'Boots on the ground should not be be off the table' Ben Hodges interview | DW News

DW News
29 Feb 202419:15

Summary

TLDRRetired U.S. Army General Ben Hodes discusses the war in Ukraine and tensions within NATO. He criticizes the lack of clearly defined strategic objectives by Western leaders, argues Ukraine can still win with more Western support, and warns that another Trump presidency could jeopardize NATO cohesion and embolden Putin. Hodes also alleges the recent Hamas attack in Israel was not a coincidence but rather an effort by Iran to help Russia by diverting attention and resources from Ukraine.

Takeaways

  • 📝 Ben Hodes emphasizes the lack of strategic clarity from the West regarding their objectives in Ukraine, leading to conflicting statements and actions.
  • 🛡️ Macron's stance on keeping military intervention in Ukraine as an option is praised for strategic ambiguity, contrasting with explicit refusals from other leaders.
  • 💡 The inconsistency in European leadership and messages weakens the alliance, highlighting the need for clear U.S. objectives and coordination.
  • 👍 Germany's mixed signals—increased military spending and hesitancy in troop deployment—pose a risk to its leadership role and effectiveness in the crisis.
  • 🔥 The discussion on the necessity and potential effectiveness of sending troops to Ukraine underscores the importance of defining clear objectives.
  • 🛠️ Putin's nuclear threats are viewed as a bullying tactic that the West should not be deterred by, with a call for the West to remain focused on their strategic goals.
  • 🚨 Ukraine's potential for victory is linked to Western support and leadership, particularly through precision weapons and making Crimea untenable for Russian forces.
  • 📚 Domestic politics in the U.S. could impact support for Ukraine, with bipartisan support being crucial for ongoing aid.
  • 💰 Trump's potential policies on NATO and Ukraine are criticized as strategically illiterate and dangerous for both U.S. democracy and international relations.
  • 🌍 The Middle East conflict, particularly Iran's alignment with Russia, is seen as a strategic maneuver that diverts attention and resources from Ukraine.

Q & A

  • What does General Hodes say is missing when it comes to the West's strategic approach to the war in Ukraine?

    -General Hodes says what is missing right now is strategic clarity by the United States, Germany, and the West on the objectives in Ukraine. There needs to be clearly defined strategic objectives rather than vague statements about supporting Ukraine.

  • Why does General Hodes criticize President Biden's earlier statement about not sending American troops to Ukraine?

    -General Hodes criticizes President Biden's statement about not sending American boots on the ground because he believes it was a mistake and a gift to the Kremlin, communicating what the U.S. would not do and limiting options.

  • What are the three capabilities General Hodes says Ukraine needs to overpower Russia?

    -The three key capabilities General Hodes says Ukraine needs are: 1) Long-range precision weapons to make Crimea untenable for Russian forces, 2) Precision weapons to neutralize Russia's advantage of numbers by knocking out HQs, artillery, logistics, etc., 3) Weapons with sufficient range to hit targets across Russian-occupied Ukraine like the Taurus cruise missile.

  • Why does General Hodes say European countries like Germany have no reason to be tired in supporting Ukraine?

    -General Hodes says European countries like Germany have zero reason to be tired because not one German soldier has even broken a fingernail. He says the real tiredness is from the failure of political leaders to clearly explain objectives and why the war matters.

  • What does General Hodes say Ukraine needs to do to fix problems with military manpower and rotation?

    -General Hodes says Ukraine's government has to get serious and make political decisions to fix problems with the military personnel system, recall reservists, institute universal conscription if needed. This will allow proper troop rotation so units don't get exhausted.

  • What threat does General Hodes say another Trump presidency could pose for NATO cohesion?

    -General Hodes says Trump encouraging Putin to take actions against NATO allies not spending enough on defense, signals to the Kremlin that NATO cohesion could unravel. This could dangerously undermine deterrence like during the Cold War.

  • Why does General Hodes believe the recent Hamas attack in Israel helped Russia?

    -General Hodes believes the Hamas attack diverted resources and ammunition from going to Ukraine to Israel. It also created massive political problems for President Biden related to U.S. support for Israel, disrupting and delaying the Ukraine aid bill.

  • What transactional deal does General Hodes worry Trump could make with Putin over Ukraine if re-elected?

    -General Hodes worries Trump could make a transactional deal promising Putin that Ukraine would never join NATO in exchange for Russian military withdrawal. Trump wants flexibility for deals rather than coordinating within NATO.

  • What evidence does General Hodes say contradicts Trump’s claim that Putin would not have invaded Ukraine if he were president?

    -General Hodes says there is zero evidence to support Trump's claim. Trump has not provided any logical argument of how Putin would have been deterred from invading Ukraine under his leadership.

  • How could improved U.S. strategic thinking help address security threats from the Russia-Iran alliance that General Hodes highlights?

    -General Hodes says the U.S. needs to recognize Russia and Iran are each other's top allies and think more strategically about countering this alliance. This could help avoid incidents like the convenient Hamas attack diverting focus from Russia's war.

Outlines

00:00

🤝 Introducing Guest Speaker General Hodes

The host welcomes retired US Army General Ben Hodes to the show and sets the stage for discussing conflicting signals from Europe regarding the Ukraine war. Topics include whether to send troops to Ukraine, Putin's nuclear threats, coordinating allies, and clarifying strategic objectives.

05:01

📈 Germany's Military Spending and Support for Ukraine

The host and General Hodes discuss Germany's increasing military budget over the last few years and positive steps like agreeing to send a brigade to support Ukraine. However, Germany's leader recently made concerning anti-troop comments and refused to provide advanced weapons to Ukraine.

10:02

😤 Ukraine Can Win the War with Western Weapons

General Hodes believes Ukraine can still win the war and eject Russia back to 1991 borders, but it requires American and German leadership and advanced weapons. He outlines specific capabilities Ukraine needs like long-range precision weapons to make Crimea untenable and neutralize Russia's manpower advantage.

15:06

👀 Domestic US Politics Affecting Ukraine Support

The host asks about prospects for Congress passing a new Ukraine aid bill, which General Hodes says depends on whether enough Republicans vote with Democrats to overcome obstruction. He criticizes how ugly American domestic politics are playing out on the world stage regarding Ukraine.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Russia

Russia is mentioned multiple times in the context of the war in Ukraine and the Russian invasion. General Hodes discusses Russia's nuclear threats, relationship with the US under Trump, objectives in the war, and more. He notes that clearly defining objectives in the war is key, including ejecting Russia back to its 1991 borders.

💡Ukraine

Ukraine is central to the discussion, as the video focuses on the war in Ukraine and support for Ukraine. General Hodes talks about military aid for Ukraine, Ukraine's ability to win the war, the importance of Ukraine winning, and commitments needed from Ukraine like fixing personnel systems.

💡Objectives

General Hodes emphasizes the need for clear strategic objectives several times. He criticizes the lack of clarity around objectives in supporting Ukraine and says clearly defined objectives are needed before committing troops or aid to understand purpose and strategy.

💡Nuclear

Russia's nuclear threats are discussed as Putin threatened nuclear retaliation if troops are sent to Ukraine. General Hodes believes these threats are empty and meant to deter the West, saying the West shouldn't be easily rattled and should double down on objectives.

💡Precision weapons

General Hodes names precision weapons as one of the key capabilities Ukraine needs to overpower Russia. These allow targeting logistics, HQs, artillery to neutralize Russia's manpower advantage and make Crimea untenable.

💡Germany

Germany's role is mentioned several times. General Hodes praises increased military spending but notes confusing signaling recently. He says Germany should help guide Europe given its economic power and has the most to lose if Ukraine fails.

💡Trump

Donald Trump's past and potential future relationship with Russia and NATO is discussed. General Hodes worries Trump could sacrifice Ukraine through a transactional deal with Putin and damage NATO cohesion with comments welcoming Russian aggression.

💡Iran

Late in the discussion, General Hodes theorizes that the recent Hamas attack may have been coordinated with Russia/Iran to divert attention and resources from Ukraine in a disruptive move that helps Russia.

💡Congress

General Hodes discusses the battle in Congress over a Ukraine aid bill, which most Republicans support but is being held up by Speaker McCarthy over pressure from Trump factions. He calls it an 'ugly' display.

💡China

China is mentioned by General Hodes at the end when he notes the Ukraine conflict is also being closely watched by China in terms of implications for the US-led global order.

Highlights

There is a lack of strategic clarity from the West on objectives in Ukraine

Macron was right to say that the option of sending troops should be kept open

Germany's reluctance to provide aid is the most out of step with other allies

Increasing military spending shows Germany's commitment, but recent comments undermine unity

Before sending troops, clearly define the objective and purpose

Ignoring Putin's nuclear threats is the best response

Ukraine can win by ejecting Russia back to 1991 borders

Ukraine needs long range precision weapons to make Crimea untenable

The West has no reason to get tired supporting Ukraine

Another Trump presidency would be bad for US democracy and allies

Trump may sacrifice Ukraine in a transactional deal with Putin

The attack on Israel diverted resources from Ukraine

There is no evidence that Putin would not have invaded under Trump

Russia and Iran are each other's best allies

The attack on Israel creates problems for Biden's support of Israel and Ukraine aid

Transcripts

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Ben Hodes is a retired United States

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Army officer who served as Commanding

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General of the US Army Europe he now

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lives in Frankfurt we meet him in

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Washington where he is attending a

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security conference General hutches it's

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always great to have you on DW and I

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think it's especially great to have you

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today because there are so many topics

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we could uh uh learn from you and maybe

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you can help us understand um we

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observing conflicting signals from

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Europe right now on the one hand there's

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uh the French uh president Emanuel

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macron uh who said um we should send

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troops to Ukraine uh to assist in

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defending against the Russian invasion

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on the other hand there's the German

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chancellor who says no and then the

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German Chancellor said or implicated

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that there might be already British uh

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soldiers on the ground and of course the

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Brits denied and then we have Vladimir

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Putin who says if you send in troops you

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will get a nuclear answer a lot to sort

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out maybe I start with a simple question

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is uh German Chancellor uh Olaf Schultz

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right when he says there are already

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British troops on the ground in Ukraine

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well of course um I don't know that if

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it is true it's not the place of the

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German bonness counselor to announce it

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if the British have not announced it um

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you know what's what's missing right now

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is strategic Clarity by the United

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States by Germany by the West on on our

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objective I what are we trying to

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accomplish uh when we say well we're

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with Ukraine for as long as it takes or

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we don't want Ukraine to lose those are

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not clear strategic objectives and so

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you end up with these nonsensical

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arguments about that you just described

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I thought it was terrific that president

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mcon said we should not take that off

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the table he didn't say we're going to

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send them he said we should not take the

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option off the table because why would

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you why would you communicate to your

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adversary What You Won't Do um even if

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you never intended to do it why would

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why would you say that so um I thought

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president mcon what he did was correct

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uh my own president made a mistake back

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before the beginning of the large scale

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Invasion when he said no American boots

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on the ground why would you say that

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it's not it's not uh um that's just a

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gift to the kremin communicating what

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you want do right but obviously M didn't

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talk to other European leaders before he

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said that is this like strategically

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motivated or is it just a mistake or

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that's a great question and I don't I

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don't know why he would have said

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something like he could have said French

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troops and without having to coordinate

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but clearly if you're going to say the

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EU or european troops something like

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that that probably should have been

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better coordinated with other countries

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Europe is like really sending out all

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these different signals how how much

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does this weaken the alliance the United

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States has got to be very very clear on

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what its objective is uh its

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expectations of everybody and then do

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what the US traditionally has done which

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is to make sure we're all uh coordinated

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in our efforts to to do the necessary

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work with allies to make sure that we're

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in sync on the objectives and the way

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ahead and we haven't done that I mean

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other than this famous Ramstein contact

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group that meets every month um you

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don't get the feeling that the US

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Administration is doing the necessary

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work uh

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diplomatically for us to remain United

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now secretary John stoltenberg superb uh

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Admiral Bower the chairman of the

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military committee superb General cavoli

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Supreme allly Commander superb but the

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Nations do seem disjointed and I think

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um to be candid unfortunately the German

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bundus counselor seems the one that is

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the most out of step with everybody else

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it must be really painful for him to be

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having to do things he's doing now

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providing Aid to Ukraine building up the

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bundes fair different from what he ever

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imagined he would be doing when he was a

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younger politician but it's essential I

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mean Germany the most prosperous richest

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country in Europe the massive uh

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Industrial

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capacity um has has got to help guide

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otherwise if Ukraine fails we're we're

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going to be in a terrible conflict with

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Russia in Europe and Germany is going to

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pay a massive price the thing that

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always wanted to avoid is coming back

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but we have to be fair with the German

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Chancellor there was this Titan vender

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and they really like increasing the

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spending uh in the military uh budget

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absolutely that's that's what's so

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confusing is because two years ago it

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was like you know San Venda 100 billion

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euros um and then even the other day you

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know he's out there breaking ground for

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an ammunition Factory another thing I'm

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sure he never imagined he would do these

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are all good positive steps uh Germany

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agreeing to a brigade brigata

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lowan um by 2027 these are very powerful

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strong signals

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but then on the other hand here in just

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the last few days he's

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undone uh or damaged this sense of

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Germany really leaning forward with the

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uh um almost panicky statement like

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we're not going to put troops on the

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ground um and the absolute refusal to

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provide Taurus um I mean very very

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clearly no way we're going to do that um

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which I think is unfortunate because

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that would really be helpful to Ukraine

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would you think it would make sense

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sending troops into Ukraine not without

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having clearly Define the objective I

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mean what what is the purpose uh this is

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a mistake we all make too many times is

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to send troops send things send money

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but for what end and that's the hardest

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thing for our political leaders to do to

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clearly Define the Strategic objective

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what are you trying to accomplish and if

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you have a clearly defined objective and

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and you're sticking with that then you

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can come up with policy that makes sense

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we don't we don't have the clearly

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defined objective yet so um if I was an

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American Soldier or a German bondes fa

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I'd like okay so what what is my purpose

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here I'm not against going but what am I

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supposed to accomplish but you say when

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should keep this option absolutely on

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the table of course make the Russians

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worry about it give them problems to

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worry about instead of reducing their

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problems Vladimir Putin was very clear

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he said if you send in troops I will

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give you a nuclear answer how how

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serious is this threat U

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zero this is this is what Russia does um

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because they see how

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easily um rattled we are when they talk

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about they might use a nuclear weapon I

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mean we have been deterring ourself for

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years just because they somebody says oh

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we might move a nuclear weapon into

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bellus which does nothing to improve the

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nuke or increase the chances of it being

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used but just by making that

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announcement that becomes a topic for

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days and days or the other day oh Russia

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might be putting a nuclear weapon in

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space okay everybody that's all they can

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talk about and so the Kremlin sees how

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easily we deter ourself

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and um so when I try to think

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practically all right what would they

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do there are no positive outcomes for

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Russia if they use a nuclear weapon zero

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nothing there's nothing that they could

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destroy um that would win the war for

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them or make things better it'd be the

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opposite you know President Biden said

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you use a nuclear weapon catastrophic

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consequences for Russia China has said

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do not use a nuclear weapon and so I

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think the Russians realize that their

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nuclear weapons are most effective when

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they don't actually use them they just

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talk about them and it's amazing to me

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that we continue to fall for

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this uh bullying threat so you basically

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say ignoring is the best

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answer I would double down on what is

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our objective say we're not going to be

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deterred by this this uh these threats

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um we we're on the right side here we

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are protecting the UN Charter we are

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protecting sovereignty you go down why

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why Ukraine matters to all of us that

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this is not some charity case over in

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Eastern Europe this affects Europe's

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security and prosperity which affects us

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the Chinese obviously are watching so

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number one make it very clear what our

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objective is number two say we have

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thousands of nuclear weapons so

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don't don't come to me with your your

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empty threat and then we make it clear

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that our objective is for Ukraine to win

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and we give them what they need to

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win I would like to move to that

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question exactly um so you're very well

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connected uh around the world but also

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with uh people in Ukraine the conflict

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appears to be at a still stand do you

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believe that you that Ukraine still can

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win uh this war and how so I absolutely

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believe that Ukraine can win and that

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it's important that they win and win

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means eject Russia back to the 1991

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border uh of course for that to happen

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uh it's going to take American and

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German leadership and support for that

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to happen um this this thing could could

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have been in a much different place

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months ago if we had committed to

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helping them win uh instead of what

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we're doing um what would they need

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uh to overpower Russia all right well

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there's probably three sort of different

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capabilities come to mind immediately

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and there is no one wonder weapon there

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is no one thing that's a complete

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GameChanger okay uh but obviously the

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capabilities they need um are to make

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Crimea untenable for the Russian forces

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so that means long range Precision

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weapons and there's different types that

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could hit every every part of the Navy

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base

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air bases Logistics

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headquarters uh in Crimea and there's

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nowhere to hide there so we know where

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everything is in

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Crimea the ukrainians just need the

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ability to hit that make it untenable

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that's the most important piece of

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ground of of Russian occupied Ukraine

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number one number two the way you

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neutralize Russia's

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Mass U their advantage of numbers is

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with precision

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knockout headquarters knockout artillery

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knockout Logistics if you do those then

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these huge numbers of

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untrained uh cannon fodder that they

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bring much less effective so again that

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means you need long range Precision

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weapons and every square meter of

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Russian occupied Ukraine is inside 300

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kilm so that Taurus at tachs uh other

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weapon systems like that would be very

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effective how long can this war go on

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before the West in the Western countries

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get tired well of course I I'm glad you

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asked that because we have zero reason

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to get tired I mean not one American

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Soldier or German bundes Soldier has

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even broken a fingernail so I mean what

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are we tired of um we should be tired of

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the failure of our political leaders to

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explain what what's the objective and

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why this matters um the ukrainians of

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course have reason to be tired but

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everything that I see and hear from

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ukrainians with whom I

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speak they they they can't stop because

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they know what happens in Ukrainian

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Villages when the Russians show up

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ukrainians do have to fix their

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personnel system um they've got over 2

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million women and men that are military

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age but tens of thousands of them are

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are in Germany Poland Romania Baltic

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countries uh they're not attracted to

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military service there are tens of

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thousands that are in Ukraine that are

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not in the military so um and the

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average age of Ukrainian soldiers is

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like over 40 it's incredible so this is

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a political decision the government has

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got to get serious uh otherwise they not

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only do they risk all of their units

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being ated

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terribly and and soldiers becoming

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exhausted because there's no rotation

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but also I worry that uh some Nations

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will begin to uh be less willing to

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support Ukraine if ukrainians are not

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even fully committed

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themselves talking about governments I

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think we have to uh turn our attention

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briefly to the situation in Washington

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you are well connected to lawmakers from

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both sides from both political parties

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do you think uh they will reach an

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agreement uh on a new Ukraine Bill

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members of Congress including the

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majority of Republicans actually support

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this so so now this is a real test uh

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for speaker Johnson that he um is able

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to withstand pressure from

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Trump um or do enough Republicans decide

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to vote with Democrats using one of the

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parliamentary procedures that would

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allow them to have an uh vote on the

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floor so this is

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unfortunately you know American domestic

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politics is playing out in front of the

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whole world it's ugly and uh totally

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unnecessary and I think U it it not only

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gives Russia an advantage for a period

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of time but it also will cause our

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allies to think what the hell is wrong

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with the United States talking about

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Trump I think we have to address this

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briefly um he is threatening to withdraw

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from NATO or at least drastically uh

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reduce the US support if he would be

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reelected how danger is this how sorry

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how dangerous is this uh not only for

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NATO but also for the US itself well of

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course another Trump presidency would be

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bad news for our

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democracy uh it would be bad news for

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how other nations view us as a uh a good

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example of a liberal democratic country

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um but but in Practical terms it's

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dangerous when he encourages Vladimir

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Putin to do quote whatever the hell he

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wants to a NATO country that um is not

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investing uh enough into their own

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defense uh a remarkable degree of

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strategic illiteracy when he says things

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like that you know that's a signal to

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the Kremlin that okay the cohesion of

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the alliance which has always been the

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glue the what made NATO so strong and

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what successfully deterred the Soviet

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Union for decades and now Russia Donald

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Trump has an interesting relationship

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with Vladimir

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Putin do you think it's possible that he

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would once in office sacrifice

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Ukraine um I think given his

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transactional

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nature I believe it is possible I think

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that uh you know when Trump says I can

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solve this in 24 hours of course what he

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talking about is that he tells Vladimir

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Putin hey look um you pull out let get

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an agreement and uh I'll make sure

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Ukraine never gets into NATO for example

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things like that or you can have Ukraine

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but you're going to have to do something

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else over here um I think that uh Mr

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Trump does not care about

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2% he he I don't think he wants to be

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encumbered by an alliance where he has

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to get agreement with 31 or 32 30 or 31

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other nations soon to be

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31 instead I think he sees himself like

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an 18th century ruler him X and Putin

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and they're the ones that kind of figure

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it all out I think that's what he really

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wants the 2% thing is just a uh a weapon

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uh that he uses my last question is

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Donald Trump repeatedly says um with him

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in the White House Putin would not have

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invaded Ukraine and there would be no

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war in the Middle

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East there's zero evidence uh to to

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support that um in the Middle

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East I think that we have got to think

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more

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strategically to recognize that Iran is

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Russia's best Ally and Russia is Iran's

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best Ally and I don't think that the

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attack on October the 7th by Hamas was a

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coincidence I think that this as part of

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Iran taking advantage of an opportunity

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doing something that helps Putin because

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surely the Palestinians were not helped

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the Russians were helped explain why the

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attack helps or helped uh Russia well it

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diverted uh attention and resources

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immediately I mean literally ammunition

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things that would have been going

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Ukraine immediately were shifted to

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Israel and it creates a massive uh

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political problem for President Biden

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also I mean you know as you know here at

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home we've got challenges with people uh

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unhappy with uh American support for

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Israel this is a big problem um and and

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now this is all held up the the Ukraine

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Aid bill is tied to Israel to Taiwan and

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the Border um so this disruptive effect

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as well as literally a diversion of

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resources away from Ukraine helps Russia

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General Hotes thank you so much thank

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you for the privilege

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feel it's right me

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sir