BITCOIN MARKET REVERSAL (Final Warning)!!!! Bitcoin News Today & Ethereum Price Prediction!

Crypto World
4 Aug 202415:07

Summary

TLDRIn this crypto market analysis, Josh discusses Bitcoin's critical support levels, noting its proximity to bearish trend reversal as the Super Trend indicator turns red below $56k. He highlights Ethereum's break below key support, signaling a bearish trend, and Solana's entry into oversold territory. Despite the bearish outlook, Josh emphasizes opportunities for profit in a bear market through accumulation and short positions. He also mentions the impact of the DXY's drop due to a rare recession warning indicator, affecting market sentiment.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“‰ Bitcoin is nearing a critical support level and potential trend reversal with the Super Trend indicator turning red if the price closes below $56,000.
  • πŸ”„ Ethereum has broken below a significant support level between $2,800 and $2,950, indicating a bearish signal for the price.
  • πŸ“Š Salana's price has also broken below a previous support area, with the next support level between $120 and $128.
  • πŸ“ˆ Despite the bearish outlook, there are still opportunities in the crypto market, such as accumulating coins at lower prices or shorting positions.
  • πŸ“Š The daily Bitcoin RSI is approaching oversold territory but has not yet reached it, suggesting there may be more downside before a potential bounce.
  • πŸ“‰ The DXY index is dropping, typically bullish for Bitcoin, but the current drop is due to a recession warning indicator, making it bearish.
  • 🧭 The 12-hour Bitcoin RSI has entered oversold territory, which could indicate an upcoming bounce but does not confirm a bullish trend reversal.
  • πŸ’‘ The presenter suggests using platforms like Bybit and Bitflex for trading, with potential bonuses and without the need for KYC in some cases.
  • πŸ—“οΈ The presenter emphasizes the importance of understanding market trends and using various strategies to profit in different market conditions.
  • ⏳ The presenter warns that the short-term trend for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Salana is bearish and advises caution, with potential for further price declines.

Q & A

  • What is the current situation of Bitcoin according to the video?

    -Bitcoin is approaching a critical area of support and is entering oversold territories on the 4-day time frame. The price is close to confirming a reversal on larger time frames, with the Super Trend indicator potentially flipping to red if the 4-day candle closes below around 56,000.

  • What does the Super Trend indicator signify in the context of the video?

    -The Super Trend indicator has been green throughout the bull market since the beginning of 2023 and red during the bear market in 2022. It helps in identifying whether the market is in a bull or bear phase on larger time frames.

  • What is the significance of the 56,000 level for Bitcoin's price?

    -The 56,000 level is a critical support area for Bitcoin. If the price breaks below this level and closes with a 4-day candle below it, it would confirm a bearish trend reversal according to the Super Trend indicator.

  • What is the current stance of the speaker on the short-term trend of Bitcoin?

    -The speaker is bearish on the short-term trend of Bitcoin, expecting further bearish price action and a continuation of the downtrend, especially if the price breaks below the 56,000 support level.

  • What does the speaker suggest about opportunities in a bear market?

    -The speaker suggests that even in a bear market, there are opportunities such as accumulating coins at cheaper prices or looking for short positions to profit from the downtrend.

  • What is the impact of the DXY dump on Bitcoin, as mentioned in the video?

    -The dump in the DXY is typically considered bullish for Bitcoin, but in this case, it is bearish due to a recession warning indicator flashing, which is a rare and bearish signal for the markets.

  • What is the current support level for Ethereum according to the video?

    -Ethereum has broken below a critical support level between 2,800 and 2,950. The next level of support to watch is between 2,200 and 2,500, with a potential move down to the 2,100 to 2,200 range if 2,500 fails to hold.

  • What is the significance of the clean break below support for Ethereum?

    -The clean break below the support level indicates an extremely bearish signal, suggesting that the trend for Ethereum has reversed from bullish to bearish on the daily time frame.

  • What is the current situation of Solana's price according to the video?

    -Solana has broken below a previous area of support between 140 and 144, and the next area of support to watch is between 120 and 128. If 120 is broken, the price could move down towards 100 to 106.

  • What does the speaker suggest about trading opportunities in the current market conditions?

    -The speaker suggests that despite the bearish trend, there are still opportunities to make money in crypto through short positions and by trading on platforms like Bybit and Bitflex, which are mentioned in the video.

  • What is the speaker's view on the short-term trend of Solana?

    -The speaker is bearish on the short-term trend of Solana, expecting more bearish price action since the price broke below 170, and advises to watch for potential support levels and RSI oversold signals for any relief or bounce.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ“‰ Bitcoin's Critical Support Test and Bearish Indicators

Josh begins the crypto analysis by discussing Bitcoin's approach to a crucial support level, potentially leading to lower prices. He highlights the Super Trend indicator, which has remained green since the start of 2023, indicating a bull market but is now at risk of turning red, signaling a bear market if Bitcoin's 4-day candle closes below $56,000. The video also touches on Ethereum breaking below critical support and Solana entering oversold territory. Josh emphasizes that even in a bear market, there are opportunities for accumulation and short positions.

05:00

πŸ“ˆ Potential Bull Flag for Bitcoin Amidst Bearish Signals

The summary of the second paragraph focuses on the possibility of a bullish reversal for Bitcoin if it can hold above $56,000 and bounce back quickly. However, Josh warns that a failure to do so and a close below this level could confirm a bearish trend reversal. He also discusses the DXY's impact on Bitcoin, noting that the current drop in DXY, typically bullish for Bitcoin, is not the case due to a rare recession warning indicator. The daily Bitcoin chart shows a critical support area between $56,000 and $57,000, with a break below this level pointing towards further support between $51,000 and $53,000.

10:02

πŸ“‰ Analyzing Bitcoin's RSI and Support Levels for Potential Bounce

In the third paragraph, Josh examines the daily Bitcoin RSI, which is nearing oversold territory but has not yet reached it, suggesting there is room for further price decline before a potential bounce. He discusses the normalcy of slight bounces during a downtrend and his bearish stance on Bitcoin's short-term price action. Additionally, he provides trading platform recommendations and details about a lucky draw for viewers, as well as an analysis of the 12-hour Bitcoin chart, which shows the RSI entering oversold territory for the first time in about a month, indicating a possible upcoming bounce.

15:02

🚫 Ethereum and Solana's Bearish Breakdowns and Trading Opportunities

The final paragraph summarizes the bearish trends for Ethereum and Solana. Ethereum has experienced a significant break below a critical support level, with the next support level identified around $2,200. Solana has also broken below previous support, with the next area of interest between $120 and $128. Josh reiterates the potential for trading opportunities even in a bearish market, such as short positions, and encourages viewers to learn how to trade in various market conditions. He concludes by inviting viewers to watch additional educational videos on his channel.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Crypto Channel

The 'Crypto Channel' refers to the online platform or channel where the speaker, Josh, shares his analysis and insights about cryptocurrencies. It's the main setting for the video's content, serving as a hub for discussions on crypto market trends and analysis.

πŸ’‘Bitcoin

Bitcoin is a digital currency and the first decentralized cryptocurrency, which is a key focus of the video. The script discusses its price movements, market trends, and its potential impact on the broader crypto market.

πŸ’‘Support Level

In the context of the video, a 'support level' is a price point where an asset, like Bitcoin, is expected to find buying interest and potentially stabilize or rebound. The video discusses critical support levels for Bitcoin and the implications of breaking below these levels.

πŸ’‘Oversold Territories

The term 'oversold territories' is used to describe a situation where an asset's price has fallen to a level that may be considered undervalued based on technical analysis indicators. The video mentions Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies entering these territories, suggesting potential upcoming reversals or bounces in price.

πŸ’‘Super Trend Indicator

The 'Super Trend Indicator' is a technical analysis tool mentioned in the script, which helps in identifying the overall trend direction of the market. It has been green during the bull market and flipping to red would signal a bearish trend reversal.

πŸ’‘Bear Market

A 'bear market' is characterized by falling prices and negative sentiment, which is a significant theme in the video. The script discusses the potential for the crypto market, particularly Bitcoin, to enter a bear market based on current trends.

πŸ’‘Ethereum

Ethereum, often abbreviated as 'ETH', is another major cryptocurrency discussed in the video. The script highlights its price action, particularly its break below a critical support level, indicating a bearish trend.

πŸ’‘Liquidation Heat Map

The 'Liquidation Heat Map' is a visual representation of the price levels at which open positions in the market are likely to be closed due to margin calls. The video uses this tool to analyze the potential impact on the market and to predict future price movements.

πŸ’‘RSI (Relative Strength Index)

The 'RSI' is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. In the video, it is used to assess overbought or oversold conditions in the market. The script mentions the RSI for Bitcoin and Solana, indicating potential short-term reversals.

πŸ’‘Bearish Price Action

The term 'bearish price action' refers to a decline in the price of an asset, which is a central theme in the video. The script consistently points out bearish signals and patterns for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, suggesting further declines.

πŸ’‘Bybit

Bybit is a cryptocurrency exchange mentioned in the video where the speaker conducts most of his trades. It is highlighted as a platform offering a deposit bonus and a lucky draw for viewers, indicating a promotional aspect of the video.

πŸ’‘Bitflex

Bitflex is another cryptocurrency exchange mentioned as an alternative to Bybit, especially for viewers who cannot access or complete KYC on Bybit. It represents a part of the video's content related to trading platforms in the crypto space.

πŸ’‘Solana

Solana is a high-performance blockchain platform and its native cryptocurrency, also called Solana, is discussed in the video. The script describes its price breaking below a previous support level, indicating a continuation of bearish momentum.

Highlights

Bitcoin is approaching a critical support area, with potential for much lower prices if the support breaks.

The Super Trend indicator, which has been green since the beginning of 2023, may flip to red signaling a bearish trend reversal if Bitcoin's 4-day candle closes below 56,000.

Ethereum has broken below a critical support level, marking a bearish price structure.

Salana is entering oversold territories on the chart, indicating a potential for a price bounce.

Even in a bear market, there are opportunities such as accumulating coins at lower prices or short positions for profit.

The DXY is dumping due to a rare recession warning indicator, which is typically a bearish signal for markets.

Bitcoin's daily chart shows a critical support area between 56,000 to 57,000, with a potential quick move to 51,000 to 53,000 if support breaks.

The daily Bitcoin RSI is nearing oversold territories, suggesting a potential bounce may be imminent.

The 12-hour Bitcoin RSI has entered oversold territories, indicating a possible upcoming bounce.

Ethereum's daily chart shows a significant break below a previously strong support area, suggesting further bearish momentum.

The 50% Fibonacci retracement level for Ethereum is around 22,000, which could act as the next support.

Salana's price has broken below previous support, with the next area of interest between 120 to 128.

The 12-hour RSI for Salana is entering oversold territories, hinting at a potential short-term bullish relief.

A bearish divergence in Salana's RSI has played out, pushing the price down significantly.

Trading strategies for making profits in various market conditions, including bearish and sideways movements, are discussed.

Links to trading platforms and educational resources for trading crypto are provided for viewers interested in trading opportunities.

Transcripts

play00:00

welcome back to the crypto Channel if

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you're on my name is Josh and right now

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Bitcoin is running into this final

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critical area of support before

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potentially much lower prices as the

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price of Bitcoin is now entering into

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oversold territories on this time frame

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while ethereum is now already breaking

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to the downside below this critical

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support while salana is also entering

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into oversaw territories on this chart

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so I'll be talking about all of that and

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more later in the video so definitely

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watch to the end

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first of all starting off on the 4-day

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Bitcoin chart and right now the price of

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Bitcoin is getting extremely close to

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confirming the reversal on the larger

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time frames because in case you're new

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to this channel this indicator right

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here is the super Trend indicator and it

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stayed green this entire time the entire

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bull market since the beginning of 2023

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and of course it was read during 2022

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during the bare market and so overall

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the super trendy indicator has done a

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pretty good job at telling us whether or

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not we're in a bare Market or a bull

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market on the larger time frames not the

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short-term moves here the short-term

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dumps or bearish Trends in the shorter

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term but the larger bullish and bearish

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moves and this indicator right here will

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flip back into the red it will confirm a

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bearish trend reversal on the larger

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time frames pointing towards a bare

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Market if we see a 4-day candle close

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below around 56,000 n and so obviously

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as I've recorded in this video the price

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of Bitcoin is getting very close to that

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56k level and if we start breaking below

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56k and more importantly see candle

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closes below that level then in that

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case that would confirm a trend reversal

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signal in this indicator on this time

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frame and we also have to consider the

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fact that we've just put in another

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lower high on the larger time frames

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obviously we had this previous lower

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high right here but just recently we put

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in yet another lower high in the price

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of Bitcoin which is bearish price

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structure this is not bullish price

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structure and so the only hope at this

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stage for the bull market to really

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continue is for the price to simply just

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hold above 56,000 and bounce very soon

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from this level and potentially this

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could turn out to be a giant bull flag

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if that actually happens if we see a

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bounce very very soon and a recovery in

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the next few weeks but if this pullback

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right here continues even just for the

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next few days or so below 56,000 and in

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3 days from now we have that next 4day

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candle close if that's below 56,000 then

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once again that would Point towards the

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end of the bull market and now there's

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some people out there that think the

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bare Market is just a place where

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everyone loses money but that is not

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true at all because even during a bare

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Market there's still plenty of

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opportunities for example you could

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accumulate coins at cheaper prices or

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you could look for short positions to

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actually profit on on the way down and

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so just because the trend might be

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looking more bearish even on the larger

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time frames if we start entering into a

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bit more of a bearish market there's

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still plenty of opportunities basically

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at all time in crypto no matter where

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you look you just have to know what

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you're doing and so that's the situation

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right now on this 4-day Bitcoin chart

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but if we're taking a look at this daily

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Bitcoin chart as of right now the dxy is

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still dumping and like I said a couple

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of days ago here on the channel really

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the main reason why we've seen a dump

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just recently here in the dxy is because

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of that recession warning indicator that

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I talked about a couple of days ago here

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on the channel and so typically usually

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under normal circumstances a dump in the

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dxy is considered bullish for Bitcoin

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and crypto as we've seen time and time

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again throughout bitcoin's history but

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this time around this is not a typical

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example of this happening because like I

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said a couple of days ago here on the

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channel this is caused by a recession

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warning indicator that's flashing right

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now a very rare signal that's flashing

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that usually only happens roughly once

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in a decade and so due to that extremely

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rare bearish signal that's flashing

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right now and was flashing a couple of

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days ago as I said here on the channel a

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few days ago this is not a typical dump

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in the dxy it's caused by another Factor

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that's very bearish which is why we're

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seeing a lot of markets at the moment

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basically dump and if you missed my last

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few videos here on the channel

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definitely watch those videos especially

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the video that I posted a couple of days

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ago talking about the recession warning

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check that video out if you want to know

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what I'm talking about when it comes to

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the recession warning and why it's so

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bearish for markets but with that being

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said taking a look at this daily Bitcoin

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chart and right now as I've recorded in

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this video the price of Bitcoin is

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running into this critical area of

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support based on previous support in the

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price of Bitcoin sitting in between

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around 56 to

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57,000 and obviously over the last one

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day we broke below that 60,00 000

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support level 60 to 61,000 and like I

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said in my last video I said yesterday

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expect a very quick move from 60,000 to

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57,000 if we break below 60,000 I said

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that's going to be a quick move to the

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downside to the next support and that's

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exactly what we have seen as expected

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and so right now once again the support

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to pay attention to at the moment is 56

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to 57,000 but if we break below 56,000

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with confirmation so especially if we

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see a candle CL on The Daily time frame

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below 56k then in that case expect a

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quick move down towards this area of

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support in between 51,000 to 53,000 that

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is coming next if we see a break below

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56,000 first and also if we're looking

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at the daily Bitcoin RSI this is getting

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extremely close to oversaw territories

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but it's not there just yet which means

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we still technically have some more room

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to the downside here in the short term

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so we could go lower before potentially

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seeing the next sort of Bounce at some

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point we'll see some sort of Bounce

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whether it's here or at a lower price

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and once again we do have a little bit

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more room to the downside based on the

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RSI but we're getting very close to

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oversold territories and like I've been

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saying since the price broke below this

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area of support at around 63 to 64,000

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as of right now since then I'm still

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bearish on the price of Bitcoin here in

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the short term for the trend and

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momentum so nothing's really changed

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over the last few days I am still

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bearish and obviously we continue to

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play out the bearish price action as

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expected so once again expect bearish

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price action but along the way down it

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is normal to see perhaps some slight

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bounces here and there around support so

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just keep that in mind as well usually

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the price does not often move just in a

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straight line we usually see some

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bounces and pullbacks and things like

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that along the way and just before

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taking a look at some other important

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charts today first if you actually want

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to trade any of these moves in the price

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of Bitcoin or any other crypto

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personally I take just about all of my

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trades over on bybit so I'll make sure

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to leave a link to bybit down below this

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video in the description and in the

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pinned comment and if you use that link

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down below this video to make a buybit

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account and deposit on that account then

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you can get up to a $30,000 deposit

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bonus but only if you use that link down

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below this video and also if you use

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that link it'll take you to this page

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right here which is a massive Lucky Draw

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happening over on bybit right now where

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you could potentially win up to

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$100,000 just by Trading crypto using

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the link down below this video and so if

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you're going to be trading crypto anyway

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you might as well check this out once

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again first link down below this video

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but for whatever reason if you cannot

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access bybit or if you cannot kyc on

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bybit there is also bitflex which is

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another crypto exchange similar to

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buybit but you don't need kyc for

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bitflex and so I'll will also make sure

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to leave a link to bitflex down below

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this video as an alternative crypto

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exchange and with that being said taking

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a look at the 12-hour Bitcoin chart and

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right now the 12-hour Bitcoin RSI is

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actually entering into oversold

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territories right now for the first time

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since roughly around 1 month ago and so

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just keep this in mind we're getting

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very close to some sort of Bounce

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sometime soon because the RSI at the

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moment on the 12-hour time frame is

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entering into oversold territories but

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it is important to understand we're not

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yet oversold on The Daily time frame and

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it's also important to understand even

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with this signal this does not mean

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we're going to see a massive bullish

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reversal right now because for example

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it is possible to see an oversold signal

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like what we saw right here in around

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mid to late June here on the daily time

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frame we saw that oversold signal and

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then it is possible to see a bit of a

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bullish relief to reset the RSI back to

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the upside which gives us more room to

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the downside later on and so this

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oversold signal on the 12-hour time

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frame right now is not enough at all to

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confirm any bullish Trend reversal here

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in the short term so basically once

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again sometime soon possibly in the next

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few days days in a few days from now we

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could see finally a bit of a break from

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all of this bearish price action whether

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it's at this support or at the next

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support and then potentially after

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seeing a bit of a break from the bearish

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price action once again we could

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potentially continue the bearish trend

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lower later on once the RSI has reset a

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little bit in the short term and if

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we're taking a quick look at the Bitcoin

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liquidation heat map as of right now

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we've simply wiped out more long

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positions over the last one day like I

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said yesterday we still have a decent

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amount of liquidity at around 59,000

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which we have just taken out and we

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still have more liquidity to the

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downside here first of all we have a

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decent amount of liquidity at around

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56.3k so that is a short-term price

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Target to pay attention to and Below

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56.3k we have more liquidity at roughly

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around

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54,000 and we still technically have

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that liquidity just above

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$70,000 but like I've already said over

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and over again here on the channel even

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though we have liquidity at just just

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above 70,000 that's not necessarily

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enough of a reason to expect a move up

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towards $70,000 just based on that alone

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because obviously at least as of right

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now we have many other signals and

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charts and patterns and indicators all

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pointing in the bearish direction right

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now for the price of Bitcoin at least in

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the short term as I've already been

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warning about for days and days now on

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the channel once again the short term is

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bearish as I've been saying for a while

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and with that being said taking a look

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at ethereum on The Daily time frame and

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we can see over the last one day the

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price of eth has had a clean break to

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the downside a massive break below

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critical support which was sitting in

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between around 2.8k to around

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2950 and obviously as we can see here

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over the last few months this has

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previously held as massive support for

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the price of eth time and time again so

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considering the fact that we've just

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broken below that important area on the

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price chart this is an extremely bearish

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signal and so if we're zooming out to

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the 3day time frame our next level of

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support to pay attention to on this

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chart based on the Fibonacci retracement

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tour from swing low at around 1 12,000

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up to swing high on the logarithmic

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settings this places the 50% retracement

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level acting as support at roughly

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around 22,000 and so right at around

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2.5k we could find our next short-term

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support but if we break below 25,000

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then expect a move down towards this

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golden pocket sitting in between around

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2.1k to

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2.2k and so basically if 22,000 fails to

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hold the price of eth expect to move

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down towards the lower 2K price range

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and right around that golden pocket that

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should act as major support if we

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actually get down there because

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previously that was Major support in the

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price and also the genen pocket is the

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most important Fibonacci area on the

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chart and also here on the 3-day time

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frame it is quite clear that as of right

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now the trend has reversed we've gone

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from a major bullish trend on the 3D

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chart to now clearly a bearish trend

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because we have multiple lower highs

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confirmed in the price chart and now a

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fresh new lower low breaking below key

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support which is Major bearish price

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structure but once again even when the

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market is crashing or trending in the

play12:21

bearish direction we can still make

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money in crypto using things like shorts

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positions for example so just because

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the market has reversed that does not

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mean there's no opportunities and with

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that being said taking a look at the

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price of salana on The Daily time frame

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and we've just broken below this

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previous area of support which should

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now act as new resistance sitting in

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between around 140 to 144 and so right

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now the price is on its way down towards

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the next area of support in between 120

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to 128 and so that's simply the next

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important area of support to pay

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attention to and if we were to see a

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break below 120 then expect to move down

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towards around 100 to 106 and obviously

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when it comes to the trend and momentum

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in the short term for the price of

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salana like I've already been saying

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basically every day since the price

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broke below 170 I am still bearish on

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the price in the short term expect more

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bearish price action like I've been

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saying since all the way back up here

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and if we're zooming into the 12-hour

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time frame right now the price of salana

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and the 12-hour RSI here entering into

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oversold territories and the last time

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this happened was back in around mid to

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late June and following that previous

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oversold signal here in the 12-hour

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salana RSI was a little bit of a bullish

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relief in the next few days over the

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next week give or take so that could be

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coming sometime soon potentially in a

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couple of days from now especially if

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the price starts running into this major

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area of support right here but once

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again just based on this signal by

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itself this is not enough of a reason to

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flip a lot more bullish again for the

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trend and momentum and so for example

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it's possible that sometime in the next

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couple of days we could see a bit of a

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break a bit of a relief of some sort

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from all of the bearish price action but

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it is possible to continue that bearish

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Trend lower later on once we reset the

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RSI a little bit giving us more room to

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the downside later on and obviously this

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previous bearish Divergence right back

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here which I was already warning about

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on the Channel all the way back up here

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has clearly played out very well over

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the last one week give or take basically

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pushing this RSI all the way down into

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oversold a territories and once again if

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you want to trade these moves in order

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to make money even when the price is

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crashing check out those links down

play14:36

below this video to claim those extra

play14:38

bonuses and if you want to actually know

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how to trade crypto no matter if the

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price is bullish bearish or chopping

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around sideways then make sure to watch

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these videos popping up right here on

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your screen the video in the top left

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shows you how you can profit from

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bullish or bearish Price action using

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long positions or short positions and

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the video in the bottom left shows you

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how you can easily profit from choppy

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sideways price action but anyway that is

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everything that I have to say for today

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I really hope you enjoyed and I'll see

play15:05

you all in the next video

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Crypto AnalysisBitcoin TrendsEthereum SupportSalana BearishMarket OverviewTechnical IndicatorsPrice StructureBear MarketBull FlagTrading Strategies