking past this demand

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Zone this demand zone is solid and we're

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gonna head back up this is the bullish

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confirmation that we are waiting for you

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can see like the green candlesticks are

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getting bigger and bigger so at this

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point of time I'll just enter for a buy

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somewhere right around here place my

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stop loss below this demand Zone take

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profit at the supply able that is being

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formed right here and look how this

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trade payout

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okay you can see price when R wire and

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right there boys boys boys right there

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we just smash our take profit making

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this a very nice supply and demand

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strategy two wins in the back baby

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[Music]

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now since you are still watching this

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I'm gonna give you a little secret I'm

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gonna show you how I personally trade

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this supply and demand strategy my own

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strategy my own supply and demand

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strategy when I am trading I do not just

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like to rely on one confirmation I need

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multiple confirmation so what I like to

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do is that I like to use all the other

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technical analysis Tools in my Arsenal

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to give me more confirmation for me to

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enter for the trade for example this

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trade right here the moment price starts

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retracing right here just like this

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right I will pull out my Fibonacci so I

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pull up my Fibonacci reggae from this

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swing low all the way up to the swing

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high right here and literally just read

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get across like this so right now I am

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waiting for price to retrace all the way

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down to either one of these retracement

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levels I've done like a full length

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tutorial on Fibonacci retracement and

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how you can use this to get high win

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rate trades which you can check it out

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after this video but basically how these

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Fibonacci retracement 2 works is that

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I'm waiting for price to come back down

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to any of these retracement levels this

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38.2 50 61.8 and the 78.6 and then I see

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some sort of Confirmation and I will

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enter for a buy and I'll take profit at

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the negative 27 the extension level

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right here so basically the moment I

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start seeing price retracing I'll just

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pull out my Fibonacci retracement and

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I'm waiting for price to come back down

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to either one of my retracement levels

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so we still wait and see you can see

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price is like heading back down

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and it came down all the way down to

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this 61.8 level before it starts

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retracing right here at this point of

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time I'm not going to be entering

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because I know that most of the time

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when you are using Fibonacci you cannot

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be entering when price just bounced off

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one time you need to wait for price to

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come back down to re-test this same AOL

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which makes it like a more solid able

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before getting into the trade now this

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is where the real fun begins this is

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where the magic happens you can see

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right here this is the 61.8 retrace 111

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but at the same time it is also our

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demand Zone it's also a demand zone

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right here we have just discussed that

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this is our demand zone right so I'm not

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gonna explain it again obviously so

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right now we are waiting for price to

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come back down to this demand zone or

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this 61.8 level

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and give us some sort of confidence for

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us to enter for a buy somewhere right

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around here you can see this is

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literally like the additional Confluence

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that you need my Fibonacci retracement

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level lines up with my demand zone so in

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this case what I will do is that instead

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of risking my usual one percent per

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trade I would risk even more I will risk

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maybe two percent on this trade because

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right now I am more confident in myself

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so right now I'm still waiting for price

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to come back down to this AOL before

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entering for the trade so we see prices

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came back down to this AOL and you can

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see price is just showing us that like

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it's going to reverse and hit back up at

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this point of time I will have entered

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for my buy position right here once

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again place my stop loss below this 61.8

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retracement level or demand Zone

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whatever and then place my take profit

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at the negative 27 extension level you

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can see just now I place it at the

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supply zone right but now I'm gonna be

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placing it at the negative 27 extension

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level because I trust the Fibonacci it

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will do the thing it does so we wait

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and you can see price is like going up

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okay okay and right here we have just

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smashed our take profit guys it's really

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really just as simple as that you have

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to understand how to use Fibonacci

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retracement if you still don't

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understand how to use Fibonacci you are

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doing yourself a huge this service which

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is why I want you to check out this

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video next where I literally give you

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like a complete course just like this on

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the Fibonacci retracement to help you

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become profitable click on this video to

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find out more and remember you are just

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one trade away

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Supply DemandTrading StrategiesMarket MomentumTechnical AnalysisCandlesticksInvestment TipsFinancial MarketsAggressive BuyingAggressive SellingFibonacci Trading
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