Morgan Stanley's Emergency Alert: Do This Before It’s Too Late

Steven Van Metre
31 Mar 202420:56

Summary

TLDRIn this dynamic financial analysis, Steve Van Meter delves into the dramatic 93% plunge in market activity, revealing Morgan Stanley's emergency alert. He explores the critical role of machine positioning in trading, the impact of S&P 500 companies entering their largest ever buyback blackout period, and the strategic shifts advised by Morgan Stanley, including an upgrade of the energy sector to overweight. Van Meter also provides invaluable insights into trading technicals, momentum, and potential market shifts, offering tools and strategies to help traders and investors capitalize on market movements and achieve superior returns.

Takeaways

  • 📉 Morgan Stanley issued an emergency alert about a significant market crash, highlighting a 93% plunge and its implications on the markets.
  • 🤖 The script emphasizes the importance of understanding machine positioning in the market, as these models hold a significant influence on market movements.
  • 💹 There was a noted 30% decline in flows on trading desks due to the corporate buyback 'blackout' period, which is a critical time for market participants.
  • 📈 Goldman Sachs' analysis indicated that the S&P 500 is heavily skewed to the downside, potentially leading to a significant sell-off.
  • 🛠️ Technical analysis and momentum indicators were discussed, including the use of RSI and MACD to smooth out trading signals and identify opportunities.
  • 📊 The script also touched on the potential for a rotation out of big cap stocks and into small caps, as well as the energy sector, which Morgan Stanley recommended as an overweight position.
  • 🚀 The potential for a significant move in small caps was highlighted, with a focus on the IW (iShares Russell 2000 ETF) and its technical setup.
  • 📈 The energy sector (XLE) and its potential breakout were discussed, although the speaker expressed caution and suggested waiting for confirmation.
  • 💰 The speaker provided insights on trading strategies, including the importance of setting stop losses and adjusting them as gains are made.
  • 📉 The bond market (TLT) was identified as a potential opportunity, with a focus on the technical pattern suggesting a short-term shift in momentum.
  • 🌟 Gold (GLD) and gold mining stocks (GDX) were highlighted as sectors with strong upward momentum and potential for further gains.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic discussed in the video?

    -The main topic discussed in the video is the significant market event where Morgan Stanley issued an emergency alert about a massive plunge in the market and its implications for traders and investors.

  • What does the video mention about machine positioning and its importance?

    -The video emphasizes the importance of understanding machine positioning in the market, as it is critical for traders to front run the machines whenever possible. It discusses how machine positioning affects market trends and provides insights for better trading decisions.

  • What is the significance of the 93% drop mentioned in the video?

    -The 93% drop refers to a significant decrease in the buyback desk flows, indicating a major shift in the market. This drop highlights the largest part of the corporate buyback blackout window, which is a crucial factor affecting the market dynamics.

  • What does the video say about the S&P 500 and its current state?

    -The video indicates that 87% of the S&P 500 is in a blackout, which has dropped to 93% as of Friday. This suggests that the market is in a unique situation due to the absence of one of its biggest buyers, potentially leading to a market pullback.

  • What is Morgan Stanley's advice to clients in response to the market situation?

    -Morgan Stanley issued an emergency alert advising clients on actions to take in light of the market situation. They suggest upgrading the energy sector to overweight, citing reasons such as improving relative earnings revisions, stable crude prices, and compelling valuations.

  • How does the video discuss technical analysis and its role in trading?

    -The video discusses the use of technical analysis, including indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), to identify market trends and potential trade opportunities. It also emphasizes the importance of understanding momentum and machine positioning in technical analysis.

  • What are the potential implications of the current market situation for small cap stocks?

    -The video suggests that small cap stocks might present opportunities in the current market situation. It discusses the momentum and technical indicators for small caps, indicating a potential for upward movement and suggesting a shift from large caps to small caps for traders.

  • What is the video's stance on the bond market and gold?

    -The video presents the bond market and gold as potential areas of opportunity. It discusses the technical setup for bonds, indicating a possible rate decrease, and highlights gold's continuous rise and positive momentum, suggesting further upside potential.

  • How does the video address the potential for a market pullback?

    -The video addresses the potential for a market pullback by analyzing the technical indicators, momentum, and machine positioning. It suggests that the market might be overbought and due for a correction, especially considering the lack of buyers and the presence of significant supply zones.

  • What advice does the video give to traders regarding stop losses and position sizing?

    -The video advises traders to use stop losses to protect their gains and to adjust stop loss levels as their positions become profitable. It also emphasizes the importance of not trying to capture every bit of a trade and moving on to the next opportunity when the current one is no longer favorable.

Outlines

00:00

📉 Morgan Stanley's Emergency Alert on Market Crash

The video begins with host Steve Van Meter discussing Morgan Stanley's emergency alert about a significant market crash, where a particular asset class plunged by 93%. The focus is on understanding the implications for the markets and investor strategies. Technical analysis and machine positioning are emphasized as crucial for better trading and investment decisions. The video also highlights the importance of understanding the buyback desk and corporate buyback blackout periods, which are affecting market dynamics. The segment concludes with an overview of Goldman Sachs' flow estimates and their impact on market direction.

05:02

📊 Technical Analysis and Market Indicators

In this paragraph, the host delves into the technical aspects of trading, discussing the Relative Strength Indicator (RSI), MACD, and other indicators. The video explains the concept of smoothing out tactical signals and highlights the importance of stop losses in retaining gains. The segment also covers the momentum of the S&P 500, the impact of corporate blackout periods on trading volumes, and the potential for market pullbacks. The discussion extends to the technology sector, emphasizing the need to balance risk and reward in trading.

10:04

🥳 Positive Momentum and Overbought Territories

This section focuses on the positive momentum and overbought territories in various sectors, particularly the energy sector. The video discusses the potential for breakouts and the importance of timing entry and exit points. The host analyzes the charts for XLE and XOP, providing insights into potential market movements and opportunities. The video also touches on the bond market, offering a critical view on Morgan Stanley's recommendations and emphasizing the importance of chart analysis for identifying trading opportunities.

15:05

🚀 Breakout Potential and Trade Strategies

The host continues with an analysis of breakout potential in the gold market and trade strategies for maximizing returns. The video showcases the power of technical analysis tools in identifying high-probability trade setups. The segment includes a discussion on the performance of the GLD and GDX, highlighting the importance of adjusting stop-loss levels and following market trends. The host also presents a case study of the DBA agriculture fund, demonstrating the effectiveness of using reports and signals for successful trading.

20:06

🌐 Global Market Trends and Currency Movements

The final paragraph of the script addresses global market trends and currency movements, particularly the US dollar's performance. The video discusses the potential impact of global economic shifts on the dollar's value and the importance of being prepared for market catalysts. The host provides an outlook on the short-term direction of the dollar and hints at possible opportunities in currency trading. The video concludes with a reminder of the value of the host's trading tools and a call to action for viewers to access a 30-day free trial.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley is a leading global financial services firm providing investment banking, securities, wealth management and other financial services. In the context of the video, Morgan Stanley is mentioned as issuing an emergency alert to its clients, advising on market actions following a significant market event. This highlights the firm's role in providing guidance to investors during critical market conditions.

💡Market Crash

A market crash refers to a sudden and significant decline in the value of assets, such as stocks, bonds, or commodities. It is typically characterized by panic selling and can result in substantial losses for investors. In the video, the term is used to describe a major event that has occurred, prompting Morgan Stanley to issue an alert and necessitating a discussion on strategies for traders and investors to navigate the aftermath.

💡Machine Positioning

Machine positioning refers to the collective stance taken by algorithmic trading systems or 'machines' in the financial markets. These systems use complex algorithms to analyze market data and execute trades, often on a massive scale. The positioning indicates whether these machines are net buyers or sellers of a particular asset, which can influence market trends. In the video, understanding machine positioning is crucial for anticipating market movements and making informed trading decisions.

💡Buyback Desk

The buyback desk refers to the division within a corporation or financial institution responsible for managing the company's stock repurchase program. These programs are designed to buy back outstanding shares of the company's stock, often to return value to shareholders or to support the company's stock price. In the context of the video, the buyback desk is significant because a reduction in buyback activities can affect the demand for stocks and, consequently, market performance.

💡Blackout Window

A blackout window is a period during which certain insiders, such as corporate executives or employees with access to material non-public information, are prohibited from trading the company's securities. This is done to prevent insider trading and maintain fair market practices. In the video, the blackout window is discussed as a critical time when corporate buybacks are restricted, which can lead to a decrease in market liquidity and potential price movements.

💡Technicals

Technicals in the context of trading refer to the analysis of historical price and volume data to forecast future market trends. Technical analysts use various tools and indicators, such as moving averages or relative strength index (RSI), to identify patterns and make trading decisions. In the video, the term is used to describe the analysis of market data to help traders and investors make more informed decisions.

💡Momentum

Momentum in finance refers to the speed at which the price of a security is changing at any given time. It is often used as an indicator of the strength of a trend, whether it is upward or downward. Traders use momentum indicators to identify potential trend reversals or continuations. In the video, momentum is discussed as a key factor in analyzing market behavior and making trading decisions.

💡Energy Sector

The energy sector comprises companies involved in the production, refining, and distribution of energy resources such as oil, natural gas, and electricity. It is a significant part of the global economy and financial markets. In the video, the energy sector is highlighted as an area of interest for investors following Morgan Stanley's advice to overweight this sector due to various market conditions and expectations.

💡S&P 500

The S&P 500, or Standard & Poor's 500, is a market-capitalization-weighted index of the 500 largest U.S. publicly traded companies. It is widely considered a benchmark for the overall performance of the U.S. stock market. In the video, the S&P 500 is used as a reference point for discussing market trends, technical indicators, and the potential impact of corporate buybacks on stock prices.

💡Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs is a leading global investment banking firm that provides a range of financial services, including securities, investment management, and other financial transactions. In the video, Goldman Sachs is mentioned as a source of market analysis and estimates, particularly in relation to machine positioning and the potential impact on market dynamics.

💡ETFs

Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) are investment funds and exchange-traded products that hold a collection of assets, such as stocks, bonds, or commodities, and are traded on stock exchanges similar to individual stocks. ETFs offer a convenient way for investors to diversify their portfolios and gain exposure to various market segments. In the video, ETFs are discussed as part of the trading strategies and market analysis, with specific mention of the S&P oil and gas ETF (XLE) and the bond market ETF (TLT).

Highlights

Morgan Stanley's emergency alert on a significant market crash, highlighting the importance of understanding machine positioning in trading and investment strategies.

CTA Corner's analysis revealing a 93% plunge in market positioning, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics and the need for traders to adapt quickly.

The buyback desk's estimation of a 30% decline in flows, pointing to a significant change in corporate buyback behavior and its potential impact on the markets.

The current 87% of the S&P 500 in blackout, a record high, and its implications for market liquidity and the potential for price movements.

Morgan Stanley's advice to clients in response to the market crash, suggesting a strategic approach to navigating the current market conditions.

The technical analysis of the energy sector, with Morgan Stanley upgrading it to overweight, based on relative earnings revisions and valuation.

The examination of technical indicators such as RSI and MACD, and their role in smoothing out trading signals for a more informed investment strategy.

The discussion on small caps and their potential as investment opportunities, especially in a late-cycle market environment.

The analysis of big tech companies and their momentum, providing insights into the performance of mega-cap indices and potential trading opportunities.

The importance of understanding volume profiles and supply zones in technical trading, as illustrated by the S&P 500's current market situation.

The potential for a significant pullback in the market, as identified by the extreme levels of machine positioning and the lack of buyers.

The examination of the bond market, particularly TLT, and its potential as an alternative investment opportunity in the current market climate.

The discussion on gold and its recent all-time highs, providing a unique perspective on the precious metals market and its potential for further growth.

The analysis of GDX, a gold-miners ETF, and its potential to follow gold's upward trend, offering insights into the mining sector's performance.

The exploration of the agriculture fund DBA and its significant trading activity, highlighting the potential of niche markets for investment returns.

The emphasis on the importance of using stop losses and adjusting them appropriately to protect gains and manage risks in trading.

Transcripts

play00:00

this just plunged

play00:02

93% I'm your host Steve Van Meter and

play00:04

thanks for joining me today and our lead

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story today it's Morgan Stanley's

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emergency alert we're going to show you

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what just crashed by

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93% and what it means to the markets and

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why Morgan Stanley says you need to do

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this now plus as we do every Sunday we

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like to look at the technicals momentum

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and more importantly the machine

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positioning of the markets to help you

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be a better Trader and investor make

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more money in the markets than you ever

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have now let's head over to Goldman

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let's start today's story off with what

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just crashed by

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93% and here we can see in the CTA

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Corner again we talk about machine

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positioning every week this is critical

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they're modeled long 166 billion of

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global acces this in their 100

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percentile after selling a mere one

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billion last week now what's critical

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about understanding machines from a

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market and trading perspective you want

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front run them whenever that's possible

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now importantly we give you the tools

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for that but let's continue on because

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what we see now is issues at the buyback

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desk they estimate a 30% decline in

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flows on their trading desk during the

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blackout they currently estimate

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87% of the S&P 500 in blackout this was

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last week with 93% now this has dropped

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by 93% as of Friday going into of course

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market trading on Monday because we of

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course stocks were closed on Friday due

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to Good Friday this means corporates are

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in the biggest part of their buyback

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Blackout Window ever for the quarter and

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this is a big issue because if you look

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at the two biggest buyers of stocks

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whether the machines they're maxed out

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as you're about to see and corporates

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which have just gone into the dark and

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when we take a look at Goldman's flows

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we knowe over the next month and this is

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critical because that is the extent of

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the Blackout Window goes almost all the

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way through the end of April we see in a

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flat tape machines are only buying 1.9

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billion of global equities that is

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nothing absolutely a tiny amount in an

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upt tape 13 billion of global equities

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to buy but look at this anything that

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causes the market to shift to the

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downside you're talking 155 billion

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Global equities 29 billion in the S&P

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500 you want to talk about an impact in

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the markets in a big way and then we'll

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take a look of course with Morgan

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Stanley that we put out an emergency

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alert what you need to do right now but

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the key here is understanding what's

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going on with the machines here we'll

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look at some more of Goldman's estimates

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this for the S&P 500 look you see

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they're maxed out they're not going to

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be buying the S&P virtually in any

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condition skewing to the downside

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potentially if stocks have a big sell

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off watch the machines go even

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non-dealers or speculators in US Equity

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Futures positioning there at extreme

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levels again this is all happening as a

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Blackout Window closes you see sentiment

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stretched massively according to

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Goldman's proprietary sentiment

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indicator all these are pointing to

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everybody's long this market and the

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biggest buyer has gone away but Morgan

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Stanley says not to worry their

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emergency alert this is what they're

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telling their clients what you need to

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do right now we'll of course put this to

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the test just from their weekly warmup

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as Great Expectations suggest more

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rotations and they're upgrading the

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energy sector to overweight Adit a

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combination of inflecting relative

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earnings revisions stung breath and

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compelling valuation the recent

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stability of crude prices also points to

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catch up in both relative performance

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and earnings growth in their view now

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something we do of course is look at the

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technicals momentum machine positioning

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we're going to look at this and the

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energy sector someone's in asking will

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you cover the small caps well my friend

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for you we've got that today hang tight

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as you point out the energy sector's

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relative performance versus the S&P 500

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has lagged the price of crude year-to

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dat giving some upside potential further

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we continue to believe we're in a late

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cycle Market environment which has

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historically been supportive of energy

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outperformance saying the Morgan's

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nudging everyone into the energy sector

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of course we again we'll put that to the

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test here let's take a look at of course

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the big Tech first the big Mega cap

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indices we'll look at the small caps

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then we'll take a look put Morgan's qu

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challenge here of the energy sector to

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the test and let's start out with the

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S&P 500 momentum now is positive and

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still remains that way but normally the

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macd has a negative cross now one of the

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challenges of trading these technical

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indicators is people get in late and

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then they get out early and they're

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oscillating around they need something

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to smooth that out now one thing we do

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is we take all these different tactical

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signals we smooth them out we got the

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RSI the macd these other ones and then

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there's one special thing we add that

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smooth the whole thing out and that we

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put into our momentum Time pro report

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and here you can see even though the

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relative strength indicator is slowing

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down magi's got a negative cross we have

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51 consecutive daily buy signals on this

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we showed you on the show back on

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November 13th how to trade this using

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our signals put a buy it open now you'd

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be up

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2.76% if you followed that stop- loss

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level we're nudging that up a bit again

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this is critical you know a lot of

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people when they invest or trade they

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don't hold on their gains which why we

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encourage you you stop losses bump them

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up when you're making money cuz our

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reports show you where you can get other

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opportunities look at our machine

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positioning we've showed you when these

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were Max short that was where the

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opportunity lie look at momentum over a

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one month period we look at momentum

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over not just the daily but over 1 three

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six month and it is Extreme levels this

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suggesting my friends the market more

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likely to have a pullback here but

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expect especially as these corporates go

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into the deepest part of the blackout

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period looking this we've got the volume

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profile turned on over the last 10 days

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and this you see this red bar this is

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where most shares are traded over that

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period of time you can see the S&P 500

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absolutely looking topheavy here as

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sellers continue to take advantage of

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this all it takes of course is a lack of

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buyers to see the market move down the

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catalyst is simple we know institutions

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are in machines are in corporate had

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been buying and of course retail always

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now in at the top you see all the indic

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ators you need the only question is well

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who is the next marginal buyer well the

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problem is there is none and this is

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setting up a move an initial move down

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in the S&P to that next Supply Zone as

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we zoom out to the bigger picture is it

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possible we could see a potential big

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unwinding of this recent move down into

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this 470 range absolutely that is indeed

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possible of course we'll keep an eye on

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that over the next month without of

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course these corporates buying let's

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take a look at Tech because we know

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these Tech compies they buy the biggest

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number of shares RSA continues to cool

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off down to 56 mag's got a negative

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cross we have momentum still overall is

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positive this is critical you see

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momentum Ty Pro putting up nine

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consecutive daily buy signals now you

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know we have no position on this right

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now why is that we got stopped out and

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that's okay because it did go up a

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little more the key is not to get every

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bit of juice out of a position but to

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get what you can and go on to the next

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we've got got other things if you're

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looking for a trade our reports gener I

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put a video out midweek on all the stuff

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we went through trades recently gave our

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subscribers some fantastic options to

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add to their portfolio here we see the

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upside Target is at the all-time high

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downside Target 50-day moving average we

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showed you when to get in this we showed

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you how to make money and now let's just

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see the 50-day moving average right here

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below it's been crawling up the 21-day

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moving average very steadily there again

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you talk about a potential pullback you

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zoom out and you can see support very

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clearly right around the say 395 to 400

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level would make a nice re-entry on a

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pullback again no point in chasing

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things are already high and and hoping

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they're going higher because look at

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this you put the volume profile on and

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what do you see sellers are here you

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take away the biggest buyer and there's

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literally nothing supporting that market

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underneath let's talk about small gaps

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many of you been asking about this I

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think one person in particular well this

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my friend is for you relative strike 63

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ma te positive cross you want to look

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for upside potential in US equities well

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maybe you need to look at small caps

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here you see momentum Time pro eight

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consecutive daily buy signals again we

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give you signals on a daily basis and on

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1 three and six month now notably you

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see momentum across these other time

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periods is rather stretch we know

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machine positioning is rather stretch is

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there opportunity here well the charts

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say there is indeed opportunity let's

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take a look at IW and we're going to

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zoom out here because sometimes you need

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to have a big picture perspective and

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what does this start to look like if

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you're a technical Trader if you're a

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chartist you're saying hey wait a minute

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this looks like a massive bottom and it

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sure does suggesting a move between the

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next two Supply zones and you'll know

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and how do you know because price moves

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very quickly markets are full of buyers

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and sellers sellers have been right in

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this zone now if they get pushed out and

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buyers take over look for a quick move

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up here near this

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230 doll range or we have our Target at

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22733 there is your opportunity on small

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caps if you're looking to stay in the US

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Equity Market rotate out of this big

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caps head over the small ones but how

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about Morgan's a call on the energy

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sector well let's take a look momentum

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of course positive RSI this thing is in

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overbought territory meaning everyone's

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been cramming into the sector mag's got

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a mil across you got 46 daily

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consecutive buy signals on momentum Time

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pro meaning everyone's in this in fact

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you look at the one and three month

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window of momentum it's maxed out the

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six month is not far belong the machine

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positioning is long the question is what

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do they see well they're talking more

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about the economy we're talking about

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the charts let's take a look here at XLE

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which is right up here and you notably

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this thing is sitting kind of near some

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recent all-time highs we'll zoom into

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the 2-year chart and and the question

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here is is it going to break out of this

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well we have to go even further out

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let's go to the max weekly and you kind

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of set this case up maybe it can get up

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here to 101 that could be possible it's

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really struggled at this current level

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as you know sellers tend to emerge right

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at this price level so if we were going

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to move some lines around we definitely

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add a supply Zone up here you can see

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sellers dominate right here around the

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current price point Morgan says this

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breaks out I say I would wait and see if

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it did now let's take a look at the S&P

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oil and gas ETF the symbol xop and we

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have these all in our reports you got

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tons of ETFs different sectors You Name

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It We got it RSI that's overbought to

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Mac's also got a positive AC cross look

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it's 45 consecutive daily buy signals

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maxed down on the machine positioning

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now one thing you want to do if you're

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going to trade machine positioning you

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want to lift these things in the max

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short and then when they start to

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reverse that's where you jump in cuz Ma

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push a lot of money that's the

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opportunity if you're looking to take a

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long position when the machines are long

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remember you're not going to get any

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Boost from them we're already giving you

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that information because we also run a

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historical overlay Nobody Does it in

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fact hard to get the machine position to

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begin with but we give it to you in our

play11:46

reports and there's a 30-day free trial

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much to the disappointment of many of my

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other YouTube friends who keep telling

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me to quit doing that cuz well you're

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making money on trading our reports and

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there's a subscribers well they quit

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real quick when they only get seven days

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how do you make money trading in seven

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days pay for a subscription we give you

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30 here you can see this thing looks to

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be stretched here over the last two

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years sellers emerging here look at the

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five-year chart kind of think is there

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really upside something that's already

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really stretched look at the 10-day

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volume profile buyers picked up right

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here right where you would expect them

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30-day volume profile below it's very

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very clear when you have these Supply

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zones drawn in and notably we don't the

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sellers are right up here you can see

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that in this $153 range and the buyers

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are down here below at 136 I would say

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pass on Morgan Stanley's call that's my

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opinion at least based on the charts

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where might there be opportunity how

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about the bond market is take a look at

play12:45

TLT now momentum's positive here RSI is

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at 55 macd has got a positive cross two

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consecutive daily buy signals now what's

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unique about this TLT is many people

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don't trade with stop losses and we

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encourage you to do that hold on to your

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gains but some question that keeps

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coming up is what if I don't and I go

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down in the on the wrong side of this

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trade we show you use our tools use our

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reports dollar cost average back in look

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at this we've been doing that we're down

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0.01% so pretty much even here pretty

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close to it any kind of upside move and

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that turns into the black many of you

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said there was never going to be a

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possibility this trade would turn around

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upside Target 9640 will show you that

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there's a huge breakout on a WB Edge

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pattern coming here you look at the

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machine positioning there's still some

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movement to the upside we've got

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momentum is actually a strong on the one

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month suggesting that we've seen a

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short-term shift in momentum and look at

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this the 3-month window is negative so

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there is definitely opportunity here and

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this is one you have to look at the

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charts because it becomes crystal clear

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as we take a look at TLT let zoom in

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over the last 6 months what do you see

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this beautiful right triangle pattern

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look at the volume profile under the

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last 6 months what is that telling you

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buyers below where we got the supply

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Zone what's the breakout well you want

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to see the next trade 9640 here why

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because this is where they're short then

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they're short here and they're short up

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here you get a price move here these

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short sellers come out drive price up

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the short sellers get worked out price

play14:16

drives up you're now P hitting that 157

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Mark with the potential then to

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eventually break out under this 10860

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you're looking for a much easier trade

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than chasing the US Equity Market or

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perhaps energy as Morgan's recommending

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the chart set up on the bond market

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tells you the rates here likely to come

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down now I know a lot of people don't

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believe that but indeed that's what the

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charts are telling us let's take a look

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at gold this thing is now back to be

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making new all-time highs this is crazy

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29 consecutive daily buy signals the

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reason I say that if you're going to

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trade a lot of people like to trade

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things that are high in a rising I like

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to look for things that are low and

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beaten up and have upside potential but

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this one got me wrong I didn't think it

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was going to happen many of you said it

play15:01

was well hats off to you RSI overbought

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territory magd positive cross upside

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potential well Sky a limit when you're

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in breakout mode Let's Take a look at a

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quick chart of GLD this thing is just

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going ballistic here uh it's going

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vertical MAV I mean I don't know where

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this thing is going but many people say

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it's going a lot higher so we'll see uh

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if you're training to adjust your

play15:24

stoploss level accordingly one better

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opportunity would be GDX now remember we

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to position on this we got stopped out

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and actually in a video to the

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subscribers because we do like to do

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that but I show you how to trade the

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signals I told subscribers if it breaks

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above a certain level you can play Chase

play15:42

but your stop- loss level there that was

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actually a smart move look at this we

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hit our upside Target it's breaking out

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22 consecutive daily buy signals look

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this thing is going to follow gold

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higher even though we see momentum is

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stretched on it let's take a look at the

play15:58

chart of GDX see where it's going and

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we'll take a look at some other

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opportunities so you see so far the you

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know small caps bond market how about

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GDX there it is we told our subscribers

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if it holds Above This volume profile

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line take a take a chase higher and keep

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your stop loss is fairly close on that

play16:16

next potential breakout here to

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3348 on GDX likely to chase gold higher

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again lots of great trade advice it's

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why are subscribers are making bunny

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enough in 30 days to pay pay for their

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subscription you know what you can't do

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in seven days pay for an annual

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subscription or monthly subscript any

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subscription s days how about this

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investco DBA agriculture fund this is

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fantastic what a great trade many of you

play16:42

said no way look at this 18% trading act

play16:45

and I think there's a lot more upside in

play16:47

this target now 2570 how did we do this

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trade you've said what did you do how

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did you get that I showed you using our

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reports right in the show live here was

play16:56

the signals here was the date we put it

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in there and bang it works that's the

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power of our tools why we give you 30

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days to trade it the other people you

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got sit in front of your screen all day

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long push buttons Buy sell Buy sell not

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us but your trades and go on with your

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life our site maxed out on the

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overbought territory Mac deposit Cross

play17:14

by the way links in the description for

play17:16

those 30-day free trial check it out how

play17:18

about this bumping our stop- loss level

play17:20

up what a fantastic trade this turned

play17:23

out to be and when did we take this back

play17:26

in December 18th so what a wonderful

play17:29

return this has been let's get over here

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to DBA there it is look at this thing's

play17:34

going vertical in a big way and here's

play17:36

the thing I normally don't care for

play17:38

things that get to that position but we

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got into it early and look you start to

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look at this from a technical

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perspective you're realistically seeing

play17:46

that this k thing can get much much

play17:49

higher up next upside Target is

play17:51

2570 that was be right up here where the

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last zone of sellers are at there's

play17:56

going to be some further Catalyst where

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did we tell you to buy this thing oh way

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down here that's the key of our reports

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we don't nail the bottom sometimes we

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get there a little before but we

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certainly give you all the tools you

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need to be a successful

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Trader because one thing that could send

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a higher is soybeans this one we put out

play18:14

to our subscribers as well we had a buy

play18:16

it open on March 5th we had other

play18:18

signals generated for our subscribers up

play18:21

3.57% this in less than a month in a

play18:24

trading month what kind of return could

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you imagine to do that every month you'd

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be rich how about this RSI 54 McD's got

play18:30

a positive cross upside Target 100 day

play18:33

moving average we showed you when to get

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in this when the machine positioning was

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deeply negative look at this momentums

play18:38

turn around the one on month Windows

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maxed out is there still opportunity in

play18:42

soybeans the answer is yes indeed there

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is we showed you how to get into this

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thing down here and make some money look

play18:49

at this it's finding that volume profile

play18:51

line at the six Monon window let's zoom

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in I do not know what it's going to show

play18:55

there it is buyers right here below

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trying to drive this out what do these

play18:59

buyers want to do break through that

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Supply Zone and drive it up into the

play19:04

next one remember this is a beautiful

play19:07

setup and you see this is the power of

play19:09

our charts and our tools as you see a

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bottom bottom bottom what happens this

play19:13

thing usually races up somewhere around

play19:15

the

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$29 range we have you buying in here

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down around 24 let's take a look at what

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we did yes we had buy it open on 2434

play19:26

that would be an amazing $9 dollar

play19:29

potential trade based on what we see in

play19:31

the charts how about the dollar this

play19:33

thing continues Ro you think gold would

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be an issue against a rising dollar of

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course we'll hear for more from the FED

play19:39

in the future but many believe now are

play19:41

positioning for a stronger dollar

play19:43

momentum remains positive 10 daily Buy

play19:45

Signal we didn't take a position on this

play19:47

one but that's okay because it didn't

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get into a deep

play19:50

short position like we normally like to

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see but let's take a look at uup here

play19:56

see where this thing is going again we

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give you all these tools every day that

play20:00

is amazing show you the high probability

play20:02

trade setups currencies Commodities

play20:06

equities you name this thing looks like

play20:07

it's going to run up to that 200 day

play20:09

moving average there's little argument

play20:11

now you see where of course why because

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it's where sellers of the dollar were at

play20:15

before we look for a push higher here

play20:18

maybe something in the global market

play20:20

shift we talking about the currencies

play20:21

going on with the Yuan and the UN and

play20:24

not the UN the Yen uh this last week so

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any kind of catalyst could of course

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send the dollar the other direction but

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look for a shortterm move maybe those

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other governments have some pain do some

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devaluations we'll see when the signals

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flip of course our subscribers will

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catch those as well and you can too

play20:40

links in the description below again

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thank you for watching I'm Steve and

play20:44

meter thanks for watching thanks for

play20:46

being fans bye

play20:54

now

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