2022 ICT Mentorship Episode 16

Summary

この動画スクリプトでは、取引セッションの朝とPMセッションにおけるマルチセットアップのアイデアについて説明されています。ニューヨーク指数の特徴を利用して、市場の分割された一日を分析し、追加の取引方法を探求します。SP期货ミニ契約の例を通じて、市場の動きと高い確率を持つシグナルを見つける方法を学習します。また、時間と価格に基づいたアルゴリズムの動きを理解し、市場のリクエストに応えるために必要な予測と準備を行う重要性を強調しています。

Takeaways

• 🌟 取引セッションには朝とPMの2つのセッションがあり、それぞれのセッションでは複数のセットアップが存在する。
• 📈 ニューヨーク指数の市場を分析する際には、日中の分割を考慮してみる。例えば、ノオンから1時のNY時間帯は昼食時間であり、取引の動きを分析する上で重要なタイムフレームとなる。
• 📊 SP期货ミニ契約の例では、市場が相対的な高い価格を突破した後、さらに高い価格地域を形成し、スイングハイが確認された場合、後々の-shortポジションの機会が生まれる可能性がある。
• 🔄 市場の動きを分析する際には、買い止めと売り止めがどこにあるか、また市場がどのようにliquidityを探求するかを理解することが重要。
• 📉 市場が下落した場合には、デイリーのbullish order blockレベル（この例では4504）まで下落する可能性がある。また、市場がどのように下落するかを予測するには、fibonacciなどを使用する。
• 🔄 市場の動きを分析する際には、時間と価格の関係を考慮し、市場がプレミアムからディスカウント、またはその逆に移動する傾向に注意する。
• 📈 市場が上がる傾向がある場合、その動きがどの価格レベルまで続くかを分析するために、fibonacciの再び使用する。
• 📊 15分チャートを使用して、市場の動きをより詳細に分析し、エントリーポイントやターゲットレベルを決定する。
• 🚀 市場の動きを予測する際には、日中の動きを分析し、その傾向を利用して取引を行うことが重要。市場がどのように反応するかを理解し、それに応じた取引戦略を立てることが成功の鍵。
• 📈 市場の動きを分析する際には、時間帯や週の中の日付などの要因も考慮に入れること。例えば、金曜日の取引では、週末に向けてのポジションの再評価が行われ、市場の動きが変わることがある。
• 📝 取引の分析や予測を行う際には、過去のチャートを詳細に分析し、アノテーションを加えることで、市場の動きをより良く理解することができる。

Q & A

ニューヨーク指数のセッションはどのように分割されていますか？

ニューヨーク指数のセッションは朝と午後に分割されています。朝のセッションは8:30から正午までで、PMセッションは正午から午後1時までのニューヨーク当地时间です。

multiple setupsが意味するのは何ですか？

multiple setupsとは、取引セッション内で複数の取引の機会があることを指します。これは市場の動きを捉えるために、日中の異なる時点でセットアップを探すことを意味します。

スイングハイはどのような状況を指すのですか？

スイングハイは、市場が相対的に高いキャンドルを形成し、その後のキャンドルのハイが前よりも低くなることを指します。これは市場が上向きから下向きに転じる可能性があることを示唆するパターンです。

オーダーブロックとは何ですか？

オーダーブロックは、市場が特定の価格レベルで買いまたは売り注文が集中しているエリアを指します。このレベルは市場の動きを決定する重要な要素であり、価格がこのレベルに到達すると市場の動きが変わる可能性があります。

プレミアム市場とディスカウント市場の違いは何ですか？

プレミアム市場は、市場価格が過去の高値（ハイ）よりも高い状況を指し、ディスカウント市場は市場価格が過去の安値（ロー）よりも低い状況を指します。これらの市場の状態は取引の戦略を決定する際に重要です。

フェイボナッチ回溯とはどのような手法ですか？

フェイボナッチ回溯は、価格のスイングの最高点から最低点までを基準にして、fibonacci比率を使って価格の動きを予測する手法です。この手法は市場の動きを分析し、取引のターゲットレベルを決定するために使用されます。

トレーダーはどのようにして市場の動きを予測するのですか？

トレーダーは、市場の構造、時間帯、週の中の日、そして流動性の不均衡を分析することで市場の動きを予測します。これらの要素を組み合わせることで、市場がどのように動くかを理解し、取引の戦略を立てることができます。

トレーディングにおけるリスク管理にはどのようなことが重要ですか？

リスク管理では、予期しない損失を最小限に抑えるために、損切り（stop loss）の設定やポジションのサイズ調節が重要です。また、市場の分析に基づいて取引を行う際には、予測が正しくてもリスクを常に意識する必要があります。

トレーディングのログを記録する際に注意すべき点は何ですか？

トレーディングのログを記録する際には、自己肯定感を高めるようなコメントを書くことが重要です。否定的なコメントは避け、常にポジティブなフィードバックを与えることが大切です。これにより、分析の改善や自己の成長に役立ちます。

バックテストを行う際にどのようなアプローチをとるべきですか？

バックテストを行う際には、時間と努力を費やして過去のチャートを注釈し、市場の動きを理解することが重要です。このプロセスは繰り返し行い、自分の取引スタイルに合ったセットアップを見つけ、市場の動きを予測する能力を磨くことが目的です。

トレーダーが成功するために必要なスキルは何ですか？

トレーダーが成功するためには、市場の動きを正確に分析する能力、リスク管理、取引戦略の構築、そして継続的な学習と自己改善が求められます。また、情熱と努力を注いで市場の真理を追求し、結果を導く意志も必要です。

Outlines

00:00

📈 取引セッション内のマルチセットアップについて

この段落では、ニューヨーク指数の朝とPMのセッションでの取引について話し、市場の分割された日を分析。特に、ニューヨークの昼食タイムと朝のセッションの特徴について説明し、複数のセットアップが1つのセッション内に存在する可能性を探求。また、過去のビデオのコメントセクションで視聴者が何を意味しているのか尋ねる反応を踏まえ、追加の取引方法と市場の理解を深める方法を提案しています。

05:01

📉 開場価格と市場の動き

この段落では、インデックス先物市場の開場価格について説明し、ニューヨークの時間午夜と朝8:30に開場価格がどのように機能するかを解説。さらに、熊市場での期待と市場の動きに関する分析を行い、市場がどのようにキーレベルを操作し、その動きを予測できるかを説明。ここでは、リスクと確率の概念も取り上げられており、トレーダーが損失を避けるためのリスク管理の重要性が強調されています。

10:03

🤔 Fibonacchiと市場の解析

この段落では、Fibonacciの再び使用とその正しい適用方法について説明。FOREX市場での経験に基づく分析手法の適用と、それがどのように株式市場の分析にも関連しているかを説明。Fibonacciの誤解を解くことで、より正確な市場予測が可能になるようになり、トレーディングモデルの精度を向上させる方法が提案されています。

15:04

📊 朝のセッションのトレーディング戦略

この段落では、朝の取引セッション中に見られる2-3つのセットアップの特定方法について詳細に説明。開場時のボラティリティとそのトラッキング方法、そして市場の動きを理解するための時間枠の選択についても議論されています。トレーダーがどのようにして市場の動きに適応し、損切りを適切に行う方法が示されています。また、市場の動きを予測し、適切なエントリーとエグジットポイントを特定するための戦略が提案されています。

20:04

🎯 トレーディングの精度と結果

この段落では、トレーディングの精度と結果について話し、トレーダーが市場の動きを予測し、実際の取引で成功するために必要なスキルと努力について説明。市場の理解を深めるために過去のチャートを分析し、アノテーションを追加することを勧める。トレーディングの学習プロセスにおいて、間違いを恐れず、継続的な学習と実践を通じてスキルを向上させることが重要であることが強調されています。

25:05

🚀 市場のアルゴリズムとトレーディング

最後の段落では、市場のアルゴリズムとその動作方法について説明し、市場がどのように価格の動きを決定し、どの価格ポイントに到達するかを理解する方法を提案。アルゴリズムに基づくトレーディングの概念を理解することで、トレーダーは市場の動きを予測し、より効果的な取引を行うことができます。この段落は、市場の真実を理解し、それをトレーディングに適用する方法を学ぶための励ましとされています。

Keywords

💡取引セッション

取引セッションとは、金融市場が開いている特定の時間帯を指します。このビデオでは、ニューヨークのインデックス先物を取引する際の「朝のセッション」と「PMセッション」に分けて話が進められています。朝のセッションはニューヨーク時間の8:30から正午まで、PMセッションは正午以降になります。これらのセッションごとに異なる市場の動きや取引機会が存在することが説明されています。

💡セットアップ

セットアップとは、取引を行うための条件や状況が整った状態を指します。このビデオでは、朝のセッションやPMセッション内で複数のセットアップが存在する可能性について触れられています。これは、市場の特定の動きやパターンがトレーダーに取引の機会を提供する状況を示しています。

💡S&P先物ミニ契約

S&P先物ミニ契約は、S&P株価指数を基にした先物取引の一種です。このビデオでは、2022年6月のS&P先物ミニ契約の例を用いて、市場の分析や取引戦略について説明されています。この具体的な例を通じて、市場の高値や低値を超えた動きを利用した戦略が展開されます。

💡相対的な平等な高値

相対的な平等な高値とは、市場のチャート上でほぼ同じ価格レベルにある二つ以上の高値を指します。ビデオでは、これらの高値の上に買い注文と買いサイドの流動性が存在すること、そして市場がこれらの高値を超えた場合に、価格がさらに上昇する可能性が高いと説明しています。

💡スイングハイ

スイングハイとは、価格チャート上で前後のキャンドルよりも高い最高値をつけるキャンドルのことです。このビデオでは、スイングハイを特定し、その後の市場の動きを予測するための重要な指標として使用されています。スイングハイの形成は、市場が反転する可能性のあるシグナルと解釈されます。

💡注文ブロック

注文ブロックとは、市場の価格チャート上で大量の買い注文または売り注文が存在する領域を指します。ビデオでは、「強気の注文ブロック」として、価格がこれらの領域に達したときに、市場が再び上昇する可能性があることを示しています。注文ブロックは、将来的な価格の動きを予測するための有力な手がかりを提供します。

💡プレミアム市場

プレミアム市場とは、価格が過去の高値を超えて取引されている市場の状態を指します。このビデオでは、市場が「プレミアム市場」にある時は、価格が古い高値の上にあり、さらに上昇する可能性があると説明しています。

💡フィボナッチ

フィボナッチは、市場の価格動向を分析するために使用される数学的なツールの一つです。このビデオでは、特定の価格の動きを測定し、将来の価格レベルを予測するためにフィボナッチリトレースメントを使用する方法について説明されています。

💡ディスカウント市場

ディスカウント市場とは、価格が過去の低値を下回って取引されている市場の状態を指します。ビデオでは、市場が「ディスカウント市場」にある時、価格が古い低値の下にあり、さらに下落する可能性があると説明していますが、この状態から回復し価格が上昇する可能性もあるとされています。

💡リクイディティ

リクイディティとは、市場での資産の売買が容易に行われる度合いを指します。このビデオでは、買い手または売り手の注文が多く存在する「リクイディティプール」として、価格がこれらの領域に到達したときの市場動向を説明しています。

Highlights

The concept of multiple setups within trading sessions, specifically a morning and PM session, is introduced with a focus on the New York index features.

The importance of understanding market structure in terms of split days, identifying key times such as the New York lunch hour, and how it affects trading strategies.

The discussion on how market participants can anticipate market movements based on previous highs and the potential continuation of trends.

The explanation of 'swing high' and its difference from a fractal, particularly in the context of MT4 and why it's important not to confuse the two.

The strategic approach to looking for short opportunities after a market drives above relative equal highs and the formation of a swing high.

The concept of premium and discount markets, and how understanding these can enhance trading decisions.

The detailed breakdown of how to use the SP futures mini contract as a case study for identifying trading setups.

The importance of recognizing the power of the daily bullish order block level and how it can influence market behavior.

The explanation of how to use the Fibonacci tool in a unique way for swing trading, focusing on the highest and lowest bodies of candles rather than the highs and lows.

The concept of 'relative equal lows' and how they can indicate potential areas of liquidity and market behavior.

The strategy of anticipating market movements based on the opening price and how it can be used to identify potential sell or buy opportunities.

The discussion on the importance of backtesting and how it can help traders refine their strategies and understand market patterns.

The emphasis on the psychological aspect of trading, encouraging traders to maintain a positive mindset and learn from their annotations and journaling.

The final thoughts on the community aspect of trading and how sharing knowledge and experiences can lead to collective growth and success.

Transcripts

all right folks welcome back

this lesson i'm going to talk about

the

idea of multiple setups inside of the

trading sessions so there's a morning

session and there's a pm session when

you're working with the new york

index features

if you look at the

market in terms of

a split day

the new york lunch hour between noon

and 1 o'clock p.m new york local time

8 30 in morning

to noon that's essentially the morning

session

there can be multiple setups inside of

that now some of the things i've noticed

in

the comment sections of the videos

some viewers and students are asking

what do i mean by multiple setups like

what does it look like

and i kind of want to touch a little bit

on that tonight

also i want to

give you a little bit more perspective

on how you can look for additional ways

of trading

what it is i'm sharing here if we look

at the

s p futures mini contract for june 2022

you can see we recently traded up

above the relative equal highs

so

buy stops and buy side liquidity were

resting right above here

so as the market drove above that we

always have the likelihood of seeing it

continue going higher

but whenever it goes above

relative equal highs and then we get a

swing high like this that being the high

here

lower than the higher candle here and

the next candle after this candle it has

a lower high as well so it's

a swing high not to be confused with a

fractal

that's used like an mt4

okay that

is not what i'm talking about okay that

takes more candles to make it and by

then five candles later it's just

you've already missed the move

so swing high here since this candle

closes the next day i'm looking for

something to create an opportunity to go

short

so we could be anticipating a open here

rally power three which is what i

already taught on the youtube channel

the accumulation manipulation

distribution

and then

incorporating

the next level of analysis which is

understanding whether we're going to be

in a premium or discount market now

obviously we're on a premium market

we're above old highs here we really

stretched out on the outside

from this high if we start to go lower

this down close candle is your bullish

order block

okay

the idea of it trading into that down

closed candle once it goes above these

highs that's favorable that's something

that could potentially happen

now obviously i have the benefit of

hindsight here but i promise you if you

if you study what i'm teaching you

you'll see this repeating okay

so the market does in fact trade down

into this down closed candle that is

your bullish order block but i want to

go inside this particular day here which

is obviously friday

and we're looking at

the internals behind what it is i'm

trying to teach you and how you can find

multiple setups inside of each

respective session the morning session

and the pm session

all right so here is the hourly chart on

the s p futures mini contract for june

2022

and i kind of like wanna

bring your mindset back into what we're

looking for

and that is

the power three we're looking for an

expansion move direction higher or lower

in this case we're looking for it to go

lower

because we have

the daily bullish order block level that

line here

level 4504

and look at the lay of the land okay

what is it that we see also in the price

action well go to the left you can see

we have a relative equal lows we have

this low

and we have this low here so they're

relatively equal not exactly that's why

i named them relatively equal lows

the idea of liquidity resting below here

by itself without the order block is

likely but it's further

likely

if we have a discount array which is

that bullish order block on the daily

chart

so we have multiple factors here leading

to the likelihood of this area being

probed for

the purpose of pairing liquidity the

cell stops basically being rated

initially in the morning we were seeing

the market trade higher higher higher

higher

and then

we broke lower attacking the sell side

liquidity here and then aggressively

running into the daily bullish order

block

i want you to take a look at this

framework from this high down this low

and this being a fulcrum point that

being

if this high trades

to this low and we break this low how

far can we go down i'm going to touch on

that in the next slide but for right now

i want you to think about how the

opening price what's the opening price

well there's two

if you're trading index futures the

opening price is midnight at new york

time

and that's this candle here that's the

opening price here and then there's

another opening price at 8 30 in the

morning the opening price

in the candle that begins 8 30. it

doesn't matter what candle you use i see

a lot of questions popping up about that

like what's the opening price and what

can we use

as soon as you have

8 30

beginning a new candle it could be a one

minute candle it could be a three minute

candle

an hourly candle 15 minute candle

whatever that opening price is that's

what you want to note at 8 30.

so if you're bearish

ideally you want to see

the market trade above that opening

price this is going to be manipulation

okay

the manipulation is the running above

a key level when we are bearish we're

expecting this to go lower

all of this is basically

market protraction where it's a judas

swing okay the market's going in the

opposing direction that it's likely to

go to

later in the day so later in the day we

expect this to go lower where is it

going to go below this low if it

accelerates below this low where could

it go

below here okay then we have the bullish

order block on the daily chart so we

have a lot of things coming together

that draw on a great deal of

probabilities

now probabilities are not

absolute

guarantees okay that that's not the case

in trading if that was the case i would

never take a losing trade you would

never take a losing trade we wouldn't

need you stop losses and be great but

unfortunately

we have to contend with risk

that being the case

we have to at least

build the idea around the likelihood of

a scenario unfolding but

being prepared

if it doesn't

so

if this market is opening

here at midnight and it starts to rally

we can anticipate this selling off but

if it can sell off from here and trade

below this low

how much further can it go below these

relative equal lows obviously we have

the daily bullish order block level here

right here

now let me take you back up real quick

that's this level here the opening price

on this down close candle that's the

order block

extending that line out in time you end

up with this on the hourly chart so we

drop down into that level and look at

the reaction there it's nice isn't it

so

going below this low that's the initial

target then reaching below the relative

equal lows over here because that's

where cell cell equity is going to be

residing then tapping into that bullish

order block on the daily chart

but how much further can we go below

that level

how far

beyond the actual order block level

can we go

well i'm going to zoom in on a 15-minute

time frame i've already taught this in

other lectures but i want to revisit it

here because

this is what you're looking for when

you're doing your analysis when

everything starts to show a willingness

to want to go lower how do we know it's

going to go lower well we have the swing

low here

decisively broken see that this low

broken heart

then we trade back up into the imbalance

here so the fair value gap we trade up

into it here at this point we anticipate

the candles

past this or the new forming candles to

trade lower and trade below this low and

if it does go below this low we're

looking at this price point here that

low as a fulcrum point

that being

measuring this high down to that low

that same measurement of

distance and we expect that projected

lower

okay so this is my swing trading model

and i'm applying it to targeting

so the way you do it is you take your

fibonacci and you anchor it to the

highest

body it could be open or closed it

doesn't make a difference

but you anchor it on that notice i'm not

putting on the high here

and i'm doing the same thing with the

lowest open or closed in this swing low

this retracement up

i'm measuring

the distance in terms of range

with the bodies of the candles the first

time i taught this on youtube i had a

lot of folks scratching their head and

many trolls saying he doesn't even know

how to use a fib

i'm showing you how the algorithm is

going to read the price okay the wicks

and the tails

are all distractions

that's all going to be

largely attributed to what the

if you're especially if you're trading

with 4x and obviously i'm aware that

this is not 4x but

i learned this through

the models that i employ with

forex

now it's a carryover in terms of

analysis because you can apply it here

as well

it wasn't always like this

when there was open outcry only and

there was no electronic trading this

wasn't

as pure as you're going to see and has

it's been shown in the past by me in

other videos and examples but

by having a measurement from the highest

body in this swing up in this swing low

the lowest body that means the lowest

open or closed okay i'm anchoring the

fib on that

the settings on the fibonacci i have

included here and these are the ones

that's highlighted for this

illustration so below this low we're

looking for it to run into sell side

so if it goes below this low and

aggressively expands lower

this could be your next target 45

14 and a half

if it goes below this one

we can anticipate it trading down to

what

45 0 1 and a quarter

now the question you're going to

probably have in your mind is okay this

is all fine and great but how do we know

which one to pick ict if you put a

thousand lines on your chart ict

eventually they're gonna somebody's

gonna see one of those levels get hit

and then you're gonna make a video and

say see how smart i am

i've seen all of your arguments i've

seen that kind of stuff tossed around in

the forums and such so

if we look at the idea that

that 45 04 and a quarter

is just below what level

that daily bullish order block

at 4504

well

at 4504 and we're getting a measurement

down here

that means we could see it trade down to

that level here now if you look up here

at this level right there that low is

exactly the candles low right there

don't take my word for it go over to

trading view

pull up the june contract for 2022

e-mini s p

that is your daily low

you can't predict daily highs and lows

ict

that's impossible

well

it is possible if you understand the

elements that these algorithms operate

under and my question to you is can you

get any better than that

is there any other measurement

in terms of precision that gets you any

closer to forty five zero one and a

quarter

not when the low is forty five

zero one and a quarter

look at the reaction there now the order

block level is just right here

but it stabs down into

what the algorithm is going to measure

so there's the order block it wants to

go down to it anyway there's relative

equal lows it knows there's liquidity

down there and you have the measurement

so the precision element is only going

to be beneficial if you have all the

other narrative incorporated with your

analysis that being the market's likely

to go lower

because we ran out those relative equal

highs on the daily chart

we created this swing high we broke

lower aggressively we're likely to trade

in that daily bullish order block then

we have this retracement here

it completely closes in all the

imbalance that's between this low and

this high of that candle it rebalanced

all that and then

we roll over here's that gap i mentioned

trades up into that we anticipate what

the candles after this candle closes

we want to see acceleration to the

downside we get it

the market starts working lower lower

and finally right on a dime

that candle

is that low

and that's your swing projection i teach

in this youtube channel

you will not get that measurement

if you use this swing high in that swing

low

that's why everybody that uses fibonacci

struggles

oh fibonacci is a joke

it's not a joke

if you are doing the measurements

correctly now these are just

targets but they are more meaningful

when you apply and layer other things in

analysis

like the purpose of running to liquidity

below those relatively equal lows into a

discount array which is the bullish

daily order block

when you bring that together you get

these types of results which is

perfection there's nothing better than

this folks you cannot improve upon

perfect

all right so

taking this a little bit further now

we're into a 15 minute time frame

the opening price again

is this candle here which is midnight

new york time

the opening price

that candle you extend that out in time

if you're bearish

and you are looking at your daily chart

because the majority of your analysis

should be framed on your daily chart

where is it likely to go where is the

expansion likely to

take price higher or lower that's the

main thing you're trying to look for

because that's going to carve out your

bias

so if you know that the likelihood of

price

wanting to draw down this daily bullish

order block

and we have that level of 4501 and a

quarter which is that candle's low we

don't need to have that yet

but we know that this is going to be a

draw on liquidity because it's also

below those relative equal lows that i

mentioned when we're looking at the

higher time frame chart

so all of this here is a build up into

the premium

the market then breaks aggressively what

does it create here

what happened

here we had a displacement down did that

take out that swing low yes

does it trade up into that imbalance

right here

yes

does it trade above the opening price

yes

how many boxes did we just check off

there a whole lot

probabilities are now going through the

roof that this is bearish

then the market breaks lower trades down

to the old swing low sell side liquidity

resting below there watch what happens

we trade down through it

and then we aggressively rebalance

all this down move we come right back up

into it bearish order block

then sells off another wave into this

short term low deeper below this low

and into eventually

into the lunch hour and passed it

for the daily bullish order block

now when you look at

this type of price action

you might not see that as an entry but

it is taught to you in this mentorship

on youtube that is the lesson right here

because if you look back here we have

these highs

we trade above it

does it break below

it does does it give them a balance yes

does it trade up in here on the 9 30

opening yes

and then does it run where we want it to

liquidity

and discount array in the form of a

bullish order block yes

but

what other setups are here

because i mentioned

in my

real money real results series where i

was showing actual live account results

and proving that these things make money

not just in demo

and by the way i appreciate all the

feedback i'm getting in the commentary

section of each video in the comment

section

but

i've read a lot of the questions about

you know

what do i mean by having no more than

four trades two trades in the morning

two trades in the afternoon what did i

mean by that because i read one guy he

was saying i can't even find you know

four examples of this and i may not be

saying this correctly but you can't find

that many examples of it forming over

the course of a week let alone a few

times in intraday so we're going to walk

through

today's price action and show it

with clarity

all right so here's the opening price

again on a five minute chart here's the

15 minute time frame fair value gap and

the market trades right back up into it

about the opening price that's what it

would look like on a 5-minute chart

notice it does not look

clean

like it does on the 15-minute timeframe

let's go back up one more time

see the gap here and that run right

there at 9 30.

that

coupled

with this time frame

you probably wouldn't see that as a cell

you would want to see this filled in

but you got to look at the higher time

frame the higher time frame 15 minute

time frame is providing you the

framework it's giving you context that

okay this is all we need we don't need

it to trade up into that

it could

but we don't need it to

so when it trades up there

then it starts to break down

it rebalances

breaks down again

works into that short term low

sells off again

retracement sells off again

in here

this is your entry at the opening so in

the morning session you typically have

two to three setups because you have

volatility coming in at the opening

opening being 9 30

new york local time

that can be very tricky if you're not

really sure what you're doing

you can get caught up in the initial

volatility and offside real quick and it

can run against you aggressively and

hurt you

i prefer

to see

my students look for the initial move

to kind of like qualify what you're

expected lower prices right so does it

give it here yes it does so how can you

participate in something like that and

still

have the bias behind you and have

multiple setups that you can take well

let's take a closer look on the lower

time frame

here's the one minute chart here's that

return back up into the fair value gap

in the 15 minute time frame and wasn't

so clear with the five minute but now

look what we have here

small little imbalance there that fair

value gap right above a short term high

we trade up into that there

on a one minute chart you would see that

as a setup for the one minute chart

before i go any further

i want you to pause the video

i know some of you don't like to do this

because you just want to get through it

you're watching the video at two times

the speed because i talk slow

this is the time when you want to stop

slow down because you will cheat

yourself

out of learning

this is the little moments like when i'm

teaching my private group

these are these opportunities if you

waste them

you do not learn

the best way okay there's a good there's

a good way of learning and there's the

best way of learning and the best way is

actually participating not just casually

watching don't netflix binge watch ict

this is where you stop the video

ask your spouse or whatever this give

you a couple minutes to focus

undisturbed that way you can pull out

the things i'm trying to show you in

this lesson otherwise it's just another

you know event where i'm talking about

hindsight but what i'm showing you here

is something that repeats every single

day

this is how i can go in every single day

and take money out of the marketplace i

took the live account up another

thousand dollars today so we're over

fifty one thousand dollars and

these are the types of setups that you

can do you can find these and you don't

have to have the absolute perfect entry

at the opening you don't need that

okay that's the benefit of what i'm

sharing here publicly i want you all to

have the ability to feed yourself and

your own family

not to rely on a job

if you look for these types of setups

with this logic i am confident

that you can do what i just said

and those that really want to

supercharge it

can take it way beyond that competitions

you know whatever

but we have the logic here that's that

old short term low all i did was extend

the line out because it doesn't exist in

the chart over here because

i don't have enough of the data showing

but that short term low that was a

fulcrum point remember

that's this low here

so

i'm referencing that zone that there's

where the sell side liquidity is

but i want you to pause the video and go

through this price action and find the

setups that you would see as a shorting

opportunity if your bias was in line

with what i'm suggesting here as it

should have been being bearish

okay i'm gonna continue the conversation

if you are not ready you've missed your

opportunity

all right so the first fair value gap

here

right there because we have this short

term low

broken

with the run lower so there's

displacement there obvious displacement

very energetic and we have this candle

is high this candle is low and the

market returns back up into it you can

go short there

and look for what's the first objective

that fulcrum point that short term low

aim for the liquidity so your target

would be there

so you could do like say you did two

contracts entry here

short here too you can take one off here

let it ride and then see if you can get

that lower time frame objective later in

the day

now i don't want to take entries during

the lunch hour between noon and 1

o'clock but you can take profits if

you're doing like a partial like you did

one here

i'm sorry if you did two short contracts

here you took one off at your first

target and you want to see if you can

get the other objective if you have a

limit order at the order block level

plus you know a couple points

it could feel during the lunch hour you

don't need to be babysitting it being in

front of it then because you've already

funded your position and trade by taking

one off them here off and moving your

stop to break even and to see what it

can yield in terms of the daily range

next one is here

another short term low taken

fair value got there we trade back up

into it that's a short

you can go short here and again same

premise looking for the first run below

here that will be your target taken

there if you did multiple contracts you

would get short here take two take one

off

this might scare you

not so much probably if you were short

from up here but here could be a little

bit intimidating but if you've taken one

of the contracts off below here even if

it were to come back up and take you out

and stop you out

the first contract allows you to be

profitable so it kind of balances things

out

another one is here we have the

imbalance here

after

we aggressively move lower and then

retrace back up in this is why i'm

saying that that previous short if i was

short from here i wouldn't be worried

about this one so much because your stop

would be above here

now it got close to it

but i've been many trades over the years

where it moved within a quarter of a

point

without stopping me out

and

you know it's it's a scary feeling

especially you have a lot of size behind

your positions at the time you're in the

trade but

it's still a little intimidating because

if you

completely fulfill

your model and follow it in all the

roles and you don't want to move your

stop and you just allow the stock to be

taken there's been many instances in my

own trading where within a quarter point

it doesn't stop me out it's not like 4x

these markets a little bit more

professional

in the sense that they're much more

precise and uniform in the delivery you

don't get these wild erratic little

spikes and spreading you know of the

price action because

everybody's working with the same price

here

versus in forex

you're trading within a pool of

liquidity

within your broker's in-house

and they have a little bit of luxury

there where they can they can open that

spread on you

and that's why it's a little bit

trickier to operate in that versus

something like this market here it

doesn't mean i don't love forex still i

do but right now forex is just quiet

it's not doing

things that i would promote in my

students attention

i'm telling all my students both

in my private group and you all hear

that this is the markets that you should

be following

these these markets right here the index

features

i'm sure there'll be a time when we

transition from index features back to

forex but until i see them loosen up a

little bit in the currencies my

attention is here okay so

anyway getting short here

this is a shallow run below that old low

so we anticipate it to run a little bit

deeper and it does okay so you could

take profits below this low here as a

partial

and then

you've seen now obviously multiple

opportunities within the same

morning session

so it's also showing you how if you miss

your entry

how can you get back in line with the

marketplace

and still participate in these moves now

there are going to be days where we

don't have this many retracements back

and back and back and then goes lower

it'll be just one or two and it just

keeps on going or many times it'll be

just right at the opening and that's it

you missed it it just goes right to

where you thought it was gonna go for

the day and you can't get mad about that

you should be happy that your analysis

concepts are speaking to you with that

much clarity

and just know that because they repeat

none of you should be upset that you

missed the trade

like none of you nobody has the

permission okay you have

no right to be angry about missing a

trade

because they are like buses

okay

mass transit

buses that come by like a schedule you

know every certain

time of the hour a day these buses are

going to come around these trades are

just like that you can set your clock to

them okay they're they're gonna form

they're gonna be there

your number one goal is to understand

where is it likely to go to

where is it likely to reach for if you

have that understood

it becomes so easy to know what you're

looking for notice what i said there

it becomes easy to know what you are

looking for i did not say it's so easy

for you to make money

there's a strong contrast there okay

but by default over time once you have

been doing the things that lead to you

understanding what is you're looking for

and that part becomes easier what do you

think the default result was going to be

from that

it's probably going to be easier for you

to make money over time

okay so i'm keeping things in balance

that we understand what i'm saying

without sugarcoating it and making it

sound like anybody can walk in here and

do this it's gonna take some effort now

you're probably looking at that pink

rectangle asking yourself what the heck

is that well

that is the pm session by side liquidity

pool

what does that mean

this high here was the most energetic

one in the morning session it took us

all the way down to what

target we were looking for the daily

bullish order block

because it's friday because it hit the

daily time frame objective

it's in a discount market it's

really traded lower

end of week

there's going to be a retracement back

into the weekly range

what can it aim for well you can aim for

the liquidity resting right here because

a lot of people are going to say well

you know this is the place where my stop

should be at because i want to hold on

to this thing over the weekend

now i don't know who has the

courage to do that anymore with all the

things going on around the world i

personally don't have the courage to

hold over the weekend it's just too many

things can go wrong i'm not sitting in a

potential opportunity where it's a

thousand point gap against me you know

we start trading on sunday no thank you

i'll pass on that

but this area here is where you would

anticipate on fridays

where liquidity could be a draw because

it's going to likely pull back up into

a premium what does that mean

here's 8 30.

here's the turning point at the 9 30

rotation

so this high or we could use this high

here it doesn't make a difference but

i'm going to use this one because we're

framing the logic because this day being

bearish so this high down to the

target

if you put a fibonacci on this

low

to high and find the 50 level this is

above 50 so that means above here that's

a premium

so the market's going to move from what

a discount

to a premium

that's what the market does that's the

algorithm does it seeks

discount to premium premium to discount

within that logic

the market is reaching for liquidity in

the form of buy stops and sell stops and

or

imbalances or the creation of an

imbalance fair value gaps or returning

back to a fair value gap okay

that's all these algorithms do

and they do it on the basis of time

then price

now that's a gross oversimplification by

me but

by far and large that's all these things

do

it's not your buying and selling

pressure okay it's not the effects of

the dom okay

uh i got a lot of people asking me

because they watched me

show things in my live account and they

think i traded with the dom

i don't trade with the don okay i'm not

looking at the dom trying to read how

many orders are resting above or below

because there's

spoofing that goes on

and those orders may not be there when

the price goes there so i i don't think

that the dom is something that is useful

i'm only throwing that in here because i

saw a lot of people in the comments

asking about those types of things

and i don't use them i don't use them in

my trading and i don't think there's

anything in terms of

advantage in using it

if you believe you're being profitable

because you are don't let my comment

change your mind and i'm not trying to

open up a dialogue for debate because

you're never going to convince me okay

so

you're okay if you're using it but i'm

answering

students or viewers and that's my

opinion okay so i'm not trying to

begin a debate about it okay

so we have a pm session by celebrity

pool that the market could likely reach

up into and again the logic is

we move from this high down to a target

it's friday there's probably going to be

position squaring

they're going to want to take the market

back higher so

what are they going to reach for as an

opposing move

notice what i'm saying here

this was the target

there's gonna be short covering who's

short coloring the smart money that's

sold short here here here here here and

here

so if they're covering a short are they

bearish still no

so if they're not bearish what are they

bullish so if they're going to be smart

money and buy down here

or if they're going to use this

imbalance in here if it trades down into

that you can see it run higher

if they're going to buy it what are they

going to target

the buy stops up here

and they're going to sell right to those

buy stops

they're buying this

and selling it to these waiting buyers

and their buy stops

notice these relative equal lows they

take it into the order block right below

those relative equal lows

because it sells what

it sells the retail crowd that this was

support broken

what are they going to want to do

when it trades back up into these

relative equal lows they're going to do

what sell right that creates more

liquidity for buying

so this is engineering

buy side liquidity

on the basis of sell side

flow

sellers coming in the marketplace

these sellers they're going to have a

counterparty in the form of smart money

buying it

they want to sell short because they see

relative equal lows breaking the trends

been down

everything looks bearish to them because

it's been going down all day long so

they think naturally it's going to keep

going down

when it's only traded down to where the

algorithm says

this is what we wanted and now we're

going to reprice higher we're going to

move from a discount

to a premium

the premium intraday is going to be this

area here and that's going to be where

the market draws to

for the afternoon session buy side

liquidity

all right i was going to do the pause

the video type thing here but this is

going to be a long video so i'm just

going to go right into it

all right so we have a

mitigation block

here and i teach that in the youtube

channel

but we have market structure breaking we

come back down into the mitigation block

and we also have the imbalance here they

got there so we can be a buyer here

and remember

the

45 32 the 45 40 level

go back up to this chart here

right in here so this high

right here to here think about those

price ranges

we trade up into it here

so buying here and aiming for that

liquidity

up here

that would be your target from buying

to getting out there selling to those

waiting buy stops

the next one is here

the market trades down in

and i count you to go into your chart i

left this out for your own personal

study but if you look to the left go

over here you'll see an old high

okay old highs are a

discount array if we trade above an old

high that old high becomes a discount

array

this is where

not all the time but this is where

old highs being broken become support

that's why sometimes the books have it

right that's why sometimes your analysis

will be right about specific key highs

and lows but notice they're not always

consistent and that's the problem so you

want to know what makes a old high or an

old low real supportive resistance when

you have the logic when i'm framing here

because we know the likelihood of the

market's going to draw up into this area

here because that's where the buy stops

are resting

above the marketplace when it hit the

order block down here

so what we're saying is the market's

going to bounce from here up into this

vicinity here

so if the market comes back down in and

touches

it could have touched this high here but

there's an old height to the left over

here you'll see it it trades down and

hits that and it also fills in an

imbalance when you have that old highs

broken will act as support

so there's something for your notes

then we have the run up into that area

so it's not a bad little run

now once we get up into that shaded pink

area

what have we done we fulfilled by side

liquidity

in this area here but we have a little

bit more later on which obviously you

can see it runs too but but here we see

it do a run lower so we break below

swing low market structure shifts is

there any imbalances in here

no but there is one right there

see that

here's your favorite value gap shift in

market structure there

retraces back up into the fair value gap

you can be a seller there

and aim for this low

or the order block

or you can wait for a confirmation entry

which is

we turn here after it hits that fair

value gap

breaks lower and then we have another

break in the structure of the

marketplace on the one-minute chart

creates the imbalance here if everybody

got trades up yes it overshoots it but

we also have two fair value guys

remember the rules i gave you if you

have a fair value gap and a small one

right above it anticipate it likely

trading up into you but

use this as your entry

go short here

and aim for the order block

so

if you have

an understanding of how we're going to

work within the

intraday volatility using liquidity

using the time of day

using the day of week all these things

come together and they make a really

beautiful tapestry so you can read price

action now

i know there's a large number of you

that are going to watch this and it's

going to feel

and seem like obviously anybody can go

back in time and do these types of

things

but a lot of my trades when you see my

examples and you see the things i record

and show you they're using logic like

this

so it's not contrived it's not

form-fitted it's not cherry-picked for

the purpose of just being something to

talk about this is what you're looking

for and when you do your back testing i

got a lot of questions in the comment

section about this as well

you go through your charts just like i'm

doing here and you annotate them now in

all these areas where there's empty

space here or over here or over here

you're putting in little notations and

you're typing them out and yes it takes

time yes it's tedious yes it takes a

great deal of effort and

desire but this stuff

rewards that

like it rewards it

it's not like fantasy football where you

know who cares if your team wins

this

pays you

this is something that you can feed your

family with okay if you

need your

expenses to be reduced and you don't

want to get on a job or you're

you know you take a pay cut maybe you

had a you know job loss or whatever

this skill set can fortify

any

weak links in your financial chain okay

you want to build strength

in your ability to make income and build

legacy wealth

it's worthwhile for you to spend time

learning this and that means going back

through old charts and old moves and

literally going in and annotating the

moves like this and mapping them out and

seeing the logic that's there now

do not be afraid

that you're going to do it wrong

all of you are going to be doing it

wrong in the beginning

this is a skill set in back testing

you're trying to discover

okay you're not trying to do things

correctly in back testing

back testing is you in a mode of

discovery that proves efficacy if you

can't see things repeating then you got

to go back into the core content lessons

of this youtube channel and figured out

what it is i'm teaching conceptually

then once you understand better what it

is i'm showing you then you go back into

the old data and look for those very

things occurring then highlight the

things in your chart that makes the most

sense to you over time doing it and

frankly you should be doing this

at least a minimum of a year

okay make it a practice of doing all

that even when you start trading with

live funds

your trade journal should always have

annotations you should always have

charts saved and just

constantly referring to what you

witnessed in price

and

record it like you saw it happening and

knew it was going to happen in advance

that's called self-talk

okay you're literally tricking your

brain

into seeing your annotations as

something that you foreseen coming

and that way when you go back and you

read your journal and you study it on

the weekends or

you know whenever you go through a

period of drawdown and you need

encouragement you go back to your charts

in your journal and you'll see

annotations that you wrote out yourself

and

it tricks your brain believing that

you've seen that all along now what

happens

by doing that over time

is you have created

creases in your brain

where that knowledge and that pseudo

experience has been retained

but your brain remembers it as what

a real experience that you endured

but you're recording it with positive

reinforcement in your commentary never

put negative comments in your annotation

don't say like oh i was stupid i missed

this oh i'm so dumb i fell victim to the

shark pattern you don't do all that kind

of stuff you don't have to worry about

swimming with sharks you don't have to

worry about animal patterns you don't

need to be worried about any of those

types of things all you're looking for

is liquidity imbalances time of day

that's it

that's it that's all this game is all

about okay the algorithm is not going to

try to follow some retail logic stuff

it's based on where is the money

where's the money who's the most

easy prey right now and where is the

majority of the money and that's where

it's going to run for that's all it's

going to do

and if you

strip everything you think you know

about the markets away

and just

give me a a couple months

stay with me for a couple months here

and i promise you you will put

everything else down

and see it like this

because this is the truth this is the

perfect understanding of what makes

these markets book

that means

what makes them go up and down where

they turn why they go where they go why

are they moving when they move and why

are they arriving when they arriving at

that price point

it's all algorithmic and it has

absolutely nothing to do

with

ratios

it has nothing to do with anything

harmonic

nothing supply and demand zone nothing

to do with elliott wave nothing to do

with white golf

nothing to do with gan

none of that stuff has anything to do

with it

i literally have just

explained exactly what these markets do

that's it

there's nothing else that happens the

buying and selling pressure

it's a myth because these markets are

going to go higher regardless of how

many contracts come in if they want this

thing to go up here it doesn't require

millions of contracts to put it there

it doesn't

how many contracts does it take for this

candle to move from that opening price

to that closing price

tell me how many cam how many contracts

does it take for that to happen

it only needs two two transactions two

transactions one here and when it gaps

up here and reprices to that price point

and it offers it to the market that

price and someone comes in with a market

order what happens boom

it's it the candle has been created

two trades how many contracts it doesn't

make a difference you only need a

transaction

what

yeah

folks listen

you can sit down and listen to these

videos i'm producing

and coming with the preconceived notion

that everything i'm saying is nonsense

it's not true and it's not valid because

you don't want it to be

all i'm asking you to do

is put everything you think you

understand

put it aside for a moment

just for a little while

and go in and do the things i'm telling

you to do

i

guarantee you

you will absolutely fall in love with

this

because this is consistency

this is

consistency that you have always

hoped for but everything else just falls

short in delivering

it and you're getting it for free

and i'm loving it while giving it to you

because i know

and you're all going to see it

when all these little light bulbs come

on and all the people watching these

videos and folks this channel is growing

it's growing and this train's going to

keep on rolling

yeah

this community is getting bigger and

bigger

because it's infectious

results matter proof matters

and when students go into this

and they see the results

man

it's sweet isn't it isn't it sweet when

you see

the truth finally just laid out in front

of you

there's no trickery here

there's no twisting of your arm give me

your credit card payment

you don't you don't have to

blow

any kisses to me okay i don't need

flowers i just want you to make a real

effort

and then tell me

what your results are what did you get

from it

i promise you i'm promising you you will

find what you're looking for but you got

to put the work into it because if you

don't put the work into it

it won't matter

because you'll just think it's

too much work

and i'm telling you it only feels like a

lot of work in the beginning but once

you understand what you're looking for

like this setup here

that might be your particular setup and

this up here isn't your setup

this might be your setup here because

it's based on that old highlights you'll

find if you scroll back on your own

chart that might be your setup and not

this one down here

that's what i'm referring to when i say

when you find

your unique model that means a setup

that is so similar every time you take

it it repeats the same general idea

just in a different chart on a different

day in a different time frame

that's it that's all it is that's a

that's your unique model

you're learning how to do it with what

i'm teaching you but

where you're looking for it in what

market and what

narrative that you're looking for what

makes that setup your particular setup

that's a unique thing for you and that's

the weird

beautiful element to trading and the way

these markets operate is it allows each

and every one of us to have our own

unique model

we can all use the things i'm teaching

and all fine setups within the same

trading day and be opposed to every

individual trade setup

individually in other words we could all

be doing something and not agree with

any of it

you took a short there i was long a

little while before that or i went short

and you went along somewhere else and

you're ending a trade where i'm getting

ready to put on a trade

it's amazing

but how you internalize the market what

setup you're looking for

there's lots of them and if you break

this chart down into a 30 second chart

or a 15 second chart there's even more

setups

everything's fractal

so if you want to do high frequency

trading

you can do that with the second chart

you may not be able to pull up second

charts because you may not have the

i guess the subscription level on

trading view and i don't get any

subscription kickbacks i'm not trying to

get you to buy anything from tradingview

i'm just stating that

you can make this

however you want

and if you just want to stay on a

15-minute chart and trade a daily range

okay there's no reason to do anything

less than that but if you want to get

busy

and

pyramid your positions that means like

say you bought one down here

or say you bought

say about five down here

and you bought three here and you bought

two here and then you roll it up into

your objective that's pyramiding your

biggest position

put on first then a smaller position on

and then a smaller position and then

that that's how you build up the equity

and you get velocity in your equity

growth that way

versus buying one then buying two then

buying forward and buying eight that

that is reckless and i've done that and

i've roasted accounts doing it so

don't do that but

hopefully this is at least got your

gears turning about how you can go in

and back test a little bit um how you

can see multiple trade setups and how we

can work with higher time frame pd

arrays and

the

pd array matrix where it's discounted

premium and premium to discount and how

we use and incorporate all the different

arrays where i'm sure

someone new watching this your head's

spinning right now you're like i have a

thousand questions right now and i i

need to know this no you don't need to

know what you're asking for right now

you only feel like you need to know

right now

take the things i'm showing you at the

pace i'm showing you study them and i

promise a couple months from now you're

going to know a whole lot more than you

know right now

and you'll be able to go in and see

things in price action that you don't

even identify right now even in

hindsight

you just got to give yourself the time

and give yourself the real effort

to learn this

i've stripped it down i made it as

streamlined as i possibly could and i

promise

you will get this

and until i'll talk to you next time

be safe