Equity is the best Asset class to Invest! 75% should be in Equity!

SUBRAMONEY
3 Jul 202412:21

Summary

TLDRThe speaker emphasizes the importance of consulting a financial planner or having personal knowledge when investing. They advocate for listed mutual funds, particularly index funds, due to their lower costs and simplicity, influenced by Jack Bogle's philosophy. The script contrasts these with higher-cost investment options like private equity, PMS, and real estate, highlighting the lack of transparency, high fees, and potential for fraud. The speaker also discusses the challenges of monitoring and exiting these investments, concluding that mutual funds offer better visibility, compliance, and lower costs for the average investor.

Takeaways

  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Investment decisions should align with one's financial planner's advice and risk profile.
  • ๐Ÿค” There are various investment options like mutual funds, equities, private equity, real estate, and index funds, each with its own set of considerations.
  • ๐Ÿ“Š The speaker prefers listed mutual funds and index funds due to lower costs and the benefits of capturing economic growth.
  • ๐Ÿ•Š Jack Bogle of Vanguard is credited with reducing mutual fund costs significantly, an approach that has influenced other markets.
  • โ“ The costs and lack of transparency in private equity investments can be a concern, with high fees and potential for undisclosed deals.
  • ๐Ÿฆ PMS and AIFs also have higher costs and less regulation, which may lead to trust issues with fund managers.
  • ๐Ÿ”„ The lack of day-to-day valuation in private equity and AIFs means investors are often guessing the performance until exit.
  • ๐Ÿ’ฐ High transaction costs in real estate make it less suitable for quick buy-and-sell strategies.
  • ๐Ÿ”‘ Mutual funds, especially index funds, offer transparency, lower costs, and ease of monitoring, which can be beneficial for the average investor.
  • ๐Ÿ”‘ The speaker suggests that for most people, equity investments, possibly through mutual funds or index funds, are a good choice if they can handle market volatility.
  • ๐Ÿšซ The speaker warns that investors need to be prepared for significant market fluctuations and should have the discipline to withstand downturns in the market.

Q & A

  • What is the primary factor to consider when deciding where to invest?

    -The primary factor to consider when deciding where to invest is your financial planner's advice and your personal risk profile.

  • Why might someone choose to invest in mutual funds over other investment options?

    -Someone might choose to invest in mutual funds due to their diversified nature, professional management, and potentially lower costs compared to other investment options like private equity or real estate.

  • What is the significance of Jack Bogle and his impact on mutual funds?

    -Jack Bogle, the founder of Vanguard, significantly reduced the costs associated with mutual funds, making them more accessible and affordable for investors, which influenced the Indian regulator to adopt similar cost-effective measures.

  • What are the potential drawbacks of investing in private equity?

    -The potential drawbacks of investing in private equity include high costs, lack of transparency, the absence of regular monitoring, and the possibility of the fund manager engaging in undisclosed private deals.

  • Why might an investor prefer index funds over other types of mutual funds?

    -An investor might prefer index funds due to their lower costs, simplicity, and the fact that they generally track the market, providing exposure to a broad range of assets with less need for active management.

  • What are the challenges associated with investing in real estate?

    -Challenges with real estate investments include high transaction costs, the difficulty of getting in and out of the market quickly, and the lack of daily price updates which can lead to a false sense of security about the investment's value.

  • How does the lack of a figure like Jack Bogle affect the real estate market?

    -The lack of a figure like Jack Bogle in the real estate market means there is no significant force driving down transaction costs and complexities, leading to higher friction costs and less transparency for investors.

  • What are the considerations for investing in PMS (Portfolio Management Services)?

    -Considerations for investing in PMS include the costs involved, the level of monitoring and transparency provided, the potential for lock-in periods, and the investor's ability to understand and monitor the business performance.

  • What is the importance of having a long-term perspective when investing in equities?

    -Having a long-term perspective is important in equities because the market can experience significant fluctuations over the short term, and an investor needs to be prepared to withstand these fluctuations to potentially achieve long-term gains.

  • Why might an investor choose hybrid funds over index funds?

    -An investor might choose hybrid funds over index funds due to the potential for better returns and diversification, as hybrid funds combine elements of both equity and fixed-income investments, and may offer tax advantages.

  • What is the role of compliance and visibility in alternative investment options like PMS and AIF?

    -Compliance and visibility play a crucial role in alternative investments like PMS and AIF, as they ensure that the investment is being managed according to regulations, and that investors have access to information about how their funds are being utilized and the performance of their investments.

Outlines

00:00

๐Ÿ’ผ Investment Options and Mutual Funds

The speaker discusses various investment options such as mutual funds, equities, private equity, real estate, and PMS, emphasizing the importance of consulting a financial planner or having personal knowledge of investment strategies. They highlight the benefits of listed mutual funds, particularly index funds, due to their lower costs, influenced by the work of John Bogle of Vanguard. The summary also touches on the high costs and lack of transparency associated with private equity, the challenges of monitoring PMS and AIF investments, and the difficulties in valuing and exiting these investments.

05:00

๐Ÿฆ Costs, Compliance, and Monitoring in Investments

This paragraph delves into the cost and compliance aspects of different investment vehicles, such as private equity, PMS, and AIF, where monitoring is often inadequate. The speaker points out the high fees associated with private equity and the lack of visibility for investors. They also mention the challenges of real estate investments due to high transaction costs and the difficulty of buying and selling. The paragraph contrasts these with mutual funds, particularly index funds, which offer transparency, lower costs, and ease of monitoring, although they may not provide the same level of personal involvement as other investment types.

10:02

๐Ÿ“‰ Market Volatility and the Discipline of Long-Term Investing

The speaker addresses the volatility of the market, noting that investors should be prepared for significant ups and downs, including occasional 50% drops. They stress the importance of having the discipline to weather these cycles, especially in equity investments. The comparison is made to real estate, where daily price fluctuations are not as visible, potentially making it easier for investors to maintain their positions without being swayed by short-term market movements. The paragraph concludes by suggesting that mutual funds, particularly index funds, can be a suitable choice for long-term investors who may not wish to actively manage their portfolios.

Mindmap

Keywords

๐Ÿ’กFinancial Planner

A financial planner is a professional who provides advice and guidance on financial matters, such as investments, savings, and retirement planning. In the video, the speaker emphasizes the importance of consulting a financial planner or having the knowledge to manage one's investments, as it helps in aligning investment decisions with an individual's financial goals and risk tolerance.

๐Ÿ’กRisk Profile

A risk profile is an assessment of an investor's willingness and capacity to take risks with their investments. The speaker mentions that where one should invest depends on their risk profile, suggesting that different individuals may have varying levels of comfort with the potential for financial loss, which influences their investment choices.

๐Ÿ’กMutual Funds

Mutual funds are investment vehicles that pool money from many investors to invest in a diversified portfolio of stocks, bonds, or other assets. The speaker discusses mutual funds as a preferred investment option due to their managed nature and the potential for diversification, reducing the overall risk compared to investing in individual securities.

๐Ÿ’กEquities

Equities refer to shares or stocks in a company, representing ownership and a claim on part of the company's assets and earnings. The script mentions equities as an investment option, highlighting their potential for growth and the importance of understanding the economic trends that drive their performance.

๐Ÿ’กPrivate Equity

Private equity involves investing in companies that are not publicly traded on a stock exchange. The speaker discusses the high costs and lack of transparency associated with private equity investments, which can make them less attractive compared to other investment options like index funds.

๐Ÿ’กIndex Funds

Index funds are a type of mutual fund or exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of a specific market index. The speaker advocates for index funds due to their low cost, simplicity, and the historical performance of the broader market, as championed by John Bogle of Vanguard.

๐Ÿ’กCost

In the context of the video, cost refers to the fees and expenses associated with managing and investing in various financial instruments. The speaker emphasizes the importance of low costs in investment vehicles, using index funds as an example where reduced costs can significantly impact long-term investment returns.

๐Ÿ’กCompliance

Compliance in the video refers to the adherence to regulations and rules governing investment practices. The speaker points out that certain investment types, like private equity, may have less regulatory oversight, which can lead to concerns about transparency and the potential for fraudulent activities.

๐Ÿ’กExit Strategy

An exit strategy in investing is a plan for selling an investment to realize its value. The speaker discusses the challenges of exits in private equity and PMS, where the lack of a clear exit path and potential long-term lock-ins can pose risks to investors.

๐Ÿ’กReal Estate

Real estate as an investment involves purchasing property with the intent to generate income, appreciate in value, or both. The script mentions the high transaction costs and lack of liquidity in real estate investments, which can make them less attractive for investors seeking quick returns or diversification.

๐Ÿ’กHybrid Funds

Hybrid funds, also known as balanced funds, invest in a mix of both equity and fixed-income securities. The speaker suggests hybrid funds as an alternative to index funds for those who are not keen on the taxation structure of pure equity investments, offering a blend of growth and income.

Highlights

Investment decisions should align with financial planners' advice and individual risk profiles.

Investment options include mutual funds, equities, private equity, real estate, and index funds.

The speaker prefers listed mutual funds due to their cost-effectiveness and simplicity.

Index funds offer a low-cost way to invest in the market, inspired by Jack Bogle's Vanguard approach.

Private equity involves high costs and potential lack of transparency in fund management.

PMS and private equity lack public monitoring, leading to potential issues with trust and competence.

Real estate investments are subject to high transaction costs and lack of daily price fluctuations.

Gold and jewelry investments have high impact costs due to making charges.

Mutual funds offer transparency and the ability to check transaction prices on stock exchanges.

Private equity deals often underperform compared to market indices, according to the speaker's experience.

The speaker suggests that for most people, mutual funds or index funds are preferable due to their simplicity and lower costs.

Hybrid funds are mentioned as a good option for those seeking a balance between different asset classes.

Equity investments require discipline and the ability to withstand market fluctuations.

The impact of daily price fluctuations is less in real estate compared to equities due to less frequent price updates.

Investors should consider cost, transparency, and personal involvement when choosing investment options.

The speaker emphasizes the importance of having the discipline to sit through long investment cycles.

Transcripts

play00:00

welcome to subani one question which

play00:03

people keep asking is uh where should we

play00:07

invest uh of course where you should

play00:09

invest depends on what your financial

play00:11

planner is telling you and uh depending

play00:13

on your risk profile etc etc uh so it's

play00:17

fairly obvious that uh you should go

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through a financial planner or you

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should know how to do it

play00:22

yourself assuming other conditions

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remaining same constant uh and you have

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a choice of whether to invest in a

play00:29

mutual funds or whether to invest in

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equities um whether to invest in

play00:33

equities whether to invest in private

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Equity whether to invest in listed

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Equity whether to invest in real estate

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in Farmland uh Etc PMS right all those

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things uh aif uh my choice would

play00:47

definitely be listed mutual funds and

play00:50

maybe if you don't want to take the

play00:52

trouble of changing uh fund a to fund B

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Etc and nobody is willing to and you're

play00:57

not willing to put in time and effort to

play00:59

learn that maybe just index funds uh why

play01:02

index funds because my answer for why

play01:05

Equity earlier used to be very

play01:07

complicated saying it is the best asset

play01:08

class it captures the best in the best

play01:12

of what is happening in the economy uh

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the best shares will do well so if you

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buy the index you will earn well that is

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of course true but over and above that

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uh there was one man called Jack bog uh

play01:25

of Vanguard uh mutual fund uh late John

play01:28

Bogel here we lost cost him some time

play01:31

back uh one thing which he did was he

play01:34

dramatically reduced the uh costs in

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mutual funds so much so that uh Indian

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uh regulator copied from the US and even

play01:44

with much smaller volumes uh the cost of

play01:48

uh buying index funds in India or maybe

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even ETF uh is dramatically less than

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what you would pay in uh for other asset

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classes so let us just understand if it

play02:00

is private Equity uh we'll first talk

play02:04

only about cost and then there are other

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advantages so when you talk about

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private Equity you do not know whether

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the fund manager who's managing your

play02:12

money uh has got a private deal from the

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uh other entrepreneur right so your

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money is invested so your your private

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Equity manager goes and talks to some

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other person and says oh sir this share

play02:27

is available at 125 or 50 and I think uh

play02:32

if it's worth buying it for 7 years here

play02:34

is the valuation report blah blah blah

play02:36

blah blah and he just goes and makes an

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investment you have given him money and

play02:40

after that he does not come back to you

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for every transaction so you have just

play02:43

and what is the fees that you're paying

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well you're paying say 220 which means

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you're paying 2% fees plus you're paying

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uh 20% of the profits above a hurdle

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rate or 1 in 30 uh or all those kind of

play02:58

formula are there there's no one flat

play03:00

formula there's nobody saying okay it is

play03:02

1% fees or it is 2% fees so you don't

play03:04

have that

play03:05

available uh so private Equity costs are

play03:09

high similarly in some pms's the costs

play03:11

are high you have to find out PMS is

play03:13

also still regulated by sebi but private

play03:15

Equity is even less regulated by SE and

play03:18

you don't know how much to trust your

play03:20

managers and you do not know how much

play03:22

you trust the entrepreneur on the other

play03:24

side because we've seen all kinds of uh

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mistakes frauds Etc happen so unless you

play03:29

trust the manager completely and totally

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and you know him for a very long time

play03:34

and you're sure that he's not doing any

play03:36

private deals it very difficult to trust

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the private Equity manager that brings

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us to the next one the aif again aif is

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on a higher cost uh and in case of an a

play03:48

you don't even have somebody else also

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monitoring that same thing for private

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equity and same thing for PMS when you

play03:56

invest in the PMS let's say there are

play03:57

500 others who have invested in that PMS

play04:00

or AF or private Equity you barely know

play04:03

them so they also don't have enough

play04:05

information or they also have the same

play04:07

information which you have so and then

play04:09

it is up to your ability to understand

play04:12

what is happening in the business that's

play04:13

not easy secondly the U there could be a

play04:17

lot of fluctuation 3 years later you'll

play04:19

be you could be frustrated saying

play04:21

nothing is happening in this business

play04:22

should I get out and uh 4 years later

play04:25

you could be actually saying wow this is

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fantastic can I get more such deals but

play04:29

the reality is known only when they

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private Equity Fund manager exits that

play04:35

business after 7 8 years 10 years uh at

play04:38

a good profit then you know it was a

play04:39

good deal till then you are just

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guessing there is no day-to-day

play04:43

quotation available on how that business

play04:46

is doing which is good enough so that

play04:47

there's no great pressure by that

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entrepreneur to uh produce something

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quarter on quarter but uh somebody has

play04:53

to be monitoring all that it is assumed

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that your private Equity Fund manager is

play04:58

doing all that and he is a capability to

play05:00

do it so we are not even getting into

play05:02

competence I'm only talking about fees

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same thing holds true for PMS or your

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private Equity whenever uh During the

play05:10

period when you're are holding there is

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not there are not too many people doing

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an evaluation now if you take a mutual

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fund uh if it's an index fund there is

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not really much to monitor you just

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seeing whether the tracking error is

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more or less or is it too high uh other

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than that there is not really much to

play05:28

monitor if the itself does badly if the

play05:31

market does badly your index fund will

play05:32

do badly if it does well you will do

play05:35

well that's all it's as simple as

play05:38

that in a in a PMS or private Equity or

play05:41

AF there is nobody else monitoring so

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there will be no headline in the

play05:45

newspaper saying this fund is not

play05:47

managed well there is front running

play05:49

nobody knows whether there is front

play05:51

running in the private equity in PMs and

play05:53

a right you don't know uh in any of

play05:56

those cases you just are hoping that the

play05:59

fund manager has a good team which is

play06:01

not doing any of these Hanky Panky

play06:03

things so second one is on the

play06:05

compliance thing uh first is on cost

play06:08

second is on compliance and visibility

play06:10

available to you and also uh exit

play06:13

available to you in a private Equity or

play06:16

you could have a 78 year kind of lock in

play06:18

and let us assume things don't work out

play06:22

or the market is not in great condition

play06:23

so it could be 10 years before the 10th

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year you may not get ENT exit at a

play06:29

decent price and so it's a 10e lock in

play06:32

so is it worthwhile that's a question

play06:33

you have to ask yourself what about real

play06:36

estate well real estate uh had no Jack

play06:39

Boggle so nobody is there to reduce the

play06:42

complexities of doing a real estate deal

play06:44

so you do a real estate deal and I think

play06:47

the friction cost is 10% which means uh

play06:49

you buy on a Monday morning and you want

play06:51

to sell on a Monday evening or say maybe

play06:53

a Friday evening the gap between buying

play06:56

and selling will be at least 7 8%

play06:59

because of brokerage Etc and if you got

play07:01

it already transferred in your name then

play07:04

you paid Jam Duty GSG Etc then you're in

play07:07

much bigger trouble so the cost of

play07:10

getting in and getting out for something

play07:12

like real estate is too high so it has

play07:14

to be a usage asset similarly for gold

play07:17

uh jewelry if you're going to buy and

play07:19

sell jewelry then it is not worth it

play07:22

because of the making charges right so

play07:23

again the impact cost in real estate

play07:26

impact cost in Gold uh jewelry is very

play07:28

high gold if if you want to buy you're

play07:30

buying ETF it's very different if you're

play07:32

buying uh jewelry it's very different

play07:35

even buying coins and biscuits and chain

play07:39

with very minimum of uh uh working

play07:42

charges or making charges uh then it's

play07:45

fine but otherwise it's very expensive

play07:47

so real estate is difficult to get in

play07:49

and out uh PMs and aif there is nobody

play07:52

monitoring it the biggest advantage in

play07:54

mutual funds even assuming you're not in

play07:56

an index fund uh the for the fund

play07:59

trustees Etc who are monitoring it it is

play08:02

possible to go and check the transaction

play08:05

at what price it got done on the stock

play08:07

exchange let us assume he bought it on

play08:09

the National Stock Exchange at

play08:12

1213 05 you know at 12305 a contract is

play08:17

executed the contract is fair the broker

play08:19

has given it to you and the backing of

play08:22

that contract is on the NC site you can

play08:25

go and have a look at what was the price

play08:27

of the particular share at that

play08:29

particular time so this kind of backend

play08:32

feedback is not available on real estate

play08:36

yes in PMs and uh in private equ sorry

play08:41

in PMs and aif this is available of

play08:43

course private Equity deals are subject

play08:46

to the transaction between your manager

play08:49

and the promoter you don't know the uh

play08:52

real story if there is a hidden story

play08:54

you don't know any of those things so if

play08:56

you are a common man uh and you're

play08:59

feeling that oh I'm missing out on all

play09:02

the private Equity deals and uh a really

play09:05

PMS you're not really missing much it

play09:07

doesn't really matter because private

play09:09

Equity deals I met one I met in a

play09:12

venture capitalist and I know one

play09:14

private Equity person who was saying

play09:16

that uh apart from one or two of his

play09:19

Investments he has about 12 or 13 apart

play09:21

from one or two of his Investments all

play09:24

the others have underperformed the

play09:26

sensex right uh I mean he was talking

play09:29

about the dollar Index because he was

play09:31

investing the dollars into this so he

play09:34

was actually not performing too well but

play09:36

luckily for him all his deals were

play09:38

closed except one which was to be closed

play09:40

and he was closer to uh retirement so he

play09:43

says none of them performed so well most

play09:45

of them underperformed the index so if

play09:46

this kind of data is available so if

play09:49

you're getting good transparency low

play09:51

cost uh and a good range of assets you

play09:54

could buy not only I mean I am not a big

play09:57

fan of index fund simply because of the

play09:59

taxation structure I prefer hybrid funds

play10:02

right so that that's a good option which

play10:05

is available so look at all those

play10:07

options look at Cost look at

play10:09

transparency look at how involved you

play10:11

want to be in right once you look at all

play10:14

that for most people the answer is

play10:16

equity and the answer is uh maybe index

play10:20

funds if you don't want to take even

play10:21

that much of understanding and do it or

play10:24

uh Equity Funds the problem is we have

play10:28

all seen mean that um regularly the

play10:31

market Falls and goes up by 10% that is

play10:34

regular every year you will see at least

play10:36

10% up and down every few years 3 4

play10:39

years maybe 5 years you will see a 20 to

play10:42

30% uh fall and 20 to 30% gain so that

play10:46

also happens and once in your lifetime

play10:49

or twice in your lifetime largely maybe

play10:51

one just once in your lifetime you will

play10:53

also see a 50% fall you have to be ready

play10:56

for all that in equity of course the

play10:58

same is true in whether it is private

play11:00

Equity or PMS or aif but I'm saying you

play11:03

have to be willing to look at that that

play11:05

is the only problem that you have to

play11:07

have the ability to sit tight during bad

play11:10

times but that is true for Real Estate

play11:12

also but what happens is real estate

play11:14

price is not thrown at you every day

play11:17

right so let's say you bought a house

play11:19

for 2 crores and uh then you keep

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telling your wife that it is worth 2

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cror even if the neighbor sells it for 1

play11:27

CR 80 or 1 cr70

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you say no no no our windows are painted

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orange so his windows were painted green

play11:34

so he had to sell at a bad price or some

play11:36

nonsense like that right um but because

play11:40

the price is not thrown out at you now

play11:42

if you have invested in say a particular

play11:44

equity share and that it goes up or goes

play11:47

down every day it is being uh tweeted

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out to you right it is running on a

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ticker your wife comes along and says

play11:54

you bought the share for 100 rupees no

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see it is now 930 see you have lost

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money right you don't have to hear all

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that with uh others because they don't

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give you the price on the day-to-day

play12:05

basis so yes I think if you have the

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discipline to sit through long Cycles

play12:11

which you need for all asset classes uh

play12:14

you're better off with a mutual fund and

play12:16

if you don't want to put in the effort

play12:18

index funds thank you

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