I Found The SIMPLEST Way To Become Profitable
Summary
TLDRThe speaker shares their journey from a struggling trader to profitability by focusing on a single strategy. They emphasize the importance of identifying key support and resistance areas, utilizing a five-step entry checklist, and reading candlestick charts to predict market movements. The strategy involves risk management, waiting for confirmation of market reversals, and adjusting trades based on market momentum. The talk aims to save traders from common pitfalls and guide them to profitable trading.
Takeaways
- π Focusing on a single, simple trading strategy can lead to profitability, as opposed to trying to master multiple strategies.
- π‘ Identifying key support and resistance areas in the market is crucial for high profitability and managing risk.
- π« Avoid the common pitfall of attempting to master every trading pattern, which can hinder becoming a profitable trader.
- π―οΈ Mastering candlestick reading allows for effective analysis across all markets and time frames.
- π Trading the futures market is highlighted for its simplicity and leverage, but the strategy can be applied to any market.
- β±οΈ The speaker trades for only 90 minutes a day, emphasizing efficiency over time spent.
- π A five-step entry checklist is used for consistent trading strategy application.
- π The importance of recognizing when a trend is losing momentum and potentially reversing is underscored.
- π Counter-trend trading can be profitable due to the potential for low-risk, high-reward scenarios.
- π The use of trend lines and the concept of a 'reversal catalyst' or climactic move are key technical analysis tools in the strategy.
- π‘ The necessity of waiting for confirmation in the form of a strong reversal candlestick before entering a trade is highlighted.
Q & A
What is the main pitfall that traders fall into according to the speaker?
-The main pitfall is the belief that traders can master multiple strategies and patterns and become profitable with all of them, which is likely what's holding them back from becoming profitable.
What simple strategy did the speaker adopt that turned their trading from losing to profitable?
-The speaker focused on key areas of support and resistance in the market, which allowed them to concentrate on high areas of profitability.
How much money did the speaker risk and make in one of the trades mentioned?
-The speaker risked about $600 and made almost $3,000 in that one trade.
What is the speaker's current trading duration per day?
-The speaker currently trades for 90 minutes a day.
What is the speaker's entry strategy based on?
-The speaker's entry strategy is based on a five-step entry checklist that they have developed over the years, which includes analyzing the market's trend, looking for a reversal catalyst, and confirming the reversal with a strong reversal candle.
What is the significance of focusing on support and resistance zones in trading?
-Focusing on support and resistance zones is significant because these are areas where the market is more likely to bounce due to supply and demand dynamics, providing opportunities for profitable trades.
What is the speaker's preferred market to trade and why?
-The speaker prefers trading the Futures Market because of the simplicity and leverage it provides.
What is the importance of not moving the stop loss once a trade is initiated?
-Not moving the stop loss is important because it ensures that the risk on the trade does not increase, maintaining the initial risk-reward ratio set by the trader.
How does the speaker manage trades once they are initiated?
-The speaker manages trades by moving the trade to break even once it moves in their favor, then moving with the market swings, adjusting the stop loss, and exiting when the market shows signs of not favoring the trade.
What is the concept of a 'reversal catalyst' in trading?
-A 'reversal catalyst' is a climactic move where the market makes an attempt to continue in the direction of the trend but loses steam, becoming overextended and exhausted, which can signal an upcoming reversal.
What are the two crucial concepts that the speaker mentions at the end of the script?
-The two crucial concepts mentioned are the importance of having risk-reward potential in every trade and the concept of a failed breakout, where the market fails to continue in the direction of the breakout, potentially signaling a reversal.
Outlines
π Overcoming Trading Pitfalls with a Simple Strategy
The speaker reflects on their trading journey, emphasizing the common mistake of attempting to master multiple strategies. They advocate for focusing on a single, effective strategy instead. The strategy revolves around identifying key support and resistance areas in the market, which allows for high-reward, low-risk trades. The speaker shares their experience of growing a small trading account by following this method, highlighting a specific trade where a $600 risk yielded nearly $3,000 in profit. They also mention their use of candlestick charts for market analysis and their preference for trading in the Futures Market due to its simplicity and leverage. The speaker concludes by offering to guide viewers through the five-step entry checklist they use for daily trading.
π Mastering the Art of Counter-Trend Trading
This paragraph delves into the intricacies of counter-trend trading, which involves identifying when a market trend is likely to reverse. The speaker discusses the importance of not rushing into trades upon the first sign of a broken trend line, but instead waiting for a strong 'reversal catalyst'βa significant market movement that loses momentum, indicating potential exhaustion of the current trend. They describe the process of zooming into smaller time frame charts to find entry points based on a five-step checklist. The checklist includes identifying slowing trends with trend lines, waiting for a failed breakout or a climactic move, and looking for higher highs and higher lows to confirm a trend reversal. The speaker stresses the importance of waiting for a strong bullish or bearish candlestick to confirm the reversal before entering a trade.
π« Avoiding Impulsive Trading Decisions
The speaker shares insights on the importance of making conscious trading decisions rather than impulsive ones, especially when faced with the fear of missing out (FOMO). They discuss the need to identify a reversal catalyst and to wait for market confirmation before entering a trade. The paragraph also covers the speaker's approach to managing trades, including setting a stop loss and never moving it to avoid increasing risk. The speaker emphasizes the importance of cutting losses and moving on when a trade does not go as planned, and highlights the need for discipline in trade management, such as moving the trade to break even once it starts moving in favor and then adjusting the stop loss with market swings.
π Trading in Volatile Markets with a Reversal Strategy
The speaker discusses the application of their reversal strategy in volatile markets, using the NASDAQ as an example. They explain how to identify key areas of support and resistance and how to trade in both directions, depending on market conditions. The paragraph also touches on the importance of having a good risk-reward ratio and the need for volatility in the market to make the strategy effective. The speaker shares an example of a trade where they waited for a failed breakout before entering a short position, emphasizing the importance of patience and waiting for all elements of the checklist to align before making a trade.
π Adapting to Market Conditions for Successful Trades
In this paragraph, the speaker talks about the importance of adapting to current market conditions when trading. They discuss the need for volatility and the risk of trading in a range-bound market where there is little movement. The speaker uses oil futures as an example, explaining how they look for key resistance levels and wait for a failed breakout or a head and shoulders pattern to confirm a potential trade. They also highlight the importance of having a good risk-reward potential and not entering trades without proper confirmation, even if the market appears to be moving in a favorable direction.
π The Importance of Confirmation in Trading Decisions
The speaker concludes by emphasizing the importance of confirmation in trading decisions, using a specific trade in oil futures as an example. They discuss the concept of a head and shoulders pattern and the need to wait for a solid break of a low before entering a trade. The paragraph also covers the speaker's approach to managing the risk of a trade, including being cautious in a bullish market trend and being prepared to exit a trade at a small loss if the market shows signs of reversing the trade's direction. The speaker reiterates the importance of not being married to a trade and being ready to cut losses if necessary.
Mindmap
Keywords
π‘Profitable Trader
π‘Support and Resistance
π‘Candlesticks
π‘Futures Market
π‘Entry Checklist
π‘Trend Line
π‘Reversal Catalyst
π‘Risk Management
π‘Stop Loss
π‘Breakout
π‘Head and Shoulders Pattern
Highlights
The importance of abandoning complex strategies for a single, profitable one to achieve success in trading.
The common pitfall of traders trying to master multiple strategies, which often hinders profitability.
A personal trading strategy focusing on key support and resistance areas for high profitability.
How a single trade leveraging a simple strategy resulted in a significant profit.
Growth of a trading account from a small risk per trade to larger stakes while maintaining profitability.
Trading for only 90 minutes a day and using a five-step entry checklist for consistent results.
Mastering candlestick reading as a fundamental skill for trading any market or time frame.
Trading the Futures Market for its simplicity and leverage, but acknowledging the strategy's applicability to other markets.
The significance of identifying key areas of support and resistance and the use of zones in trading.
The concept of a reversal catalyst and its role in indicating a potential trend reversal.
The importance of not entering a trade impulsively and waiting for confirmation of a reversal.
The method of using trend lines to identify a slowing down or potential break in the market trend.
The strategy's emphasis on risk management, including setting and not moving the stop loss.
The psychological aspect of trading, such as overcoming the fear of missing out on trades.
The concept of failed breakouts as an entry signal for counter-trend trades.
The use of head and shoulders patterns as a confirmation for trade entries.
The necessity of volatility for successful trading and the impact of market conditions on strategy effectiveness.
The approach to trade management, including moving the stop loss and taking profits at key levels.
The importance of not being married to a trade and exiting when the market indicates a lack of favorable movement.
A step-by-step guide on the speaker's journey from a small account to significant success, illustrating the strategy's scalability.
Transcripts
I spent years and years going in circles
trying to become a profitable Trader but
when I threw everything out the window
and focus on one simple strategy my
trading turned from losing me money to
actually making me money this is the
biggest Pitfall that every Trader falls
into when they come to trading is
thinking you can Master multiple
strategies and patterns and become
profitable with them all but this is
probably what's holding you back from
becoming a profitable Trader so let me
try and fix that for you and save you
from the headache of wasting potential
years and walk you through the strategy
that saves my trading career I found it
way more profitable to focus on key
areas of support and resistance in the
market and allows you to focus on high
areas of profitability and in this trade
where I risked about $600 and made
almost
$3,000 in that one trade you were able
to risk a small amount and get a high
reward with this strategy I have been
able to grow a small account starting
with a risk of about $50 per trade to
now risking over $600 per trade and
still growing some of my biggest wins at
the moment are close to $3,000 in profit
and I only trade for 90 minutes a day I
don't spend hours and hours at the
computer I open up my charts look for
key areas in the markets to trade and
wait for a five-step entry checklist I
have made over the years trading this
strategy all I use to read what the
market is doing is is the candlesticks
of the chart and once you master reading
candlesticks you can honestly read any
chart or time frame you want so you can
use this strategy on any Market or time
frame personally I trade the Futures
Market because of the Simplicity and
leverage it gives me but you can trade
on whatever you want and I also day
trade this strategy but if you want you
can take trades over multiple days just
change the time frame you're trading now
let me walk you through the mult
multiple trades I've taken over the last
month and show you the fstep entry
checklist I use every day and how you
can exactly execute this strategy
yourself so the first thing I do every
day in my checklist is I want to find
the key areas of support and resistance
in the market and so with the market
currently trading going into this trade
right here well looking at the over the
last few days you know it's couple weeks
here you can see that the NASDAQ futures
here on a 15-minute chart well there's a
pretty clear resistance Zone up here I
use zones because the market never
bounces in the exact same area price
exactly every time you know what think
of it as supply and demand the Market's
more likely to bounce off of this area
because that's where the buyers are and
so as the market comes down here again
I'm going to assume that we might get a
bounce here again because the markets
bounce off this area really multiple
times it's likely to do that again and
so what I then do is I zoom in to a
smaller time frame chart and analyze
what the chart is doing on a smaller
time frame and get in when I see the
rest of my five-step entry checklist
show up the bigger picture is telling us
that there is a likely good chance to
bounce here and then the smaller time
frame shows us when the downtrend into
that area is starting to reverse because
the hardest part about trading reversals
is knowing when the trend is going to
reverse counter Trend trading can be
very very profitable because of that you
know lowrisk High reward potential but
it's very very easy to think you've
reached the bottom because you know
right here it's starting to bounce and
then the market keeps going lower it's
all about reading the trend if you think
about when a trend makes lower lows and
lower highs that's kind of what a trend
looks like and then at some point it
makes an extreme low and starts to
reverse that Trend and start making
higher highs and so we want to try and
get in I try and basically get in right
here after it's started to show okay now
it's starting to the swings are starting
to shift and there's indicator showing
that it's shifting and so the first
thing that I like to do is just make
sure that this overall trend that I'm
seeing into that area is slowing down
and potentially breaking the simplest
way to do that is with a trend line and
so right here the market Market had a
very clear trend line formed off of
these two bounces and so I drew a trend
line off that and just extended it lower
and so the market tried to continue
lower and bounce off of it right here
but it ended up failing and and broke
right here for me that's my first signal
that okay I have two things checked off
in my checklist and I think that the
market might start to slow and I can
look for a reversal and so you can see
that even though we broke this trend
line that doesn't necessarily mean the
Market's just going to all of a sudden
just shoot up from there that's
something I've done in the past where I
think oh the trend Line's broken that
means it's going to reverse all of a
sudden that's not true what I found is
you don't want to get in right there
that is sometimes works out of course
anything in the market can work out at
any time but over time that's not a
profitable thing to do what I've
realized is wait for the market to make
some kind of pullback and here you can
see it made another push lower and that
push lower was very very strong look at
how big these three candlesticks right
here are really this big one in here in
the middle is a very very strong bearish
Candlestick there's a lot of momentum
pushing that comparing the size of it to
you know some of these over here it's
massive and so what that does is it
shows a lot of momentum all of a sudden
and what I've realized over time is I
call this a reversal Catalyst or
climactic move is all of a sudden the
market is making an attempt to keep to
keep the trend going lower but what
happens in reality is that it loses
steam because of that and essentially
it's becomes OV exhausted and all the
sellers dry up and what this does is it
gives a chance for buyers to come in and
start to gain strength and of course
coupling that with the fact that we're
already at that major support Zone that
we know buyers are more likely to come
in that's really what gives us the power
of increasing our likelihood that there
is a larger move higher and so that's
what I want to see as my third step is
really the catalyst is showing you that
this has a lot more reversal opportunity
and likelihood because it's made this
essential fake lower some people will
see this and think wow the trend is
going to break this support level look
at all this momentum and then in reality
what happens is if you look at actually
the swings here we had a big swing down
here and made a little pullback big
swing down here it made a little bit
bigger of a pullback and then we had a
big swing down but if you look and
compare the lows here is this new low
down here was very very wasn't much
farther lower than this one comparing to
this low in here and so that shows you
the trend is starting to lose momentum
and so the third step that I like to do
is if we go back to just thinking about
our simple downtrend is the market is
going to eventually start making higher
highs and higher lows compared to before
when it was making lower lows and lower
highs and so this is a very simple but
very very crucial thing in the market to
show you that it's starting to reverse
is you know just the overall it's
showing you the overall structure of the
trend is changing and you can see that
as it makes this new extreme low and I'm
you know going through this and checking
off my checklist as I'm watching the
charts and trading every day I'm
thinking okay look right here it looks
like it's starting to make that higher
low and you can see looking at this okay
if this shoots up here I would confirm
that this is a higher low for that
fourth step that we're looking for in
our checklist and so the last thing that
I want to look for in my checklist is a
strong reversal candle that really
confirms that this higher low is
happening essentially I want to see a
very bullish candle happened right here
because what that does is it shows me
that okay the Market's come down here
it's started to make this move down here
and you know you don't know this could
just keep going down and so that's why
you can't just randomly buy that's why I
wait for this confirmation to happen and
so when this confirmation happens and a
big green candle happens here that to me
shows that okay the market has moved up
here and it's showing that higher Lev
low and that change in structure and so
that's the confirmation you have to wait
for I always wait for a Candlestick to
finish forming cuz if we go back in the
recording here and you see this
Candlestick right here it looked very
bullish and so right here this would be
essentially confirmed if the Candlestick
finished forming right there but you can
see I have this little indicator that
says there's 2 minutes left in the
Candlestick and you can if I you know
Zoom back forwards again you can see
that changed a lot in that those 2
minutes and so that is the really really
crucial thing about waiting for the
Candlestick to finish forming and so as
the market started to reverse that
really quickly is I did jump in here
about 30 to seconds 30 seconds earlier
before the market closed so I am going
against that rle tiny bit but with 30
seconds left in the Candlestick it's
almost there and I was also watching
this on a one minute chart and so it was
showing a ton of momentum in that way
and so I'm okay
jumping in a little early I made a
conscious decision of doing that that's
the key thing is not making an impulsive
decision of whereing you're going to M
miss out making a conscious decision of
okay it made this kind of this bearish
Candlestick right here if you kind of
read into what these candlesticks say is
the market made an attempt to go lower
and then it moved up and then made
another attempt to go lower that's kind
of what this Candlestick is showing that
reversed and went up here and so you
know it's making kind of a double bottom
on a really small time frame scale and
so I jumped in on that trade and just
let the thing play out from there and so
for my trades once you get in you know
the trade's not over right that's half
the battle and so for me where I put my
stop loss every trade and I never move
it because you can never move your stop
loss because you do not want to increase
your risk on the trade and so this trade
I think I was risking about $600 in the
trade and so I put it below because the
whole idea of why we're getting into
this trade is the structure of the
market right and so if the idea if if I
get in here and the market you know
starts to go sideways or it breaks this
key new higher low that's in place I get
out of the trade because I found over
time is you know the idea is not working
and you just got to move on you're not
always going to be right when it comes
to trading what I found over time is
important to just cut your losses and
move on and the best trades usually work
out pretty quickly in your favor and so
just to kind of Zoom through how I
manage these trades once they kind of
get going is once it kind of breaks out
in my favor is I will move the trade to
break even the idea is well it's moved
in my favor a little bit but it could
you know come back against me and then
as the market kind of moves up more more
in my favor I like to move with the
swings cuz again I like to just move
with the structure of the market that's
how I found to be most successful at
reading and moving with the swings now
when you are first starting out I I
would suggest not doing a kind of more
fluid management style like this it's
hard to read what the market is doing
and make the correct decision because
you're making a ton of decisions as you
see the market start to really move in
your favor here and so that's taking me
years and years to get better and better
at and I'm still getting better but when
I first started out I started with just
going for a fixed profit Target of just
going for 2X and so this trade would
have probably got out if you were going
for a two two times profit Target
probably would have got out somewhere
right here right and so sometimes you do
Miss if an amazing swing happens like
this but again of course not all my
trades happen like this these don't
happen very often this is just an
amazing example of what can happen and
so we'll get into a couple more examples
here in a minute where to show you a a
couple more key steps in this strategy
there's a really better climactic move
kind of example and the big thing to
remember is the market does not show up
the exact same every time this trade is
probably one of the more clear ones I've
had recently and so I want to show you
kind of when you're actually trading
what some of those weirder looking ones
can look like because those are just as
important to know how to trade and so
closed up that trade for about $2,800 I
think at the end so to show you another
example is here we are on the NASDAQ
honestly just a couple weeks later and
the market is still kind of in this
range now one thing though is so we're
still looking at the NASDAQ here and
check this out right here and so we're
currently at the highs and so this
strategy you can bet the Market's going
to go down or you can bet the Market's
going to go up so you can make money
both directions and so here the market
has been bouncing up in this area for
quite some time and so when I open the
charts on this day the market was
trading right here and so we're kind of
a little bit away from this Zone but
again remember zones are subjective you
can come up to the Zone like here and
reverse a little bit before it you know
because maybe the zone is a little bit
further and it it is all the way down
here and so I'm okay with trading away
from the zones a little bit but again
don't go too crazy with that and a big
thing that really helped me with this
trade right here was seeing that there
is also this downtrend line right here
based off of these two swings that the
market was buding into right here I saw
that the market was likely going to
potentially bounce there and again this
is only if all of my other checklists
line up that's the whole thing the
market can reverse anywhere but the big
thing is to have it at these levels and
so have it as all these things line up
and so going through a lot more quicker
now is you know the first thing is
here's our uptrend that is very very
clearly broken the Market's been going
sideways The Market opens up at 6:30 my
time and so you can see right here the
market kind of went sideways for a while
opened up and then started to move and
so just like we were talking about last
time is I want to see is seeing this
loss of a momentum right here is great
where the market starts to go sideways
like this a lot of the time that can
show that okay well the Market's going
to lose momentum and start moving lower
but the key is when I see something like
that is not to just short and bet the
Market's going to go down with my stop
above here because what I found again
just like we talked about before is the
market needs to make some kind of
reversal Catalyst something that where
it essentially makes an attempt to go
the other direction than you want which
gets people excited you know a lot of
people might see this as okay well the
Market's gone up here it's started to go
sideways it's kind of sitting there
gaining more momentum and then it's
going to break out here and you know the
trend's just going to continue higher
and I'll make a ton of money buying on
this breakout right here and that can
totally happen and maybe that does
happen right here but what confirms it
for me is when you see this massive move
back lower is when it gives that back up
really quickly with momentum and that
shows me that sellers are coming in here
there's a lot of strength on the seller
side and this strength of the buyers
that they apparently had here for a
couple minutes was given up really
quickly and so that's kind of the third
thing checked off on my list is seen
that happen so when I'm trading and I
see this reversal happen in real time it
gets really exciting and you start to
think when it started to go this fast
fomo sets in and you think oh my God I
have to get in here right now what I've
noticed over time is these kind of moves
right here is if the market makes a big
move like this and it goes sideways and
it does end up giving starting to go
lower it's going to give that whole move
back up and so a lot of the time for a
trade like this is my targets down here
and so if I'm risking something like
this and you know the target's down here
that's amazing risk reward like we won
right and so the hard part is though
when you see this happen is not foming
which what I mean is fear of missing out
of jumping into the trade because it's
so easy to think oh my God it's moving
so quickly I'm going to miss out I have
to jump in and what happens a lot of
time is you'll get a really bad entry
the market actually will pull back here
and you can see the market is pulling
back here and again going through that
checklist is is this reversal is not
confirmed yet it's looking really really
good but the market I have seen plenty
of times where the market will do this
come down and then just shoot back up
and make a new high and so the whole
idea is waiting for this lower high
right here to happen and I remember it
wasn't that many days ago I was in this
trade and I'm waiting for the market to
show me that reversal and so it's
started to make it right there and so
here I'm starting to put orders in
thinking that okay I think it's going to
I want to get in when it breaks lower
it's kind of made this break here and I
want to get in on the break of this move
that it's made and so I I'm feeling a
little nervous because well the Market's
really choppy and so I don't want to get
in based on a little bit of chop but
once this Candlestick formed really
bearish I thought that's a great signal
I have to just push through that
nervousness because you're always going
to be nervous getting a trade I've done
this for years I've practiced this
practiced this strategy and been
successful with it and I'm still nervous
every trade I get into and so no matter
how confident you're in there's always
going to be that uncertainty because
looking at this you still don't know
what direction the Market's going to do
you don't know what it's going to do and
so it can just take forever to you know
play out sometimes and in reality the
market over the last couple weeks going
into this trade has been insanely choppy
it's just been really back and forth and
just a crappy Market to trade in I've
only taken a couple trades over the last
few weeks it makes it really unlikely
for the market to just work out really
nicely and just shoot lower it's more
likely to you know see what it's doing
here and just sit there and chop and so
what I found is I still try and just
give it some room but when I see the
market make you know kind of a move
lower and a pullback like this and a
start attempt to keep going lower I then
you can see I moved my stop loss below
there and then it's made another push
lower here and so I'm starting to see
okay is there a trend line that I can
look at to see where the Market's with
and so once I see this trend line start
to you know hold here I'm thinking okay
this is another little pullback here I
want to you know close out my profits if
it looks like it's going to start to
bounce there and so you know anytime the
market makes kind of a double bottom
like this you know it it might just
start to knock me out and so that's the
biggest thing when it comes to managing
trades is get out when the market is
kind of telling you that it's not great
do not get married to the trade because
at the end of the day my always my best
trades like you saw in the last one you
know there might be a little bit of chop
in the beginning be but that's when the
Market's you know switching that
momentum versus now that momentum should
be moving in my favor really well the
the trend should be shifting and if the
Market's just going to kind of sit here
and go sideways I don't want to be in it
because I want to be smart with my stop
loss and get out when it looks like it's
going to go again me or just sit around
and not really give good profits and so
you can see here it's kind of just sit
around and eventually just kind of
knocks me out there and I believe it
just chopped around there for quite a
while let me show you two more crucial
Concepts that I have not gone over that
are crucial to this strategy and so what
we're looking at here is now oil Futures
and on the left here we have a 15minute
chart and so again like always I'm
looking for the key areas of support or
resistance and right here going into to
this day which was just a couple of days
ago the market has come up to this level
and started to you know make a couple
swings off of here and so my thinking is
hey you know this looks great for a
potential reversal we have a chance for
a you know move lower even if it's just
a move from here to here that's going to
be with entering on a smaller time frame
chart that's going to be a 3X trade and
of course if it gets moving lower down
here boom we have a home run those kind
of Trades can make your year you do not
need many of go to have a crazy crazy
profit and so going into a smaller time
frame chart just like I always do we
want to analyze the chart and so one
thing to look at here zooming back is
look at this chart again talking about
the last couple weeks is the market has
been terrible honestly look at the Kel 6
here is they're just chopping they're
all on top of each other there's very
very little movement and volatility and
to trade really any strategy you need
volatility and even with this strategy
or reversal strategy you really really
need volatility and so one thing is with
this strategy is you have to have that
risk reward potential every trade just
like we talked about with all these
trades is you need that potential for
the market to move and give you that
risk reward potential and some of that
is you know okay are you far enough away
from where the market has room to move
to the nearest other end of the range
like here we want to make sure we have
room to move to you know kind of a a
smaller support level or is the movement
in the market likely going to give you a
clean trade that you can profit from
because you know if you think about that
last trade we just did is it was all
over the place and just kind of sitting
there and not really moving and so
because of that it's unlikely for you to
make a really good profitable trade and
so what that does is it increases es
your risk on the trade because every
trade you know let's say you have a 50
50% chance to win or lose but some
trades you have a good chance to make a
really high profit like in our first
trade and other trades the chance to
make a high profit is lower and so your
risk reward there is not as good making
the trade not as profitable in the long
run and so right now we are budding into
this resistance level up here and
actually looking at the check list is
you know there's kind of a climactic
move right here there's a lower high
made there's a nice bearish bar and so
you know the only thing is that's not
broken is this uptrend I would say but
it looked pretty close to making a trade
and getting on a potential trade and I
actually thought about it in real time
of like hey you know I see it I could
jump in right here and there's good risk
reward and the only thing holding me
back from that well one was you know the
trend wasn't broken and so every time I
want to have all five of those those
things checked off there's a reason why
they're there don't skip out on one but
the other thing was is you know looking
at the bigger picture is even if we go
to a f minute chart of this is the
Market's just kind of sitting up here
it's going back and forth and chopping
and and on a 15-minute it shows that
really well and here on a 1 minute you
know the swings are bigger but again
looking at the candlesticks is that it's
it's really really crappy honestly and
so what I did is I thought I want to
wait for the concept that we haven't
talked about to show up and what that is
is a failed breakout and so what that
does is it's very similar to kind of
what we talked about especially in the
last trade but what it does is we have
our resistance level up here and looking
at this is It's the highs you know the
highs of the range or the resistance
zone are right here or the top of the
zone and so what I want to wait for is I
want to wait for it to break out of that
because again like with the last last
one is breakout Traders will think okay
it's breaking out I'm going to buy which
of course it works sometimes I'm not
saying it doesn't and they'll get in
long you know maybe with not as much
confirmation and then they'll go higher
and so what I'm doing is I want to wait
for that to fail and so you can see here
it's starting to do that and again you
can see here I have an uptrend drawn now
I'm trying to see okay where's the
uptrend what am I looking for here and I
want to see that fail and so what I
looked for is well this looked really
good good right here and so the next
thing in our checklist is you know wait
for that pullback wait for it to make a
lower high right here and so I'm
watching this I'm like okay where's the
big red candle I'm waiting for a big red
Candlestick to show up here and I'm
going to bet lower and and get in short
bet the Mark's going to move down but
that never happens and so there's no
trade and so again just waiting okay it
makes another high part of me is
starting to think you know maybe this is
just going to break out and I'll move on
with my day but I do want to see that
maybe this sets up a Head and Shoulders
pattern and so what that is is
essentially just reading the structure
of what we're looking is a head and
shoulders pattern is just taking into
account this swing this swing and then
this swing that's a head and shoulders
pattern and that's what I want to get in
on and so you can see here I put in an
order because I saw that this
Candlestick right here made that move
higher it made that attempt to go higher
made a nice lower high and so you can
see here it kind of did that as well
with this smaller one but the re the key
I've realized over time is to not go
with these small ones it needs to be a
solid amount of movement and so what
this here is reading into these kind of
candlesticks right here this one makes a
good break lower there's some reversing
right here happening some strength lower
and then we see com in the buyers this
is the attempt to keep breaking higher
and then I say okay I don't want to get
in right here I want to get in at the
break of the low because that's when
it's you know I I I've started to like
that as a confirmation of it making a
new low and and breaking that and
showing that shows even more weakness
and strength to the downside and so I
put in my order there it filled and
moved really quickly in my favor which
was great when you ever see that it
gives you a lot of confidence cuz
sometimes there's there's there's a lot
of worry when you just jump into a trade
and and at this point I'm thinking you
know what it's still bullish I have to
give it room it's choppy I have to let
it move around and you can see that I'm
looking at okay well there is actually
this uptrend right here that we just
bounced off of and so maybe that'll ruin
my trade and I haven't moved to break
even yet because I want to see it start
to move lower and so there it starts to
move lower a little bit and I'm thinking
if it does a double bottom right here
and comes up here I'm okay getting out
of the trade at a scratch or a small
loss because the trend is overall up oil
is overall bullish at the moment if I
bring up the overall chart it's been in
in an uptrend for the last month and so
I haven't even been trading it recently
and so this is my first trade in
honestly the last month in it and so I'm
being cautious with that of realizing
that it's unlikely that it reverses here
but everything showed up and I still
want to take a stab at it but I want to
cut my losses if it just does a double
bottom here and knocks me on and so it
it does knock me out here at a small
loss but again that's okay you know I'm
looking for those spots where it shows
up really well so if you really liked
this strategy this video right here will
walk you through the exact steps I took
from starting with a small account
risking $50 per trade to where I am now
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