My Top Investment Ideas For 2024
Summary
TLDRThe video discusses the content creator's top stock and market ideas for 2024 across four key areas: non-tech stocks, small cap stocks, Chinese stocks, and fixed income. He argues these areas offer opportunities compared to the major tech stocks that drove markets in 2023. Specific ideas mentioned include Pfizer in pharma, Costco in retail, a Russell 2000 small cap ETF, existing investments in Tencent and Alibaba despite risks, and benchmark US Treasury and high yield corporate bond ETFs. The creator welcomes feedback on his thesis and ideas others are considering for 2024.
Takeaways
- 😀 The video marks the first one in 2024, after taking some time off over the holidays
- 👍 Andrew shares 4 areas or pockets of the market he is bullish on for 2024
- 💡 He believes non-tech sectors like pharmaceuticals and consumer staples could outperform tech
- 🔎 Small cap stocks that have lagged could see upside if rates fall or sentiment improves
- 🚩 Andrew acknowledges risks but thinks Chinese stocks are depressed and due for a bounce
- 💵 With higher yields, fixed income is more viable than in recent years as rates may fall further
- 📝 Andrew asks viewers to share in comments how many ideas they agree with and why
- 🙌 He thanks long-time viewers and invites new viewers to subscribe
- 🔔 The Blossom app launched in the US after success in Canada with 880k users
- 👍 Andrew is open to video ideas and feedback to improve content
Q & A
What is the overall theme of the areas the speaker likes for investing in 2024?
-The overall investing theme seems to be looking outside of big tech stocks and finding undervalued or beaten down stocks and sectors that could rebound if market sentiment improves in 2024.
Why does the speaker say non-tech could be an area to look at in 2024?
-The speaker says the big tech/FANG stocks have massively outperformed and driven index returns higher recently. So instead of chasing those stocks at current valuations, it may be prudent to look to other beaten down sectors for better future returns.
What is the speaker's view on small cap stocks?
-The speaker sees potential upside in small caps if market sentiment and interest rates improve in 2024. Small caps tend to be more sensitive and have sold off more, so they could rebound strongly if conditions get better.
Why does the speaker still like Chinese stocks even after poor recent performance?
-He views the depressed prices of his Chinese holdings, like Tencent, as good long term businesses selling at attractive valuations now. Sentiment could quickly shift on positive catalysts.
What are the speaker's fixed income ideas for 2024?
-He discusses bond ETFs, like TLT and high yield bonds, paying 5-6% as attractive income sources, especially for older investors. If rates fall, bonds could benefit further.
What does the speaker say about individual bonds vs bond ETFs?
-He says he never buys individual bonds but plays the fixed income space through bond ETFs that give broad exposure for most investors.
What changes and areas of focus does the speaker mention for his business?
-He discusses expanding his financial app Blossom to the US market. And focusing efforts across his YouTube channel, Blossom, his investing academy, and Instagram.
What is the speaker's view on diversification and tech concentration risk?
-He notes the top tech stocks now comprise 30% of the index. So having flexibility as an individual stock picker allows better diversification when tech dominates.
Why does the speaker say 2024 could see positive market catalysts?
-Being an election year, policy decisions tend to aim at propping up the economy and markets. And potential interest rate cuts could also boost sentiment.
What feedback does the speaker request on the video?
-He asks viewers to leave comments on how many of his 4 investment area ideas they agree with, as well as any other ideas they have.
Outlines
🎥 Introducing the video and goals for 2024
The host introduces themselves, welcomes viewers back to the channel, and wishes them a Happy New Year. They took some time off for the holidays and are excited to be back making videos in 2024. They have set some personal goals around health, fitness, business, and YouTube for the new year.
👍 Making the case for non-tech stocks in 2024
The host argues that after the huge returns from tech/growth stocks in 2023, investors may want to look at some beaten down non-tech areas for opportunities in 2024. They suggest stocks like Pfizer, Costco, Home Depot, and Visa as ideas, since they have not performed as well recently but offer quality.
🔬 Exploring small caps as rates potentially fall
The host credits a friend's idea that small cap stocks could be an opportunity if interest rates come down in 2024. Small caps have struggled as rates climbed, but if sentiment improves, they could run. The host suggests playing the theme with an ETF due to inability to pick winners.
😬 Still bullish on Chinese stocks longer term
The host acknowledges their failed investments in Chinese stocks like Alibaba and Tencent so far, but argues they are good businesses trading at depressed levels, so worth continuing to own. China's economy should grow over the next decade.
💸 Liking fixed income in a flat/falling rate world
With rates at current levels, bond funds offer good income versus recent history. If expected Fed rate cuts happen, existing bonds funds would benefit from prices rising as new bonds are issued at lower rates. Reasonable to own some.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Tech stocks
💡Small cap stocks
💡Flight to safety
💡Election year
💡Fixed income
💡ETF
💡Bond yields
💡Beta
💡Tax loss harvesting
💡Dollar cost averaging
Highlights
I have stocks and ETFs that I'm liking, I've identified, four Pockets or four areas of the market, that I'm liking
I personally, can't help but look at the returns that, we saw over the previous year which was, a solid year for the indexes
Every dollar you put, into the S&P you're buying more and more, and more of those whereas as a an, individual stock investor you can have a, little bit more um flexibility
When you look at the S&P, the breakdown essentially of how big of, a portion these um you know, the the the seven, magnificent stocks uh represent it's, getting up there right it's up to like, what is that 30% essentially 25 30%
Small cap, area uh the small cap you know market, value stocks might be a pocket worth, considering
When the tides turn and I'm not, suggesting that I believe you know all, of a sudden 2024 is going to be, phenomenal year that's not what I'm, saying but we have started to hear like, inklings um you know hint at let's say, the potential for some interest rate, Cuts now whether that's going to happen, uh who knows uh we you know I've learned, not to trust these people
2024 is an, election year which is always, interesting years for the market
I would, continue to hold them and there's maybe, a world in which these never realize, because of uh because of all the various, reasons as to why they're priced so low
I just do think think, that um over the next decade um China, will continue to grow India will, continue to grow and you know these two, big big companies in there will actually, uh benefit
I foresee this happening as, well the possibility of this happening, with these Asian stocks is very fast if, there are a catalyst whether it's a you, know a new government or some sort of, positive deal uh with um you know the, two Nations because of how volatile, these these markets are when things, start to run they can run fast
Fixed income you know again when, I talk about fixed income never in my, life have I gone out and bought bought, you know an individual Bond um I just, never have I know it is still possible, but I think it's just very uncommon
If, rates come down as you know some people, are expecting and these new bonds are, being issued at you know lower and lower, rates right all these new bonds are, being issued are now at a 4% yield or 4%, coupon a 3% coupon etc etc my bond, that's paying 5% actually becomes more, attractive
Leave a, comment down below as to, whether you agree whether you disagree, and how many of those you um agree with
Leave down in the comment, section below maybe some areas that I'm, overlooking or areas that might be, attractive maybe it's something like, crypto I don't know not for me um maybe, it's real estate maybe it's REITs um, what areas are you guys liking
Transcripts
what is going on you guys and welcome
back to the channel happy New Year
everybody this video officially marks my
first video here in 20124 and I'm so
excited to be back I took a bit of time
off uh over the holidays to do some
family dinners and some Christmas uh you
know stuff nothing too exciting but it
was a nice nice break a nice little
recharge of the batteries and I hope you
guys all had a really fantastic uh break
yourselves I know going into 2024 I've
set all these little personal not even
little set these you know big uh
personal goals on the health side and um
you know Fitness development side
obviously on the business side I'm just
really really excited for what the new
year has in store here on YouTube anywh
who I'm glad that you're uh with us here
back for another year I got a really
good topic today we're going to be
covering the you know my my best or my
favorite ideas for the upcoming year and
actually rather than just giving like
you know a couple stock picks which I
I'm going to you know talk about here I
have stocks and ETFs that I'm liking
I've identified
four Pockets or four areas of the market
that I'm liking and I'm going to provide
the reasoning or justification as to why
and then I'd love to hear from you guys
down in the comment section below
whether you agree or disagree right in
fact I actually was going to request
like at the end of the video leave a
comment uh down below with like a number
score like do you agree with four out of
four do you agree with three out of four
two out of four one out of four I'm
hoping there's not too many zero out of
fours cuz that would just be really sad
if but I'm I'm I'm hoping I'm able to
point you guys in the right direction at
least areas that I'm liking um and you
know these are keep in mind areas for me
that I'm liking they may not be suitable
for you but you can make that decision
uh as we go through but with that said
let's dive in uh leave a thumbs up if
you like and uh drop a comment down
below but area number one that I'm
liking is
nonte in 2024 And to clarify you know I
just want to make sure I'm not like
misleading anybody I'm not suggesting
that we go out and short all the you
know the Fang stocks and all our
favorite tech stocks far from that in
fact I still plan to hold some of my
favorite tech stocks but I personally
can't help but look at the returns that
we saw over the previous year which was
a solid year for the indexes S&P was up
the NASDAQ I believe returned
40% when you break that return
down a huge contributor of that next
return came from the allstar performance
from The Magnificent Seven here right
that's essentially what they're calling
these grouping of stocks now it's
essentially the Fang stocks but you know
there's a couple of inclusions they kind
of had to be included in these these
All-Star list the nvidias and Teslas of
the world just take a look at some of
these um returns that we saw literally
over just the past year and no doubt
these have been massive in propping up
the um the index return in fact this
chart that I'm sharing with you guys
it's a little bit outdated like
September but like you'll get the point
S&P top seven stocks have soared more
than you know x% while everything else
is basically flat now it didn't like
finish flat you still you still did have
good performers but what you know when I
look at this what this what just like is
glaring to me
is rather than you know chasing and you
know just expecting that these stocks
are going to continue flying flying
flying I'm very grateful for you know
the the great the returns in fact you
know you guys know meow was a really
great you know performer for me uh
obviously been a big holder of alphabet
and Amazon um apple as well like you
know as a holder you love to see this
but if I'm looking for stocks to buy
into in the new
year what I'm saying is there might be
other areas besides Tech that I actually
would personally prefer in fact one of
the stocks I've been eyeing very much in
the pharmaceutical space is fizer um
fizer if you look at the share
performance chart it's done pretty much
the exact opposite of um you know these
Fang stocks or the Magnificent Seven
it's been going down down down it's been
an area that I've been liking one that
may be worth throwing on your radar
another idea that you may want to look
into is something like a Costco right
Costco's just been steady steady steady
but this is obviously in the food
retailing space um Home Depot uh Lowe's
you know two stocks that just are always
on the radar great quality companies you
know Home Depot I know is down a decent
amount um Visa I'm just trying to
suggestions to you guys that are non-te
because what happens is that a lot of
investors especially the new ones they
get drawn in and they get sucked in to
what has recently done well again it's
not to say that they won't do well going
forward and for another year they very
well may but personally for me I'm I am
expanding my you know my Horizon of what
I'm looking at Beyond there because my
philosophy is I always like to buy
stocks that are essentially you know you
know beaten down more so than chasing a
a stock that's done really well
one thing too that just is like worth
mentioning is when you look at the S&P
the breakdown essentially of how big of
a portion these um you know seven
magnificent stocks uh represent it's
getting up there right it's up to like
what is that 30% essentially 25 30% and
I believe this is slightly outdated as
well this is one of those things where
when you are an individual stock
investor like one of the questions I
always get is like individual stocks or
ETFs and you know in many cases ETFs for
so many people is the right way to go
but of the pros I believe of being an
individual stock investor is that you
now have like flexibility in times like
these to be a little more calculated
with where you deploy if you are
strictly an S&P 500 investor you know
every time you invest in the S&P due to
the nature of this index the fact that
it's Market weighted and it essentially
rewards these you know as these
companies grow larger and larger and
grow in market
value one may argue getting in a price
range that is let's say overextended
let's just say well every dollar you put
into the S&P you're buying more and more
and more of those whereas as a an
individual stock investor you can have a
little bit more um flexibility right so
anyways that's just a fun point I
thought something to consider I'm still
going to own my tech stocks I'm still
going to gladly hold them but might just
be a something something to consider
right is an outside non-te exposure in
2024 number two which is actually kind
of a buildoff off that and I actually
want to credit and Shout out one of my
good friends um Joseph hog I don't know
if you guys follow him he's from the
states so I don't blame me if you don't
but someone I've known for years and
years and years on YouTube actually made
a post over um on Blossom and as a big
big news alert for those watching who
aren't Canadian Blossom is now
officially live in the US so as of two
days ago we've had a huge uh launch and
undertaking expanding to you know all of
North America well Joseph Hogan made a a
phenomenal post here um on the app
basically talking about this and in
particular the fact that the small cap
area uh the small cap you know market
value stocks might be a pocket worth
considering and actually prior to this
post for the past six maybe eight months
this has been kind of Brewing on my mind
as well and this is coming from somebody
who has never really put a good
allocation towards small caps it's just
never been on my radar never been
something I've cared for and possibly
you know a flaw on my end because I do I
think it's a very fair argument if
you're looking at your over all asset Pi
or asset allocation to have an
allocation to small caps just in general
let's say during all Market you know
environments let's say it's 5% maybe 10%
if you're a little more um aggressive
and okay with the
volatility assuming you can handle the
ups and down the small caps in general
it's actually not a terrible um asset to
hold by any stretch of the imagination I
remember actually looking at a bunch of
andex charts over the past number of
years that I'm always surprised at how
well the small cap indexes do over a
long periods of time it's just of course
a much more bumpier ride anywh who um
why this is an area that I think is of
interest is you're essentially playing
you know the interest rate cycle and
you're playing into these uh you know
the the higher beta
stocks as we know over the past you know
couple of years it's been really really
challenging for let's say more like
sensitive stocks right if a stock has a
higher beta meaning it essentially more
volatile you're going to see this a lot
with the smaller cap stocks maybe the
less established stocks uh more riskier
stocks I guess you could call it as
interest rates climbed and climbed and
climbed and the environment got uglier
and uglier coming out of covid and
inflation is high etc
etc these stocks took a big big big um
beating right a lot of the small cap
meme stocks that you may hold a lot of
the penny stocks uh it's just been a
very challenging year for past couple
years honestly for these companies and
that's completely logical because if you
understand like the concept of you know
flight to flight to Quality flight to
safety those terms are really
interchangeable what happens when the
environment and the macro environment
gets uglier and uglier and interest
rates go higher and higher it's more
expensive to borrow and more expensive
to operate as a business and things just
get
ugly a it's extremely challenging for
these companies that aren't as
financially sound like a lot of times
these smaller companies don't have
billions of billions of dollars in
reserves like a like a birkshire or like
like an apple or for example or Google
they're often like operationally way
more sensitive to that and secondarily
as an investor these are the stocks that
get hit first when the markets do take a
turn for the worst right I've given this
example before but if you have like
$100,000 in your portfolio and you need
to access some and you have you know a
stable Bank stock that you plan to hold
for your future retirement and you have
more of like a fun aggressive small cap
stock and you have a feeling or you
start seeing the market start to take a
turn for the worse you're going to pull
from from this um smaller cap stock like
they are just more sensitive that's just
the fact of the matter um that's very
logical and then when you have millions
and millions of investors doing that
there's a reason that these stocks you
know do drop harder when you know times
are ugly they are higher beta stocks
meaning they're more volatile more
sensitive to the moves in the market
well when the tides turn and I'm not
suggesting that I believe you know all
of a sudden 2024 is going to be
phenomenal year that's not what I'm
saying but we have started to hear like
inklings um you know hint at let's say
the potential for some interest rate
Cuts now whether that's going to happen
uh who knows uh we you know I've learned
not to trust these people but um
certainly when those cuts come and let's
say the the sentiment in the market
tends to you know pick back up I would
say another thing that's very much worth
keeping in mind is that 2024 is an
election year which is always
interesting years for the market but uh
you you tend to believe that you know
whoever's you know wanting to gather all
the votes uh for the election you know
they're gonna do what they can to
like you know prop things up and make
things a little bit like less gloomy
You' think right um there are a couple
like potential catalysts in the new year
that could work in favor uh for just the
broader Market in general and if that is
the case um when that tide starts to
turn it is a very fair argument to
argument to be made that being in a
higher beta stock or small cap stocks
which actually move you know let's say
double or triple to what the market
would typically do well of course you're
actually going to participate on more
upside right so a very very very fair
consideration there in my opinion like
how I would go about this personally is
I don't feel comfortable in my abilities
to go out and research like small cap
stocks in fact pretty much every small
cap stock I feel I've ever bought in um
has not worked out for me and I'm sure
you guys can probably think a couple on
the channel over the years of you know
these fun Flyers stocks that you that I
try buying and they just end up sucking
um it's different when you're investing
in let's say like a you know an
established Blue Chip you know well I
have a system and I have a process and
the resources and tools to help me come
to like an informed decision with a
small cap stock I'm just not as
confident in my skills right there's
usually not as much data out there like
in terms of financial history you got to
approach them differently I'm saying for
me I wouldn't be going out and picking a
bunch individually but maybe could play
this entire field in aggregate by buying
let's say an ETF um that
tracks uh a small cap Index right maybe
something like a Russell 2000 uh index
you can do some research on um on what
would be maybe a suitable option for you
but I think that's again possibly very
fair consideration I'm hopefully I'm
hopefully two for two right now and
again keep in mind I'd love to hear your
what you're thinking down below if you
guys agree or disagree but um moving on
to number
three this is one that I know you you
guys aren't going to agree with and like
rightfully so fairly so um this is
probably my first one well hopefully the
first one you guys don't like but I am
thinking um Chinese market the Chinese
market is due and I know that I've been
saying this now for two and a half years
essentially and I've been burned by this
you know if you guys as well were you
know went out and bought into these
Chinese stocks we've all been burned uh
my portfolio if you look at essentially
you know what's been dragging it down it
is my and 10cent uh positions that I was
so optimistic for and so you know
bullish on and I if you recall like back
when I bought my town house um and I
sold off my TFA Etc I like made these I
bumped these stocks up taking a big big
bet on this market and clearly like you
know big lesson for me is like you know
I swung for the fences and then it ended
up uh striking out right big time it
sucks that
said maybe I'm just being stubborn but
I'm not ready to to throw in the towel
just yet and uh without a doubt there
has been more negative news even just in
the past week um with more government
intervention I know there was a another
regulation that came in regarding
regarding video games right um and the
sale of uh uh monetization on video
games obviously a big negative for 10
cent one of my stocks which is huge in
the video game
Space these risks are all still there uh
the government risks is still there is
there risk of um you know War which we
keep hearing about more and more and
more Invasion yeah yeah yeah that don't
always be there and again I look at
everything for me I'm willing to take
those uh risks on a positive note we
have seen like Huawei the the you know
the phone company they actually just
reported very positive numbers Alibaba
has been buying back shares and they're
going to be buying back shares as a
long-term investor this is typically a
very positive sign to me when I see you
know the company willing to take their
capital and buy back their
shares the question I asked myself and I
asked myself this with any investment
but especially these you know two in my
portfolio is like stripping out
everything that's happened in the past
right like let's just forget what's
happened uh you know in the past year
two years in my performance at these
levels are these something that I would
want to buy is it a company that I would
want to hold the only reason you
wouldn't do this is if you could do tax
loss harvesting and then you actually do
need to factor in your losses but I I
don't I hold these in my tfsa so I can't
but I asked myself would I want to own
these shares at these levels today and
for me personally
the answer is yes therefore I will
continue to hold them and there's maybe
a world in which these never realize
because of uh because of all the various
reasons as to why they're priced so low
I think these are actually very very big
and um promising businesses and again
I'm extremely bullish long term over the
next decade on uh China as an economy
obviously they're going through a slump
right now like as with any economy they
go through their good times and bad
times certainly a lot of stuff to worry
about there but I just do think think
that um over the next decade um China
will continue to grow India will
continue to grow and you know these two
big big companies in there will actually
uh benefit you know there's like it's
very similar to if if you you know were
following meta over the past like year
and a bit right I remember the sentiment
around meta was extremely negative when
people were talking about how the stock
is dead and how they're blowing all this
money on the metaverse and whatnot and
it feels like in just like a snap of
your fingers like very very fast that
sentiment flipped and all of a sudden
they're up you know 200% 150% 200% right
like that seemed to have happened
overnight I foresee this happening as
well the possibility of this happening
with these Asian stocks is very fast if
there are a catalyst whether it's a you
know a new government or some sort of
positive deal uh with um you know the
two Nations because of how volatile
these these markets are when things
start to run they can run fast and I
just think think these levels they're at
uh depressed levels uh personally that
are worth considering so again you don't
have to agree in fact fairly disagree
down in the comment section below you
can let me know because you guys have
been right on this one uh not me but um
any who last number four um last pocket
of of area that I like fixed income okay
uh and fixed income you know again when
I talk about fixed income never in my
life have I gone out and bought bought
you know an individual Bond um I just
never have I know it is still possible
but I think it's just very uncommon what
I'm talking about here is more so uh
probably playing it through an ETF in my
portfolio right now I own two Bond ETFs
so uh a high yield bond fund so
xhy as well as TLT and I think you know
TLT is actually done quite well up about
20% xhy is you know I don't think up too
much up 5% keep in mind these are
excluding dividends right these are
actually just the share you know the
share price going up for a bond fund
obviously with the rates you know where
they are today that just flat out makes
um you know these these bond funds more
attractive right they're just a more
viable investment than they were you
know 3 four years ago when they were
paying like 1 and a half% 2% and you can
go buy a dividend that's going to pay
you more well now for a lot of investors
especially those in their Middle Ages if
you're getting a little bit older to
take a a safer or more conservative
asset like this and pull in a a
relatively secure rate rate like this to
me it's a very very long iCal thing to
do as well um on the topic of of
interest rates and again we hinted on
earlier that there's the possibility of
rates you know coming down potentially
up to three Cuts next year who
knows the fixed income Market that that
would in theory be a positive for the uh
bond market and for the fixing for for
our bond Holdings if the rates came down
and essentially the logic behind that is
you know let's assume I can go out and
buy a bond you know today right and this
bond is paying me like a 5% coupon or a
5% interest rate let's just say maybe
it's six let's just say five well if
rates come down as you know some people
are expecting and these new bonds are
being issued at you know lower and lower
rates right all these new bonds are
being issued are now at a 4% yield or 4%
coupon a 3% coupon etc etc my bond
that's paying 5% actually becomes more
attractive it actually ends up you know
trading at a premium right because the
price of the bond varies as well there's
like an inverse
uh correlation right when interest rates
go down the price of all these existing
bonds go up so there's a fair argument
if you believe that is the case to hold
these and again it's not like we have to
count on this what I'm saying is there's
already a strong Baseline and I guess
more so the question to ask yourself is
from these levels do you think it's more
likely interest rates go up or more
likely they go down and maybe they stay
flat who knows but in my opinion there's
probably more of a chance of them
staying flat SL you know trickling down
which would be uh favorable for these
types of Investments so like I said I
mean those are just like four areas that
I'm liking for me and I'll ask for you
now of those four you know now that I've
kind of explained as the reasoning as to
why leave a comment down below as to
whether you agree whether you disagree
and how many of those you um agree with
I'm hoping we get some like solid threes
out of fours uh fours out of fours I
totally understand if no one wants to uh
like uh be stubborn on this Chinese
holing with me that's totally fair um
but like I said hopefully not too many
ones or twos out of fours that's just
what I've been liking right and do
please do leave down in the comment
section below maybe some areas that I'm
overlooking or areas that might be
attractive maybe it's something like
crypto I don't know not for me um maybe
it's real estate maybe it's REITs um
what areas are you guys liking leave a
comment down below so our other viewers
can go uh and learn from you guys as
well if you enjoyed today's video please
do give it a thumbs up it's been a while
since I filmed the video it just feels
so like uh I feel Rusty you know I feel
I feel Rusty which means I got to get
back into the r rhythm of doing this
more and I'm very excited to do so I
have actually a bunch of video ideas for
2024 but as well if there's any
suggestions that you guys would like me
to um cover leave that down below um
because I will add those you know I read
them and add them to my list whether I
get to them right away or not but it's
been uh it's been super busy in all
honesty um between you know this YouTube
the academy uh my Instagram and and
Blossom obviously is just like really a
full-time thing at this point um I'm
trying my best to do all of this um and
keep everything running but I know you
guys are enjoying so much Mark's uh
content in the news like man such a
great way to stay up to date and uh for
those of you Tuning In You Know video
after video super super super cool guys
and thank you for the support over these
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