How the Coming Population Collapse Will Change Society Forever

Summary

このビデオ脚本は、世界中の出生率が低下し、特に西洋諸国が高齢化社会の重圧に苦しむ人口崩壊の現実を考察しています。経済的、文化的、社会的要因が分析され、特に韓国の過酷な労働環境や中国の独身比率の高まり、そして日本における経済の停滞が詳細に探求されています。また、これらの問題が社会の基礎である家族の形成に与える影響や、将来の予測についても触れられています。

Takeaways

• 🌐 世界人口の減少は既に進行中であり、グローバル化されたつながりと消費が現在の世界を維持している。
• 🇺🇸 アメリカでは出生率が過去最低を記録しており、成人女性あたり1.6人の子供が生まれています。
• 🇬🇧 イギリスでは出生率がさらに低く、成人女性あたり1.5人の子供が生まれています。
• 🌍 先進国が高齢化する中、子供の数が減少し、退職する人々が増加し、社会に影響を与えています。
• 📉 西洋諸国は人口減少の危機に直面しており、これは経済的、社会的な大きな問題をもたらします。
• 👶 出生率の低下は、自然な人口減少を歓迎する人々にとっても、最終的な結果だけでなく過程が懸念されます。
• 📊 人口ピラミッドは、人口の年代別構成を示すチャートで、健康な社会の重要な指標です。
• 📈 米国の2023年の人口ピラミッドは、子供の割合が低下し、中高年層が増加していることを示しています。
• 🇰🇷 韓国の人口ピラミッドでは、特に50代の層が大きくなり、子供の割合が非常に少なくなっています。
• 🏭 過酷な労働環境と長時間労働は、韓国の出生率低下に寄与しています。
• 🏢 デジタル時代において、個人情報の漏洩やデータブローカーの問題も社会に影響を与えています。

Q & A

世界人口が減少する原因は何ですか？

出生率の低下、特に西洋諸国においては、成人女性あたり1.6〜1.5の子供が生まれるという記録的な低いレベルに達しています。これは、経済的、文化的要因、また生活の質に対する要求の高まりなどが影響しています。

人口減少がもたらす経済的な影響とはどのようなものでしょうか？

人口減少は、労働力の不足、潜在的な経済成長率の低下、社会保障制度の負担増加など、多面的な経済的影響をもたらす可能性があります。

南米の人口ピラミッドはどのような状況を表していますか？

南米の人口ピラミッドは、子供の割合が小さく、中高年層の割合が大きくなっていることを示しており、これは今後数十年で働く人々が急激に減少する兆しを示しています。

南米の教育システムとそのストレスはどのようにして子供たちに影響を与えるとされていますか？

南米の教育システムは、非常に競争的でストレスフルであり、子供たちは学業に集中することで他の活動や個人的な時間に費やすことができる余裕がなくなります。これは彼らの精神的福祉に悪影響を及ぼし、不妊率の高まりにも寄与しています。

中国の結婚率が低下する要因は何ですか？

中国の結婚率が低下する要因として、男性と女性の間の比率の失衡、物質主義的な結婚観、長時間の労働、低賃金、そして結婚と家族を持つための経済的負担が挙げられます。

人口減少が都市部と農村部に与える影響はどのように異なりますか？

都市部では、人口の集中が過密化や家賃の高騰、汚染の悪化につながる一方で、農村部では若者の移住が減少し、地域のインフラやサービスが縮小する傾向があります。

日本の経済停滞はどのようにして人口減少と関連していますか？

日本の経済停滞は、人口の減少による消費者の不足、労働力の減少、経済成長への影響が大きいとされています。また、高齢化が進むことで社会保障費の負担が増大し、経済に悪影響を及ぼしています。

人口減少がもたらす社会的な変化として何が挙げられますか？

人口減少は、地域の過疎化、都市部の過密化、高齢者の介護不足、若者の減少、経済成長の阻害など、多様な社会的な変化をもたらす可能性があります。

南米のAura社はどのようなサービスを提供していますか？

Aura社は、データブローカーから個人情報を保護するためのサービスを提供しており、データの漏洩を検出して自動的にオプトアウト要求を送信するなど、デジタルフットプリントの管理やセキュリティー上のサポートを行っています。

人口減少が進む中で、社会が直面する最大の課題とは何ですか？

人口減少が進む中で、社会が直面する最大の課題は、経済的な影響に加えて、人々の生活様式や価値観の変化、特に家族形成の意欲の低下などが考えられます。これらは経済や文化の根幹に関わる問題であり、長期的な視点を必要とします。

Outlines

00:00

🌍 世界人口減少の危機

世界中の開発済み国が高齢化社会の負担と出生率の低下により人口減少に直面している。アメリカでは成人女性の出産率が1.6人に下がり、英国では1.5人に。これは西欧だけでなく、世界中で起こっている。若者の数が減ると、退職を迎える人々が増加し、国全体に影響を及ぼす。エロン・マスクのように人々が人口減少に対処するために急いでいる理由は、文明が静かに消滅する可能性があるから。人口ピラミッドは、各年代層の人口を表したチャートであり、歴史的には子供たちが多く、その上に働く世代がいた。しかし、2023年のアメリカでは、子供の割合が低下し、中高年世代の割合が増加している。これは健康な社会のテンプレートが初めて壊れていることを示している。

05:00

📚 韓国の教育と労働文化

韓国の教育システムと労働文化は、学生たちを超competitiveな環境に置いており、彼らは学校を卒業後も同様の勵力が求められる。韓国の学生たちは世界で最も多く勉強しており、午後の学校教育の後も、クラムスクールで復習し、記憶を深める。これは80％の子供たちが参加する800億ドルの産業であり、低所得層の家族は子供たちに成功させるために所有の蓄財を賭ける。しかし、このシステムはストレスとプレッシャーに押し潰され、子供たちが限界に達する恐れがある。成人になった後も、労働文化は同様に厳しく、長時間の労働と競争に耐える必要がある。これは国の出生率に影響を与えており、政府は労働時間を増やすことを検討したこともある。

10:01

🏠 人口減少の社会的な影響

人口減少は社会に多大な影響を与える。若者の数が減ると、都市部と田舎部で異なる影響が生じる。都市では若者の流出が過穏な状態につながり、家賃が高騰し、汚染や混雑が悪化する。一方、田舎部では若者の数が減ってしまい、インフラや施設が維持されなくなる。中国では数千のゴーストタウンが存在しており、これは世界中で起こっている問題である。また、結婚や出産に対する価値観の変化も影響を与えており、中国では結婚率が大幅に低下している。

15:02

💼 人口減少と経済

人口減少は経済にも影響を及ぼす。日本はかつて経済的な強国だったが、現在は経済停滞の長期化と若者の貧困、長時間労働が問題となっている。人口の減少は田舎部を荒廃させ、都市は過穏に。日本の社会では、人々が社会から隔離される「ひきこもり」や、恋愛や家庭を放棄する若者が増加している。経済的な停滞と厳しい状況は、人々が社会を改善する希望を失わせ、デジタルメディアやホストクラブ、クッキングカフェなど、実際の人間関係の代替となるサービスが求められる。

20:03

🧬 人口減少の心理的影響

人口減少は経済的、社会的な影響だけでなく、心理的影響も持つ。人々が家族を作る能力や意欲を喪失し、現代社会が提供する家族の代わりの選択肢が増える。日本の「ホストクラブ」や「クッキングカフェ」は、人々の孤独感や接する欲求を満たす代替手段として利用される。また、デジタルメディアの多様なジャンルは、人々が現実世界から逃避する手段となっている。これらの現象は、社会が家族という基盤を提供する能力の欠如を指し示している。

25:04

📘 人口減少の長期的な展望

人口減少の長期的な展望は、経済的な回復力の低下、労働力の不足、若者の減少、都市部と田舎部のバランスの崩壊、結婚や出産に対する価値観の変化を含む多面的な問題である。中国や韓国の事例から、これらの問題は経済的、社会的な構造に深く根ざしており、単一の要因では説明できない。また、マウス・ユートピアの実験から、人口の増加が自然に制御されるべきで、過度な人口減少は社会の正常な機能に影響を及ぼす可能性があることを学ぶことができる。

Keywords

💡人口崩壊

「人口崩壊」とは、出生率が低下し続け、人口が急激に減少することを指します。ビデオでは、世界中の開発済み国が高齢化社会の負担と合わせて出生率が低下し、これが持続する場合の未来について警告しています。例えば、アメリカやUKの出生率が歴史的な低水準に落ちており、これが文明の死滅につながると示唆しています。

💡高齢化社会

「高齢化社会」は、65歳以上の高齢者が人口の大部分を占める社会構造を指します。ビデオでは、高齢化が進むことで、労働力不足や社会保障費の負担増が社会に与える影響について触れています。南 Koreaの人口ピラミッドを例に、子供の割合が小さく、高齢者の割合が大きくなっている現状が示されています。

💡出生率

「出生率」とは、1年間に出生した新生儿の数を女性1人あたりの平均数で表した指標です。ビデオでは、アメリカやUKの出生率が1.6、1.5未満と低下しており、これが将来の人口減少につながると説明しています。出生率が低下することは、社会の若年層の減少を意味し、将来の労働市場や経済に影響を及ぼすことが示唆されています。

💡労働環境

「労働環境」とは、働く人々の時間、報酬、福利厚生などを指します。ビデオでは、南 Koreaの労働環境が厳しいとされ、長時間労働や過酷な教育環境が出生率低下に寄与していると指摘しています。また、同様の傾向が西欧にも広がると警告しており、労働環境の悪化が家庭形成の妨げになることが示されています。

💡デジタルプライバシー

「デジタルプライバシー」とは、個人情報がデジタル空間で保護されるべき権利を指します。ビデオでは、デジタル時代において個人情報がデータブローカーによって販売され、個人のプライバシーが侵害される問題が触れられています。Auraというサービスが、個人情報を保護するためのソリューションの1つとして紹介されています。

💡教育競争

「教育競争」とは、教育資源や入学チャンスをめぐる競争を指します。ビデオでは、南 Koreaの学生たちが非常に長時間にわたって勉強し、激しい教育競争に直面している状況が説明されています。この教育競争は、子供たちに大きなストレスを与えており、将来の家庭形成に影響を及ぼす要因の1つとされています。

💡経済停滞

「経済停滞」とは、経済成長が停滞している状態を指します。ビデオでは、日本が経験している経済停滞が、人口減少の影響によるものであると示唆しています。経済停滞は、若者の就労や生活環境に直接的な影響を与えており、社会的に深刻な問題となっています。

💡ひきこもり

「ひきこもり」とは、社会からの隔離状态下にある人々を指します。ビデオでは、日本のひきこもり問題が、人口崩壊と深い関係にあり、孤立した生活を送る人々が増え続けると警告しています。これは、社会の結びつきやコミュニケーションの欠如が、個人の精神的福祉に悪影響を及ぼすことを意味しています。

💡マウス・ユートピア実験

「マウス・ユートピア実験」とは、動物の社会構造と行為パターンを研究する心理学の実験です。ビデオでは、これらの実験が行われた背景と、実験中のマウスの行動が人間社会の現在の状況と類似していることを示唆しています。実験は、過剰な資源提供の中でも社会的なストレスや競争が、集団の崩壊につながることを明らかにしています。

💡シングル生活

「シングル生活」とは、結婚やパートナーシップを形成せずに一人で生活する状態を指します。ビデオでは、経済的・社会的要因により、若者がシングル生活を選んでおり、これは出生率低下に寄与していると説明しています。また、シングル生活が増加する背景には、経済的不安定性や生活スタイルの多様化が考えられます。

Highlights

全球人口崩溃已经到来，全球化的联系和消费模式正面临终结。

美国和英国的出生率已降至历史最低水平，分别低于1.6和1.5。

发达国家因人口老龄化和新生儿减少而面临压力。

西方世界可能面临即将到来的人口危机。

人口崩溃不仅是结果危险，而是达到这一结果的过程。

人口金字塔图表显示了不同年龄段的人口比例。

1963年美国人口金字塔显示婴儿潮一代的特点。

2023年美国的人口金字塔显示出老龄化和少子化的趋势。

韩国的人口金字塔突出了老龄化问题，婴儿比例仅3%。

韩国的工作文化和教育系统对学生和工作者产生了巨大压力。

人口崩溃对社会的影响不仅限于经济，还包括文化和个人生活。

人口崩溃可能导致政府和企业加大对劳动力的压榨。

中国和韩国的人口问题预示着西方世界可能的未来。

中国的单身问题和婚姻市场反映了现代恋爱和婚姻的挑战。

日本的经济停滞和人口老龄化对文化和社会产生了深远影响。

日本的“宅男”现象和对现实逃避的依赖揭示了社会孤立问题。

鼠乌托邦实验揭示了人口崩溃可能导致的社会行为问题。

人口崩溃对社会的长期影响可能比经济问题更为严重。

家庭和社区的崩溃是文明的基石，现代社会未能提供这一点将被视为巨大的失败。

Transcripts

the population collapse is already here

all of the globalized connections and

consumptions that create the world we

know we are at the end of it in the US

birth rates have fallen to record lows

with under 1.6 children born per adult

women in the UK it's even lower at under

1.5 children it's not just an isolated

problem for the West either across the

world developed countries are falling

apart under the weight of their own

aging populations as fewer and fewer

children are born the millions of people

entering retirement put even more

pressure on the rest of the country and

it seems the Western world is in for an

incoming population crisis so what

happens when the population eventually

collapses and how did this situation

ever get so out of control why are

people like Elon Musk desperately

panicking about the collapse of the

population people have no idea how fast

population is going to collapse you know

basically civilization will die with a

whimper and adult diap well let's take a

peek at what lies ahead for the Western

world's future when the population

becomes old and count starts shrinking

up now lots of people might welcome the

idea of a natural population decline at

first anyone who's ever been stuck in

traffic and understand why it might be

nice if there were a lot less people it

seemed at one point that there were so

many people all these professors saying

that there were too many people on

planet Earth that we were going to

extract all the resources from the

planet that humans were cancer on Earth

causing the world's natural ecosystems

to die we have lots of environmental

problems that currently exist that are

being made worse by having lots and lots

of people engaging in them uh first

we've got pop population now the world

today has 6.8 billion people that's

headed up to about 9 billion now if we

do a really great job on new vaccines

Health Care reproductive Health Services

we could lower that by perhaps 10 or 15%

there were people everywhere saying they

don't want to have children because

there's already too many humans in the

world all this made sense when it was

important for us to procreate for our

survival but now for our survival we

have to not procreate and we have to

change and rewire our biology and our

culture but it turned out in just a few

years that this was all completely

nonsense and instead of having the world

population continue to grow at a rates

we can't control it's going to be the

opposite situation a population crash

and you see a population decline isn't

so dangerous because of the end result

it's the journey countries have to take

to get there and this journey is truly

horrifying and something that world

leaders need to pay more attention to

this is a population pyramid a chart

which shows the amount of the population

which makes up each age bracket for most

of human history pretty much every

single country has looked like this at

the bottom you have all the kids making

up a large proportion of the total

people in this chart which shows the US

in 1963 nearly 11% of the total

population are 4 years old or younger

this is the baby boom Generation all the

people having babies after the war and

during the 1960s hippie craze But as

time goes on some of these people die in

the proportion naturally declines the

middle shows all the people at working

age and without enough people here to

support the people at the beginning and

ends of their lives Society starts to

break down this rough template for a

healthy Society has worked silently in

the background for centuries it's the

natural order of things but only now for

the first time in modern history are we

starting to see this Golden Rule broken

on a global scale here's what the US

looked like in 2023 instead of a large

population of kids waiting to replace

the adults as they got older the

opposite is actually true even though

child mortality has fallen drastically

50 years of falling birth rates have

done their damage and there are now far

more middle-aged and El people than

children which begs the question

everybody is starting to wonder what

will this chart look like in another 20

years while we can pretty accurately

predict the shape of that chart the

reality we're all going to be living in

will be a lot more shocking aging

populations and population decline

present a massive problem for societies

and we don't even need to imagine what

these problems will be as we can already

see it today this chart shows the

population pyramid for South Korea today

here the Bulge in the middle is even

more pronounced with just 3% of the

population made up by babies and

toddlers now the largest group is 50 to

54 year olds people are getting closer

and closer to retirement over the next

two decades the majority of the South

Korean population will stop working

leaving the few children left to Bear

the burden for the rest of their lives

so what's actually causing this and in

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trial today and what effect is it having

on people's lives today while there's a

few different causes that we're going to

explore the South Korean work culture is

a huge Factor there the grind starts

early and it's hard South Korean

students study the most in the world as

per usual when compared to other

countries they follow the 996 structure

from 9:00 a.m. to 9:00 p.m. 6 days of

the week officially it ends around 3:00

to 5:00 getting longer as the kids get

get older but officially is the key word

here the academic pressures and

expectations of kids are so high that

just going to school isn't nearly enough

instead of finding out what they want to

do kids are thrown into a hyper

competitive grind which they'll be

locked into until they retire after

school most students are nearly done

with studying in fact some aren't even

halfway through the day instead their

next destination is called Hagan

otherwise known as a cram school here

students attend private sessions where

they go over what they just studied and

memorize as much of it as possible it's

a multibillion industry in the country

with nearly 80% of kids in attendance

there are 24,000 of them in the capital

of su three times the number of

convenience stores low-income families

desperate to get out of the grind stake

all their savings on their kids and on

average end up paying more in school

fees than on food but with everyone else

doing the same thing their odds of

success are slim to none kids leave the

hugw one late in the evening and in some

cases as late as 11:00 p.m. all of this

is just to prepare the kids for the

national exam where all of the students

looking to snag The Limited Sports at

University compete for the privilege

it's a make or break moment for these

kids and their families their whole life

up until this point is leading up to

this success can mean the start of a

high pain career and the illusion of

escape from the drudgery failure leads

to shame family rejection regret and the

crushing feeling that you've wasted your

family's hopes and dreams that you have

zero future ever ahead of you it's not

hard to see that this system is clearly

dystopian and horrible it's one of the

most depressing ways to live your

childhood the stress and the pressure

can easily push kids over the edge it's

no surprise to South Korean teenagers

are some some of the unhappiest in the

world but even after they're through the

education system all they've done is

take off the training wheels the work

culture and what it demands of people in

South career is even worse just like in

school the hours are long and drawn out

despite the country's supposed 52-hour

cap on working hours people regularly

report working much longer shifts often

12 hours a day with extra work on the

weekends it's the worst for people

working towards the top or at the bottom

if you're a high powerered office worker

or you're working for a large company

things are going to get competitive part

of the purpose of the insane grind for

the exam is to pick out and indoctrinate

the kids who can maintain these inhuman

levels of work

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the competition and the hours that

people get used to the crem schools

carries over to the workplace it still

hasn't been enough though in 2023 the

South Korean government even considered

raising the cap from 52 hours to 69

every week ironically the measure was

proposed in part to double down on the

crisis that they're currently facing

with fertility rates because they didn't

have enough work workers companies

wanted to work the ones they did have

extra hard it was only beaten back by a

massive response from young people

already sick of this toxic culture at

the bottom of the ladder though it's

even worse rather than working highly

demanding jobs on a psychological level

so-called unskilled workers in career

have to sacrifice their physical health

as well now we've all heard the horror

stories about Amazon like workers

relieving themselves in bottles because

they don't have enough time for anything

else Amazon drivers now suing the retail

giant claiming their forc to urinate in

water mods in order to keep up with the

delivery schedule that the company sets

that's what's going on in the west where

labor laws and culture are admittedly

much better career on the other hand has

some of the worst everybody gets worked

to the Bone some workers have gotten

used to the white patches they get on

their uniforms after a long day hours

and hours of running for deliveries or

moving boxes in the warehouse takes its

toll and eventually so deposits buil up

from their bodies getting pushed to the

brink I mean according to official

figures 500 die each year from

overworking in South Korea as their

bodies simply give up under the pressure

of survival the real number though is

likely to be much higher truly

understanding the effects of population

collapse is hard for people today we're

so disconnected from what effects this

has and our society has changed so much

since the last time this happened that

it's impossible for society to remember

at first you might think that we've seen

similar things in the early 20th century

the combination of two world wars along

with the Spanish Flu which

disproportionately affected the young

and healthy decimated the young

populations of Europe after the crisis

had ended countries were deprived of

millions of sons and daughters in the

short term the consequences of this were

brutal even after the war ended Millions

more would perish from famine and

disease but because over the next few

decades more kids were being born than

being lost Western countries recovered

relatively quickly from the change in

demographics instead you have to go all

the way back to the 1300s and the Black

Death to see a time where the population

truly shrank now the estimates vary but

it's generally agreed that around 50

million people died over the course of a

couple of decades almost half of those

deaths happened in Europe with the

population being cut by around a third

in total with so much of a Time Gap we

look back and see the effects of the

plague on the next 100 years generally

positive the depletion of the working

population meant that the demand for

labor went up workers had better

bargaining position and over time

practices like sofom disappeared in

Western Europe whilst living standards

Rose peasants had more money and food

because there was less competition but

that was only after 100 years looking at

the end result fails to see the hering

journey it took to get there entire

towns and Villages were abandoned

sometimes forever food shortages and

famine were rampant because of the lack

of workers whilst the governments at the

time cracked down on the survivors

squeezing them for everything they had a

tree will grow stronger after it's

pruned but it will be Barren and

fruitless for a long time before that

happens today we might not be facing the

horrifying trials that our ancestors

faced we can cure most plagues

eventually and we don't need 90% of the

population working in the fields to

survive but in many ways the results

will be the same we may not face a

crisis of mass death but we are facing

one where those people will never be

born in the f first place it's now being

predicted over 20 developed Nations will

see their populations half before the

year 201100 the overall historical

effects of this will be the same as with

the plague sure our grandchildren or

even our great grandchildren might enjoy

the benefits but unluckily for us we're

going to have to deal with the immediate

Fallout of demographic collapse it means

we'll likely see governments try to

squeeze all the work they can out of

their people to deal with the scarcity

facing a shrinking working age

population pretty imminently so I think

that's something that we need to be

worried about um you know our working

age population has been stagnant for a

while bursts in the US have been falling

persistently and precipitously since

2007 and I don't see any reason to think

they're going to turn around

corporations and governments will push

for Korean St working conditions hours

if they think they can get away with it

it's something huge amounts of the

population will have to fight back

against to prevent it all of these awful

practices are relics of a bygone system

that's Fallen apart in South Korea back

in the economic boom a few decades ago

there was an Unwritten contract between

workers and the company that employed

them if they gave it their all and were

loyal to the company they'd be

guaranteed a decent wage benefits and

enough to support their families today

this isn't true the contract has been

broken by firings and extreme

expectations today's Young Koreans jump

from job to job just like the rest of

the world has been forced to but the

other side of it the overworking and the

pressure Still Remains just without any

of the benefits and doesn't that sound

all too familiar to what the West is

starting to deal with with how work

culture has been progressing in the west

over the past last few decades we're

getting closer and closer to a South

Korean model as the same problem of low

fertility rates hits our society the

Labour pool will only decrease it will

put exactly the same pressures on

companies which will turn the screws

even more on their own employees all of

this decimates the fertility rate people

just can't afford to have children under

these conditions they can't afford the

time as people are giving all of their

time to work instead leaving nothing for

themselves or for having children and in

developed countries today women have

nearly the same expectation to get into

the rat races men it's the same in South

Korea which has seen multiple movements

pushing for equality in the workplace

and whil it's obviously a change that

needed to take place it's had some

devastating consequences salaries

changed over time until today where two

incomes are required for buying a house

or building a family now that women are

expected to hold down a job as well

there's nobody left to bring up the kids

while they gained the ability to work

most women lost the choice to stay at

home as well as it's just not

economically viable anymore then there's

the actual Financial cost which with

careers education system is even more

expensive than the rest of the world

whole classes now can't responsibly have

children without putting their financial

safety in Jeopardy but potentially the

most important factor is that people

just don't want to bring children into a

society like this even if they could

afford it as things are now they'd be

dooming their child to a lifetime of

hard work for little to no benefits an

awful side effect of this is that as

these middle-aged adults enter

retirement they will have been robbed of

the kids they'd need to take care of

them it also has massive effects on

young people changing their behavior to

the detriment of wider society as the

Aging population increases it sucks

young people out of the countryside and

into the massive mega cities in search

of Freedom a high pain job or just

because all of their friends have

already left young people around the

world have led an exodus out of the

countryside and into the cities it's a

problem that gets worse and worse over

time as the villages and towns get older

and older there isn't any reason to keep

up the infrastructure or facilities that

young people need what's the point of

keeping a school or a college open if

there aren't any young people left

eventually as the last people left begin

to die off or move away the towns are

left as depopulated ruins while this is

happening both in the west and in Asia

it's most prominent in China hoto Wan is

just one of the many cases of ghost

towns and villages in China perched to

top Misty Cliffs overlooking a stormy

sea is a ghost town that's been overrun

by Nature this is huan a once bustling

fishing Village on an island off the

east coast of China this fishing Village

on a small island 4 hours away from

Shanghai used to have a healthy

population of around 3,000 people the

migration to the city combined with the

naing population has led to it being

completely deserted today it's a tourist

attraction where people can go to see

the overgrown houses and abandoned

furniture Hot one's fate is the same as

thousands of other towns in China and

across the world population collapse is

going to have massive effects on both

cities and Rural towns and Villages but

not in the same way ironically in the

largest cities the problem becomes

overpopulation rather than

underpopulation as a country struggles

under the weight of its elderly the

economy shrinks inflation and the cost

of living go up whilst pay in rural

parts of a country either stay the same

or go down more and more young people

are left looking for high paying work to

support themselves with their only

option being to move into the city we

can expect to see rents go up pollution

get worse and cities to get more crowded

on the other side of the spectrum the

massive wave of people leaving the

countryside only worsens the crisis it's

not just the lack of young people to

begin with they're all forced to leave

their homes looking for work and

opportunities as this happens the

effects only get worse as rural

communities shrink into nothing the last

people to old or stubborn to move away

slowly die off leaving whole towns and

Villages abandoned as we've already seen

after they're gone they leave abandoned

homes but because of the lack of

opportunities barely anyone young wants

to live there in China today there are

currently 65 million empty homes despite

the fact that housing prices have risen

over the past decade the increase in

urban property prices and rents more

than accounts for the drop in rural

prices rural areas do have higher

fertility and birth rates on average

which you'd hope might make up for this

but in practice it barely puts a dent on

the internal migration of young people

into the cities this isn't the only way

in which China can be seen as a warning

and a glimpse into our future one of the

most obvious paths to figuring out

what's going so wrong is to just look at

how marriages and children come into the

world to begin with if we want to see

into the West future we need to look

again to China and their terminal

marriage issues China's been having

massive population issues for decades

now but 50 years ago they had the exact

opposite issue their population was

growing so fast that the communist

government doubted whether they'd be

able to keep up at all it's why they

implemented the infamous one child

policy barrowing Couples from having

more than one child except in special

circumstances while it did have the

intended effect of carbing China's

explosive growth it also had some

unintended side effects that are playing

havoc on China today one of these is the

brutal ratio between young men and women

in China there are now 35 million more

men than women in China making the whole

dating and marriage scene far more

competitive this isn't the only problem

in comparison to Western democracies

China and other countries in Asia have

sped around their cultural developments

they've gone from highly stratified

traditional Society straight to the

present day of Tinder and hinge in just

a few decades meanwhile the West has had

Decades of relative freedom for people

to choose their own Partners before they

got exposed to the apps in China men are

still seen as being the provider they

were expected to have a car and a house

and a high paying job to offer a

potential bride meanwhile women are

expected to get marriage young and stay

in that marriage for the rest of their

lives it all runs completely counter to

the modern world of dating this tension

has only accelerated the same issues

that we see in the world Western World

the traditional structure of arranged

marriages that China has had for

thousands of years is now fading away

and so what's it being replaced with we

know that swiping through dating apps

and commodifying love into a data system

alienates whole scores of men and women

it's just not a great system for

building long-lasting relationships with

people as it dehumanizes everyone on a

virtual Meat Market it's one of the

reasons that China's marriage rate has

plummeted over the past 20 years from

2003 to 2022 the amount of marriages

dropped by around half in China from

133.5 million to 6 .8 lots of the same

pressures that we saw in South Korea are

also at play Cutthroats working hours

and low pay for young people means that

Millions just don't have the time all

the money to start the family the

expectation for men to have a whole life

ready and waiting is also a problem if

they just can't earn enough money to

build this then it puts them at a big

disadvantage in China's materialistic

dating culture this culture of marrying

for money status and because your family

thinks it would be a good match is only

going to make things worse for China

over the next few decades despite the

ccp's attempts to curb arrange marriages

The Practice still has strong roots in

Chinese culture and it's not just going

to disappear because gping wants it to

and because of all the things we've

already spoken about young people are

struggling to properly connect with each

other on their own and build the kinds

of relationships that their parents want

it's something that's best shown with an

example if you took a walk through

Central Shanghai and came across the

People's Park you'd see a strange sight

the walls the lamposts and pretty much

every other surface in Arm's Reach are

covered in advertisements and they're

not selling products or Services instead

all of the leaflet are advertising

people instead known as the Shanghai

marriage Market thousands of parents

from across the city come to the market

to try and find suitors for their

unmarried children but instead of

pictures or messages from the kids the

adverts list their education their job

titles their height and their R often

the people being advertised in the park

have no idea their names are even up

there and there are marriage markets

like this all across China where exactly

the same thing is happening but while

they might be heading towards Extinction

it's probably not for the reason you

think the Market has existed for decades

now it's not anything new but what is

troubling for China is how it's going to

evolve over the next 10 years or so

online dating is a rising force in China

slowly replacing the marriage markets

and other more analog methods with over5

billion getting funneled into the new

industry in 2022 it's a massively

growing sector the government hoping

that will give their birth rate a little

boost have been uncharacteristically

relaxed about their spread as a result

new apps have sprung up everywhere

offering every single kind of

matchmaking service you can think of but

the most successful ones don't cater to

finding love or picking out the right

person from the crowd instead they're

focused on exactly the same things the

Shanghai marriage Market was focused on

status and wealth one popular appap

called H MMR is heavily based on the

level of Education that a user has

achieved instead of your pictures or

your hobbies it's this detail that's

front and center on your profile if you

graduated with honors from a top school

you're going to find a lot of success if

not you'll get a bunch of rejections

some apps even gatekeep the people who

are allowed to sign up only letting in

top graduates from the most prestigious

schools other apps invite the parents to

take a role digitizing the marriage

Market as Faithfully as possible as

we've seen in the west these apps

heighten and exaggerate the qualities

that people usually look for in a

partner they open up the playing field

to potentially millions of people

forcing their users into a global

competition the illusion of having so

much Choice artificially raises people's

standards because of their embedded

culture of arranged marriages and

marrying for status China is much

further ahead compared to the west but

we're already catching up we're going to

see a huge rise in people explicitly

dating for wealth and Status pretty soon

just like in China today people won't

even bother to pretend they're looking

for anything else ironically this is

going to happen in large Parts because

of the population crisis The Economic

Consequences we're going to face as a

results are going to squeeze even more

people out of a good standard of living

with less spots at the top the

competition to climb the ladder will get

even harder you can see why millions

could turn to dating and finding a well

of partner to get ahead to understand

just what an aging population can do to

a 's economy we only need to visit the

last stop on our tour Japan whilst China

and Korea were locked in Civil Wars and

struggling to stay afloat an influx of

West and Aid combined with a fast

growing population after the second

world war turned them into a rising

power decades before people thought it

would be possible by the 70s people were

saying that Japan was going to be the

next world superpower people were

driving Japanese cars and using Japanese

technology their strong economy

exporting high quality Goods around the

world seemed unbeatable it was in

the'80s that the country surpassed the U

W Germany and other large very developed

nations in its GNP per capita today it's

a completely different story one in

every seven kids in Japan lives in

poverty people work excruciatingly long

hours just to survive and the economy

has been stagnating for decades with

still no end in sight the yen is

dropping and when the bubble burst in

the early 1990s the recession it caused

is still arguably ongoing today as the

country never really recovered at first

people blame things like Reckless money

lending or other single economic factors

but their inability to recover has shown

is a far more Insidious long-term

problem a population crash we know from

our own experience what this economic

stagnation looks like we've been going

through it for the past decade and a

half Japan has been dealing with it for

more than twice that long depopulation

has decimated the countryside and

meanwhile the cities have become more

crowded and denser than ever so what

have the effects been on their culture

and their people large parts of Japanese

Society millions of men and women have

entirely detached themselves from it

first there are the hiiki Kori around 1

and a half million people living in

almost complete isolation secluded in

their bedrooms they live completely

solitary lives getting their only

interaction from escapism and the

Internet it's a problem that's been

going on for decades and despite

attempts to solve it and draw these

people out more people isolate

themselves every day current estimates

predict that Japan could see over 10

million of its citizens becoming like

this in the future even among the people

who still Venture into the outside world

it isn't much better millions of young

men and women are forgoing relationships

and family instead focusing on their

careers escapism nearly half of all

young Japanese adults today are virgins

whil millions of others have lost all

hope for their society to get better the

economic stagnation and the awful

conditions are part of the reason for

this but a less measurable but more

important factor is how meaning has been

stripped from people's lives finding a

partner building a family the bedrocks

of civilization has now been packaged

into a product in Japan they're at the

Forefront of offering alternatives to

real human connection first there are

the host and Hostess bus where you can

pay to have someone pretend to connect

with you or there are the cuddle cafes

which offer a sterile kind of

alternative to physical connection you

can always pay for something more than

just cuddles of course that's widespread

as well but then there's all the digital

media every kind of fantasy you can

imagine and lots you can even dream of

all right there for sale now none of

this is unique to Japanese culture in

particular it's got nothing to do with

that instead the explanation for why

this has happened can be found in a set

of sociological experiments conducted

all the way back in the 1960s YouTuber

was if his mentioned this before the

mouse Utopia experiments were a set of

multiple studies on rod and behav

Behavior All carried out by a scientist

called John B cwhen the setup was

relatively simple John constructed a set

of enclosures and living spaces for mice

design to meet their every need there

was unlimited food space for thousands

of rats and a whole world of different

rooms and Chambers for them to claim as

their own John expected the rats to

breed as much as they could quickly

filling out the enclosure to capacity

instead he saw much more disturbing and

strange results which were almost the

same every time he repeated the

experiments the population of the rats

would never go over a third of the

capacity of the enclosure and after a

few Generations it would start to fall

again until all of the rats eventually

died out and it was because of their

behavior he noticed that there were

different types of rats which emerged

some of the male rats became dominant

and violent taking charge of small

territories within the enclosure and

monopolizing breeding rights with the

female rats some male rats became

submissive and weak they stopped

breeding allog together with the females

while seeking out the dominant males for

contact others withdrew from social

contact completely as the experiments

would go on the behavioral quarks would

turn into pathologies there was was more

fighting and the female rats eventually

stopped building nests or rearing their

young after a few hundred days The

Colony would start losing its population

and collapse because the remaining rats

would become too deranged to raise their

children at this point you probably

starting to notice some similarities

between the rats in our society today

whilst our Behavior can't be completely

explained by animals it does shown a

light onto the dangers that we Face from

population collapse perhaps much more

pressing than the economic hardship or

the changes to work are these behavioral

pathologies all of these modern problems

are decimating the ability and the

motivation for people to create a family

and despite how much we deny it a strong

and healthy family is the Bedrock and

the overall purpose the society should

have our modern society's failure to

provide this will be seen in history as

its great

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