Unusual Whales Gamma Exposure Dashboard: The Basics of GEX and Market Maker Volatility Suppression
Summary
TLDRThis video script delves into the concept of gamma exposure in options trading, using Amazon as a case study. Gamma measures the rate of change in an option's delta, akin to acceleration in physics. It peaks at the money, with market makers using it to offset exposure by selling into rallies and buying dips in a positive gamma environment, or vice versa in a negative one. The script explores gamma's impact on stock volatility, how it varies by strike price and expiration, and its role in market maker strategies to suppress price movements, offering insights for traders on strike selection and profit-taking.
Takeaways
- ๐ Gamma represents the rate of change of an options contract's Delta, akin to acceleration in physics where Delta is velocity.
- ๐ Gamma is at its peak for at-the-money options, indicating the highest sensitivity to the underlying asset's price movements.
- ๐ The total gamma exposure can sometimes be larger for out-of-the-money strikes due to high open interest from active trading.
- ๐ก Positive gamma exposure generally leads market makers to sell into rallies and buy into dips to offset their exposure.
- ๐ Negative gamma exposure can result in market makers selling into dips and buying into rallies, potentially increasing price volatility.
- ๐ The script uses Amazon's stock as an example to illustrate gamma exposure, showing periods of both positive and negative gamma.
- ๐ Gamma is a short-term phenomenon, with nearer expiration dates having higher gamma values compared to longer-dated options.
- ๐ High gamma concentrations at specific strikes can lead to volatility suppression as market makers hedge their positions.
- ๐ The script differentiates between call and put gamma, highlighting the largest concentrations and their impact on stock price movement.
- ๐ The net gamma view combines call and put gamma to show where open interest is concentrated and potential areas for mean reversion trades.
- ๐ Market makers' actions in response to gamma exposure can lead to steady uptrends with minimal volatility, as seen in Amazon's stock price.
Q & A
What is gamma in the context of options trading?
-Gamma is the rate of change of an options contract's delta. It measures how much the delta will change for a one-point move in the underlying asset's price. In simpler terms, while delta represents the velocity or rate of change of the option's price relative to the underlying asset, gamma acts as the acceleration.
Why does gamma peak at the money?
-Gamma peaks at the money because that's where the sensitivity of the option's delta to changes in the underlying asset's price is the highest. As the underlying asset's price moves around the strike price, the delta of at-the-money options will change the most, hence the gamma is at its maximum.
What does it mean when the total gamma accumulated on any given strike is larger than the gamma of an at-the-money strike?
-This indicates that there is a high concentration of open interest in that particular strike price, suggesting a lot of trading activity and contracts in play. It doesn't necessarily mean the strike is at the money, but it does imply significant market activity and potential for large gamma effects.
How does a positive gamma environment affect market makers?
-In a positive gamma environment, market makers tend to sell into rallies (to offset their exposure) and buy into dips. This dynamic helps to dampen the overall market volatility as market makers work against the direction of price movements.
What is the impact of a negative gamma environment on market makers' behavior?
-In a negative gamma environment, market makers will sell into dips and buy into rallies to offset their exposure. This can lead to higher price volatility as market makers are acting in alignment with market participants, exacerbating price movements.
How does gamma exposure relate to the options chain and expiration dates?
-Gamma exposure can vary by strike price and expiration date. Nearer-dated options typically have higher gamma than those with further expiration dates because they are more sensitive to changes in the underlying asset's price. Understanding the expiration dates is crucial for assessing the impact of gamma on the options chain.
What is the significance of the gamma exposure by strike chart?
-The gamma exposure by strike chart helps identify where the largest concentrations of gamma are occurring. This information is valuable for understanding market sentiment and potential areas of price resistance or support.
How can market makers use gamma exposure to suppress volatility?
-Market makers can use their long gamma positions to sell shares when the stock price approaches a strike with high gamma concentration, suppressing the upside movement. Conversely, as the stock price moves back down, they buy back those shares, thus suppressing the downside movement and overall volatility.
What does the script suggest about the relationship between gamma exposure and stock price trends?
-The script suggests that a consistently large positive gamma exposure environment can lead to a steady uptrend with low volatility, as seen in the example of Amazon. Conversely, a less positive or negative gamma exposure environment, as in the case of Meta, can result in more volatile price action.
How can gamma exposure by both strike and expiry be useful for traders?
-Gamma exposure by both strike and expiry can help traders identify potential mean reversion trades or areas where speculators might be overpowering the market, providing insights into market dynamics and potential trading opportunities.
What is the potential impact of long call speculators on the underlying stock price?
-When long call speculators monetize their contracts by selling as the stock price reaches their strike price, market makers who had hedged their short call position by buying stock will no longer need the hedge. They may sell the stock, which can lead to a pullback in the stock price, as seen in the Amazon example on May 22nd.
Outlines
๐ Understanding Gamma Exposure in Options Trading
This paragraph explains the concept of gamma in options trading, likening it to acceleration in physics where delta represents velocity. It discusses how gamma peaks at the money and can sometimes be higher on strikes with significant open interest. The paragraph uses Amazon as an example to illustrate how positive gamma exposure can lead market makers to sell into rallies and buy into dips, stabilizing prices, while negative gamma can increase volatility as market makers act in alignment with market movements. The discussion includes the impact of expiration dates on gamma values and the importance of near-dated options.
๐ Analyzing Gamma Exposure by Strike and Expiry
The second paragraph delves into the analysis of gamma exposure by strike, highlighting the highest concentrations of gamma for both call and put options. It emphasizes the at-the-money strike's peak gamma value and how gamma exposure drops as one moves away from this point. The paragraph also introduces the concept of net gamma, which combines call and put gamma to show where open interest is concentrated. It uses the example of Amazon's $185 strike having the most gamma, suggesting market makers' role in suppressing volatility around this level. The discussion contrasts Amazon's positive gamma environment with Meta's less positive and sometimes negative gamma environment, demonstrating the impact on stock price volatility.
๐ก Utilizing Gamma Exposure for Trading Insights
The final paragraph provides insights on how gamma exposure can be used for trading, focusing on the gamma exposure by strike and expiry chart. It discusses the significance of short-dated options and how they can indicate potential mean reversion trades or speculative overpowering. The paragraph uses the example of Amazon's $185 strike call options and how market makers' hedging activities can lead to price pullbacks when the stock price reaches the strike. It also touches on the behavior of fast-money traders who may look to monetize their positions as the stock price moves into the money, leading to potential profit-taking opportunities identified by gamma exposure levels.
Mindmap
Keywords
๐กGamma Exposure
๐กDelta
๐กAt the Money
๐กOpen Interest
๐กMarket Maker
๐กVolatility
๐กExpiration Date
๐กStrike Price
๐กCall and Put Gamma
๐กNet Gamma
๐กMean Reversion Trade
Highlights
Gamma is defined as the rate of change of a contract's Delta, analogous to acceleration in physics.
Gamma peaks at the money, indicating maximum sensitivity to the underlying stock's price movements.
High gamma values can occur at strikes with significant open interest, even if not at the money.
Positive gamma exposure implies market makers sell into rallies and buy into dips to hedge their exposure.
Negative gamma exposure can lead to higher price volatility as market makers align with market movements.
Amazon's gamma exposure has been predominantly positive, with brief periods of negativity observed in September to October 2023.
Gamma exposure by strike shows concentration of gamma at specific price levels, with the at-the-money strike having the highest value.
Expiration dates are crucial for understanding gamma exposure, as near-dated options have higher gamma than those further out.
Market makers' actions in suppressing volatility can be observed through the uniformity of daily price movements.
Meta's gamma exposure has been less positive compared to Amazon, leading to more volatile price swings.
Market makers' long positions in certain contracts can influence the stock price movement around specific strike prices.
Gamma exposure by both strike and expiry can reveal potential mean reversion trades or speculative overpowering.
Traders may monetize contracts as the underlying stock price approaches the strike, leading to price pullbacks.
The relationship between gamma exposure and the options chains can provide insights into trading strategies and profit-taking points.
Active traders' open interest can also influence gamma exposure, in addition to institutional risk management plays.
Gamma exposure charts can be used alongside stock charts to understand market maker behavior and potential trading opportunities.
The impact of gamma exposure on stock price can be observed in intraday movements, especially when approaching key strike prices.
Understanding gamma exposure can aid in selecting optimal strike prices for trades and identifying profit-taking opportunities.
Transcripts
in this unusual whales platform video we
are going to cover the gamma exposure
dashboard now simply put gamma is the
rate of change of a given contract's
Delta to make a bit of a physics analogy
here Delta would represent your velocity
and Gamma would represent
acceleration now gamma hits its peak at
the money as the spot price of the
underlying stock moves around at the
money strikes will have the maximum
gamma value on the options chain but
there are situations where the total
gamma accumulated On Any Given strike
might be larger than the gamma of an at
the money strike this just means there's
a ton of contracts there in the open
interest a lot of trading going on the
basic expression of gamma exposure on
the first chart here shows you that the
total gamma exposure for Amazon in our
example here has largely been positive
over the last 6 months maybe even longer
now if we roll back here to September
for example to around early to mid
October 2023 we can see these brief
periods here where total gamma was
negative rather than positive the
easiest way to kind of think of this
total gex or gamma exposure positive or
negative is to think about the option
Market counterparty commonly referred to
as Market maker the way to think about
Market maker reactions here is in a
positive gamma
environment the market maker is going to
sell into rallies and buy into dips to
offset their total
exposure in a negative gamma environment
similar to what we looked at here in
September to October
2023 the market maker is going to sell
into dips and buy into rallies to offset
their exposure so these negative gamma
environments can lead to higher price
volatility because not only do you have
the market participants buying and
selling options and shares as they
normally would but the market maker can
frequently be acting in alignment with
the market participants instead of
counteracting
them you can kind of see a few points
where there's a little bit lower gamma
exposure and again these small points
where gamma exposure was net negative
but for the most part for most of recent
history on Amazon anyway the gex
environment has been positive so market
makers have been gently selling into
rips and gently buying into
dips the next graph here is gamma
exposure by strike now one important
thing to consider here is this table
ignores expiration dates of these
contracts so for example here if there's
a lot of action on the
$185 strike that is valuable information
to have but you don't immediately know
the expiration dates of that call andp
put gamma now with that being said gamma
is a shortterm phenomenon we can even go
look at the options chains
here and see that the nearer dated
options have higher gamma than further
dated options
so for example here in the Amazon chains
looking at the expiration for 531 2024
which at the time of recording is just
one day away the gamma for the
$180 strike pretty close to at the money
is35 now if we go further in time let's
say the July 5th expiration date that
gamma drops significantly to 027
so we can see fairly clearly that the
near dat call gamma is much higher than
the far dat call gamma so back to our
gamma exposure by strike it is worth
knowing that the expirations that are
closest in time as of right now are
likely to be the biggest contributors to
These Bars and if it turns out that one
of those bars is really large and all
the open interest happens to be further
dated it just speaks to the sizing of
those particular trades so here we see
that at the
$185 strike there's this big gamma bar
if this happened to be in December 2024
for example we could say wow there's a
ton of open interest here because we
know that near dated expirations have
way more gamma than longer dated so next
let's phase out this net gamma and just
look at the call and put gamma puts on
the left calls on the right this shows
you by strike where those gamma
concentrations are so here on the call
side the biggest gamma concentration was
at the
$185 strike while for the puts the
biggest gamma concentration is on the
$180
strike you can see there's this sort of
curve here from top to bottom on the
strikes because remember the at the
money strike has the highest gamma value
regardless of expiration so you'll see
as we move in price from Strike to
strike either up or down the further
away from at the money we get gamma
exposure tends to
drop now for a bit of a different view
here let's flip the table from call and
put gamma individually to just net
gamma this will show you the call gamma
plus the put gamma this is a bit of a
naive calculation meant to show you
where we've built up up open interest by
strike where that gamma is really
concentrated what's interesting when you
look at the net gamma view is that it's
showing us that the
$185 strike holds by far the most gamma
it's likely that market makers that we
discussed earlier are long this
contract market makers are suppressing
volatility around that 185 level as the
stock price moves toward the strike and
Gamma Rises market makers will be forced
to sell more shares suppressing that
upside movement as the stock moves back
down they will slowly buy back those
shorted shares overall suppressing any
large stock movement
volatility we can actually see here on
the daily chart how those daily candles
are pretty uniform and small there's
been a steady uptrend without much
volatility dayt
day for another example here here's a
look at meta's Daily gamma exposure
which has had much less of a positive
gamma environment than the Amazon we
viewed when meta was in a consistently
large positive gex environment the share
price moved in that same steady uptrend
we observed in Amazon but when the gex
environment is significantly less
positive and a times negative the price
action on meta becomes quite volatile
with much larger swings both up and down
down in the share price like we see here
on this yellow
line to give a closer look at this
volatility suppression by market makers
let's take this Amazon chart down to a
tighter time frame on the 15 minute from
May 22nd and look what happened when
Amazon approached that $185 mark on the
underlying stock price now remember our
assumption is that the vast amount of
open interest on that $185 call strike
rests with market makers as Amazon
breached above 185 on the underlying
market makers gently sold shares to
suppress volatility above the strike
this led to a gentle intraday pullback
in the Amazon stock price however if you
refer back to that daily chart we can
see fairly clearly again that Amazon has
enjoyed a steady uptrend with very
little downside volatility this is the
result of our positive gex environment
and volatility surprise R by those
market makers now remember the
Assumption of gamma exposure is that
most of the open interest on these
strikes are riskmanagement plays by
institutional investors but we also have
to keep in mind some trading activities
are done by active Traders so some of
this open interest encompasses them as
well I'll offer more perspective on this
with the next
charts and finally the next chart shows
us the gamma exposure by both strike and
expiry now this one may possibly be the
most instantly useful for gamma exposure
information because it could potentially
show you some places where you might
find a mean reversion trade or you might
find that speculators are overpowering
the potential for mean reversion that
they may just be running over Market
participants trying to fade the move at
the top you can select which expiration
date you want to view but for now we're
going to stay on the nearest date
expiration even though it's not
currently the largest source of gamma we
know that short-dated options can be
like a hot potato you don't just hold on
to that bad boy and pray to the market
Gods it goes the direction you want
participants trading these options are
likely to be doing faster trades in and
out so one thing we can do here is hide
the net gamma and just look at the call
and put gamma again to see the biggest
call strikes and the biggest put strikes
now again this is based on open interest
and gets built out each morning when
open interest updates so we can see that
at open the
$185 strike has the highest call gamma
while the
$180 strike has the highest put gamma
down below we can see that for example
the
$170 strike is about even so these are
kind of close if we turn on the net
gamma and turn off call and put gamma
that 170 Strike should be about flat and
here we can see that it indeed is now on
the
$85 strike there's absolutely zero
splitting of hairs there's significantly
more call gamma than put gamma and shown
again here on net gamma it's very clear
that call Traders are in control on the
$185 strike for the 531 2024 expiration
what makes these values interesting is
the nature of short-term speculating for
example a Trader who's purchased the 185
strike calls on Amazon to speculate on
the upside if Amazon was trading at
let's say you know 183 then traded up to
185 a 185 strike call buyer might be
looking to monetize that contract as
soon as the price trades up into that
185 area they may say hey look this
contract was out of the money and now
it's in the money the most rapid price
appreciation on the contract has already
occurred Fast Money traders may be
looking to get out or reposition given
The Nearness of the expiration so we may
see holders of long calls fall off in
this
area so to give an idea of what I mean
with that let's go back to the Amazon
chart so looking at the Amazon chart and
zooming way in we can see that on the
beginning of the day of Wednesday May
22nd
the market opened and there was some
price appreciation pretty much
immediately Traders got the price of
Amazon up to a little above 185 and in
fact the high of day
here was right around
18522 but you'll notice here on the 5
minute chart that it didn't hold on to
this 185 level for very long we tapped
above 185 and then Amazon had a nice
little pullback as low as 18352 before
bouncing and continuing its downtrend
one potential explanation of this is
that long call speculators on that
stacked $185 strike monetized their
contracts and took profit here when we
tapped above so what happens here is
when your counterparty the market maker
in this example was short a call by
selling the long call you opened to you
they don't want that directional
exposure so to offset set their short
call they buy some stock to hedge it as
soon as you sell that call they're
buying that call back once you no longer
have a long call the Market maker no
longer has a short call either once you
realize that profit on your long call
the counterparty no longer has this
hedging requirement so they dump their
Equity exposure which can have a
negative impact on the price of the
underlying stock as we see here so when
you have enough of this action Happening
notated by how large the gamma exposure
is at any given strike sometimes we can
see what happened here occur the spot
price reaching the strike in question
here we're talking the $185 strike we
can see some pullback potential and Mark
that as a possible place to take profit
if you're in a gamma exposure-based
trade all right everyone I hope that
helps you better understand what exactly
you're seeing in these gamma exposure
chart charts and how you can relate it
to the options chains and the stock
chart itself to Garner some insight into
how you can utilize gamma exposure both
in picking a strike to trade as well as
points on the chart to take profit
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