Covered Calls: The Income Illusion

Ben Felix
20 Jun 202312:49

Summary

TLDRIn this video, Ben Felix, a portfolio manager at PWL Capital, explains the pitfalls of covered call strategies and why they may appear more attractive than they actually are. He breaks down how covered calls exchange potential stock appreciation for option premiums, creating an illusion of high income. However, when total returns and risk factors like skewness are considered, covered call funds tend to underperform, are less tax efficient, and have higher fees. Felix argues that despite their appeal to behavioral biases, covered calls are typically a suboptimal investment strategy.

Takeaways

  • 📉 Covered call funds may appear attractive due to high income yields and risk-adjusted returns, but this is largely due to financial product design rather than actual improvements in performance.
  • 💼 The income from covered calls is not a true investment return, as it sacrifices the upside potential of the underlying stock in exchange for option premiums.
  • 🔗 Selling call options involves liability, as the seller might have to sell shares below market value, which can negate the benefits of the option premium.
  • 🧠 Investors are often misled by cognitive biases, like mental accounting, where they separate capital and income, making covered calls seem more beneficial than they are.
  • 📊 Covered call strategies typically do not provide higher risk-adjusted returns unless the options are overpriced, making their high-income yields irrelevant or overstated.
  • 📈 Traditional measures of risk-adjusted returns, like the Sharpe ratio, are inadequate for strategies involving options, as they fail to account for the skewed distribution of returns.
  • ⚖️ Alternative metrics, such as the manipulation-proof performance measure, suggest that covered calls underperform simpler strategies when fees, costs, and taxes are considered.
  • ⛔ Covered calls cap potential gains, which can be especially detrimental since stock returns rely heavily on upside potential, limiting long-term performance.
  • 💸 Covered call funds are less tax-efficient and more expensive than simple stock or bond portfolios, further reducing their attractiveness.
  • 🛑 Covered call strategies might only outperform in a flat market, but predicting market conditions is difficult, and these strategies generally miss out on long-term gains.

Q & A

  • What is the main appeal of covered call funds to investors?

    -Covered call funds attract investors due to their high-income yields and seemingly attractive risk-adjusted returns. However, these characteristics are a result of clever financial product design rather than actual improvements to returns or risk-adjusted returns.

  • What is a covered call in financial terms?

    -A covered call refers to selling a call option on a stock that you already own. The seller receives an option premium, but in return, gives up some potential upside if the stock’s price rises above a certain strike price.

  • Why are covered call strategies likely to perform poorly in the long run?

    -Covered call strategies limit the upside potential of the underlying shares, as the seller must sell the stock at the strike price if the option is exercised. This means any significant appreciation is missed, leading to poorer long-term performance.

  • How does the risk-adjusted return of covered calls compare to that of underlying assets?

    -Covered call strategies generally do not have better risk-adjusted returns than the underlying assets. The apparent attractiveness often stems from inadequate risk measures, which fail to account for factors like skewness and kurtosis in return distributions.

  • What is the common bias that makes covered calls appealing to some investors?

    -A mental accounting bias causes many income-oriented investors to treat income and capital separately. This cognitive error makes the income from covered calls seem appealing, even though it may not reflect actual net investment returns.

  • Why are covered call funds considered less tax-efficient?

    -Covered call funds typically distribute high levels of income, which can result in higher tax liabilities for investors in taxable accounts, making them less tax-efficient than simple stock or bond portfolios.

  • How does selling options affect the Sharpe ratio?

    -Selling options mechanically increases the Sharpe ratio by reducing the standard deviation (risk) while increasing skewness. However, this creates a misleading picture of risk-adjusted returns, as skewness itself is a form of risk that the Sharpe ratio does not capture.

  • What happens to covered call strategies in a flat market?

    -In a flat market, covered call strategies tend to outperform because the income from the option premiums is not offset by foregone stock appreciation. However, predicting a flat market is challenging, and missing out on positive returns in a rising market is a risk.

  • What is the manipulation-proof performance measure, and why is it relevant to covered calls?

    -The manipulation-proof performance measure is a metric designed to avoid manipulation through options and other complex strategies. When evaluated through this lens, covered calls tend to underperform simpler strategies that do not involve options.

  • How does the framing of covered call strategies make them seem more attractive?

    -Covered call strategies are often framed in a way that highlights multiple sources of profit—dividends, option premiums, and potential stock appreciation—while downplaying the potential losses from giving up large gains when stock prices rise significantly.

Outlines

00:00

📉 The Misleading Appeal of Covered Call Funds

Covered call funds are popular among investors due to their high-income yields and perceived strong risk-adjusted returns. However, this perception is often misleading. These funds are designed in a way that makes them seem more attractive than they are, without actually improving returns or reducing risk. The high income from covered calls comes at the cost of losing potential gains, as selling call options caps the upside. This results in a flawed risk-adjusted return profile, and covered call funds are generally less tax-efficient and more costly compared to traditional stock and bond portfolios.

05:02

🔄 The Mechanics and Pitfalls of Covered Calls

Covered call funds work by selling call options on owned stocks, generating income from option premiums. However, this strategy comes with the downside of losing potential profits if stock prices rise significantly. The income generated is not truly an investment return when considering the overall total returns. Many investors fall into the mental trap of viewing this income separately from capital gains, leading to an overestimation of the fund’s performance. In reality, covered calls rarely achieve better risk-adjusted returns than holding the underlying assets, as options pricing does not favor these strategies long-term.

10:02

📊 Risk Assessment and Covered Call Strategies

Evaluating covered call strategies requires understanding their impact on the distribution of returns. Traditional metrics like the Sharpe ratio are insufficient because they don't account for skewness introduced by options. While covered calls can reduce standard deviation, they also limit upside potential, thus increasing skewness. This skewness represents a form of risk that is often ignored in traditional risk assessments, making covered call funds appear more attractive than they are. More robust metrics that account for skewness show that these strategies tend to underperform their underlying assets, even before considering fees and taxes.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Covered Call

A covered call is a financial strategy where an investor holds a stock and sells a call option on that stock. The video explains that covered calls are often used by investors to generate income through option premiums. However, it also highlights that this strategy can limit the upside potential of the stock, as the investor may be forced to sell the stock at a lower price if the option is exercised. The video critiques this strategy as potentially misleading, offering the appearance of high income while masking the risks involved.

💡Option Premium

An option premium is the price that an option buyer pays to the seller for the right to buy (call) or sell (put) an asset at a specified strike price. In the context of the video, option premiums are a source of income for investors using covered call strategies. However, the video argues that this income is not a true investment return because it is offset by the potential loss of upside in the underlying stock.

💡Strike Price

The strike price is the set price at which the buyer of a call option can purchase the underlying asset, or the price at which the buyer of a put option can sell it. In the covered call strategy discussed in the video, selling a call option at a strike price above the current market price can generate premium income, but it also caps the potential gains if the stock price rises above the strike price.

💡Risk-Adjusted Return

Risk-adjusted return measures an investment's return relative to the risk taken. The video emphasizes that covered call strategies often appear to offer high risk-adjusted returns, but this is a result of flawed financial product design rather than actual performance. The video argues that traditional metrics like the Sharpe ratio may inadequately assess the true risks involved, especially given the skewness and kurtosis introduced by options.

💡Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio is a common measure of risk-adjusted return, calculated as the ratio of an asset's excess return over the standard deviation of that return. The video criticizes the Sharpe ratio for being inadequate in evaluating covered call strategies, as it does not account for the skewness and kurtosis that options introduce to the return distribution. This can lead to a misleadingly high Sharpe ratio, making the strategy appear more attractive than it is.

💡Skewness

Skewness refers to the asymmetry in the distribution of investment returns. Positive skewness indicates more frequent small gains with occasional large losses, while negative skewness indicates frequent small losses with occasional large gains. The video discusses how covered call strategies increase skewness by cutting off the right tail of the return distribution, which can make the strategy appear safer in traditional risk measures, but in reality, it introduces another form of risk.

💡Kurtosis

Kurtosis is a statistical measure that describes the 'tailedness' of the distribution of returns. High kurtosis indicates more frequent extreme returns, either positive or negative. The video explains that options, like those used in covered call strategies, affect the kurtosis of return distributions. Ignoring kurtosis can lead to inadequate assessment of the true risks associated with covered call strategies, as they often increase the likelihood of extreme outcomes.

💡Mental Accounting Bias

Mental accounting bias refers to the tendency of individuals to separate money into different 'accounts' based on subjective criteria, often leading to irrational financial decisions. The video points out that covered call strategies exploit this bias by making investors focus on the income from option premiums without fully considering the potential capital losses from selling the underlying stock below market value. This bias can make the strategy seem more appealing than it is.

💡Tax Efficiency

Tax efficiency refers to how much of an investment's return is retained after taxes. The video argues that covered call funds tend to be less tax-efficient compared to simple stock or bond portfolios due to their high distributions, which are taxed more heavily. This inefficiency, combined with higher fees, makes covered call strategies less attractive when considering total returns after taxes.

💡Manipulation-Proof Performance Measure

The Manipulation-Proof Performance Measure (MPPM) is a performance evaluation metric designed to be resistant to manipulation through strategies like options trading. The video highlights that, unlike the Sharpe ratio, the MPPM accounts for skewness and other complexities in return distributions, providing a more accurate assessment of investment performance. Covered call strategies tend to underperform when evaluated using the MPPM, indicating that their apparent risk-adjusted returns may be overstated.

Highlights

Investors are attracted to covered call funds due to high income yields and seemingly high risk-adjusted returns.

The appearance of high income in covered call strategies is due to clever financial product design, not actual improvements in returns.

Covered call income is not a true investment return, as it exchanges potential upside for option premiums.

Covered call strategies are likely to underperform in the long run, especially when total returns are considered.

The risk-adjusted returns of covered calls seem attractive only when risk is inadequately measured.

Covered calls are less tax-efficient and more expensive compared to traditional stock and bond portfolios.

A common bias among income-oriented investors is treating income and capital separately, which makes covered calls appealing.

The Sharpe ratio, commonly used to measure risk-adjusted returns, is inadequate for evaluating strategies involving options.

Covered call strategies reduce standard deviation but increase skewness, altering the risk distribution in ways that the Sharpe ratio doesn't account for.

The manipulation-proof performance measure shows that covered call strategies underperform less complex strategies when risk is measured properly.

In flat markets, covered call strategies may outperform as option premium income is not offset by foregone appreciation.

Market timing is difficult, and covered calls increase the risk of missing out on positive returns in growing markets.

Despite high distribution yields, covered call strategies do not offer attractive risk-adjusted returns when fully evaluated.

Covered call strategies can appeal to behaviorally biased investors who mentally separate capital and income for spending purposes.

Covered call funds tend to underperform, even before accounting for fees, taxes, and higher implementation costs compared to simple index funds.

Transcripts

play00:00

some investors are attracted to covered

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call funds because of their High income

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yields and seemingly High risk-adjusted

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returns however the appearance of high

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income and high risk adjusted return is

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the result of clever Financial product

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design not of actual improvements to

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returns or risk adjusted returns

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covered call income is not really a net

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investment return covered calls are

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likely to perform poorly in the long run

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and the risk-adjusted returns of covered

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calls are only attractive when risk is

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measured inadequately additionally they

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tend to be less tax efficient and more

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expensive to own than simply investing

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in a portfolio of stocks and bonds

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I'm Ben Felix portfolio manager at pwl

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Capital and I'm going to uncover the

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misleading claims that make covered call

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ETFs seem more attractive than they

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really are a call option is a financial

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contract that gives the option buyer the

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right but not the obligation to purchase

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a security at a set price called the

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strike price a call option that is in

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the money can be exercised to purchase

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the underlying security below its market

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price a covered call means selling a

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call option on a stock that you own

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receiving an option premium in return in

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covered call funds option premiums are

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usually distributed to unit holders

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creating the appearance of extremely

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high income yields but covered calls

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exchange option premiums for lost upside

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potential on the underlying shares this

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means that the income they distribute is

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not really an investment return When

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total returns are considered when an

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option is sold the seller receives

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income from the option premium but they

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also take on the liability that the

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option could be exercised requiring them

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to sell the underlying shares below

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market value to the option buyer this

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embedded liability can more than offset

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the option premium income but that's

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easy to miss due to the mental

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accounting bias that causes many people

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to treat income and capital separately

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in their minds this bias is common among

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income oriented investors and covered

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calls appeal to investors biases and

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cognitive errors in reality we would not

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expect covered call strategies to have

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higher risk-adjusted returns than their

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underlying assets unless options are

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overpriced making the income yield

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figure that people often get so excited

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about somewhere between irrelevant and

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overstated the measure of risk matters a

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lot in making judgments about

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risk-adjusted returns options affect

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higher moments of the return

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distribution including skewness and

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kurtosis a common measure of risk

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adjusted returns is the sharp ratio the

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ratio of an asset's excess return over

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the standard deviation of the excess

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return this metric is inadequate for

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assessing the performance of strategies

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containing options due to their effect

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on the shape of the distribution

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the sharp ratio follows Harry Markowitz

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mean variance framework which assumes

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that the mean and standard deviation of

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single period returns are sufficient for

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evaluating the relative attractiveness

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of investment portfolios if you imagine

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a normal distribution which is fully

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described by its mean and standard

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deviation the distribution of outcomes

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will be symmetrical about the mean

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writing call options slightly improves

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the left tail by the amount of the

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option premium and completely cuts off

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the right tail at the option strike

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price reducing standard deviation while

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increasing skewness the effect is a

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mechanical increase in the sharp ratio

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but skewness is another form of risk

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that investors care about so ignoring it

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in the evaluation of risk adjusted

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returns for a strategy that we know has

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a skewed distribution simply does not

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make sense

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other evaluation metrics better suited

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to assessing strategies with skewed

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distributions demonstrate that covered

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calls will tend to underperform their

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underlying assets even before fees costs

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and taxes are considered this should not

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be a surprise given how important the

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right tale of the distribution which is

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cut off in a covered call strategy is to

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stock returns investment managers make

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game whether intentionally or not you

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can be the judge common performance

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evaluation metrics like the sharp ratio

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by using options and other complex

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strategies this gaming works even in the

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face of high costs metrics like the

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aptly named manipulation proof

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performance measure have been developed

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specifically to be free from option

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related manipulation and through this

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lens covered calls are dominated by less

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complex strategies another way to

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explain all this is that any abnormal

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risk-adjusted performance of covered

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call writing is largely driven by the

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disregard of skewness

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to be fair even if an objective

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assessment suggests that covered calls

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are sub-optimal the strategy may be

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useful for behaviorally biased investors

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who rely on the mental separation of

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capital and income to determine their

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spending and wants to spend down their

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portfolio aggressively my comments so

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far have mostly ignored fees costs and

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taxes but these are major considerations

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due to their High distributions covered

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call funds will typically be less tax

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efficient for taxable investors than the

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underlying stock index and their fees

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will tend to be higher using xyld as an

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example the fee to own the fund is 60

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basis points compared to 10 basis points

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for spy and three basis points for vo

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products implementing covered call

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strategies will also tend to have higher

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implementation costs than simple index

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funds investing in the same underlying

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assets taking a step back and looking

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more broadly at a sample of mutual funds

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in general live funds using covered

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calls tend to underperform measured by

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excess return and the manipulation proof

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performance measure it is true that in a

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flat Market covered call strategies will

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outperform since the option premium

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income will not be offset by foregone

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appreciation in the underlying

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securities an investor who believes that

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the market or a segment of the market

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will be flat or slightly negative May

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Implement covered calls to generate

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returns but Market timing is hard it's

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not possible to predict a flat market

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and covered calls introduce the

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possibility of missing out on positive

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returns which over time tend to outweigh

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flat and negative returns covered call

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funds are often sold as high income

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strategies with attractive risk-adjusted

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returns examined with appropriate

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consideration for Total return and

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assessment tools that account for

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skewness in the distribution of returns

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they are neither High income nor do they

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have attractive risk adjusted returns

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they appeal to the behavioral biases and

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cognitive errors of investors which in

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some cases may be fine but in general

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and especially for investors who want to

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behave rationally covered calls are an

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objectively sub-optimal strategy most of

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the time thanks for watching I'm Ben

play06:22

Felix portfolio manager at pwl Capital

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if you enjoyed this video please share

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it with someone who won't stop telling

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you about their covered call ETFs

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before you go I want to share a couple

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of short clips from mayor statman and

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cam Harvey two giants in the world of

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academic Finance discussing some of the

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topics that I covered in this video both

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Clips are from episodes of my podcast

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the irrational reminder podcast

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that's a really nice way to explain it

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from the other direction

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what about strategies like uh like

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covered calls and Structured Products

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why are those so attractive to normal

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investors

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well they're attractive because of of

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the way they are framed ah people hate

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losses and they hit hate the prospect of

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losses uh and so let's say that that you

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uh

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buy a share and and a broker says to you

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you know why don't you do covet calls

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why don't you sell call options uh

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against it and and they say look in fact

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I take that from a manual for Brokers uh

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by by gross and and what he says is

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you're going to have in a Cupboard call

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three posts three uh sources of profit

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first you still hold the stock

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so you'll get dividends that's one

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source uh second you'll get a premium

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from selling that car that's another

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source and throw it because you're going

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to write that call with an exercise

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price higher than the current price you

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will have the third one because if it is

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called uh then let's say that that the

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exercise price is 55 and the stock is at

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50 you'll still get that five percent

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uh five five dollar rather between 50

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and 55 dollars and then he says you know

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what you're going to lose are those

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uncertain things that happen if the

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price goes beyond 55 but of course

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if you uh find that the stock price has

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gone not to 55 but to 75 you're going to

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again feel like an idiot with regrets

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and so what people do people are kind of

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fooled by this framing of three sources

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of losses and they don't realize that

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when they buy a call somebody is selling

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that call and that somebody might not be

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stupid uh that somebody might know

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something and that that you don't and so

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and so it is really again rationally

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speaking uh it makes little sense but

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behaviorally normally it does it does it

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make sense and so uh this is covered

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calls

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do you think that's being used enough in

play09:28

practice like we still hear about mean

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and variance a ton and not not as much

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about cenus

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yeah it's remarkable to me that it's

play09:36

been so many years

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and we still make the mistake

play09:41

of operating in like a mean and variance

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world

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uh it or people will take a look at

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different investment strategies and pick

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the one with the highest sharp ratio

play09:55

well

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let's take a step back

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the high sharp ratio might be a strategy

play10:02

that has got a giant downside

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so it's got negative skew and then the

play10:08

lower sharp ratio maybe has the positive

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skew so so the variation in the sharp

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ratio is purely

play10:16

explained by the risk

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so this is really important because

play10:21

often people will claim that their

play10:25

trading strategies got like some Alpha

play10:28

uh and and then you ask them well how

play10:33

are you measuring that Alpha as well

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we're using the capital asset pricing

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models

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well that's only appropriate if you only

play10:41

care about mean and variance

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so you could have

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um you know a giant downside

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and that's generating on average higher

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returns

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but it's but it's purely a risk indeed

play10:57

I've got an exam question that I've used

play10:59

and hopefully my students don't listen

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to your podcast

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um so and it is a true story

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um

play11:08

that a student gets me on the phone an

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alumnus so graduated a number of years

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ago and

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wanted to use some of my materials was

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seeking permission

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and I said well what do you do

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and they said well we're incredibly

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successful we're close to a billion

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dollars uh AUM and the strategy is

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really simple all we do is we buy the s

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p 500.

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uh nothing fancy

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but then we consistently write out of

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the money put options

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and and then we've done like two to

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three hundred basis points of Val file

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uh every year and and the fund is

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growing

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so I have had many students I thought

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this might be one of my students and I

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said you didn't take my course and asset

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management did you

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and they said uh no I I didn't take it

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but that was a mistake

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I said well

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um I know you didn't take it because you

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actually have zero Alpha

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what you're doing is just increasing the

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risk of the portfolio the what you think

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is Alpha is just a compensation

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protecting risk and at some point

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there's going to be a drawdown in the

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market and and you're going to greatly

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underperform

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[Music]

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where are you

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