Eugenics and Modern Statistics
Summary
TLDRThe script explores the history of eugenics, a movement that aimed to 'improve' humanity through selective breeding, and its deep roots in the development of modern statistics. It highlights the influence of the Darwin-Wedgwood family, particularly Francis Galton and his advocacy for eugenics, which spurred the advancement of statistical methods by figures like Karl Pearson and Ronald Fisher. The script also discusses the controversial legacy of eugenics in scientific research and its impact on current statistical practices, emphasizing the need for awareness and improvement in数据分析方法.
Takeaways
- 📜 Eugenics was a movement aimed at improving humanity through selective breeding, originating in Victorian England and peaking in the 1920s and 30s.
- 👨👩👧👦 The movement was closely linked to the Darwin-Wedgwood family, particularly Francis Galton and Leonard Darwin, who contributed to the development of modern statistics.
- 📚 Francis Galton's book, 'Hereditary Genius,' argued that success and genius were hereditary, which led to the development of statistical methods to support his theories.
- 🔬 Galton and his supporters financed extensive research in statistics to scientifically prove the genetic basis of success, heavily influencing the field.
- 📊 Carl Pearson and Ronald Fisher were key figures in the development of modern statistical methods, both heavily involved in the eugenics movement.
- 🌍 Eugenics was widely accepted across political spectrums and influenced policies in the United States and Europe, including compulsory sterilization laws.
- 💔 The movement's credibility declined after World War II due to its association with Nazi atrocities and the subsequent discrediting of eugenics.
- 📉 After the war, many eugenics organizations rebranded to focus on population control and reproductive health, distancing themselves from the stigma of eugenics.
- 📈 Despite its controversial origins, the statistical methods developed during the eugenics era are still widely used in various scientific fields today.
- 🔍 The legacy of eugenics in statistics highlights the need for awareness of the historical context and potential biases in statistical methods.
Q & A
What is eugenics and how did it start?
-Eugenics is a movement aimed at improving humanity through selective breeding, discouraging reproduction among those with supposed 'bad genes' and encouraging those with 'good genes'. It originated in Victorian England in the 1800s and was associated with the Darwin-Wedgwood family, including Charles Darwin, the originator of the theory of evolution.
How did Francis Galton contribute to the development of eugenics and statistics?
-Francis Galton, a cousin of Charles Darwin, wrote 'Hereditary Genius' in 1869, arguing that genius was hereditary. The pushback he received led him to fund extensive research in statistics to scientifically prove his ideas, advocating for eugenics.
Who was Carl Pearson and what was his role in the eugenics movement?
-Karl Pearson was a key figure in the development of modern statistics, heavily financed and backed by Francis Galton. He conducted research to support the scientific basis of eugenics and developed statistical methodologies at University College London.
What is the connection between eugenics and the development of modern statistical methods?
-Eugenics played a significant role in the development of modern statistics as it financed and supported statisticians like Karl Pearson and Ronald Fisher to develop methods to scientifically validate the eugenics movement.
Who was Ronald Fisher and why is he significant in statistics?
-Ronald Fisher was a titan of the modern statistics movement, responsible for a preponderance of statistical methods used today. He was mentored and financially backed by Leonard Darwin, Charles Darwin's son, and was a strong advocate for eugenics.
What were the political and social implications of eugenics in the 1920s and 1930s?
-In the 1920s and 1930s, eugenics was mainstream and accepted by many prominent figures across the political spectrum. It influenced policies such as compulsory sterilization laws in the United States and Scandinavian countries and contributed to the rise of Nazism in Germany.
How did World War II and the Nuremberg Trials impact the perception of eugenics?
-The atrocities committed by the Nazi regime during World War II, including the death camps, and the subsequent Nuremberg Trials discredited eugenics in the public mind. Scientists and statisticians distanced themselves from eugenics, and the movement became almost universally condemned.
What is the legacy of eugenics in the field of statistics today?
-The legacy of eugenics in statistics is that the methods developed during that time, such as those by Fisher and Pearson, are widely used across various fields. However, their development with a political agenda to prove eugenics has left some methodological weaknesses that are still relevant today.
How did the eugenics movement adapt after World War II?
-After World War II, eugenics societies closed or changed their names, transforming into organizations focusing on population control or reproductive health, avoiding the stigma associated with eugenics.
What are some criticisms of the statistical methods developed during the eugenics era?
-Critics argue that the methods developed during the eugenics era do not adequately address data selection and definition, allowing for manipulation to achieve desired results. They also lack estimates of the effects of this flexibility and are prone to model selection bias.
How do the issues with statistical methods from the eugenics era relate to modern scientific controversies?
-The issues with statistical methods from the eugenics era, such as flexibility in data selection and model choice, are still present in modern scientific controversies, including climate change and the current coronavirus crisis, where results can often be manipulated to fit certain narratives.
Outlines
🧬 The Origins and Impact of Eugenics Movement
This paragraph delves into the history and societal impact of eugenics, a movement aimed at improving humanity through selective breeding. It originated in Victorian England and was closely associated with the Darwin-Wedgwood family, including Charles Darwin's cousin, Francis Galton, who authored 'Hereditary Genius.' Galton's work faced criticism for overlooking environmental factors and led to the development of modern statistical methods to support his genetic theories. Key figures like Carl Pearson and Ronald Fisher were funded by eugenics advocates, including Leonard Darwin, to scientifically validate the movement. The paragraph highlights the intertwining of eugenics with the advancement of statistical sciences and its eventual acceptance by many scientists of the era.
🌐 Eugenics in Society and Its Post-WWII Disrepute
The second paragraph explores the widespread acceptance and implementation of eugenics policies, such as compulsory sterilization laws, in various countries during the 1920s and 30s. It discusses the movement's appeal across the political spectrum and its influence on ideologies like Nazism. The paragraph also details the discrediting of eugenics after WWII due to Nazi atrocities and the Nuremberg trials. It mentions the transformation of eugenics-related organizations and the distancing of statisticians from the movement. The legacy of eugenics in statistics is acknowledged, with methods developed by Fisher and others still widely used across various fields, despite their controversial origins.
🔍 The Legacy of Eugenics in Modern Statistics
This paragraph examines the legacy of eugenics in the field of statistics, noting that while its role is often downplayed, the statistical methods developed during the eugenics era are prevalent in numerous disciplines. It points out the flexibility and potential for manipulation inherent in these methods, which were initially created to support eugenics theories. The paragraph also discusses the persistence of these issues in contemporary数据分析, suggesting that the methods' political utility and susceptibility to bias have not been fully addressed. It concludes with a call to recognize and overcome these historical problems to enhance the reliability of statistical analysis in an increasingly data-driven world.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Eugenics
💡Selective Breeding
💡Darwin-Wedgwood Clan
💡Francis Galton
💡Carl Pearson
💡Ronald Fisher
💡Compulsory Sterilization Laws
💡Statistical Methods
💡Nazi Germany
💡Political Spectrum
💡Statistical Manipulation
Highlights
Eugenics was a movement aimed at improving humanity through selective breeding, discouraging reproduction of those with 'bad genes'.
Eugenics originated in Victorian England in the 1800s and influenced the development of modern statistics.
The Darwin-Wedgwood family, including Charles Darwin, was deeply associated with the eugenics movement.
Francis Galton, Darwin's cousin, advocated for eugenics and the heritability of genius in his book 'Hereditary Genius'.
Critics challenged Galton's thesis, attributing success to environment rather than genetics.
Galton funded research to develop statistical methods to scientifically support eugenics.
Carl Pearson, a key figure in statistics, was financially backed by Galton to develop statistical methodologies.
Leonard Darwin supported eugenics and was a mentor to Ronald Fisher, a titan in the field of statistics.
Ronald Fisher developed many statistical methods widely used today, despite his controversial support for eugenics.
Eugenics was mainstream and had broad political appeal in the 1920s and 30s, crossing ideological boundaries.
The movement faced challenges during the Great Depression and was ultimately discredited after World War II due to Nazi atrocities.
Eugenic societies evolved into organizations focusing on population control or reproductive health to avoid the stigma of eugenics.
Ronald Fisher's involvement with eugenics is often emphasized, but he was not an outlier among statisticians of his time.
The legacy of eugenics is the widespread use of statistical methods developed with a political agenda.
These methods can be prone to manipulation due to their origins in proving eugenics and lack of strict data handling protocols.
Despite their controversial origins, the statistical methods are still politically useful and prevalent in various scientific fields.
The video concludes with a call to recognize historical problems in statistical methods and seek solutions to overcome biases and methodological weaknesses.
Transcripts
eugenics
is or was a movement to
improve humanity through essentially
selective breeding
through preventing or discouraging those
with supposed bad genes from reproducing
and trying to produce more people with
supposed good genes
it started out in victorian england in
the 1800s
and reached its heyday in the 1920s and
30s
and played a very major role in the
creation of
development of modern statistics that is
widely used today
in almost every field and throughout the
world
eugenics started out and was deeply
associated with the darwin wedgwood clan
the darwin wedgwood clan was the
extended family
of charles darwin who is usually
credited with discovering and inventing
the theory
of evolution the darwin wedgwood family
was
very wealthy powerful politically
connected family in
victorian england many of the members of
the family were prominent in many
different
fields
two members played a very large role in
the formation of eugenics and the
development of modern statistics
francis galton was darwin's cousin and
in 1869 he wrote a famous book
called hereditary genius in which he
pointed to his own family and other
people in his social circle
who were very successful and were the
children of other successful people and
the grandchildren of other successful
people
and argued that genius was
hereditary was based on your genes and
genetics
this book got a lot of pushback from
people who said well wait a minute your
family these people you know they're
very wealthy they're very well connected
they go to the quote right schools like
eaton and harrows
in england the top essentially prep
schools and u.s terminology
they're wealthy they have tutors they
have all these advantages
it's about environment and not genetics
and they challenge the scientific basis
of his thesis
and this led galton to not just
investigate statistics but to fund
finance and back
extensive research and development of
statistical methods
to prove in a scientific way to put his
ideas on a scientific
basis that in fact genetics was
determining
success determining genius responsible
for scientific inventions
and he began to advocate the notion of
eugenics of actually breeding better
people
who often seemed like his family or his
social circle the elite
in victorian england he in particular
financed and backed carl pearson one of
the key figures in the modern statistics
field leonard darwin was the son of
charles darwin
he was a major backer of eugenics
he in particular was close to a mentor
of and financial backer of ronald fisher
who is responsible for the preponderance
of these
methods statistical methods the sort of
titan of the modern statistics movement
was ronald elmer fisher
galton and darwin leonard darwin and
other members of the
darwin wedgwood clan as well as other
members of the british elite
financed the the eugenics movement which
heavily overlapped
modern statistics and they financed
people like carl pearson
and ronald fisher to conduct research
and develop methods to prove
that eugenics was scientific and it was
accepted by many many scientists
as scientific in those days
carl pearson received all sorts of
support from francis galton who
eventually gave his
when he passed away he gave his money to
carl pearson to
develop statistical methodologies at
university college in london
ronald fisher was a younger generation
he met leonard darwin
at cambridge around 1912 1913
the time period of the picture i'm
showing he was a very bright man
very creative by many accounts a very
difficult
person to deal with he had a bad temper
his daughter
is on camera saying he tolerated fools
very poorly he was
really the driving force in the 1920s
and 30s
in the development of many modern
statistical methods that are now widely
used all over the world in all sorts of
fields
he and pearson got into a big fight and
there was a big feud between fisher and
many of the other
colleagues he had in the statistics in
the 1920s and 30s
the 1920s and 30s were the heyday of
eugenics
there were compulsory sterilization laws
in many states in the united states
including
california where i'm located similar
laws were passed
in norway sweden denmark scandinavian
countries
many famous fabian socialists like
george bernard shaw or adherents of
eugenics
eugenics is often presented today as a
fringe
pseudoscientific right-wing
nut group almost however
it had broad appeal and its appeal
crossed the political stretch spectrum
of the time of the 1920s and 30s
it was very mainstream and accepted by
many prominent politicians
figures like george bernard shaw or h.d
wells
and it spread into germany and
in particular influenced nazism
it began to run into some trouble with
the depression but
it faltered and crashed and burned after
world war ii with the defeat of nazi
germany the nazi atrocities the death
camps
the nuremberg trials these basically
discredited
eugenics in the public mind among most
people
scientists statisticians began to
quickly distance themselves from
eugenics the name was dropped
many organizations that were involved in
eugenics eugenic societies
closed they changed their names they
mutated into
modern organizations like planned
parenthood or the world population
council they started to talk about
population control or reproductive
health
other causes that didn't carry the
stigma
of eugenics and eugenics became almost
anathema
it's a word that's almost always used in
a negative way today in the same way
that appeasement
shifted its meaning in world war ii from
basically negotiating or talking to
people trying to work things out with
people
to craven cowardice to a very negative
terminology
eugenics essentially died at least very
few people will admit publicly
that they believe in it
there's selective outrage historically
over the involvement specifically of
statisticians but also some other people
with eugenics ronald fisher
was deeply deeply hated by many of his
colleagues there was a bitter feud
between him and carl pearson carl
peterson's son egon pearson
many other people many students of those
people
he is hated by people even to this day
although i don't think anyone's left
alive who
knew him his enthusiasm for eugenics is
frequently emphasized to this day
often as if he was a unique aberration
in the field of statistics
in fact nearly all the original
statisticians who were financed by the
eugenics movement
were advocates of or adherence of
eugenics as were many prominent
scientists
and many people from different political
backgrounds so it
there were left-wing eugenics fanatics
or followers
and they were right-wing and there were
people who simply hard to categorize
according to left and right
after world war ii everyone you know
like the
famous saying success has a thousand
followers and failure is an orphan no
one wants to be associated with eugenics
to the present day but fischer was not
particularly unusual in this
he was one of many adherents of eugenics
in his time in the 1920s and 30s
what is the legacy of this eugenics
background
eugenics's role in statistics is
generally downplayed although it's well
documented it's no mystery the
statistical methods developed
by fischer and his colleagues are widely
used everywhere
in all sorts of fields including
genetics agriculture political science
economics
social sciences all the way into hard
sciences such as physics and astronomy
and i worked with the maximum likelihood
method and some of fishers methods when
i was a graduate student
they're very common many people who use
them don't really know their origins or
vaguely aware of the names like fisher
or pearson that
turn up in the statistical literature
these methods were used to produce
seemingly scientific arguments for
eugenics and evidence for eugenics and
so forth back in the 1920s and 30s and
in the you know
earlier part of the previous century
they in practice seem flexible one can
get the results one wants
we see these methods being used by
everyone in modern scientific and
political controversies such as climate
change
the current coronavirus crisis which is
very politicized
drug and vaccine safety and many other
examples
you can usually get the results you want
or expect
from these methods
the reasons for that are probably
multiple reasons and weaknesses in the
techniques that they developed
that were not addressed in part because
they were trying to prove that eugenics
was true
even though that may not be the case
those problems include that the methods
don't really adequately deal
with how you select and define the data
so there's a lot of freedom to fiddle
around with the actual data
and produce the results you want they
don't include estimates
of the effect of this flexibility in the
selection and definition of data
similarly one can select an infinity of
mathematical models
for your data there's a lot of freedom
we don't generally have a good way of
handling the effects of that freedom
in fact you can prove anything with an
arbitrarily exceedingly complicated
mathematical model completely contrary
to your common sense interpretation of
the data or probably what's
in fact reasonable so hidden within
these very sophisticated techniques
there are a variety of assumptions there
are a variety of
aspects of them which make them prone to
manipulation
it would be unfair to say that the
statisticians were unaware of these
particularly fisher
it would be unfair to say that they
weren't trying to fix them in theory
but our legacy are methods that were
developed with a political agenda
to develop to prove eugenics
and they are similarly politically
useful today
and have the same i do not think
the problems that were visible in
fishers time of this ability to get the
result you want
have truly been fixed today
so that's the legacy of the eugenics
movement and modern statistics
as we become more dependent on data and
computers and statistics
it's important both to recognize those
historical problems and find some sort
of
solution to them that allows us to move
beyond
our prejudices something that's always
been very hard to do but move beyond our
prejudices
and overcome the weaknesses of these
methods
this concludes this video presentation
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