OpenAI's Altman and Makanju on Global Implications of AI

Bloomberg Live
16 Jan 202438:47

Summary

TLDR在这段对话中,OpenAI的代表讨论了他们如何在政治竞选中禁止使用ChatGPT,并引入加密水印以确保AI生成图像的透明度和真实性。他们强调了强大的安全系统和与国家秘书协会的合作,以提供权威的投票信息。讨论还涉及到对即将到来的民主选举的关注,以及OpenAI从早期科技循环中学到的经验。他们还提到了与美国国防部合作的可能性,但明确表示禁止开发武器。最后,对话探讨了AI在政府和监管方面的应用,以及如何确保技术的安全和负责任的使用。

Takeaways

  • 🚫 OpenAI宣布了关于AI在选举中使用的新指导原则,包括禁止ChatGPT在政治活动中的使用和引入加密水印来增加AI生成图像的透明度。
  • 🤝 OpenAI强调了与安全系统团队和国家秘书协会等重要合作伙伴关系在执行这些指导原则中的重要性。
  • 📈 OpenAI对即将到来的重要民主选举保持高度关注,并承诺将尽一切可能确保安全和公正。
  • 🔍 OpenAI利用自身的AI工具和团队监控以扩展其执行能力,提供一个竞争优势。
  • 🤔 尽管面临执行挑战,OpenAI强调了自成立以来一直在考虑这些问题的重要性。
  • 🗳️ OpenAI正在与政府机构合作,提供权威的投票信息,以增强选举过程中的透明度和公平性。
  • 🌍 OpenAI认识到AI技术的潜在影响,并致力于与分发平台合作,确保AI技术的安全和负责任使用。
  • 🔧 对于AI在工作场所的影响,OpenAI观察到AI技术更多地改变了工作方式,而不是直接取代工作。
  • 💡 OpenAI强调了教育和合作的重要性,以确保各方对AI技术的潜力和挑战有一个全面和平衡的理解。
  • 🌱 尽管存在对AI技术可能加剧社会不平等的担忧,OpenAI指出AI实际上是一个提高生产力和创造力的工具,而非简单地取代人类工作。

Q & A

  • GPT-4相比前代GPT有什么突破?

    -Sam表示GPT-4在多方面有所进步,包括能处理更通用的任务,但是仍有很多局限性。按他的预测,未来版本如GPT-5到GPT-6会有指数级的进步。

  • ChatGPT的商店有哪些应用?

    -用户创建了各种各样的ChatGPT扩展以自定义其功能和行为。比较流行的有规划旅行的应用和查资料的应用。

  • 训练大规模语言模型需要大量算力和能源。这是否会成为环境问题?

    -Sam承认大规模语言模型确实需要消耗大量算力和能源。他希望通过新技术如核聚变来获得清洁能源以满足这一需求。

  • 政府监管AI发展会不会扼杀创业和创新?

    -Anna认为这是业界担忧的一个问题。她建议监管要兼顾促进发展和管理风险。

  • ChatGPT的成功对行业意味着什么?

    -它让更多普通大众了解AI,也展现了作为工具辅助人类的巨大潜力。

Outlines

00:00

📢 新AI使用指南发布

这段讨论了某公司宣布新的AI使用指南,特别是在选举中的应用。这些指南包括禁止在政治竞选中使用ChatGPT,以及为DALL·E生成的图像引入加密水印以确保透明度和来源追踪。面对如Facebook、TikTok和YouTube等大平台在执行类似原则时的挑战,该公司利用自身的安全系统和工具来加强执行力度,并通过与国家秘书协会等组织的合作,提供权威的投票信息。讨论还触及了OpenAI在确保AI技术不会在重要选举中造成负面影响方面的努力,以及对未来的担忧和预防措施。

05:00

🔍 AI在政治竞选中的角色探讨

这一部分深入探讨了AI技术在政治竞选中的使用情况,特别是其对选举策略和舆论形成的影响。强调了尽管AI技术在选举中的具体应用尚未成为主要议题,但其潜力和影响力不容忽视。此外,讨论了技术发展如何改变人们工作的方式,而非直接替代就业,以及AI如何成为提高生产力的工具。最后,讨论了OpenAI在军事项目中使用AI的政策调整,强调了在不促进武器开发的前提下,与国防部合作开发网络安全工具的例子。

10:01

🌐 AI技术的安全与监管

讨论转向了AI技术的安全性和监管问题,特别是在自杀预防和军事应用方面的潜在用途。提到了OpenAI对军事使用的严格限制,尽管如此,公司与美国国防部合作开发网络安全工具,以保护关键基础设施。此外,这一段还探讨了OpenAI如何利用其技术来促进创新,同时保持对社会负责任的态度。

15:04

🎨 对DALL·E技术的艺术家反馈

这一部分关注了艺术家社区对DALL·E技术的反馈,以及OpenAI如何响应这些反馈。强调了与艺术家合作的重要性,尤其是在尊重他们的风格和选择不训练特定艺术家数据的基础上。讨论了未来可能允许艺术家通过售卖或以其他方式经济受益于以他们风格生成的作品的潜力。

20:04

🔧 AI技术的应用与影响

这部分探讨了AI技术,特别是ChatGPT和DALL·E,如何影响人类的工作和创造力。提到了GPT技术使程序员等专业人士的工作效率显著提高,同时强调了技术发展如何推动社会和职业角色的变化。此外,讨论了AI技术在军事和安全领域应用的拓展,以及OpenAI对其政策的调整以适应这些新的用途。

25:05

🌍 AI技术的社会和环境挑战

在这一段中,讨论了AI技术发展对社会和环境的挑战,特别是在能源消耗和气候变化方面。提到了AI技术对能源的巨大需求,以及这一需求可能对全球气候产生的影响。同时,讨论了解决这些挑战所需的技术突破,如核聚变和更高效的太阳能技术。

30:06

📅 AI发展的未来展望

这一部分提出了对AI技术未来发展的展望,特别是在实现通用人工智能(AGI)方面。讨论了技术进步的非线性特性,以及如何在保持谨慎的同时,避免对未来的过度恐惧。强调了逐步迭代开发技术的重要性,以便社会和政策能够适应这些变化。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡AI安全

AI安全指的是确保人工智能系统的开发、部署和使用过程中不会对人类社会造成伤害或不良影响的措施和实践。在视频中,讨论了OpenAI实施的新准则,如加入加密水印以提高AI生成图像的透明度,这些都是为了增强AI使用中的安全性和透明度。这表明了在AI技术快速发展的同时,确保其安全使用是企业和社会普遍关心的问题。

💡加密水印

加密水印是指在AI生成的图像或内容中嵌入隐形标记,以标识该内容为AI生成,从而增加内容的透明度和可追溯性。在视频中提到,OpenAI引入了加密水印技术,旨在创建一个能够追溯和透明使用AI生成图像的环境,这有助于区分人工创作和机器生成的内容,提高了信息的诚信度。

💡民主选举

民主选举指的是通过公平竞争的选举过程选出代表或领导的政治过程。视频中提到了对于使用AI技术可能会在民主选举中产生影响的担忧,尤其是在信息传播和选民影响方面,强调了OpenAI对于不在政治竞选中使用其技术的立场,体现了对民主过程完整性的重视。

💡伙伴关系

伙伴关系在视频中指的是OpenAI与各国家秘书协会等机构建立的合作关系,旨在确保选举信息的权威性和准确性。通过这种合作,OpenAI能够在保证AI技术安全、负责任地使用的同时,为公众提供准确的投票信息,展示了企业与政府间在技术应用方面的协同努力。

💡技术监管

技术监管是指政府或相关机构对科技产品和服务实施的规则和标准。视频中提到了关于AI技术尤其是在选举中使用的监管问题,展现了OpenAI通过与政府机构合作,确保其技术在符合监管要求的同时,也能有效服务于社会公众。

💡迭代部署

迭代部署是指逐步推出新技术或产品版本的过程,每一次迭代都在前一版本的基础上进行改进和优化。视频中提到OpenAI采取迭代部署的方式来发布其AI模型,这种方法不仅可以及时收集用户反馈进行改进,还可以在确保安全和责任的前提下,逐步扩大技术的应用范围和影响力。

💡社会共生

社会共生指的是技术与社会环境相互适应、共同进步的关系。视频中讨论了AI技术如何与社会共生,即通过迭代部署和不断的社会适应过程,使AI技术更好地服务于人类,促进社会的整体发展和进步。

💡人工智能研究

人工智能研究涉及到AI技术的基础理论、算法开发以及应用实践等多个方面。视频中提到OpenAI在人工智能领域的研究,包括通过不断迭代的AI模型来推动技术进步,以及与政府、行业合作伙伴共同探索AI技术的安全和负责任使用。

💡技术透明度

技术透明度指的是向公众清晰地展示技术工作原理、使用影响和可能的风险。视频中OpenAI通过引入加密水印和与政府合作等措施,提高了AI生成内容的透明度,体现了对公众权益的重视和对技术负责任的态度。

💡工具而非实体

工具而非实体在视频中强调了AI技术是作为人类活动的辅助工具而存在,而不是自主的、有自我意识的实体。这个概念有助于塑造公众对AI技术的正确理解,认识到AI的作用是扩展人类能力和创造性,而不是取代人类。

Highlights

开放AI最近公布了有关AI在选举中使用的新准则

开放AI禁止在政治活动中使用Chat GPT

开放AI能够利用自己的工具来扩大执行范围

开放AI正在与美国国防部合作开发网络安全工具

开放AI认为民主国家需要在该技术上处于领先地位

GPT Store中出现了大量创造性和垃圾内容,就像移动应用商店的早期一样

开放AI与出版商的关系对其业务很重要,但与人们普遍认为的不同

开放AI的董事会应该对11月发生的行政命令负责

开放AI的团队和投资者致力于开放AI的使命

AI的训练和推理工作负载需要大量能源,这可能与气候变化的反向发展背道而驰

AI和通用AI的发展路径需要与社会的发展同步迭代

GPT-4只是一个预览,GPT-5的进步可能超过人们的想象

AI可以成为一个工具而不是一个产品或实体,这一认识令人欣喜

设计方式和产品方式确实很重要,以使技术更人性化

AI技术和产品的设计方式应该与人更契合,使其感觉不那么神秘或可怕

Transcripts

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you guys made some news today announcing

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some new guidelines around the use of AI

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in elections I'm sure it's all uh stuff

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that the the the davo set loved to hear

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uh you banned the use of chat GPT in

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political campaigns you introduced

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cryptographic watermarks or images

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created by do to to create kind of

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Providence and transparency around the

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use of AI generated images I read it and

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I thought you know this is great some of

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these principles are shared by much

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larger platforms like Facebook and Tik

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Tok and YouTube and they have struggled

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to enforce it how do

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you make it

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real I mean these a lot of these are

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things that we've been doing for a long

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time and we have a really strong safety

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systems team that um not only sort of

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has monitoring but we're actually able

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to leverage our own tools in order to

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scale our enforcement which gives us I

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think a significant Advantage um but uh

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so there this there also some some

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really important Partnerships like with

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the National Association with the

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secretaries of state so we can Surface

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authoritative voting information so we

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have quite a few ways that we are able

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to enforce this mean Sam are you does

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this put your mind at ease that we don't

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that that open AI doesn't move the

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needle in in some 77 upcoming critical

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Democratic elections in 2024 no we're

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quite focused on it uh and I think it's

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good that our mind is not at EAS I think

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it's good that we have a lot of anxiety

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and are going to do everything we can to

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get it as right as we can um I think our

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role is very different than the role of

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a distribution platform but still

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important we'll have to work with them

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too uh it'll you know it's like you

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generate here and distribute here uh and

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there needs to be a good conversation

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between them but we also have the

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benefit of having watched what's

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happened in previous Cycles with

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previous uh you know Technologies and I

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don't think this will be the same as

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before I I think it's always a mistake

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to try to fight the last war but we do

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get to take away some learnings from

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that

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and so I I wouldn't you know I I think

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it'd be terrible if I said oh yeah I'm

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not worried I feel great like we're

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going to have to watch this incredibly

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closely this year super tight monitoring

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super tight feedback loop Anna you you

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were at Facebook for open

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AI so so I almost apologize for asking

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it this in this way uh probably a

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trigger phrase but do you worry about

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another Cambridge analytical analytica

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moment I think as Sam alluded to there

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are a lot of learnings that we can

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leverage but also open the eye from its

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Inception has been a company that thinks

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about these issues that it was one of

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the reasons that it was founded so I

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think I'm a lot less concerned because

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these are issues that our teams have

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been thinking about from the beginning

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of uh our building of these tools Sam

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Donald Trump just won the Iowa caucus

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yesterday uh we are now sort of

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confronted with the reality of this

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upcoming election what do you think is

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at

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stake in the in the US election for for

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Tech and for the safe stewardship of AI

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do you feel like that's a a critical

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issue that voters should and will have

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to consider in this election I think the

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now confronted as part of the problem uh

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I actually think most people who come to

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D say that again I didn't quite get that

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I think part of the problem is we're

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saying we're now confronted you know it

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never occurred to us that what Trump is

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saying might be resonating with a lot of

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people and now all of a sudden after

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this performance in Iowa oh man um it's

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a very like Davos Centric you know um

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I've been here for two days I guess

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just uh so I I would love if we had a

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lot more reflection and if we started it

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a lot sooner um about and we didn't feel

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now confronted but uh I think there's a

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lot at stake at this election I think

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elections are you know huge deals I

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believe that America is going to be fine

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no matter what happens in this election

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I believe that AI is going to be fine no

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matter what happens in this election and

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we will have to work very hard to make

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it so um but this is not you know no one

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wants to sit up here and like hear me

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rant about politics I'm going to stop

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after this um but I think there has been

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a real failure to sort of learn lessons

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about what what's kind of like working

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for the citizens of America and what's

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not Anna I want to ask you the same

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question uh um you know taking your

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political background into account what

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do you feel like for Silicon Valley for

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AI is at stake in the US election I

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think what has struck me and has been

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really remarkable is that the

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conversation around AI has remained very

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bipartisan and so you know I think that

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the one concern I have is that somehow

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both parties hate

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it no but you know this is like an area

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where um

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you Republicans tend to of course have a

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an approach where they are not as in

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favor of Regulation but on this I think

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there's agreement on both parties that

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they are consider they believe that

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something is needed on this technology

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you know Senator Schumer has this

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bipartisan effort that he is running

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with his Republican counterparts again

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uh when we speak to people in DC on both

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sides of the aisle for now it seems like

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they're on the same page and do you feel

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like all the existing campaigns are

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equally articulate about the about the

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issues relating to Ai No know that AI

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has really been a campaign issue to date

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so it will be interesting to see how

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that if we're right about what's going

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to happen here this is like bigger than

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just a technological re ution in some

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sense I mean sort of like all

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technological revolutions or societal

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revolutions but this one feels like it

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can be much more of that than usual and

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so it it is going to become uh a social

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issue a political issue um it already

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has in some ways but I think it is

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strange to both of us that it's not more

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of that already but with what we expect

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to happen this year not with the

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election but just with the the increase

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in the capabilities of the products uh

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and as people really

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catch up with what's going to happen

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what is happening what's already

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happened uh there's like a lot of a Nur

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always in society well I mean there are

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political figures in the US and around

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the world like Donald Trump who have

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successfully tapped into a feeling of

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yeah

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dislocation uh anger of the working

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class the feeling of you know

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exacerbating inequality or technology

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leaving people behind is there the

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danger that uh you know AI furthers

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those Trends yes for sure I think that's

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something to think about but one of the

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things that surprised us very pleasantly

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on the upside uh cuz you know when you

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start building a technology you start

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doing research you you kind of say well

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we'll follow where the science leads us

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and when you put a product you'll say

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this is going to co-evolve with society

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and we'll follow where users lead us but

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it's not you get you get to steer it but

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only somewhat there's some which is just

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like this is what the technology can do

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this is how people want to use it and

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this is what it's capable of and this

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has been much more of a tool than I

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think we expected it is not yet and

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again in the future it'll it'll get

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better but it's not yet like replacing

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jobs in the way to the degree that

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people thought it was going to it is

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this incredible tool for productivity

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and you can see people magnifying what

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they can do um by a factor of two or

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five or in some way that doesn't even

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talk to makes sense to talk about a

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number because they just couldn't do the

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things at all before and that is I think

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quite exciting this this new vision of

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the future that we didn't really see

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when we started we kind of didn't know

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how it was going to go and very thankful

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the technology did go in this direction

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but where this is a tool that magnifies

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what humans do lets people do their jobs

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better lets the AI do parts of jobs and

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of course jobs will change and of course

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some jobs will totally go away but the

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human drives are so strong and the sort

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of way that Society works is so strong

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that I think and I can't believe I'm

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saying this because it would have

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sounded like an ungrammatical sentence

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to me at some point but I think AGI will

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get developed in the reasonably

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close-ish future and it'll change the

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world much less than we all think it'll

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change jobs much less than we all think

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and again that sounds I may be wrong

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again now but that wouldn't have even

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compiled for me as a sentence at some

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point given my conception then of how

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AGI was going to go as you've watched

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the technology develop have you both

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changed your views on how significant

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the job dislocation and disruption will

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be as AGI comes into Focus so this is

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actually an area that we know we have a

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policy research team that studies this

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and they've seen pretty significant

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impact in terms of changing the way

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people do jobs rather than job

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dislocation and I think that's actually

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going to accelerate and that it's going

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to change more people's jobs um but as

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Sam said so far it hasn't been the

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significant a replacement of jobs you

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know you hear a coder say okay I'm like

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two times more productive three times

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more productive whatever than they used

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to be and I like can never code again

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without this tool you mostly hear that

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from the younger ones but

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um it turns out and I think this will be

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true for a lot of Industries the world

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just needs a lot more code than we have

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people to write right now and so it's

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not like we run out of demand it's that

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people can just do more expectations go

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up but ability goes up

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too goes up I want to ask you about

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another news report today that suggested

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that open AI was relaxing its

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restrictions around the use of AI in

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military projects and developing weapons

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can you say more about that and you what

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work are you doing with the US

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Department of Defense and other military

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agencies so a lot of these policies were

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written um before we even knew what

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these people would use our tools for so

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what this was not actually just the

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adjustment of the military use case

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policies but across the board to make it

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more clear so that people understand

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what is possible what is not possible

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but specifically on this um area we

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actually still prohibit the development

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of weapons um the destruction of

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property harm to individuals but for

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example we've been doing work with the

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Department of Defense on um cyber

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security tools for uh open source

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software that secures critical

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infrastructure we've been exploring

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whether it can assist with veteran

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suicide and because we previously had a

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what essentially was a blanket

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prohibition on Military many people felt

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like that would have prohibited any of

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these use cases which we think are very

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much aligned with what we want to see in

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the world has the US government asked

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you to restrict the level of cooperation

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with uh militaries in other

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countries um they haven't asked us but

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we certainly are not you know right for

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now actually our discussion are focused

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on um United States national security

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agencies and um you know I think we have

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always believed that democracies need to

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be in the lead on this technology uh Sam

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changing topics uh give us an update on

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the GPT store and are you seeing maybe

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probably explain it briefly and are you

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seeing the same kind of explosion of

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creativity we saw in the early days of

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the mobile app stores yeah the same

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level of creativity and the same level

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of crap but it I mean that happens in

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the early days as people like feel out a

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technology there's some incredible stuff

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in there too um give us an example the

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gpts should I say what gpts are first

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yeah sure um so gpts are a way to do a

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very lightweight customization of chat

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GPT and if you want it to behave in a

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particular way to use particular data to

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be able to call out to an external

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service um you can make this thing and

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you can do all sorts of like uh great

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stuff with it um and then we just

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recently launched a store where you can

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see what other people have built and you

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can share it and um I mean personally

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one that I have loved is Al Trails I

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have this like every other weekend I

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would like to like go for a long hike

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and there's always like the version of

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Netflix that other people have where

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it's like takes an hour to figure out

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what to watch it takes me like two hours

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to figure out what hike to do and the

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all Trails thing to like say I want this

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I want that you know I've already done

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this one and like here's a great hike

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it's been I it's sounds silly but I love

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that one have you added any gpts of your

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own have I made any yeah um I have not

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put any in the store maybe I will great

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um can you give us an update on the

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volume or or the pace at which you're

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seeing new gpts um the number I know is

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that there had been 3 million created

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before we launched the store I have been

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in the middle of this trip around the

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world that has been quite hectic and I

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have not been doing my normal daily

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metrics tracking so I don't know how

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it's gone since launch but I'll tell you

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by the slowness of chat GPT it's

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probably doing really

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well um I want to ask you about open

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ai's copyright issues uh how important

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are publisher relations to open ai's

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business considering for example the

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lawsuit last month file against open AI

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by the New York Times They are important

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but not for the reason people think um

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there is this belief held by some people

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that man you need all of my training

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data and my training data is so valuable

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and actually uh that is generally not

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the case we do not want to train on the

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New York Times data for example um and

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all more generally we're getting to a

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world where it's been like data data

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data you just need more you need more

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you need more you're going to run out of

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that at some point anyway so a lot of

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our research has been how can we learn

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more from smaller amounts of very high

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quality data and I think the world is

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going to figure that out what we want to

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do with Publishers if they want is when

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one of our users says what happened to

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Davos today be able to say here's an

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article from blueberg here's an article

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from New York Times and here you know

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here's like a little snippet or probably

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not a snippet there's probably some

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cooler thing that we can do with the

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technology and you know some people want

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to partner with us some people don't

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we've been striking a lot of great

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Partnerships and we have a lot more

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coming um and then you know some people

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don't want want to uh we'd rather they

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just say we don't want to do that rather

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than Sue us but like we'll defend

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ourselves that's fine too I just heard

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you say you don't want to train on the

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New York Times does that mean given the

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the legal exposure you would have done

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things differently as you trained your

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model here's a tricky thing about that

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um people the web is a big thing and

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there are people who like copy from The

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New York Times and put an article

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without attribution up on some website

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and you don't know that's a New York

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Times article if the New York Times

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wants to give us a database of all their

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articles or someone else does and say

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hey don't put anything out that's like a

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match for this we can probably do a

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pretty good job and um solve we don't

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want to regurgitate someone else's

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content um but the problem is not as

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easy as it sounds in a vacuum I think we

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can get that number down and down and

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down have it be quite low and that seems

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like a super reasonable thing to

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evaluate us on you know if you have

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copyrighted content whether or not it

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got put into someone else's thing

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without our knowledge and you're willing

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to show us what it is and say don't

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don't put this stuff as a direct

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response we should be able to do that

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um again it won't like thousand you know

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monkeys thousand typewriters whatever it

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is once in a while the model will just

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generate something very close but on the

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whole we should be able to do a great

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job with this um so there's like there's

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all the negatives of this people like ah

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you know don't don't do this but the

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positives are I think there's going to

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be great new ways to consume and

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monetize news and other published

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content and for every one New York Times

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situation we have we have many more

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Super productive things about people

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that are excited to to build the future

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and not do their theatrics and and what

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and what about DOI I mean there have

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been artists who have been upset with

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Dolly 2 Dolly 3 what what has that

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taught you and how will you do things

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differently we engage with the artist

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Community a lot and uh you know we we

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try to like do the requests so one is

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don't don't generate in my style um even

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if you're not training on my data super

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reasonable so we you know Implement

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things like that

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um you know let me opt out of training

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even if my images are all over the

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Internet and you don't know what they

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are what I'm and so there's a lot of

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other things too what I'm really excited

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to do and the technology isn't here yet

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but get to a point where rather than the

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artist say I don't want this thing for

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these reasons be able to deliver

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something where an artist can make a

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great version of Dolly in their style

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sell access to that if they want don't

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if they don't want just use it for

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themselves uh or get some sort of

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economic benefit or otherwise when

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someone does use their stuff um and it's

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not just training on their images it

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really is like you know it really is

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about style uh and and that's that's the

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thing that at least in the artist

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conversations I've had that people are

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super interested in so for now it's like

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all right let's know what people don't

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want make sure that we respect that um

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of course you can't make everybody happy

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but try to like make the community feel

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like we're being a good partner um but

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what what I what I think will be better

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and more exciting is when we can do

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things that artists are like that's

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awesome Anna you are open AI ambassador

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to Washington other capitals around the

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world I I'm curious what you've taken

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from your experience in Facebook what

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you've taken from the tense relations

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between a lot of tech companies and

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governments and Regulators over the past

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few decades and how you're putting that

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to use now in open open AI I mean so I

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think one thing that I really learned

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working in government and of course I

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worked in the White House during the

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2016 Russia election interference and

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people think that that was the first

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time we'd ever heard of it but it was

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something that we had actually been

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working on for years and thinking you

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know we know that this happens what do

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we do about it and one thing I never did

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during that period is go out and talk to

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the companies because it's not actually

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typical thing you do in government and

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was much more rare back then especially

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with you know these emerging tools and I

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thought about that a lot as I entered

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the tech space that I regretted that and

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that I wanted governments to be able to

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really understand the technology and how

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the decisions are made by these

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companies and also just honestly when I

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first joined openi no one of course had

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heard of openi in government for the

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most part

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and I thought every time I used it I

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thought my God if IID had this for8

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years I was in the administration I

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could have gotten 10 times more done so

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for me it was really how do I get my

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colleagues to use it um especially with

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open eyes mission to make sure these

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tools benefit everyone I don't think

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that'll ever happen unless governments

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are incorporating it to serve citizens

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more efficiently and faster and so this

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is actually one of the things I've been

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most excited about is to just really get

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governments to use it for everyone's

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benefit I mean I'm hearing like a lot of

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sincerity in that pitch are Regulators

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receptive to it it feels like a lot are

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coming to the conversation probably with

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a good deal of skepticism because of

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past interactions with Silicon Valley I

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think I mostly don't even really get to

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talk about it because for the most part

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people are interested in governance and

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Regulation and I think that they know um

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theoretically that there is a lot of

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benefit the government many governments

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are not quite ready to incorporate I

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mean there are exceptions obviously

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people who are really at the Forefront

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so it's not you know I think often I

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just don't even really get to that

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conversation

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so I want to ask you both about the

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dramatic turn of events in uh November

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Sam one day the window on these

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questions will close um that is not you

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think they

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will I think at some point they probably

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will but it hasn't happened yet so it

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doesn't doesn't matter um I guess my

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question is is you know have you

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addressed the Govern the governance

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issues the very unique uh corporate

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structure at open AI with the nonprofit

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board and the cap profit arm that led to

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your ouer we're going to focus first on

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putting a great full board in place um I

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expect us to make a lot of progress on

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that in the coming months uh and then

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after that the new board uh will take a

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look at the governance structure but I

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think we debated both what does that

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mean is it should open AI be a

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traditional Silicon Valley for-profit

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company we'll never be a traditional

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company but the structure I I think we

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should take a look at the structure

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maybe the answer we have now is right

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but I think we should be willing to

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consider other things but I think this

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is not the time for it and the focus on

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the board first and then we'll go look

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at it from all angles I mean presumably

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you have investors including Microsoft

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including uh your Venture Capital

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supporters um your employees who uh over

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the long term are seeking a return on

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their investment um I think one of the

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things that's difficult to express about

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open aai is the degree to which our team

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and the people around us investors

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Microsoft whatever are committed to this

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Mission um in the middle of that crazy

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few days uh at one point I think like 97

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something like that 98% of the company

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signed uh a letter saying you know we're

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all going to resign and go to something

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else and that would have torched

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everyone's equity and for a lot of our

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employees like this is all or the great

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majority of their wealth and people

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being willing to go do that I think is

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quite unusual our investors who also

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were about to like watch their Stakes go

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to zero which just like how can we

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support you and whatever is best for for

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the mission Microsoft too um I feel very

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very fortunate about that uh of course

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also would like to make all of our

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shareholders a bunch of money but it was

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very clear to me what people's

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priorities were and uh that meant a lot

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I I I sort of smiled because you came to

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the Bloomberg Tech Conference in last

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June and Emily Chang asked uh it was

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something along along the lines of why

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should we trust you and you very

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candidly says you shouldn't and you said

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the board should be able to fire me if

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if they want and of course then they did

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and you quite uh adeptly orchestrated

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your return actually let me tell you

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something um I the board did that I was

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like I think this is wild super confused

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super caught off guard but this is the

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structure and I immediately just went to

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go thinking about what I was going to do

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next it was not until some board members

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called me the next morning that I even

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thought about really coming back um when

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they asked you don't want you want to

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come back uh you want to talk about that

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but like the board did have all of the

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Power there now you know what I'm not

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going to say that next thing but I I I

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think you should continue I think I no I

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would I would also just say that I think

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that there's a lot of narratives out

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there it's like oh well this was

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orchestrated by all these other forces

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it's not accurate I mean it was the

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employees of open AI that wanted this

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and that thought that it was the right

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thing for Sam to be back the you know

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like yeah I thing I'll will say is uh I

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think it's important that I have an

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entity that like can fire this but that

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entity has got to have some

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accountability too and that is a clear

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issue with what happened right Anna you

play22:11

wrote a remarkable letter to employees

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during The Saga and one of the many

play22:15

reasons I was excited to to have you on

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stage today was ju to just ask you what

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were those five days like for you and

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why did you step up and write that uh

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Anna can clearly answer this if she

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wants to but like is really what you

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want to spend our time on like the soap

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opera rather than like what AI is going

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to do I mean I'm wrapping it up but but

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um I mean go I think people are

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interested okay well we can leave it

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here if you want no no yeah let's let's

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answer that question and we'll we'll we

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can move on I would just say uh for

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color that it happened the day before

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the entire company was supposed to take

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a week off so we were all on Friday uh

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preparing to you know have a restful

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week after an insane year so then you

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know many of us slept on the floor of

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the office for a week right there's a

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question here that I think is a a really

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good one we are at Davos climate change

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is on the agenda um the question is does

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do well I'm going to give it a different

play23:08

spin considering the compute costs and

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the the need for chips does the

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development of AI and the path to AGI

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threaten to take us in the opposite

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direction on the climate

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um we do need way more energy in the

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world than I think we thought we needed

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before my my whole model of the world is

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that the two important currencies of the

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future are compute SL intelligence and

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energy um you know the ideas that we

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want and the ability to make stuff

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happen and uh the ability to like run

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the compute and I think we still don't

play23:47

appreciate the energy needs of this

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technology um the good news to the

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degree there's good news is there's no

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way to get there without a breakthrough

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we need Fusion or we need like radically

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cheaper solar Plus Storage or something

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at massive scale like a scale that no

play24:04

one is really planning for um so

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we it's totally fair to say that AI is

play24:11

going to need a lot of energy but it

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will force us I think to invest more in

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the technologies that can deliver this

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none of which are the ones that are

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burning the carbon like that'll be those

play24:21

all those unbelievable number of fuel

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trucks and by the way you back one or

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more nuclear yeah I I personally think

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that

play24:31

is either the most likely or the second

play24:33

most likely approach feel like the world

play24:36

is more receptive to that technology now

play24:38

certainly historically not in the US um

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I think the world is still

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unfortunately pretty negative on fishing

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super positive on Fusion it's a much

play24:48

easier story um but I wish the world

play24:51

would Embrace fishing much more I look I

play24:55

I may be too optimistic about this but I

play24:56

think

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I I think we have paths now to

play25:02

massive a massive energy transition away

play25:05

from burning carbon it'll take a while

play25:07

those cars are going to keep driving

play25:08

there you know there's all the transport

play25:10

stuff it'll be a while till there's like

play25:12

a fusion reactor in every cargo ship um

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but if if we can drop the cost of energy

play25:16

as dramatically as I hope we can then

play25:19

the math on carbon captur just so

play25:22

changes uh I still expect unfortunately

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the world is on a path where we're going

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to have to do something dramatic with

play25:29

climate look like geoengineering as a as

play25:32

a as a Band-Aid as a stop Gap but I

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think we do now see a path to the

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long-term solution so I I want to just

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go back to my question in terms of

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moving in the opposite direction it

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sounds like the answer is potentially

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yes on the demand side unless we take

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drastic action on the supply side but

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there there is no I I see no way to

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supply this with to to manage the supply

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side without

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a really big breakthrough right which is

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this is does this frighten you guys

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because um you know the world hasn't

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been that versatile when it comes to

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supply but AI as you know you have

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pointed out is not going to take its

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time until we start generating enough

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power it motivates us to go invest more

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in fusion and invest more in nor new

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storage and and not only the technology

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but what it's going to take to deliver

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this at the scale that AI needs and that

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the whole globe needs so I think it

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would be not helpful for us to just sit

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there and be nervous um we're just like

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hey we see what's coming with very high

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conviction it's coming how can we use

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our

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abilities uh our Capital our whatever

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else to do this and in the process of

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that hopefully deliver a solution for

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the rest of the world not just AI

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training workloads or inference

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workloads Anna it felt like in 2023 we

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had the beginning of a almost

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hypothetical conversation about

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regulating AI what what should we expect

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in 2024 and you know does it do do do

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governments act does it does it become

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real and what is what is AI safety look

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like so I think we it is becoming real

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you know the EU is uh on the cusp of

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actually finalizing this regulation

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which is going to be quite extensive and

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the Biden Administration uh wrote the

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longest executive order I think in the

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history of executive orders uh covering

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this technology and is being implemented

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in 2024 because they gave agencies you

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know a bunch of homework for how to

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implement this and govern this

play27:30

technology and and it's happening so I

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think it is really moving forward um but

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what exactly safety looks like of what

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it even is I think this is still a

play27:38

conversation we haven't bottomed out on

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you know we founded this Frontier Model

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Forum in part yeah maybe explain what

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that is so this is um for now this is um

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Microsoft openai anthropic and um Google

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but it will I think expand to other

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Frontier Labs but really right now all

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of us are working on safety we all red

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teamr models um we all do a lot of this

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work but we really don't have even a

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common vocabulary um or a standardized

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approach and to the extent that people

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think like well this is just industry

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but uh this is in part in response to

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many governments that have asked us for

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this very thing so like what is it

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across industry that you think are

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viable best practices is there a risk

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that regulation starts to discourage

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entrepreneurial activity in in AI I mean

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I think people are terrified of this um

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this is why I think Germany and France

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and Italy in interjected into the EU um

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AI act discussion because they are

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really concerned about their own

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domestic Industries being sort of

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undercut before they've even had a

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chance to develop were you satisfied

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with your old boss's executive order and

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was was there anything in there that uh

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you had lobbied against no and in fact

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you know I think it's it was really good

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in that it wasn't just these are the

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restrictions it's like and then also

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please go and think about how your

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agency will actually leverage this to do

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your work better so I was really

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encouraged that they actually did have a

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balanced

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approach um Sam first time at Davos

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first time okay is um uh you mentioned

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that uh You' prefer to spend more of our

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time here on stage talking about AGI

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what is the message you're bringing to

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political leaders and other Business

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Leaders here if you could distill it

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thank you

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um

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so I think 2023 was a year where the

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world woke up to the possibility of

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these systems becoming increasingly

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capable and increasingly General but GPT

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4 I think is best understood as a

play29:42

preview and it was more Over the Bar

play29:46

than we expected of utility for more

play29:48

people in more ways but you know it's

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easy to point out the limitations and

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again we're thrilled that people love it

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and use it as much as they do but this

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is progress here is not linear and this

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is the thing that I think is really

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tricky humans have horrible intuition

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for exponentials at least speaking for

play30:07

myself but it seems like a common part

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of the human condition um what does it

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mean if GPT 5 is as much better than gp4

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is four was to three and six is to five

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and what does it mean if we're just on

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this trajectory now um what you know on

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the question of Regulation I think it's

play30:24

great that different countries are going

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to try different things some countries

play30:27

will probably ban AI some countries will

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probably say no guard rails at all both

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of those I think will turn out to be

play30:32

suboptimal and we'll we'll get to see

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different things work but as these

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systems become more powerful um as they

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as they become more deeply integrated

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into the economy as they become

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something we all used to do our work and

play30:45

then as things beyond that happen as

play30:47

they become capable of discovering new

play30:50

scientific knowledge for

play30:52

Humanity even as they become capable of

play30:54

doing AI research at some point um the

play30:57

world is going

play30:58

to change more slowly and then more

play31:01

quickly than than we might imagine but

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the world is going to change um this is

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you know a thing I I always say to

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people is no one knows what happens next

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and I really believe that and I think

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keeping the humility about that is

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really important you can see a few steps

play31:14

in front of you but not too many

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um but when cognition the when the cost

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of cognition Falls by a factor of a

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thousand or a million when the

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capability of it becomes uh it augments

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Us in ways we can't even imagine you

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know uh like one example I I try to give

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to people is what if everybody in the

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world had a really competent company of

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10,000 great virtual employees experts

play31:41

in every area they never fought with

play31:42

each other they didn't need to rest they

play31:45

got really smart they got smarter at

play31:46

this rapid Pace what would we be able to

play31:48

create for each other what would that do

play31:50

to the world that we experience and the

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answer is none of us know of course and

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none of us have strong intuitions for

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that I can imagine it sort of but it's

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not like a clear picture um and this is

play32:03

going to happen uh it doesn't mean we

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don't get to steer it it doesn't mean we

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don't get to work really hard to make it

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safe and to do it in a responsible way

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but we are going to go to the Future and

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I think the best way to get there in a

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way that works

play32:17

is the level of Engagement we now have

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part of the reason a big part of the

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reason we believe in iterative

play32:23

deployment of our technology is that

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people need time to gradually get used

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to it to understand it we need time to

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make mistakes while the stakes are low

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governments need time to make some

play32:33

policy mistakes and also technology and

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Society have to co-evolve in a case like

play32:39

this uh so technology is going to change

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with each iteration but so is the way

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Society works and that's got to be this

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interactive iterative process um and we

play32:48

need to embrace it but have caution

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without fear and how long do we have for

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this iterative process to play I I think

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it's surprisingly continuous I don't

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like if I try to think about

play33:00

discontinuities I can sort of see one

play33:02

when AI can do really good AI research

play33:05

um and I can see a few others too but

play33:07

that's like an evocative example um but

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on the whole I don't think it's about

play33:12

like Crossing this one line I think it's

play33:14

about this continuous exponential curve

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we climb together and so how long do we

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have like no time at all in

play33:24

infinite I saw GPT five trending on X

play33:28

earlier this week and I clicked and I

play33:30

you know couldn't I it sounded uh you

play33:33

know probably misinformed but what what

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can you tell us about gbt 5 and is it an

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exponential uh you know improvement over

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what we've seen look I don't know what

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we're going to call our next model um I

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don't know when are you going to get

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creative with the uh the naming process

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uh I don't want to be like shipping

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iPhone

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27 um so you know it's not my style

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quite uh but I I think the next model we

play34:02

release uh I expect it to be very

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impressive to do new things that were

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not possible with gp4 to do a lot of

play34:08

things better and I expect us to like

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take our time and make sure we can

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launch something that we feel good about

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and responsible about within open AI

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some employees consider themselves to be

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quote building God is that I haven't

play34:23

heard that okay is um I mean I've heard

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like people say that factiously but uh I

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think almost all employees would say

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they're building a tool more so than

play34:36

they thought they were going to be which

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they're thrilled about you know this

play34:39

confusion in the industry of Are We

play34:41

building a creature are we building a

play34:42

tool um I think we're much more building

play34:45

a tool and that's much

play34:46

better uh to transition to something

play34:49

yeah goad no no no no you finish your

play34:51

thought oh I was just going to say like

play34:53

the

play34:54

the we think of ourselves as tool

play34:57

Builders um AI is much more of a tool

play35:01

than a product and much much more of a

play35:03

tool than this like entity and uh one of

play35:08

the most wonderful things about last

play35:10

year was seeing just how much people

play35:12

around the world could do with that tool

play35:14

and they astonished us and I think we'll

play35:16

just see more and more and human

play35:17

creativity uh and ability to like do

play35:21

more with better tools is remarkable and

play35:23

and before we have to start wrapping up

play35:25

you know there was a report that you

play35:26

were working with Johnny I on an AI

play35:29

powered device either within open AI

play35:32

perhaps as a separate company you know I

play35:34

bring it up because CES was earlier this

play35:37

month and AI powered devices were the

play35:39

the talk of of the conference you know

play35:42

can you give us an update on that and

play35:44

are we approach does AI bring us to the

play35:46

beginning of the end of the smartphone

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era smartphones are fantastic I don't

play35:51

think smartphones are going anywhere uh

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I think what they do they do really

play35:54

really well and they're very general if

play35:56

if there is a new thing to make uh I

play35:59

don't think it replaces a smartphone in

play36:01

the way that I don't think smartphones

play36:02

replace computers but if there's a new

play36:04

thing to make that helps us do more

play36:06

better you know in a in a new way given

play36:08

that we have this unbelievable change

play36:11

like I don't think we quite I don't

play36:13

spend enough time I think like marveling

play36:14

at the fact that we can now talk to

play36:16

computers and they understand us and do

play36:18

stuff for us like it is a new affordance

play36:20

a new way to use a computer and if we

play36:22

can do something great there uh a new

play36:25

kind of computer we should do that and

play36:27

if it turns out that the smartphone's

play36:28

really good and this is all software

play36:29

then fine but I bet there is something

play36:32

great to be done and um the partnership

play36:35

with Johnny is that an open AI effort is

play36:38

that another company I have not heard

play36:39

anything official about a partnership

play36:41

with

play36:42

Johnny okay um Anna I'm going to give

play36:46

you the last word as you and Sam meet

play36:48

with business and world leaders here at

play36:50

Davos what's the message you want to

play36:52

leave them

play36:54

with um I think the that there is an a

play36:58

trend where people feel more fear than

play37:01

excitement about this technology and I

play37:03

understand that we have to work very

play37:04

hard to make sure that the best version

play37:06

of this technology is realized but I do

play37:08

think that many people are engaging with

play37:11

this via the leaders here and that they

play37:13

really have a responsibility to make

play37:15

sure that um they are sending a balanced

play37:17

message so that um people can really

play37:20

actually engage with it and realize the

play37:22

benefit of this technology can I have 20

play37:24

seconds absolutely one one of the things

play37:26

that I think open ey has not always done

play37:28

right in the field hasn't either is find

play37:30

a way to build these tools in a way uh

play37:33

and also talk about them that don't

play37:36

don't get that kind of response I think

play37:38

chat gbt one of the best things it did

play37:39

is it shifted the conversation to the

play37:41

positive not because we said trust us

play37:43

it'll be great but because people used

play37:44

it and are like oh I get this I use this

play37:47

in a very natural way the smartphone was

play37:48

cool cuz I didn't even have to use a

play37:49

keyboard and phone I could use it more

play37:51

naturally talking is even more natural

play37:53

um speaking of Johnny Johnny is a genius

play37:55

and one of the things that I think he

play37:57

has done again and again about computers

play37:59

is figuring out a way to make them very

play38:03

human compatible and I think that's

play38:05

super important with this technology

play38:07

making this feel like uh you know not

play38:10

this mystical thing from sci-fi not this

play38:11

scary thing from sci-fi but this this

play38:14

new way to use a computer that you love

play38:16

and that really feels like I still

play38:18

remember the first iMac I got and what

play38:21

that felt like to me

play38:23

relative it was heavy but the fact that

play38:25

it had that handle even though it is

play38:26

like a kid it was very heavy to carry um

play38:29

it did mean that I was like I had a

play38:31

different relationship with it because

play38:32

of that handle and because of the way it

play38:34

looked I was like oh I can move this

play38:36

thing around I could unplug it and throw

play38:38

it out the window if it tried to like

play38:39

wake up and take over that's nice um and

play38:42

I think the way we design our technology

play38:44

and our products really does matter