I Found The SIMPLEST Way To Become Profitable

Riley Coleman
14 Apr 202428:52

Summary

TLDRThe speaker shares their journey from a struggling trader to profitability by focusing on a single strategy. They emphasize the importance of identifying key support and resistance areas, utilizing a five-step entry checklist, and reading candlestick charts to predict market movements. The strategy involves risk management, waiting for confirmation of market reversals, and adjusting trades based on market momentum. The talk aims to save traders from common pitfalls and guide them to profitable trading.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“ˆ Focusing on a single, simple trading strategy can lead to profitability, as opposed to trying to master multiple strategies.
  • πŸ’‘ Identifying key support and resistance areas in the market is crucial for high profitability and managing risk.
  • 🚫 Avoid the common pitfall of attempting to master every trading pattern, which can hinder becoming a profitable trader.
  • πŸ•―οΈ Mastering candlestick reading allows for effective analysis across all markets and time frames.
  • πŸ“Š Trading the futures market is highlighted for its simplicity and leverage, but the strategy can be applied to any market.
  • ⏱️ The speaker trades for only 90 minutes a day, emphasizing efficiency over time spent.
  • πŸ“‹ A five-step entry checklist is used for consistent trading strategy application.
  • πŸ“‰ The importance of recognizing when a trend is losing momentum and potentially reversing is underscored.
  • πŸ“ˆ Counter-trend trading can be profitable due to the potential for low-risk, high-reward scenarios.
  • πŸ“Œ The use of trend lines and the concept of a 'reversal catalyst' or climactic move are key technical analysis tools in the strategy.
  • πŸ’‘ The necessity of waiting for confirmation in the form of a strong reversal candlestick before entering a trade is highlighted.

Q & A

  • What is the main pitfall that traders fall into according to the speaker?

    -The main pitfall is the belief that traders can master multiple strategies and patterns and become profitable with all of them, which is likely what's holding them back from becoming profitable.

  • What simple strategy did the speaker adopt that turned their trading from losing to profitable?

    -The speaker focused on key areas of support and resistance in the market, which allowed them to concentrate on high areas of profitability.

  • How much money did the speaker risk and make in one of the trades mentioned?

    -The speaker risked about $600 and made almost $3,000 in that one trade.

  • What is the speaker's current trading duration per day?

    -The speaker currently trades for 90 minutes a day.

  • What is the speaker's entry strategy based on?

    -The speaker's entry strategy is based on a five-step entry checklist that they have developed over the years, which includes analyzing the market's trend, looking for a reversal catalyst, and confirming the reversal with a strong reversal candle.

  • What is the significance of focusing on support and resistance zones in trading?

    -Focusing on support and resistance zones is significant because these are areas where the market is more likely to bounce due to supply and demand dynamics, providing opportunities for profitable trades.

  • What is the speaker's preferred market to trade and why?

    -The speaker prefers trading the Futures Market because of the simplicity and leverage it provides.

  • What is the importance of not moving the stop loss once a trade is initiated?

    -Not moving the stop loss is important because it ensures that the risk on the trade does not increase, maintaining the initial risk-reward ratio set by the trader.

  • How does the speaker manage trades once they are initiated?

    -The speaker manages trades by moving the trade to break even once it moves in their favor, then moving with the market swings, adjusting the stop loss, and exiting when the market shows signs of not favoring the trade.

  • What is the concept of a 'reversal catalyst' in trading?

    -A 'reversal catalyst' is a climactic move where the market makes an attempt to continue in the direction of the trend but loses steam, becoming overextended and exhausted, which can signal an upcoming reversal.

  • What are the two crucial concepts that the speaker mentions at the end of the script?

    -The two crucial concepts mentioned are the importance of having risk-reward potential in every trade and the concept of a failed breakout, where the market fails to continue in the direction of the breakout, potentially signaling a reversal.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ“Š Overcoming Trading Pitfalls with a Simple Strategy

The speaker reflects on their trading journey, emphasizing the common mistake of attempting to master multiple strategies. They advocate for focusing on a single, effective strategy instead. The strategy revolves around identifying key support and resistance areas in the market, which allows for high-reward, low-risk trades. The speaker shares their experience of growing a small trading account by following this method, highlighting a specific trade where a $600 risk yielded nearly $3,000 in profit. They also mention their use of candlestick charts for market analysis and their preference for trading in the Futures Market due to its simplicity and leverage. The speaker concludes by offering to guide viewers through the five-step entry checklist they use for daily trading.

05:00

πŸ“ˆ Mastering the Art of Counter-Trend Trading

This paragraph delves into the intricacies of counter-trend trading, which involves identifying when a market trend is likely to reverse. The speaker discusses the importance of not rushing into trades upon the first sign of a broken trend line, but instead waiting for a strong 'reversal catalyst'β€”a significant market movement that loses momentum, indicating potential exhaustion of the current trend. They describe the process of zooming into smaller time frame charts to find entry points based on a five-step checklist. The checklist includes identifying slowing trends with trend lines, waiting for a failed breakout or a climactic move, and looking for higher highs and higher lows to confirm a trend reversal. The speaker stresses the importance of waiting for a strong bullish or bearish candlestick to confirm the reversal before entering a trade.

10:02

🚫 Avoiding Impulsive Trading Decisions

The speaker shares insights on the importance of making conscious trading decisions rather than impulsive ones, especially when faced with the fear of missing out (FOMO). They discuss the need to identify a reversal catalyst and to wait for market confirmation before entering a trade. The paragraph also covers the speaker's approach to managing trades, including setting a stop loss and never moving it to avoid increasing risk. The speaker emphasizes the importance of cutting losses and moving on when a trade does not go as planned, and highlights the need for discipline in trade management, such as moving the trade to break even once it starts moving in favor and then adjusting the stop loss with market swings.

15:03

πŸ“‰ Trading in Volatile Markets with a Reversal Strategy

The speaker discusses the application of their reversal strategy in volatile markets, using the NASDAQ as an example. They explain how to identify key areas of support and resistance and how to trade in both directions, depending on market conditions. The paragraph also touches on the importance of having a good risk-reward ratio and the need for volatility in the market to make the strategy effective. The speaker shares an example of a trade where they waited for a failed breakout before entering a short position, emphasizing the importance of patience and waiting for all elements of the checklist to align before making a trade.

20:04

πŸ“ˆ Adapting to Market Conditions for Successful Trades

In this paragraph, the speaker talks about the importance of adapting to current market conditions when trading. They discuss the need for volatility and the risk of trading in a range-bound market where there is little movement. The speaker uses oil futures as an example, explaining how they look for key resistance levels and wait for a failed breakout or a head and shoulders pattern to confirm a potential trade. They also highlight the importance of having a good risk-reward potential and not entering trades without proper confirmation, even if the market appears to be moving in a favorable direction.

25:06

πŸ“Š The Importance of Confirmation in Trading Decisions

The speaker concludes by emphasizing the importance of confirmation in trading decisions, using a specific trade in oil futures as an example. They discuss the concept of a head and shoulders pattern and the need to wait for a solid break of a low before entering a trade. The paragraph also covers the speaker's approach to managing the risk of a trade, including being cautious in a bullish market trend and being prepared to exit a trade at a small loss if the market shows signs of reversing the trade's direction. The speaker reiterates the importance of not being married to a trade and being ready to cut losses if necessary.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Profitable Trader

A 'Profitable Trader' refers to an individual who consistently earns money from trading activities. In the video's context, it emphasizes the importance of mastering a single strategy rather than trying to juggle multiple ones, which is a common pitfall that prevents traders from becoming profitable. The speaker shares their personal journey of transitioning from a losing trader to a profitable one by focusing on a specific strategy.

πŸ’‘Support and Resistance

In trading, 'support and resistance' are levels on a price chart where the price of an asset tends to stop falling (support) or rising (resistance). These levels are considered key areas to focus on for potential trades. The speaker in the video uses these concepts to identify high areas of profitability, demonstrating how they can lead to profitable trades with a small risk, as exemplified by the $600 risk leading to a $3,000 profit.

πŸ’‘Candlesticks

Candlesticks are a method used in a price chart to represent the high, low, opening, and closing prices of a financial instrument over a specific time period. They are essential for the speaker's trading strategy, as they are used to read market movements and identify potential trading opportunities. The script mentions mastering the reading of candlestick charts as a crucial skill for applying the discussed strategy across different markets and time frames.

πŸ’‘Futures Market

The 'Futures Market' is a financial market where participants trade standardized contracts for the future delivery of an asset. The speaker mentions trading in the futures market due to its simplicity and the leverage it provides, which allows traders to control a large amount of the asset with a relatively small amount of capital, enhancing the potential for profit but also increasing risk.

πŸ’‘Entry Checklist

An 'Entry Checklist' is a set of criteria or steps that a trader follows to determine when to enter a trade. The speaker outlines a five-step entry checklist that they have developed over the years, which includes identifying key areas of support and resistance, analyzing smaller time frame charts, and looking for trend reversal catalysts, among others. This checklist is integral to the speaker's strategy for executing trades.

πŸ’‘Trend Line

A 'Trend Line' is a straight line drawn on a price chart to represent the trend direction, connecting at least two significant low points in an uptrend or high points in a downtrend. The speaker uses trend lines to identify when the overall market trend is slowing down and potentially breaking, which is a signal for a potential market reversal, as seen in the examples provided from the NASDAQ futures trade.

πŸ’‘Reversal Catalyst

A 'Reversal Catalyst' in the context of the video refers to a market movement that shows a lot of momentum in one direction but then loses steam, indicating a potential reversal. The speaker describes this as a climactic move where the market attempts to continue a trend but ultimately becomes overextended and exhausted, leading to a reversal. This concept is key in identifying entry points for counter-trend trades.

πŸ’‘Risk Management

Risk management in trading involves the process of identifying, analyzing, and accepting or mitigating the risks associated with investments. The speaker emphasizes the importance of risk management by setting a stop loss on every trade and never moving it, ensuring that the risk on each trade is controlled. The speaker's strategy includes starting with a small account and increasing trade risk as the account grows.

πŸ’‘Stop Loss

A 'Stop Loss' is an order placed with a broker to sell a security when it reaches a certain price, aiming to limit an investor's loss on a position. The speaker discusses the importance of setting a stop loss on every trade and not moving it to avoid increasing risk. The stop loss is placed based on the market structure and potential reversal points, ensuring that if the market moves against the trade, the loss is limited.

πŸ’‘Breakout

A 'Breakout' in trading occurs when the price of a security or index moves above a defined support or below a defined resistance level after a period of consolidation. The speaker mentions waiting for a failed breakout, where the market attempts to break out of a resistance level but fails to sustain the move, indicating a potential reversal. This is a key concept in the speaker's strategy for identifying short trades.

πŸ’‘Head and Shoulders Pattern

The 'Head and Shoulders Pattern' is a technical analysis chart pattern that resembles a human head and shoulders and is considered a reversal pattern, signaling that the asset has reached a peak and may decline. The speaker discusses the importance of recognizing this pattern as a potential entry point for a trade, as it suggests a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.

Highlights

The importance of abandoning complex strategies for a single, profitable one to achieve success in trading.

The common pitfall of traders trying to master multiple strategies, which often hinders profitability.

A personal trading strategy focusing on key support and resistance areas for high profitability.

How a single trade leveraging a simple strategy resulted in a significant profit.

Growth of a trading account from a small risk per trade to larger stakes while maintaining profitability.

Trading for only 90 minutes a day and using a five-step entry checklist for consistent results.

Mastering candlestick reading as a fundamental skill for trading any market or time frame.

Trading the Futures Market for its simplicity and leverage, but acknowledging the strategy's applicability to other markets.

The significance of identifying key areas of support and resistance and the use of zones in trading.

The concept of a reversal catalyst and its role in indicating a potential trend reversal.

The importance of not entering a trade impulsively and waiting for confirmation of a reversal.

The method of using trend lines to identify a slowing down or potential break in the market trend.

The strategy's emphasis on risk management, including setting and not moving the stop loss.

The psychological aspect of trading, such as overcoming the fear of missing out on trades.

The concept of failed breakouts as an entry signal for counter-trend trades.

The use of head and shoulders patterns as a confirmation for trade entries.

The necessity of volatility for successful trading and the impact of market conditions on strategy effectiveness.

The approach to trade management, including moving the stop loss and taking profits at key levels.

The importance of not being married to a trade and exiting when the market indicates a lack of favorable movement.

A step-by-step guide on the speaker's journey from a small account to significant success, illustrating the strategy's scalability.

Transcripts

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I spent years and years going in circles

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trying to become a profitable Trader but

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when I threw everything out the window

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and focus on one simple strategy my

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trading turned from losing me money to

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actually making me money this is the

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biggest Pitfall that every Trader falls

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into when they come to trading is

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thinking you can Master multiple

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strategies and patterns and become

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profitable with them all but this is

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probably what's holding you back from

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becoming a profitable Trader so let me

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try and fix that for you and save you

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from the headache of wasting potential

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years and walk you through the strategy

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that saves my trading career I found it

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way more profitable to focus on key

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areas of support and resistance in the

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market and allows you to focus on high

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areas of profitability and in this trade

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where I risked about $600 and made

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almost

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$3,000 in that one trade you were able

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to risk a small amount and get a high

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reward with this strategy I have been

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able to grow a small account starting

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with a risk of about $50 per trade to

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now risking over $600 per trade and

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still growing some of my biggest wins at

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the moment are close to $3,000 in profit

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and I only trade for 90 minutes a day I

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don't spend hours and hours at the

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computer I open up my charts look for

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key areas in the markets to trade and

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wait for a five-step entry checklist I

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have made over the years trading this

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strategy all I use to read what the

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market is doing is is the candlesticks

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of the chart and once you master reading

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candlesticks you can honestly read any

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chart or time frame you want so you can

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use this strategy on any Market or time

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frame personally I trade the Futures

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Market because of the Simplicity and

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leverage it gives me but you can trade

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on whatever you want and I also day

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trade this strategy but if you want you

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can take trades over multiple days just

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change the time frame you're trading now

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let me walk you through the mult

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multiple trades I've taken over the last

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month and show you the fstep entry

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checklist I use every day and how you

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can exactly execute this strategy

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yourself so the first thing I do every

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day in my checklist is I want to find

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the key areas of support and resistance

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in the market and so with the market

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currently trading going into this trade

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right here well looking at the over the

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last few days you know it's couple weeks

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here you can see that the NASDAQ futures

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here on a 15-minute chart well there's a

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pretty clear resistance Zone up here I

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use zones because the market never

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bounces in the exact same area price

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exactly every time you know what think

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of it as supply and demand the Market's

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more likely to bounce off of this area

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because that's where the buyers are and

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so as the market comes down here again

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I'm going to assume that we might get a

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bounce here again because the markets

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bounce off this area really multiple

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times it's likely to do that again and

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so what I then do is I zoom in to a

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smaller time frame chart and analyze

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what the chart is doing on a smaller

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time frame and get in when I see the

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rest of my five-step entry checklist

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show up the bigger picture is telling us

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that there is a likely good chance to

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bounce here and then the smaller time

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frame shows us when the downtrend into

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that area is starting to reverse because

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the hardest part about trading reversals

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is knowing when the trend is going to

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reverse counter Trend trading can be

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very very profitable because of that you

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know lowrisk High reward potential but

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it's very very easy to think you've

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reached the bottom because you know

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right here it's starting to bounce and

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then the market keeps going lower it's

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all about reading the trend if you think

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about when a trend makes lower lows and

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lower highs that's kind of what a trend

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looks like and then at some point it

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makes an extreme low and starts to

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reverse that Trend and start making

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higher highs and so we want to try and

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get in I try and basically get in right

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here after it's started to show okay now

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it's starting to the swings are starting

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to shift and there's indicator showing

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that it's shifting and so the first

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thing that I like to do is just make

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sure that this overall trend that I'm

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seeing into that area is slowing down

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and potentially breaking the simplest

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way to do that is with a trend line and

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so right here the market Market had a

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very clear trend line formed off of

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these two bounces and so I drew a trend

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line off that and just extended it lower

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and so the market tried to continue

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lower and bounce off of it right here

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but it ended up failing and and broke

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right here for me that's my first signal

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that okay I have two things checked off

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in my checklist and I think that the

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market might start to slow and I can

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look for a reversal and so you can see

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that even though we broke this trend

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line that doesn't necessarily mean the

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Market's just going to all of a sudden

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just shoot up from there that's

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something I've done in the past where I

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think oh the trend Line's broken that

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means it's going to reverse all of a

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sudden that's not true what I found is

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you don't want to get in right there

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that is sometimes works out of course

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anything in the market can work out at

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any time but over time that's not a

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profitable thing to do what I've

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realized is wait for the market to make

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some kind of pullback and here you can

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see it made another push lower and that

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push lower was very very strong look at

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how big these three candlesticks right

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here are really this big one in here in

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the middle is a very very strong bearish

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Candlestick there's a lot of momentum

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pushing that comparing the size of it to

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you know some of these over here it's

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massive and so what that does is it

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shows a lot of momentum all of a sudden

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and what I've realized over time is I

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call this a reversal Catalyst or

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climactic move is all of a sudden the

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market is making an attempt to keep to

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keep the trend going lower but what

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happens in reality is that it loses

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steam because of that and essentially

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it's becomes OV exhausted and all the

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sellers dry up and what this does is it

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gives a chance for buyers to come in and

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start to gain strength and of course

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coupling that with the fact that we're

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already at that major support Zone that

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we know buyers are more likely to come

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in that's really what gives us the power

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of increasing our likelihood that there

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is a larger move higher and so that's

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what I want to see as my third step is

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really the catalyst is showing you that

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this has a lot more reversal opportunity

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and likelihood because it's made this

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essential fake lower some people will

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see this and think wow the trend is

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going to break this support level look

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at all this momentum and then in reality

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what happens is if you look at actually

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the swings here we had a big swing down

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here and made a little pullback big

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swing down here it made a little bit

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bigger of a pullback and then we had a

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big swing down but if you look and

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compare the lows here is this new low

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down here was very very wasn't much

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farther lower than this one comparing to

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this low in here and so that shows you

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the trend is starting to lose momentum

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and so the third step that I like to do

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is if we go back to just thinking about

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our simple downtrend is the market is

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going to eventually start making higher

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highs and higher lows compared to before

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when it was making lower lows and lower

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highs and so this is a very simple but

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very very crucial thing in the market to

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show you that it's starting to reverse

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is you know just the overall it's

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showing you the overall structure of the

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trend is changing and you can see that

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as it makes this new extreme low and I'm

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you know going through this and checking

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off my checklist as I'm watching the

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charts and trading every day I'm

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thinking okay look right here it looks

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like it's starting to make that higher

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low and you can see looking at this okay

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if this shoots up here I would confirm

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that this is a higher low for that

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fourth step that we're looking for in

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our checklist and so the last thing that

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I want to look for in my checklist is a

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strong reversal candle that really

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confirms that this higher low is

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happening essentially I want to see a

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very bullish candle happened right here

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because what that does is it shows me

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that okay the Market's come down here

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it's started to make this move down here

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and you know you don't know this could

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just keep going down and so that's why

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you can't just randomly buy that's why I

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wait for this confirmation to happen and

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so when this confirmation happens and a

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big green candle happens here that to me

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shows that okay the market has moved up

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here and it's showing that higher Lev

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low and that change in structure and so

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that's the confirmation you have to wait

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for I always wait for a Candlestick to

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finish forming cuz if we go back in the

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recording here and you see this

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Candlestick right here it looked very

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bullish and so right here this would be

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essentially confirmed if the Candlestick

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finished forming right there but you can

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see I have this little indicator that

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says there's 2 minutes left in the

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Candlestick and you can if I you know

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Zoom back forwards again you can see

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that changed a lot in that those 2

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minutes and so that is the really really

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crucial thing about waiting for the

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Candlestick to finish forming and so as

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the market started to reverse that

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really quickly is I did jump in here

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about 30 to seconds 30 seconds earlier

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before the market closed so I am going

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against that rle tiny bit but with 30

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seconds left in the Candlestick it's

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almost there and I was also watching

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this on a one minute chart and so it was

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showing a ton of momentum in that way

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and so I'm okay

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jumping in a little early I made a

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conscious decision of doing that that's

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the key thing is not making an impulsive

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decision of whereing you're going to M

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miss out making a conscious decision of

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okay it made this kind of this bearish

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Candlestick right here if you kind of

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read into what these candlesticks say is

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the market made an attempt to go lower

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and then it moved up and then made

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another attempt to go lower that's kind

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of what this Candlestick is showing that

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reversed and went up here and so you

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know it's making kind of a double bottom

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on a really small time frame scale and

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so I jumped in on that trade and just

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let the thing play out from there and so

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for my trades once you get in you know

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the trade's not over right that's half

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the battle and so for me where I put my

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stop loss every trade and I never move

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it because you can never move your stop

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loss because you do not want to increase

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your risk on the trade and so this trade

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I think I was risking about $600 in the

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trade and so I put it below because the

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whole idea of why we're getting into

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this trade is the structure of the

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market right and so if the idea if if I

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get in here and the market you know

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starts to go sideways or it breaks this

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key new higher low that's in place I get

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out of the trade because I found over

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time is you know the idea is not working

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and you just got to move on you're not

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always going to be right when it comes

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to trading what I found over time is

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important to just cut your losses and

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move on and the best trades usually work

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out pretty quickly in your favor and so

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just to kind of Zoom through how I

play11:30

manage these trades once they kind of

play11:31

get going is once it kind of breaks out

play11:34

in my favor is I will move the trade to

play11:37

break even the idea is well it's moved

play11:39

in my favor a little bit but it could

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you know come back against me and then

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as the market kind of moves up more more

play11:45

in my favor I like to move with the

play11:48

swings cuz again I like to just move

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with the structure of the market that's

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how I found to be most successful at

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reading and moving with the swings now

play11:57

when you are first starting out I I

play11:59

would suggest not doing a kind of more

play12:02

fluid management style like this it's

play12:04

hard to read what the market is doing

play12:05

and make the correct decision because

play12:07

you're making a ton of decisions as you

play12:09

see the market start to really move in

play12:12

your favor here and so that's taking me

play12:14

years and years to get better and better

play12:16

at and I'm still getting better but when

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I first started out I started with just

play12:21

going for a fixed profit Target of just

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going for 2X and so this trade would

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have probably got out if you were going

play12:27

for a two two times profit Target

play12:30

probably would have got out somewhere

play12:31

right here right and so sometimes you do

play12:33

Miss if an amazing swing happens like

play12:35

this but again of course not all my

play12:37

trades happen like this these don't

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happen very often this is just an

play12:41

amazing example of what can happen and

play12:44

so we'll get into a couple more examples

play12:45

here in a minute where to show you a a

play12:48

couple more key steps in this strategy

play12:51

there's a really better climactic move

play12:53

kind of example and the big thing to

play12:55

remember is the market does not show up

play12:58

the exact same every time this trade is

play13:01

probably one of the more clear ones I've

play13:03

had recently and so I want to show you

play13:05

kind of when you're actually trading

play13:07

what some of those weirder looking ones

play13:09

can look like because those are just as

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important to know how to trade and so

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closed up that trade for about $2,800 I

play13:17

think at the end so to show you another

play13:18

example is here we are on the NASDAQ

play13:21

honestly just a couple weeks later and

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the market is still kind of in this

play13:26

range now one thing though is so we're

play13:29

still looking at the NASDAQ here and

play13:31

check this out right here and so we're

play13:34

currently at the highs and so this

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strategy you can bet the Market's going

play13:37

to go down or you can bet the Market's

play13:39

going to go up so you can make money

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both directions and so here the market

play13:44

has been bouncing up in this area for

play13:46

quite some time and so when I open the

play13:48

charts on this day the market was

play13:50

trading right here and so we're kind of

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a little bit away from this Zone but

play13:55

again remember zones are subjective you

play13:57

can come up to the Zone like here and

play13:59

reverse a little bit before it you know

play14:01

because maybe the zone is a little bit

play14:03

further and it it is all the way down

play14:05

here and so I'm okay with trading away

play14:09

from the zones a little bit but again

play14:11

don't go too crazy with that and a big

play14:13

thing that really helped me with this

play14:15

trade right here was seeing that there

play14:17

is also this downtrend line right here

play14:21

based off of these two swings that the

play14:23

market was buding into right here I saw

play14:26

that the market was likely going to

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potentially bounce there and again this

play14:31

is only if all of my other checklists

play14:36

line up that's the whole thing the

play14:38

market can reverse anywhere but the big

play14:40

thing is to have it at these levels and

play14:43

so have it as all these things line up

play14:45

and so going through a lot more quicker

play14:47

now is you know the first thing is

play14:50

here's our uptrend that is very very

play14:52

clearly broken the Market's been going

play14:55

sideways The Market opens up at 6:30 my

play14:58

time and so you can see right here the

play15:00

market kind of went sideways for a while

play15:02

opened up and then started to move and

play15:05

so just like we were talking about last

play15:07

time is I want to see is seeing this

play15:10

loss of a momentum right here is great

play15:12

where the market starts to go sideways

play15:14

like this a lot of the time that can

play15:16

show that okay well the Market's going

play15:17

to lose momentum and start moving lower

play15:19

but the key is when I see something like

play15:22

that is not to just short and bet the

play15:25

Market's going to go down with my stop

play15:26

above here because what I found again

play15:29

just like we talked about before is the

play15:31

market needs to make some kind of

play15:33

reversal Catalyst something that where

play15:36

it essentially makes an attempt to go

play15:38

the other direction than you want which

play15:40

gets people excited you know a lot of

play15:42

people might see this as okay well the

play15:44

Market's gone up here it's started to go

play15:46

sideways it's kind of sitting there

play15:48

gaining more momentum and then it's

play15:50

going to break out here and you know the

play15:53

trend's just going to continue higher

play15:54

and I'll make a ton of money buying on

play15:57

this breakout right here and that can

play15:58

totally happen and maybe that does

play16:00

happen right here but what confirms it

play16:03

for me is when you see this massive move

play16:06

back lower is when it gives that back up

play16:09

really quickly with momentum and that

play16:11

shows me that sellers are coming in here

play16:14

there's a lot of strength on the seller

play16:16

side and this strength of the buyers

play16:19

that they apparently had here for a

play16:21

couple minutes was given up really

play16:23

quickly and so that's kind of the third

play16:26

thing checked off on my list is seen

play16:29

that happen so when I'm trading and I

play16:30

see this reversal happen in real time it

play16:33

gets really exciting and you start to

play16:34

think when it started to go this fast

play16:37

fomo sets in and you think oh my God I

play16:39

have to get in here right now what I've

play16:40

noticed over time is these kind of moves

play16:42

right here is if the market makes a big

play16:45

move like this and it goes sideways and

play16:47

it does end up giving starting to go

play16:49

lower it's going to give that whole move

play16:51

back up and so a lot of the time for a

play16:53

trade like this is my targets down here

play16:55

and so if I'm risking something like

play16:57

this and you know the target's down here

play16:58

that's amazing risk reward like we won

play17:01

right and so the hard part is though

play17:03

when you see this happen is not foming

play17:08

which what I mean is fear of missing out

play17:10

of jumping into the trade because it's

play17:12

so easy to think oh my God it's moving

play17:13

so quickly I'm going to miss out I have

play17:15

to jump in and what happens a lot of

play17:18

time is you'll get a really bad entry

play17:21

the market actually will pull back here

play17:23

and you can see the market is pulling

play17:25

back here and again going through that

play17:28

checklist is is this reversal is not

play17:30

confirmed yet it's looking really really

play17:33

good but the market I have seen plenty

play17:35

of times where the market will do this

play17:37

come down and then just shoot back up

play17:40

and make a new high and so the whole

play17:41

idea is waiting for this lower high

play17:45

right here to happen and I remember it

play17:47

wasn't that many days ago I was in this

play17:48

trade and I'm waiting for the market to

play17:51

show me that reversal and so it's

play17:53

started to make it right there and so

play17:55

here I'm starting to put orders in

play17:56

thinking that okay I think it's going to

play17:59

I want to get in when it breaks lower

play18:01

it's kind of made this break here and I

play18:03

want to get in on the break of this move

play18:07

that it's made and so I I'm feeling a

play18:09

little nervous because well the Market's

play18:11

really choppy and so I don't want to get

play18:12

in based on a little bit of chop but

play18:15

once this Candlestick formed really

play18:17

bearish I thought that's a great signal

play18:20

I have to just push through that

play18:22

nervousness because you're always going

play18:24

to be nervous getting a trade I've done

play18:25

this for years I've practiced this

play18:27

practiced this strategy and been

play18:29

successful with it and I'm still nervous

play18:30

every trade I get into and so no matter

play18:32

how confident you're in there's always

play18:34

going to be that uncertainty because

play18:36

looking at this you still don't know

play18:38

what direction the Market's going to do

play18:39

you don't know what it's going to do and

play18:41

so it can just take forever to you know

play18:44

play out sometimes and in reality the

play18:47

market over the last couple weeks going

play18:49

into this trade has been insanely choppy

play18:53

it's just been really back and forth and

play18:54

just a crappy Market to trade in I've

play18:57

only taken a couple trades over the last

play18:59

few weeks it makes it really unlikely

play19:01

for the market to just work out really

play19:03

nicely and just shoot lower it's more

play19:05

likely to you know see what it's doing

play19:07

here and just sit there and chop and so

play19:09

what I found is I still try and just

play19:12

give it some room but when I see the

play19:15

market make you know kind of a move

play19:17

lower and a pullback like this and a

play19:19

start attempt to keep going lower I then

play19:21

you can see I moved my stop loss below

play19:23

there and then it's made another push

play19:24

lower here and so I'm starting to see

play19:27

okay is there a trend line that I can

play19:28

look at to see where the Market's with

play19:30

and so once I see this trend line start

play19:33

to you know hold here I'm thinking okay

play19:36

this is another little pullback here I

play19:38

want to you know close out my profits if

play19:41

it looks like it's going to start to

play19:43

bounce there and so you know anytime the

play19:45

market makes kind of a double bottom

play19:46

like this you know it it might just

play19:49

start to knock me out and so that's the

play19:51

biggest thing when it comes to managing

play19:53

trades is get out when the market is

play19:56

kind of telling you that it's not great

play19:58

do not get married to the trade because

play20:01

at the end of the day my always my best

play20:03

trades like you saw in the last one you

play20:05

know there might be a little bit of chop

play20:07

in the beginning be but that's when the

play20:09

Market's you know switching that

play20:11

momentum versus now that momentum should

play20:14

be moving in my favor really well the

play20:17

the trend should be shifting and if the

play20:19

Market's just going to kind of sit here

play20:21

and go sideways I don't want to be in it

play20:23

because I want to be smart with my stop

play20:26

loss and get out when it looks like it's

play20:27

going to go again me or just sit around

play20:30

and not really give good profits and so

play20:32

you can see here it's kind of just sit

play20:34

around and eventually just kind of

play20:35

knocks me out there and I believe it

play20:37

just chopped around there for quite a

play20:39

while let me show you two more crucial

play20:40

Concepts that I have not gone over that

play20:43

are crucial to this strategy and so what

play20:46

we're looking at here is now oil Futures

play20:49

and on the left here we have a 15minute

play20:51

chart and so again like always I'm

play20:53

looking for the key areas of support or

play20:56

resistance and right here going into to

play20:58

this day which was just a couple of days

play21:00

ago the market has come up to this level

play21:03

and started to you know make a couple

play21:05

swings off of here and so my thinking is

play21:08

hey you know this looks great for a

play21:10

potential reversal we have a chance for

play21:13

a you know move lower even if it's just

play21:15

a move from here to here that's going to

play21:18

be with entering on a smaller time frame

play21:20

chart that's going to be a 3X trade and

play21:22

of course if it gets moving lower down

play21:24

here boom we have a home run those kind

play21:26

of Trades can make your year you do not

play21:27

need many of go to have a crazy crazy

play21:30

profit and so going into a smaller time

play21:33

frame chart just like I always do we

play21:35

want to analyze the chart and so one

play21:37

thing to look at here zooming back is

play21:39

look at this chart again talking about

play21:41

the last couple weeks is the market has

play21:44

been terrible honestly look at the Kel 6

play21:48

here is they're just chopping they're

play21:50

all on top of each other there's very

play21:53

very little movement and volatility and

play21:56

to trade really any strategy you need

play21:58

volatility and even with this strategy

play22:00

or reversal strategy you really really

play22:02

need volatility and so one thing is with

play22:07

this strategy is you have to have that

play22:11

risk reward potential every trade just

play22:13

like we talked about with all these

play22:15

trades is you need that potential for

play22:18

the market to move and give you that

play22:20

risk reward potential and some of that

play22:23

is you know okay are you far enough away

play22:25

from where the market has room to move

play22:27

to the nearest other end of the range

play22:29

like here we want to make sure we have

play22:31

room to move to you know kind of a a

play22:33

smaller support level or is the movement

play22:37

in the market likely going to give you a

play22:40

clean trade that you can profit from

play22:42

because you know if you think about that

play22:44

last trade we just did is it was all

play22:47

over the place and just kind of sitting

play22:49

there and not really moving and so

play22:51

because of that it's unlikely for you to

play22:54

make a really good profitable trade and

play22:56

so what that does is it increases es

play22:58

your risk on the trade because every

play23:01

trade you know let's say you have a 50

play23:03

50% chance to win or lose but some

play23:06

trades you have a good chance to make a

play23:08

really high profit like in our first

play23:10

trade and other trades the chance to

play23:12

make a high profit is lower and so your

play23:15

risk reward there is not as good making

play23:17

the trade not as profitable in the long

play23:20

run and so right now we are budding into

play23:24

this resistance level up here and

play23:25

actually looking at the check list is

play23:29

you know there's kind of a climactic

play23:31

move right here there's a lower high

play23:33

made there's a nice bearish bar and so

play23:36

you know the only thing is that's not

play23:38

broken is this uptrend I would say but

play23:40

it looked pretty close to making a trade

play23:43

and getting on a potential trade and I

play23:45

actually thought about it in real time

play23:47

of like hey you know I see it I could

play23:48

jump in right here and there's good risk

play23:51

reward and the only thing holding me

play23:53

back from that well one was you know the

play23:54

trend wasn't broken and so every time I

play23:57

want to have all five of those those

play23:58

things checked off there's a reason why

play24:00

they're there don't skip out on one but

play24:03

the other thing was is you know looking

play24:05

at the bigger picture is even if we go

play24:08

to a f minute chart of this is the

play24:10

Market's just kind of sitting up here

play24:12

it's going back and forth and chopping

play24:14

and and on a 15-minute it shows that

play24:16

really well and here on a 1 minute you

play24:18

know the swings are bigger but again

play24:20

looking at the candlesticks is that it's

play24:22

it's really really crappy honestly and

play24:24

so what I did is I thought I want to

play24:27

wait for the concept that we haven't

play24:29

talked about to show up and what that is

play24:32

is a failed breakout and so what that

play24:35

does is it's very similar to kind of

play24:37

what we talked about especially in the

play24:38

last trade but what it does is we have

play24:41

our resistance level up here and looking

play24:43

at this is It's the highs you know the

play24:46

highs of the range or the resistance

play24:49

zone are right here or the top of the

play24:52

zone and so what I want to wait for is I

play24:54

want to wait for it to break out of that

play24:57

because again like with the last last

play24:58

one is breakout Traders will think okay

play25:01

it's breaking out I'm going to buy which

play25:03

of course it works sometimes I'm not

play25:05

saying it doesn't and they'll get in

play25:07

long you know maybe with not as much

play25:09

confirmation and then they'll go higher

play25:12

and so what I'm doing is I want to wait

play25:14

for that to fail and so you can see here

play25:16

it's starting to do that and again you

play25:18

can see here I have an uptrend drawn now

play25:20

I'm trying to see okay where's the

play25:22

uptrend what am I looking for here and I

play25:24

want to see that fail and so what I

play25:26

looked for is well this looked really

play25:28

good good right here and so the next

play25:29

thing in our checklist is you know wait

play25:32

for that pullback wait for it to make a

play25:35

lower high right here and so I'm

play25:36

watching this I'm like okay where's the

play25:37

big red candle I'm waiting for a big red

play25:39

Candlestick to show up here and I'm

play25:41

going to bet lower and and get in short

play25:43

bet the Mark's going to move down but

play25:45

that never happens and so there's no

play25:47

trade and so again just waiting okay it

play25:49

makes another high part of me is

play25:51

starting to think you know maybe this is

play25:53

just going to break out and I'll move on

play25:54

with my day but I do want to see that

play25:57

maybe this sets up a Head and Shoulders

play25:59

pattern and so what that is is

play26:01

essentially just reading the structure

play26:03

of what we're looking is a head and

play26:04

shoulders pattern is just taking into

play26:06

account this swing this swing and then

play26:08

this swing that's a head and shoulders

play26:10

pattern and that's what I want to get in

play26:12

on and so you can see here I put in an

play26:14

order because I saw that this

play26:17

Candlestick right here made that move

play26:20

higher it made that attempt to go higher

play26:22

made a nice lower high and so you can

play26:24

see here it kind of did that as well

play26:27

with this smaller one but the re the key

play26:29

I've realized over time is to not go

play26:33

with these small ones it needs to be a

play26:35

solid amount of movement and so what

play26:38

this here is reading into these kind of

play26:41

candlesticks right here this one makes a

play26:43

good break lower there's some reversing

play26:46

right here happening some strength lower

play26:48

and then we see com in the buyers this

play26:50

is the attempt to keep breaking higher

play26:53

and then I say okay I don't want to get

play26:55

in right here I want to get in at the

play26:58

break of the low because that's when

play27:00

it's you know I I I've started to like

play27:03

that as a confirmation of it making a

play27:05

new low and and breaking that and

play27:07

showing that shows even more weakness

play27:10

and strength to the downside and so I

play27:12

put in my order there it filled and

play27:14

moved really quickly in my favor which

play27:16

was great when you ever see that it

play27:17

gives you a lot of confidence cuz

play27:19

sometimes there's there's there's a lot

play27:20

of worry when you just jump into a trade

play27:22

and and at this point I'm thinking you

play27:24

know what it's still bullish I have to

play27:26

give it room it's choppy I have to let

play27:29

it move around and you can see that I'm

play27:31

looking at okay well there is actually

play27:34

this uptrend right here that we just

play27:36

bounced off of and so maybe that'll ruin

play27:38

my trade and I haven't moved to break

play27:41

even yet because I want to see it start

play27:43

to move lower and so there it starts to

play27:45

move lower a little bit and I'm thinking

play27:47

if it does a double bottom right here

play27:49

and comes up here I'm okay getting out

play27:51

of the trade at a scratch or a small

play27:54

loss because the trend is overall up oil

play27:57

is overall bullish at the moment if I

play27:58

bring up the overall chart it's been in

play28:00

in an uptrend for the last month and so

play28:03

I haven't even been trading it recently

play28:05

and so this is my first trade in

play28:07

honestly the last month in it and so I'm

play28:09

being cautious with that of realizing

play28:11

that it's unlikely that it reverses here

play28:14

but everything showed up and I still

play28:15

want to take a stab at it but I want to

play28:17

cut my losses if it just does a double

play28:20

bottom here and knocks me on and so it

play28:22

it does knock me out here at a small

play28:23

loss but again that's okay you know I'm

play28:26

looking for those spots where it shows

play28:28

up really well so if you really liked

play28:30

this strategy this video right here will

play28:32

walk you through the exact steps I took

play28:34

from starting with a small account

play28:37

risking $50 per trade to where I am now

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