MUST BUY Running Backs Ahead of Week 3

Summary

In this video, the hosts discuss strategies for fantasy football, focusing on the running back position. They analyze players like Zamir White, Jonathan Taylor, and Travis Etienne, offering insights on their current performance and potential for the rest of the season. The hosts suggest buying low on underperforming but promising players and selling high on those exceeding expectations. They also touch on the importance of understanding market value and making smart trades to bolster fantasy teams.

Takeaways

• 🏈 The discussion focuses on buy and sell recommendations for running backs in fantasy football, highlighting specific players and their current market values.
• 📈 Zamir White of the Las Vegas Raiders is suggested as a 'buy' due to increased workload and potential for more touches, despite being on a struggling offense.
• 📉 Jonathan Taylor is considered a 'buy' despite a recent decrease in snaps, with the expectation that his usage will increase as the Colts' offense improves.
• 🤔 There's a 'buy' recommendation for Jonathan Brooks of the Carolina Panthers, with the argument that the team's offense may improve with Andy Dalton and that Brooks has a three-down profile.
• 📉 Travis Etienne is pitched as a 'buy' opportunity because of his potential to become a mid-RB1 once the Jaguars' offense finds its rhythm.
• 🔝 Alvin Kamara is a top 'sell' candidate due to his high market value and the possibility of his current high performance not being sustainable.
• 🤷‍♂️ There's a debate on whether to sell or hold onto JK Dobbins, with the argument being that his current value might be inflated and he could be traded for safer assets.
• 📉 The script suggests selling high on players like Alvin Kamara and JK Dobbins, who are performing well but might not maintain their current levels throughout the season.
• 🏦 The importance of price in trading is emphasized; if a player's perceived value is higher than their projected rest-of-season value, it might be wise to trade them away.
• 📊 The script also mentions the use of additional assets or 'sweeteners' in trades to leverage a player's current high value into more valuable or consistent performers.

Q & A

Who does the speaker recommend as the first 'buy' at the running back position?

The first 'buy' at the running back position recommended is Zamir White of the Las Vegas Raiders.

What was the reason for optimism regarding Zamir White's performance in week two?

The reason for optimism regarding Zamir White's performance in week two was a significant increase in workload, with over 60% of the snaps, over 50% of the team rushing attempts, and 53% of the team targets.

What does the speaker suggest about potentially trading a wide receiver for Zamir White?

The speaker suggests that if you drafted a zero running back team and have a wide receiver like Khil Shakir sitting on your bench, you could trade them for a guy like Zamir White to increase your running back touches.

Who is the expensive 'buy' at the running back position mentioned in the script?

The expensive 'buy' at the running back position mentioned is Jonathan Taylor.

Why is Jonathan Taylor considered a good 'buy' despite the Colts' negative game script?

Jonathan Taylor is considered a good 'buy' because he had 95% of the snaps in week one and is expected to have more red zone opportunities as the Colts' offense improves with the return of Michael Pittman Jr. and better play from Anthony Richardson.

What is the speaker's opinion on the Carolina Panthers' offense?

The speaker is quietly optimistic about the Panthers' offense, noting that the offensive line has performed better than expected and that Andy Dalton could provide stability at the quarterback position.

Who is the gritty 'buy' suggested for the running back position and why?

The gritty 'buy' suggested is Jonathan Brooks of the Carolina Panthers. The reason is that despite the team's poor start, the speaker believes in Brooks' potential as an rb2 level appeal once he returns from injury and the offense stabilizes.

What is the speaker's stance on trading for Travis Etienne?

The speaker believes Travis Etienne is a good buy because he averages good PPR points and the Jaguars' offense is expected to improve, especially with the potential for more passing plays which could increase Etienne's receiving workload.

Why is Alvin Kamara considered a 'sell high' candidate according to the speaker?

Alvin Kamara is considered a 'sell high' candidate because he is currently performing exceptionally well, but the speaker believes the Saints' offense, and by extension Kamara's production, is overperforming and due for regression.

What is the advice given regarding JK Dobbins' current market value?

The advice given is to sell JK Dobbins if his market value is that of a top-five running back because his current usage does not match that of other top-five running backs, and any potential negative incident could significantly devalue him.

Outlines

00:00

🏈 Zamir White's Potential Upside

The first paragraph discusses the Las Vegas Raiders' running back Zamir White, who despite being on a struggling team, shows promise due to his increased workload. White's performance in week two, where he had over 60% of snaps and 50% of the team's rushing attempts, indicates a significant role. The speaker suggests that if White continues to get this kind of usage, he could be a valuable fantasy football asset, especially for those who drafted a high-profile running back but are underperforming. The suggestion is to possibly trade a bench receiver for White, aiming to capitalize on his potential increased touches.

05:01

🚀 Jonathan Taylor's Undervalued Opportunity

In the second paragraph, the focus is on Jonathan Taylor of the Indianapolis Colts, who, despite a decrease in snaps due to a negative game script, is considered a strong buy. The speaker argues that Taylor's usage in week one was high, and the reduced usage in week two was likely an anomaly. They predict that with the return of Josh DS and a potential shift in the Colts' offensive strategy, Taylor's value in the red zone could increase. The paragraph suggests that Taylor could be a mid-round two level asset, and if available at a discount, he's a smart acquisition for fantasy teams.

10:03

🤔 Jonathan Brooks: A Risky, Yet Promising Prospect

Paragraph three talks about Jonathan Brooks of the Carolina Panthers, who has been sidelined due to injury but is anticipated to return. The speaker expresses cautious optimism about Brooks's potential, given the Panthers' improved offensive line and the possibility of a more stable quarterback situation with Andy Dalton. They suggest that Brooks, who has a three-down profile, could be an rb2 level player and might be undervalued due to the team's poor start. The advice is to consider acquiring Brooks before his potential rise in value once he returns to the field.

15:04

📈 Travis Etienne's Fluctuating Value

The fourth paragraph centers on Travis Etienne of the Jacksonville Jaguars, who despite his team's offensive struggles, is averaging decent PPR points. The speaker believes that Etienne's value might be undervalued due to the team's poor performances but sees potential for improvement. They suggest that if the Jaguars adjust their strategy to involve more passing, Etienne's receiving workload could increase, boosting his fantasy value. The speaker proposes exploring trades that could net Etienne plus additional value in exchange for other assets.

20:06

🔍 Alvin Kamara's High-Risk, High-Reward Status

The final paragraph addresses Alvin Kamara of the New Orleans Saints, who is performing exceptionally well but whose value might be overinflated due to his team's strong start. The speaker advises selling high on Kamara, especially if one can acquire top-tier running backs like Christian McCaffrey or others in addition to Kamara. They argue that Kamara's current value might be unsustainable and that his efficiency could decline, making it wise to capitalize on his current market value. The paragraph suggests that Kamara is a prime candidate for a sell-high strategy in fantasy football.

Keywords

💡Buys and Sells

In the context of the video, 'buys and sells' refer to the strategy of acquiring or trading for certain players in fantasy football who are undervalued or overvalued, respectively. The video discusses players who are 'buys' because they show potential for better performance despite current stats, and 'sells' for players who might be performing well now but could decline. For example, Zamir White is mentioned as a 'buy' due to his increased workload and potential for more touches in future games.

💡Workload

Workload in this video pertains to the number of carries, touches, or snaps a running back gets in a game, which is a key indicator of their potential for scoring in fantasy football. A higher workload typically translates to more opportunities to gain yards and score, thus increasing their fantasy value. Zamir White is highlighted as a player with an increasing workload, suggesting better days ahead in terms of fantasy points.

💡PPR Points

PPR stands for 'Points Per Reception' and is a scoring system used in fantasy football where players receive points for each pass they catch. The video mentions PPR points to evaluate a player's performance, especially in the context of pass-catching running backs. Zamir White, for instance, is said to have scored 6.8 PPR points in his first two weeks, indicating his involvement in the passing game.

💡Snaps

Snaps refer to the number of plays a player is on the field for during a game. In the video, the percentage of snaps a running back participates in is used as an indicator of their importance to the team's offensive strategy and their potential fantasy output. Over 60% of snaps for Zamir White in week two is noted as a significant uptick in usage.

💡Red Zone

The 'red zone' in American football is the area on the field between the 20-yard line and the goal line, where scoring opportunities are most frequent. In fantasy football analysis, a player's red zone performance is crucial as it often leads to touchdowns. Jonathan Taylor's value in the red zone is emphasized, suggesting he's more likely to score touchdowns, thus boosting his fantasy points.

💡Game Script

Game script in fantasy football refers to how a game's flow and score can impact a player's opportunities. For instance, if a team is behind, they might pass more, affecting the running back's touches. The video discusses how a negative game script affected Jonathan Taylor's usage in a game against the Packers, suggesting it was an anomaly rather than a trend.

💡Volume

Volume in the context of fantasy football indicates the number of opportunities a player has to perform, such as carries or targets. High volume typically correlates with more fantasy points. The video suggests that Zamir White might be a 'cheap projectable volume' in fantasy, meaning he could see a lot of touches at a low cost.

💡Fantasy Points

Fantasy points are the scoring units accumulated by a player in fantasy football based on their real-life performance. The video script discusses how certain players' fantasy points have not aligned with expectations, such as Zamir White's 6.8 PPR points in the first two weeks, indicating underperformance relative to his draft position or role.

💡Rest of Season (ROS)

ROS in fantasy football refers to the projected performance of a player for the remainder of the season. It's used to evaluate trades and player values looking ahead. The video uses ROS to discuss how a player like Alvin Kamara might be valued differently now versus what his projected value could be for the rest of the season, suggesting a potential sell-high opportunity.

💡Regression Candidate

A 'regression candidate' in fantasy football is a player who is performing exceptionally well but is expected to decline in performance due to various factors like injury risk or unsustainable performance levels. The video identifies Alvin Kamara as a potential regression candidate, suggesting that his current high level of performance might not continue.

Highlights

Discussion on buying and selling running backs in fantasy football, focusing on Zamir White and his potential despite being on a bad offense.

Zamir White's increased workload in week two, including over 60% of snaps and 53% of team rushes, indicating better days ahead.

Antonio Pierce's commitment to feeding Zamir White the ball, suggesting a promising outlook for his fantasy value.

Recommendation to target Zamir White as a cheap source of volume in fantasy football for those needing running back help.

Analysis of Jonathan Taylor's situation, suggesting a buy despite a negative game script in week two.

Jonathan Taylor's high snap percentage in week one and the potential for a more run-heavy game plan going forward.

The potential return of Josh DS to the Colts offense and its impact on Jonathan Taylor's fantasy value.

The importance of red zone opportunities for Jonathan Taylor's fantasy production.

The case for buying Jonathan Brooks of the Carolina Panthers, despite the team's poor offensive start.

Optimism about the Panthers' offensive line and the potential for Jonathan Brooks to have an rb2 level appeal.

Discussion on the potential for the Panthers' offense to improve with Andy Dalton and the impact on Brooks' value.

Travis Etienne's value as a buy in fantasy football, with an average of 14.3 PPR points and potential for a more pass-heavy offense.

The argument for selling Alvin Kamara due to the high points scored and the potential for regression in the Saints' offense.

Alvin Kamara's current market value and the strategy for selling high to acquire safer, more consistent running backs.

JK Dobbins' surprising performance and the recommendation to sell high while his value is at a peak.

The risk of injury or performance decline with JK Dobbins and the strategy to capitalize on his current value.

Transcripts

we are bringing you guys a bunch of buys

and sells at the running back position

earlier today we talked about wide

receivers we were going to do these all

inone video but there is a lot of great

buys out there this week so we broke it

up into two videos Danny let's not waste

any time let's talk about your first buy

at the running back position yeah and I

would plug my nose if I were you guys

watching right now because this is a guy

that is pretty stinky is on a bad

offense but the workload would indicate

better days are ahead for zamir white

running back obviously of the Las Vegas

Raiders and when it comes to zamir white

for me it is pretty simple as this

people were drafting zamir white for the

early season production that he would

bring he was going to get a ton of

touches he was going to carry the ball a

ton we obviously heard Antonio Pierce

talking a very good name of zamir white

across the entirety of the off season

but the fantasy points just haven't

followed so far he's actually scored 6.8

PPR points in both of his first two

weeks but the reason why I'm impressed

with what he was able to do in week two

is we saw a big time usage uptick week

one we were saying like oh is Antonio

Pierce a fraud like he was talking about

all this offseason that he wants to feed

his Bell cow running back which he's

referred to as air white eyes oh he's

the focal point of our offense he's our

offensive identity we want to feed him

that didn't end up happening in week one

however in week two over 60% of the

snaps over 50% of the team rushing

attempts and most importantly 53% of the

team rades this was a guy that was

viewed as a two down Banger this was a

guy that could be game scripted out of

games that was a thesis that we had

coming into the year but if he's going

to be playing over 50% of the team

routes and actually getting some Targets

in the passing game I do think he's a

much better projection than he was

coming into the season we also have

heard Antonio Pierce literally double

down that they want to get zamir white

the ball and I do think that's going to

be the case moving forward if these

snaps keep up zamir white should be in

the running for 15 plus week de touches

if you drafted a hero running back team

zamir white might be the cheapest

projectable volume in fantasy right now

yeah like I think prior to last week I

would have said Devon Singletary was but

then Deon single had a great game so you

could definitely make the argument that

right now let's say you drafted a hero

RB build and you were counting on Chase

Brown and Rico D and guys that we told

you to draft that haven't necessarily

worked out so far you could probably

trade your bench khil Shakir or whatever

receiver that you have sitting on your

bench out for a guy like zamir white and

Bank some touches behind your Bree hall

or your Devon hn or whatever running

back that you might have anchoring out

your core so I do like that call

especially for people that watch us

there's probably a good chance that you

guys are maybe in need of some cheap

running back reduction the other guys

that we're going to talk about in this

video definitely more on the expensive

side particularly the two that I'm

talking about um but I do think if

you're going to go cheap zamir white is

is virtually free and like there's a

good chance he might even be dropped in

some people's leagues yeah I mean people

are going to see the points people are

going to think about the Raiders offense

people are going to see how good the

passing weapons have been and think well

zamir white is just not going to be the

guy that I drafted him to be and people

might have drafted him you know in the

fifth sixth seventh round but because of

how reactionary leagues are he might be

viewed as a mid tier type of bench

option for a lot of people especially

I'm telling you right now a lot of the

people that drafted Samir white probably

drafted him as their rb3 rb4 and just

have no expectations for him right now

yeah no exactly I think he's one of the

cheapest volume bets that you can

probably get and also too like mchu

Bowers Adams this offense is looking

better than we thought it was going to

like I I said it on the wide receiver

video but I thought with Devonte Adams

specifically my biggest concern was like

the Carolina Panthers what they look

like I thought that's what the Raiders

were going to look like and the Raiders

look functional they don't look great

they're not awesome offense but they

look functional and they just literally

Ravens they literally just beat one of

the best AFC contenders in the NFL so

yeah I mean they hung 26 on the Ravens

defense that only allowed 27 to the

Chiefs so again I'm not saying that the

Raiders are going to be one point within

the Chiefs on a weekly basis but that

goes to show you that maybe they aren't

the complete dumpster fire that some

including us may have projected yeah

absolutely so uh my running back buy is

going to cost you a pretty penny but

Jonathan Taylor I think is one of the

best I you don't really see often that

in sharp and in home casual leagues

there's a guy that is a buy universally

across the board and to me sharp League

mates are going to look at the fact that

he played 49% of the snaps and that and

you it was literally your reaction when

I said Jonathan Taylor should be a good

buy because it was a negative game

script they were losing to the Packers

in the second half they took Jonathan

Taylor off the field in favor of Trey

Surman and some of the guys that I guess

they trust more to run routes and pass

protect but the reason I'm not worried

about Jonathan Taylor is this number one

he had 95% of the snaps in week one and

they were losing for three quarters of

that game so I think it was a blip on

the radar type of situation usage wise

they trailed for literally every minute

of that game except for 10 against the

Houston Texans in week one I also think

that the janga piece of this offense is

Anthony Richardson running and Anthony

Richardson did not run that much in week

two and I think Shane Sten is a very

smart coach I think he's going to look

at the film and he's going to say kid

you can't throw the ball like you threw

it against Green Bay and expect to win

if you can't throw the ball down field

and make the easy layups you should be

running and I think that is going to

help Jonathan Taylor the most and I also

think that the Colts offense getting

Josh DS back which I think he will be

back this week is a massive Jenga piece

of the offense as well because Anthony

Richardson has no over the-middle

consistent production right now they

don't have a tight end to speak of Alec

Pierce is playing well but he's a deep

threat ad Mitchell has looked pretty

decent at times but he's a deep threat

Michael Pitman is not playing at a high

level right now I think that Jonathan

Taylor will be in a better situation

going forward with this offense Anthony

Richardson has started like five NFL

games like there's a very good chance

going into week six week seven week

eight week 10 that the Colts offense

looks more and more functional and

Anthony Richardson looks better and

better and to me I think Josh downs and

him running is how he's going to get by

for the next couple of weeks and it's

going to help Jonathan Taylor get Red

Zone opportunities because the bottom

line is that is where Jonathan Taylor is

valuable is in the red zone he's not

ever going to be a great Elite Target

share running back we know this now for

the last five years he's been in the

league I'll push back a little bit

because I do think there is some concern

there specifically because of what we

saw in week one because in week one we

saw him handle 88% of the long down and

distance snaps we saw him handle 100% of

the short down and distance snaps and we

didn't really see that come to fruition

this week again I'm still on board which

game were they more competitive in and

which game did Richardson look better in

that's what I'm thinking siken is gonna

be like okay we need Taylor on the field

that was stupid of us to not do that I

agree I'm just saying I do think after

week one we could have possibly thought

okay 88% of the routes maybe he would

get some type of receiving work but I

think honestly after this week my view

of him coming into the season is about

where I am at with him and again if

people are viewing him as lesser than

they had him coming into the season

that's when you want to be buying I just

thought after week one maybe we could

have seen a little bit more of a jump in

the receiving game which we didn't again

I'm still comfortable projecting him as

a mid round two level asset so if you

can get him for round three price tages

because he's only averaging 13.2 PPR

points per game obviously he's still

going to be a buy yeah and like when you

look at who they're playing the next

couple of weeks the teams that they're

playing you don't want to throw the ball

against them the Chicago Bears you don't

want to throw the ball against them you

want to run the ball they're top seven

defense in dvoa against the pass right

now and the Pittsburgh Steelers is their

next opponent you do not want to throw

the ball against the Pittsburgh Steelers

their top five defense in defensive dvoa

against the paths right now and even the

Jaguars and Titans like they've actually

been pretty good against the pass and

lesser against the run so I do think

that Jonathan Taylor has some better

matchups coming out uh coming up and I

do think that Anthony Richardson is

going to start to play a little bit

better he had I think he had a bit of a

rote Awakening I trust that he's a smart

enough quarterback and Sh Shane Sten is

coaching him well enough to know that

they're going to adjust the game plan as

he learns what he can and can't get away

with last week was one of those games

where you're like you just can't make

that throw you can't do that you can't

um you know all the things that he

missed and messed up last week it was

learning experiences this a quarterback

in his fifth NFL start right now yeah

100% this offense will be better and

like you said the touchdown Equity that

Jonathan Taylor has in this offense is

massive so I agree with you in that

regard I do still think he's a buy but I

will say if people are thinking that

maybe he can be a 88% route share player

maybe more of a receiving threat that is

where I think I would disagree in

however again even if you're just

getting the goal line touches the

touchdown equity in this offense he has

a mid-range rb1 to late end rb1 type of

projection regardless yeah I still think

he could be a highend rb1 I think the

offense could end up being good he's a

highend rb1 because if he he's scoring

every game he can be a high and rb1

that's where I'm at with him he's my rb6

rest of the season for that reason yeah

again I have him I believe rb7 the only

difference I have is actually one of the

Cs you have listed later so we'll get

into that in a second but um ju I just

view the weekly ceilings of guys like

you know Barkley hen bjon Bree Hall uh

whichever 49ers running back is in the

game as having a higher weekly s than

Jonathan Taylor well I mean every one of

those guys is ranked higher than

Jonathan Taylor except for Jordan Mason

for me so I I'm not on any different

page with that fair enough fair enough

so uh we'll move on to my second buy and

this one's a little gritty this one

takes a little bit of Galaxy brain I

understand you're going to hear the

offense at this guy's on and think well

I don't want assets from the Carolina

Panthers but Jonathan Brooks is

different and again this is a Galaxy

brain but let's just paint the picture

the guy who drafted Brooks in your

league I understand he understood going

into that draft pick he has to be

patient he's not going to play the first

four games it was more of a long-term

play but since he made that draft pick

the Carolina Panthers have look like an

0 and 17 football team that just BS

their former first overall pick if he is

panicking right now thinking that this

offense is going to be a dumpster fire

and Jonathan Brooks when he comes back

is just going to be on the worst offense

in the NFL there's no upside here I'm

actually quietly optimistic about the

Panthers offense I know that sounds

disgusting you're probably watching this

like how can you be excited about this

Panthers offense they have literally

looked horrific to start the season Andy

Dalton is actually quite the floor

raiser for this team and this offensive

line has been playing a lot better than

people want to anticipate I mean this is

actually tweeted out by Panthers 247 but

the overall Panthers offensive line unit

has quietly been one of the more

impressive units compared to expectation

coming to the year people expected this

to be an awful offensive line but the

free agency Acquisitions they made

obviously Robert hunt Damen Lewis the

two big-time guards EA makanu going into

his third season at tackle have really

helped establish this offensive line the

problem honestly has been I hate to

admit this Bryce young it looks like he

doesn't trust the situation around him

and that was the reason he got benched

there was literally reports that in the

locker room the wide receivers the

offensive line had seen enough of Bryce

young which is why he got benched Andy

Dalton back there veteran quarterback

when Jonathan Brooks comes back I think

he has an rb2 level appeal and people

are basically treating him in as

treating him as a throw in at this point

because they don't trust the offense

they don't trust him coming off the

injury and they know that if they

drafted Jonathan Brooks in the seventh

round eighth round it's much more likely

that they're 0 and2 or one and one than

two- 0 at this current point because

they invested that Capital into Brook so

if they're panicking they need to play

this week might be able to get a Plus on

top of Jonathan Brooks for like your

Brian Robinson and I would do that every

single time yeah especially if you can

handle you know holding him for another

I would say you won't be able to start

Jonathan Brooks even though he's slated

to come back in week five probably you

probably won't be able to start him

until week six week seven probably so uh

that's that's where I'd be at with

Jonathan Brooks make sure your position

is that you're two and0 and that you

have depth and that you can handle

losing them like for example in my home

League I drafted Jonathan Brooks I'm one

and one right now I ran a hero RB

Jonathan Brooks was always GNA be my

late season rb2 behind Bree Hall but I

locked into JK Dobbins so I'm not P at

all on Jonathan Brooks so if your team

is in that position then you obviously

wouldn't want to be selling Jonathan

Brooks conversely but if your team is in

let's say the inverse position where I

have Bree Hall and I have no running

back two right now then maybe somebody

would be SE willing to sell Jonathan

Brooks off for a Brian Robinson or

somebody like that yeah on top of that

the also underrated part about Jonathan

Brooks is he has a complete three- down

profile it's not like you're getting a

two down back when he comes back two

down backs then we're a little bit more

concerned about the offensive prowess in

terms of game scripts but tell you right

now out of him chuba hubard miles

Sanders who's going to get the third

down snaps who's going to get the long

down and distance snaps it's going to be

Jonathan Brooks because he was an elite

receiving Prospect coming out of Texas

yeah and the other guys have looked

awful so far and maybe they look better

because Andy Dalton has like a Mike

White on the Jets effect of this offense

once Zach Wilson was benched we saw what

Mike White did to the rest of the

offense it's possible that that's where

Bryce young is at in the locker room

right now but uh regardless I think if

you're going to if that's going to

happen you should buy Brooks before it

happens right if if Andy Dalton looks

fine and he's going to be a you know

functional stabilizing force on this

offense then Jonathan Brooks going be

worth a lot more once he comes back than

he was um you know in the current

iteration of what we've seen of Carolina

and I guess you can say that I can put

put him on this list in week three and

week four once we have more information

I'm genuinely nervous that Andy dson is

going to go out there this offense is

going to look like a complete dumpster

fire and people are going to realize

that Jonathan Brooks has upside when he

comes back so the reason why he is on

this week's trade Target show and not

next week's or the week Afters is I

think the pessimism on the panther

situation is as dire as it will be yeah

and it's possible though that Andy

Dalton looks just as bad as Bryce young

did and they lose to the Raiders and

they're not in a very good spot but also

possible that Andy Dalton Mike whites

this offense like I said and then you're

buying Windows officially closed on

Jonathan Brooks because the person who

drafted Jonathan Brooks is like okay

yeah Andy Dalton's gonna be great for

this team and Jonathan Brooks G be an

rb1 by the time he gets back so uh

Travis etn is the last buy of this video

and I think etn is one of these guys

that is such an easy target to hate on

because he fumbles the ball when he's

not supposed to but he's averaging 14.3

PPR points in probably like a floor

situation for Jacksonville they scored

less than 20 points in the last two

games that they've played they blew a

lead in week one the bills Texans and

Colts are their next couple matchups

specifically the bills and Texans being

offenses that can score and I don't

believe that Trevor Lawrence and this

team are going to fall to 0 and four I

think that they're going to be

competitive they have a good quarterback

they have a good passing game they have

a good running back specifically Travis

etn who was top eight running back in

Fantasy last year and tank bsby is now

probably going to be out for the next

couple weeks months maybe with the

shoulder injury that he suffered so

you're getting Travis CN a guy who

projects as a mid rb1 always has always

will in this offense that I think will

start to perform better I think they're

going to go back to the drawing board

look at the tape what isn't working what

is and what isn't working for the

Jacksonville Jaguars right now is that

they're trying to be a runhe heavy

offense and that might sound like

contradiction for Travis etn but Travis

etn is a phenomenal receiver and if they

throw the ball more and they're they're

looking at Brian Thomas open every

single route and they're looking at

Christian Kirk doing his thing and you

know whatever else they're going to

decide probably especially against the

bills and Texans who are going to put up

points that they need to throw the ball

more and that's where Travis cn's

receiving workload could come from so

some of the trades that you guys can see

here where you can uh you know downgrade

from Devonte Adams in case you're in

need of a running back I think that's a

totally fine move to make if you can

send off uh this one trade here this

Jamar Chase Calvin Ridley and David

Montgomery trade for CD lamb Travis etn

and lock it just as a throw in I think

you're upgrading your starting lineup in

that situation from David Montgomery as

well and if you don't need the wide

receiver depth with that Calvin Ridley

side of that deal it makes sense so for

me I look at Travis etn and I I think

you know this might be a hot take

because my number one sell we're gonna

talk about in a second and we can maybe

even just pivot right into it I would

rather have etn than Alvin cero rest of

the season you're crazy you're crazy I

would still take CRA because chimra is

literally the rv1 in fantasy attached to

a top five to 10 offense I like etn the

Jag are nowhere close to the same I

think both of these offenses will

balance out to middle of the road

offenses over the next four to five

weeks I think Bay BU as far as how good

of an offense they are that sounds like

Buccaneers copium to me again I agree

that people are going to be severely

downgrading etn right now and people are

going to be overvaluing chimra but to

say you take etn over cherra that that's

outrageous I I I really think that's

outrageous at this point I mean you

could easily get etn Plus for Chima but

even straight up if I was forced to make

the decision I would prefer CRA because

the other thesis of CRA and let's just

pivot right into him because he is my

number one cell it's all about price

with CRA chimra is expensive as

right now if you drafted him in the

fourth fifth sixth round and nobody's

willing to give you rb1 or top five top

10 RB production then by all means keep

Alvin CRA it's all about price so we

always talk about and there's a good

chance you're two and0 if you drafted

Alvin chimra because he is in a really

really good spot and he had 40 points

this past week 33 points per game so far

he's been outstanding but Alvin chra

this is precisely why you should look to

tear up specifically if you can get

close to Bree beon Barkley aan Gibbs

anybody like that the reason for that is

because C is doing so great he looks so

great this offense is so great Clint

kubak is a genius Derek Carr

looks like an MVP candidate I get that

but is that gonna continue do we

actually think that the Saints are going

to be top five offense in the NFL to me

I think they are probably more likely a

top 15 offense that is overperforming

our expectations for them coming into

the season but they're not going to

continue to put up 40 points against

playoff contenders every single week and

it's the same thing I said about Shahed

in our wide receiver video I think this

is a great offense I think it has a

chance to be a really good offense but I

think they've been overperforming the

last two weeks it's all optimism no

pessimism on Alvin CRA he's still old he

could still get banged up he could still

lose some efficiency I'm not going to

count on kendre Miller coming back to

eaten do his workload his workload is

probably fine but I think the efficiency

side of things the second he deals with

a tweaked ankle or something is

something that could um result in it

being worse and same goes for Derek Carr

in the way that the rest of the offense

is playing fantasy football regression

candidates according to Hayden Winks

Alvin CH is right up there he is like

the number one regression candidate in

fantasy he had I think he was RB 10 in

expected usage coming into the week and

he had 44 points in fantasy because he

scored a million times yeah no I I don't

disagree of Alvin chra being a sell high

but I'm not selling high for etn like

I'm not selling him for etn again you

would need a market value you should be

able to get etn Plus for him and if it's

etn plus a significant piece I'm

perfectly fine with it said again that's

my rb6 versus I believe my rb10 rb9 on

the season with etn so I don't think

it's outrageous with the principal I

just think saying etn over him straight

up is outrageous at this point knowing

that camra's market man like you said

you might be able to get any running

back Sans Bree Hall and bejon Robinson

for Alvin cero on the market right now

and that's why I agree with the with the

theory of trading him on the market

because if you can get Barkley hen you

can get Jon you might be able to get

Jonathan Taylor Plus or I mean if we're

looking at that range of running backs

let's just say uh like what's another

one in that range that we can think of

um somebody would be willing to probably

give you like James Cook and tank Dell

for for Alvin CRA right now you know

what I mean like that's where we're at

and I would do again with etn too it's

like try and get another piece on top of

him for Alvin chra if you can um but

it's also possible you're not able to do

that and again and in that case you hold

chimra if Chima is valued appropriately

the same with any sell that we talk

about for the rest of the season Alvin

CRA to me is RB 10 rest of season rb9

rest of season if that's about what he's

valued as in your league then you just

hold him yeah I mean I would agree with

that theory if people are just devaluing

Alvin CA if they say okay you know it's

a hot start but I need to see more hold

on to it because at least for the next

few weeks you know you got a top three

to five running back in terms of where

I'm going to be ranking him that's for

sure yeah yeah it's all about price

right if if if you had a stock that I

told you was going to be worth $10 10

days from now and it's currently worth

$50 would you sell it like obviously

that's basically how we approach where

the fantasy Stock Exchange that's how we

approach these players Alvin C is a

backend rb1 maybe a mid rb1 at the best

case scenario I will fight back on one

little thing with that is if you do have

a $50 stock worth today if you can sell

that stock for $35 straight up I'm not

doing that however if you can sell that

stock for a $35 stock plus a $10 stock

and you're taking a $5 loss with the

concern with the pessimism and mo go

down to $10 I'm cool with making that

type of transition I'm fine taking a

slight loss in terms of current value

knowing that when I'm projecting the

future value I don't view it as being on

par with what it's currently worth today

but that doesn't mean I'm just selling

it to sell it yeah and again I I view

etn as equal value to Camaro so it's $50

stock for $50 stock except one I think

is going up and one I think is going

down that's the way I look at it between

those two guys yeah I would definitely

need a Plus on top but moving off of

Alvin CRA again a running back that we

weren't the highest on coming into the

season we'll talk a running back that we

were high on and specifically you were

high on as I believe he was the number

one sleeper you had on your sleeper

video this year JK Dobbins of the LA

Chargers look we are JK Dobbins fans I

hope I eat complete Crow here I hope

he's a top five running backr this

season because I mean I love JK Dobbins

he's efficient he breaks tackles he

looks like he's one of the best running

backs in the NFL at this current point

however given his current market value

he's a mandatory sell because he's

currently a top five running back in

fantasy football and he is not getting

remotely the usage of the other top five

running backs like we're talking about

him compared to the bejon Robinson the

Bri Halls some of the other top

producing running backs in fantasy

football thus far he's doing it on a 53%

snapshare a 40% carry share and 53% of

their notes again fine usage rb2 high in

rb2 low on rb1 level usage but he's

currently being treated as a top five

running back on the market because he's

averaging over 20 PPR points per game on

top of that people were so anti- JK

Dobbins coming into the season that if

one hiccup has happens he has one bad

game or he misses two weeks with a lower

body concern we know what people are

going to be saying about JK dobins he's

injury-prone I don't want him on my

roster he's worth nothing he is the

volatile type of asset where if any

single negative happened to JK Dobbins

people would completely write him off so

I would play at the inverse I love JK

Dobbins but if people are treating him

like an rb1 rest of season because he's

currently a top five running back I will

be selling him for safer maintain value

bets and again we see some of the these

deals here like if you can maybe it's

not you know JK dobins plus George

Pickins for Hunter Henry and James Cook

because I actually do like George Pickin

but the theory here is if you can move

JK Dobbins plus a small piece to get to

James Cook I'm doing that every time can

you move Deontay Johnson plus JK doin

for Garrett Wilson obviously you're

doing that you can sell him straight up

for Mike emons you're absolutely doing

that again another one in theory if you

can take JK dobins plus a piece and go

up to Crystal La I'm doing that as well

again that piece isn't going to be jayen

Wadd for me but the point remains if you

can use JK Dobbins plus a piece to tear

up into a stud asset I think you should

be able to because if people see their

trade inbox and they see oh my God I'm

getting the rb5 in fantasy plus a solid

piece to move off of my Chris to move

off of my Brandon auk my Jonathan Taylor

you should be exploring your options

yeah he's the classic two for one

sweetener and I talked about it in the

wide receiver video I keep getting trade

offers about tank Dell in our flock

league in my home League everybody wants

JK dolins literally everybody wants JK

dolins the nice thing is that if JK

Dobbins is just a mid rb2 rest of season

like we kind of view him to be you

didn't spend mid rb2 prices to get him

so that's totally fine I would say he's

more of a shop than a sell if you can

get close to rb1 value for this guy then

you absolutely take what you can get for

him but if everybody values him as a mid

rb2 and it's like Kenneth Walker or JK

Dobbins probably a wash Derrick Henry or

JK Dobbins probably a wash that's where

he should be valued so if that's how

your league views him then exactly don't

do anything just keep your profit on

your 12th round pick and keep using them

yeah pretty much I mean it was a free

bargain for a reason that's why he you

drafted him in the 14th round of your

league that's why you were drafting him

in the 16th round of your Underdog

drafts because I mean this is always a

theory where you're getting low

opportunity cost running back to

production and he's end up living up to

that expectation so again if you can get

rb1 price tags you're basically turning

in a guy that you spent a 14th rounder

or a 16th rounder on Underdog into a guy

that probably was selected in the first

two or three rounds of your drafts yeah

exactly it just makes sense to shop him

if you can uh again that is the end of

this video got some buys at the running

back position some sells at the running

back position leave a like if you

enjoyed comment down below any of your

thoughts subscribe to the channel if

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