THE BIGGEST 2 WEEKS OF THE ENTIRE YEAR

StockedUp
30 Jun 202421:57

Summary

TLDRIn this stock market analysis, Tom from Stocked Up discusses the mixed performance of the S&P 500, noting the downturn of major tech stocks like Google, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia despite some sectors showing gains. He highlights July's historical strength in the market, especially the first half, and shares key levels to watch for the S&P 500 index, including the resistance at 550. Tom also covers specific stocks like Chewy, Tesla, and Nvidia, and discusses the potential impact of election-year dynamics on the market. He wraps up with big money plays and upcoming economic events, including Jerome Powell's speech.

Takeaways

  • 📈 On Friday, 54% of the S&P 500 stocks were in the green, but big tech stocks like Google, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia were in the red.
  • 🔍 There was a significant presence of gray on the heat map, indicating stability or minor changes across various sectors, with oil, bank, and financial stocks performing well.
  • 📉 The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) closed down 0.39% on Friday, despite some sectors showing gains.
  • 🌟 Historical data suggests that July is the best month for the stock market over the past 20 years, especially the first half of the month.
  • 📊 SPY showed a double top pattern around the key resistance level of 550, which will be crucial to watch in the coming week.
  • 📈 The first two weeks of July have been the best two weeks for the stock market since 1950, based on historical data.
  • 📉 Concerns are raised as tech stocks like Nvidia are starting to fall, with a potential rough start to July if the downturn continues.
  • 📊 Nvidia's daily chart shows recovery during the week followed by a downturn on Friday, with key support levels around $118-$120 to watch.
  • 📈 The script also highlights the performance of other tech stocks like Apple and Microsoft, which were doing well until the Friday selloff.
  • 🔑 The importance of watching the upcoming week for potential market movements, especially considering the historical strength of July.
  • 🎯 The video also discusses specific stocks to watch, like Chewy (CHW), which had significant price movement due to recent news and events.

Q & A

  • What percentage of the S&P 500 was in the green on the mentioned Friday?

    -On the mentioned Friday, 54% of the S&P 500 was in the green.

  • Which big tech stocks were mentioned to be deep in the red?

    -The big tech stocks mentioned to be deep in the red were Google, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia.

  • What was the overall performance of the SPY on Friday?

    -The SPY closed down in the red, with a decrease of 0.39% on Friday.

  • What is historically the best month for the stock market in the past 20 years?

    -Historically, July is the best month for the stock market in the past 20 years.

  • What is special about the first half of July in terms of stock market performance since 1950?

    -The first half of July is historically the best two weeks in the stock market since 1950.

  • What is the key resistance level for the SPY that is being watched?

    -The key resistance level for the SPY being watched is 550.

  • What is the major support level for Nvidia that should be watched?

    -The major support level for Nvidia to watch is around 122 to 123.

  • What is the significance of the $200 mark for Tesla stock?

    -The $200 mark for Tesla stock is significant as it acts as a psychological level and is a key resistance level to watch.

  • What is the ticker symbol for the big money play mentioned in the script?

    -The ticker symbol for the big money play mentioned is PTEEN (Patterson UTI Energy).

  • What is the significance of the $10 level for PTEEN stock?

    -The $10 level for PTEEN stock is significant as it is a key support level and a psychological level, similar to how $200 is for Tesla.

  • What are some of the key events and economic indicators to watch for in the upcoming week according to the script?

    -Some key events and economic indicators to watch for include ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS job openings, ISM Services PMI, FOMC minutes, non-farm payrolls, and unemployment rate. Additionally, Jerome Powell's speech at the European Central Bank Forum is also significant.

Outlines

00:00

📉 Tech Stocks Drag Down the Market

In the latest video, Tom from 'Stocked Up' discusses the mixed performance of the S&P 500, noting that while 54% of the stocks were up, major tech names like Google, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia were down significantly. Despite this, some sectors like oil and financials showed strength. The S&P 500 (Spy) closed down 0.39%. Tom highlights the historical performance of the stock market in July, which is typically the best month over the past 20 years, and encourages viewers to watch for potential market movements, especially given the current downturn in tech stocks.

05:00

📈 Historical Data and Key Stock Levels

Tom provides a detailed analysis of the S&P 500's historical performance, emphasizing the strong performance in July and the first half of the month, which is historically the best two-week period in the stock market since 1950. He discusses the Spy's technical levels, noting the resistance around 550 and support around 540-544, and the potential for a double-top pattern. Tom also mentions the importance of watching tech stocks like Nvidia, which could influence the market's direction, especially if they recover from recent lows or break below key support levels.

10:03

🚀 Chewy's Volatility and Upcoming Market Events

Tom discusses the significant movement in Chewy's stock price following news with 'Roaring Kitty', which saw the stock spike to $39 before retreating. He suggests keeping an eye on Chewy for potential short-term opportunities. Additionally, Tom outlines key levels for the Spy, including resistance at 550 and support at 542-544, and discusses the upcoming market events, such as Jerome Powell's speech at the ECB forum, economic indicators like ISM Manufacturing PMI, and the impact of the Independence Day holiday on trading hours.

15:04

🛑 Market Dynamics and Big Money Plays

The script touches on the market's reaction to the all-time high bounce and subsequent drop, suggesting potential fear in the market on Monday. Tom mentions the importance of watching for a break above 546 and 547 as a positive sign. He also highlights big money plays, such as Patterson UTI Energy (PTEN), where significant investment in call options suggests potential upside. Tom appreciates the community's engagement and promotes the premium Discord channel, offering a discount with the code 'big money'.

20:04

🎉 Member of the Day and Upcoming Market Insights

Tom celebrates 'Mortgage Rider' for a successful trade on Tesla puts, which resulted in substantial profits. He encourages others to share their profits and testimonials. The script concludes with a reminder of the short week due to the Independence Day holiday, an early market close on Wednesday, and the significance of Jerome Powell's speech. Tom expresses optimism for the week ahead and promotes the premium Discord channel for exclusive trading insights and tools.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡S&P 500

The S&P 500, or Standard & Poor's 500, is a stock market index that measures the stock performance of 500 large companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States. It is often used as a benchmark for the overall U.S. stock market. In the video, the speaker refers to the S&P 500 to discuss the performance of a significant portion of the U.S. stock market, noting that 54% of it was in the green, indicating a positive performance.

💡Big Tech Stocks

Big Tech Stocks refer to the shares of large technology companies that have a significant influence on the stock market due to their size and market capitalization. Examples mentioned in the video include Google, Meta (Facebook), Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia. The script discusses how these stocks were in the red, meaning their prices fell, affecting the overall market sentiment.

💡Heat Map

A heat map is a data visualization tool that uses color to represent the distribution of data points. In the context of the video, the heat map is used to visually represent the performance of different sectors in the stock market, with the speaker noting that big tech stocks were 'deep in the red' while other sectors showed some gains.

💡Sector Performance

Sector performance refers to the overall trend or change in the value of stocks within a specific industry or category. The script mentions that while big tech stocks were down, sectors like oil, banking, and financials did well, indicating a mixed performance across different market sectors.

💡Spy

Spy, or SPY, is the ticker symbol for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an exchange-traded fund that tracks the performance of the S&P 500 index. The video discusses the performance of the Spy, noting that it closed down 0.39% on Friday, reflecting the overall market trend.

💡Resistance Level

In technical analysis, a resistance level is a price at which an asset has historically struggled to move above. The script mentions a key resistance level of 550 for the Spy, indicating that this is a significant price point that the market will be watching for potential breakouts.

💡Historical Data

Historical data refers to past records or statistics that can be used for analysis or comparison. The speaker uses historical data to highlight July as the best month for the stock market in the past 20 years, suggesting that this historical performance could influence expectations for the current month.

💡Nvidia

Nvidia is a major technology company known for its graphics processing units (GPUs) and is a stock that investors follow closely. The video discusses the performance of Nvidia, noting a potential downturn if its price breaks below a certain level, indicating concern among investors about its future performance.

💡Seasonality

Seasonality in finance refers to patterns in trading or returns that occur at certain times of the year. The script mentions the seasonality of July, highlighting the first half of the month as historically strong for the stock market, which could influence trading strategies.

💡Election Year

An election year refers to a year in which significant political elections occur. The video discusses the performance of the stock market during election years, noting that the current year is one of the best in history according to some reports, which could have implications for market behavior.

💡ISM Manufacturing PMI

The ISM Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is an economic indicator that reflects the activity level of the manufacturing sector. The video mentions the release of this data as an important event for the upcoming week, as it can influence market sentiment and investment decisions.

💡Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve, often referred to as the Fed, is the central banking system of the United States. It plays a crucial role in setting monetary policy, which affects interest rates and the economy. The video mentions Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at an ECB forum, indicating that his comments could have a significant impact on the market.

💡Momentum

Momentum in finance refers to the rate at which the price of an asset is changing over time. The speaker discusses the momentum of the market and specific stocks, such as Microsoft and Apple, suggesting that their recent performance could influence future price movements.

💡Support Level

A support level is a price at which an asset is expected to find a stop on its decline. The script refers to support levels for the Spy and other stocks, indicating that these are critical prices to watch as they may indicate potential reversals in the market trend.

💡Big Money Plays

Big Money Plays likely refer to significant investment moves, often by large institutions or investors, that can influence the market. The video discusses a big money play involving Patterson UTI Energy, highlighting how large investments in call options can signal bullish sentiment.

Highlights

On Friday, 54% of the S&P 500 stocks were in the green, but big tech stocks like Google, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia were down.

Despite the mixed performance, the market is heading into the historically best month for stock performance over the past 20 years.

The S&P 500 (Spy) closed down 0.39% on Friday after showing good upward momentum earlier in the week.

The first half of July is historically the best two weeks in the stock market since 1950.

Nvidia's stock performance is a concern; a downturn below $118 could signal a rough start to July.

The second half of July also shows positive historical performance, suggesting a strong month ahead.

Chewy (ticker symbol CHW) had significant price movement due to news with Roaring Kitty, peaking at $39 before closing down 6.2% on Friday.

Key resistance levels for the S&P 500 (Spy) are around 550, with significant support around 542-544.

The energy sector, including stocks like Patterson UTI Energy (PTEN), may perform well as the Fed cuts rates.

Meta (formerly Facebook) is being watched for potential moves in both directions, with key levels at $504 and $510.

Qualcomm and Pen are being considered for upward momentum if they break above certain resistance levels.

Matterport, a stock that benefited during COVID, is showing bullish inflows and could be a potential short-term play.

Tesla is a focus, with the $200 mark being a significant psychological and technical resistance level.

Big money has invested in PTEN call options expiring in November 2024, indicating a bullish outlook on the energy sector.

The market will be closed on July 4th for Independence Day, with an early close at 1:00 p.m. on July 3rd.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak at an ECB forum, which could influence market sentiment.

ISM Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI, as well as non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate, are key economic indicators releasing this week.

The channel's community member Mortgage Rider made significant profits with Tesla puts, showcasing the potential of the discussed strategies.

Transcripts

play00:00

[Music]

play00:12

what's up guys it's Tom with stocked up

play00:14

and on Friday 54% of the S&P 500 was in

play00:18

the green but looking at the heat map

play00:20

you can obviously see that the big tech

play00:22

stocks out there were pretty deep in the

play00:24

red Google meta Microsoft Apple even

play00:27

Nvidia closed down in the red now

play00:29

they're was a lot of gray across the

play00:31

board you can see that a lot of these

play00:32

oil stocks uh you know the bank stocks

play00:35

financials did pretty well overall so we

play00:37

did see some green throughout some

play00:40

sectors but obviously those big tech

play00:41

stocks wore down on the market and the

play00:43

Spy actually closed down in the red down

play00:46

0.39% on Friday and all this is

play00:49

happening is we're heading into the best

play00:51

month in the stock market in the past 20

play00:54

years that is a pretty big statement

play00:56

we're going to have a lot of awesome

play00:58

information and statistics today's video

play01:00

so make sure that you stick around but

play01:02

first things first I wanted to recap the

play01:04

spy from last week uh pretty much all

play01:07

week long the Spy was just chopping

play01:09

around but on Thursday and Friday we

play01:11

started to actually see some good

play01:12

upwards momentum and the Spy got pretty

play01:14

close to all-time highs again if we zoom

play01:17

out a little bit spy is actually double

play01:19

topping around this key 550 resistance

play01:22

this is going to be a very big level to

play01:23

watch for this whole entire week and

play01:25

we'll talk about it in just a little

play01:27

while but as we get and and as we and we

play01:30

head into Monday we're going to actually

play01:32

have a pretty big month ahead of us so

play01:34

it's going to be the first day of July

play01:36

and looking at this chart here you can

play01:38

see that the first half of July is

play01:40

actually the best two weeks in the stock

play01:42

market since 1950 so not only out of the

play01:46

past 20 years is July the best month in

play01:49

the market but the first two weeks of

play01:51

July are historically over the past 50

play01:54

years the best two weeks out of the

play01:56

entire year so definitely pay attention

play01:59

the first two weeks of this month coming

play02:01

up here like I said Monday kicks off

play02:03

July hopefully we see the Spy get some

play02:06

good movement and run up and break above

play02:08

that key 550 resistance but I really

play02:10

love looking at this historical data and

play02:12

even the second half of July isn't too

play02:15

bad either over the past uh you know

play02:17

however many years since 1950 right but

play02:20

that is a very interesting statistic I

play02:22

really like to see that you know this uh

play02:24

this is kind of supporting a very strong

play02:27

July right I know a lot of people right

play02:29

now are pretty worried and scared as

play02:31

they're starting to see some of their

play02:32

favorite tech stocks like Nvidia

play02:34

actually start to fall over a little bit

play02:36

you know if we go out to the Nvidia

play02:37

daily chart I mean last week was okay it

play02:40

started recovering up a little bit if

play02:41

you go from Monday to Friday I mean not

play02:45

really the best overall so if we do see

play02:47

a more of a downturn this week and ends

play02:49

up breaking under 118 that's going to be

play02:51

a pretty rough start to July hopefully

play02:53

we don't see that happen but if we

play02:55

continue to see a good recovery off of

play02:57

this recent low around 118 to 120 and we

play03:00

keep seeing good pushes higher

play03:01

especially out of the other tech stocks

play03:03

in the market as well like apple

play03:05

Microsoft and others which had been

play03:07

doing very well until Friday that move

play03:09

Friday was pretty rough so hopefully

play03:12

July can kick off well on Monday and we

play03:14

can start to see a good recovery out of

play03:16

these tech stocks and it can kind of

play03:17

support some of the seasonal uh

play03:20

statistics that we are looking at here

play03:22

but here's another chart of July showing

play03:24

how it's the best month out of the past

play03:26

20 years I think that that's a very

play03:28

important statistic as well you can see

play03:31

that in the uh blue bar here that's

play03:33

what's representing the past 20 years

play03:36

now the last chart we looked at went

play03:37

back to 1950 you can still see that

play03:39

that's the yellow bar but 1950 is

play03:42

honestly still pretty good too

play03:44

statistically obviously the past 20

play03:46

years it's been the best month in the

play03:48

market right in the past 10 it's pretty

play03:50

close you know November uh November

play03:53

almost Takes the Cake there on the right

play03:55

but uh nonetheless it's very good to see

play03:57

that with July December on the end looks

play03:59

uh looks pretty rough and obviously the

play04:01

beginning of the month which we talked

play04:02

about or I mean the beginning of the

play04:04

year February is actually pretty rough

play04:07

uh May is kind of flat usually but man

play04:10

once you get to like July and November

play04:12

those two months have been historically

play04:14

very very strong so pay attention this

play04:16

month it's going to be a big month for

play04:18

the market historically uh it's pretty

play04:20

damn good so uh hopefully we continue to

play04:22

see this good bullish price action I

play04:24

know that there's been a lot of buying

play04:25

lately I know Friday doesn't support

play04:28

that but if we go to like m Microsoft

play04:30

and look back over the past couple weeks

play04:32

couple months it's been ripping back up

play04:34

even apple has a very similar very

play04:36

strong chart here in the short term I

play04:39

know that uh like I said Friday

play04:41

obviously was a pretty bad downturn

play04:43

though towards the end of day

play04:44

specifically it got pretty rough and

play04:47

we're definitely going to talk about

play04:48

that here in just a little while but

play04:50

first I wanted to hit on a key stock

play04:52

that had some pretty crazy movement

play04:53

towards the end of last week and that is

play04:55

chewy ticker symbol chw I know that

play04:58

there was some pretty big uh Revelations

play05:00

with roaring Kitty and chewy last week

play05:02

and we saw the stock actually shoot up a

play05:04

ton off of that up to $39 but obviously

play05:07

you can see it came roaring back and it

play05:09

was actually down

play05:10

6.2% on Friday and I really wanted to

play05:13

hit on chewy because there was that big

play05:15

news with it last week so you know

play05:16

there's not really too much that I'm

play05:18

looking at here with Chewy I'm really

play05:20

just looking for more good momentum to

play05:22

come into this stock you know especially

play05:23

with all the hype that came through

play05:25

there on Thursday you know it's just

play05:27

something just to keep on the radar you

play05:29

know and chewy has actually been moving

play05:30

very well on its own recently before

play05:33

that happened as well so uh it's just

play05:35

one of those stocks that keep on the

play05:36

radar for this week if we do start to

play05:38

see some good inflows or something along

play05:40

those lines I think Chewy could be a

play05:42

very fun and awesome stock here to look

play05:45

at in the shortterm but going back to

play05:47

the Spy there's some pretty key levels

play05:49

coming up I already talked about the 550

play05:51

resistance here and that's going to be a

play05:53

big spot to watch this week but there's

play05:55

also a big support coming up as well I'm

play05:57

going Circle that in blue there's been a

play05:59

lot of touches and price action around

play06:01

the 540 uh 542 to 544 supports I know

play06:06

over the past couple weeks I've

play06:07

mentioned 544 a ton and the Spy pretty

play06:11

much fell down to there on Friday that

play06:12

was a pretty good fall all the way down

play06:15

from touching that 550 resistance so

play06:18

there was a pretty massive pullback

play06:20

there and I would attribute that to most

play06:21

of the tech stocks pulling back pretty

play06:24

largely there as the uh market closed

play06:26

Friday but looking at the Spy I'm

play06:28

definitely going to be watching five 42

play06:30

as the first major support coming up

play06:33

after we truly break 544 and I will say

play06:36

I'm also watching 543 I'm going to

play06:38

circle some of the hits on the chart

play06:39

that are right around that 543 area

play06:42

those will be very important to keep on

play06:44

your radar over the next couple days and

play06:46

couple of weeks uh to the upside though

play06:49

I will say 550 is actually pretty far

play06:51

away if we're going to look at more

play06:53

resistances here I do like 546 and then

play06:56

even 546 80 to 547 I really like that

play06:59

area if the Spy were to come up and

play07:01

retest that and then start to drop that

play07:03

might be an area where you look at maybe

play07:05

a a short opportunity or even a breakout

play07:07

if we do see good inflows it will depend

play07:10

on how the tech stocks and Etc are doing

play07:12

on that day but overall those are the

play07:15

levels I'm looking at with spy hopefully

play07:17

we can get up and break that 550

play07:18

resistance like I said to support some

play07:20

of this July data I mean I still can't

play07:23

believe that this is the best two weeks

play07:26

out of the entire stock market since

play07:28

1950 right at least out of the S&P 500

play07:31

so I think that that is a very very

play07:34

interesting statistic and also I wanted

play07:36

to look at some of these uh tech stocks

play07:38

here like Nvidia cuz uh this is going to

play07:40

be a pretty big topic and I think

play07:41

there's going to be a big war in the

play07:42

comments tonight uh I think most people

play07:44

are going to be looking at Nvidia to the

play07:46

upside but I will say uh you know it was

play07:49

pretty flat last week there's a major

play07:50

support here around 122 uh to 123 more

play07:54

around 123 last week uh but we have seen

play07:57

hits around 122 recently as as well but

play08:00

pretty much if we start to break under

play08:02

this major level it's not going to be

play08:04

good so uh I'll definitely be watching

play08:06

this area very closely there was a ton

play08:08

of hits last week I don't even think I

play08:10

can count them all it was like 7 to 10

play08:12

right there within that blue circle so

play08:14

if we start to break under 123

play08:16

definitely watch Nvidia a little bit

play08:17

more to the downside of course though if

play08:19

we bounce off support and start moving

play08:21

up uh obviously watch it to the upside

play08:24

as well and I'll especially be watching

play08:25

some of these other big tech stocks like

play08:27

apple Microsoft and other too as that

play08:30

selloff was pretty massive but getting

play08:33

into the next thing here we are in an

play08:36

election year and I know that last week

play08:38

was no shortage of election year news

play08:40

right we had the debate between Donald

play08:42

Trump and Joe Biden I just won two Club

play08:45

championships I got my handicap down to

play08:48

a six but looking at the statistics for

play08:50

this election year this is actually one

play08:52

of the best election years in history I

play08:54

saw a lot of reports saying that this

play08:56

was the second best one and looking at

play08:58

the seasonality here here this is

play09:00

actually pretty awesome so uh right now

play09:02

we are in the pink line and now I will

play09:04

say this is awesome because we've been

play09:06

in such a great year right but one thing

play09:09

to look at is you know are we due for a

play09:11

little mean reversion I really like this

play09:13

chart here it's showing where the uh

play09:15

where the market usually runs here you

play09:17

can see all lection years are in the uh

play09:20

black line and I'm starting to think

play09:22

like hey you know like what if we do

play09:24

start to trade more towards the black

play09:26

line or the green line which represents

play09:28

where the sitting president pres running

play09:30

so uh I'm kind of looking at you know

play09:32

something like hey are we going to see a

play09:34

bit of a pullback cuz this is one of the

play09:36

best election years in history now I

play09:38

know that that's something that uh a lot

play09:40

of people will think and you know

play09:42

personally I think that it could go both

play09:44

ways right now I really like to follow

play09:46

the momentum you know I know that in the

play09:47

short term spy has a pretty big

play09:49

resistance around 550 some people might

play09:52

be trying to call the top here I think a

play09:54

lot of people try to pull out their

play09:55

crystal balls with uh with calling the

play09:57

tops and stuff like that but looking at

play09:59

the market right now uh my big thing is

play10:02

hey what are the tech stocks doing right

play10:04

uh in the short term they've still been

play10:06

doing pretty good I know that Nvidia

play10:08

isn't necessarily at all-time highs

play10:10

right now but it's not very far off

play10:13

either whenever you consider uh you know

play10:15

the overall move that nvidia's had so

play10:18

I'm definitely going to keep watching

play10:19

these tech stocks into this week and of

play10:21

course throughout this election year but

play10:23

I do find these election year statistics

play10:25

to be pretty interesting especially

play10:26

considering that this is like the second

play10:28

best election year in history so I'm

play10:31

definitely going to continue to watch

play10:33

the election year and of course uh you

play10:35

know we're not going to get overly

play10:36

political or or anything like that with

play10:39

these stocks but there is a djt which

play10:42

follows like Trump Media Group so this

play10:44

will be an interesting one to watch as

play10:46

the year progresses but how could we go

play10:48

any further without looking at some of

play10:49

the big events that are coming up this

play10:51

week and there's going to be quite a few

play10:53

of them so firstly I wanted to look at

play10:55

the earnings cuz there's really nothing

play10:56

on the calendar you can see it's pretty

play10:58

empty overall besides stz on Wednesday

play11:02

but this is going to be a short week so

play11:03

keep that in mind uh there will be no

play11:05

trading on Thursday July 4th for

play11:08

Independence Day and you can see that

play11:09

there's actually a little star right

play11:11

there by July 4th what does that mean if

play11:13

we go down here that means that the

play11:15

market will close early at 100 p.m.

play11:18

eastern time on Wednesday July 3rd 2024

play11:22

so there will be a early close on

play11:24

Wednesday and then the market will be

play11:26

closed on Thursday July 4th and it will

play11:28

actually be open on Friday so keep that

play11:30

in mind I know a lot of people might be

play11:32

hung over that morning but uh

play11:34

nonetheless it's going to be still a

play11:36

pretty awesome trading day on Friday

play11:38

there so make sure that you are around

play11:40

and up and ready for that but we also

play11:43

have a pretty big event this week with

play11:44

Jerome Powell speaking now you can see

play11:46

on the trading economics calendar they

play11:48

put down fed chare Powell speech but

play11:50

don't worry guys I got you on the

play11:52

Federal Reserve website he's actually

play11:54

going to be speaking at an ECB or

play11:56

European Central Bank forum and there's

play11:59

going to going to be us another keynote

play12:00

speaker there as well which is lagard or

play12:03

lagard yeah yeah sorry guys I'm not good

play12:06

with these names but nonetheless uh he

play12:09

will be with her doing a uh a forum

play12:11

there with the European Central Bank so

play12:14

keep that in mind but uh there are a

play12:16

couple other events this week as well

play12:18

ISM Manufacturing PMI comes out at 10:00

play12:20

a.m. eastern time on Monday there is

play12:22

jolts job openings Tuesday at 10:00 a.m.

play12:25

and then as we go through the week

play12:26

Wednesday ISM Services PMI as well as

play12:29

the fomc minutes and then Friday we have

play12:32

the non-farm payrolls and unemployment

play12:34

rate so there is quite a bit for

play12:36

tomorrow just focus on the ISM

play12:38

Manufacturing PMI and then Powell on

play12:41

Tuesday we'll cover the rest as the week

play12:44

progresses but going into the setups and

play12:47

plays for tomorrow I'm looking at Tesla

play12:51

and this is a pretty interesting stock

play12:52

here in the short term as they're right

play12:54

around the key

play12:56

$200 Mark now $200 is huge on pretty

play12:59

much any stock because it's a number one

play13:01

a whole dollar level and that acts as a

play13:03

big psychological level in general so

play13:07

looking at the book map here you can

play13:08

also see that it's pretty key on the

play13:09

book map 200 was pretty big on Friday it

play13:12

even broke as Tesla fell throughout the

play13:15

day on Friday and then you could see

play13:17

that the sellers came back in and kind

play13:18

of reestablished right there so now

play13:20

we're going to be watching 200 as a

play13:22

solid resistance this week do I think

play13:24

the Tesla can keep running above 200 in

play13:26

the short term I definitely do but does

play13:29

does it kind of suck to see Tesla under

play13:31

200 also in the short term yes so I will

play13:33

be waiting for a true good breakout back

play13:36

above 200 and then maybe look for a

play13:38

bigger breakout up towards 203 to 205

play13:41

but that's really what I'm looking for

play13:42

this week will Tesla get back above 200

play13:45

and continue up on this trend if you

play13:47

guys like this play and you just like uh

play13:49

Tesla back above 200 let me know in the

play13:51

comments I know there's a lot of people

play13:53

bullish on Tesla here in the short term

play13:55

you can see it's actually been doing

play13:56

pretty good on the daily in the short

play13:58

term I am watching though the mother of

play14:00

all trend lines that's coming up here I

play14:02

mean this trend line on Tesla has been

play14:04

in play for a couple years now and uh

play14:07

it's really failed to break above there

play14:08

1 two 3 four five six like seven times

play14:12

so definitely a big spot but uh I'll be

play14:14

watching that one and then with my

play14:16

second play I'm actually looking at

play14:17

matterport this is a bit of a weird and

play14:20

different stock for us here on the

play14:22

channel we haven't looked at it in a

play14:23

long time it's one of those stocks that

play14:25

did amazing during covid you can see on

play14:27

the weekly chart uh you know I guess

play14:30

after covid right it really benefited

play14:32

and started ripping to the upside ran up

play14:34

to 37 on the chart and fell all the way

play14:38

down to lows of like

play14:39

a175 I mean I can't even believe I'm

play14:41

saying it that it got that low but look

play14:44

at this weekly chart and even the daily

play14:46

chart in the short term we're starting

play14:48

to see a lot more bullish inflows here

play14:50

especially on Friday we saw the volume

play14:52

pick up and we saw a nice 8% move so

play14:55

keep watching matterport to the upside

play14:57

in the short term this this could even

play14:59

be a good uh share opportunity it's a

play15:01

pretty low price stock and you know a

play15:03

move from now this is going to blow a

play15:05

lot of people's minds but a move from

play15:07

$4.50 up to $5 is like 11% you know I

play15:11

mean that's pretty decent for shares if

play15:13

you're looking for a move up in the

play15:14

short term and I'm sure a lot of people

play15:16

are looking for an even larger move than

play15:18

that so keep matterport on the radar I

play15:20

do like it quite a bit but now let's get

play15:23

right into the momentum

play15:26

plays and with the first one we're

play15:29

looking at pen gaming to the upside for

play15:31

tomorrow pen has been pretty hot in the

play15:33

short term and it's right around a key

play15:35

$20 resistance if it can break above 20

play15:38

I will look at it to the upside for

play15:40

tomorrow that's going to be a big level

play15:42

to watch for with the next stock I'm

play15:44

looking at qualcom it's a chip stock

play15:46

it's actually been down a little bit in

play15:48

the short term but it's sitting right on

play15:50

the $200 support so if it breaks above

play15:53

2011 come tomorrow morning I'll keep

play15:55

looking at qualcom back up I love the

play15:57

way it moved Friday I thought it had a

play15:59

pretty strong move especially compared

play16:01

to a lot of those big tech stocks that

play16:03

fell off towards close that was a pretty

play16:05

bad close for many of those and then

play16:07

with the final play I'm actually looking

play16:09

at meta in both directions So Meta is a

play16:11

pretty wild one I like looking at this

play16:13

one in both directions quite a bit

play16:15

because they has pretty wild moves all

play16:17

the time and this is actually one of

play16:18

those stocks that fell off quite a bit

play16:21

on Friday around close so if we see a

play16:23

pullback under 504 I'll keep looking at

play16:26

meta to the downside closer to around

play16:27

$500 and if we do see a pullback back

play16:31

above 510 then I'll look at it back to

play16:34

the upside I will say though with the

play16:36

way it moved Friday and the way it

play16:37

closed I don't know pullback above 510

play16:40

uh in this type of Market not very

play16:42

unrealistic but I don't know it's not

play16:44

something that I think will happen right

play16:46

away I would definitely make it break

play16:48

510 with some pretty good momentum there

play16:50

if you do see it break but nonetheless

play16:52

those are the three stocks I'm watching

play16:54

meta qualcom and Pen um obviously meta

play16:58

both directions qualcom and Pen both to

play17:01

the

play17:02

upside but with our big money play for

play17:06

today we're looking at ticker symbol

play17:10

pteen Patterson UTI energy this is a

play17:13

pretty interesting Energy stock overall

play17:16

it went up

play17:17

1.97% on Friday which I thought was

play17:20

pretty good now this big money play uh

play17:22

the big money put $756,000

play17:25

into the 11 strike calls that expire in

play17:28

nov November so more specifically

play17:30

November 15th of 2024 this is going to

play17:33

be a pretty big opportunity I love how

play17:35

pteen is right at support I think that

play17:38

that's going to be a very deciding

play17:41

factor for a lot of people on this play

play17:43

uh personally I really love it when the

play17:45

big money plays are bouncing off

play17:46

supports we've seen a lot of great

play17:48

support buys with the big money over the

play17:51

past couple years you know we've seen a

play17:52

lot of them we've we've uh obviously

play17:54

done a lot of big money plays on the

play17:56

channel and I really love these support

play17:59

opportunities this support is prettyy

play18:00

key and it's right around the key $10

play18:02

level not only is that key on the chart

play18:05

and it lines up but it's a very big

play18:07

psychological level kind of like $200

play18:09

with Tesla so I really do like 10 on

play18:12

pteen I like this big money play quite a

play18:15

bit it's in the energy sector as well

play18:18

and we've looked at some stats that kind

play18:19

of show that like hey the energy sector

play18:21

does pretty well after the FED start to

play18:23

cut rates so I will uh be watching pteen

play18:26

to the upside I like this a lot there's

play18:29

a good support around 10 like I said and

play18:32

the reason that that's awesome is you

play18:33

can kind of throw a good uh stoploss

play18:35

around $9 and. 50 cents or so if you see

play18:38

a true breakdown there uh you know you

play18:40

can get out but other than that I really

play18:42

like the risk reward to the upside you

play18:43

can maybe Target like $12 or even 13 I

play18:46

believe over the next few months if we

play18:48

do see energy start to really rip and

play18:50

when this stock bounces off this support

play18:52

some of these moves are no joke here uh

play18:54

some of these previous moves off support

play18:57

have went up like 61%

play18:59

another one here that got really close

play19:01

to support up like 84% so we're

play19:04

definitely seeing some good movement out

play19:05

of this stock off of this level keep it

play19:08

on the radar for the next couple days

play19:11

and even for the next couple of weeks

play19:12

this is a pretty long big money play it

play19:14

goes all the way out to November 15th

play19:16

it's not like they're probably looking

play19:17

to buy and sell it right away so keep

play19:19

that in mind they will probably hold it

play19:21

for a little while off of this support

play19:23

and look to really capitalize on some

play19:25

more of that upside movement there but

play19:27

getting into our memb the day today

play19:29

shout out to mortgage rider for the

play19:32

awesome Post in the profits Channel this

play19:34

was an awesome play he got some Tesla

play19:36

puts or they had some Tesla puts on

play19:38

Friday we saw some pretty good price

play19:40

action they made around almost 10 grand

play19:42

$99,900 so that was a fantastic play by

play19:45

mortgage ryer I appreciate you posting

play19:48

up in the profits Channel as well and of

play19:50

course if you guys want to get member of

play19:52

the Day post up some profits or a nice

play19:54

testimonial on the testimonials channel

play19:56

uh would be awesome as well but overall

play20:00

this is a pretty crazy week you know

play20:02

we're going to have a a big one coming

play20:04

up uh it's going to be a short one

play20:05

that's going to be a thing that might

play20:06

throw some people off don't forget about

play20:08

the holiday on Thursday the market will

play20:11

be closed and then we will have an early

play20:13

close on Wednesday as well and then of

play20:15

course the man the myth the legend

play20:17

Jerome Powell will have that ECB speech

play20:19

at 9:30 a.m. eastern time on Tuesday at

play20:23

that uh European Central Bank Forum so

play20:26

keep that in mind we're going to have a

play20:27

pretty big week as far as that is

play20:29

concerned and then of course the Spy

play20:31

bounces right off the all-time high on

play20:33

Friday and comes roaring down you know a

play20:35

lot of people are going to be watching

play20:37

stocks coming Monday morning with that

play20:38

big move down I think there's going to

play20:40

be a little bit of fear there in the

play20:42

market but definitely watch it uh if we

play20:44

see a good break back above like 546 and

play20:46

547 that'd be a pretty good sign so

play20:49

hopefully we see that come Monday

play20:51

morning but I really appreciate you all

play20:53

you all joining up if you want to join

play20:55

on the premium Discord check out the

play20:57

link in the description down below

play20:59

there's a sale going on right now use

play21:01

code big money at checkout some of the

play21:03

big money plays have been popping off

play21:05

quite well lately so make sure that you

play21:07

check that out you get access to all the

play21:09

Bots and everything like that uh code

play21:12

big money will give you $100 off of a

play21:14

yearly subscription so keep that in mind

play21:17

uh you can get access to the Serge bot

play21:19

hybrid bot big money plays before

play21:22

they're posted on YouTube so you can get

play21:23

that same day entry swing plays Theta

play21:26

trades and so many other things in the

play21:28

Discord that we have been releasing over

play21:30

the past couple years and hey there's

play21:32

going to be a lot more set to release as

play21:35

well so join up now uh you will be

play21:37

locked in at the current price but hey

play21:39

let's have a fantastic week in the

play21:41

market make sure you smash that like And

play21:42

subscribe button if you are new but

play21:44

overall let's crush it this week

Rate This

5.0 / 5 (0 votes)

Related Tags
Stock MarketTech StocksJuly TrendsInvestment AnalysisS&P 500Big TechNvidiaAppleMicrosoftElection YearMarket Seasonality