How Geography is Pushing India & China to War

RealLifeLore
22 May 202446:40

Summary

TLDRIn August 2023, China released a new standard map, escalating tensions with several countries by claiming territories not under its control. This map disputes regions controlled by India, Bhutan, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Japan, and Russia. Notable conflicts include the South China Sea, Taiwan, and the disputed India-China border. The complex historical and geopolitical origins of these disputes are rooted in colonial-era treaties and strategic concerns, especially over water resources from Tibet. The video delves into the implications of these disputes for China's relationships with India and Bhutan, highlighting the risk of potential military conflicts.

Takeaways

  • 🌍 In August 2023, China unveiled a new standard map claiming territories administered by India, Bhutan, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Japan, and Russia.
  • 🇨🇳 China's new map asserts claims over large areas including Taiwan, the South China Sea, and islands within it, causing disputes with several countries.
  • 🏔️ The India-China border, known as the Line of Actual Control, is the world's longest openly disputed border, stretching 3,400 km across the Himalayas.
  • ⚔️ The India-China border disputes involve significant territories like Aksai Chin and Arunachal Pradesh, leading to military standoffs and clashes.
  • 🇧🇹 China has quietly invaded and settled parts of Bhutan, including significant areas in the west, north, and east, representing about 12% of Bhutan's territory.
  • 💥 The 1962 Sino-Indian War and subsequent conflicts highlight the intensity of the territorial disputes between China and India.
  • 🚿 Tibet, referred to as the 'water tower of Asia,' is strategically vital due to its vast freshwater resources that supply major Asian rivers.
  • 🛤️ China's Belt and Road Initiative, particularly the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, has strategic implications for India and regional dynamics.
  • 💣 India's strategic concerns include potential encirclement by Chinese influence and the vulnerability of the Siliguri Corridor.
  • 🇮🇳 China's claims in Bhutan and military infrastructure developments increase tensions with India, which maintains close ties with Bhutan.

Q & A

  • What was significant about China's new standard map released in August 2023?

    -The new standard map released by China in August 2023 included numerous territories not controlled by China but claimed by it, leading to territorial disputes with countries like India, Bhutan, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Japan, and Russia.

  • Which countries are involved in territorial disputes with China according to the new map?

    -The countries involved in territorial disputes with China according to the new map include India, Bhutan, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Japan, and Russia.

  • What are the most well-known territorial claims shown on China's new standard map?

    -The most well-known territorial claims include the entirety of Taiwan and China's extensive maritime claims in the South China Sea, which conflict with the claims of Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Brunei.

  • What is the Line of Actual Control (LAC) between India and China?

    -The Line of Actual Control (LAC) is the frontier between Indian-controlled territory and Chinese-controlled territory, where both countries have differing interpretations of the border and maintain a significant military presence.

  • What territories does China claim in the northwest sector of the India-China border dispute?

    -In the northwest sector, China claims the areas of Aksai Chin and the Trans-Karakoram Tract, both of which are currently controlled by China but also claimed by India.

  • How has China escalated its claims over Bhutan's territory?

    -China has escalated its claims over Bhutan's territory by quietly invading, occupying, and settling in three significant areas in Bhutan, including the northern, western, and eastern regions, representing roughly 12% of Bhutan's internationally recognized territory.

  • Why did the border dispute between China and India intensify in the 2020s?

    -The border dispute intensified due to both countries' growing geopolitical rivalry, China's increased military assertiveness under Xi Jinping, and India's assertive foreign policy under Narendra Modi, leading to military standoffs and clashes.

  • What is the significance of the Siliguri Corridor for India?

    -The Siliguri Corridor, also known as the Chicken's Neck, is a narrow land bridge that is India's only connection to its northeastern states. Its strategic importance makes it a significant vulnerability, especially in the context of Chinese territorial claims in the region.

  • Why does China consider Tibet strategically important?

    -China considers Tibet strategically important because it is the source of major rivers that provide water to billions of people across Asia, including the Yellow and Yangtze rivers in China, making the control over these water sources vital for China's security.

  • What was the historical context behind the territorial dispute over Aksai Chin?

    -The territorial dispute over Aksai Chin stems from differing interpretations of historical border treaties between British India and the Qing Empire, with the Johnson-Ardagh line placing Aksai Chin within India and the McCartney-MacDonald line placing it within China. These differing interpretations persisted through the 20th century, leading to ongoing disputes.

Outlines

00:00

🇨🇳 China's New Standard Map 2023

In August 2023, China unveiled a new standard map claiming numerous territories not actually controlled by China but administered by India, Bhutan, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Japan, and Russia. This has resulted in China having the most territorial disputes globally. The map includes well-known claims like Taiwan and the South China Sea, as well as lesser-known ones like the Saku Islands and surprise claims like Russia's Bolshoy Ussuriysky Island.

05:01

⚔️ India-China Territorial Disputes

The territorial disputes between India and China are vast, with the two countries having the longest openly disputed border in the world. The Line of Actual Control (LAC) divides the areas controlled by India and China, with both countries having differing claims across three sections. Major disputed territories include Aksai Chin and Arunachal Pradesh, leading to frequent military standoffs and conflicts, notably in 1962 and recent clashes in 2017 and 2020.

10:02

🗺️ Historical Origins of the India-China Border Dispute

The border disputes between India and China stem from historical agreements and colonial-era boundaries. Key areas of contention include Aksai Chin and the McMahon Line. The British-proposed Johnson-Ardagh and McCartney-MacDonald lines further complicate the border definitions. The 1914 Simla Convention, signed by British India and Tibet, but not China, solidified the McMahon Line, which remains contentious to this day.

15:02

🔱 The Importance of Tibet in China-India Relations

Tibet's geopolitical significance, due to its vast freshwater reserves and strategic location, led China to annex it in 1950. This move heightened tensions with India, especially after the Dalai Lama fled to India in 1959. The annexation secured China’s control over crucial water sources, linking Tibet with Xinjiang via the Aksai Chin highway, which became strategically valuable for China.

20:02

📈 China's Rising Power and Border Policies

Since the 1990s, China's economic rise has led to a more assertive foreign policy, particularly under Xi Jinping. China's economic and military power growth has reduced its interest in settling territorial disputes with India and Bhutan. The strategic importance of areas like Arunachal Pradesh and the Siliguri Corridor fuels India's security concerns and China's aggressive territorial claims.

25:03

🇮🇳 India's Strategic Concerns

India is wary of China’s territorial ambitions and its strategic moves around Bhutan and Arunachal Pradesh. The Siliguri Corridor, a narrow land bridge, is crucial for India’s connectivity to its northeastern states. China’s claims in Bhutan and the Chumbi Valley region threaten India’s strategic interests, prompting India to bolster its military presence and alliances, particularly with Bhutan.

30:04

🌏 China's Strategic Settlements in Bhutan

China's claims and settlements in Bhutan, particularly in the Dolam Plateau, Bayu, and Machuma Valley, aim to secure strategic high ground near the Chumbi Valley. These moves pressure Bhutan to concede territory, straining Bhutan's relations with India. The construction of infrastructure and villages in these areas strengthens China’s strategic position, challenging Bhutan’s sovereignty.

35:04

🤝 Bhutan's Diplomatic Balancing Act

Bhutan faces a difficult choice between yielding to China’s territorial demands and maintaining its alliance with India. Bhutan's strategic location between India and China makes it a focal point of regional geopolitics. Bhutan's isolationist policies and limited diplomatic relations aim to balance the influences of its powerful neighbors while avoiding direct conflict.

40:05

🏔️ The Ongoing Bhutan-China-India Tensions

Bhutan’s territorial integrity is under threat as China continues to claim and settle disputed areas. India’s strategic interest in Bhutan and the Siliguri Corridor fuels its opposition to China’s advances. The 2017 standoff in the Dolam Plateau highlighted the potential for conflict, with both India and China keen to avoid war but prepared for military confrontations.

45:06

📢 Nebula: Exclusive Content Platform

Nebula, a creator-owned subscription service, offers exclusive content, including the continuation of the India-China conflict series. Real Life Lore and other independent creators produce high-budget productions on Nebula, funded by lifetime memberships and subscriptions. Nebula’s exclusive content covers controversial and in-depth topics, providing viewers with detailed analyses and updates on global conflicts.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Standard map of China

The new map unveiled by the People's Republic of China in August 2023, which includes numerous territories that are not controlled by China but are claimed by it. This map is significant as it highlights the ongoing territorial disputes between China and various countries, such as India, Bhutan, and Japan.

💡Territorial disputes

Conflicts between countries over the ownership of specific areas of land. The new standard map of China features claims over territories administered by India, Bhutan, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Japan, and Russia, exacerbating international tensions.

💡Line of Actual Control (LAC)

The demarcation line that separates Indian-controlled territory from Chinese-controlled territory. The LAC is not a legally recognized boundary, and its ambiguity has led to numerous standoffs and skirmishes between India and China, making it one of the world's longest disputed borders.

💡Arunachal Pradesh

A state in northeastern India, administered by India but claimed by China as South Tibet. The inclusion of Arunachal Pradesh in China's 2023 map as Chinese territory is a major point of contention between the two countries.

💡Aksai Chin

A region administered by China but claimed by India, located in the northwestern part of the India-China border. Aksai Chin is strategically significant due to its location and the presence of critical infrastructure, and it remains a major territorial dispute.

💡Doklam Plateau

A disputed area between Bhutan and China, where China has been building infrastructure and settlements. This area is strategically important as it overlooks the narrow Siliguri Corridor in India, and any change in control could have significant military implications for India.

💡Siliguri Corridor

A narrow stretch of land in India that connects the northeastern states to the rest of the country. The corridor is vulnerable to military threats, especially from Chinese advancements in the nearby regions of Bhutan, making it a strategic point of concern for India.

💡Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)

China's global development strategy involving infrastructure projects in various countries. The BRI has led to concerns in India about China's growing influence in its neighboring countries, many of which have joined the initiative, increasing India's sense of strategic encirclement.

💡China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)

A major part of the BRI, involving significant Chinese investments in Pakistan, including infrastructure projects that pass through disputed territories claimed by India. The CPEC has strategic implications for India, particularly in the context of its border disputes with both China and Pakistan.

💡Dalai Lama

The spiritual leader of Tibetan Buddhism who fled to India following the 1959 Tibetan uprising against Chinese rule. The presence of the Dalai Lama and the Tibetan government-in-exile in India is a point of contention in Sino-Indian relations, contributing to China's suspicion and strategic concerns.

Highlights

In August 2023, China unveiled a new standard map, claiming territories not under its control, including areas administered by India, Bhutan, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Japan, and Russia.

China's new map has led to numerous territorial disputes, making it the country with the most open territorial conflicts worldwide.

Major disputes include China's claims to Taiwan and the South China Sea, conflicting with maritime claims of Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Brunei.

China has renewed its claim to Bolshoy Ussuriysky Island in Russia, previously settled by a treaty in 2008.

The India-China border, stretching 3,400 km across the Himalayas, remains the world's longest openly disputed border, with no legal demarcation.

China's claims in the northwest include Aksai Chin and the Trans-Karakoram Tract, currently controlled by China but claimed by India.

The eastern sector dispute involves Arunachal Pradesh, a region the size of Austria with 1.2 million Indian residents, claimed by China as 'South Tibet.'

China refuses to stamp Indian passports from Arunachal Pradesh, issuing stapled visas instead to challenge India's sovereignty.

China has also made significant territorial claims in Bhutan, occupying and settling areas in the west, north, and east of the country, amounting to 12% of Bhutan's territory.

In 2020, China began claiming Bhutan's Sakteng Wildlife Sanctuary, indicating potential future territorial expansion.

The historical roots of the India-China dispute date back to colonial times, with conflicting border lines proposed by British authorities and the Qing Empire.

China's strategic interests in controlling Tibet stem from its vast freshwater reserves, crucial for the Yellow and Yangtze Rivers supplying water to 600 million Chinese citizens.

The 1959 Tibetan uprising and the Dalai Lama's asylum in India further escalated tensions, with China accusing India of fermenting the rebellion.

China's control over Aksai Chin became strategically important after building a highway linking Tibet and Xinjiang, prompting the 1962 Sino-Indian War.

India's defeat in the 1962 war remains a national humiliation, while China's military victory reinforced its control over disputed territories.

China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has seen six out of seven of India's neighbors join, increasing India's sense of encirclement.

India fears a two-front war with China and Pakistan, both of whom claim significant Indian-controlled territories.

China views its border dispute with India as secondary, focusing primarily on Taiwan, and seeks to avoid escalation while maintaining its territorial claims.

The U.S.-India strategic partnership, including military exercises and support for India's UN Security Council bid, adds to China's concerns.

China's territorial encroachments in Bhutan and India have strategic motivations, aiming to secure advantageous positions and weaken India's defenses.

India's relationship with Bhutan is crucial for maintaining a buffer against China, with significant trade and diplomatic ties.

China's aggressive settlement and infrastructure development in disputed areas of Bhutan is part of a strategy to pressure Bhutan into territorial concessions.

The 2017 Doklam standoff between Indian and Chinese troops in Bhutan highlighted the strategic significance of the region.

Recent clashes along the Line of Actual Control, such as the 2020 melee battle, have intensified India-China tensions.

India's economic rise and strategic partnerships with the U.S. and other countries are seen by China as countermeasures to its influence.

Transcripts

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at the end of August in 2023 the

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People's Republic of China unveiled

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their new standard map the map of

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China's territory From beijing's

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perspective the thing about this new

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standard map of China though is that it

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contains numerous territories on it that

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are not in fact actually controlled by

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China but which China claims on the map

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anyway the map shows huge territories

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that are currently administered by India

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Bhutan Vietnam Malaysia brunai Indonesia

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the Philippines Taiwan Japan and even

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Russia as all belonging to China giving

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China the largest number of open

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territorial disputes with other

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countries in the world many of the

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disputes shown in the map are more

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wellknown such as China's claims to the

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entirety of thawan and China's Maritime

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claims projecting out across the entire

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South China Sea and all of the islands

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within it which clashes directly with

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the competing Maritime claims of States

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like Vietnam the Philippines Malaysia

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Indonesia and berai other Chinese

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territorial claims on the map are lesser

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known and less publicized such as

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China's claims to the Saku islands that

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are currently administered by Japan

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while other Chinese claims on the map

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have appeared as brand new and are kind

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of open to interpretation such as

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China's surprise renewal of their claim

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to the entire bullo usisi Island in

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Russia that was thought to have been

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settled by a treaty between Moscow and

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Beijing in 2008 but evidently not but by

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far the biggest series of territorial

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disputes shown on China's new standard

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map besides Taiwan and the South China

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Sea are across the vast Frontier

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separating China from India across the

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Himalayan Mountains the Border here

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between the world's two most populous

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nations stretches in windes for 3,400 km

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across the Earth's most rugged and harsh

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geography through the world's highest

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mountains and some of its largest

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glaciers and as a consequence it has

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always been difficult to accurately mark

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on the ground where one country's

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territory ends and where another's

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begins consequently the India China

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border to this date has never actually

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been properly demarcated and as a result

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it is the longest openly disputed border

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remaining anywhere in the world today

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with no legal recognition of what the

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actual border between them should look

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like the deao border between India and

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China is known as the line of actual

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control instead the frontier between

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Indian control territory on one side and

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Chinese control territory on the other

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where tens of thousands of soldiers on

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both sides stand off against each other

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and on either side of the line of actual

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control the rightful final borders

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claimed by both India and China are

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significantly different and vastly

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opposed to one another across three

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separate sections of the line of actual

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control China and India disputed amount

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of Territory between them that's roughly

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the same size as Portugal and home to

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nearly 2 million people in the Northwest

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are two larger areas known as axai chin

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in the trans Korum tract territories

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currently controlled and administered by

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China but also claimed by India in the

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center are some much smaller disputed

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territories while in the East are the

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largest and arguably most controversial

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series of disputes here south of the

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line of actual control is the Indian

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administered and controlled state of

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arunachal Pradesh an area that is

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roughly the same size as Austria and

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home to about 1 A2 million Indian

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citizens that is also fully claimed in

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its entirety on China's new standard

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2023 map as belonging to Beijing China

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insists on referring to this territory

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as South Tibet instead and they are so

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insistent on their claims to it that

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Beijing currently refuses to even stamp

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the Indian passports of arunachal

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Pradesh residents whenever they travel

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to China opting instead to provide them

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with stapled visas as a direct legal

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challenge to India's sovereignty and

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control over the Terr

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and right next door to Aruna chal

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Pradesh or South Tibet is the

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independent Mountain Kingdom of Bhutan a

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small nation home to only a little more

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than 700,000 people that is currently

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suffering a quiet and underreported on

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creeping Invasion From China China

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quietly pressed Bhutan into seeding away

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this Northern Area known as kolakari to

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Beijing in the 1980s but since then

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China has quietly claimed invaded

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occupied and even settled three other

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significant territorial claims in Bhutan

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in the west the North and the east of

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the country representing roughly 12% of

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bhutan's internationally recognized

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territory that is currently claimed by

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China and China isn't just claiming

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these territories in the Western and

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Northern sections of Bhutan they claim

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their army has quietly occupied them and

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begun building military infrastructure

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in them while in the northern sector

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they've even begun constructing

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full-blown settlements and Villages that

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have exploded in size just since 2020

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with satellite images showing a rapid

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development of hundreds of Chinese homes

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and buildings in the territory over just

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just the past 4 years China is therefore

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constructing entire Villages within

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bhutan's internationally recognized

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territory changing the demographic facts

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on the ground and reinforcing their

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claims with settlers and soldiers while

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they're continuing to add on new

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territorial claims as well it was only

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in 2020 when China suddenly also began

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claiming the saang wildlife sanctuary in

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the Far East of Bhutan as well a

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territory that they don't yet control on

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the ground like the other two but which

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they might also attempt to quietly

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invade and seize soon as well the Future

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these numerous territorial disputes

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between India and China are extremely

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controversial in 1962 they led to a war

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between them that killed thousands and

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since the 2010s they've nearly led to

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the outbreak of another war between them

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on multiple occasions as the

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geopolitical Rivalry between Beijing and

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New Delhi has intensified including

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extremely tense military standoffs

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across the line of actual control in

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2017 and again in 2020 the left dozens

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of soldiers killed and wounded and

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involved brutal hand-to-hand medieval

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style combat between the two rival

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armies and in order to understand why

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India and China have all of these

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territorial disputes today that add up

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to an area the same size as Portugal why

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the intensity of the dispute has been

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growing increasingly higher in the 2020s

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why China has quietly invaded occupied

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and even colonized around 12% of

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bhutan's territory and how this entire

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situation could push the world's two

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biggest countries with more than

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onethird of the global human population

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between them each armed with nuclear

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weapons into a cataclysmic confrontation

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in the future it helps to understand the

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historical and Geographic origins of the

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dispute and what's truly at stake from

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both China and India's

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perspectives the modern states of India

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and the People's Republic of China were

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born around the same historical era

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Modern India was born after it received

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its independence from the British

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following the conclusion of the second

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world war in 1947 while the People's

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Republic of China was established only 2

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years later in 1949 after the Communists

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fin finally emerg victorious in the

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long-running Chinese Civil War against

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the Chinese nationalists and upon each

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of their geopolitical appearances the

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each inherited the outstanding baggage

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and decisions of their legal

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predecessors the colonial British

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authorities in India's case and the

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Ching Empire and the independent state

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of Tibet in China's case the area of

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axai chin in the western sector almost

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immediately became controversial over

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differing interpretations between

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Beijing and New Delhi over border

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treaties signed between both of their

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predecessors the region itself has

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almost always been a remote difficult to

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access and largely unpopulated high

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altitude desert that historically didn't

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matter very much in the 19th century it

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was understood between the colonial

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authorities in British India and the

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Ching Empire that the border between

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their Realms ran somewhere through this

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area but because of the regions

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difficult to access geography the exact

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boundary remained largely undefined

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eventually in 1897 the British

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authorities in India proposed The

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Johnson ug line to be the boundary

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between them along the crest of the Klan

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mountains which placed aai chin fully

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within the territory of the princely

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state of jamu and Kashmir which was

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effectively a British protectorate at

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the time this line was however seemingly

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never actually presented to the Chinese

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government for approval and then just 2

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years later in 1899 British authorities

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in India proposed and presented a

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completely different boundary line here

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to the Ching Chinese called the

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McCartney McDonald line which placed the

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boundary further to the Southwest along

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the crest of the kakora mountain range

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instead and effectively put axai chin

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within China instead the British

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authorities presented the McCartney

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McDonald line to the Ching government in

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1899 through a note but theq never

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actually officially acknowledged or

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responded to it which has led to more

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than a century of differing

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interpretations ever since the Indian

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government has insisted that the Ching's

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lack of a response to the McCarney

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McDonald line indicated their rejection

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of it while the modern Chinese

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government has insisted that the lack of

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a response only indicated that the Ching

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already believed it to be the accepted

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boundary and that a response wasn't

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necessary confusingly if official

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British maps from 1899 up until India's

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independence in 1947 used both the

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Johnson Artic line and the McCarney

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McDonald line almost interchangeably

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well no attempts were made by either the

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British or the Chinese to actually

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establish any Authority between the

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lines on the ground so when India

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achieved its independence in 1947 it

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claimed the entirety of the princely

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state of jamu and Kashmir as its own

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territory and they selected the Johnson

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arog line as their official Eastern

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Border that placed axai chin within

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their territory well naturally after the

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Communists took over control of China

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after 1949 they selected the McCartney

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McDonald line as the official boundary

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that placed axai chin as an extension of

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their own Shin Jong Province but despite

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this disputed boundary relations between

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China and India were initially

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relatively warm India became the very

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first non-communist country to recognize

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the People's Republic of China's

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government in April of 1950 but merely

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months after they did that in October of

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1950 China tested the relationship when

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they invaded and then Annex the deao

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independent state of Tibet after the

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Ching Empire had collapsed in 1912 Tibet

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managed to emerge out of the chaos as a

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deao independent Buddhist theocracy that

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survived for decades although the

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Republic of China that initially

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succeeded the Ching never recognized

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tibet's Independence and Tibet remained

play09:46

a largely unrecognized state by the rest

play09:48

of the outside International Community

play09:50

for its entire existence except by

play09:52

Mongolia who had similarly declared

play09:54

their independence following the Ching's

play09:55

collapse during the roughly four Decades

play09:58

of the early 20th century that Tibet

play10:00

remained de facto independent it

play10:01

unilaterally entered into a series of

play10:03

Border negotiations with the colonial

play10:05

British authorities in neighboring India

play10:07

between 1913 and 1914 Tibetan

play10:10

authorities met with representatives of

play10:11

Britain and the Republic of China at the

play10:13

similar convention to discuss the status

play10:15

of Tibet in tibet's borders with British

play10:17

India the British proposed the Tibet

play10:19

would remain under the control of the

play10:21

Tibetan government as effectively an

play10:22

autonomous Chinese tributary or vassel

play10:24

state while the British further proposed

play10:26

that the previously undefined border

play10:28

between British British India and Tibet

play10:30

would follow a line drawn up by then

play10:32

British India foreign secretary Henry

play10:34

McMahan that became known as the McMahan

play10:37

line the McMahan line placed a vast area

play10:40

that had previously been under Tibetan

play10:41

and Ching influence within British India

play10:44

and in sent the Chinese negotiators

play10:46

present at the simar convention refused

play10:48

to sign the agreement and left which

play10:50

left the British and Tibetan

play10:52

representatives to sign the final

play10:53

agreement anyway without Chinese

play10:55

approval that solidified the McMahan

play10:57

line as the border from each of their

play10:59

persp perspectives the nature in which

play11:01

this agreement was signed without

play11:02

Chinese approval has remained

play11:04

controversial for more than a century

play11:06

ever since by signing the agreement and

play11:08

effectively annexing the territory south

play11:09

of the McMahan line the British violated

play11:12

numerous previous treaties they had

play11:13

signed such as the angl Russian

play11:15

Convention of 1907 that bound Britain

play11:18

into not negotiating with Tibet except

play11:20

through the intermediary of the Chinese

play11:22

government and the anglo-chinese

play11:24

convention of 1906 which further bound

play11:27

Britain to not Annex any Tibetan

play11:29

territory since there were significant

play11:31

legal doubts to the McMahan Line's

play11:33

validity even during the time period the

play11:35

British never even showed the McMahan

play11:37

line on any of their maps of India until

play11:39

23 years later after it was signed in

play11:42

1937 while the British never even

play11:44

published that the similar convention

play11:46

had even happened at all in their treaty

play11:48

record all the way until

play11:50

1938 China has therefore argued ever

play11:52

since as both the Republic of China and

play11:55

later as the People's Republic of China

play11:57

that the Tibetan government never had

play11:58

the legal authority to unilaterally

play12:00

agree with the British on the borders of

play12:02

Tibet because they argue that China

play12:05

never recognized tibet's Independence

play12:07

China has thus maintained that the 1914

play12:10

Sima convention that assigned the

play12:11

territory south of the McAn line to

play12:13

British India was an unequal treaty

play12:15

forced upon them during the century of

play12:17

humiliation and that India's continued

play12:19

control of what they refer to as South

play12:21

Tibet is a lasting Legacy of British

play12:24

imperialism well conversely as the legal

play12:26

successor to British India India

play12:28

recognizes the legitimacy of the McMahan

play12:30

line and argues that it follows the

play12:32

natural geographic border of the Indian

play12:34

subcontinent across the crest of the

play12:36

Himalayan Mountains and the China's

play12:38

claims to what they call a rachal

play12:39

Pradesh south of the Himalayas is a

play12:41

legacy of Chinese imperialism to a

play12:44

territory that has been Indian for

play12:45

nearly a century now either way after

play12:48

China invaded Tibet in 1950 and annexed

play12:50

it in 1951 they immediately inherited

play12:53

the territorial disputes south of the

play12:54

McMahan line controlled by India in

play12:56

addition to the disputes over aite chin

play12:58

between the Johnson arog and McCarney

play13:00

McDonald lines as well as several other

play13:02

smaller disputes in between and the

play13:04

whole reason why the Chinese Communist

play13:06

Party decided to invade and Annex Tibet

play13:08

in the first place was rooted in

play13:10

paranoia over the risk of India gaining

play13:12

influence or control over Tibet instead

play13:15

you see Tibet is often referred to as

play13:17

the water tower of Asia or as the

play13:19

world's third pole because it contains

play13:21

the highest and largest reserve of

play13:23

freshwater that can be found anywhere in

play13:25

the world outside of the polar regions

play13:27

the Tibetan Plateau has tens of

play13:29

thousands of glaciers scattered all

play13:31

across it and it contains the headwaters

play13:33

that give rise to many of Asia's

play13:35

mightiest Rivers including both the

play13:37

yellow and yang SE rivers that flow

play13:39

through China the Mong river that flows

play13:41

through southeast Asia the Indus River

play13:43

that flows through Pakistan and the

play13:45

Brahma Putra river that eventually flows

play13:47

through Northeast India and Bangladesh

play13:49

the waters that originate in the Tibetan

play13:51

Plateau are estimated to provide the

play13:53

Lion Share of freshwater supplies to

play13:55

approximately 2 billion people across

play13:57

Asia while the yang sea and yellow

play13:59

Rivers through China provide the primary

play14:01

drinking water supply for about 600

play14:04

million Chinese citizens not to mention

play14:06

all of the electricity they provide

play14:08

through Modern Mega projects like the

play14:09

three gorgees Dam on the Yang sea river

play14:12

which all on its own produces roughly

play14:14

the same amount of electricity as the

play14:15

entire country of Bangladesh does with

play14:18

nearly 170 million people the security

play14:21

of the water supplies in these two

play14:22

rivers is a core strategic concern of

play14:24

China's and so immediately after the

play14:27

People's Republic was proclaimed in 194

play14:29

49 the Chinese Communist Party opted to

play14:31

permanently secure the river sources by

play14:33

securing their control over Tibet so

play14:36

that a hypothetical Regional rival in

play14:38

the future like India would never be

play14:40

able to do that instead initially the

play14:43

Chinese granted Tibet significant

play14:44

autonomy after they ceased control over

play14:46

it and in 1952 the Indian government

play14:48

chose to even recognize China's newly

play14:50

established sovereignty over Tibet

play14:52

hoping to allay China's senses of

play14:54

insecurity in the region but then only a

play14:56

few years later by 1959 significant ific

play14:59

tensions that built up between the

play15:00

Tibetans who had been used to an

play15:01

absolute Tibetan Buddhist theocracy that

play15:03

rever the Dalai Lama and the new

play15:05

communist Chinese authorities that

play15:07

espoused the eradication of feudalism

play15:09

and the destruction of religion

play15:11

religious Tibetans began worrying that

play15:12

the Chinese authorities were preparing

play15:14

to arrest the 14th Dal Lama and the

play15:16

tensions eventually exploded into a

play15:18

full-blown Tibetan revolt against

play15:20

Chinese Authority in 1959 the people's

play15:23

Liberation Army cracked down on the

play15:25

Revolt harshly killing thousands of

play15:27

Tibetans in the process and sending the

play15:29

14th Dal Lama and some of his loyal

play15:31

entage to flee across the border for

play15:32

safety in India where he along with

play15:35

thousands of Tibetan refugees were all

play15:36

granted Asylum afterwards the 14th Dalai

play15:40

Lama established the Tibetan government

play15:41

in Exile in India right across the

play15:43

border and he continues to survive there

play15:45

in India to this very day in 2024 at the

play15:48

age of 88 much to the unease of China

play15:51

China miscalculated at the time in 1959

play15:54

that India had fermented the rebellion

play15:56

in Tibet and then New Delhi ultimately

play15:58

intended to trans form tobet into a

play15:59

protectorate of theirs which would have

play16:01

established Indian control over the

play16:03

sources of the Yang sea and yellow

play16:05

rivers and India's subsequent welcoming

play16:07

and hosting of the Dal Lama and his

play16:09

government in Exile only fueled China's

play16:11

paranoia about this even further in the

play16:14

aftermath China clamped down on Tibet

play16:16

more harshly and revoked the province's

play16:18

formerly high levels of autonomy while

play16:20

Chinese control of Tibet established

play16:22

beijing's comparatively more easy access

play16:24

to the disputed territory of axai chin

play16:27

relative to India since axai chin Shin

play16:29

was located on the opposite side of the

play16:30

kakor mountains from India and

play16:32

accessible to the rest of the flatter

play16:34

Tibetan Plateau from China this then led

play16:36

the Chinese across the 1950s to

play16:38

construct a strategic Highway across

play16:40

axai Chen that connected their provinces

play16:42

of Tibet and Shen Jong which transformed

play16:44

aai chin into a strategically valuable

play16:47

territory for China as an infrastructure

play16:49

linkage point between two of the

play16:50

country's most politically unstable

play16:52

regions and that led the Chinese

play16:54

authorities to present a deal to India

play16:56

the year after the Tibetan Revolt in

play16:58

1960 on settling the Border dispute

play17:00

between them China proposed creating a

play17:02

demilitarized zone between them across

play17:04

the length of the border and offered to

play17:06

recognize India's control over arunachal

play17:08

Pradesh south of the McMahan line in

play17:10

exchange for India recognizing China's

play17:12

control over the newly strategically

play17:14

valuable axite chin with an updated

play17:16

border region several miles west of the

play17:18

old McCartney McDonald line in order to

play17:20

give China a large buffer away from

play17:22

their strategically valuable Highway

play17:24

India however categorically refused the

play17:27

Chinese offer on all counts insisted

play17:29

that both arunachal Pradesh and axai

play17:31

Chin were Indian territories and began

play17:33

moving troops to advance towards India's

play17:35

claimed borders if India Advanced all

play17:38

the way towards their claimed boundary

play17:39

in axai chin towards the old Johnson

play17:41

arog line then the Indians would have

play17:43

severed the highway connecting Tibetan

play17:45

Shin Jong and they would control a

play17:47

geographic Launchpad on the other side

play17:48

of the kakar mountains within the

play17:50

Tibetan Plateau itself that they could

play17:52

used to project power into the rest of

play17:54

Tibet from and calculating that that was

play17:57

unacceptable the Chinese decided to

play17:59

respond by launching a war against India

play18:01

in

play18:02

1962 thousands of soldiers died in the

play18:04

ensuing Sino Indian War and by the end

play18:07

of it the Chinese had emerged decisively

play18:09

Victorious pushing their deao line of

play18:11

control all the way to their desired

play18:13

western frontier and AI chin to the foo

play18:15

Hills of the kakor mountains and even

play18:17

advancing Deeper South of the McMahan

play18:19

line in the East into arunachal pesh

play18:22

though they decided to withdraw back

play18:23

North across the McMahan line afterwards

play18:26

so as not to antagonize outside powers

play18:28

to greatly like the United States the

play18:30

defeat in the 1962 War served as a

play18:33

national shock and humiliation to India

play18:35

while it provided a lesson at China that

play18:37

deterring India's territorial Ambitions

play18:39

in the region required occasional

play18:41

displays of violence to put down for

play18:44

decades afterward the border disput

play18:46

between India and China remained present

play18:47

but at a lower level of intensity as

play18:49

China dealt with numerous internal

play18:51

crises and economic problems that

play18:53

disincentivized external shows of

play18:55

strength Beijing pursued territorial

play18:57

compromises and settl with many of their

play18:59

other neighbors during this time period

play19:01

like with Myanmar and Nepal during the

play19:02

1959 Tibet and Uprising with Mongolia

play19:05

Vietnam and LA in the aftermath of the

play19:07

great Chinese famine in the 1960s and

play19:09

after the 1989 Tian Square massacre and

play19:12

with Central Asian States like

play19:13

Tajikistan kiristan Kazakhstan and

play19:15

Afghanistan during High periods of

play19:17

unrest in Shin Jong across the 1960s and

play19:20

the 1990s but then beginning in the

play19:22

early 1990s China's economic fortunes

play19:24

and geopolitical power began rapidly

play19:27

shifting as the era of China's

play19:29

incredible economic rise began China's

play19:31

economy soared into becoming the second

play19:33

largest in the world in nominal terms by

play19:36

2010 and it even became the largest in

play19:38

the world by purchasing power parody

play19:40

terms by 2016 when it surpassed the

play19:42

United States China's economic rise was

play19:45

so rapid between 1970 and 2022 that it

play19:48

went from accounting for less than 3% of

play19:50

the global economy in 1970 to accounting

play19:53

for nearly a fifth of the global economy

play19:55

by 2022 and with China's increasing

play19:58

economic power came its rapidly

play19:59

increasing military power as well and

play20:02

with that China's growing

play20:04

Ambitions China became less and less

play20:06

interested in settling and compromising

play20:08

with its remaining open territorial

play20:10

disputes it had with Taiwan and the

play20:11

South China Sea and with India and

play20:13

Bhutan across the line of actual control

play20:16

and after the rise of xiin ping to power

play20:18

in China since 2012 the People's

play20:20

Republic has pursued a much more

play20:21

aggressive and assertive foreign policy

play20:23

with its neighbors a trend that has been

play20:25

similarly followed in India since the

play20:27

2014 election of Narendra Modi who also

play20:30

pursues an assertive and nationalist

play20:32

foreign policy for India as well from

play20:34

the current perspective of New Delhi in

play20:36

2024 they have many many reasons to be

play20:39

wary of China's position and intentions

play20:41

on the other side of the line of actual

play20:43

control especially in the Eastern region

play20:45

around Bhutan and arunachal Pradesh

play20:47

China's internationally recognized

play20:49

control of the chumbi valley region

play20:51

wedged in between India Sim state in

play20:53

Bhutan is sometimes referred to in

play20:55

Indian strategic circles as a Chinese

play20:58

dagger that points precipitously close

play21:00

to one of India's greatest Geographic

play21:02

vulnerabilities the narrow Siliguri

play21:05

Corridor sometimes also referred to as

play21:07

the chicken's neck this is the extremely

play21:09

narrow land bridge that's only 24 km

play21:12

wide wedged in between the independent

play21:14

states of Nepal and Bangladesh that

play21:16

serves as the only land connection India

play21:19

has between their primary territory and

play21:21

their seven Northeastern states if the

play21:23

24 km wide Siliguri Corridor were to

play21:26

come under Chinese occupation in the

play21:27

event of another War then China would

play21:29

cut off the roughly 50 million Indians

play21:32

who live here in the Northeast from any

play21:34

available access to the rest of India

play21:36

while perhaps even more pressingly China

play21:38

would also sever India's ability to send

play21:40

any reinforcements by land through their

play21:42

own territory to support Aruna Pradesh

play21:45

which would enable the pla to advance

play21:47

China's territorial claim in the region

play21:49

south of the McMahan line with heavily

play21:51

restricted Indian reinforcements and

play21:53

Logistics this paranoia from India's

play21:56

perspective is not helped by the

play21:57

location of China's territorial claims

play21:59

and incursions into Bhutan either and

play22:01

specifically this Chinese claim in

play22:03

Bhutan immediately to the east of the

play22:04

chumi Valley known as the Dolan Plateau

play22:07

were China to gain a firm control over

play22:09

the dolam plateau here they would

play22:10

acquire the Strategic Eastern High

play22:12

Ground looking down into their own chumi

play22:15

Valley they would reinforce their

play22:16

control over the valley enable them to

play22:18

more effectively mobilize and

play22:19

concentrate troops in the area and Grant

play22:21

them more access routes into India in

play22:23

the event of a conflict while they would

play22:25

also extend their territorial control

play22:27

much further south to the southern

play22:29

foothills of the Himalayan mountains

play22:31

which would then enable the pla to

play22:33

easily observe the Siliguri Corridor

play22:35

only 87 km away and observe any

play22:38

potential Indian troop movements flowing

play22:40

through the corridor India has

play22:41

maintained a very close special

play22:43

relationship with Bhutan ever since they

play22:45

signed a treaty of friendship all the

play22:46

way back in 1949 which granted India

play22:49

Special guidance over bhutan's foreign

play22:51

and defense policy especially as it

play22:53

related to China that treaty was only

play22:55

slightly relaxed as recently as 2007 and

play22:58

India has continued to remain as

play23:00

essentially bhutan's most important Ally

play23:02

and protector as New Deli wants to

play23:04

maintain bhutan's territorial Integrity

play23:06

as much as possible to keep them as a

play23:08

buffer State separating their vulnerable

play23:10

Siliguri Corridor away from China

play23:13

meanwhile over in the western sector

play23:15

India remains wary of China's control

play23:17

over aai chin in the trans Korum tract

play23:20

because of their proximity to the Cen

play23:22

Glacier and India's road that connects

play23:24

the remote area around the glacier back

play23:26

to the rest of Indian control territory

play23:29

the Cen Glacier is located within

play23:31

territory currently controlled by India

play23:33

but it's located immediately across the

play23:35

separate line of actual control that

play23:36

India also shares with Pakistan their

play23:39

arch geopolitical rival who also claims

play23:41

the territory of the former princely

play23:43

state of jamu in Kashmir Pakistan

play23:45

accepted China's territorial claims in

play23:47

the region of aai chin and the trans

play23:49

karakorum tract in order to secure

play23:51

beijing's support for the rest of their

play23:53

claims to the territory in jamu and

play23:54

Kashmir currently under Indian control

play23:57

that's also home to more than 12 12 half

play23:59

million people India is therefore

play24:01

primarily concerned about China's

play24:03

control over axai chin because in the

play24:04

event of a conflict the pla would not

play24:07

have to advance very far from axai chin

play24:09

in order to seize control over the

play24:11

Indian road that leads to the Cen

play24:12

Glacier opposite of the Pakistani Armed

play24:15

Forces which would then enable Pakistan

play24:17

to move in and seize control over the

play24:18

glacier without stable Indian

play24:20

reinforcements or Logistics between 1984

play24:23

and 2003 Pakistan and India fought

play24:26

bitterly over the control of this

play24:27

glacier in which an estimated 2,000

play24:30

soldiers were killed which earned the

play24:32

Cen Glacier the moniker of being the

play24:34

highest Battlefield in the world and the

play24:36

concern here around the Cen Glacier and

play24:38

axin is only a small part of India's

play24:41

greater fear of the overall extremely

play24:43

close relationship that has emerged

play24:45

between Pakistan and China both

play24:47

countries maintain large territorial

play24:49

claims to lands that India currently

play24:51

controls Pakistan claims 110,000 square

play24:55

kmers of land that India controls not

play24:57

only in jamu and casir

play24:58

but also in the formerly princely state

play25:00

of junar that Pakistan also claims

play25:03

within India's modern state of Gujarat

play25:05

combined with China's claims to Indian

play25:07

controlled territories like aruno chal

play25:08

Pradesh Pakistan and China collectively

play25:11

claim nearly 200,000 square kilometers

play25:14

of Indian administered territory a huge

play25:17

area that's roughly the size of

play25:18

Washington state in the United States

play25:20

India's Ultimate Nightmare scenario is

play25:23

being one day forced into fighting a

play25:24

two-front war against Pakistan and China

play25:27

at the same time both of whom are armed

play25:29

with nuclear weapons Well India is even

play25:31

further growing increasingly concerned

play25:33

that China is starting to encircle them

play25:35

from an economic point of view since

play25:37

China unveiled the belt and Road

play25:38

initiative in 2012 six out of India's

play25:41

seven immediate neighbors have signed up

play25:43

to become a part of the initiative

play25:45

Pakistan Nepal Sri Lanka Bangladesh

play25:47

Myanmar and the Maldives only Bhutan

play25:49

India's closest Ally in the region has

play25:52

join New Delhi in resisting The Lure of

play25:54

joining the belon road initiative which

play25:56

has led New Delhi into feeling that it

play25:58

has been losing significant clout in its

play26:00

own backyard to Beijing that could

play26:02

reduce Regional support for India in the

play26:05

event of a potential future conflict the

play26:07

talks of potential Chinese debt traps

play26:09

and hypothetical Naval bases in many of

play26:11

these countries like hiyaku in Myanmar

play26:13

hent TOA and Sri Lanka and guidar in

play26:16

Pakistan has not aided with India's

play26:18

growing feelings of insecurity in

play26:20

Chinese encirclement though China has

play26:22

still to date not actually built any

play26:24

Naval facilities in any of these

play26:25

locations yet meanwhile from China's

play26:29

perspective their border dispute with

play26:30

India and Bhutan is truly only a

play26:32

secondary concern of theirs at the

play26:33

moment throughout the 2020s beijing's

play26:36

primary territorial Focus will almost

play26:37

certainly remain on asserting the

play26:39

Chinese Communist party's control over

play26:41

Taiwan whereas India's ultimate nmare

play26:43

scenario is a twofr front war against

play26:45

Pakistan and China China's Ultimate

play26:47

Nightmare scenario is having to fight

play26:48

their own two-front war against the

play26:49

United States and her allies in the

play26:51

Pacific during an assault on Taiwan and

play26:53

against India across the Himalayas

play26:55

region a major war with India over the

play26:57

disputed landb order is not within

play26:59

China's best interests while its focus

play27:01

is fixated east on Taiwan and so Beijing

play27:04

would like to keep things on the line of

play27:05

actual control as quiet as possible for

play27:07

now China is overall considered to be

play27:09

relatively happy with the status quo On

play27:11

the Border they've maintained since

play27:13

their military victory over India in

play27:15

1962 but they remain incentivized to

play27:17

deter any and all perceived Indian

play27:19

threats to challenging it and increasing

play27:21

their leverage whenever they sense the

play27:23

opportunity to do so however because of

play27:25

India's continuous claims on axai chin

play27:27

and other locations along the line of

play27:29

actual control and India's consistent

play27:31

refusal to ever consider recognizing

play27:33

China's claim to axai Chin in exchange

play27:35

for beijing's recognition of India's

play27:36

claim to arunachal Pradesh China has

play27:39

likely calculated that settling the

play27:41

Border dispute with India once and for

play27:42

all to permanently stabilize the border

play27:44

and prevent the odds of a two-front war

play27:46

when necessarily require China to make

play27:48

territorial concessions to India like

play27:50

giving up on arunachal Pradesh or South

play27:52

Tibet forever and retreating from axai

play27:54

chin the transor tract and the other

play27:56

smaller territories and Beijing is

play27:58

likely reason that from its new found

play28:00

position of strength and power in the

play28:01

21st century they have no further need

play28:04

to make any compromises on territory

play28:06

moreover even if Beijing were to make a

play28:08

significant territorial compromise with

play28:10

India to settle the Border dispute it

play28:12

would carry with it a precedent for

play28:13

China's other ongoing and more serious

play28:15

territorial disputes in places like the

play28:17

South China Sea which could Harden the

play28:19

resolve of countries like the

play28:20

Philippines Vietnam and Malaysia to

play28:22

Simply decide on waiting the Chinese

play28:24

claims out and pushing back more firmly

play28:26

against them China also maintains old

play28:29

concerns and grievances about India's

play28:31

continued hosting of the 88-year-old Dal

play28:34

Lama ever since he fled from Tibet in

play28:36

1959 and its hosting of the influential

play28:38

Tibetan government in Exile as well

play28:40

which lobbies international support for

play28:42

tibet's greater autonomy within China

play28:44

and sometimes even for tibet's outright

play28:46

Independence again and there are newer

play28:48

greater concerns about India that have

play28:50

been growing in China recently since the

play28:51

2010s too namely India's increasingly

play28:55

close relationship with her own top

play28:56

geopolitical rival the United States as

play28:59

China has risen in strength India has

play29:01

naturally sought a counterweight to

play29:03

increase their own negotiating power and

play29:05

what better counterweight than the most

play29:06

powerful country in the world and for

play29:08

Washington increasingly concerned about

play29:10

great power competition with China in

play29:12

the Indo Pacific theyve calculated that

play29:14

there is no better country in the region

play29:16

to counter China's rise than India India

play29:19

now has a larger population base to pull

play29:21

from than China does its economy has

play29:23

risen to become the fifth largest in the

play29:24

world and is likely to surpass Japan

play29:26

soon to become the fourth largest and

play29:28

its defense spending is already

play29:30

increased to become the fourth largest

play29:31

in the World Behind only the heavy

play29:33

weights of America China and Russia the

play29:35

Indian Navy as a modern and capable

play29:37

force with two aircraft carriers in

play29:39

operation compared to China's three

play29:40

carriers which gives India the ability

play29:43

to project power across the Indian Ocean

play29:45

region in a way that few other countries

play29:47

can match wishing to court India against

play29:49

China since the 2010s then Washington

play29:52

has invested considerable diplomatic

play29:53

effort into pleasing New Delhi the

play29:55

United States amended its own domestic

play29:57

laws to allow for the construction of

play29:59

six us designed nuclear power reactors

play30:01

in India in 2016 the United States has

play30:03

publicly backed India's efforts to

play30:05

become a new permanent member of the

play30:06

United Nations security Council which

play30:08

China opposes the United States has

play30:10

Exempted India from sanctions that other

play30:12

countries have suffered by purchasing

play30:14

oil from Iran and Russia and in 2017

play30:17

after a nearly decade long Hiatus India

play30:19

Australia Japan and the United States

play30:21

revived the quadrilateral security

play30:23

dialogue or the quad between them a

play30:25

strategic security dialogue that

play30:26

involves joint military exercises

play30:28

dedicated to countering China's Maritime

play30:30

claims in the South China Sea and the

play30:32

Indo Pacific both militarily and

play30:34

diplomatically India's capable Navy and

play30:37

their possession of a series of

play30:38

far-flung islands known as the Andaman

play30:40

and nikobar islands make beijing's

play30:42

military planners particularly anxious

play30:45

these islands sit strategically close by

play30:47

to the Western entrance of the malaka

play30:49

strait a narrow choke point that

play30:50

represents the fastest Maritime route

play30:52

available between the Chinese Pacific

play30:54

coast and the rich oil and gas fields

play30:56

around the Persian Gulf the malaka

play30:58

strait therefore represents China's most

play31:00

critical energy artery through which an

play31:02

estimated 60% of China's entire oil

play31:05

supply flows through if the us or Allied

play31:08

navies were to blockade the malaka

play31:09

strait during a wartime scenario such as

play31:11

during an attempted Chinese invasion of

play31:13

Taiwan then 60% of China's oil supply

play31:16

would immediately become eliminated

play31:18

which would quickly begin to starve

play31:20

their War Machine of vital fuel the US

play31:22

Navy already maintains a base on the

play31:24

Eastern edge of the malaka straight in

play31:26

Singapore and if the Indian Navy join

play31:28

the war or Worse granted the US Navy the

play31:30

rights to base themselves in the endam

play31:32

and ncbar Islands too then China would

play31:34

face the Dilemma of defending the

play31:36

critical malaka Strait against hostile

play31:38

Naval forces on both of its flanks

play31:41

moreover back along the line of actual

play31:42

control on land India's open bellicosity

play31:45

towards Pakistan and their competing

play31:47

claims with Pakistan and jamu and

play31:48

Kashmir is yet another grave concern of

play31:51

beijing's to have to deal with since

play31:53

2015 China's single largest project of

play31:56

their entire belt and Road initiative

play31:58

has been focused in Pakistan and dubb

play31:59

the China Pakistan economic Corridor or

play32:02

CAC China has poured more than $65

play32:05

billion do worth of investment into

play32:07

developing this project over the decade

play32:09

since it began which includes a modern

play32:11

Deepwater ported guidar on the coast and

play32:13

a well-built road and rail line from the

play32:15

port leading up across Pakistan's

play32:16

territory into China's Shen Jang

play32:19

Province to Beijing the cek has become a

play32:22

Cornerstone of their strategy in

play32:23

avoiding their Reliance on the malaka

play32:25

strait for oil imports coming in from

play32:26

the Persian Gulf since with the cek

play32:29

operational Persian Gulf oil can just be

play32:31

transported to guar and then carried by

play32:33

truck or rail car up through Pakistan

play32:35

and into China directly which greatly

play32:37

reduces China's vulnerability to an

play32:39

American Naval blockade in malaka

play32:41

moreover the project is also intended to

play32:43

spur on economic development in China's

play32:45

Shin Jong region which Beijing hopes to

play32:48

use to reduce militant influence on

play32:49

Muslim separatists among the native

play32:51

weager people there but alarmingly for

play32:53

China the route of the CeX roads and

play32:56

Railways necessarily runs through the

play32:58

Pakistani controlled area of jamu and

play33:00

Kashmir in order to reach China which is

play33:02

all through territory that is disputed

play33:04

and claimed by India this whole project

play33:07

has greatly annoyed India but from

play33:09

beijing's perspective if India were to

play33:10

ever act on their territorial claims on

play33:12

the Pakistani controlled area of jamun

play33:14

Kashmir and successfully seize it

play33:15

through Force they would also seize

play33:18

control over the CAC destroy China's

play33:20

greatest alternative oil import artery

play33:22

destroy more than $65 billion worth of

play33:25

Chinese investment and leave China more

play33:27

Expos to an American Naval blockade of

play33:29

Mala that could literally crash China's

play33:32

oil supply and wreck their military's

play33:34

operating Effectiveness during a war

play33:36

worse still China perceives its Air

play33:38

Force at being at a distinct

play33:39

disadvantage along the line of actual

play33:41

control with India because the operating

play33:43

altitudes across the tietan plateau to

play33:45

the north of the line are much higher

play33:47

than the altitudes in India to the south

play33:48

of the line which lengthens the ignition

play33:50

times required of China's jet engines

play33:53

and restricts their aircraft Fuel and

play33:54

payload capacities which already will

play33:56

make China's air campaigns in the region

play33:58

more difficult than India's and doubly

play34:01

so if their oil supply is restricted by

play34:03

Indian and American seizures of their

play34:04

critical import arteries and then there

play34:07

is beijing's own perceived vulnerability

play34:09

of their chumi Valley too the valley

play34:11

here is narrow and is flanked by Higher

play34:13

Ground to the West in India Sim State

play34:15

and to the east in Bhutan with Bhutan a

play34:17

close military and diplomatic Ally of

play34:19

indiia Indian artillery imp placements

play34:21

during a wartime scenario On The Higher

play34:23

Ground all around the chumi valley could

play34:26

render it almost defenseless by

play34:28

initiating a pincer attack on it and

play34:30

then if the Indians secured control over

play34:32

the valley the valley leads directly

play34:33

through the Himalayas into the Tibetan

play34:35

plateau and from there relatively close

play34:37

by is laasa the religious and legal

play34:40

capital of Tibet with the Dal Lama and

play34:42

the Tibetan government in Exile both

play34:43

still hosted by India China's darkest

play34:46

fear is an Indian military Advance

play34:48

breaking through the chumi valley and

play34:50

carrying the Dal llama and the deedan

play34:51

government in Exile back to laasa again

play34:54

and encouraging another great Tibetan

play34:56

Revolt to erupt again in the process and

play34:58

so to better their own Geographic

play35:00

positioning around the chumi valley that

play35:02

is why China has been steadily and

play35:04

quietly invading and settling several

play35:06

strategically chosen territories of

play35:08

Bhutan China has long maintained a claim

play35:11

to the Dolan Plateau region of Bhutan on

play35:12

the pretense that it is a historic

play35:14

extension of Tibet but for the

play35:16

geopolitical rationale that it extends

play35:18

Chinese control to Encompass The Higher

play35:20

Ground east of the chumi valley and

play35:22

denies the Indian army the ability to

play35:24

access it instead but it claims to the

play35:26

other territories in Bhutan are much

play35:28

more recent China only began taking out

play35:30

claims to these territories in Northern

play35:32

Bhutan called The Bay Ule and the

play35:33

machuma valley only in the 1980s in an

play35:36

apparent attempt to directly Target

play35:38

bhutan's deeply Buddhist culture the

play35:41

Bayle area in particular is considered

play35:43

to be highly sacred and culturally

play35:45

significant to the budines people where

play35:47

the Kingdom's monarchy traces its

play35:48

ancestral Origins to to Bhutan China's

play35:51

claim and settlement of the bayu region

play35:53

would be as if Canada suddenly made a

play35:55

claim to the Statue of Liberty in Ellis

play35:56

Island in New York York and began

play35:58

actively colonizing them with armed

play36:00

troops and settlers for decades now

play36:02

since 1990 China has attempted to

play36:04

weaponize its claims over the sacred

play36:06

bayu region in the machuma valley to

play36:08

pressure Bhutan into a deal by offering

play36:11

to recognize bhutan's claims in the

play36:12

north if Bhutan only recognize China's

play36:15

claims to the doam plateau in the west

play36:17

China has noted during negotiations that

play36:19

their claim in the north is

play36:21

495 km weather claim in the west is only

play36:25

269 km implying the Bhutan stands to

play36:28

acquire the larger and more culturally

play36:30

significant territory by accepting the

play36:32

deal but accepting such a deal would

play36:34

immediately jeopardize bhutan's

play36:35

relationship with its historic protector

play36:37

and Ally India who would be loathed to

play36:40

see China's Geographic position in the

play36:41

Doan Plateau be strategically enhanced

play36:44

so nearby to their own vulnerable

play36:46

Siliguri Corridor India has relentlessly

play36:49

pressured Bhutan into never accepting

play36:51

the deal with China while standing up

play36:52

for bhutan's complete territorial

play36:54

Integrity but China has also continued

play36:56

building up the pressure on Bhutan to

play36:58

Cave into it in 2020 after Decades of

play37:01

fail negotiations China suddenly began

play37:03

claiming a whole new territory in the

play37:05

east of Bhutan encompassing the saang

play37:07

wildlife sanctuary in an apparent

play37:09

message to Bhutan that if they continue

play37:11

refusing to yield the Doan Plateau China

play37:14

will just continue claiming even more of

play37:15

bhutan's territory and in addition to

play37:18

the paper claims on maps China is

play37:20

solidifying their claims on the ground

play37:22

with a rapid influx of settlers and

play37:23

soldiers since 2020 as well in only the

play37:26

past 4 years the bay U and manuma Valley

play37:29

areas claimed by China and Northern

play37:31

Bhutan have seen a rapid pace of Chinese

play37:33

infrastructure development and

play37:34

settlement dozens of miles of roads have

play37:37

been paved hundreds of houses and other

play37:39

structures capable of supporting

play37:40

hundreds to even thousands of Chinese

play37:42

settlers have been constructed and even

play37:44

military and police outposts and

play37:45

electricity plants have been spotted by

play37:47

satellites China is constructing entire

play37:49

Villages within their claimed

play37:51

territories in Bhutan and within the

play37:53

sacred region of the bay Ule increasing

play37:55

the pressure on bhutan's government even

play37:57

further to yield in order to regain

play37:59

their own control over the sacred bayu

play38:01

in exchange for giving up the doam

play38:03

plateau Bhutan is effectively being

play38:06

squeezed between the two giants of Asia

play38:08

that surround them as they attempt to

play38:10

outmaneuver one another and they are

play38:11

becoming presented with an impossible

play38:13

choice to make they can continue to

play38:15

ignore China's demands and continue

play38:17

watching more of their country's

play38:18

territory get claimed seized and

play38:20

colonized by Chinese settlers or they

play38:23

can cave to the Chinese pressure and

play38:24

surrender the Doan plateau in exchange

play38:26

for Beijing releasing their claims

play38:28

everywhere else and destroy their

play38:30

long-standing relations with India in

play38:32

the process who is their most important

play38:34

Ally and by far their most important

play38:36

trade partner as about 95% of bhutan's

play38:39

exports go to India and roughly 90% of

play38:41

bhutan's imports come from India where

play38:44

Bhutan to ever surrender the Doan

play38:45

Plateau to China India would feel that

play38:47

their final loyal Ally in the region

play38:49

would have turned against them and the

play38:51

sense of paranoia within New Delhi of

play38:53

becoming encircled by Chinese influenced

play38:55

countries would rise even further which

play38:57

means that India's willingness to

play38:58

confront China on the border more

play39:00

aggressively would rise as well Bhutan

play39:03

is a small but strategically located

play39:05

Kingdom a fewer than 800,000 people

play39:07

wedged in between two nuclear armed

play39:09

Giants with more than a billion people

play39:12

each and so they do their best to

play39:14

appease both sides as much as possible

play39:16

in order to avoid a full-blown war from

play39:18

erupting or cross their territory

play39:19

between them Bhutan is long maintained

play39:22

diplomatic relations with India ever

play39:23

since India's founding in 1947 and

play39:26

India's guarantee of BH protection since

play39:28

1949 while Bhutan has never established

play39:31

formal diplomatic relations with China

play39:33

in any of its forms curiously bhan is

play39:35

the only country in the world who has

play39:37

never officially recognized either the

play39:39

mainland based People's Republic of

play39:40

China nor the Taiwan based Republic of

play39:42

China refusing to recognize the PRC in

play39:45

order to appease India but also refusing

play39:47

to recognize the ROC in order to non-

play39:49

infuriate Beijing too greatly moreover

play39:52

Bhutan has also avoided ever

play39:53

establishing diplomatic relations with

play39:55

any of the world's other major Powers as

play39:57

well so as not to antagonize China too

play39:59

greatly Bhutan is the only UN member

play40:01

State who maintains no diplomatic

play40:03

relations with any of the five permanent

play40:05

members of the United Nations security

play40:06

Council including none with the United

play40:08

States in fact Bhutan only maintains

play40:11

formal diplomatic relations with 54 of

play40:13

the 193 UN member states in its

play40:16

deliberate policy of isolationism that

play40:18

strategically aims to balance itself

play40:20

between the giant orbits of India and

play40:23

China but It ultimately remains

play40:25

difficult to see how this crisis at the

play40:27

roof of the world will ever be solved

play40:29

through diplomacy as China continues

play40:31

encroaching on bhutan's territory

play40:32

expanding their territorial claims even

play40:34

further building Villages and bringing

play40:36

in thousands of settlers a clash between

play40:39

China and India over the status of

play40:40

Bhutan may eventually be coming even

play40:43

though all sides involved wish to avoid

play40:46

one and it's already come very close to

play40:48

happening already in 2017 Chinese

play40:51

soldiers attempted to construct a road

play40:53

in the disputed Doan plateau of Bhutan

play40:55

that would have connected the territory

play40:56

to the be valyant toet which would have

play40:59

enabled Chinese troops and equipment to

play41:00

more easily access it terrified the

play41:03

Indian army came in with bulldozers and

play41:05

confronted the Chinese soldiers in tolam

play41:07

and initiated a 10th 73 day standoff

play41:10

where both armies formed human chains to

play41:12

face each other down before both sides

play41:14

withdrew then 3 years later in 2020

play41:17

calculating that it needed to display a

play41:19

greater show of force towards India the

play41:21

Chinese began advancing thousands of

play41:23

soldiers towards different locations in

play41:25

the western section of the line of

play41:26

actual contr control which sparked a

play41:28

fierce Indian response and massive

play41:30

clashes along the border in a previous

play41:32

attempt to deescalate tensions along the

play41:34

line of actual control both India and

play41:36

China had agreed back in 1996 to ban all

play41:39

of their soldiers from carrying firearms

play41:41

or explosives near the border area to

play41:43

reduce the chances of a major incident

play41:45

taking place that could Cascade into a

play41:47

full-blown War again so because of that

play41:50

ban thousands of Chinese and Indian

play41:52

soldiers faced each other off high up in

play41:54

the mountains in 2020 armed with more

play41:56

primitive melee weapons instead like

play41:58

spiked clubs metal bars wrapped in

play42:00

barbed wire riot gear and machetes which

play42:03

led to the combat taking place between

play42:05

them in 2020 appearing to be more out of

play42:07

the Medieval Era than the 21st century

play42:10

depending on the sources the melee clash

play42:12

between the Indian and Chinese armies

play42:13

then resulted in the deaths and injuries

play42:15

of dozens of soldiers on both sides

play42:18

representing a massive escalation along

play42:20

the line of actual control since they

play42:21

were the first deaths caused by combat

play42:23

between India and China along their

play42:25

disputed Border in more than 40 5 years

play42:28

which led to campaigns in India to

play42:29

boycott Chinese products and India's

play42:31

subsequent Banning of hundreds of

play42:33

Chinese apps in the country including

play42:34

Tik talk and Alibaba the crisis sharply

play42:37

escalated geopolitical tensions between

play42:39

China and India and has reverberated

play42:41

over the years since into the present

play42:43

day and the next part of this video that

play42:45

covers how these border clashes went

play42:46

down and why they were so violent in

play42:48

2020 compared to previous decades is all

play42:51

vital context to understanding where the

play42:53

dangerous india-china relationship is

play42:55

going in the future but unfortunately

play42:58

due to the inherently violent

play42:59

controversial and very recent nature of

play43:01

discussing in detail how one of the

play43:03

bloodiest melee battles of the 21st

play43:05

century happened the next part of this

play43:07

video that would cover all of it would

play43:09

almost certainly cause the rest of the

play43:10

video before it to become demonetized

play43:12

and age restricted which ultimately

play43:14

would mean that YouTube's algorithm

play43:15

would have never promoted any of this

play43:17

video to you and you would probably

play43:18

never have seen any of it but thankfully

play43:21

I was still able to produce the next

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part of this video anyway in my ongoing

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modern conflict series because of the

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power of this this video sponsor nebula

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where you can go and watch the next 30

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minute part covering everything you need

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to know about what happened between

play43:33

India and China and 20120 that led to

play43:36

thousands of their soldiers engaging in

play43:37

a massive melee battle and what could

play43:40

happen between them next going forward

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and this is also just one of more than

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can go watch right now covering subjects

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against the weager people in Shin Jong

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