Electric cars capable of running for over 1 million miles are already here

The Electric Viking
15 Jun 202416:14

Summary

TLDRこのビデオスクリプトでは、電気自動車(EV)の驚くべき耐久性を探求しています。テスラのモデルSが200万キロを走行し、バッテリーやモーターの交換を経ても走行が続くという事例が紹介されています。EVは、数千の部分から成る内燃機とは異なり、数十の部分しかなく、修理や保守が少なくてコストが低いことが示されています。バッテリー技術の進歩により、EVは平均で内燃機車を2倍以上、さらには3倍も長く使用できる可能性があり、これはカーメーカーの販売戦略に影響を与える可能性があります。

Takeaways

  • 🚗 テスラのモデル3や古いモデルSは、元々のモーターやバッテリー、タイヤやブレーキを除いてほぼ全てが400,000マイル以上走行している例が多く報告されています。
  • 🌐 電気自動車(EV)は、車メーカーがそれらを可能にすればほぼ永遠に使える可能性があると「アトランティック」誌が報道しました。
  • 🤔 自動車メーカーがEVの寿命を意図的に短くする可能性があるとの疑問が提起されています。なぜなら、EVを買った人には二度と車を買う必要がなくなるからです。
  • 📈 電気自動車は、数千の部分から成るガソリンエンジンと異なり、数十の動く部分しかなく、摩耗や修理、保守が少なく、コストが低いため、長寿命が実現可能とされています。
  • 🔋 バッテリー技術の進歩により、EVのバッテリーパックは数年前よりもはるかに長持ちし、平均的なアメリカ人ドライバーの74年分の走行距離をカバーするのに十分な容量を持つことができるとされています。
  • 🛠️ ガソリン車は驚くほど丈夫ですが、EVほどではありません。EVのバッテリーは時間と共に劣化するため、修理や交換が必要になることがありますが、そのコストは比較的低いとされています。
  • 🔄 バッテリーの寿命は、使用状況によって変わり、15年後には走行距離が当初の約70~85%になることが予想されます。
  • 🔬 研究によると、一部のEVバッテリーは4百万マイル(約65万キロメートル)も走行できるとテストされています。
  • 🛡️ 多くのEVのバッテリーは、8年間または100,000マイルの運転に対して保証されており、バッテリー容量が当初の70%未満に低下した時点で交換が可能です。
  • 📉 自動車メーカーが新しいEVを販売する必要があるため、ソフトウェアのアップデートや新機能との互換性を持たない古いハードウェアを作り出す可能性があると指摘されています。
  • 🔧 現在、EVの修理は製造業者とその小売店のみが行うことができ、独立修理店がEVの修理に必要な特別な部品や技術知識を入手できるかどうかは不透明です。

Q & A

  • テスラの車はなぜ長い距離を走ることができるのか?

    -テスラの車は、従来のガソリン車に比べて、数十個の部品しかなく、摩耗や修理の必要が少なく、維持コストが低いためです。

  • 電気自動車(EV)のバッテリー技術はどのように進化しているか?

    -バッテリー技術は急速に進化しており、バッテリーパックの寿命は数年前よりも長くなっています。将来的には、平均的なアメリカ人ドライバーが74年間運転するのに十分な距離をカバーする技術が実現される見込みです。

  • テスラの車が400,000マイルを超えることがある理由は何ですか?

    -テスラの車は、バッテリーやモーターの交換を含むいくつかの修理を経た後でも、非常に長い距離を走ることができます。これは、EVの構造的な耐久性と、バッテリー技術の向上によるものです。

  • 電気自動車のバッテリーがどのくらいの期間維持される可能性があるか?

    -バッテリーは時間と使用によって性能が低下しますが、現代のEVバッテリーは、300,000マイル以上も維持される可能性があります。

  • 電気自動車のバッテリーが70%未満になった場合、何が起こるのでしょうか?

    -多くのEVの保証は、バッテリーがオリジナル容量の70%を下回った場合に、8年間または100,000マイルの運転距離で交換をカバーしています。

  • 自動車会社はEVの耐久性を意図的に低下させる可能性はありますか?

    -報道では、自動車会社がEVの耐久性を低下させることで、消費者が新しい車を購入するよう促している可能性があると指摘されています。

  • EVのバッテリーのリサイクルはどのように行われているか?

    -使用済みのEVバッテリーは、バックアップソーラーエネルギーストレージなどの第二のライフを持ち、非常に価値のある貴金属を再利用することができます。

  • 電気自動車の普及は、自動車販売業にどのような影響を与える可能性がありますか?

    -EVの耐久性により、新車販売業は減少する可能性があり、自動車会社の販売戦略に変化が生じるかもしれません。

  • EVの修理と部品の入手は、なぜ困難になる可能性があるか?

    -EVの修理には専門的な部品と知識が必要です。自動車メーカーが独立した修理店に必要な部品と技術情報を提供するかどうかは不明です。

  • 自動車会社はなぜ新しいEVを購入するように人々に促す可能性があるか?

    -自動車会社は、技術的な進歩やソフトウェアの更新を通じて、古いハードウェアとの互換性を失うことで、新しいEVの購入を促すことがあります。

  • EVの耐久性は環境にどのような影響を与える可能性があるか?

    -EVの耐久性により、製造プロセスや電池矿物の採掘、廃鉄の削減に伴い、環境への影響が小さくなる可能性があります。

Outlines

00:00

🚗 電気自動車の耐久性と修理

この段落では、テスラのモデル3や古いモデルSなど、電気自動車(EV)の耐久性が強調されています。これらの車は、非常に長い距離を走行することができ、多くの場合、タイヤやブレーキ以外はオリジナルの部品で走行しています。また、電気自動車が持続可能性のためには、電池の寿命が重要であることが示されています。修理やバッテリーの交換は可能で、多くのEVの保証は8年間または100,000マイルの運転に対してカバーしています。さらに、電池技術の進歩により、より長持ちするEVが実現しつつあるとされています。

05:02

🔋 電気自動車のバッテリー技術の進歩

この段落では、EVのバッテリー技術がどのように進歩し、より長い寿命を持つことが可能になったかが説明されています。バッテリーの寿命は、使用状況によりますが、修理や交換が可能です。また、バッテリーの価格が下がることで、交換がより容易になり、寿命も延びています。中国のメーカーであるカデルが、100万マイルのバッテリー保証を提供していることも触れられています。

10:03

🛠️ 電動車の修理と市場への影響

この段落では、EVの修理がどのように自動車産業に影響を与えるかが議論されています。EVは修理が少ないため、自動車メーカーは新しい車を販売する必要がありますが、EVの長寿命はそれによって脅かされる可能性があると指摘されています。また、EVの修理に関する権利をめぐる議論や、独立系修理店がEVの修理に必要な部品や知識を入手するかどうかという問題も提起されています。

15:03

🌏 電動車の環境への影響と市場の変化

最後の段落では、EVの環境への影響と、それが自動車市場に与える影響について語られています。EVは、製造プロセスやバッテリーの鉱山資源の開採、スクラップ金属の削減により、カーボン排出量を減らすことが期待されています。しかし、EVの販売が長期間続きると、自動車業界の販売数が減少し、市場は縮小する可能性があると警告されています。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡テスラ

「テスラ」は電気自動車(EV)の主要なメーカーであり、ビデオの主題であるEVの耐久性と技術について触れています。ビデオでは、テスラのモデルSやモデル3が非常に長い距離を走行することができた例を挙げており、これはEVの信頼性と持続可能性を示す重要なポイントです。

💡電気自動車(EV)

「電気自動車」とは、内燃機に代わって電気モーターを使用して動かされる自動車です。ビデオでは、EVが内燃機車に比べて、より少ない部品で構成されており、その結果として修理や点検の必要が少なく、長期間にわたって使用することが可能であると強調されています。

💡バッテリー寿命

「バッテリー寿命」とは、バッテリーが最大充電容量をどれだけ保てるかを指します。ビデオでは、EVのバッテリーが時間とともに性能が低下する様子や、バッテリーの交換や修復が可能なことが説明されています。これはEVの長期使用において重要な要素です。

💡修理

「修理」とは、車が故障した場合に行われる保守や部品の交換を意味します。ビデオでは、EVは内燃機車に比べて修理の必要性が低いと示されており、これはEVの経済性と持続可能性に関連しています。

💡カーボンフットプリント

「カーボンフットプリント」とは、製品やサービスが排出する温室ガスの量を指します。ビデオでは、EVがより長い間使用されることで、製造プロセスやバッテリーの鉱山開採など、カーボンフットプリントが小さくなることが示されています。

💡リサイクル

「リサイクル」とは、使用済みの製品や材料を再利用することを意味します。ビデオでは、使用済みのEVバッテリーがエネルギーストアジやバックアップソーラーなどに再利用されることが触れられています。

💡計画的な廃棄

「計画的な廃棄」とは、製品の寿命を意図的に短くすることで、定期的に新品を購入するように促す戦略です。ビデオでは、自動車メーカーがEVの寿命を意図的に短くする可能性があるという懸念が示されています。

💡ソフトウェアアップデート

「ソフトウェアアップデート」とは、製品の機能や性能を改善するために行われるソフトウェアのバージョンアップです。ビデオでは、EVのソフトウェアアップデートが、古い車種との互換性の問題を引き起こす可能性があると触れています。

💡リペア権

「リペア権」とは、消費者が製品を修理するための権利を指します。ビデオでは、EVの修理が製造者やその小売業者に限定されることについて懸念が示されており、これはリペア権の問題に関連しています。

💡ゼロサムゲーム

「ゼロサムゲーム」とは、ある者にとっての利益が他者にとっての損失になるという原理です。ビデオでは、EVの長寿命が自動車メーカーの販売に影響を与える「ゼロサムゲーム」として描かれています。

Highlights

Numerous Tesla Model 3s and older Model S's have been reported to have exceeded 400,000 miles with original parts, except for tires and brakes.

The Atlantic suggests that electric cars could potentially last 'nearly forever' if allowed by car companies.

A 2014 Tesla Model S became the first electric vehicle to reach over 2 million km, showcasing the durability of EVs.

Despite some faults, the 2 million km Model S had fewer issues than expected, indicating improvements in EV reliability.

Gasoline-powered cars typically last around 170,000 miles on average, compared to the impressive mileage of EVs.

EVs have fewer moving parts, leading to less wear and tear and potentially a longer lifespan than traditional cars.

Battery technology is improving, with packs lasting longer and new technologies on the horizon promising even greater longevity.

Scott Mour from UC Berkeley suggests that future EVs could last for 74 years, covering the average American's driving needs for a lifetime.

Older cars often face major repair issues after 12 to 15 years, unlike EVs which are showing longevity beyond this period.

Tesla vehicles, especially Model 3s, are increasingly seen driving for hundreds of thousands of miles with minimal repairs.

The battery is the most critical component affecting EV longevity, with degradation over time being the main concern.

Replacement batteries are becoming more affordable and accessible, with options for individual cell repair or replacement.

Many EV warranties cover battery replacements for up to 8 years or 100,000 miles, extending the vehicle's useful life.

Batteries are expected to last longer, with some EVs still maintaining 85% of their original capacity after over 300,000 miles.

A Chinese manufacturer has announced a battery warranteed for nearly 1 million miles, indicating a significant leap in EV battery technology.

Tesla is likely to incorporate the 1 million mile battery into their vehicles in the near future, further enhancing EV longevity.

EVs are more high-tech than gas cars, with improvements in range, charging, infotainment, and autopilot features potentially compelling upgrades.

The right to repair battles seen in smartphones are coming to cars, with most EV repairs currently only possible through manufacturers.

Longevity is central to the promise of EVs, reducing carbon emissions from manufacturing and material mining.

The potential decline in car sales due to EV longevity could impact the automotive industry, as fewer new cars are needed.

Car companies may need to adapt their sales models to accommodate the longer lifespan of EVs, similar to tech companies with software and gadget ecosystems.

Tesla's approach to maintenance and warranty is unique, not requiring service to maintain warranty, which contrasts with traditional car companies.

Transcripts

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guys I've reported on numerous Tesla

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Model 3s and of course older Tesla Model

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S's that are still running on the

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original Motors the original battery um

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the original everything except for tires

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in some cases the original brakes that

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have done well over 400,000 miles I

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reported on that over the last 6 months

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and it seems as though the mainstream

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media finally starting to catch on to

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this phenomenon in fact the Atlantic

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said electric cars could last nearly

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forever

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if car companies will actually let them

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here's the question are car companies

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intentionally sabotaging EVS because if

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you buy one you might never need to buy

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another one again and that's not going

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to work for a consumer business hello my

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friends welcome to the channel I'm Sam

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Evans you're watching the electric

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Viking it's great to see you in April a

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group of people in a red Tesla driving

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through the Moroccan desert were glued

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to the odometer on the car's giant

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touchcreen 2 million Hans 2 million

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exclaimed the front seat passenger to

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the owner and Driver Hans yorg Von gimin

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hornberg his 2014 Model S had become the

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first electric vehicle to drive 2

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million km or more than 1.2 million

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miles the car could have traveled from

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the earth to the moon and back twice

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then circled the equator 11 times the

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the journey wasn't entirely seamless

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though I mean this was an an old Tesla

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Model S and it certainly had its fair

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share of faults most of the new ones

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don't have these faults and those things

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have been fixed however this particular

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car had its share of repairs including

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several battery and motor Replacements a

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handful of gas powered cars have driven

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farther most of all a 1966 Volvo that

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did 3 million miles over five decades

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but in general a a gasoline powered car

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is only going to last you on average

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around

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170,000 Mi that's actually the fleet

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average such fantastic mileages are

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becoming far easier to accomplish for

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ordinary commuters if they buy an

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electric car on a technological level

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it's possible that we're not far from a

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time where nobody would Flinch at an EV

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with as much mileage as Von gim and Jin

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hamburg's that is unless car companies

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themselves get in the way intentionally

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possibly unlike gas powerered engines

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which are made up of thousands of parts

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that shift against each other causing

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friction to make heat a typical EV has

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only a few dozen moving parts that means

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less damage less wear and tear less

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maintenance less cost it makes it easier

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and cheaper to keep a car on the road

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well past the 180,000 Mi average

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lifespan of a gas powerered vehicle and

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EVS are only getting better battery

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technology is getting better battery

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packs now are lasting far longer than

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they did only a matter of years ago

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there are certain technologies that are

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coming down the pipeline that will get

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us toward that million mile EV said

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Scott mour a civil and environmental

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engineer at UC Berkeley that many miles

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would cover the average American driver

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for 74

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years 74 years you'd likely be dead

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before your EV stopped going the first

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EV you buy could be the last car you

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ever need to purchase now of course I

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mean people will probably buy new cars

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in the future but a lot of people think

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that eventually that will change and

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we'll be driving around in robot taxis

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and honestly we won't even know what

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we're in we'll just be sitting there on

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our laptops or watching TV or being

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entertained anyhow gas cars are already

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astonishingly durable but not as much as

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EVS now in theory you can just keep on

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repairing your gasoline or petrol diesel

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powered car but after they get to be

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about 12 to 15 years old major problems

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such as a shot engine or a broken

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transmission are often not worth the

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cost of repair that's what happened to

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me with my last internal combustion

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engine car that I scrapped it was a

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Mitsubishi Magna and once it hit around

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260,000 km not that much it needed a new

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engine and it wasn't really worth the

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price of what the car was worth so I had

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it scrapped even without problems a

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newer car is likely to have much better

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mileage than an older one making a trade

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in appealing evbs are still so new that

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few of them are a decade old meaning we

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don't know exactly how long they will

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last but we do know that more and more

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Tesla vehicles particularly Tesla Model

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3s are lasting for hundreds of thousands

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of miles without any significant repairs

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being needed the ones that do exist

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though give us some sense of what you

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can expect several older Teslas and

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Nissan Leafs have topped 300 and now

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400,000 Mi as did the first three

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batteries in Von gingen hur's million

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Miler his first Tesla A Roadster

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purchased in 20 9 had itself traveled

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more than

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400,000 mil the biggest factor in EV

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longevity is the batteries just like

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those in a smartphone they degrade over

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time a battery might lose 1 or 2% of its

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maximum range every year that does slow

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down eventually though and it depends on

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how it's used meaning that after 15

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years of car's range might have slipped

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from 300 M to 210 m per charge repairing

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a car's battery is difficult um it's

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certainly far from impossible you can

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get Replacements which are actually

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relatively affordable often half the

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price of the original OEM battery pack

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you can even get them fixed so there's

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different options if a battery cell was

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to fail you can often just get that

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individual cell replaced or repaired

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Auto Pacific said that many EV

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warranties today will cover Replacements

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to a battery for 8 years 100,000 M of

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driving quite a long time and the thing

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worth worth mentioning here people don't

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often talk about this batteries are

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considered due for replacement once

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they've dipped below 70% of their

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original capacity so basically um if

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your say for example your Tesla battery

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has less than 70% of its original

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capacity after you've driven your

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160,000 Mi Tesla will replace it

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batteries today are expected to take far

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longer to lose that much of their

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maximum charge though potentially

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300,000 Mi or more in fact there are so

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many V like I said with well over

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300,000 miles that actually still have

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85% of their original battery capacity

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the lifespan though should only continue

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to improve batteries are one of the most

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active areas in E EV development prices

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are plummeting which will make battery

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replacement more feasible simpler

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cheaper easier and as the range of new

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EV batteries keeps going up longevity

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will also obviously benefit some EV

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batteries including the one in the Tesla

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Model 3 standard range can already last

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for 500,000 Mi on the road Mara said one

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Chinese manufacturer recently announced

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the battery warranteed for nearly 1

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million miles now that's cadal they are

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actually the biggest battery supplier in

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the world and they are also the number

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one Supply to Tesla more Teslas have

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cadal batteries than any other brand of

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battery so you can almost be certain

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that 1 million M battery from cadle will

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be in Tesla's within the next few years

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and even more durable battery designs

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are coming out from from other

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manufacturers as well a researcher at

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Tesla has tested a battery that he says

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can drive for 4 million miles or roughly

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100 years under the right conditions now

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of course how long a car can keep

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running is not just how long somebody

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wants to drive it EVS are more high-tech

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than gas cars and standard improvements

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longer range faster charging a better

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touchscreen infotainment system improved

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autopilot features some of these things

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would probably compel people to want to

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buy a new model but they could still

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hand that model on that they had down to

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their kid you know some new driver for

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example keep in mind as well as that

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batteries are often repurposed um some

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batteries that have been in buses and

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various different kinds of vehicles like

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that they have a second life which then

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they're used as energy storage for

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backup solar for example at some point

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each successive model of car though

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won't be all that much better than the

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last do I need a slightly better sensor

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so that the windshield

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wipers work slightly better when it

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rains as Lauren McDonald and E

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consultant put it maybe I don't with

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continued battery improvements more

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drivers May opt to stick with an older

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car rather than buy a new one a decade

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old EV that can go 400 m on a single

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charge instead of its initial 500 Mi

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will be sufficient for most drivers now

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of course other things will affect

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Vehicles things like body deterioration

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and rust um you know plastic

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deterioration as well but those are the

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kind of things that most people probably

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would expect to see in a car once it's

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20 or so years old that said a lot of

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cars now are using more and more

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aluminium which obviously doesn't really

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rust the longevity of EVs and any

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appetite for new cars says the Atlantic

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might help address one of the primary

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complaints with these cars that they

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sticker prices are too high for the

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typical American household that said

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though within the past few months EV

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prices on average actually come down to

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be on parody with gasoline powered

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vehicles so if they last twice as long

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or

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more and the price is equivalent or

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about the same then you would expect

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that more and more intelligent people

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would be buying EVS instead of gasoline

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powered vehicles use cars which will

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continue to work well while requiring

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fewer repairs will open up the EV

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Revolution to much of the United States

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and Europe and Australia and most of the

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world a used Tesla can already be

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purchased for roughly

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$20,000 we have to think about how we

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design these vehicles not for the first

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owner but for the third the fourth the

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fifth owner I just made a video guys on

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someone who purchased a Tesla Model S

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for

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$9,400 at auction absolutely nothing

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wrong with it he washed it he cleaned it

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replaced a fuse for

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$150 and uh it was driving perfectly

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even if many people are content with

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driving the same EV for decades car

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companies may try to stop them Tesla

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Ford and other auto manufacturers will

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need people to buy new EVS well I don't

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know about Tesla with Robo taxis they

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may be moving away from that but they

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may well create incentives for people to

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buy new vehicles in the EV age car

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companies are acting more like tech

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companies and bringing more software to

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their cars than ever the entire

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automotive industry could follow an

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adoption and replacement cycle a lot

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like that of an iPhone

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it used to be common to buy a new iPhone

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every couple of years for a faster

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processor better camera and larger

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screen now the iPhone 15 it's not really

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all that different to an iPhone 12 but

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people do of course constantly buy new

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phones from Apple the old ones are

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expensive or difficult to repair and

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with every software update seem to slow

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down just a bit more until the devices

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are no longer eligible for updates at

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all whereas Apple commands a ton of

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brand loyalty and a dominant hold on

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smartphone sales causing a car's battery

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or motor to degrade faster would be a

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great strategy for losing customers car

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maker approach may not resemble planned

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obsolescence so much as planned

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Improvement said McDonald making older

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Hardware incompatible with software

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updates or other new functions Tesla's

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autopilot for example is only compatible

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with vehicles built after September of

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2014 though that is now 10 years ago

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newer updates to the feature don't work

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with older cars and that lack more

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advanced sensors and cameras yeah it you

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know they don't work so well car

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companies may be able to ensnare people

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in software and Gadget ecosystems just

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like apple does as Ford GM Tesla and

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other automakers sell home charging

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systems and other Energy Products car

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owners might have to upgrade their

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vehicles to keep up it's a sort of

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capture akin to how even if you don't

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want to buy the new iPhone you might pay

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for upgraded iCloud storage so you don't

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run out of memory or buy an Apple Watch

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to check your

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iMessages how could um car companies do

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something similar to what Apple's doing

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the bigger concern is that the same

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battles over the right to repair an

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iPhone are also coming to cars says the

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Atlantic even though EVS require few

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repairs they aren't maintenance free and

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right now most EV repairs can be done

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only by manufacturers and their

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retailers any mechanic can fix pretty

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much any traditional car but EVS require

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specialized parts that are more

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difficult to come by and to understand

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how they work whether automakers will

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make the spare parts and Technical

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knowledge needed to fix EVS available to

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Independent repair shops is uncertain

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maybe they kind of intentionally not do

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that so that you'll be more likely to

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buy a new car Tesla has already faced

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class action antitrust lawsuits alleging

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that the company maintains an unlawful

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Monopoly over maintenance and

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replacement parts but a judge dismissed

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those suits and a lot of Tesla customers

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are saying that hasn't been their

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experience at all in fact far from it

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and to Tesla's credit I mean they're the

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company that don't require you to

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service your vehicle in order to

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maintain your warranty they're the only

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company actually in the world that does

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that now what one expert said was this

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what I foresee is that with newer

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Vehicles the ability for an individual

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to repair it themselves is becoming less

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certain longevity is not just a bonus to

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EVS it's Central to their promise cars

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that spend more years on the road mean

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less carbon from the manufacturing

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process less mining for battery minerals

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and less scrap metal and as well even

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after a second life battery packs are

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extremely valuable even if they are dead

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those minerals in that battery pack are

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worth incredible amounts of money even

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recycled more used vehicles that cycle

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through more owners will mean the same

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if car companies continue to act more

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like tech companies as their products

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become more like tech gadgets an entire

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Avenue of their green potential could

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kind of be closed off and guys the truth

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is here EVS are of course the future and

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a lot of the media is trying to ignore

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the fact that electric car will last

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three times as long on average versus a

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gasoline powered vehicle or at least

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twice as long it requires far less

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maintenance far less cost it doesn't

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need oil changes it doesn't need all the

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kinds of spark plugs and new timing

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belts and in addition to that the

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running costs are extraordinarily low

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now I think it's only a matter of time

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here before the

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industry begins to realize that actually

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selling EVS is bad for them because

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they're going to be selling a lot less

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cars as these EVS last twice as long in

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some cases three times as long their

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sales will well unquestionably decline

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so that Pi becomes a zero sum game that

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Zero Sum game starts to shrink the

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amount of cars that can be sold

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worldwide will shrink from about 75

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million today to possibly as low as

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something like 25 million by

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2040 so who is going to be left if a car

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company is selling predominantly

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internal combustion engine cars and most

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people want EVS well I'd say they're

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toast they're finished so the question

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is which companies will be finished

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first let me know what you think thanks

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for watching

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