BUYING??? (BTC SOL ETH NVDA TSLA...)

CTO LARSSON
18 Jun 202412:58

Summary

TLDRThe video discusses the current state of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, highlighting key support and resistance levels, and market trends. It emphasizes the importance of trend analysis and market structure in trading. The presenter also touches on the performance of major tech stocks, noting opportunities and risks. Additionally, there's a discussion on the challenges faced by Tesla and the potential of its other business models. The overall message is to be cautious and strategic in trading and investing, leveraging technical analysis to make informed decisions.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“‰ The Bitcoin chart is showing a bearish trend, with minor support at 6,725 breaking down and turning into resistance.
  • πŸ”„ Yields are reclaiming support, and if they start to rise again, it could be negative for Bitcoin.
  • 🌟 Despite the bearish outlook, gold still stands out as a positive asset, with the underlying trend being a useful tool in tech trading.
  • πŸ”‘ Support and resistance are crucial for understanding market structure and determining entry points for trades.
  • ⚠️ The breaking of support and the conflict between horizontal support/resistance and the trend indicate increased risk in the market.
  • 🚫 No one can accurately predict market movements, making it essential to have a conditional plan based on potential market scenarios.
  • πŸ“Š Ethereum's chart shows a simple case of a range with fakeouts, but a break in resistance could signal a buying opportunity.
  • 🌐 Solana's chart is at a critical juncture, with a key support level being tested and the Loonie line indicating a bearish trend.
  • πŸ“ˆ Binance Coin (BNB) has shown a clear pattern of support turning into resistance and then breaking out, forming a 'flag' pattern.
  • πŸš€ Tesla's stock has been bearish since late 2021, but there are signs of potential support developing, suggesting a possible turnaround.
  • πŸ’‘ The speaker is closing his Swedish company and will no longer be selling products or services after June 25th, urging customers to act quickly if they wish to purchase.

Q & A

  • What is the current situation with the Bitcoin chart according to the transcript?

    -The Bitcoin chart is not looking great. It mentions a minor support level at 6,725 that held eight times on separate days but eventually broke, turning into resistance. This is not a positive sign for Bitcoin.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ“‰ Bitcoin's Technical Analysis and Market Trends

The video script discusses the current state of Bitcoin's chart, highlighting a minor support level at 6,725 that was tested eight times before breaking down and turning into resistance. The speaker emphasizes the importance of support and resistance levels for both entering trades and understanding the overall market structure. They also mention the impact of rising yields on Bitcoin's performance. The script advises against market predictions, instead suggesting a conditional approach based on potential market movements. The speaker outlines a plan for action if Bitcoin breaks certain support or resistance levels, and briefly touches on the situation with Ethereum and Solana, noting similar patterns in their charts.

05:02

πŸ“Š Analyzing Cryptocurrency and Stock Market Opportunities

This paragraph delves into the analysis of various cryptocurrency and stock market charts, focusing on support and resistance levels as key indicators. It mentions the potential of Ethereum ETF and the importance of the Sol to ETH ratio. The speaker also discusses the possibility of a meme coin launch by Trump on Solana, warning viewers about the risk of scams. The analysis continues with a look at the B&B chart, noting how support turned into resistance and then into a range pattern, and the importance of recognizing when to enter or exit trades based on these patterns. The speaker also shares their personal decision to close their Swedish company and the implications for their business, emphasizing the need for viewers to act promptly if interested in their offerings.

10:02

πŸš€ Tesla's Market Performance and Future Prospects

The final paragraph of the script focuses on Tesla's stock performance, noting its decline since late 2021 and the bearish signals from its chart. The speaker discusses the potential underestimation of competition by Tesla and the challenges of competing with Chinese manufacturers. Despite the current downtrend, there is mention of developing support levels and the possibility of a turnaround if certain conditions are met. The script also touches on Tesla's other business models, such as automated fleets, AI, and robotics, suggesting that these areas could offer a competitive advantage. The speaker concludes with a reminder to avoid scams and a reference to their website for further information.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘CTO

CTO stands for Chief Technology Officer, a role typically responsible for managing the technological direction of a company. In the context of the video, the speaker mentions a 'new CTO Lon office,' which may refer to a new office or workspace related to the speaker's role as a technology expert or leader.

πŸ’‘Bitcoin

Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that operates on a peer-to-peer network without the need for intermediaries like banks. The video discusses the Bitcoin chart, indicating the current state of Bitcoin's market performance and its price movements, which is central to the theme of cryptocurrency trading and analysis.

πŸ’‘Support and Resistance

In technical analysis, support and resistance are levels on a price chart where the price tends to stop falling (support) or rising (resistance). The script mentions these concepts as key tools for understanding market structure and making trading decisions, such as when to enter or exit positions.

πŸ’‘Trend

A trend in finance refers to the general direction in which prices are moving. The video emphasizes the importance of identifying and following trends in trading, suggesting that they are a reliable indicator until they change significantly.

πŸ’‘Yields

Yields in the context of the video likely refer to the returns on investment, such as interest rates from bonds or other fixed-income securities. The speaker mentions that rising yields could have a negative impact on Bitcoin, indicating a relationship between traditional financial instruments and cryptocurrencies.

πŸ’‘Loonie

Loonie is a slang term for the Canadian dollar, derived from the 'CA' ISO code for Canada and the bird that appears on the one-dollar coin. The term is used in the script to refer to the trend indicator 'LoL' (Line of Least Resistance), which is a technical analysis tool used to determine the path of least resistance for a security's price movement.

πŸ’‘ETH

ETH refers to Ethereum, a decentralized platform that runs smart contracts and has its own cryptocurrency called Ether. The video discusses the price action and trading range of Ethereum, highlighting its importance in the cryptocurrency market.

πŸ’‘Solana

Solana is a high-performance blockchain platform for decentralized applications and cryptocurrencies. The script mentions Solana in the context of its price support levels and its potential impact on the market, emphasizing its role as a significant player in the cryptocurrency ecosystem.

πŸ’‘Meme Coins

Meme coins are cryptocurrencies that are created as a joke or for fun, often based on internet memes. The video references a rumor about a meme coin being launched on the Solana blockchain, indicating the speculative nature of some cryptocurrency projects.

πŸ’‘BNB

BNB, or Binance Coin, is the native token of the Binance cryptocurrency exchange. The video discusses the technical analysis of BNB's price chart, showing how support and resistance levels, as well as trend lines, can be used to analyze its market performance.

πŸ’‘Stocks

Stocks represent ownership shares in a corporation and are traded on stock exchanges. The video script mentions stocks like Apple, Google, Microsoft, and Nvidia, discussing their technical analysis and entry points for potential investment.

πŸ’‘Tesla

Tesla is an electric vehicle and clean energy company known for its innovative products and technology. The video discusses Tesla's stock performance, noting its recent price action and potential opportunities for investors, while also considering the competitive landscape of the electric vehicle market.

Highlights

The Bitcoin chart is not looking great, with minor support at 6,725 that held eight times but eventually broke and turned into resistance.

Yields reclaiming support could be negative for Bitcoin if they start going up again.

The true underlying trend is still the most useful tool in tech trading according to the speaker's opinion.

Trends are even more sticky in technology and Bitcoin than in other types of assets.

Support and resistance are highly useful for entering leverage long or short and understanding the overall market structure.

The risk has increased as horizontal support and resistance signals are now in conflict with the trend.

The speaker emphasizes that no one can predict the market, advocating for conditional planning based on market movements.

If Bitcoin's support breaks with a blue loan line, the speaker will exit the market until the situation reverses.

If Bitcoin breaks through resistance with a gold loan line, the speaker will increase exposure to Bitcoin significantly.

Ethereum has been in a range for a long time with fakeouts but a resistance break could signal interest.

Solana's support level at 0.2 has been tested multiple times and is currently a key level to watch.

A breakdown of Solana's key support with a downward trend could be very bearish.

The rumor of Trump launching a meme coin on Solana could lead to scams with many projects using the 'djt' name.

BNB's chart shows a well-defined range after support turned into resistance and a breakout forming a flag pattern.

The speaker is closing his Swedish company after June 25th, meaning no sales or courses will be available after that date.

Take stocks are not boring and the speaker suggests looking for the next entry instead of chasing long-passed opportunities.

Amazon's chart is being monitored for a potential breakout with a loan line gold signal.

Tesla's chart has been bearish since late 2021 with a head and shoulders pattern and horizontal support breakdown.

Tesla might be underestimating the competition, especially in building physical products against Chinese competitors.

Despite the bearish trend, there is a developing support in Tesla's chart that could signal a potential change.

Transcripts

play00:05

[Music]

play00:19

[Music]

play00:21

welcome to the new CTO Lon office the

play00:24

Bitcoin chart is actually not a great

play00:27

look here this minor support at 6

play00:31

7,225 that held eight times on eight

play00:35

separate days eventually broke and as

play00:38

you can see here now perfectly turned

play00:40

into resistance see these two weeks

play00:43

turned exactly there not great also

play00:46

yields are reclaiming support if yields

play00:50

start going up again not so positive for

play00:53

Bitcoin there's only one light in the

play00:56

tunnel

play01:00

[Music]

play01:02

it's still

play01:03

gold exactly L online is still gold the

play01:08

true underlying trend has remained the

play01:11

most useful tool in Tech trading for all

play01:15

these years in my opinion that's not the

play01:18

groundbreaking idea trend is your friend

play01:21

until the end when it bends yeah okay

play01:24

I'm not going to sit on the freaking

play01:26

savan I'll also be going back and forth

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between my old and new country this

play01:30

summer Trend the thing is that Trends

play01:33

are even more sticky in technology not

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only in Bitcoin than in other types of

play01:39

assets another main tool in our tool

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boox support and resistance are highly

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useful for two reasons one if you're

play01:47

trying to enter leverage long or short

play01:50

for example here you could do it

play01:53

perfectly eight times only one time got

play01:56

stopped out and you could get a perfect

play01:59

short entry at least 10 times here at

play02:02

resistance not stopped out a single time

play02:05

but the other reason that support and

play02:07

resistance are useful is to try to

play02:10

understand the overall Market structure

play02:12

now with breaking down through this

play02:15

support and seemingly turning it into

play02:17

resistance the signals of horizontal

play02:20

support and resistance and the trend are

play02:23

more in Conflict than they were last

play02:26

week that means that the risk has gone

play02:28

up but it's also so not full out bearish

play02:31

anyone who tells you that they can

play02:33

predict what the market will do next are

play02:36

either ignorant or straight up lying

play02:39

this is a pretty uncertain situation now

play02:42

and it's better to operate in a mode

play02:44

that if this happens then I will do X if

play02:47

that happens then I will do y and here

play02:50

is my plan exactly the overall range

play02:54

between the major resistance and the

play02:56

major support is a pretty tight wellc

play02:59

contained range there is no need to

play03:02

speculate on the breakout direction if

play03:04

this support breaks and maybe we even

play03:07

get lower lows with loan line turning

play03:10

blue okay then I'll be completely out of

play03:13

the market until that situation reverses

play03:16

if on the other hand we break through

play03:19

this resistance with Lan line gold I'll

play03:22

increase my exposure to bitcoin

play03:25

potentially by a lot now let's look at

play03:27

some old coins ethereum is actually very

play03:30

simple case it's been in this range for

play03:32

the longest time faked out twice on the

play03:35

upside and once on the downside a trixy

play03:39

little coin trixy

play03:42

first no but despite this constant fake

play03:46

outs if resistance breaks and perhaps we

play03:49

want a little bit more margin next time

play03:51

we lo line gold okay I'm interested now

play03:54

to Solana and let's apply what you

play03:57

learned about support and resistance

play03:59

first fans of the channel will recall

play04:01

that I've talked about this support

play04:03

level at 02 for the longest time this

play04:07

level didn't come this year it was

play04:09

established already in 2022 on the way

play04:12

down first as support then as resistance

play04:15

now it has held quite a few times and

play04:18

now today touchdown there again and

play04:21

bounced here we are in an even more

play04:24

dangerous situation than with Bitcoin

play04:26

because L online is actually blue on so

play04:30

to BTC so a breakdown of this super key

play04:34

support with the trend down would be a

play04:37

very bearish event in the Sal to BTC

play04:39

chart the altcoin to USD charts always

play04:43

get more blurry because of the BTC price

play04:46

movements but we can perhaps make out a

play04:49

similar situation with a previous

play04:51

support here turning into resistance but

play04:54

could be a coincidence the chart to

play04:56

follow here is this chart and if this

play04:59

breaks now then better hold on to your

play05:02

parachutes guys the next chart I want to

play05:04

draw your attention to is the soul to

play05:06

eth chart because here something has

play05:09

changed for one year from mid 2023 Soul

play05:14

has been in the lead l and line gold for

play05:17

the Sal to e ratio then the parabola

play05:20

stopped price formed a range and if we

play05:23

zoom in now this isn't an exact science

play05:27

but this range definitely threatens to

play05:30

break down with loan line blue the

play05:33

ethereum ETF is coming and perhaps eth

play05:36

which seems so knocked down and

play05:38

irrelevant who knows perhaps it comes

play05:41

back let's see so this is definitely a

play05:44

chart to follow because even with for

play05:47

example Tor coming strong and base like

play05:49

almost a separate ecosystem I'd still

play05:52

say that the main two contenders for the

play05:55

leading smart contract platform right

play05:58

now still remain ethereum and Solana

play06:01

ethereum with its massive leadership in

play06:04

tvl and Solana with its leadership in

play06:07

usage with meme coins and other activity

play06:10

speaking of which today's rumor is that

play06:13

Trump is launching a meme coin on Solana

play06:16

no idea if it's true but what I can say

play06:19

with certainty is that a lot of people

play06:21

will get scammed today regardless

play06:24

because there's now so many projects

play06:26

called djt look here all of these are

play06:29

scams they're not the same project

play06:31

almost never ends and here's another

play06:34

completely independent project on

play06:36

ethereum also called djt the one people

play06:39

were speculating about is this one and

play06:41

if it is this smart contract isn't great

play06:44

with features for minting new coins at

play06:46

will so whatever you decide to do with

play06:48

this rumor at least don't buy the wrong

play06:51

coin the clearest chart of the top three

play06:54

old coins is the B&B chart see how

play06:57

perfectly this support turned into

play07:00

resistance and then it broke out turned

play07:03

into a range which is called a flag

play07:06

after a major move up broke out came

play07:08

back into the range broke out again and

play07:11

now looks like it's retesting the upper

play07:14

boundary of that range still looks good

play07:16

Lo on line still gold on the BNB to USD

play07:20

chart this looks a little bit more

play07:21

confusing here which is why I prefer the

play07:24

BTC chart still if you want to simplify

play07:26

your life you just note that we had the

play07:29

lotion line gold flip at

play07:31

$238 something and now it's plus

play07:35

150% so

play07:37

2.5x with very little risk taken because

play07:41

after the lo line gold flip see how

play07:43

price bounced at this support without

play07:47

breaking it so if you had a stop loss

play07:49

below that support it never hit

play07:52

beautiful and I hope you see the

play07:54

usefulness of support and resistance

play07:56

before we look at stocks I was not

play07:58

kidding when I said that I'm closing my

play08:01

Swedish company guys just to make that

play08:04

super clear that was not a joke after

play08:07

June 25th you cannot buy anything from

play08:10

me shop closed that's in 7 days whenever

play08:14

I sell something here even the stuff

play08:15

that I've invented myself programmed

play08:18

myself on my own YouTube channel there's

play08:20

always people that get angry but I'm

play08:22

telling you people will be a lot angrier

play08:25

when I'm not selling anything I

play08:26

literally cannot take your money after

play08:28

this date because I won't have a company

play08:31

until I've completed my move and set up

play08:33

a new company in my new country so if

play08:35

you are planning to take my course or

play08:37

get on Pro you have to do it now the

play08:40

correct entries have long passed in most

play08:43

of the major take stocks the last gold

play08:46

flip on Apple was here it's almost 10 XS

play08:50

ago last gold flip in Google was down

play08:53

here Microsoft it was here if you didn't

play08:56

have the tools then don't kick yourself

play08:58

for it just try to get better going

play09:01

forward and also don't chase after

play09:04

entries long passed statistically that's

play09:07

not a great strategy so if you didn't

play09:10

take the Nvidia entry the last one here

play09:13

after this perfect inverse Head and

play09:15

Shoulders pattern and the L and line

play09:18

gold flip back in March 2023 when price

play09:21

was like 23 on adjusted prices don't

play09:24

chase after it one plus year later buy

play09:27

it at 130 man massively risky where

play09:30

would you put the stop in this setup and

play09:32

that's just the last entry if you have a

play09:34

10year perspective this coin sorry stock

play09:37

is up

play09:38

4,000% that's

play09:40

400x but we can't travel back in time

play09:43

instead try to do two things number one

play09:45

get better number two look for the next

play09:48

entry instead don't chase but I hope you

play09:51

agree with me that take stocks are not

play09:54

boring that's why I added it to Pro one

play09:56

opportunity from a TA perspective could

play09:59

be Amazon I followed this for some weeks

play10:02

now to see if this resistance breaks out

play10:05

with loan line gold it hasn't yet so if

play10:08

it does that opportunity is still ahead

play10:11

of us at least it's one thing to monitor

play10:13

another one is Tesla that has had a very

play10:16

bad price action since late 2021 I've

play10:20

not been a fan of the Tesla chart over

play10:23

this period And I warned that this was

play10:26

kind of a head and shoulder is pattern

play10:29

that broke down here in the Autumn 2022

play10:32

already and then this horizontal Support

play10:35

also broke and Lan line turned blue

play10:38

which was the first time since we

play10:40

identified this entry at support at $12

play10:43

equivalent adjusted for splits and since

play10:46

this triple of very bearish developments

play10:50

price hasn't really recovered Trend flip

play10:52

def floped little bit here but not much

play10:55

changed and the trend is still down

play10:57

today and I do think that Tesla could be

play11:01

underestimating the competition for the

play11:03

physical course I know that's not a

play11:06

popular statement but I know very well

play11:09

that building physical products in

play11:11

competition with Chinese competitors is

play11:15

difficult even for the best so if that

play11:17

was their only business I would not even

play11:20

be interested in tracking this at this

play11:22

point that was different in 2019 when it

play11:26

was a game of disruption a game of in

play11:29

inovation now it's a game of copying

play11:31

each other and trying to build a

play11:32

reasonably good product at a low price

play11:35

I'm only interested here because of the

play11:37

other business models like automated

play11:40

fleets Ai and robots which I imagine

play11:43

will be a lot about the quality and

play11:45

safety of the AI where Tesla could have

play11:48

an advantage back to the Innovation

play11:50

stage the trend is still down and the

play11:52

chart hasn't really recovered yet but

play11:55

there is something happening here there

play11:57

is an element of support developing in

play12:00

the chart and price when it broke down

play12:03

immediately came back up like a slow

play12:05

week and since then that price is

play12:08

holding here tested it again last week

play12:10

held or if want to play it safer we

play12:13

could wait until support definitely

play12:16

holds and the trend turns back up if

play12:19

Tesla will ever become a top three tech

play12:22

company by market cap growing to these

play12:25

market caps of 3 trillion from current

play12:28

600 billion it won't do so with the

play12:31

trend down so no need to stress about

play12:34

that that can't happen mathematically

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don't get scammed guys I have only one

play12:40

website it's CTO larson.com thank you T

play12:43

cson

play12:46

out maybe I say it remind me why we left

play12:49

Sweden again

play12:56

[Music]

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