Harga Batu Bara Panas-Dingin, Emiten Pelayaran Diversifikasi Bisnis
Summary
TLDRThe script discusses the fluctuating coal mining industry, noting price stabilization around $120-$130 per metric ton, despite previous highs of $400 in 2021. It highlights the company's diversification strategy into nickel, iron, cement, and food industries, while still prioritizing coal for power plants. Challenges include weather, regulatory issues, and market fluctuations, yet the company remains optimistic about meeting targets, with a focus on maintaining profitability and adjusting operations as needed.
Takeaways
- 📈 The coal mining industry is experiencing fluctuations in commodity prices, with the current price of coal remaining higher than pre-pandemic levels, which were between $70 to $90 per metric ton, and now around $120 to $130.
- 💰 Despite the price fluctuations, the industry is still profitable, with companies able to maintain significant profit margins even if they are not as high as during the peak price of $400 per metric ton in 2021.
- 🌐 The company has a strategy to diversify its transportation services beyond coal, supporting industries such as nickel, steel, cement, fertilizer, and even food transport by ship.
- 🛳️ The company's main priority currently is to support power plants and smelters with coal and nickel transportation, with ships primarily deployed for these needs.
- 📊 In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 575.67 billion, which is a 55.03% increase year-on-year compared to 2022, mainly contributed by transportation and demurrage segments.
- 🔮 For 2024, the company is confident in achieving targets that are within a plus-minus 5% deviation, despite challenges such as weather issues, regulatory concerns, and price fluctuations.
- 🚢 Utilization of ships is crucial for profitability; any decrease in volume due to weather or regulatory issues can lead to a drop in unit prices and affect profit margins.
- 🔄 The company is prepared to perform maintenance on ships when volume decreases to ensure readiness when demand increases, avoiding being pushed to the operational limit.
- 🏦 Government regulations, including the latest on Domestic Market Obligation (DMO) or export revenue repatriation, can affect the industry, with both positive and negative impacts.
- 💡 The positive aspect of such regulations is maintaining the value of the rupiah and ensuring domestic liquidity, while the challenge is that smaller-scale mines might face cash flow issues.
- 🤝 The company is in discussion with minor miners to find win-win solutions regarding cash flow management under the new regulations.
Q & A
What is the current state of the coal mining industry according to the transcript?
-The coal mining industry is experiencing fluctuations in prices, with the current price being higher than before the pandemic, around $120-130 per metric ton, compared to $70-90 before the pandemic. The industry has seen a normalization in prices, and it is still profitable for businesses involved.
How has the fluctuation in coal prices affected the profitability of the industry?
-Despite the fluctuations, the coal industry is still profitable, with businesses able to make significant profits due to the higher prices compared to the pre-pandemic period.
What strategies are companies adopting to mitigate the impact of price fluctuations?
-Companies are diversifying their transportation services, supporting not only the coal industry but also other industries such as nickel, steel, cement, and food transportation. This diversification helps to mitigate risks associated with price fluctuations.
What is the impact of the current coal prices on the operational and financial performance of companies?
-While the current coal prices are still above the average, which is beneficial for the companies, there is a slight reduction in profit margins compared to when coal prices were at $400 per metric ton. However, companies are still able to make profits.
What are the main challenges faced by the shipping industry in relation to the coal industry?
-The main challenges include weather issues, regulatory changes, and price fluctuations of commodities like nickel. These factors can affect the volume of shipments and the unit price of transportation, impacting profitability.
How does the company plan to deal with potential decreases in shipment volume?
-The company plans to perform maintenance during periods of low volume to ensure readiness when the volume increases. This approach helps to avoid pushing the units to their limits and maintains operational efficiency.
What was the financial performance of the company in 2023, and what is the projection for 2024?
-In 2023, the company recorded a revenue of 575.67 billion, which is a 55.03% increase year-on-year compared to 2022. For 2024, the company is confident in achieving its targets, with a slight deviation of plus or minus 5%.
What is the target for net profit set by the company for the fiscal year?
-The target for net profit set by the company is 238 billion.
What are the main factors affecting the profit margin in the shipping industry?
-The main factors affecting the profit margin include the utilization of ships, volume of shipments, and market price fluctuations. Any decrease in volume or drastic price drop can lead to a reduction in the unit price of transportation, affecting profits.
How does the government's regulation on Domestic Component of Export (DHE) impact the industry?
-The introduction of DHE has pros and cons. On the positive side, it helps maintain the value of the rupiah and keeps liquidity within the country. However, it may pose challenges for small-scale mines in managing their cash flow.
What is the company's strategy in response to government regulations and market conditions?
-The company's strategy includes maintaining a balance between diversification and specialization, ensuring readiness for changes in volume, and working closely with stakeholders to find win-win solutions.
Outlines
📈 Fluctuating Coal Prices and Business Strategies
The first paragraph discusses the volatility of coal prices and their impact on the mining industry. It reflects on how prices have risen from pre-pandemic levels of 70-90 US Dollars to the current 120-130 US Dollars per metric ton. Despite the fluctuations, the industry is still profitable, with companies able to make significant profits. The speaker mentions the normalization of coal prices and the strategies companies might employ to mitigate risks, such as maintaining prices above the average to ensure profitability. There's also a mention of diversification in transportation to support other industries like nickel and steel, alongside the mainstay of coal and nickel transportation. The paragraph concludes with a look at the company's financial performance, noting a significant year-on-year increase in revenue and the contribution of the transportation and demurrage segment.
🚢 Challenges and Strategies in the Shipping Industry
The second paragraph delves into the challenges faced by the shipping industry, particularly focusing on the utilization of ships and the impact of weather issues or regulatory changes on profitability. It highlights the importance of maintaining a balance between ship utilization and profitability margins. The speaker discusses strategies to manage fluctuations in volume, such as performing maintenance during low periods to ensure readiness when demand increases. Additionally, the paragraph touches on recent government regulations regarding export earnings and their implications for the industry, including the potential benefits of maintaining the value of the domestic currency and the challenges faced by small-scale mines in managing cash flow.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Mining
💡Commodity
💡Fluctuation
💡Profit Margin
💡Diversification
💡Power Plant
💡Contract
💡Revenue
💡Challenges
💡Utilization
💡Maintenance
💡Regulation
Highlights
The mining industry's price fluctuations have normalized compared to the highs of 2021.
Coal prices have stabilized around $120-$130 per metric ton, higher than pre-pandemic levels.
The business is highly influenced by commodity prices, particularly coal.
Despite price fluctuations, the current coal price still allows for significant profits.
The company has experienced a decrease in profit margins but remains profitable.
There is a strategy in place to mitigate the impact of price volatility.
The company is diversifying its transportation services beyond coal and nickel.
Opportunities exist to support other industries such as cement, fertilizer, and food transport.
The company's current focus is on coal transportation for power plants and nickel ore.
HTM has contracts with Indonesia Chingsan, primarily for coal transportation.
The company is prepared to adjust its fleet deployment based on market needs.
HTM reported a 55.03% increase in revenue in 2023, largely due to transportation and demurrage segments.
The company is confident in meeting its targets for 2024, despite initial challenges.
There have been challenges in the industry, including regulatory changes and market fluctuations.
The company aims to achieve a net profit of 238 billion for the fiscal year.
As of May 31, the company has achieved 70 billion in net profit, facing initial year obstacles.
The most critical issue for the shipping business is the utilization of ships and volume of transport.
The company may perform maintenance during low volume periods to prepare for increased demand.
Government regulations, including recent changes to export revenue regulations, impact the industry.
The introduction of DHE (Domestic Market Obligation) has both pros and cons for the industry.
Small-scale mines may struggle with cash flow adjustments due to new regulations.
Transcripts
kita mencoba melihat dari sisi e mining
price-nya atau mungkin dari sisi call
mining price-nya yang memang sudah ya up
and down sudah tidak setinggi waktu
tahun 2021 mungkin di mana Kita pernah
mencapai ke 400 dolar gitu ya per Metrik
tons dan sekarang sudah mulai di
normalisasi kalau kata orang-orang
sampai dengan kita lihat Bagaimana
sebenarnya bisnis ini cukup e
berfluktuasi dengan adanya komoditi
batuara yang up and down Anda melihatnya
Seperti apa eh tentunya kalau kita lihat
harga batubara saat ini masih eh lebih
tinggi ya daripada harga batubara
sebelum pandemi di mana sebelum pandemi
kita melihat harga batubara di antara 70
sampai 90 US Dollar seangkan sekarang
itu ee masihabil di 120 130 Jadi untuk
sementara memang ee masih sangat baik he
harganya
em semua orang masih bisa membukan
keuntungan yang cukup signifikan dan EE
kita melihat trennya sih untuk tahun ini
sepertinya akan akan stabil di di level
120 sampai 130 Oke berarti ini belum
belum dikatakan bahwa level-level ini
cukup kemudian mengganggu operasional
dari sisi perseroan atau mungkin
kemudian agak mengganggu kinerja
finansial karena kita pernah merasa ada
di pick e price-nya si batubara ini atau
seperti apa sih kalau di industri
pelayaran sendiri nih Pak E Andrew ya
mungkin kalau di saat harga 400 itu
marginnya mungkin lebih tebal ya Te
Kalau sekarang mungkin agak sedikit
berkurang tapi belum ee belum sakitlah
He masih masih bisa membukukan profit
Oke kalau kita based on call e price-nya
sendiri kan memang ini cukup e up and
down ya kalau dari perusahaan sendiri
Ada enggak sih strategi begitu ya untuk
memitigasi karena mungkin e mesti masih
di atas se harga rata-rata karena kita
tahu dulu mungkin di Kisaran 80 sampai
100 eh dolar per Metrik tons gitu ya
sekarang masih di atas itu Tetapi kan
kita tahu bahwa ada ada look up dunia
tentang fosil energi tentang batubara
dan keberlanjutannya nah ini akan
seperti apa si sih Anda melihatnya gitu
kalau dari sisi strategi perusahaan ee
tentunya kalau dari strategi perusahaan
sendiri Kita sudah mulai
mendiversifikasi angkutan kita misalnya
ee sekarang kita ada mendukung industri
nikel juga ada juga industri ee besi dan
EE tentunya ada juga peluang-peluang
lain seperti misalnya kita untuk e
mendukung industri semen atau
pupuk atau bahkan bahan makanan
sebenarnya bisa diangkut di kapal-kapal
kita gitu Em tapi memang untuk saat ini
masih didominasi oleh EE kebutuhan untuk
industri eh power plant batubara dan
juga nikel gitu batubara dan nikel ya
berapa tuhentasinya kalau di HTM Em
kalau untuk sekarang memang kita kan
punya kontrak dengan Indonesia chingsan
Seal eh chingsan group ee untuk saat ini
kapal kita memang dideplloy untuk batu
bara He gitu tapi tidak menutut
kemungkinan bahwa itu akan diddeplloy
untuk ee mengangkut kargo dikelnya juga
oke oke Jadi sekarang priori utama
adalah si batuara ini ya Iya untuk
mendukung eh Power Plan power Generation
dari dari smelter mereka he he ini
menarik sebenarnya untuk kita melihat
bagaimana 2023 HTM ini ee membukukan
pendapatan sebesar
575,67 miliar atau ini naik ya
55,03% Secara year oner kalau
dibandingkan Tahun
2022 yang lalu ya dan memang yang lebih
eh kontributornya adalah lebih ke
pengangkutan dan juga eh segmen
demourage yang sebesar 9,3 R miliar Nah
ini kan sekarang 2024 sudah running
hampir 6 bulan satu semester begitu ya
bagaimana eh lookup-nya Apakah cukup
similar dengan 2023 atau ada kayak n
tantangan tersendiri nih di pelayaran
industri di tahun ini Tentunya kalau di
kita ngomong challenges di industri ini
untuk tahun ini kita bisa
eh ada beberapa ya pertama awal tahun
mungkin 1 2 bulan pertama ada isu rkb
ada isu e bad weather gitu tu tapi kalau
ee dan juga ada ada juga fluktuasi harga
nikel yang cukup drastis kemarin jadi ee
memang ada beberapa challenges tapi
kalau di perseroan sendiri sih kami
masih yakin untuk target kita kita bisa
ee mencapai mungkin plus minus 5% Oke Eh
jadi masih sangat-sangat e acceptable
untuk untuk deviasinya begitu oke untuk
tahun ini sendiri untuk pertumbuhan laba
sendiri targetnya berapa Pak andreu di
sepanjang atau mungkin proyeksi sampai
dengan fulier 2 24 dan Pencapaian sampai
dengan saat ini seperti apa ee kalau
kita untuk target fier kita kemarin set
di 238 Miliar untuk laba bersihnya Oke
He em Pencapaian sampai dengan
sekarang per 31 Mei Kalau tidak salah 70
miliar karena ee ya itu kita lagi
playing Ketchup karena adanya
hambatan-hambatan di awal tahun gitu he
he hambatan apa sih yang paling besar
sebenarnya untuk running bisnis eh
pelayaran begitu ya seperti yang dialami
oleh hatm sendiri nih sejauh ini yang
mungkin dilihat yang bisa jadi ee barer
atau mungkin jadi ya kendala untuk eh
make it profit margin gitu ya seperti
apa sih Pak Andrew Eh kalau dilihat yang
paling krusial sebenarnya adalah
utilisasi kapal ya jadi volume
angkutannya sendiri gitu Kalau misalnya
ada isu weather atau isu rkb itu di mana
atau bahkan kalau harga drop drastis
dalam waktu yang singkat itu kan ee akan
ada kekurangan volume sehingga banyak
kapal yang EE berebut volume ya jadi itu
akan membuat ee unit price dari angkutan
kita sendiri turun jauh sehingga ee akan
sedikit kesulitanlah untuk untuk kita
bisa mukan profit gitu He nah ini kalau
hal-hal seperti ini memang selalu e
terjadi mungkin di awal-awal tahun kan
ada ada ada beberapa yang harus dihadapi
perusahaan begitu ya untuk mengatur
strategi Apakah memang ya
kondisi-kondisi seperti ini memang biasa
nih terjadi dengan adanya apa namanya
utilisasinya untuk ee laut untuk apa
angkutan laut selalu di awal-awal
semester atau selalu di awal-awal tahun
memang kayak begini begitu ya Nah
strategi perusahaan sendiri untuk
memenuhinya itu seperti apa nih pak
Andru ee kalau untuk sekarang ya kita
bisa lihat Mungkin kita bisa kalau
misalnya volumenya berkurang kita bisa
melakukan maintenance supaya pada saat
ee sudah ready gitu ya begitu sudah
volumenya naik kita sudah ready untuk
untuk mengangkut itu gitu jadi enggak
dipush to the limit gitu ya untuk
unit-unit yang ada gitu Iya karena
ee mesin ini seperti orang juga ada ada
waktu istirahatnya Begitu he Oke Baik Ee
kita tahu ya bahwa mungkin bukan hanya
itu saja untuk di industri pelayaran
tapi ada juga beberapa
ketentuan-ketentuan ee yang dibuat oleh
pemerintah termasuk yang paling baru
Mungkin Pak Andrew juga eh update Gitu
ya untuk ee dhe inih ya untuk penetapan
ee dhe atau devisa hasil ekspor di dalam
negeri ini seperti apa sih karena kan
memang ini juga termasuk salah satu yang
kemudian membuat industri ini dan yang
lainnya industri pertambangan dan
industri pendukung lainnya ini kemarin
sempat juga ee
akhirnya berpikir Apakah ini termasuk
salah satu cara yang cukup menarik gitu
untuk menarik dhe dalam negeri untuk
menjaga juga nilai tukar kita nah ini
seperti apa Anda melihatnya ee Iya
dengan adanya dhe ini sebenarnya yang
ada pro dan cons-nya sendiri ya Em
pronya ya itu em nilai itu kita terjaga
jadi
em rupiah cukup kokoh ya melawan dolar
walaupun dengan berbagai ee macam
rintangan dan juga Walaupun ada
Pelemahan tapi pelemahannya mungkin
masih masih bisa ditoleransi He em kedua
likuiditas dalam negeri kan terjaga
jadinya He em knya adalah beberapa
tambang yang e skala kecil mungkin agak
syok dengan pengaturan cash flow gitu
jadi ya itu adalah sesuatu yang kita eh
diskusikan dengan dengan minor-miner
sendiri jadi kita eh mencari win-win
Solution
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