DRAFTKINGS NFL PRESEASON ANALYSIS (8/8) | DFS PICKS

Summary

In this NFL preseason video, the host, DK, reviews last week's performance and previews Thursday's slate, focusing on player props and DFS strategies. Highlighting teams like Carolina and Detroit, he discusses potential plays for quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers, considering the absence of starters. DK also touches on the importance of monitoring player news and provides insights on the Giants and New England's depth, while encouraging viewers to follow for more in-depth analysis on Patreon.

Takeaways

• 🏈 The video discusses the NFL preseason slate for Thursday, focusing on player props and DFS strategies.
• 🎥 The speaker, DK, recaps the previous week's NFL preseason, mentioning that despite one game being rained out, the props and DFS lineups were profitable.
• 📈 DK highlights the success of Underdog with NFL preseason props, boasting over 100% ROI last year.
• 💰 The video mentions a promotional offer from the sponsor, Underdog, for a deposit match bonus using the code DK DFS.
• 📝 DK provides a detailed breakdown of player opportunities for the Carolina Panthers, New England Patriots, Detroit Lions, and New York Giants.
• 🤔 DK expresses a preference for targeting certain teams over others based on the expected absence of starters and the opportunities for lesser-known players.
• 🔍 The analysis includes speculation on which players will see the field, especially focusing on quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends.
• 🚫 DK notes several players who are not expected to play, including notable starters and injured players.
• 🤷‍♂️ There is uncertainty expressed about certain players' participation, such as wide receivers for the Carolina Panthers and tight ends for the Giants.
• 📊 DK emphasizes the importance of monitoring player news and updates, as these can significantly affect DFS and prop play strategies.
• 🔗 The video concludes with a reminder about additional content available on Patreon and encourages viewers to like, subscribe, and turn on notifications for more insights.

Q & A

Who is the host of the video discussing the NFL preseason slate?

The host of the video is DK, who is discussing the NFL preseason slate and providing insights on player props and fantasy sports.

What is the name of the sponsor mentioned in the video, and what promotion do they offer?

The sponsor mentioned in the video is Underdog. They offer a deposit match bonus of either $100 or $250, using the code DK DFS or by following the link provided.

What was the return on investment (ROI) for NFL preseason props last year according to the video?

The video states that there was over 100% ROI for NFL preseason props last year.

Which two players were highlighted in the video for their performance in the last video's props?

The two players highlighted were Fridy Swain for over 29.5 half FR plus receiving yards and Davis Mills for over 80.5 half passing yards.

What is the significance of the Carolina Panthers' starting quarterback situation in the video?

The significance is that neither Bryce Young nor Andy Dalton will play, leaving Jake Luton and Jack Plummer as the potential quarterbacks, with Plummer expected to start and get significant playing time.

What is the expected situation for the New England Patriots' quarterbacks in the preseason game?

The video suggests that all four quarterbacks, including Mac Jones, are expected to play, but the playing time for each is uncertain, making it difficult to choose a preferred quarterback for props.

How does the video describe the Detroit Lions' quarterback situation for the preseason game?

The video indicates that Jared Goff will not play, leaving Hayden Hooker and Nate Sudfeld as the main options, with the expectation that they could play over half or more of the game.

What is the video's stance on targeting the New England Patriots' wide receivers for props?

The video suggests that it's not favorable to target the Patriots' wide receivers due to the depth of the position and the expectation that many will play, diluting the potential for standout performances.

What is the video's view on the potential playing time for the New York Giants' quarterbacks in the preseason game?

The video expects that the Giants' main quarterbacks, including Daniel Jones, will not play much, if at all, in the first preseason game, leaving Drew Lock and Tommy DeVito as the potential quarterbacks.

How does the video discuss the potential for targeting defenses in the preseason games?

The video suggests that targeting defenses against mainly backups and third strings might be safer than targeting defenses against starters, with no strong leans on which defense to prefer.

Outlines

00:00

🏈 NFL Preseason Slate Breakdown

The video script discusses the upcoming NFL preseason games, focusing on Thursday's slate. It recaps last week's preseason, highlighting the success of player props and DFS lineups. The speaker mentions the importance of the sponsor, Underdog, and their promotional offers for new users. The script then transitions into a team-by-team analysis, starting with the Carolina team, noting the absence of key players and the potential opportunities for others, such as rookie Jack Plummer, who is expected to see significant playing time.

05:01

🔍 In-Depth Analysis of Team Rosters

This paragraph continues the detailed examination of the NFL teams' rosters, focusing on the potential playing time for various positions. It discusses the running back and wide receiver situations for the Carolina team, noting injuries and the depth of the roster. The script also covers the New England team, highlighting the likelihood of all healthy players participating and the challenge this presents for identifying key plays. The analysis includes speculation on which players might not play due to their starter status and which rookies or less prominent players could see increased opportunities.

10:02

📊 Projecting Player Performance in Preseason Games

The script moves on to discuss the Detroit Lions, emphasizing the team's strategy of giving young players significant playing time in the preseason opener. It outlines the quarterback situation, with a focus on the mobile capabilities of Nate Sudfeld and the potential for him to play a substantial part of the game. The analysis extends to the running back and wide receiver positions, identifying potential players who may see the field due to the absence of starters. The paragraph also touches on the tight end position, noting the depth of the roster and potential standout players.

15:03

🤔 Speculation on Giants' Preseason Strategy

The final paragraph of the script speculates on the New York Giants' approach to the preseason game, expecting a limited appearance from main players based on last year's pattern. It provides an overview of the quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end positions, identifying which players are not expected to play and which backups or lesser-known players may step in. The script also discusses the potential implications for the Giants' tight end room, noting the absence of key players and the opportunities this presents for others. Lastly, it wraps up with a brief mention of the defenses, suggesting that all four teams' defenses are playable in the preseason context.

Keywords

💡NFL Preseason

The NFL Preseason refers to the series of exhibition games played by NFL teams before the start of the regular season. It serves as a time for teams to evaluate their players and finalize their rosters. In the video's context, the host is discussing strategies for fantasy sports related to these preseason games, indicating the importance of understanding player performance and team strategies during this period.

💡DFS (Daily Fantasy Sports)

DFS, or Daily Fantasy Sports, is a form of fantasy sports where participants create a team for a single day's games and compete for cash prizes. The script mentions that the host covers content for NFL DFS, suggesting that viewers are interested in strategies and insights for building competitive teams within a single day's contests.

💡Player Props

Player Props, short for player propositions, are bets placed on specific outcomes for individual players during a game, such as the number of touchdowns or yards gained. The video script discusses the success of the host's previous player prop picks, emphasizing the role of player props in fantasy sports strategy.

💡Underdog

An underdog is a team or player that is expected to lose a game or match based on the odds. The script mentions Underdog as a sponsor and a platform for fantasy sports and player props, indicating that the host has had success with underdog bets, which can be a key strategy for fantasy sports enthusiasts looking for high returns.

💡Deposit Match Bonus

A deposit match bonus is a promotional offer by online betting or fantasy sports platforms where they match the amount deposited by a user, up to a certain limit. The script mentions a $100 or $250 deposit match bonus as part of an offer for new users, highlighting the incentive for viewers to participate in the platform's fantasy sports contests.

💡Roi (Return on Investment)

ROI, or Return on Investment, measures the gain or loss made on an investment relative to the amount of money invested. In the context of the video, the host mentions an over 100% ROI from NFL preseason props, indicating the profitability and effectiveness of their fantasy sports strategies.

💡Patriot (as in New England Patriot)

The New England Patriots are a professional American football team based in the Greater Boston area. The script refers to the Patriots as the host's least favorite team to target for fantasy sports during the preseason, suggesting that the team's approach to the preseason may not offer as many opportunities for fantasy points.

💡Wide Receiver

A wide receiver in American football is an offensive position who catches passes from the quarterback. The script discusses the potential playing time and opportunities for various wide receivers during the preseason games, which is crucial for fantasy sports players looking to predict which receivers will score points.

💡Tight End

The tight end is another offensive position in American football, often serving as a link between the offensive line and the wide receivers, participating in both blocking and receiving. The video script evaluates the tight end options for the teams discussed, noting which players might see the field during the preseason and thus be relevant for fantasy sports.

💡Running Back

A running back is an offensive position in American football whose primary role is to carry the ball on running plays. The host analyzes the potential involvement of running backs in the preseason games, which is important for fantasy sports as these players can accumulate points through rushing yards and touchdowns.

💡Quarterback

The quarterback is the leader of the offensive team in American football and is often responsible for passing the ball to other players. The script discusses the potential playing time for various quarterbacks during the preseason, which is a key factor for fantasy sports as quarterbacks can score heavily through passing yards and touchdowns.

Highlights

Introduction to the video discussing the NFL preseason slate on Thursday, including a recap of the previous week's performance.

Sponsorship mention of Underdog with a code DK DFS for a deposit match bonus.

Review of last week's NFL preseason props with over 100% ROI and hitting both given plays.

Discussion on the canceled game due to rain and its impact on the props and DFS.

Analysis of the best lineup from the previous week's big tournament with four out of five cashing in.

Team-by-team breakdown starting with Carolina, noting the absence of key players and the opportunity it presents.

Jack Plumber's expected significant playtime as a rookie quarterback for Carolina.

Carolina's running back situation with the expectation of four running backs playing.

Wide receiver options for Carolina, with the potential absence of certain players affecting the depth.

Tight end analysis for Carolina, focusing on the rookie Taven Sanders as a potential play.

New England's strategy for the preseason with all healthy players expected to play, impacting the analysis.

Detroit as a favorite team to target in the preseason, with insights on quarterback and running back plays.

Lions' quarterback situation with Hayden Hooker and Nate Sudfeld as potential plays.

Running back options for Detroit, with the potential for significant playtime for certain players.

Wide receiver depth for Detroit and the potential plays from the available players.

Tight end options for Detroit, with a focus on the available players and their potential roles.

Giants' quarterback situation with Daniel Jones not expected to play, leaving Drew Lock and Tommy DeVito as options.

Running back analysis for the Giants, with the potential for significant playtime for certain players.

Wide receiver depth for the Giants and the potential impact of absent players on the available options.

Tight end situation for the Giants, focusing on the potential plays from the available players.

Defense analysis for the preseason games, with no strong leans but all defenses considered playable.

Closing remarks with a call to action for viewers to follow on Patreon for more content.

Transcripts

hey what's going on guys DK back at you

with another video to break down the two

game NFL preseason slate on Thursday

hopefully you guys had a good opening uh

day of the NFL preseason last week andap

we can recap that uh in a sec if this

your first time watching cover content

for NFL uh da fanty sports NBA uh as

well as for player prop stuff like prize

pick Underdog and parlay play Underdog

they the sponsor of the video you can

use the code DK DFS or you can use the

link down below for $100 or $250 deposit

match bonus I should say um but uh yeah

been having a ton of fun Underdog uh

with NFL preseason props we had over

100% Roi last year and in the video that

I gave out two plays uh last video we

hit both fridy Swain um lesson is 29 a

half FR plus receiving yards and Davis

Mills more than is 80 a half passing

yards if you guys look for more content

can check on my patreon Linked In the

description um whether it be for DFS or

for player prop stuff all right so let's

recap um last week um again the game did

not finish right it got what rained out

um but had both my props and then for

DFS was profitable as well I hit four of

uh four I made five lineups in the big

tournament and cash four of the five

this was my best lineup we can quickly

recap that and then we'll get into the

video all right once it loads up okay so

yeah when demetric felt Captain

obviously he lost a lot of playing time

because uh the game got canceled play

both defenses uh both were a bit

underwhelming but they were the two

safest plays in the board there with

Felton played Davis Mills thought he was

your safest quarterback play Roshan

Johnson I thought was going a bit

overlooked by the field um the Bears

just didn't have you know any healthy

running backs and then Xavier Hutchinson

was my preferred wide receiver play um

he smashed at low

ownership all right so let's just get

into it I think it's easiest to go team

by team for this team slate um but yeah

we'll have a lot more in-depth stuff

posted over on patreon WE stream before

lo as well all right let's start off

with

Carolina

okay so Carolina uh we know that uh

Bryce young and Andy dton will not play

and uh we know that uh most of the

starters for Carolina will not play as

well so uh that leads them relatively

short-handed definitely one of my

favorite teams to Target on this small

slate so no Bry Young no Andy dton

however they do have a fourth

quarterback um that's going to be Jake

Luton now they only signed him a few

days ago so I don't think he's going to

play like a massive amount on this game

which just which just leaves Jack

plumber who um will is confirmed

starting in this game uh rookie and I'm

expecting a lot of run from him I would

say at least a half if not more um now

the one downside I will say is he's not

super mobile um we'll talk about a very

mobile quarterback here in a bit on the

Lions who I like

um but yeah I think Jack plumber is

definitely one of your safer quarterback

plays on the Slate um Luton um is not

even playable he's not even in the

DraftKings player pool so you can't even

play him if you wanted

to okay let's move on to the running

back position here for um for Carolina

so Jonathan Brooks is injured right um

and then you have the two guys that kind

of split um the running back duties last

year in chaha my sanders my guess is

they get lumped into that group that of

starters that not play um so I'm not

expecting to see those guys so that

leaves black Sher Boon and Sheran but

you also have one more back on the

roster that's going to be Dillan Johnson

again who is not in the player pool um

so I think there's going to be four

running backs that play right uh and

Johnson signed about a week ago um but

yeah I think all four of these backs

look relatively similar with the three

backs that are playable Ean DraftKings

black Sherbon Sheran uh Bo's been like a

preseason monster throughout the years

um what he was on Denver for a bit he

was on Minnesota

um like he's he's good black shears

solid pass catcher so I think any of

these Carolina running backs are solid

um again I am only expecting four run X

to play here for Carolina all right so

for wide receivers uh Legette is not

going to be uh playing um Deontay

Johnson Adam thielen should get grouped

into the starters now the question for

me uh for Carolina

is what do they do with um Marshall and

Mingo right do they get grouped into

that um group of guys that you know the

starters that do not play or are they

going to play a bit in this game that I

can't tell you now if Mingo and Marshall

get grouped into this you know starting

um group and they don't play then that

leaves Carolina relatively short-handed

right um You have Smith marat's been

around for a bit you have Tomkins

coker's been making some good plays in

training camp so um you know this team

uh this team could be could be

relatively short-handed here if if

Marshall and Mingo don't play um strain

he's been around for a bit you David

Moore is a veteran so um yeah we'll keep

an eye on that news that is pretty

important if Mingo and Marshall play I

don't like this receiving room as

much okay so let's move on to uh the

tight end

position so uh Tommy Trumble Ian Thomas

not expecting them to play um you do

have uh the rookie uh uh Sanders um

Taven Sanders Who Um probably will get a

first crack at the tiat end position and

I think we'll definitely get some

ownership um on this two game slate you

know tight end's always a tricky

position to try to fill out in preseason

but I think he will get some get some

work they also do have some other guys

um that have been been around for a

while that are not currently listed on

DraftKings like Jacob Hollister has been

a preseason guy that has been around for

a while hored as well um so they are

relatively deep at this position but

yeah I think Sanders will probably be

the guy that gets uh the most

opportunities there for Carolina I talk

about New England so New England's

probably my least least favorite team to

Target um so here's the quote for from

um from Mayo everyone who was healthy

enough to play in the game will play um

and he specifically said that that Drake

May will play too that's not ideal right

um everyone that's healthy enough to

play will play well they have four

quarterbacks um you got Bret May Milton

and zappy so if all four play I think

it's really hard to go there um I guess

like if I was to play someone on New

England uh a quarterback I probably

would be Milton but Milton or may but I

think it's pretty hard to get to any of

these quarterbacks here for New England

now the running back Situation's a

little bit different um

so looking at New England and uh their

running backs so you have five running

backs currently um on the roster uh

Fenwick got waved a little bit ago uh so

you got Stevenson Gibson Kevin Harris

who's been around for I think this is

his third year now jichael Hy's AET um

and then you got the rookie and Jennings

so um I don't think we're going to see a

ton of the starters you know with

brassette and uh and the backs and and

you know starting wide receivers so

don't have a ton of interest in

Stevenson and Gibson um but I do think

that Kevin Harris and Jennings are

interesting again jichael Hy's been

around for a while so I don't really

know how much they need to see out of

him um but I do think that Kevin Harris

and Jennings are probably uh two of the

safer running back plays on the Slate

just because New England is short-handed

at running back wide receivers a little

bit of a different story right they have

a ton of wide receivers um so uh we're

not going to see Douglas or Kendrick

Bourne in this game um but they still

have a lot of guys right they still they

still have a ton of guys in the wide

receiver room um you know pulk uh and

Baker are probably going to get some

ownership the two rookies here for New

England um I think those guys are are

decent options but again uh you're going

to see a lot of wide receivers play what

like one let's just count out how many I

think are going to play in this game so

we're not see the top two pulk one

Osborne 2 Juju Smith 3 Baker four rager

five flon six b seven Baker eight uh

wellis nine uh Jackson 10 so like 10

guys that's not great that's not great

um again I think like of these New

England receivers pul and Baker probably

getting the most ownership um you know

if you want to take a shot and someone a

little bit farther down the dep Shar I

think like B or rager are fine um but

again pretty deep uh pretty deep

receiving room there for New

England um and then so for tight ends

not great either um you got six tight

ends uh on the uh on the depth chart

so not great um I guess if it was to

play one of these guys it probably would

be the rookie and Jacob waren um I think

he would play a good amount kind of

there in the second half but not a ton

to like there all right let's talk about

Detroit

so Detroit definitely one of my favorite

teams to Target i' say right up there

with

Carolina so uh where do we have um okay

so here's the quote from Dan Campbell um

says the players the Lions will counting

on during the regular season won't play

in Thursday's preseason opener um and if

they do they won't play much young guys

should get a lot of reps so um that's

good to hear we're not going to see

jarro gof that leaves just Hayden hooker

and Nate sudfeld now sudfeld played a

lot uh last preseason U but that was um

who got banged up um oh it was Adrian

Martinez I believe got injured early so

they didn't have a lot of options of

quarterback so sfall kind just played a

lot um but this is a game where I could

see hen and hooker playing over a half

and uh maybe more right maybe three

quarters and he is mobile so I think

he's right there with plumber as one of

the best quarterback plays on the Slate

um so I'm pretty high there on uh

hooker okay um let's move on to the

running back position here for the Lions

so we're not going to see Montgomery or

Gibbs I can almost guarantee you that I

don't think we see crank Reynolds either

you know he's been on the roster now for

a few years a special teams guy I I

don't really see him playing much um in

a game like this now there's three

running backs left however they do have

a fourth there too um and that's uh the

rookie cion uh vaki um so you got vaky

Knight Jamar Jefferson Jake Funk um

Jefferson's been around the team for a

bit kind of practice squad player I

think any of those running backs are

solid options um we know boom Knight and

and Funk have been around for a bit as

well um but yeah I think any of those

any of those three running backs uh that

are playable at draft Le Knight Funk

Jefferson are fine my guess is Jefferson

probably gets the most work of that

group but um that's just an educated

guess there let's move out of the wide

receiver position here for the Lions so

uh again we're definitely not going to

see Aman Ross St brown or Jameson

Williams I doubt we see CLE Raymond

either um would be pretty surprised

about that um one thing to note Darius

Fountain um he's been playing really

well um and he's been actually playing

with the starters so he could be one

that gets grouped into the starters of

like he might be too good to play in

this game um so we'll keep an eye on the

ation and a there for the Lions but I

think there's a chance that Fountain

does not play um either the Lions still

do have a decent amount of wide

receivers right um you get Don peoples

Jones who's on the Browns last year um

you know he's battling for a

you know starting spot um he could even

there's a chance he could even get

grouped into that you know starting

group as well um you know you do have

some guys that played a lot for the

Lions last year in the preseason uh

green Kennedy Mo Alexander I think those

guys are all solid options would expect

those guys to get a decent amount of

work um then you have some backing guys

here as well um let's talk about tight

end for the

Lions so again this tight end is slight

General pretty gross but don't think

we're going to see Sam laa I doubt we

see much of Brock W either um you still

do have a good amount of tight ends

available for the Lions so um nothing

that like super stands out I think

Mitchell zela hassy all playable um

tight ends but uh let's finish up here

with the

Giants okay um so yeah doble I mean he

kind of hinted at uh starters not

playing but it's not 100% confirmed um

now if you take a look back at last year

Stars really didn't play much in the

first game for the Giants so um I'm

expecting similar um similar play time

here for the Giants I don't think we're

going to see much of the main guys if at

all okay so if we take a look at the

quarterback position right that means

we're not going to see Daniel Jones that

leaves Drew lock and Tommy DeVito I

think both solid quarterback plays um

you know maybe we'll get some clarity if

one of these guys is going to get more

run than the other um but yeah I would

say they rank slightly behind plumber

and hooker right now at the quarterback

position but yeah I think both the

Giants quarterbacks are fine maybe get

some clarity that one will play a little

bit more um than uh than the other now

looking at the W or looking at the

running back room for um for the Giants

we don't think we're going to see Deon

single ter um but that leaves this group

relatively thin Corbin on the IR so that

leaves gray Tracy Miller and sailors um

Tracy's been playing well and right now

they said he's the early leader for the

number two running back spot so uh he'll

probably start the game would be my

guess um you got what seconde guy and

gray will probably uh be next up and

then you got Miller and sailor so I

think any of these Giants running backs

are fine I'm only uh assuming that four

uh will

play all right so wide receiver position

for uh the Giants so I'm not expecting

neighbors Slayton Wendell Robinson or

jayen highight to play I think any of

those top four guys probably won't play

um Isaiah Hodgins has been been on the

team now for a few years I don't think

he's going to play much um so this

Giants wide receiver room could be

relatively thin I mean you do have a

couple veterans here right with like

Allan Robinson a McKenzie um both are

kind of dusty but I expect them to play

some in this game you got a special

teams guy's been around for a while

gunar Oak Kowski boykin's been around

for a bit um Ford weaton got a little

bit banged up but I expect him to play

he did return to practice um but yeah I

mean if if all those guys that are out

let's just say the top five don't play

right neighbors Slayton Robinson high at

hodgin and then the veterans you know

how much are we going to see from

McKenzie and alen Robinson could leave

them relatively short-handed um with

like five six guys there so Giants wide

receiver room could be short-handed

depending on exactly who is in and who

is

out okay then finally the tight end room

for the Giants right so we're not

expecting Daniel Bellinger to play um

now Theo Johnson has played well

according to the beat writers but right

now they enlisted as a four Stringer

which is a little bit

interesting so I'm a little bit what I

want to do here you know is he too good

to play in this game or are they going

to want to see what he has and and try

to play him a lot because this Giants

tight end room actually is relatively

short-handed cage is a little bit banged

up um stall is a little bit banged up um

so they could be pretty short-handed

like Chris manher is just a veteran I

don't think he plays a ton so like let's

just say that Bellinger obviously we

we're not expecting Bellinger to play

Let's just say stole and cager out I

think manher could play a little bit but

he's not really out there for pass

catching so that could just leave you

know Johnson manher and Tyreek Jackson

um so if that is the case um and those

guys are the only guys active and I

think Johnson is a pretty solid tight

end play um and then Tyreek Jackson

would even be playable as

well um all right guys and then defenses

no real strong Lanes um you know on

which of these defenses I prefer

obviously I think targeting defense

against you know mainly backups and

third strings is a little bit safer than

targeting a defense against you know

starters so the one team that were

expecting some starters to play would be

new Eng Eng so what you know Carolina's

defense maybe the riskiest quote unquote

to Target but it's the preseason I think

all four these defenses are playable I

don't really have any super strong leans

on um you know which defense I

prefer okay guys so that's going to wrap

it up the video again if you are looking

for more content a lot more posts on

patreon Linked In the description below

uh but thanks again for watching if you

do enjoy just make sure to like

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and I'll see you guys all in the next

video