Russia Open Another Northern Front | SU-57 HIT, F-16 DELAY - Ukraine Map Analysis & News Update

Willy OAM
10 Jun 202425:34

Summary

TLDRIn diesem Video bespricht der Sprecher verschiedene geopolitische Entwicklungen. Er beginnt mit der Erwähnung seiner neuen Krawatte und geht dann auf die aktuelle Lage in der Ukraine ein, insbesondere auf militärische Bewegungen und Frontlinien. Der Sprecher hebt hervor, dass Russland möglicherweise eine neue Offensive im Norden eröffnet. Es folgen detaillierte Kartenanalysen und Diskussionen über mögliche russische Täuschungsstrategien. Außerdem wird der Schaden an einem russischen Su-57-Kampfjet diskutiert. Das Video schließt mit einem Überblick über die politische Situation in Frankreich nach den jüngsten Wahlen und deren möglichen Auswirkungen auf die Unterstützung der Ukraine.

Takeaways

  • 🎗️ Die politische Landschaft Frankreichs könnte sich erheblich verändern, da die National Rally (RN) bei den Wahlen gut abschnitten hat und Präsident Macron die Nationalversammlung auflösen musste.
  • 🛫 Es gibt Berichte über einen möglichen Verlust oder Schaden an einem russischen Su-57 Kampfflugzeug, welches durch einen Drohnenangriff beschädigt wurde.
  • 📉 Die Ukraine plant, selbst produzierte gelenkte Bomben zu testen, was möglicherweise günstiger und unabhängiger von ausländischen Waffensystemen ist.
  • 🚀 Die USA und G7 Partner arbeiten daran, eingefrorene russische Vermögenswerte zu nutzen, um die Ukraine zu unterstützen, was jedoch möglicherweise Auswirkungen auf die europäische Wirtschaft haben könnte.
  • 🛑 Es gibt Spekulationen, dass die Ukraine möglicherweise einen Waffeneinschlag innerhalb Russlands durchgeführt hat, jedoch sind die Details und die Auswirkungen noch unklar.
  • 📉 Die F-16 Kampfpiloten der Ukraine werden langsamer als erwartet ausgebildet, und es wird erwartet, dass erst Ende 2025 eine vollständige Staffel von 40 Piloten und 20 Jets bereitgestellt werden kann.
  • 🛑 Es gibt Berichte, dass die russischen Kräfte in der Region Sumi Oblast vorrücken, was zu einer weiteren Eskalation des Konflikts führen könnte.
  • 📊 Die Ukraine hat Schwierigkeiten, ihre Kampfflugzeuge mit modernen Waffensystemen auszustatten, da viele NATO-Länder zögern, ihre teuren Waffen freizugeben.
  • 📍 Es gibt keine signifikanten Veränderungen in der nördlichen Frontlinie der Ukraine zu beobachten, obwohl es Gerüchte über eine mögliche Offensive gibt.
  • 📈 Die russischen Kräfte haben in der Region Izyum und Sumi Oblast Fortschritte gemacht, was die ukrainische Verteidigungslinie unter Druck setzt.
  • 🤔 Die Rolle Frankreichs und die Unterstützung für die Ukraine könnten sich in der Zukunft ändern, abhängig von den Ergebnissen der anstehenden Wahlen und der politischen Landschaft.

Q & A

  • Was ist das Thema des Videos, das im Skript dargestellt wird?

    -Das Thema des Videos ist die politische und militärische Situation in der Ukraine, einschließlich der Entwicklungen im Krieg, die Rolle Russlands und die Auswirkungen auf die internationale Gemeinschaft.

  • Was ist die Hauptnachricht in Bezug auf die französische Politik?

    -Die Hauptnachricht ist, dass die rechte Partei in Frankreich bei den Wahlen eine überwältigende Mehrheit gewonnen hat, was zu Neuwahlen im National Assembly und möglicherweise Veränderungen in der französischen Politik führen könnte.

  • Was bedeutet der Sieg der rechten Partei in Frankreich für die Unterstützung der Ukraine?

    -Der Sieg könnte zu einer Verschiebung in der französischen Politik führen, aber bisher haben die National Rally (RN) öffentlich ihre Unterstützung für die Ukraine bekundet, möglicherweise mit einer gewissen Zurückhaltung.

  • Welche Schlagzeile bezieht sich das Skript auf, in Bezug auf die F-16 Kampfflugzeuge der Ukraine?

    -Das Skript erwähnt, dass es Schwierigkeiten gibt, ukrainische Piloten für F-16 Kampfflugzeuge auszubilden und dass ein vollständiger Einsatz erst Ende 2025 erwartet wird, was die Erwartungen, F-16s bald im Einsatz zu sehen, enttauschen könnte.

  • Was ist der aktuelle Stand der Kampfjet-Produktion in Russland?

    -Die Produktion der Su-57 Kampfjets in Russland scheint Probleme zu haben, und es gibt Berichte über einen möglichen Verlust eines Su-57 durch einen UAV-Angriff.

  • Welche Bedeutung hat der Vorschlag, russische F-16 Kampfflugzeuge zu verwenden, um russische Kreuzraketen abzufangen?

    -Dieser Vorschlag zeigt, dass die Ukraine versucht, ihre Verteidigungskapazitäten zu verbessern, aber es erfordert präzise Luft-zu-Luft-Raketen, die teuer und in begrenzter Stückzahl vorliegen.

  • Was ist der Hintergrund des Diskurses über die Verwendung von gelenkten Bomben durch die Ukraine?

    -Die Ukraine plant, ukrainisch hergestellte gelenkte Bomben zu testen, die möglicherweise als eine kostengünstigere Alternative zu hochtechnologischen Waffensystemen dienen, um Durchbrüche in stark verteidigten Linien zu erzielen.

  • Was ist die Haltung der USA und Frankreich gegenüber Russland und der Ukraine?

    -Die USA und Frankreich haben ihre Unterstützung für die Ukraine und ihre Ablehnung Russlands ausgedrückt, einschließlich des Einsatzes einfroren russischer Vermögenswerte, um die Ukraine zu unterstützen.

  • Welche Rolle spielt die chinesische Währung in der Diskussion um die Nutzung einfroren russischer Vermögenswerte?

    -Es gibt Bedenken, dass chinesische Investoren Gewinne aus einfroren russischen Vermögenswerten ziehen könnten, was Auswirkungen auf die Währungen wie Euro, Pfund und Dollar haben könnte.

  • Was ist das Hauptargument des Skripts über die militärische Fähigkeit Russlands?

    -Das Skript argumentiert, dass die russische Militärmacht nicht in der Lage ist, in der gesamten NATO vorzudringen, und dass es auch keine offizielle Ankündigung von Putin gibt, dass er dies tun möchte.

  • Welche persönliche Bemerkung macht der Sprecher im Skript?

    -Der Sprecher teilt mit, dass es sein Leidensweg ist, in einem Kampfflugzeug zu fliegen, und er drückt seinen Wunsch aus, in einem Mig 29 oder ähnlichen Flugzeug zu fliegen, sollte die russische Wirtschaft nach dem Krieg schwächer werden.

Outlines

00:00

🌏 geopolitische Analyse: Russland und Frankreich

Der erste Absatz behandelt die geopolitischen Entwicklungen in Bezug auf Russland, insbesondere die militärische Situation in der Ukraine und die mögliche Eröffnung einer neuen Front in Sumi Oblast. Es wird auch auf die Rolle Frankreichs eingegangen, das trotz der Unterstützung für die Ukraine bisher keine modernen Waffensysteme geliefert hat. Die Diskussion um die politischen Veränderungen in Frankreich und die möglichen Auswirkungen auf die Ukraine-Politik wird ebenfalls angesprochen.

05:01

🛫 Verlust eines russischen S-57 Kampfflugzeugs

Dieser Absatz konzentriert sich auf die Berichte über einen möglichen Verlust des russischen S-57 Kampfflugzeugs, das angeblich von einem Drohnenangriff beschädigt wurde. Es wird über die möglichen Auswirkungen und die Bedeutung dieses Flugzeugs für Russland gesprochen, sowie über die Herausforderungen, die damit verbunden sind, wenn ein solches hochmodernes Flugzeug beschädigt oder zerstört wird.

10:05

🇺🇦 Ukraines F-16 Piloten und Kampfflugzeuge

Der dritte Absatz diskutiert die Aussicht auf die Einführung von F-16 Kampfflugzeugen in die Ukraine, einschließlich der Pilotenausbildung und der Herausforderungen, die damit verbunden sind. Es wird auch auf die Bedeutung dieser Kampfflugzeuge für die ukrainische Verteidigung und die Bedenken hinsichtlich der Waffenversorgung eingegangen.

15:05

💥 Entwicklung und Test von ukrainischen Lenkwaffen

In diesem Absatz wird über die Pläne der Ukraine, ihre eigenen gelenkwaffenfähigen Bomben zu entwickeln und zu testen, gesprochen. Es wird auch diskutiert, wie diese Waffen möglicherweise eingesetzt werden, um die Verteidigungskapazitäten der Ukraine zu stärken und die Herausforderungen, die damit verbunden sind.

20:07

🗺️ Aktuelle Frontlinien und territoriale Veränderungen

Der fünfte Absatz bietet einen Überblick über die aktuellen Veränderungen an den Frontlinien in der Ukraine, einschließlich der territorialen Eroberungen Russlands und der Reaktionen der ukrainischen Streitkräfte. Es werden auch die geopolitischen Implikationen dieser Veränderungen diskutiert.

25:08

🇫🇷 Politische Veränderungen in Frankreich und ihre Auswirkungen

Der letzte Absatz thematisiert die politischen Veränderungen in Frankreich nach den Wahlen und der möglichen Auflösung der Nationalversammlung. Es wird diskutiert, wie diese Entwicklungen die Unterstützung Frankreichs für die Ukraine beeinflussen könnten und welche Auswirkungen dies auf die internationale Gemeinschaft haben könnte.

📣 Abschließende Bemerkungen und persönliche Wünsche

Der Schlussabschnitt bringt persönliche Wünsche zum Ausdruck, darunter die Sehnsucht, in einem Kampfflugzeug zu fliegen, und gibt einen Ausblick auf die bevorstehenden Diskussionen und Entwicklungen. Es werden auch die aktuellen geopolitischen Standpunkte und die Rolle der USA in der Ukraine-Krise thematisiert.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Akmat

Akmat ist der Name der Spezialeinheiten der russischen Armee. Im Video wird erwähnt, dass diese Einheiten taktische Maßnahmen durchgeführt haben, um eine besiedelte Gegend von Feinden zu befreien. Der Begriff ist zentral für das Verständnis der militärischen Aktivitäten, die im Video thematisiert werden.

💡Riva

Riva ist ein Dorf, das im Video als Ort der militärischen Operationen erwähnt wird. Es wird berichtet, dass es von den Akmat-Einheiten befreit wurde, was auf die militärische Situation an der Grenze zu der erwähnten Region hinweist.

💡Frontlinie

Die Frontlinie bezieht sich auf die Grenze zwischen kontrollierten Gebieten in einem Konflikt. Im Video wird diskutiert, ob Russland eine neue Frontlinie in Sumi-Region eröffnet, was die militärische Strategie und die geopolitische Situation betrifft.

💡Su-57

Der Su-57 ist ein russisches Kampfflugzeug, das im Video in Bezug auf einen möglichen Schaden oder Verlust erwähnt wird. Dies ist wichtig für das Verständnis der Luftwaffe-Aktivitäten und der Technologien, die im Konflikt eingesetzt werden.

💡F16

Die F16 ist ein Kampfflugzeug, das in der Diskussion über die militärische Unterstützung für die Ukraine auftaucht. Im Video wird die Aussicht auf die Bereitstellung dieser Flugzeuge für die ukrainische Luftwaffe und die damit verbundenen Herausforderungen thematisiert.

💡Glide Bombe

Eine Glide Bombe ist eine Art Flugkörper, der im Video in Bezug auf die ukrainische Fähigkeit, selbst hergestellte gezielte Bomben zu testen und einzusetzen, erwähnt wird. Diese Waffe ist für die Durchführung von Angriffen hinter feindlichen Linien relevant.

💡Ukraine-Konflikt

Der Ukraine-Konflikt bezieht sich auf die politischen und militärischen Auseinandersetzungen in der Ukraine, insbesondere mit dem angrenzenden Russland. Im Video wird dieser Konflikt als Hauptthema diskutiert, einschließlich der verschiedenen Akteure, Waffensysteme und geopolitischen Implikationen.

💡Französische Politik

Die französische Politik spielt im Video eine Rolle, da es auf die Ergebnisse von Wahlen und die möglichen Auswirkungen auf die französische Unterstützung für die Ukraine eingehen wird. Macrons Partei und die National Rally sind in diesem Zusammenhang erwähnt.

💡Unterstützung für die Ukraine

Die Unterstützung für die Ukraine durch verschiedene Länder, einschließlich Frankreich und die USA, ist ein zentrales Thema im Video. Es wird diskutiert, inwiefern diese Unterstützung in Form von Waffensystemen, finanzieller Hilfe oder politischer Stellungnahmen erfolgt.

💡Flugzeugträger

Flugzeugträger sind große militärische Schiffe, die zur Basis für Kampfflugzeuge dienen können. Im Video werden sie in Bezug auf die Fähigkeiten und die Bedeutung im maritimen Konflikt dargestellt, insbesondere im Hinblick auf die Fähigkeit, Flugzeuge zu betanken und zu warten.

Highlights

New tie introduced by the speaker.

Discussion about the political situation in France and its implications for Ukraine.

Analysis of the military situation in Ukraine, including the occupation of red and purple areas.

Reports of a new Northern Russian offensive led by the Chechen Special Forces.

Update on the village of Riva and its liberation by Russian forces.

The role of the Chechen Special Forces in the conflict and their influence on Muslim countries.

Claims of a second Su-57 aircraft being damaged or destroyed in Ukraine.

Details on the attack on the airbase and the potential first combat loss of a Su-57.

Discussion on the production and deployment challenges of the Su-57 aircraft.

Reports of 20 Ukrainian F16 pilots expected to graduate by the end of the year.

Concerns about the availability of precise air-to-air missiles for Ukrainian jets.

Ukraine's plan to use jets to intercept Russian cruise missiles and the challenges involved.

The potential need for Ukraine to develop and use glide bombs for breakthroughs in heavily defended areas.

Announcement of Ukrainian-made guided bombs testing and the move towards domestic production.

Map updates detailing changes in the conflict zones and the strategic implications.

Speculation about Ukrainian forces' movements in Kherson and the potential impact on the conflict.

Election results in France and the potential impact on France's support for Ukraine.

Macron's response to the election and the political changes in France.

Statement from Macron and Biden on their commitment to support Ukraine and opposition to Russia.

Transcripts

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GTO legendss I hope that you're having a

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fantastic day and I hope if you're an

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Aussie you had a fantastic long weekend

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as well now some notice last video not

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the interview but the last update I

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actually have a new tie so this is my

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new my new tie I like it it's nice but

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today we have a lot a lot to go over but

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it won't be too long so regardless of

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your bias we have bad news about fter

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aircraft everywhere uh we need to talk

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about France and people saying that this

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is a shock and I don't keep up with

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French politics at all but I'm not

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shocked by this I don't think anyone

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should be shocked by what we have seen

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we need to look at the maps and we'll

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look at the maps over then two days and

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we need to have a look at some claims

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coming out about a new Northern Russian

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offensive opening up by the leader of

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the chin arat Special Forces catov and

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have a look and maybe a little bit

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deeper there as well but that it's just

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all very interesting and well let's get

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stuck into it and we will talk about the

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area on the map so here we have Ukraine

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the center the capital of ke of course

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here we have the red areas occupied

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since 22 the purple since

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2014 now some interesting things of

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which you're keeping up with if you're

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watch me is we know Russia a month ago

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basically today launched the two-prong

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defensive from belgrad into hariv here

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it has really looked like it has stored

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out holding in place now there's a lot

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of claims both ways about what's

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happening here but no maps are showing

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much movement here we know there's been

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a mass deployment of Ukrainian troops

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back into this area and that Russia is

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having some success down in the East

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we'll look at more specifics on that but

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what we have talked about and what the

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problem could be is if Russia then open

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another front line and many have said

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they're expecting it somewhere but from

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KK into Sumi region here of course what

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then borders and it looks like looks

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like from reports this is what we are

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seeing so of course we have the sui

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ablast up here now we will just zoom in

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on this and we have this toino here and

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this rivka sitting right here now this

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is where it is said that here is now

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under occupation so let's look at the

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claims and let's look at a little bit

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more in here now this was a Noel reports

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map here now there has been reports as

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well from Ukraine saying no this isn't

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occupied but again we'll wait for more

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to come it's sort of up in the air at

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the moment no I'm not ignoring the s57

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we're just talk this is more burning

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news as far as Frontline so Riva this is

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the area of which we're talking about is

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in question now karov released on his

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telegram to 2 million people my

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telegram's only 10,000 come and join my

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telegram if you'd like but friends

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soldiers of akma church now regiment

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with the RF Ministry defense under the

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command of dear brother aamc salive

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together with the military personnel of

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other Russian units carried out tactical

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actions and liberated another populated

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era from the enemy this is the village

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of Riva uh which is located on the

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border of ERS region as a result large

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scale planned offensive actions the

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Ukrainian side suffered significant

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losses and was forced to retreat the

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coordinate and effective work of fighter

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more units made to achieve this result I

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sincerely thank every soldier participa

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in the assault and liberation of the

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village I'm convinced the same ending a

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White's territory is temporal by the

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Yoke of Ukraine blah blah blah anyway we

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know this and it released then a video

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then with the

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here some Morts firing some Drone

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footage whatever you can go and watch

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that I'll put that on the T my telegram

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if you'd like to watch now a part of

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that was then geolocated to just in here

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but the thing is no one gave what part

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of the footage so it's hard to know

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because if it's mortars here we know

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then the front Lin working a lot further

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out but if we just have a look at where

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these roads are so we're on this fourth

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Road in from the north so just about

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here so we do know there has been some

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Crossing now these Crossings and I've

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spoken about people in the the north

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here as well and I know people say this

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is cope but I still believe that

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Russia's key objectives are still in the

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South and the East and that these are a

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deception plan to try and draw units

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away and we have seen many units

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redeploy into here put significant

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pressure on the Russians here we may

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have to see a redeployment of soldiers

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up into here as well and not to sort of

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get like goggles trapped isolated on

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looking at that area but that is very

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interesting to see that now the akat

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guys Special Forces Tik Tok brigades

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whatever you want to call them have been

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taken a lot of the piss uh throughout

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this war and I and you know a lot of it

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is completely legitimate as well you

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know they're fighting in other areas but

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let's have a look at what the um Russy

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the U Royal United Service Institute has

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said about than the chin the chin

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fighters on Tik Tok comic as much as it

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does tragic to Western audiences people

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do miss the influence operating in

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Muslim countries push a romantic image

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of karov as a defender of Islam opposing

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Western rhetorics this has been helped

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by Popular m Fighters influence their

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International fans and countries Elite

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and of course this has been greatly

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exacerbated by what we're seeing in

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Israel Gaza and other areas so this like

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with everything you need to look then

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outside of the box of what's Happening

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where the influence May sit where

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propaganda May sit and all of that we

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know the unconventional strategy of

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Russia is to paint Russia as a Bastion

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of traditional

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values uh the nuclear family things like

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this that's part of their unconventional

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warfare through other areas of the world

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and just because you see something as a

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piss take online remember how it may be

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seen in other areas around the world so

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that is very interesting to see what is

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then happening up into the north now

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let's talk about fighter aircraft the

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images the claims whatever now there is

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claims coming out from as well from

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Ukraine saying that actually a second

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s57 may have been damaged or destroyed

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in the attack but we don't have any

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Visual Evidence of that so let's talk

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about where this was so it was it this

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air base out here that sits some I

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believe about 600 km away from Ukraine

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let's measure the distance so to at

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least nonoccupied territory yes

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something around that Mark now what we

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got last night was this last Australia

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time this Photograph come out so this on

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the 7th of s57 and then this on the eth

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looking like two potential impacts now

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we'll have a bit of an anal analyze of

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this video in a second but then the GU

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put this up 67 was hit for then the

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first time now this was then very

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quickly confirmed actually by fighter

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bomber yes yes Airfield was attacked by

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UAV so drone three pieces arrived Su 57

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was damaged by shrapnel he's now being

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determined whether it can be restored or

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not if not then this will be the first

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combat loss of a f Sue 57 inory history

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I'll tell you again for the price of s57

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alone shelters from uavs could be built

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for PTA aircraft in the country of

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course if you don't bully them along the

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way you don't have to give out Kickbacks

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so talking about corruption there and

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there' still be some left Al lasts so

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again this is a big loss here now is

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this damaged destroyed well we we really

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don't know how much of these operating

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in the conflict in Ukraine the war will

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we again we don't know but we do know

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things like the k69 missile they were

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developed specifically for this platform

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and that these platforms are operating

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in distances of what we know Ukraine

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drones and or attack thems could reach

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on some airfields so what I would say is

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if these were not participating in the

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conflict why would they be anywhere

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they'd be on the complete other side of

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the country these are an incredibly

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expensive and Incredibly important

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aircraft now how many of these has

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Russia got about 22 we don't know how

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many are actually flying in the air any

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one time that's actually with any air

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assd I was actually had coffee with a

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friend in the Air Force yesterday he's

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like when you have aircraft just divide

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it by two and that's how many are

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actually flight worthy at the time for

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maintenance deep maintenance all of that

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now one thing I'll say in this

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photograph is yeah it does tend to look

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off but but again it's been confirmed

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here so we I don't know but one thing I

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will say is for how damaged is this we

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do know Gen 4 and a half Gen 5 depending

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on this what you want to classify this

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aircraft these are a very sensitive

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aircraft a lot of computers and a lot of

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single pieces of material to make the

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body now what I'm talking about is if

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say an F18 or an F16 hits a bird they

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can replace singular panels bits and

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pieces if an F35 does that's a massive

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massive deal due to how then the

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airframe the hull is made but we can see

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that it doesn't look like it has caught

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on fire and I guess that would be one of

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the big ones to say that everything was

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destroyed so will parts of this be

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salvageable maybe engines maybe bits of

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the cockpit Radars again I'm no bloody

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aircraft guy but don't downplay this

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this is a big loss of an aircraft like

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this and the first generation of this

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craft that we've actually seen destroyed

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and I guess we do know that they may or

play09:23

may not be participating in the conflict

play09:24

we don't know we know Russia's had

play09:25

problems actually getting those aircraft

play09:27

then into production

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as well but I will say and I always say

play09:31

this that these are a stunning aircraft

play09:34

what we need is lock heat Engineers

play09:36

bloody who's the company that built sey

play09:39

design just designed the outside looks

play09:41

better than F35 but I don't know how the

play09:43

performance in the air but what I'm

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talking about is see how this is sort of

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all one panel here this is what causes

play09:49

massive damage if there is even like a

play09:52

bird strike or drone or shrapnel onto

play09:54

something like this so it could be

play09:56

completely XX destroyed but again we are

play10:00

not really sure now again there is even

play10:05

more bad news coming out than for the

play10:07

f16s so this is the wrong one here we go

play10:11

total this from Politico but referencing

play10:13

the isw spoke about the day a total of

play10:16

20 Ukrainian F16 Pilots are expected to

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graduate by the end of this year half of

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the 40 needed to operate a full Squadron

play10:23

of 20 Jets now I know many people

play10:25

hanging their hat on any week now we

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expecting F6 in the air and flying to

play10:31

like the full amount and we're not sure

play10:33

what has happened there I've got some

play10:34

running theories and I'm trying to use

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like oam's razor to be like what is the

play10:38

most likely issue for this and I just

play10:42

the excuse that the Americans can't

play10:44

train more than 12 parts or once

play10:46

whatever they're putting out that's just

play10:48

we know that's [ __ ] because of how

play10:49

many parts America put through training

play10:51

so we're not we're not really sure but

play10:54

us officials have warned for months F16

play10:56

will not make a huge difference on the

play10:58

battlefield from Air Force secretary

play10:59

Frank Kendall last year while the Jets

play11:02

will give the ukrainians an increment of

play11:03

capability that they don't have right

play11:05

now uh it's not going to be a dramatic

play11:07

Game Changer as far as I'm concerned for

play11:09

their total military capabilities and I

play11:11

think that these ideas of it was going

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to it was going to be any week now on

play11:16

the front line I sort of think was that

play11:18

true at one point and then there might

play11:20

have been some final testing and people

play11:22

got that it's not ready to go yet again

play11:25

we're not 100% sure what is what has

play11:28

happened here and there's definitely

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being some problems cuz this isn't what

play11:31

was being said or what I guess was

play11:33

getting expected at this rate Ukraine

play11:35

won't have a full Squadron of train

play11:37

piles until the end of 2025 so remember

play11:40

a full Squadron is 40 Pilots 20 Jets

play11:44

another issue is the weapons the plane

play11:46

are carrying now this is what we spoke

play11:48

about a while back of that the fighter

play11:50

aircraft you know these days it's not

play11:53

guns and we're too close for missile

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switching to guns dog fighting in the

play11:56

air that is gone even if we would like

play11:59

to see how one of these would perform

play12:01

against a flanker in a fight like that

play12:03

most likely we're not going to see that

play12:06

but that these are basically a taxi for

play12:09

Munitions into areas now um Ukraine's

play12:13

plan to use the Jets to knock down

play12:14

Russian cruise missiles and bistic

play12:15

missiles fire towards Ukrainian

play12:16

infrastructure and civilian targets

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those missions require precise air to- a

play12:19

missiles that belong to the US and

play12:21

dozens of NATO allies many of the

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countries are hesitant to part with

play12:24

their expensive weapons the production

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capacity for a120 advanced medium a a to

play12:28

a missile made by RTX has increased from

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about 500 to 800 per year to over 1,000

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I will say geing up for War I think

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every single item from shells to bullets

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to recruiting men to aim bloody 120s

play12:43

needs to be increased massively if we

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are having problems on a war that is

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still localized between two Nations well

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for God's sake uh but the worry from

play12:52

capitals is that the new request from

play12:53

keev could begin to put a strain on the

play12:55

country's stocks so that will be very

play12:58

very interesting to see how that then

play13:00

unfolds and I know a lot of people are

play13:01

very disappointed expecting to see those

play13:03

f-16s any day now like this month and we

play13:07

may not see them operate until the end

play13:09

of the year even then if there's not a

play13:11

full Squadron how will that then work

play13:14

again we don't no now Ukraine today

play13:17

speaking with Sky News has said that a

play13:19

war plan has fired a weapon at a Target

play13:22

inside Russia for its first time damage

play13:24

assessment is still going it's confirmed

play13:25

as a direct hit from a military Source

play13:27

telling Sky News Now of course firing a

play13:30

weapon inside Russia of these planes as

play13:32

something new but we don't have any

play13:34

footage of what then was hit so at this

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point it is a claim and we do know as

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well and I've spoken a little bit about

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this about how much effect will these

play13:43

have and we need to look at the

play13:45

successes failures Russia has had to

play13:47

have a look at maybe what will happen

play13:49

here now at some point if Ukraine want

play13:51

to achieve their their goals of Victory

play13:53

they're going to have to break through

play13:55

deep heavy defensive lines and I'll

play13:57

bring these up here they're going to to

play13:59

smash through this now let's have a look

play14:01

at what is sueded for Russia the Fab

play14:03

Glide bombs they're cheap a hell of a

play14:05

lot of bang got a lot of them can drop

play14:07

them well behind the line and these

play14:09

goals they're going to require a

play14:11

breakthrough of heavily defended deep

play14:12

lines and the amount of Munitions that

play14:14

is actually going to take to do this is

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going to be too expensive or too

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numerous to rely on Modern

play14:20

technologically advanced weapon systems

play14:22

and will Ukraine have to then come to

play14:24

something like a Fab like the Russians

play14:27

have been using and has been success

play14:29

uccessful for the Russians now I've been

play14:31

thinking about this for a couple of

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weeks and like what would be the best

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maybe platform would something like an

play14:35

RAF tornado or something like that be a

play14:38

better platform if that was to go in now

play14:41

only today as I was researching other

play14:43

stuff this came out as well soon the air

play14:45

force of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will

play14:46

begin testing Ukrainian made guided

play14:48

bombs and this sounds a lot like then a

play14:51

Glide bomb we are also currently working

play14:52

on the conversion and creation of our

play14:55

adjusted aerial bombs based on ordinary

play14:57

Free Falling ones there is for some

play14:59

constructive nuances you need to choose

play15:01

a wing GPS module as well as control

play15:03

module in a few weeks we should start

play15:05

the firing test of the first batches of

play15:06

such bombs already cran so this will be

play15:08

interesting domestically produced so

play15:10

getting away from some of the other

play15:11

problems and maybe then used to break

play15:14

through some areas on the line that said

play15:17

that said the the Glide bombs have to

play15:19

come well the planes have to come a lot

play15:21

a lot closer putting them in a hell of a

play15:24

lot of danger in the air but one thing I

play15:27

want to put on this is one of my dreams

play15:30

like lifelong goals is to go in a

play15:32

fighter aircraft and I don't care who I

play15:33

just want to go in a fighter aircraft

play15:35

now depending on how the economy will be

play15:38

running after this the Russian economy

play15:39

whenever the war ends they do flights in

play15:42

Mig 29s and [ __ ] €1,000 I can never

play15:45

afford that in my life but let's hope

play15:48

that this sinks right down and I'd go

play15:51

and I'd love to fly something like that

play15:53

blood he know i' ever let me in one

play15:54

maybe other than I'm never going to get

play15:56

in an Air Force One I don't think I'd

play15:58

pass the medical exam ation but let's

play16:00

then have a look at then the maps and

play16:03

there has been some interesting updates

play16:04

now we're going to start on the map

play16:05

update yesterday and then we'll move

play16:07

forward till today so you know these

play16:10

areas but we'll come down Don ask ablast

play16:12

and we actually do see an interesting

play16:13

change just down in here out from the

play16:15

east of Vadar on this map the Russians

play16:18

made some advancement out here but I

play16:19

can't confirm that amongst any other

play16:21

Maps we know the ties been deep State

play16:23

and then Ukraine mod that any map

play16:25

movement on this we can say is you know

play16:27

packed by official stuff so there has

play16:29

been some shift there and then an

play16:31

interesting change if we just come up

play16:33

north into Buck moot we do see then this

play16:36

that the majority of this eastern part

play16:38

of chasa remember this is shasa here but

play16:41

this Far Eastern part has then come

play16:43

under Russian control now there's a lot

play16:44

of heavy fighting in here and then this

play16:46

is confirmed by a GE location so we see

play16:49

where this road comes down just on the

play16:52

corner here we have a GE location of a

play16:55

Russian flag being flown here so that is

play16:59

where this is GE located to this guy

play17:01

then putting it up but you can see the

play17:03

complete destruction of these areas a

play17:06

friction point is going to be this

play17:08

Waterway running through here and it's

play17:10

going to be a friction Point both ways

play17:11

we know there's been a lot like

play17:12

everything is down in here as far as

play17:14

Bridges Crossings whatever lot of

play17:16

strikes against those and Ukraine if

play17:18

they do withdraw any other Crossings

play17:20

will be likely taken out as well but

play17:23

will be the Ukrainian withdrawal back

play17:25

across this as well as Russia's

play17:27

advancement across this anything like

play17:28

this is a big big friction Point open

play17:32

ground you've got to cross something

play17:34

there but that is interesting now

play17:36

there's no other changes on this map no

play17:38

other changes in the north are shown

play17:39

even up till then today it's interesting

play17:42

that no changes are being seen on any of

play17:46

the north on here but then we'll work

play17:48

our way down the map as we do have some

play17:50

updates from Noel reports to look at as

play17:52

well so we come into this North sector

play17:55

here this better stove siniva kiska

play17:58

front we talk a lot about this and we

play18:00

have speculated could there be some push

play18:01

on Copans if there was a large Russian

play18:04

offensive again and I'm still not

play18:05

convinced that we're going to see this

play18:06

all out offensive but Noel reports here

play18:10

between kka and Ivanka we have has then

play18:14

closed up this territory here being

play18:16

shown the same then on then the Deep

play18:18

state but just to keep you all in the

play18:20

loop then nothing down here nothing down

play18:23

until we get to then what I'll call the

play18:25

sers front and Ros deliva here we have a

play18:28

you Ukrainian here we go the Noel

play18:31

reports Map update in here so we can see

play18:34

this is Ros deliva kka so across here

play18:38

basically where this is shown as gray

play18:40

zone is showing that this is now closed

play18:42

up by the Russian forces in just to the

play18:45

south of Ros deliva across here so quick

play18:48

update in there now again I will say no

play18:51

um suriak is off just on some leave so

play18:54

we don't have any of his but I guess

play18:55

we'll get a lot of updates on him no

play18:57

changes shown around y today but then we

play19:00

come down to the abiva front and we do

play19:02

see out from Oar a continuation of

play19:05

expansion of control here out further

play19:09

towards then the west and this is an

play19:10

interesting expansion we've seen and

play19:12

this head this flare has continued more

play19:15

and more here and this does put pressure

play19:17

into the north areas of course it puts

play19:19

pressure on this road connecting then up

play19:21

into Sloan katos area and other areas

play19:25

out into poov as well and this has been

play19:27

expanding and the has hasn't really been

play19:29

a stoppage of Russian movement here

play19:31

Beyond then the first line fell and then

play19:33

it's putting pressure on the second line

play19:35

we can see a small advancement out from

play19:37

umansky here as well and this is then

play19:41

double from uh Noel reports here out

play19:45

from umans but

play19:47

showing basically the same as then the

play19:51

Deep State and closing up more of the

play19:53

pressure in and around this front in

play19:56

here now just as I was looking I

play19:57

actually have missed something up in the

play19:59

north now no change on this map but Noel

play20:02

reports is saying in hoki here there has

play20:04

been a push back from the Ukrainian

play20:06

forces in here as well so basically

play20:09

liberating this area you can see where

play20:11

these roads run so just in here but has

play20:13

not been updated on this map here but

play20:16

that is all the map updates we have

play20:18

today down the front line now there's a

play20:21

lot of speculation that from kinky the

play20:24

Ukrainian forces have actually left the

play20:26

Left Bank and have pushed across to the

play20:28

right no maps that no one I typically

play20:31

follow is saying this but I'm hearing a

play20:33

lot of speculation on that from contact

play20:35

ofine as well so again hold out on

play20:38

anything like that but I think the main

play20:39

area that's going to be very interesting

play20:41

is Sumi oblast and the north ears this

play20:43

does create a lot a lot of issues now

play20:47

let's then talk about France now we know

play20:50

France has been one of the biggest

play20:51

supporters of Ukraine and wanting to

play20:54

more and more uh talk about putting

play20:58

troops groups on the ground more strikes

play21:00

whatever but I will say as well then

play21:01

French hasn't really backed that up with

play21:04

the weapons going in like we haven't

play21:06

seen France deploy L clerk tanks to

play21:09

Ukraine we haven't seen uh say you know

play21:12

we want to give you Raphael fighter we

play21:14

haven't seen any of that so it's sort of

play21:15

like well put your money where your

play21:16

mouth is you know before you're

play21:17

deploying troops give us some of those

play21:19

weapon systems some of the more modern

play21:21

stuff maybe first but there has been an

play21:24

election and one of my guys who's

play21:26

actually French has of sent me this

play21:29

across now what we'll have a look at and

play21:30

you'll see this map floating around a

play21:32

lot now the brownie red on this map this

play21:35

is the the right-wing party that has won

play21:39

overwhelmingly in areas Matt I mentioned

play21:42

before that macron was facing very

play21:44

difficult European election well his

play21:46

party came second with just 14.5% less

play21:49

than half of what the reassembled

play21:51

National or RN National rally got at

play21:54

31.5 those results aren't quite final

play21:57

yet but surely very close to the final

play21:59

ones it's so bad that macron decided to

play22:02

dissolve the National Assembly the lower

play22:04

but more important House of the French

play22:06

Parliament meaning new elections will

play22:08

take place on the 30th of June and 7th

play22:10

of July constitutionally this changes

play22:13

nothing regarding the war in Ukraine as

play22:14

he retains full authority over the Armed

play22:16

Forces no matter what but he might have

play22:19

to name a prime minister from a

play22:20

different party and he'll have to think

play22:22

very carefully about his political

play22:24

capital and how to spend it I don't know

play22:27

how what the outcome of the early

play22:28

elections will be this is a situation

play22:31

the fifth Republic has never faced

play22:33

because the mainstream right-wing party

play22:35

these and the mainstream leftwing party

play22:37

used to dominate French politics but the

play22:40

former or the latter would win the

play22:41

elections and get

play22:43

rule so the former or the latter would

play22:45

win the elections and get ruled this is

play22:47

no longer the case the national rally is

play22:49

unlikely to get an absolute majority in

play22:51

the assembly and macron's party is

play22:53

unlikely to get it either this is

play22:55

unprecedented in French politics at

play22:57

least in the current regime so there's

play23:00

big changes happening in France I asked

play23:01

him some more about like what would the

play23:03

effect on Ukraine be here and he said

play23:04

well no the IR National rally they at

play23:06

least publicly is saying that they you

play23:08

know support Ukraine but there may be

play23:10

some pullback there as well but it is

play23:13

going to have of course a lot of

play23:14

domestic changes in France as well and

play23:18

macron may have to look internally and

play23:19

go right what is happening that is

play23:21

unpopular here and I guess you guys can

play23:24

figure out yourselves what is happening

play23:26

in France but this came out from the

play23:29

guardian 2 French president Emanuel

play23:30

macron and US President Joe Biden have

play23:32

aligned their country's support for

play23:33

Ukraine and opposition to Russia during

play23:34

Biden say visit it a joint Roat released

play23:37

by The Presidents included a commitment

play23:38

to support efforts to use frozen Russian

play23:40

assets to help keep so not that money

play23:43

that is frozen but whatever money is

play23:45

created on top of that that then that

play23:47

can go through to Ukraine and many

play23:50

people have pointed out problems

play23:51

happening here and then could it

play23:53

undermine things like the Euro the pound

play23:55

the dollar for foreign investment

play23:58

especially people talking Chinese money

play24:01

tapping profits from Russian assets has

play24:03

drawn concerns from countries but a US

play24:05

Treasury official said this week that

play24:06

the US and G7 Partners were making

play24:08

progress Biden said if Putin succeeds in

play24:09

this war with Ukraine that he'll not

play24:11

stop there it's about much more than

play24:12

Ukraine again this is being pushed and

play24:15

pushed and pushed but we just don't see

play24:17

that being the reality on the ground if

play24:19

Putin could even if he wanted to and

play24:23

push through here the military might is

play24:26

not there it's just not EX resistant um

play24:30

and again even if you believe every word

play24:32

that comes out of Putin well then he

play24:34

hasn't said that either so I believe

play24:36

both sides we talk about this every time

play24:39

either way you look at this Russian

play24:41

military doesn't have the power to push

play24:42

through anywhere in NATO and on the

play24:46

other side if you believe Putin he has

play24:47

not said that he wants to do that it

play24:49

it's about much more than Ukraine all of

play24:51

Europe will be threatened but we're not

play24:52

going to let that happen the United

play24:53

States is standing strong with Ukraine

play24:54

we're standing with our allies and we're

play24:56

standing with France well I guess you

play24:58

could train more than 12 Pilots at once

play25:02

but it it is an interesting wording I

play25:04

don't know if it is uh the best way to

play25:08

get support saying that Russia has goals

play25:12

to threaten the rest of Europe because I

play25:14

don't think critical thinkers believe it

play25:18

I I people people going well they're

play25:19

struggling in the east of Ukraine they

play25:21

haven't captured areas of which they

play25:23

wanted to now 2 and a half years into

play25:25

the war but regardless let that is it uh

play25:29

for today I hope that you're having a

play25:31

great day and that I'll speak to you

play25:32

tomorrow thank you bye-bye

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