The MakerDAO-Aave Debacle: Risks and Rewards of Collateralizing DAI | Analyst Round Table

0xResearch
10 Apr 202458:42

Summary

TLDRThe podcast episode discusses various topics in the blockchain and cryptocurrency space, including the high interest rates for staking USDE compared to undercollateralized loans, the challenges faced by private credit protocols like Goldfinch due to defaults, and the success of platforms like Pump Fund, which allows users to launch their own tokens. The conversation also touches on the potential risks and rewards of different DeFi strategies and the importance of risk management in the crypto market.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“ˆ The discussion revolves around various developments in the blockchain and cryptocurrency space, particularly focusing on interest rates, lending, and new projects.
  • πŸ’‘ The arbitrum stylus proposal enables developers to build on arbitrum using languages like Rust, C, and C++, diversifying smart contract development beyond Solidity.
  • πŸ’₯ PancakeSwap's deployment on Monad and V Drome's launch on Bitcoin's L2 ecosystem are highlighted as significant events to watch.
  • πŸ”„ The importance of the ltip and staking snapshots in the Arbitrum ecosystem is noted, as they offer insights into protocol funding and potential alpha opportunities.
  • πŸš€ The growth of the Solidly flywheel and its impact on V Drome's success is discussed, emphasizing the protocol's all-time high fee revenue and volume.
  • πŸ“Š The airdrop fund updates, including Tenza Season 4 and Deep Book's native token introduction through a soulbound NFT, are mentioned as notable developments.
  • πŸ”§ The challenges faced by the Solana network due to transaction failures and drop transactions are analyzed, with potential solutions like networking layer fixes and fee market improvements being discussed.
  • πŸ’£ The hot seat segment covers the MakerDAO proposal to collateralize with SSD and the controversy surrounding it, highlighting the risks and rewards of such decisions.
  • πŸ”— The potential of on-chain private credit is debated, with Goldfinch's recent default highlighted as an example of the challenges in this space.
  • 🌐 The rise of meme coin launches through platforms like Pump Fund is discussed, with its simple yet lucrative business model garnering attention.

Q & A

  • What is the significance of the proposal to enable Arbitrum Stylus on Arbitrum 1 and Nova?

    -The proposal to enable Arbitrum Stylus on Arbitrum 1 and Nova is significant because it allows developers to build on Arbitrum using languages such as Rust, C, and C++, which removes the smart contract development constraints that most EVM-based blockchains have had in the past. This opens up the ecosystem to a broader range of developers and can lead to more innovative applications being built on Arbitrum.

  • What is the role of ltip in the Arbitrum ecosystem?

    -Ltip plays a crucial role in the Arbitrum ecosystem by allocating a significant amount of capital to protocols as incentives. This not only helps to attract developers to build on Arbitrum but also encourages the growth and adoption of the network. The incentives provided by ltip can be a key factor for protocols to thrive and for users to find potential alpha opportunities.

  • What are the implications of PancakeSwap deploying on Moneta?

    -The deployment of PancakeSwap on Moneta is interesting as it will bring performance and scalability improvements to the platform. It also raises questions about whether any changes will be needed for developers who are already on Moneta, and how this deployment might affect the overall dynamics of the PancakeSwap ecosystem.

  • How does the launch of V Drome's decks on Bitcoin L2 impact the Ethereum ecosystem?

    -The launch of V Drome's decks on Bitcoin L2 is significant as it represents a move towards cross-chain compatibility and the potential for Ethereum-based projects to tap into the Bitcoin ecosystem. This could lead to increased innovation and a more interconnected blockchain landscape, with Ethereum dApps potentially benefiting from the security and simplicity of the Bitcoin L2 ecosystem.

  • What is the current status of the airdrop fund for Tenza Season 4?

    -Tenza Season 4 has started and the claim for the airdrop fund is open, allowing participants to claim and sell their tokens if they wish. The reactions to the airdrop have been mixed, with some traders who executed a large amount of volume receiving less than expected, while others who traded less got more than they anticipated.

  • What is the relationship between Axar and Squid?

    -Axar and Squid have a close relationship as Squid is one of the core primitives built on top of Axar. Squid is a cross-chain decentralized exchange that enables users to swap assets across different chains, such as from Binance Smart Chain to dydx on Ethereum, using Axar's infrastructure.

  • What is the significance of Axar's upcoming upgrade to support smart contracts on top of its platform?

    -The upcoming upgrade that will allow smart contracts to be deployed on Axar is significant as it will enable the platform to connect with more non-EVM chains and expand its ecosystem. This will open up new possibilities for real-world asset tokenization and other applications, further enhancing the utility and reach of Axar.

  • What are the main challenges currently faced by the Solana network?

    -Solana is currently facing challenges with network congestion and transaction failures due to a combination of factors, including arbitrage bots spamming the network and issues with the network's quick implementation. This has led to a poor user experience, with transactions often needing to be submitted multiple times to be successful.

  • What is the controversy surrounding the MakerDAO proposal to extend a credit line to collateralize with SSD?

    -The controversy stems from MakerDAO's proposal to use a $600 million credit line to collateralize with SSD, which some community members view as a significant risk to the protocol. The proposal has sparked debates about risk management, the potential for high rewards, and the impact on the broader DeFi ecosystem's composability and Lego-like structure.

  • What are the potential risks associated with the Athena protocol?

    -Athena protocol's risks include potential defaults by exchanges, directional exposure during settlement periods, and the possibility of unauthorized access to funds by those controlling custody. Despite these risks, some believe the rewards outweigh the potential downside, especially given the high funding rates currently offered by the protocol.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ—£οΈ Podcast Introduction and Disclaimer

The podcast begins with an introduction to the episode, highlighting the discussion topics such as interest rates, lending, and emerging market lending. A disclaimer is presented, stating that the views expressed in the podcast are personal and do not represent any associated organization. The podcast also mentions that the content should not be taken as financial, technical, tax, or legal advice.

05:00

πŸ“° News and Governance Updates

The segment covers recent news and governance updates, including a proposal to enable Arbitrum Stylus on Arbitrum 1 and Nova. It discusses the benefits of Arbitrum Stylus for developers and the potential for increased innovation. Additionally, the segment touches on various deployments, such as PancakeSwap on Monad and V Drome launching on Bitcoin's L2 ecosystem. The discussion also includes thoughts on the impact of these developments and the potential for finding alpha in certain protocols.

10:02

πŸ€” Deep Dive into Arbitrum Stylus and Ltip

The conversation delves deeper into the significance of Arbitrum Stylus and its potential to be overlooked. It highlights the composability with Solidity smart contracts and the opportunities for developers in the virtual machine realm. The segment also discusses the Ltip process, its impact on protocols, and the potential for finding value in protocols funded through Ltip. The discussion includes reflections on the success of the Ltip process and the benefits it brings to the Arbitrum ecosystem.

15:02

πŸš€ Launch Updates and Airdrop Insights

This segment focuses on various launches and airdrops, including V Drome's new token on Aerodrome and the potential for new tokens on Build on Bitcoin. It explores the implications of token inflation and the impact of front-loaded incentives. The conversation also covers airdrop fund updates, such as Tenza Season 4 and the distribution of tokens, as well as the performance of different tokens in the market.

20:05

πŸ“ˆ NFT Marketplaces and Airdrop Strategies

The discussion shifts to NFT marketplaces, with a focus on the performance of different platforms and the challenges faced by new entrants. It examines the impact of meme coins and the attention economy on the NFT space. The segment also touches on airdrop strategies and the tradeoffs between incentivizing broad participation and rewarding active users. The conversation includes thoughts on the effectiveness of airdrop campaigns and the potential for new developments in incentive structures.

25:06

🌐 Updates on Permissionless Deployments and Cross-Margin

This segment discusses the importance of permissionless contract support on platforms like dydx and the potential for new opportunities in AMM vaults and asset issuance. It highlights the benefits of cross-margin exchanges and the potential for innovative financial products. The discussion also includes updates on the dydx ecosystem, including the introduction of permissioned smart contract support and the impact on decentralization and network robustness.

30:08

πŸ’‘ Axel: The Bridging Solution

The podcast features a discussion with the co-founder of Axel, a platform that solves the bridging problem without being a bridge itself. Axel is described as infrastructure that enables bridges and other applications to build on top of it, allowing for the creation of chain-agnostic versions of decentralized exchanges, money markets, and NFT marketplaces. The segment also covers Axel's roadmap, including the integration of non-EVM chains and a focus on real-world asset tokenization.

35:08

πŸ”₯ Hot Seat: Solana Network Issues

The hot seat segment addresses the recent performance issues with the Solana network, discussing the reasons behind transaction failures and the impact of arbitrage bots. It explores the challenges faced by the network, including the implementation of the Quick protocol and the potential solutions being worked on by the Solana developers. The conversation also touches on the implications of these issues for users and the broader implications for the Solana ecosystem.

40:09

πŸ’Έ Goldfinch Default and Private Credit Concerns

The segment discusses the recent default on a Goldfinch loan and the broader challenges faced by private credit protocols. It highlights the risks associated with undercollateralized lending, especially in emerging markets, and the potential for high default rates. The conversation also explores the impact of defaults on the protocol and the need for effective underwriting and loan recourse strategies.

45:12

πŸš€ Pump.Fund: The Meme Coin Factory

The podcast concludes with a discussion on Pump.Fund, a platform that allows users to launch meme coins on Solana and Binance Smart Chain. It covers the business model and the significant revenue generated by the platform. The conversation also touches on the potential for tokenization and the future of the platform in the context of the growing meme coin trend.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Interest Rate

The interest rate mentioned in the transcript refers to the cost or return associated with borrowing or lending assets, typically expressed as a percentage. In the context of the video, it is used to highlight the stark contrast between the high returns on staking USDE (a stablecoin) compared to the risky business of undercollateralized lending in emerging markets.

πŸ’‘Arbitrum

Arbitrum is a layer-2 scaling solution for Ethereum that allows for faster and cheaper transactions. It is mentioned in the transcript as part of a proposal to enable Arbitrum Stylus, which would allow developers to build smart contracts using languages other than Solidity, thus expanding the development possibilities on the Arbitrum network.

πŸ’‘Staking

Staking in the context of the video refers to the process of participating in the proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism of a blockchain by locking up a certain amount of a cryptocurrency in order to earn rewards. It is presented as a lucrative opportunity, particularly when compared to other investment strategies such as undercollateralized lending.

πŸ’‘DeFi

DeFi, or Decentralized Finance, is a financial system built on blockchain technology that aims to provide alternative financial services without the need for traditional intermediaries like banks. In the transcript, DeFi is discussed in relation to the potential of on-chain lending and the challenges faced by private credit protocols.

πŸ’‘Private Credit

Private credit refers to the practice of lending to individuals or businesses that may not have access to traditional credit sources, often in emerging markets. In the video, private credit protocols like Goldfinch are discussed, highlighting the challenges of underwriting and the risks of high default rates.

πŸ’‘Emerging Markets

Emerging markets are countries that are in the process of rapid growth and industrialization but are still considered to be in an earlier stage of economic development. In the context of the video, emerging markets are discussed as locations where private credit lending is particularly risky due to factors such as economic instability and lack of robust financial infrastructure.

πŸ’‘Pump.Fund

Pump.Fund is a platform that allows users to launch their own 'shitcoins' on various blockchain networks like Solana and Binance Smart Chain. It has gained popularity due to the low barrier to entry for creating new tokens and the potential for significant revenue generation, as evidenced by the platform's reported earnings.

πŸ’‘Tokenization

Tokenization refers to the process of representing real-world assets or concepts as digital tokens on a blockchain. This concept is discussed in the context of real-world asset tokenization on Solana, which is seen as an attractive option for asset issuers due to regulatory clarity and the potential for new opportunities.

πŸ’‘Decentralization

Decentralization in the context of the video refers to the distribution of power and control away from a central authority. It is a key principle in blockchain technology and is often associated with increased security, transparency, and resistance to censorship. The discussion around platforms like Pump.Fund and private credit protocols touches on the potential benefits and challenges of decentralization.

πŸ’‘Governance

Governance in blockchain refers to the mechanisms and processes by which decisions are made and changes are implemented within a decentralized network or platform. In the transcript, governance updates are discussed as part of the news segment, highlighting the importance of community decision-making in the development and direction of blockchain projects.

Highlights

The discussion begins with a focus on the interest rates and opportunities in the cryptocurrency lending space, particularly in emerging markets.

Arbitrum Stylus is highlighted as an important development that allows developers to build on Arbitrum using languages like Rust, C, and C++, diversifying smart contract development beyond Solidity.

The panelists discuss the impact of the recent proposal to enable Arbitrum Stylus on the development of new applications and the composability with Solidity smart contracts.

PancakeSwap's deployment on Monet and the performance of deployments on other chains is a key topic of interest.

V Drome's launch on Bitcoin's L2 ecosystem with EVM compatibility is anticipated to be a significant event, potentially attracting Ethereum-based projects to the Bitcoin L2 ecosystem.

The conversation touches on the importance of Ltip allocations and the potential for alpha or edge found in the protocols funded through this process.

The panelists delve into the success of the previous Ltip process, despite some seeing it as a failure, and the influx of builders into the Arbitrum ecosystem.

The discussion highlights the interesting point of V Drome's tokenomics, with inflation front-loaded in the early stages and a gradual decay afterwards.

Airdrop fund updates, including Tenza Season 4 and the claims process, are covered, with mixed reactions from the community.

The panelists discuss the potential of the Deepbook protocol and its native token, introduced through a soulbound NFT, and its expected impact on the NFT and crypto space.

The conversation addresses the challenges and potential solutions for the Solana network's recent performance issues, including the problem of dropped transactions.

The hot seat segment focuses on the MakerDAO and Aave controversy, discussing the proposal to extend a credit line to collateralize with SSD and the subsequent delisting proposal.

The discussion explores the risks and rewards of the Goldfinch protocol, particularly in light of recent defaults and the challenges of private credit lending in emerging markets.

Pump.Fund is highlighted as an innovative platform enabling the launch of meme tokens on Solana and Binance Smart Chain, with a unique revenue model that is capitalizing on the current market trends.

The potential for Pump.Fund to expand across multiple blockchain ecosystems and its possible transition into a token-based model are discussed.

The panelists contemplate the future of on-chain credit markets and the need for solutions that balance efficiency with risk management and default recourse.

Transcripts

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I just can't believe that interest rate

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you said 177% run so you're telling me I

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can buy usde and stake it and earn three

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times the amount as doing an under

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collateralized loan as a lender in an

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emerging market like that is you're on

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crack like under collateralized lending

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on chain is a great business for

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borrowers and borrowers only like you're

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insane to be lending on those

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things before we get into today's

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episode just a quick disclaimer the

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views on this podcast by either myself

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or any guests are the personal views and

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do not represent the views of any

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Associated organization nothing in this

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episode should be construed or relied

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upon as Financial technical tax legal or

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other advice all right let's jump into

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the episode what's up everyone welcome

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back to another episode of zerox

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research the blockworks research team is

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back to bring you another analyst Round

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Table this time joined by Brick and Matt

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from the blockworks research team today

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is Monday April 8th and as always you

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can use code0x research 10 at app.

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blockworks research.com checkout for 10%

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off your annual subscription ren do you

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want to kick us off with some news and

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governance updates for sure thank you

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Sam first of all happy Eclipse day to

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those who get the pleasure of doing the

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eclipse today um starting off the news

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and governance updates first of all we

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have a proposal to enable arbitrum

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stylus on arbitrum 1 and Nova for those

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that need a refresher arbitrum stylus

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basically allows developers to build on

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arbit using languages such as Russ C C++

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and that sort of removes the smart

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contract development constraints of

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purely using solidity that most evm So

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based blockchains have in the past in

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addition there's some sort of ltip and

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stip snapshots going on right now um on

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other news we have a bunch of

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deployments pancake swap will be

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deploying on monad pancak Swap is

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probably live on 11 or so chains today

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um it'll be interesting to see what deps

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Deploy on Monet given this sort of like

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performance and paralyzation and if

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there's any sort of like anything else

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that they need to change for the devs if

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they already playing on there um V Drome

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is going to launch his decks on build on

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bitcoin which is a Bitcoin L2 with evm

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compatibility I think that one will be

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interesting to see how many of these

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ethereum dabs try to hop on into sort of

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like the Bitcoin L2 ecosystem I'll take

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a pause there but any thoughts between

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arbitrum stylus pancak stop and vum

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launching on this Bitcoin

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L2 yeah I want to lean into arbitrum

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Style

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it's super interesting to me that it

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largely gets overlooked like no one

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really cares about stylish sure you see

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a couple tweets about it but no one

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really gives it any more thought than

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just you know uh a passing a fleeting

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thought but arbit from Stylus is a

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pretty big deal it pretty much allows

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any rust C++ or C developer to go code

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smart contracts on arbitrum and then

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additionally they're they're composable

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with solidity smart contracts so you can

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have apps WR in either language so when

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you look at monad which is you know also

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doing doing innovation in the virtual

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machine realm it gets so much buzz and

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hype and VCS are all over and it's got a

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narrative on Twitter and stylus just

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doesn't see it and it doesn't make much

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sense to me and also I want to lean into

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the ltip stuff a little bit but I guess

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I'll give every in a second in case you

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guys have thoughts on

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stylus keep ripping while you're

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cooking yeah so ltip is allocating a

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ridiculous amount of capital to

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protocols as incentives on arbitrum and

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once again I think it's overlooked like

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when stip happened the last time there

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was arbitrum dowg incentives to

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protocols it took weeks for people to

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really realize oh shoot there's a you

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know half a million or5 million fdv

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crypto token that's getting half of its

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fdv in incentives uh so I do think that

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it's that it's actually a place that

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there could be some alpha or some Edge

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found found uh for those that are you

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know looking through which protocols

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were actually funded as a part of this

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ltip process generally speaking Matt how

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would you say the stip went were any of

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the learnings from that implemented in

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the L tip and on top of that is there

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any protocols that are receiving the

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ltip that are particularly interesting

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for from your

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perspective yeah so scip is a tough one

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to to evaluate um if you look at it

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purely from a fundamental basis of like

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how much money was spent versus you know

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the transaction sequencer the the

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sequencer fees from transactions you

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could probably go ahead and say that it

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was a failure but I think that that's

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really a misnomer because a lot of

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protocols who wouldn't have otherwise

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came over to arbitrum are like oh shoot

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I want to be a part of this you know

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incentives process I want some of the I

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want some incentives from the arbitrum

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Dow so we're actually seeing quite a few

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Builders come into the arbitrum

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ecosystem um for example even though

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synthetics was not funded as part of the

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ltip process they were largely

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interested in becoming a arbitrum

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focused or at least having some focus on

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the arbitrum ecosystem and we see this

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over and over again with other protocols

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so I think from that perspective stip

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could actually be considered a win for

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the Dow in the arbitrum Eos system I

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don't want to give any like Financial

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advice so I would just go say look

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through the arbitrum Forum post at which

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protocols got funded and and do your own

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analysis there on the uh front of vrum

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launching a deck on build on bitcoin I

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find that super interesting because the

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the solidity flywheel like

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solidly solidly flywheel not solidity

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has like actually kind of started to

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take off like we didn't see anything cuz

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they launched in the the kind of the

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peak of the bull like beginning of the

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bear so is like honestly the worst

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possible time for a solidly type

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protocol to to launch um so it's kind of

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cool to see vrum and aerodrum like

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trading at all-time highs generating

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all-time highs of fee revenue and seeing

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the most volume they've ever seen so I

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think this is like a really good time

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especially with the uh the launch of

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runes here around the having for for

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vrone to be going over there I'm not

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sure if they'll actually be partaking in

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the runes protocol or not I'm kind of

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confused as to actually what uh what

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they're building on build on bitcoin

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which is Bob I think is what people

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refer to it as but nevertheless I'll be

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watching that one I think another

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interesting point about V Drome is

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obviously they launch a new token arrow

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for Aerodrome on base uh will be

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interesting to see if they also decide

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to launch a new token for their decks on

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build on bitcoin I my good feeling says

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no at some point like you can't just

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keep on launching new tokens for every

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chain you launch them but I don't know

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seems to have worked out for air Dr

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pretty well so that remains to be seen a

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few other newsing governance oh sorry

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Vick go

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ahead no I was just going to ask aren't

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um aerod Drome incentives also front

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loaded or like there's more dilution in

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the beginning which is interesting if

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like the token wasn't doing that great

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in the beginning and now it has still

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like rebounded out of the um like not in

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a Perpetual downwards movement but

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really like starting to take off so

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maybe this could be another curve likee

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project where even though incentives

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all the time coming in they could still

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like manage fairly well yeah I believe

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the first 14 weeks you saw inflation

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gradually increase or not even gradually

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like pretty aggressively and then from

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the 14we period onwards it like decays

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pretty gradually so I think inflation is

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actually at the point to where it's

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going down now um but that being said

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like there is just inherently a lot of

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token inflation that gets that gets

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baked into these protocols so like I

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definitely would wouldn't want to be

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holding V or Arrow like in the beginning

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of a bare Market if that makes

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sense yeah definitely reflexive both on

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the way up and on the way down a few

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news updates on the airdrop fund um

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tenza season 4 started today ER the

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claim is open you can go claim and sell

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if you want uh your tokens I think so

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far mixed reactions there some to be

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like some people that traded like a huge

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amount of volume and there were like

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Wheels who like didn't get as as much as

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they would have thought and a lot of

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people who like didn't trade much and

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got more than they thought so it does

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seem like they utiliz like some form of

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T system perhaps like it wasn't as

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tiered as like something like jeto where

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like there were separate tiers with like

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a fixed amount of tenser um for each

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tier um but it does seem like there was

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some sort of tier currently the tokens

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trading at around 1.8 billion FTV and

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that's in comparison to blast that 1.5

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roughly uh sorry blur at 1.5 roughly

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billion FTV um you can form your own

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conclusion as to what do you think like

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the salana nft marketplace should be

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worth more than the ethereum sort of

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like gold standard nft Marketplace um

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but just one point interesting point of

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comparison is unisoft and Jupiter

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unisoft currently trades at a 11.6

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billion FTV and Jupiter trades at a 14.3

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billion FTB so make of the head what you

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will um something else on the

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air drop side of things deep book which

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is a central order book protocol onu

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introduced their native token deep

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through a soulbound nft the token isn't

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live yet but so far it looks pretty good

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and I think that protocol actually does

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like a lot of like volume in the grand

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scheme of things sure like a lot of

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protocols on S do have a lot of

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incentives just from the S Foundation I

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think like just every week like all of

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these protocols get like half a million

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dollar or something ridiculous but still

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um it'll be interesting to see what it

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is like the first big air drop on WE

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given that I don't think there's been

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like a large one so far any thoughts on

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those like two air

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drops yeah I mean it's always hard to do

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air drop but especially following like

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the jto thing where a lot of people

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suddenly got a lot of money compared to

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like how much they have put in so I

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guess it always becomes like a tradeoff

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between do you want to incentivize kind

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of everybody or those who have really

play10:00

really used the project and if you go

play10:02

with the lad option you're always going

play10:03

to run into the problem of like airdrop

play10:06

farmers who are going to get a big chunk

play10:10

of the like incentive structure so my

play10:15

like kind of small thesis I've been

play10:17

thinking about this that this is

play10:18

something that we will probably or like

play10:21

incentive structures or airdrop

play10:23

structures overall are probably

play10:25

something that we're going to be seeing

play10:27

a lot of developments in or at least

play10:29

like

play10:29

um projects trying out some new stuff

play10:32

here and there going

play10:34

forward yeah the tzer one's tough for me

play10:37

to digest just obviously it came like a

play10:40

couple hours ago so I haven't had a ton

play10:41

of time to think about it but nfts have

play10:44

kind of been down only and from what I'm

play10:45

hearing like people were farming you

play10:48

know season one it was like the end of

play10:50

2022 I believe so like if you were

play10:54

farming this thing at the end of 2022

play10:56

you probably got absolutely slaughtered

play10:57

on the nfts that you purchased for

play10:59

starters and then they didn't even

play11:01

heavily wait the season one and season 2

play11:03

activity versus season 3 so the people

play11:05

who came in post goto airdrop and then

play11:07

you compare that to the fdv of blur

play11:10

which is obviously the defao nft

play11:12

marketplace on ethereum and it's trading

play11:13

at a premium to it it's just makes it a

play11:16

tough sell for me um and on top of that

play11:18

like the prolif proliferation of meme

play11:20

coins like it feels like it's just

play11:22

totally replace the the attention

play11:24

economy on its salana from jpegs to meme

play11:27

coins um and I don't know if I see that

play11:30

changing to be honest and you even look

play11:31

at Magic Eden's market share on salana I

play11:33

haven't looked at it recently but you

play11:35

would think that tenzer would have

play11:37

commanded like a 95% plus market share

play11:40

over salana volume considering it was

play11:42

pre-t toen and granted magic Eden is

play11:44

pre-t toen as well but you still see

play11:46

them with like 30 to 40% market share a

play11:48

lot of the time last time I had checked

play11:50

so I don't know uh I don't know if I

play11:53

would be buying tzer is I guess what I'm

play11:55

saying but obviously not Financial

play11:58

advice yeah but I mean I think that's a

play12:00

good example of or showcase as well how

play12:04

strong Originals have been recently like

play12:06

a lot of people want to trade those and

play12:08

then I'm guessing that okay I traded

play12:10

ordinals on this platform let me as well

play12:12

just like trade my salana NFD here's

play12:15

like there's a lot of stickiness there

play12:17

and uh as I think I mentioned earlier on

play12:21

or on an earlier podcast that it was a

play12:24

brilliant like business move from Magic

play12:25

Eden to like push into this narrative

play12:29

and grow through

play12:32

that yeah that that statistic that you

play12:35

mentioned s is little shocking to me to

play12:37

be honest I would have thought like tza

play12:39

would be like com be like above 80%

play12:41

market share on salana all the time but

play12:44

yeah as viick mentioned I do think that

play12:46

could be strongly attributed to sort of

play12:48

like magic Eden's command over like the

play12:51

ordinal Marketplace and in that set of

play12:53

nftd trailers flowing onto like other

play12:55

ecosystems yeah you also just to mention

play12:58

real quick before we move on to the next

play13:00

note here like you you can download

play13:02

their wallet and that get you like extra

play13:04

points for magic Eden so like I think

play13:06

that it like break you nailed it on the

play13:08

head like people download the wallet

play13:09

they use it and like they're like well I

play13:11

might as well trade Salon nfts here

play13:13

because I'm getting you know magic Eden

play13:14

points as well on top of my ordinals

play13:16

wallet it also feels that the like 10er

play13:20

Hive kind of died down or I remember it

play13:23

had to be beginning of the year when

play13:25

Twitter was full of people like coming

play13:27

up with different strategies and just

play13:28

like trying trying to get as many points

play13:31

as possible and then lately it has more

play13:32

been like nobody really talks about that

play13:35

platform

play13:38

anymore all right a few last news

play13:41

updates Ellipsis Labs founder of Phoenix

play13:44

trade which is a crankers decentralized

play13:46

limit order Book Exchange on salana Race

play13:49

20 million last week um and the last

play13:52

news update is that Antonio from dydx

play13:55

say that dydx before will introduce

play13:56

permission to Smart contract support

play13:58

which will enable more powerful

play13:59

opportunities for amm vaults structure

play14:02

products asset issuance and a lot more

play14:04

to be built on top of

play14:06

dydx any thoughts

play14:10

there yeah I think the permissionless

play14:12

contract support on dydx is particularly

play14:15

interesting um the way I see it likely

play14:18

they want to enable you know a

play14:20

traditional Dex for swapping and a

play14:22

lending market and then you could see a

play14:24

world where someone could build

play14:26

something very similar to Athena fully

play14:28

on chain on dydx chain uh meaning you

play14:31

know a delta neutral stable coin or

play14:32

something of that nature so basically

play14:35

give uh Traders all the infrastructure

play14:37

necessary to do delta neutral basis

play14:39

trading on dydx chain so I think that

play14:41

that's really really cool and I'll

play14:43

definitely be keeping an eye there to

play14:44

see if any projects actually go and

play14:46

build uh kind of what I have envisioned

play14:48

then there was also that interesting dyx

play14:50

proposal that just passed to I believe

play14:52

it was stake a portion of the treasury I

play14:55

forget the exact amount to dydx

play14:58

validators who were uh underrepresented

play15:00

so to like smaller dydx validators to

play15:02

help insury centralization of the

play15:04

network and uh its robustness so I

play15:07

thought that was a really cool proposal

play15:08

as well so not only you know increasing

play15:10

decentralization to dydx but also uh you

play15:13

know getting some yield in usdc to the

play15:15

dydx

play15:17

treasury it's actually in uh that was a

play15:20

proposal by stride so it's 20 million

play15:22

from the community Treasury and they

play15:24

autoc compound the usdc rewards back

play15:26

into dydx so it's actually like a a che

play15:29

little value acrel opportunity that they

play15:31

capitalized on for for the dydx token

play15:33

which I thought was pretty

play15:35

cool but yeah going back to the

play15:37

permissionless deployments it that's a

play15:39

pretty interesting business move because

play15:41

if you look at something like osmosis

play15:44

they also allow uploading smart

play15:46

contracts on their chain but it's

play15:48

permission so like the community has to

play15:51

vote on it uh which I kind of think

play15:54

makes sense because then that doesn't

play15:57

allow for any body to like spam the

play16:00

chain with some like basically trash

play16:03

smart contracts or whatever um but I do

play16:06

say the like value in being

play16:09

permissionless or um like the crypto

play16:11

ethers and it's also like hard business

play16:15

model to get right because for the

play16:18

underlying chain itself it's like quite

play16:22

tempting I guess uh to start scaling

play16:25

vertically into the same like business

play16:29

as the smart contracts or the new

play16:31

projects deployed on top of the chain

play16:33

are so like for

play16:34

example um on osmosis there are already

play16:37

like per platforms but I think there

play16:40

would be a big incentive for osis to

play16:42

like

play16:44

uh integrate perp trading into the chain

play16:47

itself because it's uh or like the

play16:49

protocol uh or the project would allow

play16:52

per per trading itself because it's a

play16:54

like Great Value acral um like

play16:57

possibility but then again like you're

play17:00

basically disincentivizing anybody else

play17:02

to start building on the Chain I feel

play17:04

like dydx has always had this Vision

play17:07

though of just pers trading like dydx is

play17:10

one of those teams that I have to

play17:11

commend on they've had this Vision their

play17:12

entire time like we want to be a uh

play17:16

order book centralized exchange user

play17:18

experience on chain so we want to

play17:19

compete with binance on chain just for

play17:21

perss so I actually think that you know

play17:24

even if they see some decks or lending

play17:27

platform or something do a ton of volume

play17:28

and have a great value crew model

play17:30

they'll actually just stick with their

play17:32

Vision like they've never strayed from

play17:33

it thus far and I don't think they'll

play17:34

start doing that

play17:36

today I think there's some really

play17:38

interesting things you could do too with

play17:39

like cross margin um like obviously you

play17:42

know dydx is a cross margin exchange so

play17:45

like exchange so like it'd be kind of

play17:46

cool if you could use your purpose

play17:48

position as collateral on an amm or or a

play17:52

structured product or vault or some sort

play17:54

of thing like that I I don't know if

play17:55

that would get a little bit too messy

play17:57

and potentially introduce new risk into

play17:59

the system but it'd be cool to see some

play18:01

of that come to

play18:03

fruition big Infinity po throwback

play18:08

RP all right um now for a quick word

play18:11

from Axel thanks to our fantastic

play18:13

sponsor

play18:14

dydx all right guys for today's dydx

play18:18

segment we have your host axar

play18:20

co-founder and director of the axar

play18:21

foundation thank you so much for coming

play18:23

on thanks so much for having me just for

play18:26

quick starters do you mind just giving

play18:27

us like a quick 30 to 60c overview of

play18:30

what Axel is absolutely so um Axel the

play18:35

way we like people to think about it is

play18:37

that it solves the bridging problem but

play18:39

is not actually a bridge right all of

play18:41

you are familiar with you know Bridges

play18:43

and all of the hacks over the past few

play18:45

years Axel operates one layer below it

play18:49

is infrastructure it is a platform that

play18:51

allows Bridges and other applications uh

play18:54

to build on top right so to make an

play18:55

analogy the same way that on layer one

play18:58

you can build decentralized exchanges

play19:00

money markets nft marketplaces all those

play19:03

great Primitives with Axel you can build

play19:05

chain agnostic versions of those

play19:07

applications right the cross chain Dex

play19:09

cross chain Money Market Cross chain

play19:11

nftd marketplace right so it's a

play19:14

platform that powers Bridges but all

play19:16

kinds of other applications as well so

play19:19

we had squid rer on actually a week or

play19:21

two ago how are you guys related to them

play19:23

and the The Wider dydx

play19:25

ecosystem great question so squid uh is

play19:28

one of these core Primitives building on

play19:31

top of Axel right and is the most

play19:32

popular cross-chain decentralized

play19:35

exchange that's built on Axel what it

play19:38

enables users to do is take an asset say

play19:41

uh BNB on this binance smart chain and

play19:45

swap into usdc on dydx as simple as that

play19:49

right a simple interface looks very

play19:51

similar to Unis swap but takes an asset

play19:53

as input on one chain and gives you an

play19:56

asset on another chain now for the

play19:59

particular use case of dydx all of the

play20:02

collateral is in usdc so that's the

play20:04

asset it delivers to the user and uh the

play20:07

other cool feature that it has is that

play20:10

it can do the whole flow in uh 20

play20:12

seconds we have what we call this

play20:15

Express features with Axel which allows

play20:18

applications to express their

play20:20

transactions and uh we have these uh

play20:23

relayer services that take the whole

play20:25

risk on behalf of the user so the user

play20:27

can actually

play20:29

uh get very seamless user experience get

play20:31

their assets very fast on the

play20:32

destination chain while assuming zero

play20:35

risk you have this kind of uh Market

play20:38

making entities that's one way to think

play20:39

of them that support the user and take a

play20:42

very small fee in exchange for the

play20:44

service gotcha I appreciate that

play20:46

explanation and I know axar has a lot of

play20:49

exciting plans over the coming year so

play20:51

would love to hear what's on the Axel

play20:52

road map for the next six to 12 months

play20:55

um sounds great sounds great so we're on

play20:57

boarding uh many of the non evm chains

play21:00

right now AEL has just evm and Cosmos

play21:03

chains about 60 chains integrated to the

play21:05

network but we have a big upgrade that's

play21:08

going to launch Smart contracts on top

play21:10

of Axel and make connections

play21:13

permissionless so we're going to be

play21:14

adding Solana suie stellar reple and a

play21:18

couple of other non EVMS in the coming

play21:20

months uh now usually when uh we decide

play21:23

that we want to add a chain the

play21:25

decisions is informed by the customers

play21:27

right the applications uh building on

play21:29

top of Axel and a big segment that we're

play21:32

focusing on is real world asset

play21:34

tokenization a lot of the real world

play21:36

assets ISU want to be launching on

play21:38

Solana uh because Solana has clearance

play21:41

from some regulatory bodies in New York

play21:43

there's only Solana and and ethereum

play21:45

they also want to be launching onui

play21:47

because that's a new ecosystem there's a

play21:49

lot of excitement there a lot of

play21:50

opportunity for new stable coin issuers

play21:53

um so I guess given how close we are

play21:55

with a lot of this real world asset

play21:57

companies we are prior prioritizing some

play21:59

of the nonm chains that they want and we

play22:02

have a lot of very interesting

play22:03

initiatives we're going to be announcing

play22:04

in the coming weeks and months on the

play22:06

real world doet side and also the work

play22:08

we're doing with financial institutions

play22:10

that's going to be a big part of what's

play22:12

to come with

play22:14

Axel nice well that is super exciting

play22:16

and we'll actually have to get you on

play22:17

for a full episode at some point to get

play22:19

to get a bigger rundown of axar because

play22:21

I know there's a lot of nuances but

play22:22

thank you so much for coming on uh I

play22:25

don't know if you want to share with

play22:26

people where they can learn more about

play22:27

axar or uh where they can find you

play22:30

personally yeah for me I mean just

play22:32

follow me on Twitter feel free to

play22:34

message me I always respond to people uh

play22:36

just type my name on uh on Twitter and

play22:39

uh yeah happy to send you more

play22:40

information about Axel but I think just

play22:42

follow us on Twitter WE Post regular

play22:44

update so you'll be able to find all of

play22:46

the information there awesome thank you

play22:48

so much we'll catch you sometime in the

play22:50

future absolutely thank you so much for

play22:52

having me now moving on to our hot seat

play22:54

Kone segment I'm going to throw it over

play22:56

to you Sam this week for probably one of

play22:59

the more talked about topics in the past

play23:01

week yeah I got a lar as a salana expert

play23:04

here for a second but uh basically

play23:06

anyone who has used Solano over the past

play23:08

week or two has definitely realized it

play23:10

is incredibly broken it's hard to land

play23:12

any transaction without submitting a

play23:14

request like three four five times and

play23:16

nil on Twitter we can be sure to link to

play23:18

this thread in the show notes but put

play23:20

together a great explainer of of really

play23:22

what's going on here so I'm going to do

play23:24

my best uh to summarize it for you so

play23:26

basically there's three passs for uh a

play23:29

given transaction on Sal either one it's

play23:31

successfully included and there's zero

play23:33

errors so the transaction went through

play23:34

and it was executed successfully that's

play23:36

like the Happy case but then there's two

play23:38

where the execution actually failed so

play23:41

the gas is paid but the execution failed

play23:42

because of some certain unmet uh

play23:45

conditions so like for example if you

play23:47

have too low of slippage set on an

play23:49

illiquid Dex pair there's a chance that

play23:51

that transaction actually reverts

play23:53

because the slippage tolerance was set

play23:55

too low and that's actually the the

play23:57

chart that's been floating around on

play23:58

Twitter that shows like 75% of salana

play24:01

transactions have failed that's like

play24:03

that's the reason it's mostly Arbitrage

play24:04

Bots who are spamming the network to

play24:06

some degree in order to uh get their ARB

play24:09

through because transaction fees are so

play24:11

cheap that you stand to make more on the

play24:13

actual Arbitrage assuming it's

play24:15

successful and you can you can afford

play24:16

those failed transactions so that's not

play24:19

really the problem here the problem is

play24:20

actually the third case which is drop

play24:22

transactions and this is the case in

play24:24

which the block leader actually never

play24:26

even saw the transaction request by the

play24:28

user

play24:28

so the N the networking layer is

play24:31

basically the communication layer of the

play24:32

internet and it's used to send packets

play24:34

from one data connection to another so

play24:36

for example TCP um and then there's

play24:39

quick which was actually designed by

play24:40

Google which I found interesting in this

play24:42

thread but basically salana uses quick

play24:44

and it gives the abil the builders the

play24:47

ability to drop transactions based on

play24:49

certain criteria in order to combat

play24:51

chain halts during periods of high

play24:53

demand and if you'll recall salana

play24:55

doesn't have a mem pool so losing

play24:56

connection here means that the

play24:57

transaction never actually makes it to

play24:59

the leader so the problem is that even

play25:01

though block leaders can now like

play25:03

throttle certain uh connections the

play25:06

logic on which the connections are

play25:08

throttled like the criteria that need to

play25:10

be met are really like poorly

play25:12

implemented and buggy so the it's just

play25:15

not well defined and it's a poor

play25:17

implementation of quick so that's

play25:18

essentially what all the salon

play25:19

developers are kind of all Hands-On deck

play25:21

trying to solve right now but for the

play25:23

immediate term it's not clear if any

play25:26

sort of patch or fix will actually solve

play25:29

the problem in totality um fired dancers

play25:32

of course being worked on which is

play25:33

supposed to address some of these quick

play25:34

implementation problems but that's still

play25:36

six plus months out so it's really

play25:38

unclear as to when these uh issues

play25:41

actually get resolved so I'll stop there

play25:44

I don't know if you guys have any good

play25:45

takes on the the porcelana performance

play25:47

but I guess it's a good problem to have

play25:49

is kind of my take it means you're

play25:51

you're doing something

play25:52

right yeah uh I studied distributed

play25:55

distributed systems engineering over the

play25:57

weekend and so I'm now like a PhD in

play25:59

network engineering uh what I I'm

play26:02

kidding I I'm not going to pretend to

play26:04

know that much about like the networking

play26:06

layer of salana but I think there's like

play26:09

two two ways you can like sort of fix

play26:11

this right one is like fixing the

play26:13

networking layer and there's like a

play26:15

bunch of like optimizations that a bunch

play26:17

of teams including like Anza which is

play26:20

kind of like a spun out like team from

play26:22

the salana foundation or labs are

play26:24

working on like the client um they're

play26:26

working on like fixes to like the

play26:27

networking component but the other side

play26:30

of this equation is also like the fee

play26:31

market right traditionally niss salana

play26:33

has struggled with fee Market design

play26:35

their base fee is still like a fixed fee

play26:37

per signature and it doesn't take into

play26:40

account the number of compute units that

play26:42

a transaction utilizes and so there is

play26:46

like a quite a large incentive for these

play26:48

Arbitrage Bots to spam the network at a

play26:51

relatively low cost and so I think the

play26:53

eventual fix for this is both a

play26:55

combination of fixes to the networking

play26:57

layer and also fixes to the sort of fee

play27:02

mechanism and I know like a lot of

play27:05

people are hyped about 1.18 and sort of

play27:07

like the new scheduler that's coming out

play27:09

but I don't think that's going to help

play27:10

this or like help what salana is

play27:12

experiencing that much because that's at

play27:16

the point where the transactions like

play27:17

actually reach the block leader um but

play27:21

right now like the transactions aren't

play27:22

even reaching the block because of these

play27:23

like Network and like propagation issues

play27:26

so yeah I don't know when it will get

play27:29

fixed but not going to lie salana like

play27:30

does feel pretty unusable I think most

play27:32

people have to like do transactions like

play27:34

three to four times and that's just like

play27:35

a pretty bad user experience so between

play27:39

that or like a $100 like transaction

play27:41

fees on the three just pick your poison

play27:43

I guess the only thing that I think is

play27:45

worth noting is that just three years

play27:47

ago pre EIP 1559 ethereum had similar

play27:51

issues or at least a similar user

play27:52

experience similar negative user

play27:54

experience and instead of it taking like

play27:56

whatever a few seconds for your

play27:58

transaction to drop and not go through

play27:59

it was like tens of minutes or 10

play28:02

minutes so you know while it's not good

play28:05

it's it's a bad user experience it's

play28:08

we've all anyone who's been on chain for

play28:10

you know five plus years this is

play28:12

something that will likely be solved in

play28:14

the future and get better uh and it's

play28:16

definitely not the worst we've dealt

play28:18

with so I guess what I'm trying to say

play28:19

is that having these problems now feels

play28:21

so much better than the problems we had

play28:23

you know just in 2020 which wasn't even

play28:26

that long

play28:27

ago what still isn't clear to me and I

play28:29

hope one of you guys has some

play28:31

clarification here is how the ore mining

play28:33

actually plays into these problems cuz

play28:35

like from my understanding is it's not

play28:38

the Arbitrage Bots that are causing the

play28:40

problem it's it's other stuff and it's

play28:42

like is or mining really what ignited

play28:45

this or or was it is that not really

play28:47

that big of a part of the

play28:50

problem should we be uh maybe give some

play28:53

background on or mining Yeah Yeah so

play28:56

basically there's like a proof of work

play28:58

ripoff that's like an application on or

play29:01

a smart contract on salana and you can

play29:03

run this program to mine these ores and

play29:06

there's like very little liquidity

play29:08

there's only like 100k of liquidity

play29:10

actually that was like a week ago when I

play29:11

looked it's probably like half that now

play29:13

but regardless you can mine these ores

play29:16

that have no real function um and

play29:18

apparently that's been contributing to

play29:20

salon's problems but I I truly don't

play29:23

understand

play29:25

why I mean

play29:28

this is all coming from Daniel our great

play29:32

teammate who tried to explain this to me

play29:34

one morning so I'm probably paraphrasing

play29:37

and paraphrasing in a wrong way but like

play29:40

he said that there's like a big

play29:42

incentive to just like spin out nodes or

play29:45

trying to get as much compute through to

play29:49

the chain as possible or through the

play29:51

smart contract uh which like emits these

play29:54

ores when you solve the equation

play29:57

basically so what people are doing are

play29:59

they are for example hiring some like

play30:01

professional RPC providers I think um

play30:05

and then basically have them spam the

play30:07

smart contract on chain which then I

play30:10

don't know how big the effect really is

play30:12

on the like bad experience but

play30:15

apparently that could like bring about

play30:17

some

play30:18

problems I would have to imagine that

play30:21

these problems existed before or and I

play30:24

think like even before or right like

play30:25

there were periods where Solana was like

play30:27

slightly unusable I don't think or like

play30:31

contributed that much to what's you're

play30:32

seeing right now but it definitely like

play30:35

didn't help and as far as like the RPC

play30:37

font brick I just thinking like on one

play30:39

hand M must be like crying at how

play30:41

unusable salana is but on the other hand

play30:43

this guy must be printing off his like

play30:45

RPC

play30:47

business I think it's just congestion in

play30:49

general so like I'm sure or mining has

play30:51

some contributes a bit but so does pump.

play30:54

fund so does memec coin trading so does

play30:56

everything else going on salana I think

play30:58

it's just back to like Ren's point that

play31:00

you know basically there's this

play31:01

incentive to spam the network to get

play31:03

your transaction in like if you have an

play31:04

opportunity to make you know 10 bucks I

play31:06

don't even know how many Salon

play31:08

transactions you can spam to make that

play31:09

still worthwhile but it's a [Β __Β ] ton um

play31:12

but yeah I'm definitely not the most

play31:13

well read on the situation

play31:15

either actually that's an interesting

play31:17

point um You' think it's like a

play31:19

snowballing effect where suddenly it

play31:22

gets a bit worse and then more people

play31:24

start spamming the chain and then more

play31:26

people start spamming the chain so the

play31:28

like experience gets worse and worse

play31:31

kind of a self- fitting

play31:33

problem yeah the or problem would be

play31:35

more interesting if the price was going

play31:37

up because obviously that would

play31:38

contribute to that flywheel that you

play31:40

just that you just mentioned but I think

play31:42

Dan and mert honestly would do this

play31:44

conversation 10x more justice so we'll

play31:46

be sure to link to the uh the most

play31:48

recent light speed podcast which I know

play31:49

they talked about this in depth so we'll

play31:51

do that but outside of that Matt why

play31:54

don't I kick it over to you for your hot

play31:55

seeder cool Throne yeah so I don't even

play31:58

know who exactly to hold in the hot seat

play32:00

so I'm just going to hold this entire

play32:01

situation in the hot seat uh it's the

play32:03

makered out a debacle you might have

play32:05

seen some of it on Twitter so for some

play32:07

contacts so for some context maker Dow

play32:10

put up a proposal to extend a credit

play32:13

line of 600 million to basically

play32:15

collateralize to collateralize die with

play32:18

SSD so this is taking $600 million that

play32:20

doesn't exist and die uh purchasing SSD

play32:24

and you know receiving the yield that

play32:25

Athena USD receives

play32:28

uh so yeah this is a big risk the

play32:29

protocol but at the end of the day uh

play32:31

it's a risk that pays off and that they

play32:33

think is a worthwhile risk directly

play32:35

after this maker out proposal a or Mark

play32:39

Zeller from a who leads a Chan put up a

play32:41

proposal to

play32:42

delist d as a collateral asset on a so

play32:46

set the LTV to zero you can't use a you

play32:48

can't use uh D to take out loans on a

play32:51

anymore is the proposal that he put up

play32:53

and it started a huge controversy there

play32:56

are you know

play32:58

his Mark Zeller and backed by Stan kind

play33:01

of say that the reason for this was risk

play33:03

optimization they think that D's risk

play33:05

went extremely uh the you know the risk

play33:08

matrices on die changed completely in

play33:09

one day so they want to get rid of it

play33:11

completely others are saying that you

play33:14

know setting a 0% LTV is a drastic

play33:16

measure and that it's basically just

play33:18

severing the relationship between maker

play33:20

maker Dow and a which kind of makes

play33:22

sense given that they're starting to

play33:23

compete a little more and more these

play33:25

days but overall the whole situation is

play33:27

just a giant [Β __Β ] show it's kind of

play33:29

setting a new equilibrium for governance

play33:31

across the board and uh yeah it's just

play33:33

probably not a good look for the space

play33:35

overall as it decreases kind of the defi

play33:37

Lego composability value proposition

play33:39

that we love and

play33:42

enjoy I think historically like meral

play33:46

has been I mean like it's always been

play33:48

like relatively back but they've dabbled

play33:50

in rwa a lot more and you know they've

play33:52

extended what call like private credit

play33:54

lines to various like credit managers so

play33:58

to say I don't think like Sude increases

play34:02

the risk of die being unbacked by that

play34:05

much to be honest and if anything like

play34:08

Sude quote unquote going wrong would be

play34:11

like a slow unwind rather than just one

play34:13

day like a borrower from a credit fund

play34:15

saying like hey I can't beay like this

play34:17

$50 million loan um so in that sense

play34:20

like I I still think it's fine and from

play34:22

A's perspective obviously there are some

play34:25

sort of incentives that they have to a

play34:27

has has its own stable coin go which I

play34:30

don't think I've seen as much adoption

play34:31

as they would like so it would make

play34:33

sense for them to you know D this like a

play34:35

die Market or like try to quotequote

play34:37

like fud another like stable coin but

play34:41

yeah would agree that like it is a [Β __Β ]

play34:43

show and it brings up an interesting

play34:45

point right like there are these like

play34:46

new crypto D5 Primitives that people

play34:50

have thought of they've quickly found

play34:52

like product Market fit and ground to

play34:53

like billions and billions of dollars of

play34:55

like TVO or like AUM or liquidity at the

play34:58

end of the day the whole thing about

play34:59

crypto is sort of like defi Legos right

play35:01

you get this vision of composability but

play35:04

then now you have the centralized or

play35:06

quote unquote centralized like Risk

play35:07

Managers coming in and kind of like

play35:10

cutting out the composability component

play35:12

of crypto and whether that should be

play35:15

allowed is a very good question and the

play35:18

follow-up question to that is like who

play35:20

should that sort of risk management lion

play35:22

you know should it be on atina and they

play35:25

should be the ones actively going like

play35:26

okay like make it out [Β __Β ] out like

play35:28

let's only do like $200 million dos of

play35:30

like die credit for like SD or USD or

play35:33

should that just be like purely on maker

play35:36

Dow and then obviously there's like a

play35:37

whole bunch of second order effects to

play35:38

that with all of these protocols that

play35:40

are integrating like all of these

play35:41

different tokens in my opinion it should

play35:44

definitely be a maker though I think why

play35:47

this has gotten so much attention within

play35:50

the maker Community is because like

play35:53

historically maker hasn't really made

play35:56

this or

play35:58

a similar sized bet before especially on

play36:01

a mechanism that hasn't yet been proven

play36:04

in a like a Black Swan event and that's

play36:08

tough to model out because yeah you're

play36:10

basically just assuming like certain

play36:12

probabilities for the blacks one event

play36:14

and then based on that you get some EV

play36:16

calculation and then decide to do it or

play36:18

not um so I I know some community

play36:22

members weren't too happy about like

play36:24

yeah this is a great opportunity for

play36:26

maker to print a lot of cash because uh

play36:31

basically the last time I checked uh I

play36:34

think maker was earning 80% AP wise

play36:39

for uh like the die borrowed out which

play36:42

is amazing if you have like 500 or a

play36:44

bill in there um so I do see the

play36:49

temptation to you know expand quickly

play36:52

and kind of take advantage of these high

play36:55

funding rates we have right now but then

play36:58

again on the other side like if

play37:01

something will or if something happens

play37:03

to go wrong uh connected to Athena I

play37:05

feel that it's going to be like a super

play37:07

quick um unwinding or like an event that

play37:11

you basically you either lose everything

play37:14

or almost everything or then you survive

play37:17

so it's tough situation to um be in then

play37:21

yeah interesting decision to go ahead

play37:24

with such a large like I don't know

play37:30

decision yeah I mean I'm all for it I

play37:33

think while funding rates are positive

play37:35

like go for it and then you can change

play37:36

parameters down the line if you need to

play37:39

but I'm also like a usde bull I think

play37:42

democratizing that trade is is a really

play37:44

cool idea and a new primitive that we

play37:46

haven't seen and I'm all for it but

play37:48

maybe that's just because Ren and I

play37:49

spoke with guy just this morning for an

play37:51

interview episode so recency bias no I

play37:54

mean I do see the vision I think it's a

play37:58

great projects it's just that as always

play38:00

with stable coins like the worst thing

play38:02

is when the market loses confidence in

play38:05

the protocol or the you know whatever

play38:08

stable coin you have because usually

play38:10

it's also quite irrational like what

play38:12

happened with usdc where the peg was

play38:15

trading

play38:16

below um like the confirmed collateral

play38:20

value that the bank still had uh

play38:22

beginning of last year I think um and a

play38:25

similar situation could go down with d

play38:28

and you also have this game

play38:31

theoretical uh situation where like

play38:34

you're incentivized to front run all of

play38:37

your Capital out of the project to be

play38:39

the first one to like not take a haircut

play38:42

and then the people who are slower are

play38:44

gonna be the ones that are basically

play38:47

left holding the

play38:49

bags and maybe to clarify after having

play38:53

said all of the I'm I'm not saying

play38:55

anything of this is going to happen I'm

play38:57

just like like trying to paint a picture

play39:00

of what the maybe the worst situation

play39:03

that could happen would be

play39:06

here Athena's definitely got lots of

play39:08

risks like there's the risk that Ste

play39:10

deegs there's the risk that uh you know

play39:13

copper clear Loop has 4our settlement so

play39:15

even if one of the exchange if one of

play39:16

the exchanges goes down like they'll

play39:17

have directional exposure for a 4H hour

play39:20

period of time binance doesn't actually

play39:22

use copper clear Loop so if binance goes

play39:24

down but at that point there's you know

play39:25

a lot more to worry about than just

play39:27

Athena um there's the risk that you know

play39:31

the whoever controls the ability to

play39:34

access the custody with copper clear

play39:35

Loop actually just takes the money out

play39:38

um you know there's no contractual

play39:39

obligations like that could happen a

play39:40

quote unquote rug I don't think that

play39:42

it's at all likely but it's a

play39:44

possibility so like there's all these

play39:45

risks to consider but you know I do

play39:47

actually think that at least from my

play39:49

perspective and in my opinion like those

play39:51

risks are outweighed by the current

play39:52

reward that uh Athena is paying out at

play39:55

least for me and only for me not

play39:57

speaking for other people so maybe maker

play39:59

down made a similar decision and you

play40:01

know decided that $600 million was an

play40:03

appropriate risk to take on given that

play40:05

the expected value of their payoff from

play40:07

this position um so overall like I'm for

play40:09

it too I think it's a risk but it's a

play40:11

it's a well thought through

play40:15

risk yeah I thought it was interesting

play40:17

that guy told us today like he wouldn't

play40:19

be opposed to moving some of the short

play40:22

legs on the eth trade into Stables given

play40:25

the opportunity and like the risk

play40:26

management deems that at a certain time

play40:28

like I I just think that there's a lot

play40:30

more things they can do to protect

play40:31

against these risks than people are

play40:33

giving them credit for and I also think

play40:35

like they're diversifying their you know

play40:38

their exchanges their custody providers

play40:41

like all of that different stuff so like

play40:42

worst case scenario in my view isn't

play40:44

like really the risk of negative funding

play40:46

it's it's actually like the risk of yeah

play40:48

centralized exchange going insolvent and

play40:50

not getting paid out on the short leg

play40:52

but even then like if you've only got

play40:54

20% of your open interest on one

play40:56

Exchange then you're taking like what

play40:59

20% of the you know 50% of the Hedge and

play41:03

then that's only that it just ends up

play41:05

being a very small amount so I don't

play41:07

think this is a scenario like us where

play41:09

all of a sudden you wake up one morning

play41:10

and your life savings is gone I think

play41:12

it's going to be at worst like 10 to 20%

play41:15

haircut but I'll probably eat those

play41:17

words in a bare market so tread

play41:19

carefully no but as I said earlier like

play41:23

there's still the possibility that

play41:24

everybody starts panicking and then the

play41:26

situation becomes worse than it

play41:28

otherwise would um one question I had

play41:31

and I don't know if you want to save

play41:33

this for the other podcast episode but

play41:35

like did you talk at all about the

play41:37

insurance fund like what's the situation

play41:39

with that has it been growing and like

play41:42

through which ways Yeah it's gotten

play41:44

really big actually so they're adding

play41:46

about $6 million a week as of April 2nd

play41:49

it's up to 33 million from the starting

play41:51

point of two million I believe 10

play41:53

million of that was added through the

play41:55

recent raise that they had but I think

play41:57

20 to 25 million is organic just growth

play42:00

and I believe that that Revenue I

play42:02

actually didn't ask this directly

play42:04

because it was one of my questions I

play42:05

wasn't sure where the acral actually

play42:07

came from but it sounded like ssde

play42:10

stakers get their Pro share dependent

play42:13

upon you know how much of the USD Supply

play42:15

is Stak and the remainder so the USD

play42:17

that's just sitting in EAS that isn't uh

play42:20

Stak in us sde that excess goes to the

play42:24

Insurance Fund so yes at you know 30 40

play42:27

50 60% funding rates they are absolutely

play42:30

printing on that Insurance Fund I will

play42:32

note that the original studies done by I

play42:34

believe it was Gauntlet or chaos I can't

play42:36

recall which entity but they recommended

play42:38

$30 million of capital in the Insurance

play42:41

Fund for every1 billion dollar of usde

play42:45

supply and obviously usde has about two

play42:48

billion of supply and only 33 million in

play42:50

the Insurance Fund so right now that

play42:51

actually is below the targeted threshold

play42:54

that was done by a third party but the

play42:56

internal testing that was done by the

play42:57

Athena team suggested more like 15

play43:00

million for every 1 billion of USD

play43:02

supplies so it depends on which source

play43:03

you want to go on uh I think probably

play43:05

taking the more conservative of the two

play43:07

is the better approach but nonetheless

play43:09

like at this run rate like they're going

play43:11

to be at 60 million for their two

play43:12

billion USD in just a couple weeks and I

play43:15

mean at that point though it's a game of

play43:17

catch up because I'm sure the USD

play43:18

supplies on a fast track to five billion

play43:21

given that their sth campaign is kpi

play43:23

based and time duration based so it's

play43:25

either first to five billion USD Supply

play43:28

or in six months whichever comes first

play43:30

and if it's anything like the first

play43:31

campaign then it will be a lot sooner

play43:33

than six

play43:37

months all right I think that's a good

play43:39

point to sort over to my hot seat K

play43:43

drone similar on sort of like the

play43:45

private credit side of things I have

play43:48

goldfinch in the hot seat so there was

play43:50

another default on gold finch last week

play43:53

this time from a company called Len East

play43:56

that they just reviewed that they can

play43:58

only repay 4.25 million out of their

play44:01

10.15 million loan from the gold finch

play44:03

Pro so that represents roughly a 58%

play44:07

loss on that specific loan and it

play44:09

represents 7.7% of active loans on gold

play44:12

finch according to sort of community

play44:15

members within the Discord

play44:17

750,000 B from ginch was used by lendes

play44:20

to repay other borrowers obviously in

play44:23

Bach of the loan agreement you can't

play44:24

really do that that's a big no no um and

play44:26

yeah like a 10.15 million loan with a 25

play44:29

month term paying out a

play44:32

177% uh rate and yeah I think like this

play44:35

is probably the third default that goldf

play44:37

has experienced previously they had a

play44:39

default from tund day one from Stratos

play44:43

and a few like Alma vest po added

play44:45

together is probably around like 20

play44:46

million or so so gold V is in pretty

play44:50

rough shape and all of these private

play44:51

credit protocols have just been

play44:54

continued to be battered like ever since

play44:56

sort of like the Luna 3ac FTX Fallout

play45:00

and if you would remember there were

play45:02

like a huge amount of crypto market

play45:04

makers that blew up and weren't able to

play45:06

repay their private credit loans from

play45:08

protocols such as like Maple finance and

play45:11

it just seems like that Fallout

play45:13

continues though even outside of crypto

play45:16

borrowers um yeah I'm not sure what the

play45:18

solution here is obviously like

play45:21

underwriting jungle bonds especially in

play45:23

Emerging Markets is pretty hard and

play45:26

defaults are unavoidable like it'll be

play45:29

hard to run a private credit fund with

play45:30

like a 0% default rate but obviously

play45:32

you're hoping that the the return from

play45:35

your uh lending overcomes like whatever

play45:38

default that occurs and so I don't

play45:43

think like maybe there's a bit of an

play45:46

adverse selection problem given that a

play45:48

lot of their loans were like an emerging

play45:51

countries in these sort of like sort of

play45:53

like growth mode companies that were

play45:55

doing like bike shirt

play45:57

or whatever so that definitely like

play45:59

doesn't help but it's also not like

play46:01

whoever was like underwriting these

play46:03

loans were not professionals you know

play46:05

they had like professional like credit

play46:07

fund managers like managing these loans

play46:09

during the underwriting but yeah at the

play46:11

end of the day there's always going to

play46:13

be like a lack of accountability like I

play46:15

underwrote those loans but like you know

play46:16

if something defaults like it's not

play46:18

really my problem and similar thing from

play46:20

like a you know like if I'm like a

play46:22

random like bike sharing company in

play46:23

Ethiopia and I default like yeah like

play46:26

gold was probably like my last lifeline

play46:28

and like if I default then so it you

play46:31

know um so yeah that's just another

play46:33

thing on the gold V and like private

play46:35

credit side of things but would love to

play46:37

hear if anyone has any thoughts on how

play46:39

we fix this to be honest or like if

play46:41

private credit onchain should like even

play46:44

exist I think it makes a lot of sense to

play46:46

have private credit on chain uh just

play46:49

because of all of the efficiencies you

play46:51

can uh reach and all of that good stuff

play46:54

like I think we've talked about it quite

play46:55

a few times but to me it's just

play46:57

interesting like if you look at private

play47:00

credit funds just like in the Trad five

play47:02

world I'm I'm not sure but my if I

play47:05

recall correctly I think they produce

play47:07

around like 15 20% yields default rates

play47:10

are probably below like 5% of the AUM uh

play47:14

which even at that point like somehow

play47:17

sounds super hard to me or high to me um

play47:21

and like compared to this Goldfinch

play47:23

situation which what did you say like

play47:25

20% of the AUM is now under default

play47:29

that's brutal because like you kind of

play47:32

assume yeah you know that private credit

play47:34

and especially Emerging Markets are a

play47:36

tough business and like riskier than you

play47:40

know buying AAA bonds but still like you

play47:44

basically take on more volatility than

play47:48

um investing into equities and your

play47:50

returns aren't like even close on par

play47:53

with that um so I'm guessing like if

play47:57

these news spread out more it's going to

play47:59

be hard for um like this some of these

play48:04

Deb protocols to you know attract

play48:07

Capital especially in a bull market like

play48:10

this when yeah we just talked about Thea

play48:12

but that feels like pretty close to a

play48:15

zero risk or I guess not zero risk but

play48:18

much closer to like a zero risk

play48:20

situation than um like investing into

play48:24

this super super risky or I guess not

play48:26

super super risky but still risky um

play48:30

like the instruments in Emerging Markets

play48:33

credit markets has always been the same

play48:34

thing which is a assessing credit

play48:36

worthiness and B default recourse so

play48:40

when we like Maple Finance when it was

play48:41

going through its uh its whole thing

play48:43

back in the 3ac blowup days it had a ton

play48:46

of defaults I forget the exact

play48:47

percentage but it was even more than 20%

play48:49

of AUM um maybe closer to 50 their only

play48:52

loan recourse was reputational hit and

play48:54

in a world where you know three was

play48:57

blowing up uh reputational hit was not

play48:59

good recourse if I remember correctly

play49:01

and forgive me if I'm wrong I haven't

play49:02

looked into gold finch in over a year

play49:03

but uh they actually have contractual

play49:06

obligation and Loan recourse so I'm

play49:07

curious to see how that actually plays

play49:09

out um and who would go and Sue the

play49:11

defaulting borrower and additionally

play49:14

like yeah it's a you know this is a

play49:16

ridiculously hard space to solve uh if

play49:19

we manage to get onchain credit to truly

play49:21

work whether it be through digital

play49:23

identities um you know I've always had

play49:25

this idea that it's some sort of like

play49:26

like ZK so basically your ident your

play49:29

identity and your maybe it's like

play49:31

connected to Plaid so your net worth and

play49:32

all your different assets are tied up

play49:34

into a ZK proof and then if you default

play49:36

it's you know kind of unraveled to the

play49:38

lender so that they can actually come

play49:39

after you and there's contractural

play49:40

obligations there so do you think one

play49:42

day we get these onchain credit markets

play49:44

to work and it will be what makes you

play49:46

know in my opinion the next step for

play49:47

defi like brings defi back into the

play49:49

narrative but the solutions we have

play49:51

today just are not there um and from a

play49:53

team like Goldfinch who seems to have

play49:55

transitioned a lot of their bandwidth

play49:56

and brain kind of into other initiatives

play49:58

of late so they launch this like AI

play50:00

advisor or something um it it'll be

play50:03

interesting to see how the situation

play50:05

plays out but overall I'm I'm hopeful

play50:07

it's a good team I I wish them the

play50:10

best I just can't believe that interest

play50:12

rate you said 177% run so you're telling

play50:15

me I can buy usde and stake it and earn

play50:18

three times the amount as doing an under

play50:21

collateralized loan as a lender in an

play50:23

emerging market like that is you're on

play50:25

crack like under collateralized lending

play50:28

on chain is a great business for

play50:30

borrowers and borrowers only like you're

play50:33

insane to be lending on those things I'm

play50:35

I'm I'm sorry I think it's a terrible

play50:36

idea until like that's on a private

play50:38

blockchain and like actual like people

play50:41

who have spent entire careers and under

play50:43

collateralized lending and credit

play50:45

assessment like that's when it makes

play50:47

sense and you can kyc and there's actual

play50:49

default recourse but otherwise like

play50:52

that's a no for me dog yeah not that you

play50:55

put it that way and make that comparison

play50:57

to it is pretty crazy I mean technically

play50:59

Goldfinch tells that all of its loans

play51:01

are like over collateralized and they

play51:03

say like they B do a bunch of due

play51:05

diligence like it's collateralized by

play51:07

like balance sheets like cash flows and

play51:09

whatever but yeah I mean like it's still

play51:11

kind of under collateralized at the end

play51:12

of the day and if you're gonna make

play51:13

three times that on Athena which is like

play51:16

quote unquote like real yield then that

play51:19

seems like a lot better R would yeah

play51:21

I'll add that I don't know anything

play51:23

about Goldfinch for the most part and I

play51:25

do commend them for like trying it

play51:27

because it is needed like defi is

play51:30

fundamentally constrained until we have

play51:32

under collateralized lending but like

play51:34

today like yeah no you just put that so

play51:38

simply and eloquently like yeah H hard

play51:43

agree yeah I think uh one more thing

play51:46

that I just like to put on the C own

play51:48

this weekend has been making waves on

play51:50

CTS pump. fund so pump. fund is a

play51:53

website that allows you to launch a

play51:55

shitcoin on both salana and blast and

play51:57

basically how it works is that you

play51:58

deploy a coin you add like a ticker your

play52:00

image whatever and people can like buy

play52:02

it on pump. fun and once it reaches

play52:05

69,000 in market cap on salana it

play52:09

deploys $112,000 of liquidity into a

play52:11

radium pool up and basically as you can

play52:15

imagine like thousands and thousands of

play52:17

tokens are getting launched there every

play52:19

single day and every time a token hits

play52:22

the radium pool pump. fund takes a two

play52:25

so fixed m migration fee so at current

play52:28

prices that's probably like around $400

play52:31

and pum fund is making

play52:34

$350,000 a day and if you sort of

play52:36

annualize that that's 100 million in

play52:38

annualized Revenue which is like pretty

play52:41

pretty crazy to be honest and like on

play52:43

the other side of the equation like de

play52:45

screener they charge like

play52:46

$299 for an ad on like sort of like the

play52:49

right side where you see like the price

play52:52

the market cap and like that ad space is

play52:54

always filled up so I think obviously

play52:57

the main takeaway at least for me is

play52:59

that picks and shovels are absolutely

play53:02

eating especially like mcoin picks and

play53:04

shovels which makes me think that like

play53:06

telegram Bots will probably have to day

play53:08

again um this cycle given that they've

play53:10

been like pretty battered to be honest

play53:12

over the past few months but it's just

play53:14

crazy seeing like such a simple business

play53:17

make so much money uh and like it's

play53:20

something that's like super unique about

play53:21

kryp and these guys are like a three-

play53:22

person

play53:24

team yeah I mean that so wait you're

play53:26

saying for deck screener when somebody

play53:29

links the socials to the coin they

play53:31

charge 300 bucks yeah so that's one

play53:34

component like when someone wants to

play53:36

link socials they charge 300 bucks and

play53:37

then there's also like ad space which

play53:39

they sell on the sidebar and that's

play53:41

probably like another like completely

play53:43

guessing you but probably like another

play53:45

few hundred

play53:46

bucks that has to be such a good

play53:48

business model because yeah yeah

play53:51

basically every coin you look at always

play53:53

has those socials there um and that's so

play53:55

scalable or like you basically don't

play53:58

have to do anything anymore you just

play54:00

like you've completed your uh platform

play54:03

and now you chill and enjoy the bull

play54:05

market yeah I think it's it maybe it

play54:08

doesn't make it uh sense for these

play54:11

platforms to launch a token themselves

play54:13

but like shout out to the team for

play54:15

creating this stuff pump out fun has a

play54:18

real opportunity like in its current

play54:21

state it could definitely be like a you

play54:24

know temporary time in the spotlight but

play54:27

overall it's a simple idea right I'm not

play54:29

sure if I mentioned it but the lp gets

play54:31

locked so you know all you basically are

play54:33

buying into this um you're buying into

play54:36

this Cur liquidity curve with soul

play54:38

you're buying this mem coin uh and then

play54:40

eventually a large portion of the soul

play54:42

that gets put into the into the

play54:43

liquidity curve gets put into radium and

play54:46

then those that LP token is burned so

play54:47

it's no longer accessible uh so it helps

play54:50

with like these Fair launches it removes

play54:52

your risk of a in the traditional sense

play54:54

getting rugged where you take out all

play54:55

the liquidity from the pool you can

play54:57

still get rugged other ways but the

play54:58

traditional uh rugging liquidity sense

play55:00

so it's like a great idea from my

play55:02

perspective the actual platform is um

play55:05

you know has a lot of room for

play55:06

improvement but that said like if it

play55:08

goes and launches across all these

play55:10

different chains right now it's only

play55:11

live on salant and blast but you could

play55:13

easily go see it live on Bas and

play55:15

arbitrum and everywhere else in the near

play55:16

future there's no reason it shouldn't be

play55:18

live there besides obviously instead of

play55:20

using radium it be using Unis swap or

play55:21

whatever um so I think that pump. fun

play55:24

actually has like the legs to be a a

play55:27

real like you said pick and shovel or

play55:29

infrastructure product in crypto and I

play55:31

definitely kind of hope to see it

play55:33

continue iterating and and growing and

play55:35

being better here's a question for you

play55:38

all if you were one of the three

play55:39

co-founders of Pumped off fun you're

play55:41

making 100 million doll in annualized

play55:44

Revenue today so that's probably like

play55:45

$33 million each and chances are like

play55:49

this meme coin like craziness continues

play55:51

for at least like a few more months if

play55:53

not like until the end of the year or it

play55:55

gets even crazier from her would you

play55:58

launch a token or no you launch a token

play56:01

and I don't know like 80% of your

play56:03

Revenue has to like go back to like

play56:04

token holders just like some Fe switch

play56:06

you have to manage a dial like just push

play56:08

back uh now you have like Community only

play56:10

like part of the protocol where it's

play56:12

like if you don't launch a token sure

play56:15

you don't get like whatever money you

play56:16

can cash off the token but you're making

play56:18

like $33 million each and like just cold

play56:21

hard

play56:23

cash if I were them I would be doing

play56:26

absolutely everything I can to further

play56:29

decentralize the actual product because

play56:32

you are literally enabling the launching

play56:34

of of you know shitcoins like yeah I

play56:37

would want to distance myself from that

play56:39

personally and I wouldn't want to just

play56:40

be pocketing Revenue into perpetuity but

play56:42

that's just my take Sam wanted to say a

play56:45

two-word phrase that can't be said on

play56:47

this show so bad oh my gosh uh yeah

play56:49

there's a lot of liability with

play56:50

launching tokens but I think more so you

play56:53

know if I go launch a pump. fun

play56:55

competitor to day and I shove a points

play56:58

like just a point system on the top

play56:59

right corner so that if you launch a

play57:01

coin you get 10 points or you launch a

play57:02

coin that successfully hits radium you

play57:04

get 10 points you buy into a coin with

play57:05

more than one Soul you get one point

play57:07

like they will get vampire attacked and

play57:09

eight so I do think that actually to

play57:10

stay competitive they probably need to

play57:12

have some sort of token or incentive

play57:13

mechanism for users at some point okay

play57:16

another uh interesting question would be

play57:18

does anybody know if there's really like

play57:21

being a token that's been launched on

play57:23

buum that fun and then it's become like

play57:25

huge

play57:27

I think anam's cat H or whatever was

play57:31

like a PP fun launch and then there is

play57:33

like treat I saw I don't know if it's

play57:34

true or not but like some guy launched

play57:36

like 183 different tokens and he's made

play57:38

like 650k so far so yeah I do think

play57:41

there's like been a few like big ones

play57:43

like not like whff level big but like

play57:45

relatively big tokens that have been

play57:47

launched on pump off fun I'm taking a

play57:50

look right now it looks like shark cat

play57:52

is the uh most popular

play57:55

at um um hm not sure the exact not sure

play57:59

the exact market cap but maybe 140

play58:01

million or so followed by anom cat Hobs

play58:04

at 50 million followed by what in

play58:06

tarnation wit at 22 million so short

play58:09

answer no but like those are substantial

play58:12

numbers all right well I think that's a

play58:14

good place to stop it I know we all have

play58:16

an eclipse to go watch other than brick

play58:18

who is fading the the coolness of the

play58:20

the Eclipse which is insanity to me but

play58:22

you guys can get after him on that in

play58:24

the comments if you disagree as well but

play58:26

thank you guys so much for coming on we

play58:27

will see you here next week and uh yeah

play58:31

thank

play58:32

you

play58:36

[Music]

play58:40

byebye

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