Unusual Whales Gamma Exposure Dashboard: The Basics of GEX and Market Maker Volatility Suppression

Unusual Whales
20 Jun 202414:16

Summary

TLDRThis video script delves into the concept of gamma exposure in options trading, using Amazon as a case study. Gamma measures the rate of change in an option's delta, akin to acceleration in physics. It peaks at the money, with market makers using it to offset exposure by selling into rallies and buying dips in a positive gamma environment, or vice versa in a negative one. The script explores gamma's impact on stock volatility, how it varies by strike price and expiration, and its role in market maker strategies to suppress price movements, offering insights for traders on strike selection and profit-taking.

Takeaways

  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Gamma represents the rate of change of an options contract's Delta, akin to acceleration in physics where Delta is velocity.
  • ๐Ÿ” Gamma is at its peak for at-the-money options, indicating the highest sensitivity to the underlying asset's price movements.
  • ๐Ÿ“Š The total gamma exposure can sometimes be larger for out-of-the-money strikes due to high open interest from active trading.
  • ๐Ÿ’ก Positive gamma exposure generally leads market makers to sell into rallies and buy into dips to offset their exposure.
  • ๐Ÿ“‰ Negative gamma exposure can result in market makers selling into dips and buying into rallies, potentially increasing price volatility.
  • ๐Ÿ“š The script uses Amazon's stock as an example to illustrate gamma exposure, showing periods of both positive and negative gamma.
  • ๐Ÿ“… Gamma is a short-term phenomenon, with nearer expiration dates having higher gamma values compared to longer-dated options.
  • ๐Ÿ“‰ High gamma concentrations at specific strikes can lead to volatility suppression as market makers hedge their positions.
  • ๐Ÿ“ The script differentiates between call and put gamma, highlighting the largest concentrations and their impact on stock price movement.
  • ๐Ÿ“Š The net gamma view combines call and put gamma to show where open interest is concentrated and potential areas for mean reversion trades.
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Market makers' actions in response to gamma exposure can lead to steady uptrends with minimal volatility, as seen in Amazon's stock price.

Q & A

  • What is gamma in the context of options trading?

    -Gamma is the rate of change of an options contract's delta. It measures how much the delta will change for a one-point move in the underlying asset's price. In simpler terms, while delta represents the velocity or rate of change of the option's price relative to the underlying asset, gamma acts as the acceleration.

  • Why does gamma peak at the money?

    -Gamma peaks at the money because that's where the sensitivity of the option's delta to changes in the underlying asset's price is the highest. As the underlying asset's price moves around the strike price, the delta of at-the-money options will change the most, hence the gamma is at its maximum.

  • What does it mean when the total gamma accumulated on any given strike is larger than the gamma of an at-the-money strike?

    -This indicates that there is a high concentration of open interest in that particular strike price, suggesting a lot of trading activity and contracts in play. It doesn't necessarily mean the strike is at the money, but it does imply significant market activity and potential for large gamma effects.

  • How does a positive gamma environment affect market makers?

    -In a positive gamma environment, market makers tend to sell into rallies (to offset their exposure) and buy into dips. This dynamic helps to dampen the overall market volatility as market makers work against the direction of price movements.

  • What is the impact of a negative gamma environment on market makers' behavior?

    -In a negative gamma environment, market makers will sell into dips and buy into rallies to offset their exposure. This can lead to higher price volatility as market makers are acting in alignment with market participants, exacerbating price movements.

  • How does gamma exposure relate to the options chain and expiration dates?

    -Gamma exposure can vary by strike price and expiration date. Nearer-dated options typically have higher gamma than those with further expiration dates because they are more sensitive to changes in the underlying asset's price. Understanding the expiration dates is crucial for assessing the impact of gamma on the options chain.

  • What is the significance of the gamma exposure by strike chart?

    -The gamma exposure by strike chart helps identify where the largest concentrations of gamma are occurring. This information is valuable for understanding market sentiment and potential areas of price resistance or support.

  • How can market makers use gamma exposure to suppress volatility?

    -Market makers can use their long gamma positions to sell shares when the stock price approaches a strike with high gamma concentration, suppressing the upside movement. Conversely, as the stock price moves back down, they buy back those shares, thus suppressing the downside movement and overall volatility.

  • What does the script suggest about the relationship between gamma exposure and stock price trends?

    -The script suggests that a consistently large positive gamma exposure environment can lead to a steady uptrend with low volatility, as seen in the example of Amazon. Conversely, a less positive or negative gamma exposure environment, as in the case of Meta, can result in more volatile price action.

  • How can gamma exposure by both strike and expiry be useful for traders?

    -Gamma exposure by both strike and expiry can help traders identify potential mean reversion trades or areas where speculators might be overpowering the market, providing insights into market dynamics and potential trading opportunities.

  • What is the potential impact of long call speculators on the underlying stock price?

    -When long call speculators monetize their contracts by selling as the stock price reaches their strike price, market makers who had hedged their short call position by buying stock will no longer need the hedge. They may sell the stock, which can lead to a pullback in the stock price, as seen in the Amazon example on May 22nd.

Outlines

00:00

๐Ÿ“ˆ Understanding Gamma Exposure in Options Trading

This paragraph explains the concept of gamma in options trading, likening it to acceleration in physics where delta represents velocity. It discusses how gamma peaks at the money and can sometimes be higher on strikes with significant open interest. The paragraph uses Amazon as an example to illustrate how positive gamma exposure can lead market makers to sell into rallies and buy into dips, stabilizing prices, while negative gamma can increase volatility as market makers act in alignment with market movements. The discussion includes the impact of expiration dates on gamma values and the importance of near-dated options.

05:01

๐Ÿ“Š Analyzing Gamma Exposure by Strike and Expiry

The second paragraph delves into the analysis of gamma exposure by strike, highlighting the highest concentrations of gamma for both call and put options. It emphasizes the at-the-money strike's peak gamma value and how gamma exposure drops as one moves away from this point. The paragraph also introduces the concept of net gamma, which combines call and put gamma to show where open interest is concentrated. It uses the example of Amazon's $185 strike having the most gamma, suggesting market makers' role in suppressing volatility around this level. The discussion contrasts Amazon's positive gamma environment with Meta's less positive and sometimes negative gamma environment, demonstrating the impact on stock price volatility.

10:03

๐Ÿ’ก Utilizing Gamma Exposure for Trading Insights

The final paragraph provides insights on how gamma exposure can be used for trading, focusing on the gamma exposure by strike and expiry chart. It discusses the significance of short-dated options and how they can indicate potential mean reversion trades or speculative overpowering. The paragraph uses the example of Amazon's $185 strike call options and how market makers' hedging activities can lead to price pullbacks when the stock price reaches the strike. It also touches on the behavior of fast-money traders who may look to monetize their positions as the stock price moves into the money, leading to potential profit-taking opportunities identified by gamma exposure levels.

Mindmap

Keywords

๐Ÿ’กGamma Exposure

Gamma Exposure refers to the rate of change of an options contract's delta relative to the underlying asset's price movement. In the context of the video, it is likened to acceleration in physics, where delta is the velocity. The script explains that gamma exposure is significant in options trading, as it indicates how sensitive an option's delta is to changes in the underlying stock price. The video uses Amazon's stock as an example to illustrate periods of positive and negative gamma exposure and their impact on market behavior.

๐Ÿ’กDelta

Delta, in options trading, represents the sensitivity of an option's price to a $1 change in the price of the underlying asset. The video script uses a physics analogy, comparing delta to velocity, to explain how gamma (acceleration) changes as the underlying asset's price fluctuates. Delta is crucial for understanding an option's value and its potential to increase or decrease with the movement of the underlying stock.

๐Ÿ’กAt the Money

At the Money (ATM) is a term used in options trading to describe an option with a strike price that is equal to the current market price of the underlying asset. The script mentions that gamma hits its peak at the money, indicating that options with ATM strikes have the highest gamma values, making them the most sensitive to price changes in the underlying asset.

๐Ÿ’กOpen Interest

Open Interest in the script refers to the total number of outstanding contracts that have not been settled. It is an important metric in understanding market sentiment and potential price movements. The video discusses how accumulated gamma on any given strike can be larger than the gamma of an at-the-money strike due to high open interest, indicating significant trading activity.

๐Ÿ’กMarket Maker

A Market Maker is an entity, usually a firm or individual, that stands ready to buy and sell securities at any time, thus providing liquidity to the market. The script explains how market makers react in both positive and negative gamma environments, selling into rallies and buying into dips to offset their exposure, which can influence market volatility.

๐Ÿ’กVolatility

Volatility in the context of the video refers to the degree of variation of a trading price series over time. The script discusses how negative gamma environments can lead to higher price volatility because market makers align their actions with market participants, exacerbating price movements.

๐Ÿ’กExpiration Date

Expiration Date is the date on which an options contract becomes invalid if it has not been exercised or closed out. The video script emphasizes the importance of expiration dates in relation to gamma, as options with nearer expiration dates have higher gamma values, indicating a more immediate impact on price movements.

๐Ÿ’กStrike Price

Strike Price, also known as exercise price, is the fixed price at which an option holder can buy (in the case of a call) or sell (in the case of a put) the underlying security. The script uses the strike price to discuss gamma concentrations and how they affect market makers' hedging strategies and potential price suppression around certain levels.

๐Ÿ’กCall and Put Gamma

Call and Put Gamma refer to the gamma values associated with call and put options, respectively. The script differentiates between the two to show how gamma concentrations can vary by strike and affect market dynamics. For example, the script mentions that the $185 strike has the highest call gamma, indicating a significant concentration of call options at that price level.

๐Ÿ’กNet Gamma

Net Gamma is the combined effect of call and put gammas, which can provide a clearer picture of the overall gamma exposure in the market. The script uses the concept of net gamma to illustrate where the market has built up significant open interest and how this can influence volatility and price movements.

๐Ÿ’กMean Reversion Trade

Mean Reversion Trade is a trading strategy based on the statistical concept that asset prices will tend to revert to their historical average or mean over time. The script suggests that analyzing gamma exposure by strike and expiry can potentially reveal opportunities for mean reversion trades, where speculators may overpower the market's tendency to revert to the mean.

Highlights

Gamma is defined as the rate of change of a contract's Delta, analogous to acceleration in physics.

Gamma peaks at the money, indicating maximum sensitivity to the underlying stock's price movements.

High gamma values can occur at strikes with significant open interest, even if not at the money.

Positive gamma exposure implies market makers sell into rallies and buy into dips to hedge their exposure.

Negative gamma exposure can lead to higher price volatility as market makers align with market movements.

Amazon's gamma exposure has been predominantly positive, with brief periods of negativity observed in September to October 2023.

Gamma exposure by strike shows concentration of gamma at specific price levels, with the at-the-money strike having the highest value.

Expiration dates are crucial for understanding gamma exposure, as near-dated options have higher gamma than those further out.

Market makers' actions in suppressing volatility can be observed through the uniformity of daily price movements.

Meta's gamma exposure has been less positive compared to Amazon, leading to more volatile price swings.

Market makers' long positions in certain contracts can influence the stock price movement around specific strike prices.

Gamma exposure by both strike and expiry can reveal potential mean reversion trades or speculative overpowering.

Traders may monetize contracts as the underlying stock price approaches the strike, leading to price pullbacks.

The relationship between gamma exposure and the options chains can provide insights into trading strategies and profit-taking points.

Active traders' open interest can also influence gamma exposure, in addition to institutional risk management plays.

Gamma exposure charts can be used alongside stock charts to understand market maker behavior and potential trading opportunities.

The impact of gamma exposure on stock price can be observed in intraday movements, especially when approaching key strike prices.

Understanding gamma exposure can aid in selecting optimal strike prices for trades and identifying profit-taking opportunities.

Transcripts

play00:05

in this unusual whales platform video we

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are going to cover the gamma exposure

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dashboard now simply put gamma is the

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rate of change of a given contract's

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Delta to make a bit of a physics analogy

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here Delta would represent your velocity

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and Gamma would represent

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acceleration now gamma hits its peak at

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the money as the spot price of the

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underlying stock moves around at the

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money strikes will have the maximum

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gamma value on the options chain but

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there are situations where the total

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gamma accumulated On Any Given strike

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might be larger than the gamma of an at

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the money strike this just means there's

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a ton of contracts there in the open

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interest a lot of trading going on the

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basic expression of gamma exposure on

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the first chart here shows you that the

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total gamma exposure for Amazon in our

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example here has largely been positive

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over the last 6 months maybe even longer

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now if we roll back here to September

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for example to around early to mid

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October 2023 we can see these brief

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periods here where total gamma was

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negative rather than positive the

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easiest way to kind of think of this

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total gex or gamma exposure positive or

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negative is to think about the option

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Market counterparty commonly referred to

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as Market maker the way to think about

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Market maker reactions here is in a

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positive gamma

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environment the market maker is going to

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sell into rallies and buy into dips to

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offset their total

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exposure in a negative gamma environment

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similar to what we looked at here in

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September to October

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2023 the market maker is going to sell

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into dips and buy into rallies to offset

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their exposure so these negative gamma

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environments can lead to higher price

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volatility because not only do you have

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the market participants buying and

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selling options and shares as they

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normally would but the market maker can

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frequently be acting in alignment with

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the market participants instead of

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counteracting

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them you can kind of see a few points

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where there's a little bit lower gamma

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exposure and again these small points

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where gamma exposure was net negative

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but for the most part for most of recent

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history on Amazon anyway the gex

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environment has been positive so market

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makers have been gently selling into

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rips and gently buying into

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dips the next graph here is gamma

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exposure by strike now one important

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thing to consider here is this table

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ignores expiration dates of these

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contracts so for example here if there's

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a lot of action on the

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$185 strike that is valuable information

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to have but you don't immediately know

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the expiration dates of that call andp

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put gamma now with that being said gamma

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is a shortterm phenomenon we can even go

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look at the options chains

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here and see that the nearer dated

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options have higher gamma than further

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dated options

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so for example here in the Amazon chains

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looking at the expiration for 531 2024

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which at the time of recording is just

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one day away the gamma for the

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$180 strike pretty close to at the money

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is35 now if we go further in time let's

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say the July 5th expiration date that

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gamma drops significantly to 027

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so we can see fairly clearly that the

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near dat call gamma is much higher than

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the far dat call gamma so back to our

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gamma exposure by strike it is worth

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knowing that the expirations that are

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closest in time as of right now are

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likely to be the biggest contributors to

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These Bars and if it turns out that one

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of those bars is really large and all

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the open interest happens to be further

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dated it just speaks to the sizing of

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those particular trades so here we see

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that at the

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$185 strike there's this big gamma bar

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if this happened to be in December 2024

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for example we could say wow there's a

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ton of open interest here because we

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know that near dated expirations have

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way more gamma than longer dated so next

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let's phase out this net gamma and just

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look at the call and put gamma puts on

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the left calls on the right this shows

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you by strike where those gamma

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concentrations are so here on the call

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side the biggest gamma concentration was

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at the

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$185 strike while for the puts the

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biggest gamma concentration is on the

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$180

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strike you can see there's this sort of

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curve here from top to bottom on the

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strikes because remember the at the

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money strike has the highest gamma value

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regardless of expiration so you'll see

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as we move in price from Strike to

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strike either up or down the further

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away from at the money we get gamma

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exposure tends to

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drop now for a bit of a different view

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here let's flip the table from call and

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put gamma individually to just net

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gamma this will show you the call gamma

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plus the put gamma this is a bit of a

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naive calculation meant to show you

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where we've built up up open interest by

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strike where that gamma is really

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concentrated what's interesting when you

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look at the net gamma view is that it's

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showing us that the

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$185 strike holds by far the most gamma

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it's likely that market makers that we

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discussed earlier are long this

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contract market makers are suppressing

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volatility around that 185 level as the

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stock price moves toward the strike and

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Gamma Rises market makers will be forced

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to sell more shares suppressing that

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upside movement as the stock moves back

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down they will slowly buy back those

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shorted shares overall suppressing any

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large stock movement

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volatility we can actually see here on

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the daily chart how those daily candles

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are pretty uniform and small there's

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been a steady uptrend without much

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volatility dayt

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day for another example here here's a

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look at meta's Daily gamma exposure

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which has had much less of a positive

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gamma environment than the Amazon we

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viewed when meta was in a consistently

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large positive gex environment the share

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price moved in that same steady uptrend

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we observed in Amazon but when the gex

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environment is significantly less

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positive and a times negative the price

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action on meta becomes quite volatile

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with much larger swings both up and down

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down in the share price like we see here

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on this yellow

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line to give a closer look at this

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volatility suppression by market makers

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let's take this Amazon chart down to a

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tighter time frame on the 15 minute from

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May 22nd and look what happened when

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Amazon approached that $185 mark on the

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underlying stock price now remember our

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assumption is that the vast amount of

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open interest on that $185 call strike

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rests with market makers as Amazon

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breached above 185 on the underlying

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market makers gently sold shares to

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suppress volatility above the strike

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this led to a gentle intraday pullback

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in the Amazon stock price however if you

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refer back to that daily chart we can

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see fairly clearly again that Amazon has

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enjoyed a steady uptrend with very

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little downside volatility this is the

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result of our positive gex environment

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and volatility surprise R by those

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market makers now remember the

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Assumption of gamma exposure is that

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most of the open interest on these

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strikes are riskmanagement plays by

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institutional investors but we also have

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to keep in mind some trading activities

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are done by active Traders so some of

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this open interest encompasses them as

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well I'll offer more perspective on this

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with the next

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charts and finally the next chart shows

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us the gamma exposure by both strike and

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expiry now this one may possibly be the

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most instantly useful for gamma exposure

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information because it could potentially

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show you some places where you might

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find a mean reversion trade or you might

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find that speculators are overpowering

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the potential for mean reversion that

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they may just be running over Market

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participants trying to fade the move at

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the top you can select which expiration

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date you want to view but for now we're

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going to stay on the nearest date

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expiration even though it's not

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currently the largest source of gamma we

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know that short-dated options can be

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like a hot potato you don't just hold on

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to that bad boy and pray to the market

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Gods it goes the direction you want

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participants trading these options are

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likely to be doing faster trades in and

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out so one thing we can do here is hide

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the net gamma and just look at the call

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and put gamma again to see the biggest

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call strikes and the biggest put strikes

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now again this is based on open interest

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and gets built out each morning when

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open interest updates so we can see that

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at open the

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$185 strike has the highest call gamma

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while the

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$180 strike has the highest put gamma

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down below we can see that for example

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the

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$170 strike is about even so these are

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kind of close if we turn on the net

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gamma and turn off call and put gamma

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that 170 Strike should be about flat and

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here we can see that it indeed is now on

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the

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$85 strike there's absolutely zero

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splitting of hairs there's significantly

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more call gamma than put gamma and shown

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again here on net gamma it's very clear

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that call Traders are in control on the

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$185 strike for the 531 2024 expiration

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what makes these values interesting is

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the nature of short-term speculating for

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example a Trader who's purchased the 185

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strike calls on Amazon to speculate on

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the upside if Amazon was trading at

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let's say you know 183 then traded up to

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185 a 185 strike call buyer might be

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looking to monetize that contract as

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soon as the price trades up into that

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185 area they may say hey look this

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contract was out of the money and now

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it's in the money the most rapid price

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appreciation on the contract has already

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occurred Fast Money traders may be

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looking to get out or reposition given

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The Nearness of the expiration so we may

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see holders of long calls fall off in

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this

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area so to give an idea of what I mean

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with that let's go back to the Amazon

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chart so looking at the Amazon chart and

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zooming way in we can see that on the

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beginning of the day of Wednesday May

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22nd

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the market opened and there was some

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price appreciation pretty much

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immediately Traders got the price of

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Amazon up to a little above 185 and in

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fact the high of day

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here was right around

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18522 but you'll notice here on the 5

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minute chart that it didn't hold on to

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this 185 level for very long we tapped

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above 185 and then Amazon had a nice

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little pullback as low as 18352 before

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bouncing and continuing its downtrend

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one potential explanation of this is

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that long call speculators on that

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stacked $185 strike monetized their

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contracts and took profit here when we

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tapped above so what happens here is

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when your counterparty the market maker

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in this example was short a call by

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selling the long call you opened to you

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they don't want that directional

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exposure so to offset set their short

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call they buy some stock to hedge it as

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soon as you sell that call they're

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buying that call back once you no longer

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have a long call the Market maker no

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longer has a short call either once you

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realize that profit on your long call

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the counterparty no longer has this

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hedging requirement so they dump their

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Equity exposure which can have a

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negative impact on the price of the

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underlying stock as we see here so when

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you have enough of this action Happening

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notated by how large the gamma exposure

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is at any given strike sometimes we can

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see what happened here occur the spot

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price reaching the strike in question

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here we're talking the $185 strike we

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can see some pullback potential and Mark

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that as a possible place to take profit

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if you're in a gamma exposure-based

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trade all right everyone I hope that

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helps you better understand what exactly

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you're seeing in these gamma exposure

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chart charts and how you can relate it

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to the options chains and the stock

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chart itself to Garner some insight into

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how you can utilize gamma exposure both

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in picking a strike to trade as well as

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points on the chart to take profit

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