Europe's center-right claims EU election victory even as far-right surges | DW News

Summary

欧州議会選挙の結果を受け、中心右派の欧州人民党が最も大きな党派の地位を維持したと予想されます。選挙戦で極端な要求を脇に置いたことで、極右派は多くの議席を獲得する見込みです。しかしながら、彼らは重要な問題で一致を保つことが難しいとされており、欧州の外交政策に影響を与えるかどうかは不透明です。一方、気候変動に関する政策では、中心右派がより緩和的な姿勢を取る可能性があると見られています。

Takeaways

• 🗳️ ヨーロッパ議会選挙の投票所が全ヨーロッパ連合で閉じられ、選挙結果は右寄りへのシフトが見込まれています。
• 🏛️ 欧州人民党（EP）は、中右派であり、選挙戦で勝利を宣言し、今後のヨーロッパ議会議長に再任される可能性が高い。
• 🛡️ EPは、左と右の両方の極端な勢力を防ぐための「要塞」を築くと表明しています。
• 📊 過去5年間と比較して、EPは議席数に変動がなく、最も大きなグループのままです。
• 🔍 選挙の結果から、最も大きな変化は、選挙区の両端で見られること、特に極右派政党への支持が増加していることがわかります。
• 🌿 ヨーロッパの緑の党は支持を失い、IDグループ（遠い民粹主義政党）への支持が増加している。
• 🇵🇱 ポーランドでは、プールの結果は、ドナルド・トゥスクの市民連合プラットフォームが21議席中19議席を獲得したと予想されます。
• 🇭🇺 ハンガリーでは、現政権のFidesz党が過半数の票を獲得し、21議席の少なくとも半分を獲得している可能性が高い。
• 🇮🇹 イタリアでは、ジョルジア・メロニー首相は国内問題に焦点を当て、自らの政府を支持しようとしています。
• 🤔 選挙結果は、今後5年間ヨーロッパ連合の政策にどのように影響を与えるかが気になる。
• 💡 カーネギーヨーロッパのディレクターは、極右派政党が選挙で獲得した議席は、欧州連合の外交政策に影響を与える可能性があると指摘しています。

Q & A

ヨーロッパ議会選挙の結果はどのようになりましたか？

ヨーロッパ議会選挙の結果としては、中央右派のヨーロッパ人民党が最も大きな党派のままで、再選されることが予想されています。

ウールサ・フォン・デア・レヨンが何であるか説明できますか？

ウールサ・フォン・デア・レヨンはヨーロッパ委員会の議長であり、選挙の結果によっては第二任期に就任する可能性があります。

選挙結果が示すと、極右派はどのようになっていますか？

極右派は議席を獲得する見込みですが、ヨーロッパ人民党は彼らに挑むことができています。

選挙結果から、ヨーロッパ議会の未来の構成はどのようなものでしょうか？

未来のヨーロッパ議会は、中央右派が引き続き最大のグループを形成し、極右派も議席を獲得する可能性があるという構成になるでしょう。

ポーランドでの選挙結果はどうでしたか？

ポーランドでは、ドナルド・ツク首相とトゥスク氏の市民連合が勝利を主張しており、彼らはポーランドの53議席のうち21議席を得る見込みです。

ハンガリーでの選挙状況はどのようなものでしょうか？

ハンガリーでは、ビクター・オルバン首相の政党であるフィデズ党が過半数の票を得ており、21議席の少なくとも半分を獲得する見込みです。

イタリアの選挙結果はどのようになりましたか？

イタリアでは、ジョルジア・メロニー首相の政党が勝利を主張しており、ヨーロッパ議会での大きなブロックを形成する可能性があります。

選挙結果が示すと、極右派政党が獲得する議席はどのくらいですか？

極右派政党は議席を獲得する見込みですが、具体的な数は選挙結果によって異なります。オーストリアでは極右政党が最も多くの票を得る見込みです。

選挙結果がヨーロッパ連合の政策にどのような影響を与えると予想されますか？

極右派政党の影響力が増大するため、移民政策や気候変動に関する政策においてはより保守的になる可能性があります。

選挙結果が示すと、将来のヨーロッパ議会での議論において、何が重要な課題になるでしょうか？

将来のヨーロッパ議会では、極右派政党が集団的に投票し、重要な問題に対する立場を決定するかどうかが重要な課題になるでしょう。

Outlines

00:00

🗳️ 欧州議會選挙結果分析

欧州議会選挙の投票が終了し、中心右派の欧州人民党が最大党を維持する見通し。Ursula von der Leyenが欧州委員会の議長に再任される可能性が高まっている。選挙結果は、極右派政党の獲得を防ぎ、欧州議会の未来の構成について明確なイメージを提供している。

05:01

🏰 ポーランド選挙結果と政権党の勝利

ポーランドの選挙結果では、ドナルド・トゥスク首相と彼の市民連合プラットフォームが勝利を主張。彼らはポーランドの53議席のうち21議席を得る見込み。一方、法律と正義党は19議席を獲得しており、選挙戦を再開し、2023年10月に失った国民政府の支配権を回復しようとしている。

10:02

🏙️ ハンガリーの選挙動向と新政治勢力の登場

ハンガリーでは、選挙結果がまだ発表されていないが、ビクター・オルバン首相の執政党が過半数の票を得る見込み。しかし、新しい政治勢力であるピーター・マジャーが注目され始めており、彼は政府の腐敗と反対を主張し、多くの支持を得ている。選挙の結果は、ハンガリーの政治風景がどのように変化するかを示す可能性がある。

15:04

🇮🇹 イタリアの選挙戦略と政治的影響

イタリアの選挙では、ジョルジア・メロニー首相が勝利を目指しており、彼女は自らと政府を支持する選挙に変えている。イタリアの国内問題が主要な議題となっており、メロニーは欧州議会での影響力を高めるために、他の右翼政党と協力を模索している。

20:04

🌍 欧州の政治的流れと極右派の影響

欧州全体の政治的流れとして、極右派が獲得している支持は、欧州議会での影響力を増やす可能性がある。オーストリアの選挙結果は、極右政党が最も支持を得ていることを示しており、9月または10月に迫った国民選挙の結果を予測している。また、極右派は外国人政策や気候危機に関する議論で影響力を強めている。

25:05

📉 オランダの選挙結果と極右政党の動向

オランダでは、極右政党が予想以上に支持を得ていなかった。選挙数ヶ月前に行われた国内選挙では、ゲルト・ウィルドERS党首が首位に立ち、政権形成に時間がかかった。彼はいくつかの極端な要求を放棄し、その影響で一部の支持者が彼の党を支持しない可能性がある。

Keywords

💡欧州議会選挙

欧州議会選挙とは、欧州連合（EU）の議会で議員を選出する民主的なプロセスです。この動画の主題は、その選挙の結果と影響に焦点を当てています。例えば、脚本では「欧州議会選挙」の結果が中心右派政党が議席を獲得し、政権の方向性に影響を与える可能性があると述べています。

💡中心右派政党

中心右派政党とは、政治スペクトルの中で中間から右側に位置する政党のことを指します。この動画では、中心右派政党である欧州人民党（EP）が議席を多く獲得し、影響力を持つことが示唆されています。彼らは極端な左翼と右翼の勢力を防ぐ「砦」を築くと約束しています。

💡極右政党

極右政党とは、政治スペクトルの中で右翼の最も遠い位置に立つ政党を指し、民族主義的または排外的な傾向があることが多いです。動画の中では、極右政党が議席を獲得し、欧州議会での影響力を強化していることが触れられています。

💡Ursula von der Leyen

Ursula von der Leyenは欧州委員会の議長であり、中心右派政党の代表者です。彼女の再選が示唆されており、彼女は欧州議会での多様な勢力と協力して政策を推進する可能性があります。

💡選挙結果

選挙結果は、各政党が獲得した議席数を意味し、政策決定や政治的方向性に大きな影響を与えます。この動画では、選挙結果が欧州議会の未来の構成に影響を与えると分析されています。

💡政策形成

政策形成は、政治家が国民のニーズや政党の価値観に基づいて政策を策定するプロセスです。動画では、欧州議会の新しい構成が今後5年間における欧州政策にどのように影響を与えるかについて議論されています。

💡環境政党

環境政党とは、環境保護や持続可能な開発を主張する政党のことを指します。動画の中では、環境政党が支持を失い、選挙で後退していると報告されています。

💡IDグループ

IDグループとは、極端な右派またはポピュリズム政党の集まりを指しており、選挙で支持を獲得していると動画に示されています。彼らは欧州議会での影響力を強化する可能性があります。

💡国内政治

国内政治は、国家内での政治活動や政策決定を指します。動画では、イタリアやポーランドなどの国内政治が選挙結果にどのように影響を与えるかについて触れられています。

💡選挙動向

選挙動向とは、選挙に参加する選挙者の支持がどのように分配されるかを意味します。動画では、選挙動向が欧州議会の構成に大きな影響を与え、将来の政策形成にも影響を及ぼすと分析されています。

Highlights

欧洲议会选举结果显示，中右翼的欧洲人民党（EPP）有望保持最大党派地位。

欧洲议会的选举可能使议会向右翼倾斜，但中右翼的EPP党预计仍将是议会中最大的团体。

欧洲议会选举中，极右翼团体预计将获得更多席位。

尽管面临极右翼团体的挑战，EPP党的表现足以抵御挑战，保持其在议会中的领导地位。

Ursula von der Leyen作为EPP党的领导人，如果预测成真，她可能会连任欧盟委员会主席。

EPP党承诺建立对抗左右两翼极端势力的堡垒。

选民对欧洲绿党的支持减少，而对ID集团（即民粹和极右翼政党）的支持增加。

德国的右翼选择党（AfD）被排除在ID集团之外，因其今年早些时候被驱逐。

波兰选举结果显示，现任总理Donald Tusk的公民联盟可能赢得21个席位中的大部分。

匈牙利的选举可能不会对维克多·奥尔班（Victor Orban）的统治党造成太大影响，尽管有新政治人物的崛起。

意大利的选举可能使乔治亚·梅洛尼（Giorgia Meloni）的党派成为议会中最大的右翼集团之一。

梅洛尼试图与法国的马琳·勒庞（Marine Le Pen）联合，建立一个新的更大的右翼集团。

奥地利的选举结果显示，极右翼的自由党可能成为议会中最大的单一党派。

荷兰的选举结果表明，极右翼党派可能没有达到预期的支持率，这可能与最近的国内政治变动有关。

极右翼党派在欧洲议会中的影响力可能会增加，尤其是在移民和气候变化政策上。

尽管极右翼党派在某些关键问题上存在分歧，但他们在塑造欧洲的移民政策方面发挥了重要作用。

欧洲议会的选举结果可能会影响未来五年的欧洲政策制定，尤其是在对抗气候变化和移民问题上。

Transcripts

all polling places across the European

Union are now closed and the European

Parliament it looks set for a shift to

the right that said the center right

European People's Party the EP looks

poised to remain the biggest party in

the assembly now that's the party of

Ursula funder liion who you see right

here she is president of the European

commission if projections hold she will

likely serve a second term as commission

president she says the EP will build a

Bastion against extremes on the left and

the right the party's strong showing was

enough to fend off a challenge by

far-right groups which are expected to

gain seats in the European

Parliament and with those results coming

in we are getting now a clearer idea

about the future makeup of the European

Parliament let's take a look at the

numbers this is what the chamber has

looked like for the past 5 years you can

see the EP was and remain the biggest

block that's the group that includes

right of Center parties such as

Germany's Christian democrats and

Spain's people's party and they Remain

the biggest group in the projected new

Parliament with an unchanged number of

seats but we can see the biggest swings

are on opposite ends of the spectrum

with voters turning their backs on

Europe's green party you see right there

and a swing towards the ID group those

are the farri and populist parties they

do not however incl include gery's afd

that party was expelled from the group

earlier this

year all right let's get the European

perspective from everything that has

happened today I'm joined by our

Brussels bureau chief Alexander Fen in

Brussels Alexandria wow what an evening

it has been the the far right has

clearly seen a big surge in these

elections what else do we know this

evening

well Brent you're right that the

European Parliament swings to the right

with center right but also far right

party set to take the largest number of

seats in this Parliament and the clear

winner uh of uh this night is as as it

seems the center right European people's

party they will remain the largest group

in the Parliament and we already heard

from their lead candidate Ula felion

addressed her supporters thanking them

and declaring victory for her group and

now she has the best chances to be again

uh the next uh president of the European

commission she needs the approval of the

27 heads of state and government in 27

member states then she needs the

approval of the European Parliament and

apparently U despite what she said on

the campaign Trail that she would uh

imagine working together with some Far

Right groups now she is saying as you

mentioned that her party will build a

Bastion against extreme forces on the

left and on the right and that means

that she's hoping uh for the support of

the social Democrats in the European

Parliament and the Liberals all of them

are calling on each other to work

together because they describe

themselves as the pro-european forces in

the European Parliament Alexander

looking to your crystal ball how do you

see th this new composition forming um

in the European Parliament how do you

see that um impacting and influencing

European policies for the next 5

years well I would assume that for the

pro- European forces it will become more

difficult to work together and to uh to

implement their European agenda with

radical parties and the far right um

having so many seats in the European

Parliament and it will be the key

question here whether the far right will

kind of unite and and vote together on

important issue that is something that

was always very difficult for them and

whether they will be in in uh able to uh

prevent some key European initiatives

from happening initiatives that they

don't like like you know the uh

advancing the green deal or other

legislations on topics such as migration

on defense spending our Brussels bureau

chief Alexander phenoman with the latest

tonight walking us through the numbers

and the consequences of the election

Alexander thank

you

anytime DW correspondent Jack perck he

is in Warsaw at the headquarters of the

right-wing Law And Justice party I asked

him to tell us more about the exit polls

in

Poland well it looks like it's a good

success for the Prime Minister Donald

tuck and Tusk and his Civic Coalition

platform he has basically claimed the

Victory and said that they have shown

that they are the light of Hope in

Europe it looks like they'll get 21 of

the 53 seats for Poland I'm here at the

law and Justice party they appear

according to the early projections to

have taken 19 of those 53 yaroslav

kazinski who's the president of the

party came on stage just behind me I

think you can see the former prime

minister there mes moretsky he's talking

to the Press but kajinski came out and

he said listen these are important

elections for us we can learn from this

they want to remount a campaign to take

over the national uh government govern

governance of this country that which

they lost in October 2023 last year so

Tusk is claiming vict iory the law and

Justice party is still there it was

broadly predicted to be about neck and

neck uh Tusk tus Tusk party appears to

have just edged it uh and for Poland

tonight that will be a strong showing uh

for him he'll say that that also shows

Authority for his government here DW's

Jack perck with the latest from Warsaw

Poland tonight Jack thank

you bu let's go to funny forar she's in

Budapest Hungary for

talk us through the numbers that you've

got so far

funny there are no final results yet

that could take up until 11:00 p.m. or

even midnight until we have the final

results trickling in but it definitely

looks like this is not going to be a

walk in the political Park to say so for

to Victor Oban whose party the ruling

fittest party easily got more than 50%

of the votes you just mentioned during

the past three European parliamentary

elections now Paul's forecast around an

average around 45% of the votes which

would still translate to at least half

of the 21 seats available afog graphs

for Hungary to be represented in the

European Parliament but here is a but

there's a new political new politician

basically or a political newcomer that's

Peter majar whose name nobody knew

internationally for sure but also here

in Hungary only some people knew Peter

maer for being the former husband of the

former Justice minister of Hungary who

had to resign just like the former

president of Hungary as it emerged that

both of them have pardoned a man who's

been convicted uh for covering up sexual

abuse in Hungary now that dropped really

uh the the the the political Elite here

in the country and that's when Peter

majar who's been part of the FID system

decided he's going to go against it and

quite successfully indeed if you look at

just how many people turned out at

protests against the government during

the past months where he was campaigning

across the country for change he says

against corruption and for a system

against Orban but now here's the

question of course if you look at his

party the tisu party that appears like a

moderate rightwing party and then you

look at the far party of of the

governing uh fidus party you just really

wonder if you look at the polls and I'm

talking about the polls before people

started to cast a bell today it really

appears that at least 80% of hungarians

have will have casted their ballot for a

party on the right political spectrum of

of of of in Hungary so really the

question is then how much will be left

actually for the Liberals for the greens

here in Hungary that's really unclear

and we just have to see really what the

results are going to bring and and funny

I mean the the gains for the right right

leaning they they are significant

because if we look at total turnout for

this election turnout is is high isn't

it and I think I was reading it it's at

at least higher than it was 5 years ago

so far and once again we do not have the

final results yet but the numbers we

have indicated that so far at least

until until 6:30 p.m. local time in fact

people cast The Ballot in an

overwhelming way 34% more cast The

Ballot in European elections but also

local elections because there are two

elections in Hungary today parliamentary

elections but also local elections so we

speaking about nearly 35% more votes

this time around compared to 20

2019 and the question is is it to to the

mobilization factor of the government

the mobilization factor of the Tia party

and the political newcomer here or does

it have to do with the very fact that

once again there are two elections going

on here the parliament elections and the

local elections once is for sure that

the people here have been really

electrified during the past months

because the political landscape here in

Hungary seems to be changing adding a

new figure to the political landscape

Peter moer and his tis party and really

nobody just knows what that will mean

onward onward that means after the

European elections and what will it mean

until 2026 when Parliament elections

will take place again here in Hungary DW

is funny forar with the latest from

Budapest in Hungary funny as always

thank you want to go now to a a country

that could be the king maker in the

future makeup of the European Parliament

talking about Italy my colleague bent

rard he is in Rome he is at a polling

station I understand that coloso Rome

bar good to see you I know we won't be

getting the numbers for Italy until much

much later so I want to ask you about

the the Prime Minister prime minister

Maloney what is her plan if her party

wins yeah the polling stations in Italy

close at 11 p.m. people are now coming

to vote actually before dinner in Italy

and it gets a little bit more busy here

turnout so far is quite low uh we only

have the opinion polls but they all say

that Georgia Maloney will win big she

will be uh the woman that has the

biggest Blocker of votes after this

elections and um she made this election

into a midterm election actually about

herself and about her government Europe

didn't did not play much of a role here

in this European election and Georgia

Maloney is trying to team up with Marine

Le Pen from rason naal in France to

build a new bigger rightwing group in

the European Parliament there are about

30 right-wing parties in the Parliament

and Melone frat Italia will only have 20

seats there so it's that's not much but

she will one of be one of the biggest

blocks in these 30 parties she will try

to unite them to have a a greater

influence a greater stance and she's

also reaching out to the Christian

democrats and cooperation in certain

Fields might be possible and also

cooperation to elect the next EU

commission president which will be

probably uh the one we have now oela

feline and oela Feline on the other side

is not excluding to work with Georgia

milone as long as she remains or appears

to be a European the only thing that

divides

the right- Wingers in the European

Parliament is actually the question

about Ukraine and Russia's war against

Ukraine there the parties are split in

the middle but money and also um the

French leader Marine Le Pen promised to

overcome this dispute and to join forces

in the next

Parliament and bar when we talk about

Italian voters do we know what is the

motivating force what were the issues

that made them make the decisions that

they're making right

now the campaign in Italy he was clearly

driven by domestic issues like uh

inflation business uh economic growth uh

social welfare Medical Care and things

like that because we also have in

parallel local elections so everybody

was focused on the issues right uh on

his doorsteps and as I said meloney made

this into a um a vote about her

government um and and the the for

example the migration issue that is of

concern in all of Europe did not play

such a big role here in in Italy because

the Italians accepted uh that money and

also the um governments that preceded

her are following a stricter path and

pushing for more controls and processing

migrants outside of the European Union

and outside of Italy so it was at least

uh what we can say a domestic election

with a little bit of a European flavor

and bar maybe you could help us

understand Maloney and her party her

politics um are classified as right or

or or far right but when we're talking

about where they would fit in in the

European Parliament in these groupings

there it it appears at least on the

outside that the conservatives are

willing to overlook that label or maybe

not even consider that label and to do

business with Maloney and her party I

mean is that what is going on here maybe

are they saying they're going to hold

their nose and do business because they

need her in her

party that might happen if you weigh the

words of oosa ferine the Christian

Democratic lead candidate she said she

Mrs Maloney is a European in her view

and uh a good Democrat so she just does

not exclude to work with her and on the

other hand Mone is not excluding it

either um Georgia Mone is currently the

head of the um of a party family with

more or less uh yeah can you say that

moderate right- Winger so not the farest

right but a little bit of right and

right-wing populists and and she's

trying to expand that and she's also

portraying herself as a moderate on the

European stage although on a domestic

level she also has some illiberal

Tendencies but in Europe she is yeah

ping herself at the perfect European you

know siding with all the majority votes

in the European Council where the heads

of states and government meet so um yeah

she's trying you know to mingle also uh

with with the Civil uh platforms and the

Christian democrats in the middle yeah

it's interesting it's it's the the art

of making certain politics palatable to

um a majority fascinating bar rer in

Rome Italy bar thank

you all right I'm joined now from

Brussels by Rosa balfor she's director

of the think tank Carnegie Europe Rosa

it's good to have you with this there's

a lot to to filter through here so let

me just ask you based on the numbers

we've got so far I mean what stands out

to you what are your first

impressions well my first impression is

that the polls have been correct they

have actually been identifying uh the

big trends um it has to be said that

this hasn't always been the case Cas um

so you know I wasn't um you know I

wasn't expecting the puls to get it

quite so right what are the big trends

the clearly the radical right is uh

gaining ground um there are it looks

like the uh identity and democracy Group

which is to the far right of the

political Spectrum in the European

Parliament looks like it's going to get

some more votes the um European

conservatives are also going to get more

votes that's the party that Geor Mone is

headed

there are a number of non-alliance

parties as well and that's a little bit

of a question mark as to whether they're

going to join one or the other of the

group for instance IFD has just been

expelled from uh the identity and

democracy group so there there's there's

things moving at the right end of the

spectrum the other trend is that clearly

the EP has G made gains in many

countries as far as we can tell so far

so it's going to be the biggest uh group

um and um we'll be able to choose

whether it wants to lean a bit more

towards the center or whether it wants

to lean a bit more towards the right

yeah uh my expectation is that it will

continue to lean towards the center but

nonetheless the radical rights will be

more influential in the next European

Parliament yeah let's talk about the the

far right these parties were expected to

Surge we've seen that here in gery with

the alternative for gery the afd it's

likely to be the second largest party or

political force after the Christian

democrats in Germany but where else are

we seeing

that type of um growing

support yeah well in Austria in Austria

it looks set to become the first party

which is actually quite

extraordinary um and then well for the

other parties we need to really wait for

the results I think it's a bit too early

to make predictions for the other

countries in Belgium they seem to be

doing well but again it's a little bit

early of course in some countries for

instance in Belgium and in Bulgaria

there also national elections taking

place um so you know these are countries

that need to be looked at carefully um

because it's not just um another vote

for a far away institution it could also

potentially be uh showing telling us

something about national uh results yeah

was I want to pick up on Austria just

for a second I mean why do we know why

we're seeing this incredible support for

the far right as you say the party there

looks set to be the the strongest party

in

Austria yeah no Austria's quite

extraordinary let's not forget that Foo

uh has already been in government and

was in government not that long ago and

it lost support because of corruption

charges and because of its relations

with with Russia um so it really seems

to be indicative of um of um you know a

surge towards the the rights people know

who um what this party supports they

know this party has you know

um track record of Corruption of siding

with Russia uh but still people are are

voting for him for for fpo so um and

they're going to be national elections

in Austria in September October um so

this result for the European Parliament

is very telling of what might come next

there there is this surge to the right

that we've seen um throughout large

parts of Europe in the Netherlands for

example the right doesn't seem to have

ped as well as it expected what do we

know

why so I mean first thing when we're

looking at European Parliament elections

we need to know that they are 27

different national elections so every

country will have its own context so

what has happened in um the Netherlands

in the Netherlands there were elections

several months ago and the far-right

party led by ger Builders came first

with about 23% of the vote and um

therefore had a right to form a

coalition and it's taken it months to

actually be able to form that Coalition

um and the agreement only came through a

few weeks ago and then eventually they

even found the prime minister so um I

guess perhaps uh uh if it's not doing

quite as well as it did a few months ago

it might just be a reflection of the

length of time and of the negotiations

that um uh had to take place in order to

form a coalition agreement now in these

negotiations Builders had to give up on

some of

his most extreme demands the ones that

were

anti-constitutional um so um you know it

could be that perhaps some of the

hardcore voters of of his party decided

that he wasn't um um you know wasn't uh

carrying through um his um commitments

that could be one explanation um another

explanation could be that um you know

maybe other people turned up to vote

it's early really to give explanations

on on these matters but maybe people in

um against pbv shocked by the uh results

uh at the national level turned out to

vote for the European Parliament

elections I mean there are all sorts of

explanations it's it's a bit early to to

say anything with certainty Ros I know

your organization Carnegie Europe you've

been charting the influence of the far

right on European foreign policy so we

certainly don't have the final results

but let's let's assume that what we're

seeing here is going to carry on through

the evening I mean how could these

elections how could they affect the EU

decision making when it comes to foreign

policy yeah so on foreign policy matters

in particular we need to remember that

it's member states that really are in

the driving seat and what we have is

that at the moment out of the 27 member

states seven countries are governed by

the radical rights now this could be in

a coalition agreement or it could be

that it's the only party in power for

instance um Hungary or it could be that

the radical right party is giving

external support okay so what we're

seeing now we have seven parties the um

the Austrian vote suggest that uh the

next Austrian government will be the

eighth uh member State led by the

radical right um what how has this

impacted um foreign policy and you would

you would expect with so many uh

countries shifting to the right and now

with the European Parliament heavily

shifting towards the right I mean we're

talking about 20 25% of the European

Parliament the radical you know go

filled by radical uh right U members of

uh Parliament you would expect them

perhaps to be more

influential on foreign policy and on

other matters as well so on foreign

policy they have been punching below

their weight why because they are very

divided one of the most divisive issues

is obviously Russia but also NATO the

United States China so many of these big

issues that Europeans need are dealing

with at the moment and that are going to

be are going to be at the uh at the

heart of the big challenges facing

Europe in the coming years on these

issues the radical rights are divided

and they don't really have answers

therefore they are less influential than

they than than they could be on other

issues they have been hugely influential

and I would arue migration has been one

area where the radical right has been

has shaped policy even if it hasn't made

policy it's been shaping policy for the

past 10 years because mainstream

political parties have shifted towards

the right in adopting tougher policies

um restricting immigration to Europe um

and restricting um Asylum Seekers and

refugees coming to Europe so so that's

where the radical right has been hugely

influential and I expect the coming

Parliament will continue in that

direction the other area where the

radical right will be very influential

is on all matters related to fighting

the climate crisis they're already

rolling back and the center right the EP

has been quite open to diluting some of

the big commitments and the big

Ambitions that Europe has made um as a

leader in a global leader in fighting

the climate crisis so this is another

area Ros Al for from the Carnegie

Endowment for peace in Brussels a lot to

think about there Resa we appreciate

your analysis tonight thank

you thank you very much