ICT Charter Price Action Model 6 - Algorithmic Theory

The Inner Circle Trader
29 Jan 202430:32

Summary

TLDRこの動画スクリプトは、市場メーカーの売モデルと買モデル、そしてその繰り返し性(フラクタル性)について説明しています。講師は、市場の価格動きを予測し、取引を行うためのユニバーサルトレーディングモデル(モデル番号6)を紹介しています。価格が特定のレベルまで上がる理由を理解することが重要であり、市場メーカーの蓄積段階と再蓄積段階を探し、それを取引に利用する方法を解説しています。また、講師は、市場の価格行動を理解し、このフレームワークを活用することの重要性を強調しています。

Takeaways

  • 📈 市場メーカーの売モデルと買モデルは、どの時間枠にも現れることができますが、価格が特定のレベルまで上がる理由を説明するナレティブが必要です。
  • 💡 市場の価格が特定のレベルに引き上がるためには、ナレティブがない限り、そのレベルには到達しません。
  • 🔍 市場メーカーの売モデルを分析する際には、最も高い時間枠から最も低い時間枠まで順に探査し、価格が特定のプレミア配列に引き上がるためのナレティブを探します。
  • 📊 市場メーカーの売モデルの2つの蓄積段階があり、価格が市場価格から予想されるレベルまで上昇する場合、2回目の再蓄積段階を探査することが重要です。
  • 🎯 売 SHORT ポジションを開く際には、市場価格がチャートの前にあり、市場が短くポジションを開く前に十分な範囲がある場合、市場メーカーの売モデルの買側曲線を使用することが考えられます。
  • 🌐 YouTubeチャンネルやTwitterアカウントで、市場メーカーの買モデルと売モデルの例を公開していますが、それらは秘密の解釈や例ではありません。
  • 📝 経験を積むことで、これらのモデルがどのように機能し、どのように適用されるかを理解することができます。
  • 🛠️ 市場の価格が特定のレベルに到達する理由を理解し、それに応じて取引を行うことが、成功の鍵となります。
  • 📈 市場メーカーの買モデルの買側曲線を分析する際には、価格が市場メーカーの売モデルの買側曲線に基づいて動くことを期待しています。
  • 🔄 市場の価格が上がる前に、下がるべきであると予測される場合、その予測に沿った取引を行うことができます。
  • 🌟 これらの概念を学ぶことで、どの時間枠でも取引を行うことができますが、経験と理解がなければ、成功は難しいです。

Q & A

  • このスクリプトはどのようなトピックを扱っていますか?

    -このスクリプトは、モデル番号6のユニバーサルトレーディングにおける市場メーカーの売モデルと買モデル、低抵抗の流動性ランとフラクタルについて説明しています。

  • 市場メーカーのモデルはどの時間枠で形成される可能性がありますか?

    -市場メーカーのモデルは、どの時間枠でも形成される可能性がありますが、その背後には必ずしもロジックがあるわけではありません。

  • 市場メーカーの売モデルにおいて、蓄積の2つの段階とは何ですか?

    -市場メーカーの売モデルにおける蓄積の2つの段階は、価格が市場価格から特定のレベルまで上昇する「プレミアム配列」へと引き上げられるためのストーリー或者说はロジックを形成するプロセスです。

  • トレーダーが市場の短売りを探している場合、どのように戦略を立てるべきですか?

    -市場の短売りを探している場合、トレーダーはまず時間枠を高い順から低い順に見て、価格が特定のキーレベルまで引き上げられるためのストーリーを探し、市場メーカーの売モデルの買側のカーブ(青色の影)を使用することができます。

  • スクリプトの中で言及された「プレミアム配列」とは何ですか?

    -「プレミアム配列」とは、市場価格が上昇する目標レベルであり、市場メーカーが価格を引き上げることによって形成されるストーリー或者说はロジックの一部です。

  • トレーディングにおいて「ファアバリュギャップ」とは何を指すのですか?

    -「ファアバリュギャップ」とは、市場が予想される価値と異なる価値に戻るために形成される価格ギャップを指します。これは、市場の不均衡を利用するトレーディング戦略の一形態です。

  • スクリプトの作者はなぜ「ファアバリュギャップ」を信頼するのか説明していますか?

    -作者は、ファアバリュギャップが他の要因(例えば市場の傾向や時間帯、季節性の傾向など)と一致している場合にのみそれを信頼するようにしています。

  • 「市場メーカーの買いモデル」において、価格がどのように動くことが予想されますか?

    -「市場メーカーの買いモデル」では、価格が市場メーカーの売りモデルの買側のカーブを通過しながら、低抵抗の流動性ランを形成し、フラクタルパターンを経て「プレミアム配列」に向かって動くことが予想されます。

  • トレーダーが市場の動きを予測するために使用する主要な要素は何ですか?

    -トレーダーは、市場の動きを予測するために、市場メーカーの買いモデルと売りモデル、蓄積と再蓄積の段階、ファアバリュギャップ、価格の動向とトレンドを理解し、これらの要素を組み合わせて市場の動きを予測します。

  • トレーディングにおいて「ピラミディング」とは何を意味しますか?

    -「ピラミディング」とは、既存のポジションが利益を生むようになった後に、より多くのポジションを追加することです。これは、市場が予測された方向に動く場合、利益を最大化するための戦術です。

  • トレーダーが失敗を経験した場合、どのようにすべきですか?

    -トレーダーが失敗を経験した場合、それは学習の機会であり、失敗を通じてより多くの知識を得るべきです。失敗を恐れず、継続的に市場に関与し、経験を積むことで、トレーディングスキルを向上させることができます。

Outlines

00:00

📈 取引モデル6と市場メーカーの売モデル

この段落では、取引モデル6と市場メーカーの売モデルについて説明されています。市場メーカーのモデルは時間軸に依存せずに形成されるファクタル特性を持ち、特定の価格レベルまで価格を引き上げるためのストーリーラインが重要であることが強調されています。講師は、市場の売モデルを分析し、価格が特定のレベルまで上昇するためのナレティブを見つけるプロセスを説明しています。また、市場の買いサイドでの取引戦略とその応用方法についても議論されています。

05:02

📊 市場の買いモデルとエントリー戦略

この段落では、市場の買いモデルとエントリー戦略の活用方法について説明されています。市場メーカーの蓄積フェーズを利用して、異なるエントリー戦略を適用する方法が提案されています。講師は、目標価格に向かっての価格動きを予測し、エントリーポイントを選び出す方法を詳細に説明しています。また、経験を積むことで、これらの概念をより効果的に活用できるようになると強調されています。

10:02

📉 市場の売モデルと価格の動向

この段落では、市場の売モデルと価格の動向に関する分析が行われています。市場メーカーの買いモデルの低抵抗な流動性ランとファクタルについても触れられています。講師は、市場の売側カーブを使用して、価格が上昇する前に下落する可能性があることを示しています。また、市場の動きがどのように予測されるか、そしてその予測に基づいて取引を行う方法についても説明されています。

15:05

🔄 市場の蓄積と再蓄積のパターン

この段落では、市場の蓄積と再蓄積のパターンが詳細に説明されています。市場が下落して再び上昇するプロセスを通じて、買いモデルがどのように形成されるかが解説されています。講師は、価格が短期的な市場構造の変化を通じて、どのように蓄積と再蓄積を経験するかについて説明し、その過程での取引の機会についても触れています。

20:07

🌐 時間軸にかかわらずの取引の柔軟性

この段落では、時間軸に関係なく取引を行う柔軟性について強調されています。講師は、市場メーカーの買いモデルと売モデルがどのように異なる時間軸で適用され、それに応じて取引を行う方法を説明しています。さらに、市場の動きを予測し、それに応じて取引を行うために必要な経験と知識の重要性についても議論されています。

25:09

💡 取引の成長と成功への道

最後の段落では、取引の成長と成功への道について話しています。講師は、初心者が直面する困難や障害を理解し、それを成長の痛みとして捉える重要性について述べています。また、失敗を通じて学び、経験を積むことが成功につながる理由を説明しています。最後には、継続的な努力と忍耐が必要な取引の世界での成功の秘訣と呼ばれています。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡algorithmic discussion

「アルゴリズム的議論」とは、このビデオスクリプトにおいて、市場取引におけるアルゴリズムやモデルの適用とその効果についての詳細な説明を指します。この議論は、マーケットメーカーの売モデルや買いモデル、そしてそれらがどの時間枠で形成されるかについても取り上げています。

💡market maker

「マーケットメーカー」とは、金融市場において価格の形成や流動性の提供を行う業者を指します。このビデオでは、マーケットメーカーが売買モデルを通じて市場価格をどのように操作するかについて説明されています。

💡low resistance liquidity runs

「低リジスタンス流動性ラン」とは、市場がリジスタンスレベルを突破し、その動きを続ける際に発生する現象を指します。このスクリプトでは、マーケットメーカーがどのようにして価格を特定のレベルまで引き上げる戦略を用いるかを説明する上で、この現象が重要です。

💡fractals

「フракタル」とは、複雑系において繰り返し現れるパターンや構造を指します。このビデオでは、マーケットメーカーの売買モデルがどの時間枠でも形成される可能性があることを示すために、フラクタルの概念が使用されています。

💡accumulation

「蓄積」とは、市場において特定の価格レベルに買い注文が集中し、価格の上昇を促す現象を指します。このビデオでは、マーケットメーカーが価格を目標レベルまで引き上げるために蓄積の段階を経ることについて説明されています。

💡premium array

「プレミアム配列」とは、特定の価格レベルにおいて、市場が高い評価を付けるべき取引の範囲を指します。このビデオでは、マーケットメーカーが価格をこの「プレミアム配列」に引き上げる戦略を用いる過程が説明されています。

💡fair value gap

「フェアバリューギャップ」とは、市場の公平な価値と現在の価格との差を指します。このビデオでは、フェアバリューギャップがどのように形成され、それを利用して取引を行う方法について説明されています。

💡pyramiding entries

「ピラミディングエントリー」とは、成功した取引に基づいて追加の買い入れを行うことで、利益を最大化する取引戦略を指します。このビデオでは、適切なタイミングでこの手法を使うことの重要性が強調されています。

💡narrative

「ナレティブ」とは、市場の動きや価格の変動を説明するストーリーや理論を指します。このビデオでは、市場の動きがどのように予測されるか、そしてその背後にあるロジックを説明することが重要です。

💡time frames

「時間枠」とは、市場取引において、データやイベントが発生する特定の時間間隔を指します。このビデオでは、異なる時間枠でのマーケットメーカーの売買モデルの形成や、それらのモデルをどのように利用するかについて説明されています。

💡risk management

「リスク管理」とは、取引において潜在的な損失を最小限に抑えるための戦略や手順を指します。このビデオでは、損切り(stop loss)の設定や、利益を確保するための適切な取引管理が重要です。

Highlights

The lecture focuses on the universal trading model for market maker sell models, particularly on the buy side and low resistance liquidity runs.

Fractals can appear and form on any time frame, but the logic of the narrative is essential for price movement.

Market maker sell models consist of two stages of accumulation, which can be utilized for bullish price runs.

When looking for short entries, the buy side of the market maker sell model can be considered if there's enough range.

Examples of using the market maker sell model can be found on the speaker's YouTube channel and Twitter account.

The universal trading model is based on years of experience and offers flexibility in reading price movements.

The speaker used the model with the S&P e-mini Futures June contract for 2022, focusing on accumulation and reaccumulation up to a premium array.

The framework of accumulation and reaccumulation can be applied to various entry strategies and market conditions.

The speaker emphasizes the importance of journaling and annotating charts for better understanding and application of the trading models.

Pyramiding entries is based on the presence of an unrealized range in the market, indicating potential for further price movement.

The market maker buy model involves identifying first and second stage accumulation before a market cell model turning point.

The speaker advises traders to focus on setups that repeat consistently and fit their trading bias and time frame preference.

The concept of fair value gaps and how to trust them in trading is explained with specific examples.

The speaker shares a recent example from Twitter, demonstrating how price consolidation and market structure shifts can be analyzed using the trading model.

The importance of having a narrative that fits the price action and using multiple confluences for trading decisions is emphasized.

The trading model is applicable across various time frames, from 15-second charts to monthly charts, offering traders flexibility.

The speaker encourages traders to learn from their mistakes, viewing them as growth opportunities rather than failures.

Transcripts

play00:00

all right folks this is going to be our

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algorithmic discussion in lecture for

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model number six universal trading

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specifically dealing with the buy side

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low resistance liquidity runs and

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fractals all right so obviously without

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going through all of

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the details as I've already done in

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previous videos for this

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model in the time that you've been

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spending with me obviously you can see

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that there are lots of Market maker sell

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models Market maker buy models and

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because they're fractal that means they

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can appear and form on any time frame

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but without the logic of the narrative

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why should it go up to a specific level

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okay uh we're looking at a market maker

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sell model here and there are two stages

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of

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accumulation when I'm looking for a

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price run from whatever the market price

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would be and say I'm bull bullish the

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first thing I'm doing is I'm going

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through the time frames highest to

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lowest and I'm looking for some kind

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of narrative that would be utilized for

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the price to be drawn up to a specific

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key level as a form of a premium

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array now if I go into the marketplace

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and I'm looking

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for shorts and I have

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room before where the market price is at

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the time of me in front of the chart and

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where I think the Market's going to

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create that short entry if there's

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enough range there I'll always consider

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using the buy side of the curve of a

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market maker sell model that's basically

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like the blue shaded area here and I may

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not get the first accumulation so what

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I'll look for many times is the second

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stage of reaccumulation that sets me up

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a run up into that premium array there's

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examples of me on my YouTube channel

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when I used to do it on you on YouTube

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and have since deleted some videos

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obviously cuz they had music in them

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back in the old days on on Twitter I

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would show examples of me buying and

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selling the same instrument and it was

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me

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using what I'm showing you here okay um

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so it's not a matter of me getting in

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front of you with a chart and walking

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you through it because there's so many

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examples and so

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many

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variables this is why I dou a universal

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trading model because you're going to

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learn over years of experience okay even

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if I showed you an example every single

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day it still won't scratch the surface

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of the

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flexibility knowing how to read price

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and utilizing this framework will give

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you if you're looking at say the

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Market's trading

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here and say it's the S&P okay um I used

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this idea this morning with the S&P e

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mini Futures June contract for

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2022 and accumulation reaccumulation up

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to a premium array now the problem I had

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at the time was I was not sure exactly

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where the premium array was but I knew

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it was going to draw up higher because

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we were failing to make a lower low and

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it should have broke at 8:30 news and

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tapped into the cell side low the

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marketplace it didn't do that so I seen

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the shift in Market structure something

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to this effect came back down into a

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fair value Gap it even overshot the fair

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value Gap but I was still confident that

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the trade would likely pan out

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because there was a reason for it to go

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to a premium we were already at a

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discount ahead of the 930 opening for

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S&P so I was using this framework here

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accumulation reaccumulation but I did

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not

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know with any certainty as to what the

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objective would be on the upside so I

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just used a nice easy objective a fair

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value Gap below an old high which

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happened to get run out later on so I

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didn't get the actual Run highest exit

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strategy or price point but I didn't

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need it okay so I was using this

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Universal trading model model number six

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using the buy side of the curve of a

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market maker sell model and that's a

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whole lot of stuff coming out of my

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mouth but if you've been with me long

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enough everything I just said makes

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sense to you but this is also what I

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meant when we would get into the

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algorithmic theory because it won't help

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anybody that has already gone through

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the content and studied and been with me

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under my wing for at least the minimum

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of a year

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so I want to counsel you to go through

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all time frames each week like go

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through find price runs that have a nice

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sell-off or a rally from them beginning

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at a specific price point and then

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backtrack that and see if there is a

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market maker buy or sell model that's

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linked to that and you're going to find

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it most of the time that's the case so

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when we're looking at first stage and

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second stage accumulation before the

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turning point of a market cell model you

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can use for instance that market

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maker accumulation phase

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here and

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hunt the YouTube model that is our model

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13 entry strategy or you can use a

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simple fair value Gap that's over here

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it's coming back down and that's your

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long there and the same thing here so I

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want you to think about how you can

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utilize entry strategies with this

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premise in mind but generally you want

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to know where it's reaching

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for some some kind of a Target some kind

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of a premium array

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and I know that the folks that went

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through 2021 that rushed through it

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especially the folks that paid an

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accelerated Pace uh they're not going to

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get that much from these videos it's

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going to going to feel incomplete or

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disjointed and it's only because you

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don't know what you should know before

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watching these videos so in other

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words the algorithmic theory videos are

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really like

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the conversation that I would have if we

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were having like a workshop for the full

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week and each day I was teaching

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components and ideas and how each thing

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fits together and what you should be

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looking for and what you shouldn't be

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looking for and how to navigate this and

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what to back here and there you should

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have things under your belt already so

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that way when I'm casually talking about

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things and giving you my best advice for

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what you should have gleaned from all of

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this being under my mentorship is

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primarily that all these things fit

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together you can't fit them together yet

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because you're so new at doing this but

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if you focus on the fact that you can't

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do it right now and you get frustrated

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with it it will keep you from from ever

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getting good at doing it and you just

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got to continuously press into it back

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testing seeing

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examples journaling okay that's the

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number one thing journaling and

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annotating your charts

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so obviously the concepts work obviously

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this model is you know the closest thing

play07:20

to what I actually doing in my trading

play07:22

without actually giving you my actual

play07:24

trading model uh but this is very very

play07:27

close to it and you can see I absolutely

play07:29

lean on

play07:31

these teaching models to show you what I

play07:35

can with the language I created without

play07:38

divulging too much so when I show my

play07:42

examples you can clearly see the logic

play07:44

in these Market maker buy models and

play07:46

sell models you can see the logic of me

play07:48

entering and pyramiding entries okay

play07:52

when I'm doing more entries except for

play07:55

uh times where it doesn't give me an

play07:56

opportunity to do a pyramiding and when

play08:00

would that be if we know that the market

play08:03

has already ran up okay and say I have a

play08:05

Target or a premium array up here and it

play08:08

runs up at least above 50% of the run

play08:13

from where I'm thinking the market

play08:15

starts it's run to a premium but it runs

play08:19

50% of that then it retraces I'm going

play08:23

to assume at that moment that we're only

play08:25

going to have one stage of

play08:27

accumulation that means I can't do any

play08:30

pyramiding so when I'm looking at a run

play08:33

from market price to a premium I'm

play08:36

anticipating this type of run

play08:38

here but I needed to have at least two

play08:42

stages where I can't pyramid so if I'm

play08:46

going long in here and then I get this

play08:48

long here I can pyramid or if I go long

play08:51

here and it runs up and falls short and

play08:53

starts to retrace then I can pyramid

play08:55

again because I know we have yet to

play08:56

reach the premium rate for terminus

play08:59

so I'm not trying

play09:01

to Pyramid for the sake of pyramiding it

play09:04

has to have an unrealized range still in

play09:06

the marketplace meaning unrealized is

play09:09

like from here to the Target I was

play09:11

looking for or from this low to the

play09:13

Target I'm looking for that's unrealized

play09:15

range so that

play09:17

doesn't mean that you are going to get

play09:20

that objective it just means in my

play09:22

thought process the inner dialogue is is

play09:24

I'm looking for runs that will hopefully

play09:28

give me a fair value Gap institution

play09:29

order entry drill a short-term cell stop

play09:33

run and then

play09:35

rally

play09:38

so by having these

play09:41

ideas and utilizing what I've taught you

play09:44

from conceptual entry strategies to

play09:47

money management and also

play09:49

pyramiding they all come together when

play09:52

you have the experience behind you to

play09:55

see them before they

play09:57

form and it sounds l it sounds you

play10:02

know

play10:03

mythical but you've seen many examples

play10:06

and just you know in the small little

play10:08

vignettes I do on my now Twitter account

play10:11

again you can see it you can see the

play10:12

examples that I show on the YouTube

play10:14

channel because I make those examples

play10:17

always public there's never been any

play10:20

secret private interpretations or

play10:22

examples shown just in the mentorship

play10:25

okay I might amplify things that I've

play10:27

shown publicly but I'm not really doing

play10:29

anything in here that's private because

play10:32

I want every bit of the evidence I'm

play10:34

ever going to submit it's going to be in

play10:36

public record

play10:38

so when we have these moments where it

play10:41

gives you at least two stages of

play10:43

accumulation and we're

play10:45

bullish you may elect to only trade on

play10:48

this side and may not want to trade

play10:51

short up here that's

play10:53

fine for the

play10:55

aggressive Dynamo okay and I'm sure all

play10:58

of you especially young guys are wanting

play11:00

to do that because you seen what I've

play11:02

done and it seems like

play11:05

Elite you know status where you're

play11:08

buying selling it near the high and then

play11:10

shorting it riding it down to a low

play11:12

covering and buying again riding up to a

play11:14

short-term High that's phenomenal

play11:16

trading okay I'm not going to pull any

play11:19

punches to be able to do that you're

play11:21

really dialed

play11:23

in you aren't going to be able to do

play11:25

that right away but utilizing what I've

play11:28

taught you

play11:29

you can go and grow into

play11:33

that well measure of

play11:36

aptitude but trying to rush to do it

play11:39

right away for the sake of being able to

play11:40

say I can do it like ICT or I can do it

play11:42

because you know I'm better than

play11:44

everybody else that shouldn't be the

play11:46

motivation the motivation should be can

play11:49

I find a setup that's repeating all the

play11:52

time from here or here to a level that

play11:55

you know repeats with my

play11:57

consistency

play12:00

am I able to find that type of framework

play12:02

and if you only have one stage of

play12:04

accumulation

play12:05

here you know that you're going to

play12:07

probably be in a parabolic price run

play12:10

unless you're bearish and it's going to

play12:11

in a hurry to get to that level just to

play12:13

go down so that means you'll be pressing

play12:18

more on the cell side which we'll talk

play12:19

about in model number seven's

play12:21

algorithmic

play12:24

Theory so using the examples you from

play12:28

when I showed on Twitter this morning uh

play12:31

May 31st

play12:33

2022 you can see prices consolidating in

play12:36

here

play12:39

and I felt that they could have taken

play12:41

this high but I was more interested in

play12:43

the relative equal highs here admittedly

play12:46

but ended up going above and sweeping

play12:49

that so I was bullish because we did not

play12:51

take out the cell side here we went down

play12:53

real close to it and we had a fair value

play12:56

Gap in here so I was thinking okay I I

play12:58

want to be buying in the fair value gap

play13:00

which I did my stop was just below the

play13:02

low and it got close but I was confident

play13:05

that it wasn't going to do it because it

play13:06

should have already ran it and the fact

play13:08

that it was being very slow and

play13:10

lethargic about it and it was ahead of

play13:13

the 9:30 opening so 8:30 news couldn't

play13:16

push us

play13:18

down okay so here's 8:30 we went lower

play13:21

here and then we rallied up short-term

play13:23

shift in Market structure with a fair

play13:26

value Gap going long stop loss below the

play13:29

swing low that's

play13:31

it Watch What Happens though it rallies

play13:35

offers me

play13:37

profitability what's

play13:41

this it's returning back to the original

play13:43

consolidation

play13:45

right so this is first stage of

play13:50

accumulation you could be a buyer there

play13:53

with the expectation that we would

play13:55

run relative equal highs or best case

play13:57

scenario which I was was not expecting I

play14:00

felt it could happen but my interest was

play14:03

really lying here

play14:05

initially so you could be a buy here

play14:07

with that Target

play14:09

there and here's second stage

play14:12

accumulation here Fair a gap drops down

play14:15

into it and then delivers to the premium

play14:18

array and then what happens the cell

play14:21

side of the curve

play14:22

begins and it takes off and trades

play14:25

aggressively lower taking out the

play14:27

original consolidation and digging into

play14:29

a deeper pool of

play14:35

liquidity when the market maker buy

play14:37

model focusing on the buy side low

play14:40

resistance liity runs and

play14:42

fractals we're looking for instances

play14:44

where we expected the market to turn

play14:46

down here okay and as luck would have it

play14:50

I have another example of that

play14:51

today so the market trades down into a

play14:54

level that I think or you'll interpret

play14:56

it as a discount and then you wait wait

play14:58

for some measure of reversal okay a

play15:02

shift in Market structure a lowrisk buy

play15:05

and then

play15:06

accumulation and then reaccumulation

play15:08

second stage and it runs to clear the

play15:11

original consolidation for that

play15:14

liquidity this pattern if you haven't

play15:17

already noticed and I should have

play15:18

mentioned this on the previous

play15:20

slide talking about the market maker

play15:23

cell model but it's interchangeable

play15:26

everything is reversed in terms of the

play15:28

logic but this could be a weekly

play15:32

profile this could be an intraday

play15:35

profile this could be a monthly profile

play15:38

so other words all these price swings

play15:43

are

play15:43

fractal but the expectation of what is

play15:47

it doing it's consolidating here to go

play15:49

down why is it going to go down it's

play15:51

going to go down to go higher that's

play15:55

narrative going in a consolidation

play15:58

breaks in retracing back here is it

play16:00

retracing here to go higher than this or

play16:03

is it retracing just to go short it's

play16:05

retracing just to go short so that's

play16:07

distribution first stage

play16:10

distribution second stage

play16:12

distribution so when we get down to this

play16:15

level here we're looking for a point at

play16:18

which price basically proves to us that

play16:20

it wants to go higher and then it take

play16:22

place in in the form of a short-term

play16:24

Market structure shift and you can

play16:27

utilize what I've taught on YouTube

play16:28

Channel model for that to make it very

play16:31

simple and

play16:32

simplistic then we wait for evidence

play16:34

that shows us that it wants to go higher

play16:36

so every time there's a point

play16:39

of up candles on the cell side of the

play16:42

curve that means the lowest point to the

play16:44

left here is a point at which there's up

play16:47

closed candles or what would be expected

play16:49

as up closed candles prior to that move

play16:51

lower same thing here up closed candle

play16:53

somewhere in this price

play16:55

swing we carry them across the curve

play16:57

that means this Turning Point here this

play17:01

level here we carry that through the

play17:02

curve as well so we're looking for a

play17:04

retrac back down into an old area

play17:06

distribution becomes an new level of

play17:09

accumulation so first stage accumulation

play17:11

is here you can be a buyer and the

play17:13

second stage reaccumulation that's where

play17:16

the most dynamic price move is going to

play17:17

occur and then it

play17:19

rallies so I'm looking for this

play17:22

phenomenon to occur in every time frame

play17:24

I'm looking

play17:25

at if I can find it it fits The

play17:29

Narrative of why I think price should be

play17:31

doing what it's

play17:32

doing and it fits a bias that I feel

play17:35

comfortable with trading with a high

play17:36

time frame bias behind me and it's time

play17:40

of day and day of week and it's maybe

play17:44

even a seasonal tendency not say you

play17:46

have to have that but that even helps a

play17:48

lot more then it gives me the confidence

play17:51

to be able to take the trades and like I

play17:53

get a lot of questions still by members

play17:55

from the 2016 group how do I know to

play17:58

trust the fair value Gap well it has to

play18:00

fit this kind of logic here and if I get

play18:02

a fair value Gap in here that overlaps

play18:04

with a old area of distribution I'm

play18:07

going to trust that fair Bay Gap isn't

play18:09

going to be broken to the downside and

play18:11

just you know break lower if it does

play18:13

that's okay I'm paying a stop loss to do

play18:14

its

play18:16

job same thing over here if I see an old

play18:19

area of distribution now becoming an old

play18:23

area of distribution now

play18:26

reaccumulation that is an area I'm going

play18:28

to trust because I have the narrative

play18:31

that were're likely to go above these

play18:32

highs we went down to go up we showed a

play18:36

shift in Market structure we showed

play18:37

accumulation in here now we're in an

play18:39

area where it should reaccumulate so if

play18:41

there's a fair value Gap in here I'm

play18:43

going to or institutional order FL entry

play18:45

drill I'm going to take that trade with

play18:47

the expectation that I don't think it's

play18:49

going to close in the Gap and over

play18:52

overlap it and go lower in other words

play18:54

so I'm trusting it because I have other

play18:56

confluences behind me so I'm not going

play18:59

into the marketplace with this one of

play19:01

these ideas that I'm teaching you and

play19:03

that's all there is to it that's not

play19:05

what I want you to view in my

play19:08

interpretation of price action I don't

play19:10

want you to make a a model out of one

play19:12

thing just the fair value Gap Al loan is

play19:14

useless in the hands of a neoy so you

play19:16

have to have all these things behind you

play19:19

and if you just look at the comments in

play19:21

my Twitter or my YouTube channel the

play19:24

folks that are just now trying to learn

play19:26

how to do this they're rushing the go

play19:27

air and trade with live funds they're

play19:30

making mistakes because they're I I

play19:31

thought I saw this fair value Gap here

play19:33

or they'll send me a message and they

play19:35

want me to more less coign their trade

play19:37

that was always the case even in the

play19:39

mentorship groups here people would

play19:41

always send me emails and they largely

play19:43

would go

play19:44

ignored because they want me to give

play19:47

them a seal of approval I don't have

play19:50

time to sit down and look at everybody's

play19:51

emails number one

play19:53

two if I tell you or if I give anybody

play19:56

else feedback about their trade it's not

play19:58

their their trait is my tradeit and

play20:00

you're not going to learn anything

play20:01

except for COD depends so you have to go

play20:04

through the process and it's not easy

play20:07

this is the hard part the work of going

play20:10

through when it doesn't feel like you're

play20:11

ever going to get it's that's the normal

play20:13

process with anything that's technical

play20:16

anything worth having or knowing is is

play20:18

always going to come with a great deal

play20:19

of hardship

play20:22

and well

play20:24

adversities but it's worth it folks it

play20:27

really is worth it and times are about

play20:29

to get really really difficult and if

play20:31

you can find yourself in a position

play20:33

where you can at least make half of what

play20:36

you normally make it your job if not

play20:37

replace the entire income that is going

play20:39

to be a blessing but you don't want to

play20:41

put all of your expectations on one

play20:45

individual thing that I taught you like

play20:47

a fair value Gap or an order block or an

play20:48

optimal trade entry or institutional

play20:51

order for entry drill you you're

play20:53

hopefully doing the work behind the

play20:55

scenes and looking for this overall

play20:57

price structure here but focusing on the

play21:00

buy side of the curve when it's a market

play21:02

make a sell model and it should have con

play21:04

down to these levels here to go higher

play21:05

anyway that's

play21:07

narrative in other words it's going down

play21:09

digging in deeper it creates a

play21:11

short-term low starts to Rally so that

play21:13

way what retail want to buy it goes down

play21:15

a little bit lower stops those

play21:16

individuals out and then starts to do it

play21:17

one more time and they think okay I was

play21:19

wrong I was a little bit premature let

play21:20

me go and buy it again and they put

play21:22

their stop loss R below here and they

play21:23

run it out again then goes into the

play21:25

level that we would be expecting this

play21:27

could be a larger higher time frame fair

play21:30

value Gap it could be an order block it

play21:31

could be a breaker okay or it could be

play21:34

just simply an old high being returned

play21:36

backed into and those ideas are going to

play21:41

be linked to your unique model there's

play21:46

like I said there's tons and tons of

play21:47

trade ideas and opportunities each month

play21:50

and each week and several of them in day

play21:54

and even though you're all learning

play21:55

these Concepts collectively as a

play21:57

community

play21:59

you're going to be hard pressed to find

play22:01

you know a dozen Traders doing the same

play22:03

thing at the same entry price same stop

play22:05

level same Target because they're

play22:07

bringing in their individual

play22:10

personality but these things I'm showing

play22:12

you these are the blueprints these are

play22:15

the the framework in which you look for

play22:17

the setups and justify why you're doing

play22:19

an anticipating price doing a specific

play22:22

thing and it doesn't fit this criteria

play22:26

here then chances you probably are doing

play22:29

something that's forced or

play22:31

it's well it's simply not in the

play22:34

market and if the market starts to move

play22:37

from the level we expect down here and

play22:39

we expect it to run up here as a Target

play22:42

above the original consolidation if

play22:44

that's the case and we have one price

play22:47

run up above 50% of that range between

play22:50

the high and the low here and it starts

play22:52

to retrace then I'm thinking we're only

play22:53

going to have one stage of accumulation

play22:57

so I can't do any pyramiding here but if

play23:00

I have one here and goes about halfway

play23:02

or a little bit less and pulls back down

play23:04

in then I know I have a chance to

play23:06

Pyramid so I can do along here say maybe

play23:11

10 contracts of the S&P then I can do

play23:14

five here and if it gives me some kind

play23:17

of little institutional order inry drill

play23:18

here right before it runs out the highs

play23:21

and I think it's going to be moving

play23:22

higher not just here then I could add

play23:25

another two contracts so it' be 10 10 5

play23:28

and two or 10 5 and

play23:31

three something to that effect okay

play23:36

and that's pretty much what I'm doing

play23:38

like I'm going through the process of

play23:40

looking for this structure in price that

play23:42

meets in in agrees with the narrative

play23:45

I'm expecting for price for that

play23:46

particular session or that particular

play23:48

day or that particular week okay because

play23:51

these

play23:52

profiles these Market maker buy models

play23:54

and sell models they're not limited to

play23:56

any one particular time frame but the

play23:58

logic behind them and when you're

play24:00

looking for specific things of

play24:01

accumulation or distribution they have

play24:04

to meet what I explained and it's not

play24:07

woff okay it is very specific elements

play24:11

that have to balance themselves out

play24:13

based on what side of the curve price is

play24:18

on all right &p again same thing this

play24:21

morning uh this is a chart I shared on

play24:24

my Twitter feed beforehand I mentioned

play24:27

that we would see these stops here taken

play24:31

and once it was cleared out we would

play24:34

expect price to and I would rather

play24:36

expect to see price trade above the 4143

play24:39

and a half so buy side resting over here

play24:43

if you looked at the first example shown

play24:45

in this algorithmic discussion this was

play24:48

the first stage of accumulation second

play24:50

stage accumulation and then it hits the

play24:52

premium array okay which is the old high

play24:54

back here went just about the gray line

play24:56

here that's what it's doing now this

play24:58

becomes an area of buy side liquidity

play24:59

after the market breaks down notice

play25:01

there is no

play25:03

real retracements for first stage or

play25:06

second stage

play25:08

distribution so because of that this

play25:12

decline down here was just them running

play25:15

out sell side and then they gave one

play25:18

more instance where they created a low

play25:20

anybody was long they knock those

play25:22

individuals out because they engineered

play25:23

liquidity then it started the rally we

play25:26

had a fair value Gap in here rallied

play25:28

fair value Gap here rallied went back

play25:31

into the last fair value Gap here and

play25:33

then

play25:35

dropped to an area of cell

play25:38

sign what is

play25:41

this what's this right here that's an

play25:44

original consolidation that's below the

play25:47

buy side here so when I was watching

play25:49

price I'm looking at this as okay this

play25:51

is a market maker buy model so I want to

play25:54

be buying on the buy side of the curve

play25:56

that means it's got to turn around so

play25:58

I'm waiting immediately I bought early

play26:00

over here and I had to weather this my

play26:03

stop was not touched obviously but as it

play26:07

dropped down I could have easily had a

play26:09

losing trade but the logic was still

play26:11

there the market went down cleared out

play26:13

that level again and then got to this

play26:15

price point here and I tweeted this

play26:17

chart I said this is where I think it's

play26:20

going to go and there it is we've now

play26:24

we're ready to go higher because we've

play26:25

taken the sell side out so money has

play26:28

accumulated down here all the sell stops

play26:31

where do they want to get out at above

play26:33

here where I took a partial and above

play26:35

here where the buy side liquidity

play26:38

is so in this little fractal here I'm

play26:42

expecting a market maker buy model to

play26:45

form so here is the one minute chart and

play26:48

we're looking at that same

play26:50

consolidation and the old high that I

play26:52

think is going to be taken out on buy

play26:54

side and the market has this area of

play26:58

old

play26:59

distribution becomes a new level of

play27:01

accumulation over here so here's the

play27:03

curve sell side of the curve here to the

play27:06

right of it is the buy side of the curve

play27:08

smart money reversal lowrisk

play27:11

buy

play27:14

accumulation reaccumulation second stage

play27:17

and then you see the extrapolated price

play27:19

run so the buy side is targeted there

play27:23

the original consolidation is here so we

play27:25

have initial draw here and then

play27:29

here first stage

play27:31

accumulation second stage reaccumulation

play27:35

That Swing Low sets the stage for that

play27:36

Dynamic price run all the energy is

play27:39

there on the second one and it runs us

play27:41

up into here and here and I basically

play27:44

outlined this whole thing with a simple

play27:47

discussion with what I expected on

play27:49

Twitter without going through the

play27:51

mechanics of everything I'm showing you

play27:54

here now more specific we can can drop

play27:57

down to a 15-second chart which I had

play28:00

available to me and I'm not going to

play28:03

share this obviously because it would be

play28:04

teaching mentorship on Twitter and I'm

play28:05

not doing that but here's the original

play28:08

consolidation up close candle carry that

play28:11

through to the buy side of the curve you

play28:13

can see it drops down into that for

play28:14

second stage accumulation up close

play28:17

candles carry that through to buy side

play28:20

of the curve you see we went down into

play28:21

that and accumulated again so we have

play28:24

first stage accumulation you could be a

play28:26

buyer there

play28:27

second stage accumulation that's the one

play28:30

that has the most dynamic price run and

play28:32

you can see it there

play28:35

so everything that I'm teaching you if

play28:39

you have the the idea of where the

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Market's going to draw to okay which is

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why I always preach this all the time

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this is the most important thing it's

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not the entry points okay it's not it's

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knowing where the Market's going to go

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because if you can have that idea and be

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correct about it most times and you're

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able to look for this pattern you will

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be able to trade every time frame

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whether it's a 15-second chart 1 minute

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chart 5 minute chart 15-minute chart

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hourly chart 2hour chart 4H hour chart

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90 minute chart daily chart weekly chart

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monthly chart quarterly chart you get

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what I'm saying right I'm being

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obnoxious now but the point is you're

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going to be completely

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Unshackled you're going to have no

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limits none and you'll be able to trade

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every time frame in every fractal now

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that is not an invitation to go out

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there Andy and try to trade like a

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madman okay you have to have some kind

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of discipline but knowing what you're

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looking for and blending the things that

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you've been taught

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here that is how you get the results you

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can't just take one thing on on the

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basis of just that one thing you have to

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have

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confluences and the experience Factor

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will grow as you do it more and more and

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do not be afraid or discouraged if you

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get it wrong because when you get it

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wrong that's where you're learning don't

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look at doing things wrong while you're

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developing as failure that's where you

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learn you have to understand that that's

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a moment for you to understand more than

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you did before you did that exercise or

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that paper trade or whatever it is you

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did that you conceived as a failure when

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it's not failure that's a growth pain

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and growing pains is part of all this

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stuff okay

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so hopefully you found this one

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insightful until I talk to you next time

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be safe

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