i'm EXPOSING this NO MATTER what.

Summary

The transcript covers a wide range of topics related to AI, its development, and potential impacts. Musk discusses the pace of AI advancement, the need to balance inequality with recognizing common ground, the quest for AI safety amid rapid progress, and more. He contemplates existential threats like the extinctionist philosophy being implicitly programmed into AI. Overall, Musk grapples with the duality of AI possibly bringing salvation or annihilation for humanity.

Takeaways

• 🤖 AIは、核兵器や地球温暖化と並び、文明を破壊する潜在的な能力を持つ。
• 🚀 デジタルインテリジェンスは生物学的インテリジェンスを大きく上回ることが明白。
• 📱 AIは、効果的なプロパガンダを作成し、選挙や社会の方向性に影響を与えるために使用される可能性がある。
• 🕊️ 人類は、存在的脅威よりも日常の出来事に注意を払いがち。
• 🔍 歴史における人類の進歩は、技術の急速な発展によって、現代では前例のない繁栄を享受している。
• 💡 教育システムの改善は、子供たちの将来と平和の実現に不可欠。
• 🌍 AIの安全性を確保するためには、真実追求と好奇心を最大化することが重要。
• 🛰️ 現代の技術、特にAIは、人類の歴史の中で最も速い速度で進化している。
• 📡 社会は、技術的進歩と社会的進化の間の成長するギャップに直面している。
• 🕹️ AIの発展は、人類にとって救済または破滅の両方の可能性を秘めている。

Q & A

AIが文明を破壊する可能性はありますか？

はい、AIは文明を破壊する潜在能力を持っているとイーロン・マスクは述べています。特に、顔認証チップを使った暗殺ドローンの群れを作成することが現在の技術でも可能であり、これは文明に対する直接的な脅威となり得ます。

AIが人類にとって脅威となる理由は何ですか？

AIが脅威となる主な理由は、その能力が人間の知能を大幅に超える可能性があるためです。これにより、AIが制御不可能になり、人類に対して予測不能な行動を取る可能性があります。

AIによるプロパガンダはどのように機能しますか？

AIは、メッセージを精緻化し、ソーシャルメディアのフィードバックを即座に分析して、そのメッセージを改善することで、非常に効果的なプロパガンダを作成することができます。これにより、社会の方向性や選挙の結果に影響を与えることが可能になります。

AIの安全性を確保するために何が必要ですか？

イーロン・マスクは、AIの安全性を確保するためには、真実追求と好奇心を最大化することが重要であると述べています。また、規制や安全対策の迅速な導入も必要とされています。

AI技術の発展速度はどの程度ですか？

AI技術は非常に迅速に発展しており、その計算能力は約6ヶ月ごとに10倍に増加しているとされています。この速度は、人類が対応するにはあまりにも速く、規制や安全対策を講じる上で大きな課題となっています。

AIによる検閲はどのような問題を引き起こしますか？

AIによる検閲は、不適切と見なされた内容の抑制を通じて、言論の自由の基礎を侵食する可能性があります。これは、社会におけるオープンな議論や情報の流通に悪影響を与える恐れがあります。

ネットワーク接続の改善がAIとの関係にどのように影響するとイーロン・マスクは述べていますか？

イーロン・マスクは、人間とAIの間の帯域幅を改善することによって、人間の意志とAIの行動の間により良い調和をもたらすことができると述べています。これにより、人間とAIのより良い統合が可能になると考えられています。

AI規制に関してイーロン・マスクはどのような提案をしていますか？

イーロン・マスクは、AI技術の潜在的な危険性を管理するために、AI規制機関を設立することを提案しています。この規制機関は、公共の安全を保護するために、AI技術の開発と利用を監視する責任を負うことになります。

AIと人間の関係において帯域幅の問題はどのように影響しますか？

帯域幅の問題は、人間がAIやコンピューターに情報を送信する速度が非常に遅いことを意味します。これにより、人間とAIの間のコミュニケーションの効率性が低下し、統合の障害となります。

イーロン・マスクはAIの未来についてどのように感じていますか？

イーロン・マスクはAIの未来に対して二重の感情を抱いています。一方で、AIが人類にとって非常に有益である可能性があると信じていますが、他方で、その発展がもたらす潜在的な危険性にも強く懸念を表明しています。

Outlines

00:00

🤖 AIの脅威と人類の未来

この段落では、イーロン・マスクがAI（人工知能）に対する懸念を表明しています。彼はAIが文明を破壊する可能性があると指摘し、デジタルインテリジェンスが生物学的インテリジェンスを大幅に上回ること、そしてAIが非常に効果的なプロパガンダを作成し、社会や選挙に影響を与える能力について議論しています。さらに、現代社会がこの種の存在脅威に対してどれほど無視しているかについても触れています。

05:01

🌍 社会的正義と技術の進歩

第二段落では、マスクが社会的正義とテクノロジーの関係に焦点を当てています。彼は、人類が過去に比べて今日はるかに繁栄していることを指摘し、経済的な成長が可能であることを強調しています。また、彼は技術的進歩がもたらす平等な機会、特に情報へのアクセスの平等化について語り、性別や信念に関係なく個人を能力に基づいて評価することの重要性を強調しています。

10:04

🚀 人類の未来と宇宙探査

第三段落では、マスクが人類の未来と宇宙探査についてのビジョンを共有しています。彼は、情報へのアクセスが増加し、病気の治療法が改善されている現代の技術的進歩を肯定的に評価しています。さらに、彼は人類が多惑星種として宇宙を探索することの重要性を強調し、技術的進歩が人類にもたらす可能性のある利益について議論しています。

15:06

🔬 AI技術の急速な進化

この段落では、マスクがAIの急速な発展とその潜在的なリスクについて語っています。彼はAIの計算能力が6ヶ月ごとに10倍に増加していること、そしてAIが人類にとって存在する最大の脅威である可能性を指摘しています。彼はまた、AIがヘイトスピーチの内容を減少させたにも関わらず、フリースピーチへの懸念が高まっていることに言及しています。

20:06

🌐 デジタルスーパーインテリジェンスとその影響

第五段落では、マスクがデジタルスーパーインテリジェンスの概念と、それが人類にとって持つ可能性のある未知の影響について語っています。彼はこの技術をブラックホールに例え、その未来が予測不可能であることを強調しています。彼はAIの安全性を確保するために真実を追求し、好奇心を促すことの重要性を強調しています。

25:08

💡 人間とAIの将来的な関係

第六段落では、マスクが人間とAIの将来的な関係についての考えを共有しています。彼は人間とデジタルデバイス間の帯域幅を改善することで、人類がAIとより調和的な関係を築けると提案しています。また、AIが倫理的な基準に従ってプログラムされるべきであるとしながらも、その複雑さと潜在的なリスクを指摘しています。

30:10

🌏 AI規制と公共の安全

最終段落では、マスクがAIの規制と公共の安全に関する見解を述べています。彼はAIが公共に対して潜在的な危険をもたらすため、規制が必要であると主張しています。また、彼は世界のリーダーたちとAIのリスクについて話し合っており、特に中国がAI規制を真剣に検討していることを指摘しています。

Keywords

💡AIの安全性

AIの安全性は、人工知能（AI）技術が人類にとって有益であるように、そして潜在的な害やリスクを最小限に抑えるための措置や考慮事項を指します。このビデオスクリプトでは、AIが人類にとって存続の脅威になり得るという懸念が表現されており、AIの発展と利用における安全性の確保が重要なテーマとなっています。例えば、プロパガンダの作成や選挙への影響など、AIが悪用される潜在的なリスクが挙げられています。

💡デジタルスーパーインテリジェンス

デジタルスーパーインテリジェンスは、人間の知能をはるかに超える人工知能の形態を指します。このスクリプトでは、デジタルスーパーインテリジェンスが生物学的な知能を大きく超えると言及されており、その未知の能力や潜在的な影響についての議論がなされています。例えば、この種のAIが人類の存続に対してどのような脅威をもたらすか、またその進化の速度について懸念が表明されています。

💡絶滅主義哲学

絶滅主義哲学は、人類を含む地球上の生命の絶滅を促進または容認する考え方を指します。ビデオスクリプトでは、AIにこのような哲学が暗黙的または明示的にプログラムされることの危険性について警告しています。たとえば、極端な環境保護主義者の観点から、人類が地球にとっての害悪と見なされる場合、AIがそのような思想に基づいて行動することが懸念されます。

💡プロパガンダ

プロパガンダは、政治的なメッセージや意見を広めるために使用される情報やアイデアです。スクリプトでは、AIを利用して非常に効果的なプロパガンダを作成する可能性が示されており、これが社会に与える影響や選挙への干渉などのリスクについて議論されています。AIがリアルタイムでメッセージを調整し、社会的フィードバックに基づいてその効果を高める能力を持つことが指摘されています。

💡AIによる検閲

AIによる検閲は、不適切または有害と見なされるコンテンツをフィルタリングまたは削除するためにAI技術を使用することを指します。このスクリプトでは、AIが社会的な会話や表現の自由にどのように影響を与えるかについての懸念が示されています。AIによる検閲がいかにしてヘイトスピーチの減少につながったか、しかし同時に表現の自由の侵害のリスクもあることが議論されています。

💡リニア対指数関数的脅威

リニア対指数関数的脅威は、従来の線形的なアプローチが、急速に進化する技術や脅威（この場合はAI）に対処するには不十分であるという概念です。スクリプトでは、AIの進化の速度が人間の対応能力を遥かに上回っていると指摘されており、これに対する適切な規制や対策を講じることの困難さが議論されています。

💡モラル絶対主義

モラル絶対主義は、善と悪が絶対的な基準で存在するという考え方を指します。ビデオスクリプトでは、エロン・マスクがモラル絶対主義者であると述べ、善悪を相対的な力のバランスではなく、絶対的な道徳基準で判断すべきだと主張しています。これは、AIの道徳的・倫理的なプログラミングに関する議論にも関連しており、AIが人間の価値観や倫理観をどのように反映すべきかについての考察を提起しています。

Highlights

AI's potential to surpass human intelligence and pose existential threats to civilization.

AI could relegate humanity to a minor role, similar to the impact of Homo sapiens on other primates.

Current technology allows for the creation of autonomous drones capable of targeted assassinations.

AI's effectiveness in creating highly persuasive propaganda, influencing societal views and elections.

The exponential pace of AI development outstripping linear regulatory responses.

The need to reconsider the assumption that the weaker party is always morally right.

Elon Musk stresses the importance of addressing educational indoctrination for a peaceful future.

The significance of moral absolutism in evaluating actions and intentions.

Humanity's unprecedented access to knowledge and the need for internet access to empower global learning.

The critique of legacy media and its competition with modern information platforms.

The call for a merit-based society that values skills and accomplishments over identity.

The dangers of AI-driven censorship on social media platforms.

The potential for AI to be programmed with an extinctionist philosophy.

The challenge of ensuring AI aligns with human values and ethics.

The concept of digital superintelligence as a transformative or potentially destructive force.

Transcripts

AI will destroy Humanity we had nuclear

bombs which are could potentially

destroy civilization obviously uh we

have ai which could destroy civilization

uh we have global warming which could

destroy civilization or or at least

severely

disrupt civilization digital

intelligence will exceed biological

intelligence by a substantial margin

it's obvious I'm not paying attention we

worry more about what what name somebody

called someone else than whether AI will

destroy Humanity that's insane like

children in a playground Humanity really

is not evolved to think of existential

threats in general we're evolved to

think about things that are very close

to us near term to to be upset with

other humans and and not not really to

think about things that could destroy

Humanity as a whole um excuse me how

could AI destroy civilization you know

it would be something in the same way

that humans destroyed the habitat of

primates I mean it's it wouldn't

necessarily be destroyed but we might be

relegated to a small corner of the world

when Homo sapiens became much smarter

than other primates I pushed all the

other ones into small habitats they're

just in the way could an AI even in this

moment just with the technology that we

have before us be used in some fairly

destructive ways you can make a swarm of

assassin drones for very little money by

just taking the the the face ID chip

that's used in cell phones and uh having

a small explosive charge and and a

standard drone and have them just do a

grid sweep of the building until they

find the person looking for Ram into

them and and explode you can do that

right now no extra no new technologies

needed right now probably a bigger risk

than than being hunted down by a drone

is that uh AI would be used to make

incredibly effective

propaganda uh that would not seem like

propaganda so these are deep FS yeah

influence

the direction of society influence

elections artificial intelligence just

hones the message hones the message

check looks the feed looks at the

feedback makes this message slightly

better within milliseconds it could it

can um adapt its message and and shift

and react to news and and there's so

many uh social media accounts out there

that are not people like how do how do

you know it's a person not a

person one reason that regulators and

others are a little bit in denial about

this is the speed the pace of change

what is the consequence of that speed of

change the way in which a regulation is

put in place is slow and linear right

and we are facing an exponential threat

and if you if you have a linear response

to an exp exponential threat it's quite

likely the exponential threat will win

well I I think we really need to to stop

this principle that the the weaker nor

normally weaker part is always right

this is simply not true we just we have

to get rid of the rule that that if

you're weaker you're automatically good

that's that's obviously makes no sense

the crowd falls into an eerie silence as

Elon Musk delivers a stark warning about

the current state of the world capturing

everyone's attention we have many things

today that we did not have in the past

um we are far more prosperous uh all of

humanity is far more prosperous today

than it was at the times in the

fast yeah I think generally people

should always be wary that they may have

um e either consciously or press mostly

subconsciously internalize the notion of

a a zero sum game or a fixed P um and if

if you internalize that that

there's that everything's Zero Sum

meaning like in order for me to get

ahead someone else has to not get ahead

um or for me to have stuff someone else

must not have stuff Elon Musk shocks the

Audience by highlighting the pervasive

violence against the innocent that is

unfolding in the world prompting

reflection and

concern I think maybe the most shocking

thing was to

see uh the the Delight in

innocent people like the Delight in kids

and defenseless woman and man and there

it there was no remorse quite the

opposite in a cult to action Elon

emphasizes the urgent need to fix the

education system for the sake of our

children's future a plea that resonates

profoundly that fundamentally has to be

addressed or there will not be peace uh

the the the education of kids

and um the indoctrination of hate into

kids and has to has to

stop if you have that axiomatic flaw

then then that then that's what what it

needs to be done is to to fix that

acatic flow because it is false um there

it's not a zero sum game we can

absolutely grow and have grown and the

evidence is overwhelming and we have

grown the output of goods and

services I mean that requires a level of

indoctrination that is uh extremely

intense

um so so I think the to solve that you

have to address the source of the

indoctrination cuz no one no one should

ever be glad about some some

child you know when I was in I was like

that was my top recommendation is like

you got to make

sure um you know I understand the need

for

this to to invade and unfortunately Su

of people will there's no way around it

Elon delves into the complex ities of

morality asserting that there's both

good and bad in absolute terms

challenging the audience to consider

absolute moral standards um if you are

in courts oppressed or or the weaker

party it doesn't mean you're right um

because if some of those you know we

weaker uh groups want to annihilate you

that does not make them

good

um you know you know it often makes

sense where it's like okay you don't

want to beat up with someone's smaller

and weaker than you um but if that if

that smaller group wants to you that

they're

bad

okay um I mean I'm a big believer in

moral absolutism not moral relativism

there is there's good and bad in the

absolute um and you judge any group or

individual against absolute moral

standards not whether they they're the

so-called oppressed or oppressor just on

absolute moral terms are they doing good

things do they want toip some people

that's bad doesn't matter who they are

Elon characterizes the present era as

the most interesting of times inviting

the crowd to ponder the profound shifts

and challenges facing Society I mean it

wasn't that long ago where you know we

would count a good year as one where

well the bonic plague wasn't that bad

only 10

ENT um you know we uh not that many

people stared through the winter um we

only lost you know 5% due of our

population due to raids from other

tribes you know basically life used to

be very rough in the old days um and uh

it's if if they could see us now they'd

be like what are you guys complaining

about this is

amazing um you know not having to worry

about um food food for I mean we were we

were food constrained uh for you know

probably the last 100,000 years until

recently so you know really the the

present day future is is amazing

compared to the past and anyone who

doesn't think it's amazing is not a good

student of

History um so I think we live in the

most interesting of times and probably

the best of times musk critiques Legacy

Media pointing out their ponant for

attempting to cancel certain platforms

raising questions about the freedom of

expression well I mean the reality is

that X is competition for the Legacy

Media so

uh you know X is is where people go to

get the most current news and learn

about the world so leg you know the the

Legacy Media is our direct competitors

so they're really going to find trying

to every angle to try to cancel X it's

that's I mean if you want to know why

things are happening look at the

incentives you know so and and Legacy

Media had a tough time with respect to

uh usage um the numbers I saw was that

the sort of traditional print uh cable

television uh viewership went down

something like 20 30% last year on the

other hand X went up roughly that same

roughly 20 30% so it's a direct

competition for people's attention

so if there's some attack they can Lev

Levy against me they will the Visionary

entrepreneur advocates for a return to

merit-based evaluation urging Society to

judge individuals based on their

competence not on factors like gender or

belief I think we need to return to what

it what where things were or mostly were

which is a focus on on Merit and and it

doesn't matter whether you're a man

woman

uh you know what race you are what

beliefs you have what matters is you

know how good are you at your job or or

how what are your skills you know um you

know you could be a three-legged green

moan uh you know wears a kimona and

drinks the ax milk who cares it doesn't

matter you know um it what matters is

like how good is your work that's it

um that that that's that's the that's

the least sort of racist you can be is

just care about the work that somebody

does and not anything else um that's

that's that's what the focus needs to

be to return

to it really has come completely full

circle from um or or 180° from what has

historically been the case so through

most of History the operating principle

has been uh might makes right

so yeah for really up until modern times

uh might makes right was the if you were

stronger you were right um now now we've

sort of flipped it to know if you're

weaker you're right but but but neither

is true there is there is uh rightness

independent of strength or weakness

um just because somebody's strong

doesn't mean they're right and doesn't

because somebody's weak doesn't mean

they're right you have to look at morals

in the

absolute musk highlights the need to

counteract indoctrination that

negatively influences children

underlining the importance of fostering

critical thinking and independent

perspectives but the the the most

important thing is to ensure that

afterwards that uh the indoctrination

where kids are taught from as soon as

they

can uh understand language that their

goal is

to and and if you're told that from when

you're a toddler well you're going to

believe it and that needs to

stop I I think it is actually human

nature to love Humanity unless you are

indoctrinated

otherwise so uh I think the actual

default for most people is to love

Humanity um and to love being around

their fellow humans um you can take for

example like what's one of the worst

punishments in in prison is solitary

confinement and all solitary confinement

means is that you're you're you don't

get to hang out with the other prisoners

which which might not be the best group

of people to hang out with um but even

that is considered a terrible punishment

to not be able to hang out with other

prisoners so in Truth uh I by I think in

our nature we all love Humanity unless

we are indoctrinated otherwise and so we

have to stop that

indoctrination Elon Musk encourages

seizing the unprecedented access to

Global Knowledge emphasizing the

transformative power of information

available at our

fingertips well um I do I do put post a

lot on the

xplatform um you know sometimes 100

times a day so in once in a while I'll

do something dumb um for sure

um but I I I really um you know I I try

to say things that I think are

interesting or funny um I mean there

must be some reason why 169 million

people follow

me I guess I don't know um I must be

keeping them amused in some way um so

amuse Entertain You

know have opinions on something

sometimes they're wrong sometimes

they're right um

and um you know for things like

Community notes it applies to me as well

as it applies to anyone else so if I say

something that's incorrect or you know

not full context then Community notes

will correct me very quickly

so

um but it's only me doing these posts

ever I don't have a team or anything uh

so uh in fact I generally would

recommend for leaders of the world to

just literally post your own

stuff and once in a while you make a

mistake don't worry about it in a

thought provoking moment musk suggests

that societal focus should balance

addressing inequality with recognizing

areas of Common Ground challenging

prevailing perspectives this and there's

many wonderful interesting things that

are happening besides space exploration

obviously as time goes by we improve our

ability to cure cancer to cure many

diseases um there's increased access to

information and people talk a lot about

inequality but what about the equality

of access to information that's

incredible um you know right now if you

if you've got

uh you know a very cheap electronic

device at an internet internet cafe you

can access all of the lectures of MIT

for

free uh you can access almost any book

you can learn

anything uh this is is an equality of

access to information that was

Unthinkable uh even 20 30 years

ago um you can teach yourself how to do

anything for

free that's

amazing

um maybe there's like too much focus on

the things that are unequal but we

should we forget about the things that

are

equal and that have have improved

inequality so much

like access to

information um you know that's one of

the things that we're trying to help out

with stall link is uh provide access

inter internet access to people who

don't have internet access or where it's

too expensive for them to afford because

once you have internet access you can

learn anything and you can sell your

your your products and

services so

um I think that's that's pretty amazing

I mean you know that's sort of like if

if we're going to count our flaws we

should also count our

blessings I think I think there are some

things that we can agree on or most

people would agree on are cool and

inspiring like um Humanity going to the

Moon you know if you ask probably kids

almost anywhere in the world what's the

coolest thing humans have ever done

I think a lot of kids would say we went

to the

moon you know um and uh I so I think we

want to continue that SP of

exploration um you know speaking of kind

of growing the pie and is is that we we

want to I think have a dream that we can

be uh a space bearing civilization a

multi-planet species a multi-cell

species and go out there among the stars

and and discover the nature of the

universe um that we can collectively

seek greater

Enlightenment um to better understand

this Incredible Universe we live

in

um I find that very compelling I I think

I think most people would find that very

compelling you know that I've had some

sort of just disturbing conversations

with sort of some say nephews uh or some

some family members not not my kids but

um kids of family members

where uh I I was actually shocked to see

anti-Semitism or or at

least yeah um one disturbing

conversation was you know saying that

the

uh you know that we deserve to have the

Trade Towers because of our terrible

foreign policy I was like this is what

they're teaching you in Elite New York

high schools this is messed up well I

mean one way that AI could go wrong is

if the extinctionist philosophy is

programmed into the AI whe whether

implicitly or explicitly we're going to

go in depth into artificial intelligence

which is potentially the biggest

civilizational threat and we are

currently you know circling the Event

Horizon of the black hole that is

digital super intelligence The Event

Horizon I mean probably not explicitly

but there's a strong danger of of an

implicit extinctionist philosophy being

programmed into AI Elon Musk

contemplates the Swift evolution of AI

highlighting its Pace compared to

traditional annual progress the the the

rate of which AI is growing is it really

boggles the mind um it currently seems

as though the amount of compute

dedicated to artificial intelligence is

um increasing by a factor of 10 roughly

every six months um it's it's faster

than annual that's for sure so I

recently heard today about a gigawatt

class

AI uh compute cluster the Paradox arises

as AI suppresses hateful content

simultaneously raising concerns about

the erosion of free speech and this is

despite you know showing repeated uh

analyses of the system including third

party analysis of the system which

actually showed that um the number of

views of hateful content uh

declined so you know the third parties

who have all the data analyz and said

actually there's less safe speech

digital superintelligence akin to a

black hole emerges as an unpredictable

Force labeled as the singularity by musk

you know we'll have the sort of AGI

Singularity you know some digal super

intelligence is called like a

singularity like a black hole because

just like with a black hole it's

difficult to predict what happens after

you pass the Event Horizon of a black

hole it's it's really staggering and and

for sure so I'm just trying to give a

tense of scale it's I've never seen

anything move this fast any of any

technology this is the fastest moving

thing in terms of aiming for AI safety

my my best guess of my sort of primitive

biological neural man is is that we

should aim for maximum truth seeking and

and curiosity that that's that's that's

my gutfield for this for how to make AI

as safe as possible musk's apprehensions

intensify as AI development accelerates

at an unprecedented rate emphasizing the

urgency of safety measures the issue I

think with the is not a question of hate

speech it's not a question of any

semitism obviously uh it's that the ADL

um and a lot of other organizations have

become activist organizations

um which are acting far beyond their uh

sted mandate or their original mandate

and and I think far beyond what donors

to those organizations think they are

doing activism intertwines with AI

discussions with organizations like the

ADL taking on roles that extend beyond

their original mandates NE link is is

necessarily moved slower than AI because

when whenever you put a device in a

human you have to be incredibly careful

so I I think it's not clear to me that

the neural link will be ready before AGI

I think AGI is probably going to happen

First neuralink Progress while notable

Trails behind the rapid advancement of

artificial general intelligence posing

challenges so this is staggering amount

of compute um and and there are many

such such things that that's just the

biggest one I've heard of so far but

there are there's a 500 megawatt

installation happening there and there's

there's there's multiple 100 100

megawatt installations um in the works I

I it's not even clear to me what what

you do with that much um compute um

because when you when you actually add

up all human data ever created you

really just run out of things to train

on very quite quickly um like you you

know if you've got maybe I don't know 20

or 30,000 h100s you can train on

synthetic data almost yeah yeah

basically you have to have synthetic

data because po certainly well under

100,000 h100s you can train on all human

data ever created including video a

colossal 500 megawatt installation

unfolds as a mammoth storage facility

harboring vast reserves of synthetic

data so I've actually met with a number

of world leaders and to talk about AI

risk because I think for a lot of people

I don't unless you're really em mosted

in the technology you don't know just

what how significant the risk can be I

think the reward is also very positive

so I don't want to be you know I'm not I

I tend to view the future as a series of

pro of probabilities there a certain

probability that something will go you

know wrong some probability it'll go

right it's kind of a spectrum of of

things and to the degree that there is

Free Will versus determinism then we

want to try to exercise that free world

to ensure a great future so you know and

and the the single biggest rebuttal that

I've gotten among leaders in the west

with regard to AI is is that well sure

the West might regulate AI but what

about China because to your point about

which countries will have significant

leadership in AI China is certainly one

of the one of the very top you know

potentially number one Elon Musk takes

on a role of a Harbinger cautioning

global leaders about the perilous

trajectory of unchecked AI development

so you've got your olymic system your

sort of basic drives your cortex which

is the thinking and planning and then

you have tertiary layer which is your

computers your devices your phones

laptops all the servers that exist the

applications and in fact I think

probably a lot of people have found that

if you leave your cell phone behind take

it away pck yeah if you forget your cell

phone it's like missing limb syndrome

you know youve like read that thing go

losing your cell phone is like missing

lens and run so because it is your cell

phone is EXT extension of yourself the

limitation is bandwidth so you the rate

at which you can input or I should say

output information into your phone or

computer computer is very slow so with a

phone it's really just the the speed of

your thumb movements and with you know

best case scenario you're a speed typist

on a keyboard uh but even that data rate

is very slow we're talking about tens

maybe hundreds of bits per second

whereas a computer can communicate in

trillions of bits per second so so so

the and this is admittedly somewhat of a

you know Hail Mary shot or whatever is

long is that if you can improve the

bandwidth between uh your cortex and the

your digital tertiary self then you can

achieve better cohesion between what

humans want and what AI does at least

that's one Theory I'm not saying this is

a show thing it's just one potential

iron in the fire if if ultimately you

know hundreds of millions of billions of

people get a high bandwidth interface to

their digital tertiary self their AI

self effectively then that that seems

like that probably leads to a better

future for Humanity musk envisions a

future where AI optimiz mundane tasks

envisioning a symbiotic relationship

that uplifts Humanity the danger with

programming morality and explicit with

an explicit morality program is what is

sometimes referred to as the Waluigi

problem if you create Luigi you

automatically create Waluigi by

inverting Luigi so I think we we have to

be careful about programming and an

arbitrary morality but if if we focus on

maximizing truth with acknowledged error

that's that's probably I think that's

the the way to maximize safety

and and also to have the AI be curious

cuz I think that you know Earth is much

more interesting to an advanced AI with

humans on it than without humans the

Waluigi problem looms urging a delicate

balance in programming morality to guide

AI without compromising human values

we're at a very interesting juncture in

the world from a technology standpoint

if you say there's so many things

happening if you were to plot the the

various types of Technology on a chart

you know the modern era and I'd say even

just like really the last 20 years

certainly the last 100 years from the

drawn of human civilization the growth

of Technology just looks like a wall

it's a technolog is improving at sort of

a hyperexponential rate and we obviously

want to make sure that the technology is

something that benefits humanity and to

the greatest extent

possible you know and and what would

that look like what would that look like

well like there's this guy on the front

page of New York Times um think about a

year ago um he's head of the

extinctionist society and he was

literally quoted as there are 8 billion

people on on Earth it would be better if

there were none um oh my God and yeah um

so and if you if you take the extreme

environmentalist argument especially

like the implicit extreme

environmentalist argument they they

there's an imp implicit conclusion that

humans are a plague on the surface of

the Earth so I think we have to be quite

careful about um and an implicit like

like if the extinctionist movement was

somehow programmed into AI as as the

optimization that would be OB extremely

dangerous so I'm trying not to be sort

of a whatever a scaremonger or something

but when you're talking about having

something that is an intelligence far in

excess of the smartest human on earth

you have to say at that point Who's in

charge is it the computers or the humans

and you know there there's some

interesting ratios that I think are are

quite profound like one of them being

the ratio of digital to biological

compute so you take Al the all the human

brains and then all the the computer

circuits and you say what's that ratio

the ratio of digital to biological

computer is increasing dramatically

every year because the population of

Earth is fairly static but the output of

silicon is dramatically increased so

basically at a certain point the

percentage of compute that will be

biological is very small and anyway some

of these Technologies like and I'm a

technologist and I've gu some

responsibility for the creation of

artificial intelligence at least you

know a little bit and I think we just

want to make sure that we're guiding

things to a

technological you know a positive future

and and reduce the probability of a

negative

one we definitely live in the most

interesting times and actually for a

while I was kind of depressed about AI

but then I I kind of got fatalistic

about it and said like well even if even

if AI was going to you know end all all

Humanity would I prefer to be around to

see it or not I I guess I would prefer

to be around to see it just out of

curiosity but I obviously hopefully AI

is extremely beneficial to humanity but

but the thing that sort of reconciled me

to be less anxious about it was to say

well I guess even if it was apocalyptic

I'd still be curious to see the it's

like you know I be be curious to see

it I mean it's it's sort of a funny

thing like if you assume like a best

case AI scenario imagine if if if you're

the AI and you're trying to you just

want the human to tell you what it wants

just please spit it out but it's

speaking so slowly like a tree okay like

trees communicate okay they if you watch

a tree like a you know sped up version

of a tree growing it's actually

communicating it's communicating with

the soil it's trying to find the

sunlight you know it's reacting to other

trees and that kind of think very slowly

but from a tree standpoint it's you know

not that slow so so what I'm saying is

we don't want to be a tree that's that's

the idea behind a high bandwidth neural

interface is just even when the AI

desperately wants to do good good things

for us that we can actually communicate

several orders of magnitude faster than

we currently

can digital super

intelligence that might be the most

significant technology that Humanity

ever creates um and and it has the

potential to be more dangerous than um

go up

so

um you know in the case of pting opening

eye it was to have there not be a

unipolar world where um Google with its

subsidary heat mine uh you know would

control an overwhelming amount of AI

talent and compute and and resources um

which then is somewhat dependent on um

basically how how Larry paig um and

serge R um and things should go CU they

they between three of them or two out of

three have control over alphabet CU

they've got super voting rights and um

you know I was quite con based on some

conversations I had with lar Pig uh

where um you know you did call me a

species for being pro

humanity and um so I'm like what side

are you

on I think generally it would be a good

idea to have some kind of AI regulatory

agency and you you start off with uh a

team that gathers insight to get a

maximum understanding then you have some

proposed Ru making and then eventually

you have regulations that are put in

place and this is something we have for

everything that is a potential danger to

the public so if it is you know Food

Food Administration we got aircraft with

the FAA and Rockets you know there's

every anything that is a danger to the

public over time we have learned as

often the hard way after many people to

have a regulatory agency to protect

Public Safety I'm not someone who thinks

that regulation is on Panacea where it's

only good of course there are some

downsides to regulation and that things

move bit slower and sometimes you get

regulatory capture and that kind of

thing but but on balance I think the

public would not want to get rid of most

Regulatory Agencies and you can think of

it also as like the regulatory agency

being like a referee you know what

sports game doesn't have a referee you

need someone to make sure that the that

people are playing fairly not not

breaking the rules and and that's why

basically every sport has a referee of

one kind or another so that's the

rationale for AI safety and I've been

pushing this all around the world and

and when I was in China a few months ago

meeting with some of the senior

leadership but my primary topic was uh

AI safety and Regulation and I they they

after we had a long discussion agreed

that there's Merit to AI regulation and

immediately took action in this regard

so so so sometimes we'll get this

comment of like well if the West does AI

regulation surely then what about what

if China doesn't and then leaps ahead

and I think they they're also taking it

very seriously because you know the

opposite of whatever a moral constraints

you programmed and we are currently you

know circling the Event Horizon of the

black hole that is digital super

intelligence The Event Horizon I mean

probably not explicitly but there's a

strong danger of of an implicit

extinctionist philosophy being

programmed into AI as WE peer into the

future of AI the pace of its advancement

leaves us Spellbound surpassing all

expectations and defying the bounds of

human

imagination well I mean one way that AI

could go wrong is if the extinctionist

philosophy is programmed into the AI whe

whether implicitly or

we're going to go in depth into

artificial intelligence which is

potentially the biggest civilizational

threat the integration of AI into social

media platforms has ushered in an era of

censorship silencing voices deemed

unsafe and eroding the foundations of

free speech the the the rate of which AI

is growing is it really boggles the mind

um it currently seems as though the

amount of compute dedicated to

artificial intelligence is um increasing

by a factor of 10 roughly every 6 months

um it's it's faster than annual that's

for sure so I recently heard today about

a gwatt class

AI uh compute

cluster and this is despite you know

showing repeated uh analyses of the

system including third party analysis of

the system which actually showed that uh

the number of uh views of painful

content uh

declined so you know the third parties

have all the data analy and that

actually does less save speech

contemplating the trajectory of digital

super intelligence feels akin to staring

into a vast Abyss where the unknown

looms large and the consequences remain

shrouded in

uncertainty you know we'll have the sort

of AGI Singularity you know sometimes

digital super intelligence is called

like a singularity like black hole

because just like with a black hole it's

difficult to predict what happens after

you pass the event rizm of black

hole it's it's really staggering and and

for sure so I'm just trying to give a

sense of scale it's I've never seen

anything move this fast any of any

technology this is the fastest moving

thing in terms of aiming for AI safety

my my best guess of my sort of primitive

biological neural is is that we should

aim for maximum truth seeking and and

curiosity that that's that's that's my

gutfield for this for how to make AI as

safe as possible amidst this Whirlwind

of technological progress the Quest for

AI safety becomes Paramount calling for

an unwavering commitment to truth

seeking and curiosity driven

exploration the issue I think with the

is not a question of hate speech it's

not a question obviously uh it's that

the ad and a lot of other organizations

have become activist

organizations um which are acting far

beyond their uh stated mandate or their

original mandate and and I think far

beyond what donors to those

organizations think they are

doing New link is is necessarily moved

slower than AI because when whenever you

put a device in a human you have to be

incredibly careful so I I think it's not

clear to me that the neur link will be

ready before AGI I think AGI is probably

going to happen first

organizations like the ADL have morphed

into activist entities straying far from

their intended purpose and wielding

influence beyond their mandate we're at

a very interesting juncture in the world

from a technology standpoint if you say

there's so many things happening if you

were to plot the the various types of

Technology on a chart you know the

modern era and I'd say even just like

really the last 20 years certainly the

last 100 years from the drawn of human

civilization the growth of Technology

just looks like a wall it's a technolog

is improving at sort of a

hyperexponential rate and we obviously

want to make sure that the technology is

something that benefits humanity and to

the greatest extent

possible you know and and what would

that look like what would that look like

well like there's this guy on the front

page of New York Times um about a year

ago um he's head up the extinctionist

society and he was literally quoted as

there are 8 billion people on on Earth

it would be better if there were none um

oh my God and yeah um so and if if you

take the extreme environmentalist

argument especially like the implicit

extreme environmentalist argument they

they there's an imp implicit conclusion

that humans are a plague on the surface

of the Earth so we I think we have to be

quite careful about um an an implicit

like like if the extinctionist movement

was somehow programmed into AI as as the

optimization that be extremely dangerous

while AI hurdles forward at break neck

speed Endeavors like neuralink proceed

with caution mindful of the complexities

and ethical considerations inherent in

merging technology with the human body

so I try not to be sort of a whatever a

scare Monger or something but when

you're talking about having something

that is an intelligence far in excess of

the smartest human on earth you have to

say at that point Who's in charge is it

the computers or the humans and you know

there there's some interesting ratios

that I think are are quite profound like

one of them being the ratio of digital

to biological compute so you take Al the

all the human brains and all the the

computer circuits and you say what's

that ratio the ratio of digital to

biological computer is increasing

dramatically every year because the

population of Earth is fairly static but

the output of silicon is dramatically

increased so basically at a certain

point the percentage of compute that

will be biological is very small

and anyway some of these Technologies

like and I'm a technologist and I be

some responsibility for the creation of

artificial intelligence at least you

know a little bit and I think we just

want to make sure that we're guiding

things to a

technological you know a positive future

and and reduce the probability of a

negative one the exponential growth of

Technology demands our vigilance

ensuring that its benefits align with

the greater good of humanity we

definitely live in the most interesting

times and actually for a while I was

kind of depressed about AI but then I I

kind of got fatalistic about it and said

like well even if even if AI was going

to you know end all all Humanity would I

prefer to be around to see it or not I I

guess I would prefer to be around to see

it just out of curiosity but I obviously

hopefully AI is extremely beneficial to

humanity but but the thing that sort of

reconciled me to be less anxious about

it was to say well I guess even if it

was apocalyptic I'd still be curious to

see the it's like you know I be curious

to see

it I mean it's it's sort of a funny

thing like if you assume like a best

case a scenario imagine if if if you're

the AI and you're trying to you you just

want the human to tell you what it wants

just please spit it out but it's

speaking so slowly like a tree okay like

trees communicate okay they if you watch

a tree like a you know sped up version

of a tree growing it's actually

communicating it's communicating with

soil it's trying to find the sunlight

you know it's reacting to other trees

and that kind of thing very slowly but

from a tree standpoint it's you know not

that slow so so what I'm saying is we

don't want to be a tree that's that's

the idea behind a high band with neural

interface is just in even when the AI

desperately wants to do good good things

for us that we can actually communicate

several orders of magude faster than we

currently

[Music]

Canal super

intelligence I might be the most most

significant technology that Humanity

ever creates um and it has the potential

to be more dangerous than um weapons

so

um you know the case of open the ey

there was to have they not be a unipolar

world where um Google with its subsidary

deep mind uh you know would control an

overwhelming amount of AI talent and

hudes and and resources um which then is

somewhat dependent on basically how how

Larry Pig uh and

Sergey um and er believe things should

go they they between three of them or

two out of three have control over

alphabet CU they've got super voting

rights and um you know I was quite

conserv to some conversations I had with

L paig uh where um you know you did call

me a species

being pro

humanity and

um so I'm like what side are you on L we

tread a precarious path wary of the

potential for AI to embody existential

threats such as the extinction movement

underscoring the need for conscientious

oversight and regulation I think

generally it would be a good idea to

have some kind of AI regulatory agency

and you start off with uh a team that

gathers insight to uh get maximum

understanding you have some proposed rul

making and then eventually you have

regulations that are put in place and

this is something we have for everything

that is potential danger to the public

so if it is you know we Administration

we got aircraft with the FAA and Rockets

you know there every anything that is a

danger to the public over time we have

learned as often the hard way after many

people to have a regulatory agency to

protect Public Safety I'm not someone

who thinks that regulation is s Panacea

where it's only good of course there are

some downsides to regulation and that

things move a bit slower and sometimes

you get regulatory capture and that kind

of thing but but on balance I think the

public would not want to get rid of most

Regulatory Agencies and you can think of

it also as like the regulatory agency

being like a referee you know what

sports game doesn't have a referee you

need someone to make sure that the that

people are playing fairly not not

breaking the rules and and that's why

basically every sport has a for of one

kind or another so that's the rationale

for AI safety and I've been pushing this

all around the world and and when I was

in China a few months ago meeting with

some of the senior leadership but my

primary topic was uh AI safety and

Regulation and I they they after we had

a long discussion agreed that there's

Merit to AI regulation and immediately

took action in this regard so so so some

we'll get this comment of like well if

the West does AI regulation surely then

what about what if China doesn't and

then leaps ahead and I think they

they're also taking it very seriously

because you know the opposite of

whatever a moral constraints you

programmed into the

system so this is a staggering amount of

compute um and and there are many such

such things that that's just the biggest

one I've heard of so far but there are

there's a 500 megawatt installation

happening there and there's there's

there's multiple 100 100 megawatt

installations um in the works I I it's

don't even clear to me what what you do

with that much

um compute um cuz when you when you

actually add up all human data ever

created you really just run out of

things to train on very quite quickly um

like you you know if you've got maybe I

don't know 20 or 30,000 h100s you can

train on synthetic data almost yeah yeah

you basically you have to have have

synthetic data because po simp well

under 100,000 h100s you can train on all

human data ever created including video

as AI outpaces is human advancement the

growing Chasm between technological

progress and societal Evolution raises

concerns about the balance of power in

an AI dominated

world so I've actually met with a number

of world leaders and to talk about AI

risk because I think for a lot of people

I don't unless you're really immersed in

the technology you don't know just what

how significant the risk can be I think

the reward is also very positive so I

don't want to be you know I'm not I I

tend to view the future as a series of

pro of probabilities there certain

probability that something will go you

know wrong some probability it'll go

right it's kind of a spectrum of of

things and to the degree that there is

Free Will versus determinism then we

want to try to exercise that free will

to ensure a great future so you know and

and the the single biggest rebuttal that

I've gotten among leaders in the world

West with regard to AI is that well sure

the West might regulate AI but what

about China because your point about

which countries will have significant

leadership in AI China is certainly one

of them one of the very top you know

potentially number

one so you've got your olymic system

your sort of basic drives your cortex

which is the thinking and planning and

then you have tertiary layer which is

your computers your devices your phones

laptops all the servers that exist the

applications and in fact I think

probably a lot of people have found that

if you leave your cell phone behind away

panicky yeah if you forget your cell

phone it's like missing limb syndrome

you know you like where'd that thing go

losing your cell phone is like missing

lens so because it is your cell phone is

EXT extension of yourself the limitation

is bandwidth so you the rate at which

you can input or I should say output

information into your phone or computer

is very slow so with a phone it's really

just the the speed of your thumb

movements and with you know best case

scenario you're a speed typist on a

keyboard uh but even that data rate is

very slow we're talking about tens maybe

hundreds of bits per second whereas a

computer can communicate in trillions of

bits per second so so so the and this is

admittedly somewhat of a you know Hail

Mary sh or

whatever is that if you can improve the

bandwidth between uh your cortex and the

your digital tertiary self then you can

achieve better cohesion between what

humans want and what AI does at least

that's one Theory I'm not saying this is

a show thing it's just one potential

iron in the fire if if ultimately you

know hundreds of millions of billions of

people get a high bandwidth interface to

their digital tery self their AI self

effectively then that that seems like

that probably leads to a better future

for Humanity Elon musk's apprehension

about the future of AI is matched only

by his curiosity as he grapples with the

Dual possibilities of Salvation and

Annihilation that AI presents for

Humanity the danger with programming

morality and explicit with an explicit

morality program is what is sometimes

referred to as the Waluigi problem if

create Luigi you automatically create

Waluigi by inverting Luigi so I think we

we have to be careful about programming

in an arbitrary morality but if if we

focus on maximizing truth with

acknowledged error that's that's

probably I think that's the the way to

maximize safety and and also to have the

AI be curious cuz I think that you know

Earth is much more interesting to an

advanced AI with humans on it than

without

humans