Eugenics and Modern Statistics

John F. McGowan, Ph.D.
4 Aug 202013:55

Summary

TLDRThe script explores the history of eugenics, a movement that aimed to 'improve' humanity through selective breeding, and its deep roots in the development of modern statistics. It highlights the influence of the Darwin-Wedgwood family, particularly Francis Galton and his advocacy for eugenics, which spurred the advancement of statistical methods by figures like Karl Pearson and Ronald Fisher. The script also discusses the controversial legacy of eugenics in scientific research and its impact on current statistical practices, emphasizing the need for awareness and improvement in数据分析方法.

Takeaways

  • 📜 Eugenics was a movement aimed at improving humanity through selective breeding, originating in Victorian England and peaking in the 1920s and 30s.
  • 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 The movement was closely linked to the Darwin-Wedgwood family, particularly Francis Galton and Leonard Darwin, who contributed to the development of modern statistics.
  • 📚 Francis Galton's book, 'Hereditary Genius,' argued that success and genius were hereditary, which led to the development of statistical methods to support his theories.
  • 🔬 Galton and his supporters financed extensive research in statistics to scientifically prove the genetic basis of success, heavily influencing the field.
  • 📊 Carl Pearson and Ronald Fisher were key figures in the development of modern statistical methods, both heavily involved in the eugenics movement.
  • 🌍 Eugenics was widely accepted across political spectrums and influenced policies in the United States and Europe, including compulsory sterilization laws.
  • 💔 The movement's credibility declined after World War II due to its association with Nazi atrocities and the subsequent discrediting of eugenics.
  • 📉 After the war, many eugenics organizations rebranded to focus on population control and reproductive health, distancing themselves from the stigma of eugenics.
  • 📈 Despite its controversial origins, the statistical methods developed during the eugenics era are still widely used in various scientific fields today.
  • 🔍 The legacy of eugenics in statistics highlights the need for awareness of the historical context and potential biases in statistical methods.

Q & A

  • What is eugenics and how did it start?

    -Eugenics is a movement aimed at improving humanity through selective breeding, discouraging reproduction among those with supposed 'bad genes' and encouraging those with 'good genes'. It originated in Victorian England in the 1800s and was associated with the Darwin-Wedgwood family, including Charles Darwin, the originator of the theory of evolution.

  • How did Francis Galton contribute to the development of eugenics and statistics?

    -Francis Galton, a cousin of Charles Darwin, wrote 'Hereditary Genius' in 1869, arguing that genius was hereditary. The pushback he received led him to fund extensive research in statistics to scientifically prove his ideas, advocating for eugenics.

  • Who was Carl Pearson and what was his role in the eugenics movement?

    -Karl Pearson was a key figure in the development of modern statistics, heavily financed and backed by Francis Galton. He conducted research to support the scientific basis of eugenics and developed statistical methodologies at University College London.

  • What is the connection between eugenics and the development of modern statistical methods?

    -Eugenics played a significant role in the development of modern statistics as it financed and supported statisticians like Karl Pearson and Ronald Fisher to develop methods to scientifically validate the eugenics movement.

  • Who was Ronald Fisher and why is he significant in statistics?

    -Ronald Fisher was a titan of the modern statistics movement, responsible for a preponderance of statistical methods used today. He was mentored and financially backed by Leonard Darwin, Charles Darwin's son, and was a strong advocate for eugenics.

  • What were the political and social implications of eugenics in the 1920s and 1930s?

    -In the 1920s and 1930s, eugenics was mainstream and accepted by many prominent figures across the political spectrum. It influenced policies such as compulsory sterilization laws in the United States and Scandinavian countries and contributed to the rise of Nazism in Germany.

  • How did World War II and the Nuremberg Trials impact the perception of eugenics?

    -The atrocities committed by the Nazi regime during World War II, including the death camps, and the subsequent Nuremberg Trials discredited eugenics in the public mind. Scientists and statisticians distanced themselves from eugenics, and the movement became almost universally condemned.

  • What is the legacy of eugenics in the field of statistics today?

    -The legacy of eugenics in statistics is that the methods developed during that time, such as those by Fisher and Pearson, are widely used across various fields. However, their development with a political agenda to prove eugenics has left some methodological weaknesses that are still relevant today.

  • How did the eugenics movement adapt after World War II?

    -After World War II, eugenics societies closed or changed their names, transforming into organizations focusing on population control or reproductive health, avoiding the stigma associated with eugenics.

  • What are some criticisms of the statistical methods developed during the eugenics era?

    -Critics argue that the methods developed during the eugenics era do not adequately address data selection and definition, allowing for manipulation to achieve desired results. They also lack estimates of the effects of this flexibility and are prone to model selection bias.

  • How do the issues with statistical methods from the eugenics era relate to modern scientific controversies?

    -The issues with statistical methods from the eugenics era, such as flexibility in data selection and model choice, are still present in modern scientific controversies, including climate change and the current coronavirus crisis, where results can often be manipulated to fit certain narratives.

Outlines

00:00

🧬 The Origins and Impact of Eugenics Movement

This paragraph delves into the history and societal impact of eugenics, a movement aimed at improving humanity through selective breeding. It originated in Victorian England and was closely associated with the Darwin-Wedgwood family, including Charles Darwin's cousin, Francis Galton, who authored 'Hereditary Genius.' Galton's work faced criticism for overlooking environmental factors and led to the development of modern statistical methods to support his genetic theories. Key figures like Carl Pearson and Ronald Fisher were funded by eugenics advocates, including Leonard Darwin, to scientifically validate the movement. The paragraph highlights the intertwining of eugenics with the advancement of statistical sciences and its eventual acceptance by many scientists of the era.

05:01

🌐 Eugenics in Society and Its Post-WWII Disrepute

The second paragraph explores the widespread acceptance and implementation of eugenics policies, such as compulsory sterilization laws, in various countries during the 1920s and 30s. It discusses the movement's appeal across the political spectrum and its influence on ideologies like Nazism. The paragraph also details the discrediting of eugenics after WWII due to Nazi atrocities and the Nuremberg trials. It mentions the transformation of eugenics-related organizations and the distancing of statisticians from the movement. The legacy of eugenics in statistics is acknowledged, with methods developed by Fisher and others still widely used across various fields, despite their controversial origins.

10:02

🔍 The Legacy of Eugenics in Modern Statistics

This paragraph examines the legacy of eugenics in the field of statistics, noting that while its role is often downplayed, the statistical methods developed during the eugenics era are prevalent in numerous disciplines. It points out the flexibility and potential for manipulation inherent in these methods, which were initially created to support eugenics theories. The paragraph also discusses the persistence of these issues in contemporary数据分析, suggesting that the methods' political utility and susceptibility to bias have not been fully addressed. It concludes with a call to recognize and overcome these historical problems to enhance the reliability of statistical analysis in an increasingly data-driven world.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Eugenics

Eugenics refers to the now largely discredited social movement that sought to improve the genetic quality of the human population through selective breeding. In the video, it is depicted as having started in Victorian England and being closely associated with the Darwin-Wedgwood family, including Charles Darwin. The movement aimed to discourage reproduction among those deemed to have 'bad genes' and encourage those with 'good genes.' It played a significant role in the development of modern statistics, which is a key theme of the video.

💡Selective Breeding

Selective breeding is the process of deliberately breeding plants or animals for specific genetic traits. In the context of the video, it refers to the eugenics movement's goal of encouraging the reproduction of individuals with desired hereditary traits to improve the human gene pool. The script discusses how eugenics advocates sought to apply this concept to humans, aiming to produce 'better' people.

💡Darwin-Wedgwood Clan

The Darwin-Wedgwood Clan is the extended family of Charles Darwin, known for his theory of evolution. The video explains that this influential and wealthy family was deeply involved in the eugenics movement. Notably, Francis Galton, Darwin's cousin, is mentioned as a key figure in the development of eugenics and modern statistics.

💡Francis Galton

Francis Galton was a cousin of Charles Darwin and a significant figure in the development of eugenics and statistical methods. His book 'Hereditary Genius' is highlighted in the video as a foundational text for the eugenics movement, where he argued that intelligence and talent were hereditary. Galton's work led to the funding and development of statistical methods to support eugenics.

💡Carl Pearson

Karl Pearson was a key figure in the development of modern statistics and a prominent advocate of eugenics. The video describes how he was financially supported by Francis Galton to develop statistical methodologies at University College London. Pearson's work is presented as central to the eugenics movement's efforts to provide a scientific basis for their beliefs.

💡Ronald Fisher

Ronald Fisher was a prominent statistician and a major figure in the development of modern statistical methods. The video emphasizes his role in the eugenics movement, particularly his contributions to statistical techniques that were used to argue for the scientific validity of eugenics. Fisher's work is still widely used in various fields today, despite the controversial origins.

💡Compulsory Sterilization Laws

Compulsory sterilization laws, as mentioned in the video, were policies enacted in various states in the United States and other countries during the height of the eugenics movement. These laws mandated the sterilization of individuals deemed to have undesirable genetic traits, reflecting the extreme measures taken to implement eugenics principles.

💡Statistical Methods

Statistical methods are mathematical techniques used for the analysis and interpretation of data. The video discusses how these methods were developed and refined by statisticians like Galton, Pearson, and Fisher, who were also advocates of eugenics. The development of these methods was influenced by the desire to provide a scientific foundation for eugenics, and they continue to be widely used across various disciplines.

💡Nazi Germany

The video explains that the eugenics movement's ideas spread to Germany and significantly influenced the Nazi regime's racial policies. The atrocities committed by the Nazis, including the Holocaust, led to the widespread discrediting of eugenics after World War II. The term 'Nazi Germany' is used in the script to illustrate the extreme consequences of eugenics ideologies.

💡Political Spectrum

The political spectrum refers to the range of differing political positions or ideologies. The video script notes that eugenics had broad appeal and crossed the political spectrum, being supported by individuals from various political backgrounds, including left-wing and right-wing followers, as well as those hard to categorize.

💡Statistical Manipulation

Statistical manipulation refers to the use of statistical methods in ways that can produce biased or misleading results. The video discusses how the statistical techniques developed during the eugenics era were prone to manipulation, as they were often used to support preconceived notions or political agendas. The script warns of the legacy of these methods and their potential misuse in contemporary contexts.

Highlights

Eugenics was a movement aimed at improving humanity through selective breeding, discouraging reproduction of those with 'bad genes'.

Eugenics originated in Victorian England in the 1800s and influenced the development of modern statistics.

The Darwin-Wedgwood family, including Charles Darwin, was deeply associated with the eugenics movement.

Francis Galton, Darwin's cousin, advocated for eugenics and the heritability of genius in his book 'Hereditary Genius'.

Critics challenged Galton's thesis, attributing success to environment rather than genetics.

Galton funded research to develop statistical methods to scientifically support eugenics.

Carl Pearson, a key figure in statistics, was financially backed by Galton to develop statistical methodologies.

Leonard Darwin supported eugenics and was a mentor to Ronald Fisher, a titan in the field of statistics.

Ronald Fisher developed many statistical methods widely used today, despite his controversial support for eugenics.

Eugenics was mainstream and had broad political appeal in the 1920s and 30s, crossing ideological boundaries.

The movement faced challenges during the Great Depression and was ultimately discredited after World War II due to Nazi atrocities.

Eugenic societies evolved into organizations focusing on population control or reproductive health to avoid the stigma of eugenics.

Ronald Fisher's involvement with eugenics is often emphasized, but he was not an outlier among statisticians of his time.

The legacy of eugenics is the widespread use of statistical methods developed with a political agenda.

These methods can be prone to manipulation due to their origins in proving eugenics and lack of strict data handling protocols.

Despite their controversial origins, the statistical methods are still politically useful and prevalent in various scientific fields.

The video concludes with a call to recognize historical problems in statistical methods and seek solutions to overcome biases and methodological weaknesses.

Transcripts

play00:02

eugenics

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is or was a movement to

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improve humanity through essentially

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selective breeding

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through preventing or discouraging those

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with supposed bad genes from reproducing

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and trying to produce more people with

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supposed good genes

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it started out in victorian england in

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the 1800s

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and reached its heyday in the 1920s and

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30s

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and played a very major role in the

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creation of

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development of modern statistics that is

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widely used today

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in almost every field and throughout the

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world

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eugenics started out and was deeply

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associated with the darwin wedgwood clan

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the darwin wedgwood clan was the

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extended family

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of charles darwin who is usually

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credited with discovering and inventing

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the theory

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of evolution the darwin wedgwood family

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was

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very wealthy powerful politically

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connected family in

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victorian england many of the members of

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the family were prominent in many

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different

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fields

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two members played a very large role in

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the formation of eugenics and the

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development of modern statistics

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francis galton was darwin's cousin and

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in 1869 he wrote a famous book

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called hereditary genius in which he

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pointed to his own family and other

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people in his social circle

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who were very successful and were the

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children of other successful people and

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the grandchildren of other successful

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people

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and argued that genius was

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hereditary was based on your genes and

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genetics

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this book got a lot of pushback from

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people who said well wait a minute your

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family these people you know they're

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very wealthy they're very well connected

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they go to the quote right schools like

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eaton and harrows

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in england the top essentially prep

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schools and u.s terminology

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they're wealthy they have tutors they

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have all these advantages

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it's about environment and not genetics

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and they challenge the scientific basis

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of his thesis

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and this led galton to not just

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investigate statistics but to fund

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finance and back

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extensive research and development of

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statistical methods

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to prove in a scientific way to put his

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ideas on a scientific

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basis that in fact genetics was

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determining

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success determining genius responsible

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for scientific inventions

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and he began to advocate the notion of

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eugenics of actually breeding better

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people

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who often seemed like his family or his

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social circle the elite

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in victorian england he in particular

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financed and backed carl pearson one of

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the key figures in the modern statistics

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field leonard darwin was the son of

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charles darwin

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he was a major backer of eugenics

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he in particular was close to a mentor

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of and financial backer of ronald fisher

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who is responsible for the preponderance

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of these

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methods statistical methods the sort of

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titan of the modern statistics movement

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was ronald elmer fisher

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galton and darwin leonard darwin and

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other members of the

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darwin wedgwood clan as well as other

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members of the british elite

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financed the the eugenics movement which

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heavily overlapped

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modern statistics and they financed

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people like carl pearson

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and ronald fisher to conduct research

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and develop methods to prove

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that eugenics was scientific and it was

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accepted by many many scientists

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as scientific in those days

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carl pearson received all sorts of

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support from francis galton who

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eventually gave his

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when he passed away he gave his money to

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carl pearson to

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develop statistical methodologies at

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university college in london

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ronald fisher was a younger generation

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he met leonard darwin

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at cambridge around 1912 1913

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the time period of the picture i'm

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showing he was a very bright man

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very creative by many accounts a very

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difficult

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person to deal with he had a bad temper

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his daughter

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is on camera saying he tolerated fools

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very poorly he was

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really the driving force in the 1920s

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and 30s

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in the development of many modern

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statistical methods that are now widely

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used all over the world in all sorts of

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fields

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he and pearson got into a big fight and

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there was a big feud between fisher and

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many of the other

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colleagues he had in the statistics in

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the 1920s and 30s

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the 1920s and 30s were the heyday of

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eugenics

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there were compulsory sterilization laws

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in many states in the united states

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including

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california where i'm located similar

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laws were passed

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in norway sweden denmark scandinavian

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countries

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many famous fabian socialists like

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george bernard shaw or adherents of

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eugenics

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eugenics is often presented today as a

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fringe

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pseudoscientific right-wing

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nut group almost however

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it had broad appeal and its appeal

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crossed the political stretch spectrum

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of the time of the 1920s and 30s

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it was very mainstream and accepted by

play05:45

many prominent politicians

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figures like george bernard shaw or h.d

play05:50

wells

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and it spread into germany and

play05:55

in particular influenced nazism

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it began to run into some trouble with

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the depression but

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it faltered and crashed and burned after

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world war ii with the defeat of nazi

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germany the nazi atrocities the death

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camps

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the nuremberg trials these basically

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discredited

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eugenics in the public mind among most

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people

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scientists statisticians began to

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quickly distance themselves from

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eugenics the name was dropped

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many organizations that were involved in

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eugenics eugenic societies

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closed they changed their names they

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mutated into

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modern organizations like planned

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parenthood or the world population

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council they started to talk about

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population control or reproductive

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health

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other causes that didn't carry the

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stigma

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of eugenics and eugenics became almost

play06:52

anathema

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it's a word that's almost always used in

play06:55

a negative way today in the same way

play06:56

that appeasement

play06:58

shifted its meaning in world war ii from

play07:01

basically negotiating or talking to

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people trying to work things out with

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people

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to craven cowardice to a very negative

play07:08

terminology

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eugenics essentially died at least very

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few people will admit publicly

play07:14

that they believe in it

play07:22

there's selective outrage historically

play07:25

over the involvement specifically of

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statisticians but also some other people

play07:29

with eugenics ronald fisher

play07:33

was deeply deeply hated by many of his

play07:35

colleagues there was a bitter feud

play07:37

between him and carl pearson carl

play07:40

peterson's son egon pearson

play07:42

many other people many students of those

play07:44

people

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he is hated by people even to this day

play07:48

although i don't think anyone's left

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alive who

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knew him his enthusiasm for eugenics is

play07:54

frequently emphasized to this day

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often as if he was a unique aberration

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in the field of statistics

play08:01

in fact nearly all the original

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statisticians who were financed by the

play08:04

eugenics movement

play08:06

were advocates of or adherence of

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eugenics as were many prominent

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scientists

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and many people from different political

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backgrounds so it

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there were left-wing eugenics fanatics

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or followers

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and they were right-wing and there were

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people who simply hard to categorize

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according to left and right

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after world war ii everyone you know

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like the

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famous saying success has a thousand

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followers and failure is an orphan no

play08:31

one wants to be associated with eugenics

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to the present day but fischer was not

play08:37

particularly unusual in this

play08:39

he was one of many adherents of eugenics

play08:41

in his time in the 1920s and 30s

play08:47

what is the legacy of this eugenics

play08:49

background

play08:51

eugenics's role in statistics is

play08:54

generally downplayed although it's well

play08:56

documented it's no mystery the

play08:59

statistical methods developed

play09:00

by fischer and his colleagues are widely

play09:02

used everywhere

play09:04

in all sorts of fields including

play09:05

genetics agriculture political science

play09:08

economics

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social sciences all the way into hard

play09:13

sciences such as physics and astronomy

play09:16

and i worked with the maximum likelihood

play09:18

method and some of fishers methods when

play09:19

i was a graduate student

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they're very common many people who use

play09:23

them don't really know their origins or

play09:25

vaguely aware of the names like fisher

play09:26

or pearson that

play09:27

turn up in the statistical literature

play09:33

these methods were used to produce

play09:35

seemingly scientific arguments for

play09:37

eugenics and evidence for eugenics and

play09:39

so forth back in the 1920s and 30s and

play09:41

in the you know

play09:43

earlier part of the previous century

play09:47

they in practice seem flexible one can

play09:50

get the results one wants

play09:52

we see these methods being used by

play09:53

everyone in modern scientific and

play09:55

political controversies such as climate

play09:58

change

play09:59

the current coronavirus crisis which is

play10:01

very politicized

play10:03

drug and vaccine safety and many other

play10:05

examples

play10:09

you can usually get the results you want

play10:12

or expect

play10:13

from these methods

play10:16

the reasons for that are probably

play10:18

multiple reasons and weaknesses in the

play10:20

techniques that they developed

play10:22

that were not addressed in part because

play10:24

they were trying to prove that eugenics

play10:26

was true

play10:26

even though that may not be the case

play10:30

those problems include that the methods

play10:32

don't really adequately deal

play10:34

with how you select and define the data

play10:37

so there's a lot of freedom to fiddle

play10:39

around with the actual data

play10:40

and produce the results you want they

play10:42

don't include estimates

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of the effect of this flexibility in the

play10:47

selection and definition of data

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similarly one can select an infinity of

play10:52

mathematical models

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for your data there's a lot of freedom

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we don't generally have a good way of

play10:59

handling the effects of that freedom

play11:02

in fact you can prove anything with an

play11:04

arbitrarily exceedingly complicated

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mathematical model completely contrary

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to your common sense interpretation of

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the data or probably what's

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in fact reasonable so hidden within

play11:15

these very sophisticated techniques

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there are a variety of assumptions there

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are a variety of

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aspects of them which make them prone to

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manipulation

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it would be unfair to say that the

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statisticians were unaware of these

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particularly fisher

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it would be unfair to say that they

play11:31

weren't trying to fix them in theory

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but our legacy are methods that were

play11:36

developed with a political agenda

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to develop to prove eugenics

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and they are similarly politically

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useful today

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and have the same i do not think

play11:49

the problems that were visible in

play11:51

fishers time of this ability to get the

play11:53

result you want

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have truly been fixed today

play11:58

so that's the legacy of the eugenics

play12:00

movement and modern statistics

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as we become more dependent on data and

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computers and statistics

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it's important both to recognize those

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historical problems and find some sort

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of

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solution to them that allows us to move

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beyond

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our prejudices something that's always

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been very hard to do but move beyond our

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prejudices

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and overcome the weaknesses of these

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methods

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this concludes this video presentation

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