Buy The Dip: High Yield Stocks Getting Way Too Cheap
Summary
TLDREl sector de rendimientos altos supera al mercado general debido a las expectativas de recortes de tasas de la Reserva Federal. Se sugiere que inversiones defensivas como Compass Diversified y Golub Capital BDC sean oportunidades atractivas debido a su crecimiento, rentabilidad y sólidos estados financieros. Compass Diversified, con una cartera diversificada y crecimiento del 25% en ingresos, ofrece un dividendo del 5%. Golub Capital BDC, con un historial sólido y rentabilidad del doble dígito, cotiza con un descuento al valor neto de activos, ofreciendo un dividendo del 9% y una fuerte posición en préstamos asegurados.
Takeaways
- 📈 El sector de rendimientos altos ha superado al mercado general debido a las expectativas de recortes de tasas de la Reserva Federal.
- 🌐 La economía se preocupa por los inversores debido a señales crecientes de debilidad, lo que lleva a muchos a invertir en nombres defensivos.
- 💼 Compás Diversified es una empresa diversificada que ha sido subestimada y tiene dos segmentos principales: negocios industriales y productos de consumo.
- 🔒 Los productos de consumo de Compás Diversified son de nicho y tienen una posición fuerte en su sector, lo que los hace más defensivos frente a las recesiones económicas.
- 📊 La empresa ha logrado un crecimiento de ingresos del 25% y de ingresos por acciones ajustados del 30% en el último trimestre.
- 💰 Compás Diversified ofrece un dividendo atractivo de 5% y un precio de mercado de solo nueve veces sus ganancias ajustadas.
- 💎 La joyería de lujo Lugano es una de las empresas más emocionantes de la cartera de Compás Diversified, representando un tercio de sus ganancias y creciendo rápidamente.
- 🏥 Compás Diversified está considerando expandirse al sector de la salud, buscando oportunidades específicas.
- 📉 Golb Capital BDC es una empresa de desarrollo de negocios que cotiza por debajo de su valor neto de activos pese a tener un historial sólido y una rentabilidad del dividendo del doble dígito.
- 🔗 Golb Capital BDC tiene una estrategia de financiación sólida, con el 93% de su cartera en préstamos de primera o segunda posición y una relación de capitalización del 1.05.
- 🔄 La empresa tiene una fuerte liquidez y una baja tasa de no inversiones activas, lo que refleja una gestión sólida y una cartera diversificada.
Q & A
¿Qué sector ha superado el rendimiento del mercado más amplio recientemente?
-El sector de renta variable alto ha superado el rendimiento del mercado más amplio.
¿Cuál es una de las razones por las que el sector de renta variable alto ha tenido un rendimiento superior?
-Las crecientes expectativas de recortes de tasas de la Reserva Federal que probablemente reduzcan la tasa federal de fondos significativamente en los próximos trimestres y años.
¿Cómo están afectando las señales de debilidad económica a los inversores?
-Esto está provocando que muchos inversores transfieran capital de nombres de crecimiento especulativo a nombres defensivos más comunes en el espacio de las REIT.
¿Cuál es una de las empresas que se considera subvalorada y que ha retrasado la recuperación del sector de renta variable alto?
-Compass Diversified es una empresa diversificada que ha retrasado la recuperación del sector de renta variable alto.
¿Cuáles son los dos segmentos principales de Compass Diversified?
-Los dos segmentos principales de Compass Diversified son negocios industriales y productos de consumo.
¿Qué tipo de productos de consumo tiene Compass Diversified y qué características tienen?
-Compass Diversified tiene productos de consumo de nicho que generalmente tienen una posición de mercado fuerte y son más defensivos en cuanto a la naturaleza.
¿Qué tipo de clientes suelen ser los más afectados por las recesiones económicas según el guion?
-Los clientes más afectados por las recesiones económicas son aquellos que viven de pago a pago, en comparación con los clientes más acomodados.
¿Cuál es la tasa de crecimiento de ingresos que logró Compass Diversified en el último trimestre?
-Compass Diversified logró un crecimiento de ingresos del 25% anual en el último trimestre.
¿Cuál es la tasa de dividendo que paga Compass Diversified y qué tipo de rentabilidad representa?
-Compass Diversified paga un dividendo de 1 dólar por acción al año, lo que representa un rendimiento del 5% aproximadamente.
¿Qué tipo de inversión representa Lugano, una de las empresas de Compass Diversified?
-Lugano es una joyería de lujo que sirve a clientes muy ricos y cuya inversión es considerada defensiva debido al tipo de clientes que tiene.
¿Qué otro negocio está creciendo rápidamente dentro de Compass Diversified aparte de Lugano?
-BOA es otro negocio que está creciendo rápidamente dentro de Compass Diversified.
¿Qué tipo de inversión es Golub Capital BDC y cómo se diferencia de otros BDC?
-Golub Capital BDC es una empresa de desarrollo de negocios que se diferencia de otros BDC por su sólida gestión, bajo costo y fuerte rentabilidad de sus inversiones.
¿Cuál es la tasa de dividendo y la cobertura que tiene Golub Capital BDC?
-Golub Capital BDC tiene una tasa de dividendo de doble dígito y está cubierta al 123% por sus ingresos de inversiones netos.
¿Por qué podría estar negociando Golub Capital BDC a un descuento respecto a su valor neto de activos?
-Golub Capital BDC podría estar negociando a un descuento debido a la reciente conclusión de una adquisición y fusión que llevó a algunos vencimiento de bloqueos para la empresa adquirida y a una liquidez excesiva en el mercado que no se ha absorbido completamente.
Outlines
📈 Sector de rendimientos altos supera al mercado
El sector de rendimientos altos ha superado al mercado general recientemente debido a la expectativa de recortes de tasas de la Reserva Federal que podrían reducir la tasa federal de fondos significativamente en los próximos trimestres y años. Esto, combinado con la creciente preocupación económica, ha llevado a muchos inversores a cambiar su capital de valores de crecimiento especulativo a nombres más defensivos, como las utilidades, infraestructura y fondos de bienes raíces de arrendamiento neto. Se discute Compass Diversified, una empresa diversificada con negocios industriales y productos de consumo de nicho que tienen una fuerte posición en su sector y son más defensivos. La empresa ha experimentado un crecimiento rápido en sus negocios de consumo, a diferencia de los negocios industriales que han tenido dificultades. La empresa también paga una dividendo atractivo de 5% y su valor es bajo en comparación con su crecimiento de ganancias y rendimiento de dividendos. Además, se menciona a Lugano, una joyería de lujo que representa un tercio de sus ingresos y que ha crecido rápidamente.
💼 Golb Capital BDC, una opción de inversión rentable
Se aborda Golb Capital BDC, una empresa de desarrollo de negocios que ha demostrado un historial impresionante de mantener y aumentar su dividendo y rendimiento de activos netos, superando al sector BDC en general. A pesar de su sólida gestión y bajo riesgo, se negocia con un descuento en comparación con su valor de activos netos, lo que se considera una oportunidad temporal para los inversores. Aunque el sector BDC en general no es optimista, se considera que GBDC es una opción valiosa para una exposición limitada al sector BDC. También se discute la posibilidad de que la empresa entre en el sector de la atención médica y cómo su portafolio está bien diversificado y gestionado para bien en ciclos económicos.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡rendimiento alto
💡Reserva Federal
💡tasa federal de fondos
💡economía
💡inversiones defensivas
💡BDC
💡rendimiento de dividendos
💡valor subestimado
💡crecimiento económico
💡líquido
💡balanza de pagos
Highlights
高收益板块近期表现优于更广泛的市场,因为市场预期联邦储备将降息。
经济的不确定性导致投资者将资本从高风险的高增长股转移到防御性更强的股票。
在市场复苏中表现不佳的一些优质高收益股票现在看起来是很有吸引力的投资机会。
Compass Diversified是一家多元化公司,拥有工业企业和消费品业务。
Compass Diversified的消费品业务面向富裕客户,因此在经济衰退期间表现更为稳健。
公司工业业务近期增长缓慢,而消费品业务则快速增长。
Compass Diversified的收益增长迅速,且拥有吸引人的5%股息率。
公司通过优化投资并循环利用资本来为投资者创造长期价值。
Lugano是一家高端珠宝商,为富裕客户提供服务,是公司增长最快的业务之一。
Lugano的增长迅速,现在占公司收益的三分之一。
公司还拥有其他增长迅速的业务,如BOA,尽管近期有些挫折但前景依然看好。
Golub Capital BDC是一家表现出色的商业发展公司,拥有稳健的资产负债表和低风险的投资组合。
Golub Capital BDC的股息收益率达到两位数,且由净投资收入完全覆盖。
Golub Capital BDC的交易价格低于其净资产价值,这可能是一个暂时的投资机会。
Golub Capital BDC的费率降低,使其成为外部管理BDC中费用最低的公司之一。
Golub Capital BDC的杠杆率合理,流动性强,且非投资级资产比例低。
Golub Capital BDC的业务模式使其在面对利率变动时能够保持稳定的表现。
视频作者认为Golub Capital BDC是BDC领域中值得考虑的投资选择。
Transcripts
the high yield sector has outperformed
the broader Market recently to do
growing expectations of Federal Reserve
rate cuts that will likely bring the
federal funds rate down by significant
amount in the coming quarters and years
Additionally the economy is increasingly
becoming a concern for investors as
there are growing signs of weakness and
this is causing many investors to shift
Capital out of the more speculative high
growth names into more defensive names
that tend to be more common in the BDC
space like utilities
infrastructure trip net lease resits
some conservatively positioned business
development companies Etc that being
said there are some high quality high
yield stocks that have lagged this
Market recovery and so in today's video
I'm going to discuss two of these that I
think are quite attractive opportunities
to invest in right now but before I get
into today's video if you could please
subscribe to my channel I'd really
appreciate it help me to grow my
audience and and reach a BRI audience
with my content if you could also like
this video I'd greatly appreciate it
thank you very much okay so the first
company that I think is undervalued
right now that has lagged the broader
high yield spaces recovery is compass
Diversified this is a diversified
company as it says it's a it's a private
Equity business and they have two main
segments one is industrial businesses
and one is consumer products and these
are Niche consumer products that
typically have a very identifiable Mo a
strong position in their sector they
tend to be a little bit more defensive
in nature as well because again they
have a very targeted audience usually
the more affluent clients and so those
are people who are less impact Ed by
economic downturns because when you're
wealthy generally just because maybe
your Investments do worse or your
business or whatever but your job is
gener much more secure or your business
that you have you're going to have a lot
more money and your lifestyle does not
change as much as say a person who's
just living paycheck to paycheck when
unemployment Rises and the economy turns
down and so that's why they have this
nice diversification whereas their
consumer defensive businesses is really
what they are uh tend to outperform
during periods of of of of economic
weakness relative to the industrial
businesses which are a little more
economically cyclical and so they had
this nice balance between the two and we
see this today in their businesses their
industrial businesses have been
struggling a little bit lately
struggling to to grow whereas their
consumer businesses have been growing
quite rapidly and in fact overall for
the combined business they were able to
grow revenues by over 25% year-over-year
this past quarter they were able to go
grow iata by 30 something per this past
quarter and so again their their their
adjusted earnings were able to grow as
well at a similar rate so again their
their earnings power is still growing
very rapidly and they do this because
they buy businesses that they believe
have long growth runways and again those
identifiable Moes they work with the
companies to try to enhance the business
plan and extract additional value and
then once they believe that they've
optimized the risk adjusted returns from
their investment they generally sell the
business take that capital and recycle
it into a new opportunity and so this is
how they have been able to compound
wealth for investors earnings power for
investors over the long term and they
also pay out a very attractive dividend
they pay out a $1 per share per year
dividend that's currently around a 5%
yield for the company so when you
combine a double- digit annualized
earnings growth rate over the long term
and that's what they're generating now
and expected to generate moving forward
with that nice mid singled digigit
dividend yield you get a very attractive
Total return proposition and again it's
backed by a solid balance sheet and a
well- diversified portfolio of
businesses that that are you know set up
to do fairly well through all economic
Cycles so it's a pretty nice setup if
you want to exposure to Consumer and
industrial goods from a a pretty proven
management team but also get an
attractive yield from and that's you
know that's the pitch that's why I own
shares myself and I feel like management
has done a good job of serving
shareholder interests in the company so
as you can see you know it's a very
attractive proposition and on top of
that it only trades at nine times
adjusted earnings which is very cheap
for a company with a double digit
annualized earnings per share growth
profile and a mid- singled digit
dividend yield especially with the
quality portfolio that's backing it and
it's not particularly high risk although
I wouldn't call it a lowrisk investment
either but on top of that when you drill
down underneath the surface and look at
some of their individual businesses they
have some very exciting businesses the
the most exciting one of all is Lugano
which is a luxury Jeweler uh they serve
very wealthy clientele with very
expensive and prestigious pieces of
jewelry that they sell so again pretty
defensive because those people are so
wealthy that you know uh economic
turmoil stock market movements don't
affect them too much in fact they look
at Lugano jewelry pieces as one of the
ways of diversifying their portfolio
just like they might buy expensive
pieces of art or real estate or some
other you know wine or whatever it is
they view jewelry as part of that
Diversified portfolio in fact this is
something they can even wear and enjoy
so it's another way of diversifying and
pref preserving their wealth anyway it's
been growing very rapidly it now
represents about a third of their
earnings if you look at a 12 trailing
12-month basis they're also growing very
rapidly they grew by over 80% their EA
this past quarter on a year-over-year
basis and so it continues to grow and
grow and grow and it's they're opening
new stores in Europe Etc and So
eventually Management's probably going
to have to come to a point where they're
either going to have to sell the
business Al together liquidate a part of
it or something maybe even spin it off
because again it's becoming such a
dominant part of the company that it
kind of defeats their whole
diversification purpose and because it's
growing so
rapidly they're having to invest a lot
of their free cash flow from other
businesses into it to fuel the
additional growth with opening new
stores Etc and so it you know if it
wasn't for Lugano this company would be
throwing off a ton of free cash flow so
again it's it's just an interesting
situation but it's a very exciting
situation it's a great problem to have
so it's worth watching but it also
bodess well for the company overall they
also have another company boa which had
been growing very rapidly they had a big
a lot of excitement about it or they
call it boa they had a lot of excitement
about it but then it had a little bit of
a stumbling block and and recent
quarters but this past quarter got back
on the growth track and so that's
another business to be excited that
should be growing quite rapidly for them
moving forward they have other
businesses like primaloft and Honeypot
which they recently acquired both of
those that have stumbled a little bit
out of the gate but they have very
strong potential as well managements
investing getting those going so again
there's a lot to like with Cody's growth
potential they're also thinking about
entering a healthare vertical they're
looking for certain deals but they're
being very patient with that as well
which I appreciate okay the second high
yield stock that I think is an
attractive buy right now that's been
lagging uh the broader sector is a
business development company called golb
Capital BDC now most Blue Chip bdcs
right now like Main Street aist Capital
Corporation Blackstone secured lending
they all trade at meaningful premiums to
their net asset value even if
historically they have an AIS Capital
Corporation for example historically has
traded roughly in line with nav and and
now currently trades at a premium to it
Blackstone secure lending same thing and
so you can argue for against whether
they deserve that premium goal of
capital BDC or ticker symbol gbdc has a
very impressive track record of
sustaining and growing its dividend of
sustaining and growing its net asset
value of excellent underwriting
performance significantly outperforming
the broader BDC space it has 93% of its
portfolio and seniors secured either
firstly loans of either one stop or two
stop uh its dividend is double digit and
it's covered 123% by net investment
income right now has a very reasonable
1.05 times leverage ratio one of the
strongest uh balance sheets in the
sector with a investment grade credit
rating has strong liquidity low uh
non-acs of just 1% and so there's a lot
to like about this BDC in fact it
recently reduced its expense ratio
expense fee to have one of the lowest
fees in the entire BDC space among
externally managed bdcs so again one of
the best bdcs out there and yet it
trades at a discount to its net asset
value it's pretty remarkable stuff um I
think it's largely due to a recently
completed acquisition merger that led to
some lockup expirations for the acquired
business and some you know excess
liquidity in the Market on the shares
that have not gotten fully absorbed so I
think this is a temporary opportunity
that I think investors can take
advantage of again I'm a little bit
pessimistic about the BDC sector you
could see that in my previous videos so
I'm underweight the sector but I think
that gbdc is one that's worth
considering for that limited exposure to
the BDC space for the reasons I
mentioned and again it helps balance
your portfolio with giving you some of
that floating rate exposure in the event
that inflation does bounce back and the
FED has to Pivot from cuts to hikes or
at least has to keep the rates at a high
level than expected for longer uh and
they're able to somehow navigate a soft
Landing or at least with a mild
recession I think a a company like gbdc
should perform quite well especially
compared to the broader market so so
there you have it you have a mid single
digit around 5% yielding rapidly growing
business private Equity as well as a BDC
company which is a lender to these
Middle Market type businesses that Cody
owns direct equity in and they have a
double- digit dividend yield a much
lower you know low single digits per
share growth growth rate Outlook um both
have solid balance sheets both have
strong management teams that are proven
uh to to seek shareholders best interest
over the long term so hopefully this
video is helpful to you if it was you
could please again give it a like
subscribe to my channel to help me grow
and let me know in the comments below
what you think of these two and if there
are any other stocks that you would add
to this list of high yield stocks that
haven't participated in the recent
Market rally that probably should have
thank you very much see you next time
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